pattern recognition

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pages: 372 words: 101,174

How to Create a Mind: The Secret of Human Thought Revealed by Ray Kurzweil

Alan Turing: On Computable Numbers, with an Application to the Entscheidungsproblem, Albert Einstein, Albert Michelson, anesthesia awareness, anthropic principle, brain emulation, cellular automata, Charles Babbage, Claude Shannon: information theory, cloud computing, computer age, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, Dean Kamen, discovery of DNA, double helix, driverless car, en.wikipedia.org, epigenetics, George Gilder, Google Earth, Hans Moravec, Isaac Newton, iterative process, Jacquard loom, Jeff Hawkins, John von Neumann, Law of Accelerating Returns, linear programming, Loebner Prize, mandelbrot fractal, Nick Bostrom, Norbert Wiener, optical character recognition, PalmPilot, pattern recognition, Peter Thiel, Ralph Waldo Emerson, random walk, Ray Kurzweil, reversible computing, selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor (SSRI), self-driving car, speech recognition, Steven Pinker, strong AI, the scientific method, theory of mind, Turing complete, Turing machine, Turing test, Wall-E, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, X Prize

Ultimately our brains, combined with the technologies they have fostered, will permit us to create a synthetic neocortex that will contain well beyond a mere 300 million pattern processors. Why not a billion? Or a trillion? The Structure of a Pattern The pattern recognition theory of mind that I present here is based on the recognition of patterns by pattern recognition modules in the neocortex. These patterns (and the modules) are organized in hierarchies. I discuss below the intellectual roots of this idea, including my own work with hierarchical pattern recognition in the 1980s and 1990s and Jeff Hawkins (born in 1957) and Dileep George’s (born in 1977) model of the neocortex in the early 2000s. Each pattern (which is recognized by one of the estimated 300 million pattern recognizers in the neocortex) is composed of three parts.

., 28–29, 206–7, 217 dimming of, 29, 59 hippocampus and, 101–2 as ordered sequences of patterns, 27–29, 54 redundancy of, 59 unexpected recall of, 31–32, 54, 68–69 working, 101 Menabrea, Luigi, 190 metacognition, 200, 201 metaphors, 14–15, 113–17, 176–77 Michelson, Albert, 18, 19, 36, 114 Michelson-Morley experiment, 19, 36, 114 microtubules, 206, 207, 208, 274 Miescher, Friedrich, 16 mind, 11 pattern recognition theory of (PRTM), 5–6, 8, 11, 34–74, 79, 80, 86, 92, 111, 172, 217 thought experiments on, 199–247 mind-body problem, 221 Minsky, Marvin, 62, 133–35, 134, 199, 228 MIT Artificial Intelligence Laboratory, 134 MIT Picower Institute for Learning and Memory, 101 MobilEye, 159 modeling, complexity and, 37–38 Modha, Dharmendra, 128, 195, 271–72 momentum, 20–21 conservation of, 21–22 Money, John William, 118, 119 montane vole, 119 mood, regulation of, 106 Moore, Gordon, 251 Moore’s law, 251, 255, 268 moral intelligence, 201 moral systems, consciousness as basis of, 212–13 Moravec, Hans, 196 Morley, Edward, 18, 19, 36, 114 Moskovitz, Dustin, 156 motor cortex, 36, 99 motor nerves, 99 Mountcastle, Vernon, 36, 37, 94 Mozart, Leopold, 111 Mozart, Wolfgang Amadeus, 111, 112 MRI (magnetic resonance imaging), 129 spatial resolution of, 262–65, 263, 309n MT (V5) visual cortex region, 83, 95 Muckli, Lars, 225 music, as universal to human culture, 62 mutations, simulated, 148 names, recalling, 32 National Institutes of Health, 129 natural selection, 76 geologic process as metaphor for, 14–15, 114, 177 see also evolution Nature, 94 nematode nervous system, simulation of, 124 neocortex, 3, 7, 77, 78 AI reverse-engineering of, see neocortex, digital bidirectional flow of information in, 85–86, 91 evolution of, 35–36 expansion of, through AI, 172, 266–72, 276 expansion of, through collaboration, 116 hierarchical order of, 41–53 learning process of, see learning linear organization of, 250 as metaphor machine, 113 neural leakage in, 150–51 old brain as modulated by, 93–94, 105, 108 one-dimensional representations of multidimensional data in, 53, 66, 91, 141–42 pattern recognition in, see pattern recognition pattern recognizers in, see pattern recognition modules plasticity of, see brain plasticity prediction by, 50–51, 52, 58, 60, 66–67, 250 PRTM as basic algorithm of, 6 pruning of unused connections in, 83, 90, 143, 174 redundancy in, 9, 224 regular grid structure of, 82–83, 84, 85, 129, 262 sensory input in, 58, 60 simultaneous processing of information in, 193 specific types of patterns associated with regions of, 86–87, 89–90, 91, 111, 152 structural simplicity of, 11 structural uniformity of, 36–37 structure of, 35–37, 38, 75–92 as survival mechanism, 79, 250 thalamus as gateway to, 100–101 total capacity of, 40, 280 total number of neurons in, 230 unconscious activity in, 228, 231, 233 unified model of, 24, 34–74 as unique to mammalian brain, 93, 286n universal processing algorithm of, 86, 88, 90–91, 152, 272 see also cerebral cortex neocortex, digital, 6–8, 41, 116–17, 121–78, 195 benefits of, 123–24, 247 bidirectional flow of information in, 173 as capable of being copied, 247 critical thinking module for, 176, 197 as extension of human brain, 172, 276 HHMMs in, 174–75 hierarchical structure of, 173 knowledge bases of, 177 learning in, 127–28, 175–76 metaphor search module in, 176–77 moral education of, 177–78 pattern redundancy in, 175 simultaneous searching in, 177 structure of, 172–78 virtual neural connections in, 173–74 neocortical columns, 36–37, 38, 90, 124–25 nervous systems, 2 neural circuits, unreliability of, 185 neural implants, 243, 245 neural nets, 131–35, 144, 155 algorithm for, 291n–97n feedforward, 134, 135 learning in, 132–33 neural processing: digital emulation of, 195–97 massive parallelism of, 192, 193, 195 speed of, 192, 195 neuromorphic chips, 194–95, 196 neuromuscular junction, 99 neurons, 2, 36, 38, 43, 80, 172 neurotransmitters, 105–7 new brain, see neocortex Newell, Allen, 181 New Kind of Science, A (Wolfram), 236, 239 Newton, Isaac, 94 Nietzsche, Friedrich, 117 nonbiological systems, as capable of being copied, 247 nondestructive imaging techniques, 127, 129, 264, 312n–13n nonmammals, reasoning by, 286n noradrenaline, 107 norepinephrine, 118 Notes from Underground (Dostoevsky), 199 Nuance Speech Technologies, 6–7, 108, 122, 152, 161, 162, 168 nucleus accumbens, 77, 105 Numenta, 156 NuPIC, 156 obsessive-compulsive disorder, 118 occipital lobe, 36 old brain, 63, 71, 90, 93–108 neocortex as modulator of, 93–94, 105, 108 sensory pathway in, 94–98 olfactory system, 100 Oluseun, Oluseyi, 204 OmniPage, 122 One Hundred Years of Solitude (García Márquez), 283n–85n On Intelligence (Hawkins and Blakeslee), 73, 156 On the Origin of Species (Darwin), 15–16 optical character recognition (OCR), 122 optic nerve, 95, 100 channels of, 94–95, 96 organisms, simulated, evolution of, 147–53 overfitting problem, 150 oxytocin, 119 pancreas, 37 panprotopsychism, 203, 213 Papert, Seymour, 134–35, 134 parameters, in pattern recognition: “God,” 147 importance, 42, 48–49, 60, 66, 67 size, 42, 49–50, 60, 61, 66, 67, 73–74, 91–92, 173 size variability, 42, 49–50, 67, 73–74, 91–92 Parker, Sean, 156 Parkinson’s disease, 243, 245 particle physics, see quantum mechanics Pascal, Blaise, 117 patch-clamp robotics, 125–26, 126 pattern recognition, 195 of abstract concepts, 58–59 as based on experience, 50, 90, 273–74 as basic unit of learning, 80–81 bidirectional flow of information in, 52, 58, 68 distortions and, 30 eye movement and, 73 as hierarchical, 33, 90, 138, 142 of images, 48 invariance and, see invariance, in pattern recognition learning as simultaneous with, 63 list combining in, 60–61 in neocortex, see pattern recognition modules redundancy in, 39–40, 57, 60, 64, 185 pattern recognition modules, 35–41, 42, 90, 198 autoassociation in, 60–61 axons of, 42, 43, 66, 67, 113, 173 bidirectional flow of information to and from thalamus, 100–101 dendrites of, 42, 43, 66, 67 digital, 172–73, 175, 195 expectation (excitatory) signals in, 42, 52, 54, 60, 67, 73, 85, 91, 100, 112, 173, 175, 196–97 genetically determined structure of, 80 “God parameter” in, 147 importance parameters in, 42, 48–49, 60, 66, 67 inhibitory signals in, 42, 52–53, 67, 85, 91, 100, 173 input in, 41–42, 42, 53–59 love and, 119–20 neural connections between, 90 as neuronal assemblies, 80–81 one-dimensional representation of multidimensional data in, 53, 66, 91, 141–42 prediction by, 50–51, 52, 58, 60, 66–67 redundancy of, 42, 43, 48, 91 sequential processing of information by, 266 simultaneous firings of, 57–58, 57, 146 size parameters in, 42, 49–50, 60, 61, 66, 67, 73–74, 91–92, 173 size variability parameters in, 42, 67, 73–74, 91–92, 173 of sounds, 48 thresholds of, 48, 52–53, 60, 66, 67, 111–12, 173 total number of, 38, 40, 41, 113, 123, 280 universal algorithm of, 111, 275 pattern recognition theory of mind (PRTM), 5–6, 8, 11, 34–74, 79, 80, 86, 92, 111, 172, 217 patterns: hierarchical ordering of, 41–53 higher-level patterns attached to, 43, 45, 66, 67 input in, 41, 42, 44, 66, 67 learning of, 63–64, 90 name of, 42–43 output of, 42, 44, 66, 67 redundancy and, 64 specific areas of neocortex associated with, 86–87, 89–90, 91, 111, 152 storing of, 64–65 structure of, 41–53 Patterns, Inc., 156 Pavlov, Ivan Petrovich, 216 Penrose, Roger, 207–8, 274 perceptions, as influenced by expectations and interpretations, 31 perceptrons, 131–35 Perceptrons (Minsky and Papert), 134–35, 134 phenylethylamine, 118 Philosophical Investigations (Wittgenstein), 221 phonemes, 61, 135, 137, 146, 152 photons, 20–21 physics, 37 computational capacity and, 281, 316n–19n laws of, 37, 267 standard model of, 2 see also quantum mechanics Pinker, Steven, 76–77, 278 pituitary gland, 77 Plato, 212, 221, 231 pleasure, in old and new brains, 104–8 Poggio, Tomaso, 85, 159 posterior ventromedial nucleus (VMpo), 99–100, 99 prairie vole, 119 predictable outcomes, determined outcomes vs., 26, 239 President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology, 269 price/performance, of computation, 4–5, 250–51, 257, 257, 267–68, 301n–3n Principia Mathematica (Russell and Whitehead), 181 probability fields, 218–19, 235–36 professional knowledge, 39–40 proteins, reverse-engineering of, 4–5 qualia, 203–5, 210, 211 quality of life, perception of, 277–78 quantum computing, 207–9, 274 quantum mechanics, 218–19 observation in, 218–19, 235–36 randomness vs. determinism in, 236 Quinlan, Karen Ann, 101 Ramachandran, Vilayanur Subramanian “Rama,” 230 random access memory: growth in, 259, 260, 301n–3n, 306n–7n three-dimensional, 268 randomness, determinism and, 236 rationalization, see confabulation reality, hierarchical nature of, 4, 56, 90, 94, 172 recursion, 3, 7–8, 56, 65, 91, 153, 156, 177, 188 “Red” (Oluseum), 204 redundancy, 9, 39–40, 64, 184, 185, 197, 224 in genome, 271, 314n, 315n of memories, 59 of pattern recognition modules, 42, 43, 48, 91 thinking and, 57 religious ecstacy, 118 “Report to the President and Congress, Designing a Digital Future” (President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology), 269 retina, 95 reverse-engineering: of biological systems, 4–5 of human brain, see brain, human, computer emulation of; neocortex, digital Rosenblatt, Frank, 131, 133, 134, 135, 191 Roska, Boton, 94 Rothblatt, Martine, 278 routine tasks, as series of hierarchical steps, 32–33 Rowling, J.

., 28–29, 206–7, 217 dimming of, 29, 59 hippocampus and, 101–2 as ordered sequences of patterns, 27–29, 54 redundancy of, 59 unexpected recall of, 31–32, 54, 68–69 working, 101 Menabrea, Luigi, 190 metacognition, 200, 201 metaphors, 14–15, 113–17, 176–77 Michelson, Albert, 18, 19, 36, 114 Michelson-Morley experiment, 19, 36, 114 microtubules, 206, 207, 208, 274 Miescher, Friedrich, 16 mind, 11 pattern recognition theory of (PRTM), 5–6, 8, 11, 34–74, 79, 80, 86, 92, 111, 172, 217 thought experiments on, 199–247 mind-body problem, 221 Minsky, Marvin, 62, 133–35, 134, 199, 228 MIT Artificial Intelligence Laboratory, 134 MIT Picower Institute for Learning and Memory, 101 MobilEye, 159 modeling, complexity and, 37–38 Modha, Dharmendra, 128, 195, 271–72 momentum, 20–21 conservation of, 21–22 Money, John William, 118, 119 montane vole, 119 mood, regulation of, 106 Moore, Gordon, 251 Moore’s law, 251, 255, 268 moral intelligence, 201 moral systems, consciousness as basis of, 212–13 Moravec, Hans, 196 Morley, Edward, 18, 19, 36, 114 Moskovitz, Dustin, 156 motor cortex, 36, 99 motor nerves, 99 Mountcastle, Vernon, 36, 37, 94 Mozart, Leopold, 111 Mozart, Wolfgang Amadeus, 111, 112 MRI (magnetic resonance imaging), 129 spatial resolution of, 262–65, 263, 309n MT (V5) visual cortex region, 83, 95 Muckli, Lars, 225 music, as universal to human culture, 62 mutations, simulated, 148 names, recalling, 32 National Institutes of Health, 129 natural selection, 76 geologic process as metaphor for, 14–15, 114, 177 see also evolution Nature, 94 nematode nervous system, simulation of, 124 neocortex, 3, 7, 77, 78 AI reverse-engineering of, see neocortex, digital bidirectional flow of information in, 85–86, 91 evolution of, 35–36 expansion of, through AI, 172, 266–72, 276 expansion of, through collaboration, 116 hierarchical order of, 41–53 learning process of, see learning linear organization of, 250 as metaphor machine, 113 neural leakage in, 150–51 old brain as modulated by, 93–94, 105, 108 one-dimensional representations of multidimensional data in, 53, 66, 91, 141–42 pattern recognition in, see pattern recognition pattern recognizers in, see pattern recognition modules plasticity of, see brain plasticity prediction by, 50–51, 52, 58, 60, 66–67, 250 PRTM as basic algorithm of, 6 pruning of unused connections in, 83, 90, 143, 174 redundancy in, 9, 224 regular grid structure of, 82–83, 84, 85, 129, 262 sensory input in, 58, 60 simultaneous processing of information in, 193 specific types of patterns associated with regions of, 86–87, 89–90, 91, 111, 152 structural simplicity of, 11 structural uniformity of, 36–37 structure of, 35–37, 38, 75–92 as survival mechanism, 79, 250 thalamus as gateway to, 100–101 total capacity of, 40, 280 total number of neurons in, 230 unconscious activity in, 228, 231, 233 unified model of, 24, 34–74 as unique to mammalian brain, 93, 286n universal processing algorithm of, 86, 88, 90–91, 152, 272 see also cerebral cortex neocortex, digital, 6–8, 41, 116–17, 121–78, 195 benefits of, 123–24, 247 bidirectional flow of information in, 173 as capable of being copied, 247 critical thinking module for, 176, 197 as extension of human brain, 172, 276 HHMMs in, 174–75 hierarchical structure of, 173 knowledge bases of, 177 learning in, 127–28, 175–76 metaphor search module in, 176–77 moral education of, 177–78 pattern redundancy in, 175 simultaneous searching in, 177 structure of, 172–78 virtual neural connections in, 173–74 neocortical columns, 36–37, 38, 90, 124–25 nervous systems, 2 neural circuits, unreliability of, 185 neural implants, 243, 245 neural nets, 131–35, 144, 155 algorithm for, 291n–97n feedforward, 134, 135 learning in, 132–33 neural processing: digital emulation of, 195–97 massive parallelism of, 192, 193, 195 speed of, 192, 195 neuromorphic chips, 194–95, 196 neuromuscular junction, 99 neurons, 2, 36, 38, 43, 80, 172 neurotransmitters, 105–7 new brain, see neocortex Newell, Allen, 181 New Kind of Science, A (Wolfram), 236, 239 Newton, Isaac, 94 Nietzsche, Friedrich, 117 nonbiological systems, as capable of being copied, 247 nondestructive imaging techniques, 127, 129, 264, 312n–13n nonmammals, reasoning by, 286n noradrenaline, 107 norepinephrine, 118 Notes from Underground (Dostoevsky), 199 Nuance Speech Technologies, 6–7, 108, 122, 152, 161, 162, 168 nucleus accumbens, 77, 105 Numenta, 156 NuPIC, 156 obsessive-compulsive disorder, 118 occipital lobe, 36 old brain, 63, 71, 90, 93–108 neocortex as modulator of, 93–94, 105, 108 sensory pathway in, 94–98 olfactory system, 100 Oluseun, Oluseyi, 204 OmniPage, 122 One Hundred Years of Solitude (García Márquez), 283n–85n On Intelligence (Hawkins and Blakeslee), 73, 156 On the Origin of Species (Darwin), 15–16 optical character recognition (OCR), 122 optic nerve, 95, 100 channels of, 94–95, 96 organisms, simulated, evolution of, 147–53 overfitting problem, 150 oxytocin, 119 pancreas, 37 panprotopsychism, 203, 213 Papert, Seymour, 134–35, 134 parameters, in pattern recognition: “God,” 147 importance, 42, 48–49, 60, 66, 67 size, 42, 49–50, 60, 61, 66, 67, 73–74, 91–92, 173 size variability, 42, 49–50, 67, 73–74, 91–92 Parker, Sean, 156 Parkinson’s disease, 243, 245 particle physics, see quantum mechanics Pascal, Blaise, 117 patch-clamp robotics, 125–26, 126 pattern recognition, 195 of abstract concepts, 58–59 as based on experience, 50, 90, 273–74 as basic unit of learning, 80–81 bidirectional flow of information in, 52, 58, 68 distortions and, 30 eye movement and, 73 as hierarchical, 33, 90, 138, 142 of images, 48 invariance and, see invariance, in pattern recognition learning as simultaneous with, 63 list combining in, 60–61 in neocortex, see pattern recognition modules redundancy in, 39–40, 57, 60, 64, 185 pattern recognition modules, 35–41, 42, 90, 198 autoassociation in, 60–61 axons of, 42, 43, 66, 67, 113, 173 bidirectional flow of information to and from thalamus, 100–101 dendrites of, 42, 43, 66, 67 digital, 172–73, 175, 195 expectation (excitatory) signals in, 42, 52, 54, 60, 67, 73, 85, 91, 100, 112, 173, 175, 196–97 genetically determined structure of, 80 “God parameter” in, 147 importance parameters in, 42, 48–49, 60, 66, 67 inhibitory signals in, 42, 52–53, 67, 85, 91, 100, 173 input in, 41–42, 42, 53–59 love and, 119–20 neural connections between, 90 as neuronal assemblies, 80–81 one-dimensional representation of multidimensional data in, 53, 66, 91, 141–42 prediction by, 50–51, 52, 58, 60, 66–67 redundancy of, 42, 43, 48, 91 sequential processing of information by, 266 simultaneous firings of, 57–58, 57, 146 size parameters in, 42, 49–50, 60, 61, 66, 67, 73–74, 91–92, 173 size variability parameters in, 42, 67, 73–74, 91–92, 173 of sounds, 48 thresholds of, 48, 52–53, 60, 66, 67, 111–12, 173 total number of, 38, 40, 41, 113, 123, 280 universal algorithm of, 111, 275 pattern recognition theory of mind (PRTM), 5–6, 8, 11, 34–74, 79, 80, 86, 92, 111, 172, 217 patterns: hierarchical ordering of, 41–53 higher-level patterns attached to, 43, 45, 66, 67 input in, 41, 42, 44, 66, 67 learning of, 63–64, 90 name of, 42–43 output of, 42, 44, 66, 67 redundancy and, 64 specific areas of neocortex associated with, 86–87, 89–90, 91, 111, 152 storing of, 64–65 structure of, 41–53 Patterns, Inc., 156 Pavlov, Ivan Petrovich, 216 Penrose, Roger, 207–8, 274 perceptions, as influenced by expectations and interpretations, 31 perceptrons, 131–35 Perceptrons (Minsky and Papert), 134–35, 134 phenylethylamine, 118 Philosophical Investigations (Wittgenstein), 221 phonemes, 61, 135, 137, 146, 152 photons, 20–21 physics, 37 computational capacity and, 281, 316n–19n laws of, 37, 267 standard model of, 2 see also quantum mechanics Pinker, Steven, 76–77, 278 pituitary gland, 77 Plato, 212, 221, 231 pleasure, in old and new brains, 104–8 Poggio, Tomaso, 85, 159 posterior ventromedial nucleus (VMpo), 99–100, 99 prairie vole, 119 predictable outcomes, determined outcomes vs., 26, 239 President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology, 269 price/performance, of computation, 4–5, 250–51, 257, 257, 267–68, 301n–3n Principia Mathematica (Russell and Whitehead), 181 probability fields, 218–19, 235–36 professional knowledge, 39–40 proteins, reverse-engineering of, 4–5 qualia, 203–5, 210, 211 quality of life, perception of, 277–78 quantum computing, 207–9, 274 quantum mechanics, 218–19 observation in, 218–19, 235–36 randomness vs. determinism in, 236 Quinlan, Karen Ann, 101 Ramachandran, Vilayanur Subramanian “Rama,” 230 random access memory: growth in, 259, 260, 301n–3n, 306n–7n three-dimensional, 268 randomness, determinism and, 236 rationalization, see confabulation reality, hierarchical nature of, 4, 56, 90, 94, 172 recursion, 3, 7–8, 56, 65, 91, 153, 156, 177, 188 “Red” (Oluseum), 204 redundancy, 9, 39–40, 64, 184, 185, 197, 224 in genome, 271, 314n, 315n of memories, 59 of pattern recognition modules, 42, 43, 48, 91 thinking and, 57 religious ecstacy, 118 “Report to the President and Congress, Designing a Digital Future” (President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology), 269 retina, 95 reverse-engineering: of biological systems, 4–5 of human brain, see brain, human, computer emulation of; neocortex, digital Rosenblatt, Frank, 131, 133, 134, 135, 191 Roska, Boton, 94 Rothblatt, Martine, 278 routine tasks, as series of hierarchical steps, 32–33 Rowling, J.


pages: 187 words: 55,801

The New Division of Labor: How Computers Are Creating the Next Job Market by Frank Levy, Richard J. Murnane

Atul Gawande, business cycle, call centre, computer age, Computer Numeric Control, correlation does not imply causation, David Ricardo: comparative advantage, deskilling, digital divide, Frank Levy and Richard Murnane: The New Division of Labor, Gunnar Myrdal, hypertext link, index card, information asymmetry, job automation, knowledge economy, knowledge worker, low skilled workers, low-wage service sector, PalmPilot, pattern recognition, profit motive, Robert Shiller, Ronald Reagan, Salesforce, speech recognition, tacit knowledge, talking drums, telemarketer, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, working poor

She has never done an ad campaign for spaghetti sauce, but she has done ad campaigns for other quick-to-prepare meals and her knowledge of those cases gives her a useful starting point for thinking about the sauce.14 We do much of our creative work in this style: we use pattern recognition to see similarities between a new problem and relevant past work, call that past work to mind, and appropriately apply the knowledge gained in doing that work. In this case, pattern recognition occurs in seeing the points of similarity between the current problem and past experience. If the focus of this book were cognitive psychology, we would include still other models of human information processing. But for our focus— how computers alter work—a short list of models including rules-basedlogic, pattern recognition, and case-based reasoning (pattern recognition’s first cousin) serves quite well. 24 CHAPTER 2 THE LIMITS OF PATTERN RECOGNITION If we take a step back, we can see that we are well along in answering the questions we have raised: • Computers excel at processing information through the application of rules. • Computers could substitute for the Liffe traders because the information processing required to match buy and sell orders (the main task of the floor traders) could be fully described in step-bystep rules. • Stephen Saltz processed the information in the echocardiogram by recognizing patterns rather than applying step-by-step rules.

If the person is speaking about her male cousin, we will probably interpret “BILL” as a person’s first name unless she is speaking about her cousin’s financial problems, in which case we may have to listen more closely. When we try to program pattern recognition, problems of perception and the requirements for contextual knowledge limit what we can recognize. In technical terms, pattern recognition is programmed using neural nets and other “machine learning” software. These methods are based on the conjecture advanced earlier that human pattern recognition itself may rest on probabilistic rules. Recall that in programs using rules-based logic, the explicit rules can be stated before the program is ever written.

His recognition of a particular pattern helped him to form a diagnosis. Pattern recognition is an equally plausible description of how the truck driver and the four-year-old girl processed what they saw and heard. But notice that in most of these cases, people are recognizing something closer to a concept—what psychologists call a schema—than a precise template. We expect the fouryear-old girl to recognize a blue oval bowl even if she so far has seen only WHY PEOPLE STILL MATTER 23 green and red round bowls. Stephen Saltz and the truck driver have the same ability to generalize. Within cognitive science, pattern recognition is a more controversial processing model than rules-based logic.


pages: 250 words: 73,574

Nine Algorithms That Changed the Future: The Ingenious Ideas That Drive Today's Computers by John MacCormick, Chris Bishop

Ada Lovelace, AltaVista, Charles Babbage, Claude Shannon: information theory, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, fault tolerance, information retrieval, Menlo Park, PageRank, pattern recognition, Richard Feynman, Silicon Valley, Simon Singh, sorting algorithm, speech recognition, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, traveling salesman, Turing machine, Turing test, Vannevar Bush

These codes are everywhere: they are used in all hard disk drives, many network transmissions, on CDs and DVDs, and even in some computer memories—but they do their job so well that we are never even aware of them. Chapter 6 is a little exceptional. It covers pattern recognition algorithms, which sneak into the list of great computer science ideas despite violating the very first criterion: that ordinary computer users must use them every day. Pattern recognition is the class of techniques whereby computers recognize highly variable information, such as handwriting, speech, and faces. In fact, in the first decade of the 21st century, most everyday computing did not use these techniques. But as I write these words in 2011, the importance of pattern recognition is increasing rapidly: mobile devices with small on-screen keyboards need automatic correction, tablet devices must recognize handwritten input, and all these devices (especially smartphones) are becoming increasingly voice-activated.

But as I write these words in 2011, the importance of pattern recognition is increasing rapidly: mobile devices with small on-screen keyboards need automatic correction, tablet devices must recognize handwritten input, and all these devices (especially smartphones) are becoming increasingly voice-activated. Some websites even use pattern recognition to determine what kind of advertisements to display to their users. In addition, I have a personal bias toward pattern recognition, which is my own area of research. So chapter 6 describes three of the most interesting and successful pattern recognition techniques: nearest-neighbor classifiers, decision trees, and neural networks. Compression algorithms, discussed in chapter 7, form another set of great ideas that help transform a computer into a genius at our fingertips.

In this chapter, on the other hand, we examine an area in which humans have a natural advantage: the field of pattern recognition. Pattern recognition is a subset of artificial intelligence and includes tasks such as face recognition, object recognition, speech recognition, and handwriting recognition. More specific examples would include the task of determining whether a given photograph is a picture of your sister, or determining the city and state written on a hand-addressed envelope. Thus, pattern recognition can be defined more generally as the task of getting computers to act “intelligently” based on input data that contains a lot of variability.


pages: 330 words: 88,445

The Rise of Superman: Decoding the Science of Ultimate Human Performance by Steven Kotler

Abraham Maslow, adjacent possible, Albert Einstein, Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic, Clayton Christensen, data acquisition, delayed gratification, deliberate practice, do what you love, escalation ladder, fear of failure, Google Earth, haute couture, impulse control, Isaac Newton, Jeff Bezos, Jeff Hawkins, jimmy wales, Kevin Kelly, Lao Tzu, lateral thinking, life extension, lifelogging, low earth orbit, Maui Hawaii, pattern recognition, Ray Kurzweil, risk tolerance, rolodex, selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor (SSRI), Sheryl Sandberg, Silicon Valley, SimCity, SpaceShipOne, Stanford marshmallow experiment, Steve Jobs, TED Talk, time dilation, Virgin Galactic, Walter Mischel, X Prize

It’s a signal things are coming to an end, not just beginning.” These five chemicals are flow’s mighty cocktail. Alone, each packs a punch, together a wallop. Consider the chain of events that takes us from pattern recognition through future prediction. Norepinephrine tightens focus (data acquisition); dopamine jacks pattern recognition (data processing); anandamide accelerates lateral thinking (widens the database searched by the pattern recognition system). The results, as basketball legend Bill Russell explains in his biography Second Wind, really do feel psychic: Every so often a Celtic game would heat up so that it would become more than a physical or even mental game, and would be magical.

We are making continuous low-level predictions in parallel across all our senses. So important is prediction to survival, that when the brain guesses correctly—i.e., when the brain’s pattern-recognition system identifies a correct pattern—we get a reward, a tiny squirt of the feel-good neurochemical dopamine. Dopamine feels really good. Cocaine, widely considered one of the most addictive substances on earth, does little besides cause the brain to release dopamine and then block its reuptake. This same rush reinforces pattern recognition—it’s why learning happens. But dopamine actually does double duty. Not only does this neurotransmitter help us learn new patterns, it also amps up attention and reduces noise in neural networks, making it easier for us to notice more patterns.

When these athletes actually take a risk (putting themselves in a high-consequence situation rather than a high-risk environment), an even bigger neurochemical response is facilitated. Risk taking itself releases another big squirt of dopamine, further enhancing performance and increasing pattern recognition. Once the pattern-recognition system lights onto the proper response (i.e., identifies the chunk that will save the athlete’s hide in this particular situation), even more dopamine is released and the cascade continues. As we know these facts, we also know a bit about hacking the “high consequence” flow trigger.


pages: 205 words: 20,452

Data Mining in Time Series Databases by Mark Last, Abraham Kandel, Horst Bunke

backpropagation, call centre, computer vision, discrete time, G4S, information retrieval, iterative process, NP-complete, p-value, pattern recognition, random walk, sensor fusion, speech recognition, web application

Wang (Northeastern Univ., USA) Vol. 43: Agent Engineering (Eds. Jiming Liu, Ning Zhong, Yuan Y. Tang and Patrick S. P. Wang) Vol. 44: Multispectral Image Processing and Pattern Recognition (Eds. J. Shen, P. S. P. Wang and T. Zhang) Vol. 45: Hidden Markov Models: Applications in Computer Vision (Eds. H. Bunke and T. Caelli) Vol. 46: Syntactic Pattern Recognition for Seismic Oil Exploration (K. Y. Huang) Vol. 47: Hybrid Methods in Pattern Recognition (Eds. H. Bunke and A. Kandel ) Vol. 48: Multimodal Interface for Human-Machine Communications (Eds. P. C. Yuen, Y. Y. Tang and P. S. P. Wang) Vol. 49: Neural Networks and Systolic Array Design (Eds.

Fast Median Search in Metric Spaces, in A. Amin and D. Dori (eds.). Advances in Pattern Recognition, pp. 905–912, SpringerVerlag. 20. Kohonen, T. (1985). Median Strings. Pattern Recognition Letters, 3, 309–313. 21. Kruskal, J.B. (1983). An Overview of Sequence Comparison: Time Warps, String Edits, and Macromolecules. SIAM Reviews, 25(2), 201–237. 22. Kruzslicz, F. (1999) Improved Greedy Algorithm for Computing Approximate Median Strings. Acta Cybernetica, 14, 331–339. 23. Lewis, T., Owens, R., and Baddeley, A. (1999). Averaging Feature Maps. Pattern Recognition, 32(9), 1615–1630. 24. Lopresti, D. and Zhou, J. (1997). Using Consensus Sequence Voting to Correct OCR Errors.

Use of Median String for Classification. Proc. of Int. Conf. on Pattern Recognition, pp. 907–910. 27. Martinez-Hinarejos, C.D. Juan, A. and Casacuberta, F. (2001). Improving Classification Using Median String and NN Rules. Proc. of National Symposium on Pattern Recognition and Image Analysis. 28. Marzal, A. and Vidal, E. (1993). Computation of Normalized Edit Distance and Applications. IEEE Trans. on PAMI, 15(9), 926–932. 29. Marzal, A. and Barrachina, S. (2000). Speeding up the Computation of the Edit Distance for Cyclic Strings. Proc. of Int. Conf. on Pattern Recognition, 2, pp. 895–898. 30. Mico, L. and Oncina, J. (2001).


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Gamification by Design: Implementing Game Mechanics in Web and Mobile Apps by Gabe Zichermann, Christopher Cunningham

airport security, business logic, future of work, game design, gamification, Ian Bogost, lateral thinking, minimum viable product, pattern recognition, power law, Ruby on Rails, SimCity, social graph, social web, systems thinking, urban planning, web application

Organizing and Creating Order Orkut, Social networking score out-of-scale promotional opportunities, 9. Fame, Getting Attention overjustification/replacement bias, Intrinsic versus Extrinsic Motivation P paginate( ) method, Optimizing Leaderboard Output pattern recognition, 1. Pattern Recognition, 1. Pattern Recognition advanced subway rider (example), 1. Pattern Recognition Pavlov, Ivan, Reinforcement personal motivators, Designing the Games pet games, virtual, 12. Nurturing, Growing photo-sharing websites, Skill points Pink, Daniel H., Intrinsic versus Extrinsic Motivation Plants vs. Zombies iPhone game, Progression of difficulty player detail view, Altered Beast site, The Trophy Case player re-engagement in social engagement loops, Engagement Loop Examples players, Foundations, Player Types, Player Types, Social Games ranking top five social actions taken by, Social Games types of, Player Types, Player Types breakdown of percentages, Player Types pluralization features, Ruby on Rails, Adding a Player’s Level to Topic Posts points, Game Mechanics, Video game score, Social networking score, Point Systems, Point Systems, Experience points, Redeemable points, Karma points, Karma points, How to Use Point Systems, Level Design, How to Use Point Systems, How to Use Point Systems, Virtual economies, Dual economy, Dual economy, Dual economy, Example: Assigned Point Values, Levels, Level Design, Game Mechanics and Dynamics in Greater Depth, 5.

., images on Flickr’s home page 10 Being the Hero “Rescue the maiden” challenges Friends ask for help, you respond with help MacGruber: things are going to blow up in 10…9… 11 Gaining Status Badges, trophies—especially public ones Scarce, limited-edition items that are public Public, obvious scores and leaderboards 12 Nurturing, Growing Tamagotchi style: feed this thing regularly or it will die Points that expire in the absence of activity, growth Pyramid scoring, with cumulative scores for teams and leaders [a] Cover these columns with a sheet of paper first and reveal as needed [b] Cover these columns with a sheet of paper first and reveal as needed [c] Cover these columns with a sheet of paper first and reveal as needed Game Mechanics in Depth Most of the game mechanics in Table 5-1 can be useful and interesting to your gamified system. Understanding when and how to use them can be daunting, so we’ve provided some depth here on each of these interactions. 1. Pattern Recognition Pattern recognition is the dynamic user interaction most associated with unpacking systemic complexity. When players seek to understand the world around them, and discover the “hidden meaning” or ways that complex items interact, they are seeking pattern recognition. Once patterns are detected, players organize the world around those patterns, and they usually feel intrinsically rewarded just for having discovered them.

Essentially, riders have leveled up if they know where and when they can get a seat or exit a crowded station a few minutes faster. Figure 5-2. Pattern recognition: the advanced subway rider knows where to stand to get a seat or to be close to the right exit (image licensed under CC; photo by http://www.flickr.com/photos/piercedavid). Exit Strategy, shown in Figure 5-3, is an application that lets players know where to be to best exit the subway. It takes ad hoc knowledge from users/maps and makes it publicly available. It can’t help you get a seat, though. Figure 5-3. Pattern recognition: the advanced subway rider game, Exit Strategy. For pattern recognition, there are a number of game mechanics we can use to create player engagement.


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The Age of Spiritual Machines: When Computers Exceed Human Intelligence by Ray Kurzweil

Ada Lovelace, Alan Greenspan, Alan Turing: On Computable Numbers, with an Application to the Entscheidungsproblem, Albert Einstein, Alvin Toffler, Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic, backpropagation, Buckminster Fuller, call centre, cellular automata, Charles Babbage, classic study, combinatorial explosion, complexity theory, computer age, computer vision, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, cosmological constant, cosmological principle, Danny Hillis, double helix, Douglas Hofstadter, Everything should be made as simple as possible, financial engineering, first square of the chessboard / second half of the chessboard, flying shuttle, fudge factor, functional programming, George Gilder, Gödel, Escher, Bach, Hans Moravec, I think there is a world market for maybe five computers, information retrieval, invention of movable type, Isaac Newton, iterative process, Jacquard loom, John Gilmore, John Markoff, John von Neumann, Lao Tzu, Law of Accelerating Returns, mandelbrot fractal, Marshall McLuhan, Menlo Park, natural language processing, Norbert Wiener, optical character recognition, ought to be enough for anybody, pattern recognition, phenotype, punch-card reader, quantum entanglement, Ralph Waldo Emerson, Ray Kurzweil, Richard Feynman, Robert Metcalfe, Schrödinger's Cat, Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence, self-driving car, Silicon Valley, social intelligence, speech recognition, Steven Pinker, Stewart Brand, stochastic process, Stuart Kauffman, technological singularity, Ted Kaczynski, telepresence, the medium is the message, The Soul of a New Machine, There's no reason for any individual to have a computer in his home - Ken Olsen, traveling salesman, Turing machine, Turing test, Whole Earth Review, world market for maybe five computers, Y2K

Humans are far more skilled at recognizing patterns than in thinking through logical combinations, so we rely on this aptitude for almost all of our mental processes. Indeed, pattern recognition comprises the bulk of our neural circuitry. These faculties make up for the extremely slow speed of human neurons. The reset time on neural firing is about five milliseconds, permitting only about two hundred calculations per second in each neural connection.25 We don’t have time, therefore, to think too many new thoughts when we are pressed to make a decision. The human brain relies on precomputing its analyses and storing them for future reference. We then use our pattern-recognition capability to recognize a situation as comparable to one we have thought about and then draw upon our previously considered conclusions.

Her neural nets have gained all the insights needed: Take a step back if the ball has gone above my field of view; take a step forward if the ball is below a certain level in my field of view and no longer rising, and so on. The human ballplayer is not mentally computing equations. Nor is there any such computation going on unconsciously in the player’s brain. What is going on is pattern recognition, the foundation of most human thought. One key to intelligence is knowing what not to compute. A successful person isn’t necessarily better than her less successful peers at solving problems; her pattern-recognition facilities have just learned what problems are worth solving. Building Silicon Nets Most computer-based neural net applications today simulate their neuron models in software.

Actually, computerized investment programs are using both evolutionary algorithms and neural nets; but the computerized neural nets are not nearly as flexible as the human variety just yet. THIS NOTION THAT WE DON’T REALLY UNDERSTAND HOW WE RECOGNIZE THINGS BECAUSE MY PATTERN-RECOGNITION STUFF IS DISTRIBUTED ACROSS A REGION OF MY BRAIN ... Yes. WELL, IT DOES SEEM TO EXPLAIN A FEW THINGS. LIKE WHEN I JUST SEEM TO KNOW WHERE MY KEYS ARE EVEN THOUGH I DON’T REMEMBER HAVING PUT THEM THERE. OR THAT ARCHETYPAL OLD WOMAN WHO CAN TELL WHEN A STORM IS COMING, BUT CAN’T REALLY EXPLAIN HOW SHE KNOWS. That’s actually a good example of the strength of human pattern recognition. That old woman has a neural net that is triggered by a certain combination of other perceptions—animal movements, wind patterns, sky color, atmospheric changes, and so on.


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The Loop: How Technology Is Creating a World Without Choices and How to Fight Back by Jacob Ward

2021 United States Capitol attack, 4chan, Abraham Wald, AI winter, Albert Einstein, Albert Michelson, Amazon Mechanical Turk, assortative mating, autonomous vehicles, availability heuristic, barriers to entry, Bayesian statistics, Benoit Mandelbrot, Big Tech, bitcoin, Black Lives Matter, Black Swan, blockchain, Broken windows theory, call centre, Cass Sunstein, cloud computing, contact tracing, coronavirus, COVID-19, crowdsourcing, cuban missile crisis, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, dark matter, data science, deep learning, Donald Trump, drone strike, endowment effect, George Akerlof, George Floyd, hindsight bias, invisible hand, Isaac Newton, Jeffrey Epstein, license plate recognition, lockdown, longitudinal study, Lyft, mandelbrot fractal, Mark Zuckerberg, meta-analysis, natural language processing, non-fungible token, nudge unit, OpenAI, opioid epidemic / opioid crisis, pattern recognition, QAnon, RAND corporation, Richard Thaler, Robert Shiller, selection bias, self-driving car, seminal paper, shareholder value, smart cities, social contagion, social distancing, Steven Levy, survivorship bias, TikTok, Turing test

When it comes to the central systems of modern life—employment, housing, criminal justice, education—discrimination on the basis of something like gender, race, or sexual orientation is against the law. And when we encounter pattern-recognition systems that turn out to amplify that prejudice, we can start from an agreed understanding that prejudice is bad and illegal. The difficulty, of course, is that pattern-recognition systems are difficult to examine for something like discriminatory choices. Machine learning happens inside a black box of improvisational computational effort—literally a roomful of monkeys assigned to peck away at typewriters in the hopes of eventually and accidentally writing Shakespeare.

But AI-driven reform like this isn’t likely to happen across our lives the way AI-driven marketing, political messaging, and curation is. The reason is simple: you don’t make easy money on reform. There is no lucrative market for this kind of pattern recognition the way there is for one that helps you find a sales lead or identify a job candidate. But there is a place that capitalist considerations could create an incentive. Perhaps the financial strain of lawsuits in the case of police shootings can help to create a market. It could be that pattern-recognition systems could be used to avoid losing money. The family of Louisville medical worker Breonna Taylor reached a $12 million settlement with the city—the largest payout in Louisville’s history—after its officers shot and killed her in her apartment.

The second loop is the way that modern forces—consumer technology, capitalism, marketing, politics—have sampled the innermost loop of behavior and reflected those patterns back at us, resulting in everything from our addiction to cigarettes and gambling to systemic racism in real estate and machine learning. The outermost loop is the one for which this book is named. It’s what I worry is coming, a future in which our ancient and modern tendencies have been studied, sampled, fed into automated pattern-recognition systems, and sold back to us in servings we will be doubly conditioned to consume without a second thought. It’s the loop that has already erased our conscious musical tastes and replaced them with weekly suggestions from Spotify, based on what was served last week. It’s the loop that samples our political tendencies and social appetites and puts us together on Facebook with people whose patterns complement our own, such that we become attached to a powerful and all-consuming group identity, and have no patience for people outside of it.


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The Singularity Is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology by Ray Kurzweil

additive manufacturing, AI winter, Alan Turing: On Computable Numbers, with an Application to the Entscheidungsproblem, Albert Einstein, anthropic principle, Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic, artificial general intelligence, Asilomar, augmented reality, autonomous vehicles, backpropagation, Benoit Mandelbrot, Bill Joy: nanobots, bioinformatics, brain emulation, Brewster Kahle, Brownian motion, business cycle, business intelligence, c2.com, call centre, carbon-based life, cellular automata, Charles Babbage, Claude Shannon: information theory, complexity theory, conceptual framework, Conway's Game of Life, coronavirus, cosmological constant, cosmological principle, cuban missile crisis, data acquisition, Dava Sobel, David Brooks, Dean Kamen, digital divide, disintermediation, double helix, Douglas Hofstadter, en.wikipedia.org, epigenetics, factory automation, friendly AI, functional programming, George Gilder, Gödel, Escher, Bach, Hans Moravec, hype cycle, informal economy, information retrieval, information security, invention of the telephone, invention of the telescope, invention of writing, iterative process, Jaron Lanier, Jeff Bezos, job automation, job satisfaction, John von Neumann, Kevin Kelly, Law of Accelerating Returns, life extension, lifelogging, linked data, Loebner Prize, Louis Pasteur, mandelbrot fractal, Marshall McLuhan, Mikhail Gorbachev, Mitch Kapor, mouse model, Murray Gell-Mann, mutually assured destruction, natural language processing, Network effects, new economy, Nick Bostrom, Norbert Wiener, oil shale / tar sands, optical character recognition, PalmPilot, pattern recognition, phenotype, power law, precautionary principle, premature optimization, punch-card reader, quantum cryptography, quantum entanglement, radical life extension, randomized controlled trial, Ray Kurzweil, remote working, reversible computing, Richard Feynman, Robert Metcalfe, Rodney Brooks, scientific worldview, Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence, selection bias, semantic web, seminal paper, Silicon Valley, Singularitarianism, speech recognition, statistical model, stem cell, Stephen Hawking, Stewart Brand, strong AI, Stuart Kauffman, superintelligent machines, technological singularity, Ted Kaczynski, telepresence, The Coming Technological Singularity, Thomas Bayes, transaction costs, Turing machine, Turing test, two and twenty, Vernor Vinge, Y2K, Yogi Berra

If you obtain an electrocardiogram (ECG) your doctor is likely to receive an automated diagnosis using pattern recognition applied to ECG recordings. My own company (Kurzweil Technologies) is working with United Therapeutics to develop a new generation of automated ECG analysis for long-term unobtrusive monitoring (via sensors embedded in clothing and wireless communication using a cell phone) of the early warning signs of heart disease.189 Other pattern-recognition systems are used to diagnose a variety of imaging data. Every major drug developer is using AI programs to do pattern recognition and intelligent data mining in the development of new drug therapies.

Other research on the visual system of the macaque monkey includes studies on many specific types of cells, connectivity patterns, and high-level descriptions of information flow.102 Extensive literature supports the use of what I call "hypothesis and test" in more complex pattern-recognition tasks. The cortex makes a guess about what it is seeing and then determines whether the features of what is actually in the field of view match its hypothesis.103 We’re often more focused on the hypothesis than the actual test, which explains why people often see and hear what they expect to perceive rather than what is actually there. "Hypothesis and test" is also a useful strategy in our computer-based pattern-recognition systems. Although we have the illusion of receiving high-resolution images from our eyes, what the optic nerve actually sends to the brain is just outlines and clues about points of interest in our visual field.

Of course, even this method of communication has been very beneficial, as it has distinguished us from other animals and has been an enabling factor in the creation of technology. Human skills are able to develop only in ways that have been evolutionarily encouraged. Those skills, which are primarily based on massively parallel pattern recognition, provide proficiency for certain tasks, such as distinguishing faces, identifying objects, and recognizing language sounds. But they're not suited for many others, such as determining patterns in financial data. Once we fully master pattern-recognition paradigms, machine methods can apply these techniques to any type of pattern.158 Machines can pool their resources in ways that humans cannot. Although teams of humans can accomplish both physical and mental feats that individual humans cannot achieve, machines can more easily and readily aggregate their computational, memory, and communications resources.


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Data Mining: Concepts, Models, Methods, and Algorithms by Mehmed Kantardzić

Albert Einstein, algorithmic bias, backpropagation, bioinformatics, business cycle, business intelligence, business process, butter production in bangladesh, combinatorial explosion, computer vision, conceptual framework, correlation coefficient, correlation does not imply causation, data acquisition, discrete time, El Camino Real, fault tolerance, finite state, Gini coefficient, information retrieval, Internet Archive, inventory management, iterative process, knowledge worker, linked data, loose coupling, Menlo Park, natural language processing, Netflix Prize, NP-complete, PageRank, pattern recognition, peer-to-peer, phenotype, random walk, RFID, semantic web, speech recognition, statistical model, Telecommunications Act of 1996, telemarketer, text mining, traveling salesman, web application

For both, autoassociation and heteroassociation, there are two main phases in the application of an ANN for pattern-association problems: 1. the storage phase, which refers to the training of the network in accordance with given patterns, and 2. the recall phase, which involves the retrieval of a memorized pattern in response to the presentation of a noisy or distorted version of a key pattern to the network. 7.4.2 Pattern Recognition Pattern recognition is also a task that is performed much better by humans than by the most powerful computers. We receive data from the world around us via our senses and are able to recognize the source of the data. We are often able to do so almost immediately and with practically no effort. Humans perform pattern recognition through a learning process, so it is with ANNs. Pattern recognition is formally defined as the process whereby a received pattern is assigned to one of a prescribed number of classes. An ANN performs pattern recognition by first undergoing a training session, during which the network is repeatedly presented a set of input patterns along with the category to which each particular pattern belongs.

Han, J., M. Kamber, Data Mining: Concepts and Techniques, 2nd edition, Morgan Kaufmann, San Francisco, CA, 2006. Jain, A., R. P. W. Duin, J. Mao, Statistical Pattern Recognition, IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence, Vol. 22, No. 1, 2000, pp. 4–37. Kennedy, R. L., et al. Solving Data Mining Problems through Pattern Recognition, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ, 1998. Kil, D. H., F. B. Shin, Pattern Recognition and Prediction with Applications to Signal Characterization, AIP Press, Woodburg, NY, 1996. Liu, H., H. Motoda, eds., Feature Extraction, Construction and Selection: A Data Mining Perspective, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Boston, MA, 1998.

Chandola, V. Kumar, Similarity Measures for Categorical Data: A Comparative Evaluation, SIAM Conference, 2008, pp. 243–254. Bow, S., Pattern Recognition and Image Preprocessing, Marcel Dekker, New York, 1992. Chen, C. H., L. F. Pau, P. S. P. Wang, Handbook of Pattern Recognition & Computer Vision, World Scientific Publ. Co., Singapore, 1993. Dzeroski, S., N. Lavrac, eds., Relational Data Mining, Springer, Berlin, 2001. Gose, E., R. Johnsonbaugh, S. Jost, Pattern Recognition and Image Analysis, Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, NJ, 1996. Han, J., M. Kamber, Data Mining: Concepts and Techniques, 2nd edition, Elsevier Inc., San Francisco, CA, 2006.


pages: 301 words: 85,126

AIQ: How People and Machines Are Smarter Together by Nick Polson, James Scott

Abraham Wald, Air France Flight 447, Albert Einstein, algorithmic bias, Amazon Web Services, Atul Gawande, autonomous vehicles, availability heuristic, basic income, Bayesian statistics, Big Tech, Black Lives Matter, Bletchley Park, business cycle, Cepheid variable, Checklist Manifesto, cloud computing, combinatorial explosion, computer age, computer vision, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, data science, deep learning, DeepMind, Donald Trump, Douglas Hofstadter, Edward Charles Pickering, Elon Musk, epigenetics, fake news, Flash crash, Grace Hopper, Gödel, Escher, Bach, Hans Moravec, Harvard Computers: women astronomers, Higgs boson, index fund, information security, Isaac Newton, John von Neumann, late fees, low earth orbit, Lyft, machine translation, Magellanic Cloud, mass incarceration, Moneyball by Michael Lewis explains big data, Moravec's paradox, more computing power than Apollo, natural language processing, Netflix Prize, North Sea oil, Northpointe / Correctional Offender Management Profiling for Alternative Sanctions, p-value, pattern recognition, Pierre-Simon Laplace, ransomware, recommendation engine, Ronald Reagan, Salesforce, self-driving car, sentiment analysis, side project, Silicon Valley, Skype, smart cities, speech recognition, statistical model, survivorship bias, systems thinking, the scientific method, Thomas Bayes, Uber for X, uber lyft, universal basic income, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, young professional

The input might be a sound wave (for interpreting a request to a digital home assistant), a sequence of genes (for predicting someone’s susceptibility to a disease), or an English phrase (for translation into Spanish). As the table below indicates, anything you can represent as a set of numbers can be used as an input in one of these pattern-recognition systems. As we’ll discuss later, though, sometimes it’s obvious how to represent an input as a number, and sometimes it isn’t. In this chapter, you’ll learn the two key ideas behind how these pattern-recognition systems work: 1. In AI, a “pattern” is a prediction rule that maps an input to an expected output. 2. “Learning a pattern” means fitting a good prediction rule to a data set. There’s a bit of math involved here, but have no fear: these ideas are actually quite simple and elegant once you get to know them, and we’re going to spend the rest of the chapter helping you do just that.

Food and Drug Administration approved Medtronic’s latest model, the first artificial pancreas designed to level out both high and low blood-sugar levels.45 AI for Medical Imaging Diagnostic imaging offers an even more immediate example of where AI can make a difference. Many common forms of medical image analysis, from looking at a chest X-ray to examining cancer cells under a microscope, involve a classic pattern-recognition problem: the inputs are the features extracted from the image, and the output is the diagnosis. As we learned in chapter 2, computers are absolutely brilliant at learning how to predict outputs from inputs, especially for images—and with more data and newer pattern-recognition algorithms, they’re getting better all the time. For some image-driven diagnoses, you soon may not even need to visit a doctor’s office. Take, for example, the problem of diagnosing a skin lesion.

Correctional Offender Management Profiling for Alternative Sanctions (COMPAS) Craven, John credit cards digital assistants and fraud Crimean War criminal justice system cucumbers data, missing data accumulation, pace of data mining data science anomaly detection and assumptions and democracy and feature engineering health care and imputation institutional commitment and legacy of Florence Nightingale lurking variable pattern recognition and personalization and prediction rules and user-based collaborative filtering data sets anomalies in assumptions and bias in, bias out ImageNet Visual Recognition Challenge massive pattern recognition and privacy sharing databases compilers and health care natural language processing Netflix smart cities de Moivre’s equation (square-root rule) decision-making anomaly detection and human voting deep learning corn yields and electricity demands and gender portrayals in film and honeybees and prediction rules and privacy and Descartes Labs Dickens, Charles Christmas Carol, A Martin Chuzzlewit digital assistants Alexa (Amazon) algorithms and Google Home medicine and speech recognition and DiMaggio, Joe Dole, Bob Duke University early-warning systems Earth Echo, Amazon e-commerce Eggo, Rosalind Einstein, Albert energy industry Facebook advertisers anomaly detection “data for gossip” bargain data sets data storage image classification and recognition market dominance pattern-recognition system personalization presidential election of 2016 and targeted marketing Facebook Messenger fake news financial industry Bayes’s rule and investing gambling strategy indexing strategy Fitbit Ford, Henry Formula 1 racing Fowler, Samuel Lemuel Friedman, Milton Friends (television series) Gawande, Atul: The Checklist Manifesto Geena Davis Institute on Gender in Media gender bias in films stereotypes word vectors and Google anomaly detection data sets data storage image classification Inception (neural-network model) market dominance pattern-recognition system personalization search engine self-driving car speech recognition TensorFlow word2vec model Google Google DeepMind Google Doodle Google Flu Trends Google Home Google Ngram Viewer Google Translate Google Voice Gould, Stephen Jay GPS technology Great Andromeda Nebula.


pages: 339 words: 92,785

I, Warbot: The Dawn of Artificially Intelligent Conflict by Kenneth Payne

Abraham Maslow, AI winter, Alan Turing: On Computable Numbers, with an Application to the Entscheidungsproblem, AlphaGo, anti-communist, Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic, artificial general intelligence, Asperger Syndrome, augmented reality, Automated Insights, autonomous vehicles, backpropagation, Black Lives Matter, Bletchley Park, Boston Dynamics, classic study, combinatorial explosion, computer age, computer vision, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, coronavirus, COVID-19, CRISPR, cuban missile crisis, data science, deep learning, deepfake, DeepMind, delayed gratification, Demis Hassabis, disinformation, driverless car, drone strike, dual-use technology, Elon Musk, functional programming, Geoffrey Hinton, Google X / Alphabet X, Internet of things, job automation, John Nash: game theory, John von Neumann, Kickstarter, language acquisition, loss aversion, machine translation, military-industrial complex, move 37, mutually assured destruction, Nash equilibrium, natural language processing, Nick Bostrom, Norbert Wiener, nuclear taboo, nuclear winter, OpenAI, paperclip maximiser, pattern recognition, RAND corporation, ransomware, risk tolerance, Ronald Reagan, self-driving car, semantic web, side project, Silicon Valley, South China Sea, speech recognition, Stanislav Petrov, stem cell, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, strong AI, Stuxnet, technological determinism, TED Talk, theory of mind, TikTok, Turing machine, Turing test, uranium enrichment, urban sprawl, V2 rocket, Von Neumann architecture, Wall-E, zero-sum game

They’ll decide how to respond to their adversaries and how to coordinate with their allies using very different techniques from ours. That means different tactics in battle, but also the prospect for larger differences in war. And then there’s creativity. Humans have it in spades. The incumbent world chess champion Magnus Carlsen is a great example of human creativity—a mix of natural genius (for memory, and pattern recognition), but with something extra. Carlsen argues that this is intuition, an instinct for the right move. But what is intuition, and what makes Carlsen’s instincts better than mine? And why are the world’s best chess players vulnerable to number crunching machines that don’t use intuition at all? Might the most creative generals be similarly vulnerable?

Famously, at one early conference in 1956, participants, now legendary names in the field, judged that in just a few short weeks they would make ‘a significant advance’ in using computers to tackle ‘problems now reserved for humans’.16 Heady stuff. Two approaches to mind Two cognitive tasks with military utility seemed particularly promising—object recognition and natural language translation. Like codebreaking, and indeed chess, both tasks drew on key attributes of the new computers—pattern recognition and logic. In turn, those two attributes played to the strength of two rival approaches to machine intelligence that emerged early on and have shaped the field ever since. As so often in AI, both approaches were inspired by human minds. Understanding more about them will help us understand more about the possibilities for warbot minds and the ways they have developed to this point.

And they had money to spend on talent too—hoovering up the new AI stars from their university posts: LeCun to Facebook, Hinton to Google, Ng to Google, then Baidu. The new tech giants saw the huge value in using intelligent machines to make sense of the unending torrent of internet data—to find out more about their customers and offer new services. Like the military before them, they shared an interest in pattern recognition, search, and image and language processing. When it came, the revolution would be feline. But that was only the start. It’s not even a decade since Google’s cat breakthrough, and the pace of innovation is still accelerating, another important feature of the modern AI landscape. Now deep nets can recognise individual faces, lip read video imagery and produce a simultaneous transcription.


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Emergence by Steven Johnson

A Pattern Language, agricultural Revolution, AOL-Time Warner, Brewster Kahle, British Empire, Claude Shannon: information theory, complexity theory, Danny Hillis, Douglas Hofstadter, edge city, epigenetics, game design, garden city movement, Gödel, Escher, Bach, hive mind, Howard Rheingold, hypertext link, invisible hand, Jane Jacobs, Kevin Kelly, late capitalism, Lewis Mumford, Marshall McLuhan, mass immigration, Menlo Park, mirror neurons, Mitch Kapor, Murano, Venice glass, Naomi Klein, new economy, New Urbanism, Norbert Wiener, PalmPilot, pattern recognition, pez dispenser, phenotype, Potemkin village, power law, price mechanism, profit motive, Ray Kurzweil, SimCity, slashdot, social intelligence, Socratic dialogue, stakhanovite, Steven Pinker, The Death and Life of Great American Cities, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, theory of mind, Thomas Kuhn: the structure of scientific revolutions, traveling salesman, trickle-down economics, Turing machine, Turing test, urban planning, urban renewal, Vannevar Bush

In 1969, Marvin Minsky and Seymour Papert published “Perceptrons,” which built on Selfridge’s Pandemonium device for distributed pattern recognition, leading the way for Minsky’s bottom-up Society of Mind theory developed over the following decade. In 1972, a Rockefeller University professor named Gerald Edelman won the Nobel prize for his work decoding the language of antibody molecules, leading the way for an understanding of the immune system as a self-learning pattern-recognition device. Prigogine’s Nobel followed five years later. At the end of the decade, Douglas Hofstadter published Gödel, Escher, Bach, linking artificial intelligence, pattern recognition, ant colonies, and “The Goldberg Variations.”

But unlike most computers, the brain is a massively parallel system, with 100 billion neurons all working away at the same time. That parallelism allows the brain to perform amazing feats of pattern recognition, feats that continue to confound digital computers—such as remembering faces or creating metaphors. Because each individual neuron is so slow, Kurzweil explains, “we don’t have time . . . to think too many new thoughts when we are pressed to make a decision. The human brain relies on precomputing its analyses and storing them for future reference. We then use our pattern-recognition capability to recognize a situation as compatible to one we have thought about and then draw upon our previously considered conclusions.”

They get their smarts from below. In a more technical language, they are complex adaptive systems that display emergent behavior. In these systems, agents residing on one scale start producing behavior that lies one scale above them: ants create colonies; urbanites create neighborhoods; simple pattern-recognition software learns how to recommend new books. The movement from low-level rules to higher-level sophistication is what we call emergence. Imagine a billiard table populated by semi-intelligent, motorized billiard balls that have been programmed to explore the space of the table and alter their movement patterns based on specific interactions with other balls.


pages: 72 words: 21,361

Race Against the Machine: How the Digital Revolution Is Accelerating Innovation, Driving Productivity, and Irreversibly Transforming Employment and the Economy by Erik Brynjolfsson

Abraham Maslow, Amazon Mechanical Turk, Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic, autonomous vehicles, business cycle, business process, call centre, combinatorial explosion, corporate governance, creative destruction, crowdsourcing, David Ricardo: comparative advantage, driverless car, easy for humans, difficult for computers, Erik Brynjolfsson, factory automation, first square of the chessboard, first square of the chessboard / second half of the chessboard, Frank Levy and Richard Murnane: The New Division of Labor, general purpose technology, hiring and firing, income inequality, intangible asset, job automation, John Markoff, John Maynard Keynes: technological unemployment, Joseph Schumpeter, Khan Academy, Kickstarter, knowledge worker, Loebner Prize, low skilled workers, machine translation, minimum wage unemployment, patent troll, pattern recognition, Paul Samuelson, Ray Kurzweil, rising living standards, Robert Gordon, Robert Solow, self-driving car, shareholder value, Skype, the long tail, too big to fail, Turing test, Tyler Cowen, Tyler Cowen: Great Stagnation, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, wealth creators, winner-take-all economy, zero-sum game

Where People Still Win (at Least for Now) Although computers are encroaching into territory that used to be occupied by people alone, like advanced pattern recognition and complex communication, for now humans still hold the high ground in each of these areas. Experienced doctors, for example, make diagnoses by comparing the body of medical knowledge they’ve accumulated against patients’ lab results and descriptions of symptoms, and also by employing the advanced subconscious pattern recognition abilities we label “intuition.” (Does this patient seem like they’re holding something back? Do they look healthy, or is something off about their skin tone or energy level?’)

In the book’s second chapter, “Why People Still Matter,” the authors present a spectrum of information-processing tasks. At one end are straightforward applications of existing rules. These tasks, such as performing arithmetic, can be easily automated. After all, computers are good at following rules. At the other end of the complexity spectrum are pattern-recognition tasks where the rules can’t be inferred. The New Division of Labor gives driving in traffic as an example of this type of task, and asserts that it is not automatable: The … truck driver is processing a constant stream of [visual, aural, and tactile] information from his environment. … To program this behavior we could begin with a video camera and other sensors to capture the sensory input.

After the chat session ended, both customers and employees were asked whether the automatically translated messages were useful—whether they were clear enough to allow the people to take meaningful action. Approximately 90% reported that they were. In this case, automatic translation was good enough for business purposes. The Google driverless car shows how far and how fast digital pattern recognition abilities have advanced recently. Lionbridge’s GeoFluent shows how much progress has been made in computers’ ability to engage in complex communication. Another technology developed at IBM’s Watson labs, this one actually named Watson, shows how powerful it can be to combine these two abilities and how far the computers have advanced recently into territory thought to be uniquely human.


Data Mining: Concepts and Techniques: Concepts and Techniques by Jiawei Han, Micheline Kamber, Jian Pei

backpropagation, bioinformatics, business intelligence, business process, Claude Shannon: information theory, cloud computing, computer vision, correlation coefficient, cyber-physical system, database schema, discrete time, disinformation, distributed generation, finite state, industrial research laboratory, information retrieval, information security, iterative process, knowledge worker, linked data, machine readable, natural language processing, Netflix Prize, Occam's razor, pattern recognition, performance metric, phenotype, power law, random walk, recommendation engine, RFID, search costs, semantic web, seminal paper, sentiment analysis, sparse data, speech recognition, statistical model, stochastic process, supply-chain management, text mining, thinkpad, Thomas Bayes, web application

MCM83, MCM86, KM90 and MT94 and Readings in Machine Learning by Shavlik and Dietterich [SD90]. Machine learning and pattern recognition research is published in the proceedings of several major machine learning, artificial intelligence, and pattern recognition conferences, including the International Conference on Machine Learning (ML), the ACM Conference on Computational Learning Theory (COLT), the IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (CVPR), the International Conference on Pattern Recognition (ICPR), the International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence (IJCAI), and the American Association of Artificial Intelligence Conference (AAAI).

Other sources of publication include the Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, The Annals of Statistics, the Journal of American Statistical Association, Technometrics, and Biometrika. Textbooks and reference books on machine learning and pattern recognition include Machine Learning by Mitchell [Mit97]; Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning by Bishop [Bis06]; Pattern Recognition by Theodoridis and Koutroumbas [TK08]; Introduction to Machine Learning by Alpaydin [Alp11]; Probabilistic Graphical Models: Principles and Techniques by Koller and Friedman [KF09]; and Machine Learning: An Algorithmic Perspective by Marsland [Mar09].

(b) Is it a simple transformation or application of technology developed from databases, statistics, machine learning, and pattern recognition? (c) We have presented a view that data mining is the result of the evolution of database technology. Do you think that data mining is also the result of the evolution of machine learning research? Can you present such views based on the historical progress of this discipline? Address the same for the fields of statistics and pattern recognition. (d) Describe the steps involved in data mining when viewed as a process of knowledge discovery. 1.2 How is a data warehouse different from a database?


pages: 339 words: 88,732

The Second Machine Age: Work, Progress, and Prosperity in a Time of Brilliant Technologies by Erik Brynjolfsson, Andrew McAfee

2013 Report for America's Infrastructure - American Society of Civil Engineers - 19 March 2013, 3D printing, access to a mobile phone, additive manufacturing, Airbnb, Alan Greenspan, Albert Einstein, Amazon Mechanical Turk, Amazon Web Services, American Society of Civil Engineers: Report Card, Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic, autonomous vehicles, barriers to entry, basic income, Baxter: Rethink Robotics, Boston Dynamics, British Empire, business cycle, business intelligence, business process, call centre, carbon tax, Charles Lindbergh, Chuck Templeton: OpenTable:, clean water, combinatorial explosion, computer age, computer vision, congestion charging, congestion pricing, corporate governance, cotton gin, creative destruction, crowdsourcing, data science, David Ricardo: comparative advantage, digital map, driverless car, employer provided health coverage, en.wikipedia.org, Erik Brynjolfsson, factory automation, Fairchild Semiconductor, falling living standards, Filter Bubble, first square of the chessboard / second half of the chessboard, Frank Levy and Richard Murnane: The New Division of Labor, Freestyle chess, full employment, G4S, game design, general purpose technology, global village, GPS: selective availability, Hans Moravec, happiness index / gross national happiness, illegal immigration, immigration reform, income inequality, income per capita, indoor plumbing, industrial robot, informal economy, intangible asset, inventory management, James Watt: steam engine, Jeff Bezos, Jevons paradox, jimmy wales, job automation, John Markoff, John Maynard Keynes: Economic Possibilities for our Grandchildren, John Maynard Keynes: technological unemployment, Joseph Schumpeter, Kevin Kelly, Khan Academy, Kiva Systems, knowledge worker, Kodak vs Instagram, law of one price, low skilled workers, Lyft, Mahatma Gandhi, manufacturing employment, Marc Andreessen, Mark Zuckerberg, Mars Rover, mass immigration, means of production, Narrative Science, Nate Silver, natural language processing, Network effects, new economy, New Urbanism, Nicholas Carr, Occupy movement, oil shale / tar sands, oil shock, One Laptop per Child (OLPC), pattern recognition, Paul Samuelson, payday loans, post-work, power law, price stability, Productivity paradox, profit maximization, Ralph Nader, Ray Kurzweil, recommendation engine, Report Card for America’s Infrastructure, Robert Gordon, Robert Solow, Rodney Brooks, Ronald Reagan, search costs, Second Machine Age, self-driving car, sharing economy, Silicon Valley, Simon Kuznets, six sigma, Skype, software patent, sovereign wealth fund, speech recognition, statistical model, Steve Jobs, Steven Pinker, Stuxnet, supply-chain management, TaskRabbit, technological singularity, telepresence, The Bell Curve by Richard Herrnstein and Charles Murray, the Cathedral and the Bazaar, the long tail, The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, total factor productivity, transaction costs, Tyler Cowen, Tyler Cowen: Great Stagnation, Vernor Vinge, warehouse robotics, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, winner-take-all economy, Y2K

Algorithms do, however, include the most common and important things, and they generally work quite well at tasks like predicting payback rates. Computers, therefore, can and should be used for mortgage approval.* . . . But Lousy at Pattern Recognition At the other end of Levy and Murnane’s spectrum, however, lie information processing tasks that cannot be boiled down to rules or algorithms. According to the authors, these are tasks that draw on the human capacity for pattern recognition. Our brains are extraordinarily good at taking in information via our senses and examining it for patterns, but we’re quite bad at describing or figuring out how we’re doing it, especially when a large volume of fast-changing information arrives at a rapid pace.

As futurist Kevin Kelly put it “You’ll be paid in the future based on how well you work with robots.”7 Sensing Our Advantage So computers are extraordinarily good at pattern recognition within their frames, and terrible outside them. This is good news for human workers because thanks to our multiple senses, our frames are inherently broader than those of digital technologies. Computer vision, hearing, and even touch are getting exponentially better all the time, but there are still tasks where our eyes, ears, and skin, to say nothing of our noses and tongues, surpass their digital equivalents. At present and for some time to come, the sensory package and its tight connection to the pattern-recognition engine of the brain gives us a broader frame.

Zara relies on its store managers around the world to order exactly, and only, the merchandise that will sell in that location over the next few days.8 Managers figure this out not by consulting algorithms but instead by walking around the store, observing what shoppers (particularly cool ones) are wearing, talking to them about what they like and what they’re looking for, and generally doing many things at which people excel. Zara store managers do a lot of visual pattern recognition, engage in complex communication with customers, and use all of this information for two purposes: to order existing clothes using a broad frame of inputs, and to engage in ideation by telling headquarters what kinds of new clothes would be popular in their location. Zara has no plans to switch from human-based to machine-based ordering any time soon, and we think they’re making a very smart decision. So ideation, large-frame pattern recognition, and the most complex forms of communication are cognitive areas where people still seem to have the advantage, and also seem likely to hold on to it for some time to come.


pages: 360 words: 100,991

Heart of the Machine: Our Future in a World of Artificial Emotional Intelligence by Richard Yonck

3D printing, AI winter, AlphaGo, Apollo 11, artificial general intelligence, Asperger Syndrome, augmented reality, autism spectrum disorder, backpropagation, Berlin Wall, Bletchley Park, brain emulation, Buckminster Fuller, call centre, cognitive bias, cognitive dissonance, computer age, computer vision, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, crowdsourcing, deep learning, DeepMind, Dunning–Kruger effect, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, epigenetics, Fairchild Semiconductor, friendly AI, Geoffrey Hinton, ghettoisation, industrial robot, Internet of things, invention of writing, Jacques de Vaucanson, job automation, John von Neumann, Kevin Kelly, Law of Accelerating Returns, Loebner Prize, Menlo Park, meta-analysis, Metcalfe’s law, mirror neurons, Neil Armstrong, neurotypical, Nick Bostrom, Oculus Rift, old age dependency ratio, pattern recognition, planned obsolescence, pneumatic tube, RAND corporation, Ray Kurzweil, Rodney Brooks, self-driving car, Skype, social intelligence, SoftBank, software as a service, SQL injection, Stephen Hawking, Steven Pinker, superintelligent machines, technological singularity, TED Talk, telepresence, telepresence robot, The future is already here, The Future of Employment, the scientific method, theory of mind, Turing test, twin studies, Two Sigma, undersea cable, Vernor Vinge, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, Whole Earth Review, working-age population, zero day

Some worked with physiological signals such as electromyography, blood volume pulse, galvanic skin response, and respiration. To many of these, they applied a range of pattern recognition techniques in order to train systems to detect the meanings and variations of expression, something we humans do naturally and effortlessly. Pattern recognition is a branch of machine learning and artificial intelligence that has been developing in sophistication for decades. Because it’s a very specifically focused form of artificial intelligence, it’s sometimes referred to as a form of narrow or weak AI. Though these programs attempt to replicate the incredible pattern recognition our own brains perform so easily, the techniques used by our neurons can’t be fully emulated using machine logic.

In many respects researchers had already been doing this a century before, studying autonomic responses that eventually led to the development of polygraphs and other forms of lie detectors. (For more on this, see chapter 10.) Reading facial expressions, though, is in many respects a considerably harder problem than mere visual pattern recognition and matching, at least for a machine. The nuances and variations that occur—across cultures, individuals, even a single person’s face—can be so great that it wasn’t very long ago that many people considered this to be an insurmountable problem for a computer. Even with the pattern recognition capabilities made possible by the computers available at that time, the problem still remained of how to classify and distinguish what was actually being detected.

First, a series of technological conditions are now in place that allow this particular form of affective recognition to be developed: webcams and smartphone cameras of sufficient resolution and speed; available processing power in all of our devices, be they desktops, laptops, and perhaps most importantly our smartphones; and connectivity and transmission speeds that allow devices to connect to servers and services, whether they’re hardwired, Wi-Fi connected, or cellular devices. The second reason is much more interesting. Computer-based pattern recognition and deep learning are technologies that have attained a considerable level of sophistication and ability in recent years. In some respects this can result in pattern recognition that is far more capable than what people do naturally; in others, it is nowhere near as adept. This may be because when there are reasonably structured universal features to something—say, the tines of a fork, the four wheels of a car, or the features of the alphabet—a vision system based on an artificial neural network can be trained to do amazingly well, even under poor conditions.


The Deep Learning Revolution (The MIT Press) by Terrence J. Sejnowski

AI winter, Albert Einstein, algorithmic bias, algorithmic trading, AlphaGo, Amazon Web Services, Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic, augmented reality, autonomous vehicles, backpropagation, Baxter: Rethink Robotics, behavioural economics, bioinformatics, cellular automata, Claude Shannon: information theory, cloud computing, complexity theory, computer vision, conceptual framework, constrained optimization, Conway's Game of Life, correlation does not imply causation, crowdsourcing, Danny Hillis, data science, deep learning, DeepMind, delayed gratification, Demis Hassabis, Dennis Ritchie, discovery of DNA, Donald Trump, Douglas Engelbart, driverless car, Drosophila, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, epigenetics, Flynn Effect, Frank Gehry, future of work, Geoffrey Hinton, Google Glasses, Google X / Alphabet X, Guggenheim Bilbao, Gödel, Escher, Bach, haute couture, Henri Poincaré, I think there is a world market for maybe five computers, industrial robot, informal economy, Internet of things, Isaac Newton, Jim Simons, John Conway, John Markoff, John von Neumann, language acquisition, Large Hadron Collider, machine readable, Mark Zuckerberg, Minecraft, natural language processing, Neil Armstrong, Netflix Prize, Norbert Wiener, OpenAI, orbital mechanics / astrodynamics, PageRank, pattern recognition, pneumatic tube, prediction markets, randomized controlled trial, Recombinant DNA, recommendation engine, Renaissance Technologies, Rodney Brooks, self-driving car, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, Socratic dialogue, speech recognition, statistical model, Stephen Hawking, Stuart Kauffman, theory of mind, Thomas Bayes, Thomas Kuhn: the structure of scientific revolutions, traveling salesman, Turing machine, Von Neumann architecture, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, world market for maybe five computers, X Prize, Yogi Berra

Frank Rosenblatt at Cornell University (figure 3.4) was one of the earliest to mimic the architecture of our visual system for automatic pattern recognition.7 He invented a deceptively simple network called a “perceptron,” a learning algorithm that could learn how to classify patterns into categories, such as letters of the alphabet. Algorithms are step-by-step procedures that you follow to achieve particular goals, much as you would a recipe to bake a cake (chapter 13 will explain algorithms in general). If you understand the basic principles for how a perceptron learns to solve a pattern recognition problem, you are halfway to understanding how deep learning works.

If individuals can quickly get an expert assessment, they will see their doctors office at an early stage of a skin disease, when it is easier to treat. All doctors will become better at diagnosing rare skin diseases with the help of deep learning.16 Deep Cancer The detection of metastatic breast cancer in images of lymph node biopsies on slides is done by experts who make mistakes, mistakes that have deadly consequences. This is a pattern recognition problem for which deep learning should excel. And indeed, a deep learning network trained on a large dataset of slides for which ground truth was known reached an accuracy of 0.925, good but not as good as experts who achieved 0.966 on the same test set.17 However, when the predictions of deep learning were combined The Rise of Machine Learning 11 Figure 1.5 Artist’s impression of a deep learning network diagnosing a skin lesion with high accuracy, cover of February 2, 2017, issue of Nature.

Learning How to Become More Intelligent Is AlphaGo intelligent? There has been more written about intelligence than any other topic in psychology except consciousness, both of which are difficult to define. Psychologists since the 1930s distinguish between fluid intelligence, which uses reasoning and pattern recognition in new situations to solve new problems, without depending on previous knowledge, and crystallized intelligence, which depends on previous knowledge and is what the standard IQ tests measure. Fluid intelligence follows a developmental trajectory, reaching a peak in early adulthood and decreasing with age, whereas crystallized intelligence increases slowly and asymptotically as you age until fairly late in life.


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Architects of Intelligence by Martin Ford

3D printing, agricultural Revolution, AI winter, algorithmic bias, Alignment Problem, AlphaGo, Apple II, artificial general intelligence, Asilomar, augmented reality, autonomous vehicles, backpropagation, barriers to entry, basic income, Baxter: Rethink Robotics, Bayesian statistics, Big Tech, bitcoin, Boeing 747, Boston Dynamics, business intelligence, business process, call centre, Cambridge Analytica, cloud computing, cognitive bias, Colonization of Mars, computer vision, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, correlation does not imply causation, CRISPR, crowdsourcing, DARPA: Urban Challenge, data science, deep learning, DeepMind, Demis Hassabis, deskilling, disruptive innovation, Donald Trump, Douglas Hofstadter, driverless car, Elon Musk, Erik Brynjolfsson, Ernest Rutherford, fake news, Fellow of the Royal Society, Flash crash, future of work, general purpose technology, Geoffrey Hinton, gig economy, Google X / Alphabet X, Gödel, Escher, Bach, Hans Moravec, Hans Rosling, hype cycle, ImageNet competition, income inequality, industrial research laboratory, industrial robot, information retrieval, job automation, John von Neumann, Large Hadron Collider, Law of Accelerating Returns, life extension, Loebner Prize, machine translation, Mark Zuckerberg, Mars Rover, means of production, Mitch Kapor, Mustafa Suleyman, natural language processing, new economy, Nick Bostrom, OpenAI, opioid epidemic / opioid crisis, optical character recognition, paperclip maximiser, pattern recognition, phenotype, Productivity paradox, radical life extension, Ray Kurzweil, recommendation engine, Robert Gordon, Rodney Brooks, Sam Altman, self-driving car, seminal paper, sensor fusion, sentiment analysis, Silicon Valley, smart cities, social intelligence, sparse data, speech recognition, statistical model, stealth mode startup, stem cell, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, Steven Pinker, strong AI, superintelligent machines, synthetic biology, systems thinking, Ted Kaczynski, TED Talk, The Rise and Fall of American Growth, theory of mind, Thomas Bayes, Travis Kalanick, Turing test, universal basic income, Wall-E, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, women in the workforce, working-age population, workplace surveillance , zero-sum game, Zipcar

JOSH TENENBAUM: To me, the idea of using neural networks with lots of layers is also just one tool in the toolkit. What that’s good at is problems of pattern recognition, and it has proven to be a practical, scalable route for it. Where that kind of deep learning has really had success is either in problems that are traditionally seen as pattern recognition problems, like speech recognition and object recognition, or problems that can be in some way coerced into or turned into pattern recognition problems. Take Go for example. AI researchers have long believed that playing Go would require some kind of sophisticated pattern recognition, but they didn’t necessarily understand that it could be solved using the same kind of pattern recognition approaches you would use for perception problems in vision and speech.

If you look beyond any one task, like playing Go or playing chess, to the broader problems of intelligence, though, the idea that you’re going to turn all of the intelligence into a pattern recognition problem is ridiculous, and I don’t think any serious person can believe that. I mean maybe some people will say that, but that just seems crazy to me. Every serious AI researcher has to think two things simultaneously. One is they have to recognize that deep learning and deep neural networks have contributed a huge amount to what we can do with pattern recognition, and that pattern recognition is going to be a part of probably any intelligent system’s success. At the same time, you also have to recognize that intelligence goes way beyond pattern recognition in all the ways I was talking about.

That was how I came to academia, where I pursued my old dreams of doing pattern recognition and image encoding. MARTIN FORD: Did you go directly to UCLA from Electronic Memories? JUDEA PEARL: I tried to go to the University of Southern California, but they wouldn’t hire me because I was too sure of myself. I wanted to teach software, even though I’d never programmed before, and the Dean threw me out of his office. I ended up at UCLA because they gave me a chance of doing the things that I wanted to do, and I slowly migrated into AI from pattern recognition, image encoding, and decision theory. The early days of AI were dominated by chess and other game-playing programs, and that enticed me in the beginning, because I saw there a metaphor for capturing human intuition.


pages: 350 words: 98,077

Artificial Intelligence: A Guide for Thinking Humans by Melanie Mitchell

Ada Lovelace, AI winter, Alignment Problem, AlphaGo, Amazon Mechanical Turk, Apple's 1984 Super Bowl advert, artificial general intelligence, autonomous vehicles, backpropagation, Bernie Sanders, Big Tech, Boston Dynamics, Cambridge Analytica, Charles Babbage, Claude Shannon: information theory, cognitive dissonance, computer age, computer vision, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, dark matter, deep learning, DeepMind, Demis Hassabis, Douglas Hofstadter, driverless car, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, folksonomy, Geoffrey Hinton, Gödel, Escher, Bach, I think there is a world market for maybe five computers, ImageNet competition, Jaron Lanier, job automation, John Markoff, John von Neumann, Kevin Kelly, Kickstarter, license plate recognition, machine translation, Mark Zuckerberg, natural language processing, Nick Bostrom, Norbert Wiener, ought to be enough for anybody, paperclip maximiser, pattern recognition, performance metric, RAND corporation, Ray Kurzweil, recommendation engine, ride hailing / ride sharing, Rodney Brooks, self-driving car, sentiment analysis, Silicon Valley, Singularitarianism, Skype, speech recognition, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, Steven Pinker, strong AI, superintelligent machines, tacit knowledge, tail risk, TED Talk, the long tail, theory of mind, There's no reason for any individual to have a computer in his home - Ken Olsen, trolley problem, Turing test, Vernor Vinge, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, world market for maybe five computers

Marcus, “Commonsense Reasoning and Commonsense Knowledge in Artificial Intelligence,” Communications of the ACM 58, no. 9 (2015): 92–103. 24.  O. Vinyals et al., “Show and Tell: A Neural Image Caption Generator,” in Proceedings of the IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (2015), 3156–64; A. Karpathy and L. Fei-Fei, “Deep Visual-Semantic Alignments for Generating Image Descriptions,” in Proceedings of the IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (2015), 3128–37. 25.  Figure 39 is a simplified version of the system described in Vinyals et al., “Show and Tell.” 26.  J. Markoff, “Researchers Announce Advance in Image-Recognition Software,” New York Times, Nov. 17, 2014. 27.  

Reprinted with permission of Hongge Chen and the Association for Computational Linguistics. here Figure 44: Dorothy Alexander / Alamy Stock Photo. here Figure 45: From www.foundalis.com/res/bps/bpidx.htm. Original images are from M. Bongard, Pattern Recognition (New York: Spartan Books, 1970). here Figure 46: From www.foundalis.com/res/bps/bpidx.htm. Original images are from M. Bongard, Pattern Recognition (New York: Spartan Books, 1970). here Figure 47: Author. here Figure 48: Photographs taken by author. here Figure 49: www.nps.gov/dena/planyourvisit/pets.htm (public domain); pxhere.com/en/photo/1394259 (public domain); Peter Titmuss / Alamy Stock Photo; Thang Nguyen, www.flickr.com/photos/70209763@N00/399996115, licensed under Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 2.0 Generic license (creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/).

To give you the flavor of all this, here are some of Kurzweil’s predictions: By the 2020s molecular assembly will provide tools to effectively combat poverty, clean up our environment, overcome disease, [and] extend human longevity. * * * By the end of the 2030s … brain implants based on massively distributed intelligent nanobots will greatly expand our memories and otherwise vastly improve all our sensory, pattern-recognition, and cognitive abilities. * * * Uploading a human brain means scanning all of its salient details and then reinstantiating those details into a suitably powerful computational substrate.… The end of the 2030s is a conservative projection for successful [brain] uploading.23 * * * A computer will pass the Turing test by 2029.24 * * * As we get to the 2030s, artificial consciousness will be very realistic.


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The Globotics Upheaval: Globalisation, Robotics and the Future of Work by Richard Baldwin

agricultural Revolution, Airbnb, AlphaGo, AltaVista, Amazon Web Services, Apollo 11, augmented reality, autonomous vehicles, basic income, Big Tech, bread and circuses, business process, business process outsourcing, call centre, Capital in the Twenty-First Century by Thomas Piketty, Cass Sunstein, commoditize, computer vision, Corn Laws, correlation does not imply causation, Credit Default Swap, data science, David Ricardo: comparative advantage, declining real wages, deep learning, DeepMind, deindustrialization, deskilling, Donald Trump, Douglas Hofstadter, Downton Abbey, Elon Musk, Erik Brynjolfsson, facts on the ground, Fairchild Semiconductor, future of journalism, future of work, George Gilder, Google Glasses, Google Hangouts, Hans Moravec, hiring and firing, hype cycle, impulse control, income inequality, industrial robot, intangible asset, Internet of things, invisible hand, James Watt: steam engine, Jeff Bezos, job automation, Kevin Roose, knowledge worker, laissez-faire capitalism, Les Trente Glorieuses, low skilled workers, machine translation, Machine translation of "The spirit is willing, but the flesh is weak." to Russian and back, manufacturing employment, Mark Zuckerberg, mass immigration, mass incarceration, Metcalfe’s law, mirror neurons, new economy, optical character recognition, pattern recognition, Ponzi scheme, post-industrial society, post-work, profit motive, remote working, reshoring, ride hailing / ride sharing, Robert Gordon, Robert Metcalfe, robotic process automation, Ronald Reagan, Salesforce, San Francisco homelessness, Second Machine Age, self-driving car, side project, Silicon Valley, Skype, Snapchat, social intelligence, sovereign wealth fund, standardized shipping container, statistical model, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, supply-chain management, systems thinking, TaskRabbit, telepresence, telepresence robot, telerobotics, Thomas Malthus, trade liberalization, universal basic income, warehouse automation

If you replace “experience” with “data”—so experience-based pattern recognition becomes data-based pattern recognition—you have a pretty good description of the activities where machine learning has or soon will be better than the average human. This is already happening in medicine. Medical Jobs Healthcare is a very large sector. In the US, about 12 million people work in the industry. Only one out of twenty of these are doctors; nurses make up one in five. The UK’s National Health Service directly employs 1.5 million. Much of healthcare is fairly routine, but almost all of it turns around experience-based pattern recognition. This puts it squarely in the path of advancing AI.

Machine learning does only the last two items in the psychologists’ list: learn quickly and learn from experience. Even the revolutionary machine learning applications we see today—like Siri and self-driving cars—are just computer programs that recognize patterns in data and then act, or make suggestions based on the patterns they find. The pattern recognition is astonishing, often superhuman in specific areas. But pattern recognition is not “intelligence” as the word is generally used when speaking about intelligent animals like humans, chimpanzees, or dolphins. AI should really stand for “almost intelligent,” not artificial intelligence. Digital technology is an amazing thing to behold.

The point of this is that social intelligence is something that will prove valuable in the competition with white-collar robots. Many of us are socially brilliant. Better yet from a social stability perspective, it is not necessarily the most educated among us that have these talents. What Else Can’t Machine Learning Learn? AI is really just data-based pattern recognition, and pattern recognition is not intelligence. AI is thus not intelligence in the broad sense of the word that psychologists use. White-collar robots trained by machine learning do not have a capacity to think; they cannot reason, plan, or solve problems they have not seen before; and they cannot think abstractly or comprehend complex ideas that are more than patterns in data.


Alpha Trader by Brent Donnelly

Abraham Wald, algorithmic trading, Asian financial crisis, Atul Gawande, autonomous vehicles, backtesting, barriers to entry, beat the dealer, behavioural economics, bitcoin, Boeing 747, buy low sell high, Checklist Manifesto, commodity trading advisor, coronavirus, correlation does not imply causation, COVID-19, crowdsourcing, cryptocurrency, currency manipulation / currency intervention, currency risk, deep learning, diversification, Edward Thorp, Elliott wave, Elon Musk, endowment effect, eurozone crisis, fail fast, financial engineering, fixed income, Flash crash, full employment, global macro, global pandemic, Gordon Gekko, hedonic treadmill, helicopter parent, high net worth, hindsight bias, implied volatility, impulse control, Inbox Zero, index fund, inflation targeting, information asymmetry, invisible hand, iterative process, junk bonds, Kaizen: continuous improvement, law of one price, loss aversion, low interest rates, margin call, market bubble, market microstructure, Market Wizards by Jack D. Schwager, McMansion, Monty Hall problem, Network effects, nowcasting, PalmPilot, paper trading, pattern recognition, Peter Thiel, prediction markets, price anchoring, price discovery process, price stability, quantitative easing, quantitative trading / quantitative finance, random walk, Reminiscences of a Stock Operator, reserve currency, risk tolerance, Robert Shiller, secular stagnation, Sharpe ratio, short selling, side project, Stanford marshmallow experiment, Stanford prison experiment, survivorship bias, tail risk, TED Talk, the scientific method, The Wisdom of Crowds, theory of mind, time dilation, too big to fail, transaction costs, value at risk, very high income, yield curve, you are the product, zero-sum game

Using this analogy, macro analysis, and his concerns about derivatives, portfolio insurance, and equity futures without price limits, Tudor predicted the Crash of ‘87 and returned 62% in October 1987!65 In 2019, this type of analogy would be tweeted twenty-two times by day traders and online bloggers and would be revealed in the output of every machine learning, AI and pattern recognition machine at every hedge fund and bank in the world. Computers are significantly better than humans when it comes to unbiased pattern recognition. I do believe, though, there is still an edge in pattern recognition. Experienced human traders can still combine complex pieces of information to form conclusions that would elude the best computers. Leverage, carry and selling risk premium Forever Borrow at 2% and buy an asset that yields 7%.

When that happens, you owe me a beer. Trader bias #7: Apophenia Chaos is not dangerous until it begins to look orderly. MAX GUNTHER, The Zurich Axioms Great traders are masters of pattern recognition. They will see a setup and recognize it either consciously or unconsciously. I remember many times after great runs of trading that I felt like I knew what was going to happen before it happened. This ability comes from the incredible powers of human pattern recognition. The problem is: Humans are built to see patterns, even when none exist. Apophenia or patternicity are terms psychologists use to describe the human predisposition to see patterns or connections, even where none exist.

For most good trades, I will have 3 to 5 decent reasons and very few arguments the other way. This trade is a good example of how cross-market analysis gives me greater confidence to take the other side of a flow-driven move that is not supported by fundamentals or by action in other markets. Pattern recognition and indicator scanning The final major source of trade ideas (after narrative, news, and dislocations from fair value) is pattern recognition and indicator scanning. This can mean many things and depends greatly on what products you trade. Good traders recognize patterns in their market and understand which patterns are the result of randomness and which are sending a persistent signal.


pages: 153 words: 45,871

Distrust That Particular Flavor by William Gibson

AltaVista, Alvin Toffler, Bletchley Park, British Empire, cognitive dissonance, cuban missile crisis, disinformation, Disneyland with the Death Penalty, edge city, Future Shock, imposter syndrome, informal economy, Joi Ito, means of production, megastructure, military-industrial complex, Neal Stephenson, pattern recognition, proxy bid, restrictive zoning, Snow Crash, space junk, technological determinism, telepresence, Vannevar Bush, Whole Earth Catalog

Not so much because I shamelessly, if less eloquently, rehash the best part of the Observer piece you may already have read here, but because of a weird internal conflict, at the time, between fiction and non. All of the good stuff I encountered in Tokyo, that time (aside from the Australian girl crossing the street) got siphoned off, exclusively, into Pattern Recognition, the novel I was writing at the time. Cayce’s Tokyo, in Pattern Recognition, is the Tokyo I encountered, at Wired’s considerable expense. None of which I was able to access for Wired. Just not possible. The fiction-writing space was occupied, this time, and my very cursory showing, in this piece, is the result of my having had no place, within myself, to do the work required.

And others, like my own Garage Kubrick, will use the same technology to burrow more deeply, more obsessively, more gloriously, into the insoluble mystery of the self, even as the Château Marmont outlasts the media platform and the studio system that gave it birth. I fall asleep imagining someone building a virtual Marmont, and in one of the bungalows, a character is falling asleep…. My novel Pattern Recognition was gestating, as I wrote this, the “Garage Kubrick” morphing from protagonist (or antagonist, or possibly just agonist) to MacGuffin, though I didn’t know it. Pattern Recognition would eventually manage to be published just ahead of the launch of YouTube, a very good thing considering certain of its plot points. In a world with YouTube, it’s probably much more difficult to induce a magazine to put you up in the Marmont to watch digital films, so that was good timing as well.

DISTRUST THAT PARTICULAR FLAVOR TITLES BY WILLIAM GIBSON Neuromancer Count Zero Burning Chrome Mona Lisa Overdrive Virtual Light Idoru All Tomorrow’s Parties Pattern Recognition Spook Country Zero History DISTRUST THAT PARTICULAR FLAVOR WILLIAM GIBSON G. P. Putnam’s Sons New York G. P. PUTNAM’S SONS Publishers Since 1838 Published by the Penguin Group Penguin Group (USA) Inc., 375 Hudson Street, New York, New York 10014, USA • Penguin Group (Canada), 90 Eglinton Avenue East, Suite 700, Toronto, Ontario M4P 2Y3, Canada (a division of Pearson Penguin Canada Inc.) • Penguin Books Ltd, 80 Strand, London WC2R 0RL, England • Penguin Ireland, 25 St Stephen’s Green, Dublin 2, Ireland (a division of Penguin Books Ltd) • Penguin Group (Australia), 250 Camberwell Road, Camberwell, Victoria 3124, Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) • Penguin Books India Pvt Ltd, 11 Community Centre, Panchsheel Park, New Delhi–110 017, India • Penguin Group (NZ), 67 Apollo Drive, Rosedale, North Shore 0632, New Zealand (a division of Pearson New Zealand Ltd) • Penguin Books (South Africa) (Pty) Ltd, 24 Sturdee Avenue, Rosebank, Johannesburg 2196, South Africa Penguin Books Ltd, Registered Offices: 80 Strand, London WC2R 0RL, England Copyright © 2012 by William Gibson Ent.


pages: 323 words: 95,939

Present Shock: When Everything Happens Now by Douglas Rushkoff

"Hurricane Katrina" Superdome, algorithmic trading, Alvin Toffler, Andrew Keen, bank run, behavioural economics, Benoit Mandelbrot, big-box store, Black Swan, British Empire, Buckminster Fuller, business cycle, cashless society, citizen journalism, clockwork universe, cognitive dissonance, Credit Default Swap, crowdsourcing, Danny Hillis, disintermediation, Donald Trump, double helix, East Village, Elliott wave, European colonialism, Extropian, facts on the ground, Flash crash, Future Shock, game design, global pandemic, global supply chain, global village, Howard Rheingold, hypertext link, Inbox Zero, invention of agriculture, invention of hypertext, invisible hand, iterative process, James Bridle, John Nash: game theory, Kevin Kelly, laissez-faire capitalism, lateral thinking, Law of Accelerating Returns, Lewis Mumford, loss aversion, mandelbrot fractal, Marshall McLuhan, Merlin Mann, messenger bag, Milgram experiment, mirror neurons, mutually assured destruction, negative equity, Network effects, New Urbanism, Nicholas Carr, Norbert Wiener, Occupy movement, off-the-grid, passive investing, pattern recognition, peak oil, Peter Pan Syndrome, price mechanism, prisoner's dilemma, Ralph Nelson Elliott, RAND corporation, Ray Kurzweil, recommendation engine, scientific management, selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor (SSRI), Silicon Valley, SimCity, Skype, social graph, South Sea Bubble, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, Steven Pinker, Stewart Brand, supply-chain management, technological determinism, the medium is the message, The Wisdom of Crowds, theory of mind, Tragedy of the Commons, Turing test, upwardly mobile, Whole Earth Catalog, WikiLeaks, Y2K, zero-sum game

By the time the story is posted to the Web, stocks are actually lower, and the agencies are hard at work searching for a housing report or consumer index that may explain the new trend, making the news services appear to be chasing their own tails. This doesn’t mean pattern recognition is futile. It only shows how easy it is to draw connections where there are none, or where the linkage is tenuous at best. Even Marshall McLuhan realized that a world characterized by electronic media would be fraught with chaos and best navigated through pattern recognition. This is not limited to the way we watch media but is experienced in the way we watch and make choices in areas such as business, society, and war. Rapid churn on the business landscape has become the new status quo, as giants like Kodak fall and upstarts like Facebook become more valuable than oil companies.

History no longer changes with one’s evolving sensibilities; it describes limits and resists reinterpretation. One’s path narrows. As far as doing pattern recognition in a landscape of present shock, the user must identify entirely with sequences of self. Everything relates, as long as it relates back to himself. Where was I when I saw that? How did I think of that the first time I did it? How does that reflect on me? This is the difference between the networked sensibility and paranoia—between pattern recognition and full-fledged fractalnoia. The fractalnoid is developing the ability to see the connections between things but can only understand them as having something to do with himself.

Next we look at what happens when we try to make sense of our world entirely in the present tense. Without a timeline through which to parse causes and effects, we instead attempt to draw connections from one thing to another in the frozen moment, even when such connections are forced or imaginary. It’s a desperate grasp for real-time pattern recognition I’ll call “Fractalnoia.” Finally, we face “Apocalypto”—the way a seemingly infinite present makes us long for endings, by almost any means necessary. We will encounter drone pilots contending with the stress of dropping bombs on a distant war zone by remote control before driving home to the suburbs for supper an hour later.


pages: 278 words: 70,416

Smartcuts: How Hackers, Innovators, and Icons Accelerate Success by Shane Snow

3D printing, Airbnb, Albert Einstein, Apollo 11, attribution theory, augmented reality, barriers to entry, conceptual framework, correlation does not imply causation, David Heinemeier Hansson, deliberate practice, disruptive innovation, Elon Musk, fail fast, Fellow of the Royal Society, Filter Bubble, Ford Model T, Google X / Alphabet X, hive mind, index card, index fund, Isaac Newton, job satisfaction, Khan Academy, Kickstarter, lateral thinking, Law of Accelerating Returns, Lean Startup, Mahatma Gandhi, meta-analysis, Neil Armstrong, pattern recognition, Peter Thiel, popular electronics, Ray Kurzweil, Richard Florida, Ronald Reagan, Ruby on Rails, Saturday Night Live, self-driving car, seminal paper, Sheryl Sandberg, side project, Silicon Valley, social bookmarking, Steve Jobs, superconnector, vertical integration

But, rather than fall into the impending trough and get crushed by the wave, 18-year-old Sonny decided to bail. III. There are two ways to catch a wave: exhausting hard work—paddling—and pattern recognition—spotting a wave early and casually drifting to the sweet spot. “There are people who make careers based on the fact that they know how to read the ocean better than others,” says Pat O’Connell, ’90s surfing legend and trainer. “It’s just about knowing the ocean. It’s timing.” Sonny Moore seemed to have that pattern recognition; he spotted the rise of social networks and became a power user, ultimately setting himself up to front an emerging band. From First to Last spotted the fast rise of screamo before most bands—and mainstream audiences—saw it coming.

In a given domain—be it surfing or accounting or political fund-raising—the familiarity that leads to pattern recognition seems to come with experience and practice. Fencing masters recognize opportunities in opponents’ moves because of the sheer amount of practice time logged into their heads. Leaders and managers who use their gut to make decisions often do so based on decades of experience, archived and filed away in the folds of their cerebrums. “Intuition is the result of nonconscious pattern recognition,” Dane tells me. However, his research shows that, while logging hours of practice helps us see patterns subconsciously, we can often do just as well by deliberately looking for them.

Once you jump on the first wave, it’s costly to back off from the commitment. And by that time it’s usually too late to take advantage of the second wave. Of course, on rare occasions that first wave actually is the best wave in a set. How is a surfer, much less a businessperson, to judge when to make a move? Pattern recognition can help here as well. The way to predict the best waves in a proverbial set is established by researchers Fernando F. Suarez and Gianvito Lanzolla, who in Academy of Management Review explain that when market and technology growth are smooth and steady, the first mover gets the inertia and an advantage.


pages: 523 words: 148,929

Physics of the Future: How Science Will Shape Human Destiny and Our Daily Lives by the Year 2100 by Michio Kaku

agricultural Revolution, AI winter, Albert Einstein, Alvin Toffler, Apollo 11, Asilomar, augmented reality, Bill Joy: nanobots, bioinformatics, blue-collar work, British Empire, Brownian motion, caloric restriction, caloric restriction, cloud computing, Colonization of Mars, DARPA: Urban Challenge, data science, delayed gratification, digital divide, double helix, Douglas Hofstadter, driverless car, en.wikipedia.org, Ford Model T, friendly AI, Gödel, Escher, Bach, Hans Moravec, hydrogen economy, I think there is a world market for maybe five computers, industrial robot, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), invention of movable type, invention of the telescope, Isaac Newton, John Markoff, John von Neumann, Large Hadron Collider, life extension, Louis Pasteur, Mahatma Gandhi, Mars Rover, Mars Society, mass immigration, megacity, Mitch Kapor, Murray Gell-Mann, Neil Armstrong, new economy, Nick Bostrom, oil shale / tar sands, optical character recognition, pattern recognition, planetary scale, postindustrial economy, Ray Kurzweil, refrigerator car, Richard Feynman, Rodney Brooks, Ronald Reagan, Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence, Silicon Valley, Simon Singh, social intelligence, SpaceShipOne, speech recognition, stem cell, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, synthetic biology, telepresence, The future is already here, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, Thomas L Friedman, Thomas Malthus, trade route, Turing machine, uranium enrichment, Vernor Vinge, Virgin Galactic, Wall-E, Walter Mischel, Whole Earth Review, world market for maybe five computers, X Prize

TWO PROBLEMS WITH ROBOTS Given the glaring limitations of computers compared to the human brain, one can appreciate why computers have not been able to accomplish two key tasks that humans perform effortlessly: pattern recognition and common sense. These two problems have defied solution for the past half century. This is the main reason why we do not have robot maids, butlers, and secretaries. The first problem is pattern recognition. Robots can see much better than a human, but they don’t understand what they are seeing. When a robot walks into a room, it converts the image into a jumble of dots. By processing these dots, it can recognize a collection of lines, circles, squares, and rectangles.

As soon as the computer processes one layer of the image, it integrates it with the next layer, and so on. In this way, step by step, layer by layer, it mimics the hierarchical way that our brains process images. (Poggio’s program cannot perform all the feats of pattern recognition that we take for granted, such as visualizing objects in 3-D, recognizing thousands of objects from different angles, etc., but it does represent a major milestone in pattern recognition.) Later, I had an opportunity to see both the top-down and bottom-up approaches in action. I first went to the Stanford University’s artificial intelligence center, where I met STAIR (Stanford artificial intelligence robot), which uses the top-down approach.

Humans can immediately size up their environment and act accordingly and hence rate high on this scale. However, this is where robots score badly. Pattern recognition, as we have seen, is one of the principal roadblocks to artificial intelligence. Robots can sense their environments much better than humans, but they do not understand or recognize what they see. On this scale of consciousness, robots score near the bottom, near the insects, due to their lack of pattern recognition. The next-higher level of consciousness involves self-awareness. If you place a mirror next to most male animals, they will immediately react aggressively, even attacking the mirror.


Nerdy, Shy, and Socially Inappropriate by Cynthia Kim

Asperger Syndrome, autism spectrum disorder, do what you love, fear of failure, neurotypical, pattern recognition

The rules became more of a burden than a support. Choice receded; rigidity crept in. A few months before learning about Asperger’s, I began to realize that I rely on pattern recognition and rules to navigate social interaction. At the time, I didn’t understand that these were coping strategies. I simply thought I had an unusual approach to socializing. Now I know that many autistic people rely on explicit rules, social scripts, pattern recognition, and lots of practice to make social interaction easier. Seeing my rules for what they were—a tool that I’d instinctively developed to make sense of the world—led me to an important realization: the rules are supposed to serve me, not the other way around.

and communication see body language and non-verbal communication; social/communication skills and deficits and competencies 216–17 coping strategies see coping strategies/mechanisms diagnosis see diagnosis of Asperger’s Syndrome/ASD and emotion see emotions and empathy see empathy and executive function deficit see executive function (EF) and face blindness 43 gender differences 20, 3–21, 24 growing older on the spectrum 133–7 and insomnia 128–33 Kanner’s definition of autism 21 labeling see labeling motor development delay 118 and perfectionism 191–3 and perimenopause symptoms 134–5 and sensory sensitivities see sensory sensitivities strengths associated with 210–15 and thinking see thinking traits making autistic individuals vulnerable to bullying 29 and triggers 66–7 Baumeister, Roy 179 bliss 145 blogging 19–18, 230, 231 blunted affect 37–9 body, autistic 117–37 the autistic brain 69, 74, 141, 146, 9–168, 171 see also executive function (EF) and clumsiness 117–18 and growing older on the spectrum 133–7 and insomnia 128–33 and sensation see sensory seeking; sensory sensitivities; stimming and sports/exercise 57, 106, 119–28 body language and non-verbal communication 6–35, 46–37, 51 blunted affect 37–9 eye contact 39, 42–40, 44–5 facial expression see facial expression intentional employment of 39–41 non-verbal cues 39, 6–45, 51, 64, 65, 223 brains 69, 74, 107, 141, 146, 171 brain–body communication 168–9 executive function see executive function (EF) and inhibition 165 bullying 9–25, 223 calmness 214 catastrophizing 193–7 change, resistance to 86, 2–91, 166 checklists 178 chunking 177 clumsiness 117–18 cognitive empathy 81, 96, 154–7 cognitive flexibility 162, 166 communication see body language and non-verbal communication; language; social/communication skills and deficits compassion 231–2 competencies 216–17 compromise 66 confrontation skills deficit 41–140, 148 contentment 144–5 control 182–5 meltdowns and loss of see meltdowns coping strategies/mechanisms 29, 32, 9–86, 135, 189, 214, 218 and control 183–5 with executive function deficit 172–3 pattern recognition see pattern recognition rescue strategies for new parents 76–7 routines as 86, 94–89, 166 rules as 36, 86, 87–9 for sensory sensitivities 109–16 special interests 96–101 strengths as coping mechanisms 210–12 curiosity 211 decision making 158–61 dependability 214–15 depression 127 detachment 80, 198, 214 see also withdrawal/shutdown determination 141, 215 developmental disability 31–4 diagnosis of Asperger’s Syndrome/ASD and acceptance 228–32 and being understood 61–60, 71 and DSM-5 21 gender differences with diagnosis rates 2–21, 23 growing up undiagnosed 18–13, 34–20, 6–53, 59, 86, 147, 182, 192–3 and labeling see labeling late diagnosis 14, 21 resistance to change as a criterion for 91–2 and self-redefinition 208–27 self-understanding growing from 6–35, 61–60, 72, 182, 10–208, 225, 229–32 sharing your diagnosis with your child 82 Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM-5) 21 disability, developmental 4–31, 209–10 discipline 214–15 domestic violence 223 driving 77 ego depletion 179–80 elation 144, 145 emotions 138–57 alexithymia 141–4 anger constellation 146–9 catastrophizing as an emotional magnet 196 discriminating the target of others’ expressions of 140–41 emotional detachment 80, 198, 214 and empathy see empathy expressing love and feelings 68, 69, 72, 74, 138 feeling overwhelmed by others’ emotions 141, 156 getting in touch with feelings 144–52 happiness constellation 144–6 identifying 9–138, 140, 141–3 meltdowns see meltdowns modulating the strength of 40–139, 141 sadness constellation 149–52 and sensations 142, 6–145, 149, 170 see also anxiety; panic; shame empathy 152–7 cognitive (perspective taking) 81, 96, 7–154, 210, 231 meaning of a lack of 157 Sally–Anne test 155 vs. sympathy 153–4 executive function (EF) 158–81 acting on a problem 168–73 and the anger constellation 146–7 attention 162, 164–5 conservation of EF, and ego depletion 179–81 decision making 158–61 inhibition 165, 178 initiating actions 165 monitoring actions 165–6 planning 93, 161, 163 problem solving see problem solving procrastination and EF fail 173–8 and stimming 180–81 and time agnosia 178–9 verbal reasoning 164 exercise see sports and exercise face blindness (prosopagnosia) 43 facial expression 36 blunted affect 37–9 eye contact 39, 42–40, 44–5 faking 39 frowning 16, 38 reading 42–4 family responsibilities household see household management parenting see parenting fear 18, 26, 27, 105, 110, 204, 231 of abandonment 151 and catastrophizing 196 irrationality of 221, 223 of not being good enough 147 see also anxiety feeling see emotions; sensory sensitivities fight or flight response 45 food sensitivities 13–112, 115 Frost Multidimensional Perfectionism Scale 192 frowning 16, 38 frustration 146 functioning labels 215–18 see also labeling games 23–4 gender differences with ASD in diagnosis 20, 21–3 in play 24 generalizing 63, 210, 212 giftedness 30–33 grief 150–51 guilt 75 handholding 64 happiness 144–6 headbanging 75, 103, 106, 202, 203, 205 honesty 210–11 household management 61–2 and parenting 73–4 humiliation 147 hypersensitivity see sensory sensitivities hyposensitivity 170–73 indignation 147–8 infodumping 95–6 inhibition 165, 178 insomnia 128–33 intelligence 21, 2–31, 33, 51–50, 71 interests relationships and common interests 56–7 special 77, 96–101 interoceptive feedback 170 irritability 147 joy 145 joys of parenting a toddler 77–9 Kanner, Leo 21 Kim, Jess 2–71, 75, 8–77, 79–85 Kim, Sang Hwan 56, 57, 58, 62–59, 64, 6–65, 67, 70–68, 71, 75, 3–82, 85, 92, 6–135, 41–140, 148, 183, 188, 189, 200, 224 labeling 32–30, 208–27 finding the right labels 209–15 functioning labels in practice 215–18 and self-redefinition 208–27 and the wish for normality 225–6 language body language see body language and non-verbal communication glitches 135–6 literal interpretation 27, 67–8 social use of (pragmatics) 45–52 verbal cues 49, 67 verbal processing 47–51 light sensitivities 110–11 Linden, Fabian 227 literal interpretation 27, 67–8 love compassion 231–2 expressing love 68, 69, 72, 74 and parenting 72, 74 and sex see sex life loyalty 211 marriage 70–59, 75, 188–9 see also parenting; sex life martial arts 57, 106, 121–7 melatonin 132–3 meltdowns 54, 60, 67, 75, 110, 116, 124, 171, 200–207 anatomy of a meltdown 201–5 helping someone through a meltdown 207 nightmares as forms of meltdown 148 triggers 205–6 see also headbanging memory problems 136–7 working memory 164 see also reminders menopause/perimenopause 133, 134–5 metaphors 27 mindfulness 176 mindful physical activity 127 missing word problem 135–6 monologuing 95 motor coordination 18–117, 134 motor development delay 118 music 76 neurotypical people/behaviour acting on a problem 168 Aspie parenting of see parenting emotional interaction 140 expressing love 68, 69, 70 filtering sensory data 170–71 marriage to an Aspie partner 70–59, 75, 188 the neurotypical brain 69 and special interests 99 subtle communication ways 67 nightmares 148 NO reflex 92–4 non-verbal communication see body language and non-verbal communication nonjudgmentalism 210 optimism 211–12 panic 159, 185, 204 and the NO reflex 93, 94 see also meltdowns parenting 54, 71–85 and the child’s venture into the world 79–82 expressing love 72, 74 infancy and motherhood 74–7 joys of parenting a toddler 77–9 rescue strategies for new parents 76–7 and retreat 75, 83 routines 78 sharing your ASD diagnosis with your child 82 support 75, 82–3 teenagers and the approach to adulthood 82–5 unconventional 72–4 pattern recognition 27, 33, 34, 36, 86, 87, 88, 214 peace 145 peer pressure 81 perfectionism 26, 189–93 perimenopause 133, 134–5 perseveration 95–6 perspective taking 81, 96, 7–154, 210, 231 Sally–Anne test 155 see also empathy pets 76 phones, communication problems with 48–9 physical activity see sports and exercise planning 93, 161, 163 aids 178 strategies 176–7 play 4–23, 31 and parenting 78–9 pragmatics 46–52 prioritizing 172, 177 problem solving 4–163, 210, 211 acting on a problem 168–73 and executive function impairment 175–8 procrastinating in 173–5 procrastination 173–5 prosopagnosia (face blindness) 43 rage 148 relationships 53–70 alexithymia and 142–3 apologizing 62 balancing adaptation and acceptance 69–70 and common interests 56–7 and compromise 66 and empathy see empathy expressing love 68, 69, 72, 74 see also sex life intimate 4–63, 114–15 see also sex life making friends 7–56, 79–80 marriage 70–59, 75, 188–9 see also sex life and the need for withdrawal 65–6 not being understood 59–60 parent–child see parenting shrinking–growing cycle 56–9 spontaneous affection 64 unintentional hurtfulness 60–59, 62–3 reminders 74, 167, 177, 180 software/apps 176–7 resentment 148 resistance to change 86, 2–91, 166 and the NO reflex 92–4 rigidity 86–96 rigid thinking 7–146, 166 see also perseveration; resistance to change; routines; rules rocking chairs 76 Rogers, K., Dziobek, I. et al. 156–7 routines appropriateness of 91 as coping strategies 86, 94–89, 166 and the NO reflex 92–4 and parenting 74, 78 and problem solving 176 and resistance to change 86, 2–91, 166 and spontaneity 91, 92 rules as coping strategies 36, 86, 87–9 learning social rules 27, 33–4 and spontaneity 89 sadness 149–52 Sally–Anne test 155 self-care 187–8 self-control 182–5 sensory filtering 170–71 sensory regulation/stimming 4–102, 9–108, 81–180, 230 sensory seeking 9–104, 124, 126 sensory sensitivities 63, 109–16 and the anger constellation 146–7 emotions and sensations 142, 6–145, 149, 170 hyposensitivity 170–73 impact on intimacy 63, 114–15 interoceptive feedback 170 to light 110–11 and parenting 73, 74 sensory overload 63, 74, 110, 116, 127 to smell 112–13 to sound 111–12 to taste 112–13 to touch 63, 64, 113–15 sex life and “bliss” 145 and sensory sensitivities 63, 114–15 sexual abuse 223 shame 75, 147, 182, 183, 185–9 shutdown see withdrawal/shutdown shyness 14, 23, 27 sincerity 211 singing 76 sleep problems 128–33 nightmares 148 smell sensitivities 112–13 social/communication skills and deficits 35–52 and aphasia 135–6 apologizing 62 blunted affect 37–9 body language see body language and non-verbal communication; facial expression of a child with an Aspie parent 84–5 compensating for a partner’s deficits 65, 75, 85 confrontation skills deficit 41–140, 148 coping strategies in social interaction see coping strategies/mechanisms eye contact 39, 42–40, 44–5 generalizing 63, 210, 212 learning social rules 27, 33–4 need for explicit communication 67–8 neurotypical subtlety in communication 67 non-verbal communication see body language and non-verbal communication; facial expression not being understood 59–60 and parenting 73 perseverance with communication 67–8 pragmatic impairments 46–52 and relationships see relationships scaring others 36–41 and social anxiety 220–25 social use of language 45–52 telephone communication problems 48–9 unintentional hurtfulness 60–59, 62–3 verbal cues 49, 67 verbal reasoning 164 see also language social power balance 45 social scripts 86, 88, 167, 180 sound sensitivities 111–12 special interests 77, 96–101 spontaneity and rules/routines 89, 91, 92 spontaneous affection 64 sports and exercise 57, 106, 28–119, 134 mindful physical activity 127 and sensory seeking 124, 126 and sleep 130 stimming 4–102, 9–108, 81–180, 230 stress response fight or flight 45 triggers 66–7 sympathy 153–4 tactile sensitivities/defensiveness 63, 64, 113–15 taste sensitivities 112–13 telephone communication problems 48–9 thinking in absolutes 193–7 catastrophizing 193–7 flexible 162, 166 generalizing 63, 210, 212 perspective taking 81, 96, 7–154, 210, 231 rigid 7–146, 166 verbal reasoning 164 time agnosia 178–9 touch 63, 64 tactile sensitivities/defensiveness 63, 64, 113–15 triggers of meltdown 205–6 of smell and taste sensitivities 112 of stress response 66–7 of withdrawal 199 values 211 verbal processing 47–51 verbal reasoning 164 walking 77 water 76 Willey, Liane Holliday 64 withdrawal/shutdown 60, 67, 110, 116, 197–200 common signs of 198 helping someone through 207 need for withdrawal in a relationship 65–6 parenting and retreat 75, 83 and resurfacing 200 wonder 145 working memory 164 Zen 208 Also available Pretending to be Normal Living with Asperger’s Syndrome (Autism Spectrum Disorder) Liane Holliday Willey Foreword by Tony Attwood ISBN 978 1 84905 755 4 eISBN 978 1 84642 498 4 Compelling and witty, Liane Holliday Willey’s account of growing to adulthood as an undiagnosed ‘Aspie’ has been read by thousands of people on and off the autism spectrum since it was first published in 1999.

•Even when I pay attention to facial expressions and body language—which I rarely do—they carry little meaning for me. •My ability to process verbal communication and to communicate with speech is impaired, while my ability to communicate in writing is a strength. •I’ve developed unusual ways of navigating social situations, substituting rules, pattern recognition, and scripted language for perspective taking and reading nonverbal communication. These four realizations helped put a lifetime of social awkwardness into perspective—everything from why I struggle with completing simple everyday transactions with strangers to why I scare small children.


pages: 292 words: 94,324

How Doctors Think by Jerome Groopman

affirmative action, Atul Gawande, classic study, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, deliberate practice, fear of failure, framing effect, if you see hoof prints, think horses—not zebras, index card, iterative process, lateral thinking, machine translation, medical malpractice, medical residency, Menlo Park, pattern recognition, placebo effect, seminal paper, stem cell, theory of mind

Pat Croskerry, an emergency room doctor in Halifax, Nova Scotia, began his academic career as a developmental psychologist and now studies physician cognition. He explained to me that "flesh-and-blood decision-making" pivots on what is called pattern recognition. The key cues to a patient's problem—whether from the medical history, physical examination, x-ray studies, or laboratory tests—coalesce into a pattern that the physician identifies as a specific disease or condition. Pattern recognition, Croskerry told me, "reflects an immediacy of perception." It occurs within seconds, largely without any conscious analysis; it draws most heavily on the doctor's visual appraisal of the patient.

In response to Stan's cries of pain and pleas for action, several students injected a possibly lethal dose of morphine. "What happened to you, Jerry, in Mr. Morgan's room is what happened to the students with Stan," Dr. Oriol said. "It is as if everything that you learn in school is erased." Simulations with Stan are designed to act as a bridge between analytical learning in classrooms and pattern recognition performed at the peak of the Yerkes-Dodson curve. But, as Oriol and others readily admit, there still will come that first moment when the novice can no longer be a novice, when he is the one who must take responsibility for a living, breathing patient in need. Extreme arousal happens not only during the first encounter with a William Morgan, but throughout internship and residency.

"It is impossible to catalog all of the stereotypes that you carry in your mind," she said, "or to consistently recognize that you are fitting the individual before you into a stereotypical mold. But you don't want to have to make a mistake to learn with each stereotype." Rather, Delgado believes, patients and their families should be aware that a doctor relies on pattern recognition in his work and, understandably, draws on stereotypes to make decisions. With that knowledge, they can help him avoid attribution errors. Is this really possible? I asked. "Sure, it's not easy for laypeople to do," Delgado said, "because patients and their families are especially reluctant to question a doctor's thinking when their questioning suggests his thinking is colored by personal prejudice or bias."


pages: 378 words: 110,408

Peak: Secrets From the New Science of Expertise by Anders Ericsson, Robert Pool

Albert Einstein, autism spectrum disorder, deliberate practice, digital rights, iterative process, longitudinal study, meta-analysis, pattern recognition, randomized controlled trial, Richard Feynman, Rubik’s Cube, sensible shoes

See brain adaptability plateaus, 161–65 play, 184–88, 215 Polgár, Judit, 182, 183, 187 Polgár, Klara, 180–83 Polgár, László, 180–83, 189 Polgár, Sofia, 182, 183 Polgár, Susan, 181–82, 183, 184, 185, 188 Poor Richard’s Almanack (Franklin), 156–57 positive feedback, motivation and, 22, 173–76 potential and adaptability, xix–xx, 47–49 practice ability and, 8, 9, 43 in blindfold chess, 51–54 vs. deliberate practice, 9, 132 digit memorization study, 2–5 effective techniques of, 9 fighter pilot school, 116–20 highly developed methods of, 85–89 as key to success, 230 music students, 77–79 solitary practice, 91, 92 vs. talent, in chess, 225–33 usual approach to, 11–14, 48–49, 121 See also purposeful practice; feedback praise, 186, 187, 189, 190, 239, 240 presbyopia study, 36–37 principles, of deliberate practice, 97–100 prodigies, xii–xiii, 211, 212, 214 See also expert performers; talent Professional Golfers’ Association, 146 Professor Moriarty, 226 prostate cancer study, 139–40 Psychology of Music (journal), xiv pull-ups, 34 purposeful practice adaptability, 41–47 brain response to (taxi studies), 30–32 characteristics of, 14–22 comfort zone, 17–22 defined, 98 vs. deliberate practice, 98 in digit study, 13–14 feedback, 16–17 focus, 15–16 goals, 15 highly developed methods of, 85–89 length of, 171 limits of, 22–25 musicians, 79–80 vs. naive practice, 14 recipe for, 22 vs. traditional approach, 11–14, 48–49 as work, 166–67 See also deliberate practice pushups, 33–34 Q quantitative vs. qualitative problems, 252 quarterbacks, pattern recognition, 64–65 quitting, 169–70, 173 R radiologists, 125–27, 141 Radio-Symphonie-Orchester Berlin, 88, 94 rat muscle study, 39 reading, mental representations and, 66–68 red flag, 121 Red Force pilots, 116–18 Renwick, James, 77–79 reproduction, of a master, 160–61, 214 retrieval structure comprehension and, 67 memory and, 24, 61 See also mental representations Richards, Nigel, 202–3, 205–6 ringmaster practice, 158–59 Road to Excellence, The (Ericsson), xxi rock climbing, pattern recognition, 65 Rubik’s Cube, 157–58 running age, 195 engagement in, 152, 153–54 Faloon, Steve and, 4, 15, 22 Hägg, Gunder, 172–73 mental representations, 82 pain of, 171 records in, 6, 107 Rush, Mark Alan, 201–2 Russell, JaMarcus, 236 S Sachs-Ericsson, Natalie, 95 Saikhanbayar, Tsogbadrakh, 84–85 Sakakibara, Ayako, xiv–xv Sanders, Lisa, 68–71 Sanker, David, 7 savants, 219–22 Schelew, Ellen, 243–47 Science (magazine), 42–43, 254 Scrabble, 202–3, 205–6 Scripps National Spelling Bee, 165–66 self-evaluation, of performance deliberate practice and, 99 fighter pilot school, 117 golf practice, 177–78 plateaus, 164–65 radiologists, 127 See also feedback; measurement, of performance self-fulfilling prophecy, of talent, 238–42 self-motivation, 191, 193 Servizio, Charles, 34 Sharma, Vikas, 8 Sherlock Holmes, 226 Shiffrin, Mikaela, 187 Shockley, William, 234 short-term memory digit study, 2–5 limit to, 2 role of, 61 siblings, of experts, 187–88 Simon, Herb, 55–56, 57, 257 simulator practice, 130, 143–44 simultaneous interpreters, 198 Sinatra, Frank, xiv Singh, Fauja, 195 singing, 151, 223–24 skill learning adaptability, see adaptability brain structure, 43–45 deliberate practice, 100 engagement, 150–54 individual instruction, 147–50, 165–66 vs. knowledge, 130–37 mental representations, 76–82 plateaus, 161–65 purposeful practice, see purposeful practice usual approach to, 11–14 skills-based training, 137–44 sleep, 92–93, 154, 170, 171 soccer, patterns in, 63–64 social motivation, 173–76 solitary practice, 91, 92, 109, 147–50, 165–66, 176–77, 230, 232 sommeliers, 104–5 Spectator, The (magazine), 155, 156, 159–60, 255 Spencer, David Richard, 7 sports.

So here is a major part of the answer to the question we asked at the end of the last chapter: What exactly is being changed in the brain with deliberate practice? The main thing that sets experts apart from the rest of us is that their years of practice have changed the neural circuitry in their brains to produce highly specialized mental representations, which in turn make possible the incredible memory, pattern recognition, problem solving, and other sorts of advanced abilities needed to excel in their particular specialties. The best way to understand exactly what these mental representations are and how they work is, fittingly enough, to develop a good mental representation of the concept mental representation.

See London cabbie studies Cambridge Handbook of Expertise and Expert Performance, The (Ericsson), xxi cancer detection, 125–27 Capablanca, José Raúl, 54 Carl Wieman Science Education Initiative, 243, 245 Carnegie Mellon University, 1, 3, 4, 131 carotid artery tear puzzle, 68–72 cellular response, homeostasis, 37–41 cerebellum, musical training, 43, 197 Chaffin, Roger, 80–82 Chambliss, Daniel, 153 Charing Cross, 28–29, 30 Chase, Bill chess study, 55–56 “chunks,” 57 digit memorization study, 3, 5, 20, 22, 162–63 Cheney, Elyse, 75 chess ability as predictor, 56 Alekhine, Alexander, 50–54 Franklin, Benjamin, 18–19, 155, 160 hours of practice, 96–97 improvement, 151 IQ, 227–33, 241 memory, 55–58 mental representations, 60–62, 67, 70 Polgár family experiment, 180–83, 184–85, 189 practice vs. talent, 225–33 See also grandmasters childhood of experts, 173–74, 184–88 Lemieux, Mario, 214–15 perfect pitch, xiii–xiv physical skills, 196–97 pianists, 45 “chunks,” 57 clicker questions, 245–47, 252–53 climbers, pattern recognition, 65 Close, Kerry, 165 coaches. See teachers and coaches Colvin, Geoff, 145 comedians, 159 comfort zone deliberate practice, 97–98, 99, 170 fighter pilot training, 119 freshman physics course, 253 homeostasis, 38–40 potential, 47–49 purposeful practice and, 17–22 pushing past, 40–41 commitment, 192–94 Commonwealth Games, 219 comprehension, mental representations, 66–68 concentration and focus deliberate practice and, 99, 169 as hard work, 21 individual instruction, 150–54 length of, 171 physics study, 245–47 purposeful practice and, 15–16 three Fs, 159 Concordia University, 191 confidence, of success, 172 congenital amusia, 224 context, mental representations and, 66–68 continuing medical education, 18, 134–36 Cooke, Ed, 161 copying, 160–61, 214 corpus callosum, 197 Cortot, Alfred, 6–7 cost, financial, 193–94 Coughlin, Natalie, 152–53 creativity, 203–6 Csikszentmihalyi, Mihaly, 257 D “Dan Plan” project, 146, 177–79 Davis, Dave, 134–35 Davis, Miles, xiii Dawes, Robyn, 105 DeLay, Dorothy, 20 deliberate practice average person and, 146 in business, 122–24 challenges in writing about, 75 defined, 98 future of, 247–55, 256–59 goals, 48, 99, 111, 154, 177 knowledge vs. skill, 130–37 length of, 171 as lonely pursuit, 176–77 myths of, 121–22 naming of, xxi, 10 physics education study, 243–47 plateaus, 161–65 purpose of, 75 vs. purposeful practice, 14–22, 98 skills-based training, 137–44 “ten-thousand-hour rule” and, 110 traits of, 99–100 See also practice; purposeful practice deliberate-practice mindset, 120–21 desire, to improve, 171 Deslauriers, Louis, 243–47 diagnosis, process of, 68–72 digit memorization Faloon, Steve, 2–5 hours of practice, 110 mental representations, 59 plateau in progress, 162–63 Wang, Feng, 101–2 world record in, 84–85 See also Faloon, Steve Dilbert (comic), 113 diving, competitive, 6, 44–45 Dix, Walter, 120 dogfights, 115–19 Dolan, Eamon, 76 domain specificity, in mental representations, 60 Donatelli, Dario, 25, 131 Donny (autistic savant), 221 double-somersault dive, 6 E Eagles (team), 248 Eastern Illinois University, 216 education continuing medical education, 18, 134–36 deliberate practice, see deliberate practice feedback from teachers, 108–9, 246–47 freshman physics course, 243–47, 252–54 future of, 247–55, 256–59 Jump Math, 224–25, 251 mental representations, 250–51 skills-based training, 137–44 teachers, see teachers and coaches Top Gun approach, see Top Gun approach effort, 166, 167 Einstein, Albert, 44, 203 electromagnetic wave unit, 243–47 Elio, Renée, 23–24, 84, 85 engagement, 150–54, 169 length of, 171 physics study, 245–47 See also focus English as a second language, 158 Epstein, David, 215, 216 Ericsson, K.


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Everything Bad Is Good for You: How Popular Culture Is Making Us Smarter by Steven Johnson

Columbine, complexity theory, corporate governance, delayed gratification, edge city, Flynn Effect, game design, Golden age of television, Marshall McLuhan, pattern recognition, profit motive, public intellectual, race to the bottom, sexual politics, SimCity, social intelligence, Steve Jobs, the market place

Perhaps if you j ust look a little harder you'll be in luck-it's got to be around here somewhere . " How do these findi ngs connect to games ? Researchers have long suspected that geometric games like Tetris have such a hypnotic hold over us (longtime Tetris players have vivid dreams about the game) because the game's elemen­ tal shapes activate modules in our visual system that execute low-level forms of pattern recognition-sensing parallel and perpendicular lines, for instance. These modules are churn­ ing away in the background all the time, but the simplified graphics of Tetris bring them front and center i n our con­ sciousness. I believe that what Tetris does to our visual cir­ cui try, most video games do to the reward circuitry of the brain.

E V J, R Y T H I N G B A D I S G O O D F O R Y o u 59 Word pro blems of this sort have little to offer in the way of moral lessons or psychological depth; they won't make students more effective communicators or teach them tech­ nical skills. But most of us readily agree that they are good for the mind on some fundamental level : they teach abstract skills in probability, i n pattern recognition, in understand­ ing causal relations that can be applied in countless situa­ tions, both personal and professional . The problems that confront the garners of Zelda can be readily transl ated into this form, and indeed in translating a core property of the experience is revealed: You need to cross a gorge to reach a valuable desti­ nation.

If you look at i ntelligence tests that track skills influenced by the classroom-the Wechsler vocabulary or arithmetic tests, for instance-the intelligence boom fades from view; SAT scores have fluctuated erratically over the past decades. But if you look solely at unschooled problem-solving and E V E R Y T H I N G B A D I S G O O D F O R Yo u 1 49 pattern-recognition skills, the progressive trend j u mps into focus. There's so mething mysterious in these simultaneous trends: if g exists in a cultural vacu um, how can scores be rising at such a clip ? And more puzzling, how can those scores be rising faster than other intelligence measures that do reflect education?


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Deep Medicine: How Artificial Intelligence Can Make Healthcare Human Again by Eric Topol

"World Economic Forum" Davos, 23andMe, Affordable Care Act / Obamacare, AI winter, Alan Turing: On Computable Numbers, with an Application to the Entscheidungsproblem, algorithmic bias, AlphaGo, Apollo 11, artificial general intelligence, augmented reality, autism spectrum disorder, autonomous vehicles, backpropagation, Big Tech, bioinformatics, blockchain, Cambridge Analytica, cloud computing, cognitive bias, Colonization of Mars, computer age, computer vision, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, conceptual framework, creative destruction, CRISPR, crowdsourcing, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, dark matter, data science, David Brooks, deep learning, DeepMind, Demis Hassabis, digital twin, driverless car, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, epigenetics, Erik Brynjolfsson, fake news, fault tolerance, gamification, general purpose technology, Geoffrey Hinton, George Santayana, Google Glasses, ImageNet competition, Jeff Bezos, job automation, job satisfaction, Joi Ito, machine translation, Mark Zuckerberg, medical residency, meta-analysis, microbiome, move 37, natural language processing, new economy, Nicholas Carr, Nick Bostrom, nudge unit, OpenAI, opioid epidemic / opioid crisis, pattern recognition, performance metric, personalized medicine, phenotype, placebo effect, post-truth, randomized controlled trial, recommendation engine, Rubik’s Cube, Sam Altman, self-driving car, Silicon Valley, Skinner box, speech recognition, Stephen Hawking, techlash, TED Talk, text mining, the scientific method, Tim Cook: Apple, traumatic brain injury, trolley problem, War on Poverty, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, working-age population

Of more than a thousand cases retrospectively reviewed by the tumor board and Watson, more than 30 percent were augmented by AI information, particularly related to treatment options for specific mutations.60 LIKE RADIOLOGY AND pathology, dermatology involves a great deal of pattern recognition. Skin conditions are among the most frequent reasons for seeing a doctor—they account for 15 percent of all doctor visits! Unlike radiology and pathology, however, about two-thirds of skin conditions are diagnosed by non-dermatologists, who frequently get the diagnosis wrong: some articles cite error rates as high as 50 percent. And, of course, dermatologists don’t just look at and diagnose skin rashes and lesions, they often treat or excise them. But the pattern recognition of skin problems is a big part of medicine and a chance for artificial intelligence to play a significant role.

Many in the medical community were frankly surprised by what deep learning could accomplish: studies that claim AI’s ability to diagnose some types of skin cancer as well as or perhaps even better than board-certified dermatologists; to identify specific heart-rhythm abnormalities like cardiologists; to interpret medical scans or pathology slides as well as senior, highly qualified radiologists and pathologists, respectively; to diagnose various eye diseases as well as ophthalmologists; and to predict suicide better than mental health professionals. These skills predominantly involve pattern recognition, with machines learning those patterns after training on hundreds of thousands, and soon enough millions, of examples. Such systems have just gotten better and better, with the error rates for learning from text-, speech-, and image-based data dropping well below 5 percent, whizzing past the human threshold (Figure 1.3).

A few years ago, I wrote a review in which I said we needed medical data that spanned “from prewomb to tomb.”3 A former mentor told me that I should have called the span “from lust to dust.” But you get the idea of deep and long data. Second is deep learning, which will play a big part of medicine’s future. It will not only involve pattern recognition and machine learning that doctors will use for diagnosis but a wide range of applications, such as virtual medical coaches to guide consumers to better manage their health or medical condition. It will also take on efficiency in the hospital setting, using machine vision to improve patient safety and quality, ultimately reducing the need for hospital rooms by facilitating remote, at-home monitoring.


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The Creativity Code: How AI Is Learning to Write, Paint and Think by Marcus Du Sautoy

3D printing, Ada Lovelace, Albert Einstein, algorithmic bias, AlphaGo, Alvin Roth, Andrew Wiles, Automated Insights, Benoit Mandelbrot, Bletchley Park, Cambridge Analytica, Charles Babbage, Claude Shannon: information theory, computer vision, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, correlation does not imply causation, crowdsourcing, data is the new oil, data science, deep learning, DeepMind, Demis Hassabis, Donald Trump, double helix, Douglas Hofstadter, driverless car, Elon Musk, Erik Brynjolfsson, Fellow of the Royal Society, Flash crash, Gödel, Escher, Bach, Henri Poincaré, Jacquard loom, John Conway, Kickstarter, Loebner Prize, machine translation, mandelbrot fractal, Minecraft, move 37, music of the spheres, Mustafa Suleyman, Narrative Science, natural language processing, Netflix Prize, PageRank, pattern recognition, Paul Erdős, Peter Thiel, random walk, Ray Kurzweil, recommendation engine, Rubik’s Cube, Second Machine Age, Silicon Valley, speech recognition, stable marriage problem, Turing test, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, wikimedia commons

A pattern in the chaos of the jungle is likely to be evidence of the presence of another animal – and you’d better take notice cos that animal might eat you (or maybe you could eat it). The human code is extremely good at reading patterns, interpreting how they might develop, and responding appropriately. It is one of our key assets, and it plays into our appreciation for the patterns in music and art. It turns out that pattern recognition is precisely what I do as a mathematician when I venture into the unexplored reaches of the mathematical jungle. I can’t rely on a simple step-by-step logical analysis of the local environment. That won’t get me very far. It has to be combined with an intuitive feel for what might be out there.

When people I meet declare (as alas so often happens): ‘I don’t have a brain for maths’, I counter that in fact we all have evolved to have mathematical brains because our brains are good at spotting patterns. Sometimes they are too good, reading patterns into data where none exists, as many viewers did when confronted with Richter’s random coloured squares at the Serpentine Gallery. For me, some of the very first pattern recognition comes along with some of the very first art to be drawn. The cave paintings in Lascaux depict exquisite images of animals racing across the walls. The movement of a stampede of aurochs is amazingly captured in these frozen images. It is intriguing to ask why the artist felt compelled to represent these images underground.

The report by the Royal Society that Margaret Boden, Demis Hassabis and I helped prepare. Issued in April 2017. It can be viewed online at http://­royalsociety­.org/machine­-learning. Books Alpaydin, Ethem, Machine Learning, MIT Press, 2016 Barthes, Roland, S/Z, Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 1991 Berger, John, Ways of Seeing, Penguin Books, 1972 Bishop, Christopher, Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning, Springer, 2007 Boden, Margaret, The Creative Mind: Myths and Mechanisms, Weidenfeld and Nicolson, 1990 , AI: Its Nature and Future, OUP, 2016 Bohm, David, On Creativity, Routledge, 1996 Bostrom, Nick, Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies, OUP, 2014 Braidotti, Rosi, The Posthuman, Polity Press, 2013 Brandt, Anthony and David Eagleman, The Runaway Species: How Human Creativity Remakes the World, Canongate, 2017 Brynjolfsson, Erik and Andrew McAfee, The Second Machine Age: Work, Progress, and Prosperity in a Time of Brilliant Technologies, Norton, 2014 Cawelti, John, Adventure, Mystery, and Romance: Formula Stories as Art and Popular Culture, University of Chicago Press, 1977 Cheng, Ian, Emissaries Guide to Worlding, Verlag der Buchhandlung Walther Konig, 2018; Serpentine Galleries/Fondazione Sandretto Re Rebaudengo, 2018 Cope, David, Virtual Music: Computer Synthesis of Musical Style, MIT Press, 2001 , Computer Models of Musical Creativity, MIT Press, 2005 Domingos, Pedro, The Master Algorithm: How the Quest for the Ultimate Learning Machine Will Remake Our World, Basic Books, 2015 Dormehl, Luke, The Formula: How Algorithms Solve All Our Problems … and Create More, Penguin Books, 2014 , Thinking Machines: The Inside Story of Artificial Intelligence and Our Race to Build the Future, W.


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The Elements of Statistical Learning (Springer Series in Statistics) by Trevor Hastie, Robert Tibshirani, Jerome Friedman

algorithmic bias, backpropagation, Bayesian statistics, bioinformatics, computer age, conceptual framework, correlation coefficient, data science, G4S, Geoffrey Hinton, greed is good, higher-order functions, linear programming, p-value, pattern recognition, random walk, selection bias, sparse data, speech recognition, statistical model, stochastic process, The Wisdom of Crowds

Some theory for Fisher’s linear discriminant function,“Naive Bayes”, and some alternatives when there are many more variables than observations, Bernoulli 10: 989–1010. Bickel, P. J., Ritov, Y. and Tsybakov, A. (2008). Simultaneous analysis of lasso and Dantzig selector, Annals of Statistics. to appear. Bishop, C. (1995). Neural Networks for Pattern Recognition, Clarendon Press, Oxford. Bishop, C. (2006). Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning, Springer, New York. Bishop, Y., Fienberg, S. and Holland, P. (1975). Discrete Multivariate Analysis, MIT Press, Cambridge, MA. Boyd, S. and Vandenberghe, L. (2004). Convex Optimization, Cambridge University Press. Breiman, L. (1992). The little bootstrap and other methods for dimensionality selection in regression: X-fixed prediction error, Journal of the American Statistical Association 87: 738–754.

., Plastria, F. and Kaufman, L. (1983). Non-hierarchical clustering with MASLOC, The Journal of the Pattern Recognition Society 16: 507–516. McCullagh, P. and Nelder, J. (1989). Generalized Linear Models, Chapman and Hall, London. McCulloch, W. and Pitts, W. (1943). A logical calculus of the ideas imminent in nervous activity, Bulletin of Mathematical Biophysics 5: 115– 133. Reprinted in Anderson and Rosenfeld (1988), pp 96-104. McLachlan, G. (1992). Discriminant Analysis and Statistical Pattern Recognition, Wiley, New York. Mease, D. and Wyner, A. (2008). Evidence contrary to the statistical view of boosting (with discussion), Journal of Machine Learning Research 9: 131–156.

For each example the goal is to use the inputs to predict the values of the outputs. This exercise is called supervised learning. We have used the more modern language of machine learning. In the statistical literature the inputs are often called the predictors, a term we will use interchangeably with inputs, and more classically the independent variables. In the pattern recognition literature the term features is preferred, which we use as well. The outputs are called the responses, or classically the dependent variables. 2.2 Variable Types and Terminology The outputs vary in nature among the examples. In the glucose prediction example, the output is a quantitative measurement, where some measurements are bigger than others, and measurements close in value are close in nature.


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Range: Why Generalists Triumph in a Specialized World by David Epstein

Airbnb, Albert Einstein, Apollo 11, Apple's 1984 Super Bowl advert, Atul Gawande, Checklist Manifesto, Claude Shannon: information theory, Clayton Christensen, clockwork universe, cognitive bias, correlation does not imply causation, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, deep learning, deliberate practice, Exxon Valdez, fail fast, Flynn Effect, Freestyle chess, functional fixedness, game design, Gene Kranz, Isaac Newton, Johannes Kepler, knowledge economy, language acquisition, lateral thinking, longitudinal study, Louis Pasteur, Mark Zuckerberg, medical residency, messenger bag, meta-analysis, Mikhail Gorbachev, multi-armed bandit, Nelson Mandela, Netflix Prize, pattern recognition, Paul Graham, precision agriculture, prediction markets, premature optimization, pre–internet, random walk, randomized controlled trial, retrograde motion, Richard Feynman, Richard Feynman: Challenger O-ring, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley billionaire, Stanford marshmallow experiment, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, Steven Pinker, sunk-cost fallacy, systems thinking, Walter Mischel, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, Y Combinator, young professional

Whether or not experience inevitably led to expertise, they agreed, depended entirely on the domain in question. Narrow experience made for better chess and poker players and firefighters, but not for better predictors of financial or political trends, or of how employees or patients would perform. The domains Klein studied, in which instinctive pattern recognition worked powerfully, are what psychologist Robin Hogarth termed “kind” learning environments. Patterns repeat over and over, and feedback is extremely accurate and usually very rapid. In golf or chess, a ball or piece is moved according to rules and within defined boundaries, a consequence is quickly apparent, and similar challenges occur repeatedly.

Human/Computer combo teams—known as “centaurs”—were playing the highest level of chess ever seen. If Deep Blue’s victory over Kasparov signaled the transfer of chess power from humans to computers, the victory of centaurs over Hydra symbolized something more interesting still: humans empowered to do what they do best without the prerequisite of years of specialized pattern recognition. In 2014, an Abu Dhabi–based chess site put up $20,000 in prize money for freestyle players to compete in a tournament that also included games in which chess programs played without human intervention. The winning team comprised four people and several computers. The captain and primary decision maker was Anson Williams, a British engineer with no official chess rating.

Using a full “reference class” of analogies—the pillar of the outside view—was immensely more accurate. Think back to chapter 1, to the types of intuitive experts that Gary Klein studied in kind learning environments, like chess masters and firefighters. Rather than beginning by generating options, they leap to a decision based on pattern recognition of surface features. They may then evaluate it, if they have time, but often stick with it. This time will probably be like the last time, so extensive narrow experience works. Generating new ideas or facing novel problems with high uncertainty is nothing like that. Evaluating an array of options before letting intuition reign is a trick for the wicked world.


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The Joys of Compounding: The Passionate Pursuit of Lifelong Learning, Revised and Updated by Gautam Baid

Abraham Maslow, activist fund / activist shareholder / activist investor, Airbnb, Alan Greenspan, Albert Einstein, Alvin Toffler, Andrei Shleifer, asset allocation, Atul Gawande, availability heuristic, backtesting, barriers to entry, beat the dealer, Benoit Mandelbrot, Bernie Madoff, bitcoin, Black Swan, book value, business process, buy and hold, Cal Newport, Cass Sunstein, Checklist Manifesto, Clayton Christensen, cognitive dissonance, collapse of Lehman Brothers, commoditize, corporate governance, correlation does not imply causation, creative destruction, cryptocurrency, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, deep learning, delayed gratification, deliberate practice, discounted cash flows, disintermediation, disruptive innovation, Dissolution of the Soviet Union, diversification, diversified portfolio, dividend-yielding stocks, do what you love, Dunning–Kruger effect, Edward Thorp, Elon Musk, equity risk premium, Everything should be made as simple as possible, fear index, financial independence, financial innovation, fixed income, follow your passion, framing effect, George Santayana, Hans Rosling, hedonic treadmill, Henry Singleton, hindsight bias, Hyman Minsky, index fund, intangible asset, invention of the wheel, invisible hand, Isaac Newton, it is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it, Jeff Bezos, John Bogle, Joseph Schumpeter, junk bonds, Kaizen: continuous improvement, Kickstarter, knowledge economy, Lao Tzu, Long Term Capital Management, loss aversion, Louis Pasteur, low interest rates, Mahatma Gandhi, mandelbrot fractal, margin call, Mark Zuckerberg, Market Wizards by Jack D. Schwager, Masayoshi Son, mental accounting, Milgram experiment, moral hazard, Nate Silver, Network effects, Nicholas Carr, offshore financial centre, oil shock, passive income, passive investing, pattern recognition, Peter Thiel, Ponzi scheme, power law, price anchoring, quantitative trading / quantitative finance, Ralph Waldo Emerson, Ray Kurzweil, Reminiscences of a Stock Operator, reserve currency, Richard Feynman, Richard Thaler, risk free rate, risk-adjusted returns, Robert Shiller, Savings and loan crisis, search costs, shareholder value, six sigma, software as a service, software is eating the world, South Sea Bubble, special economic zone, Stanford marshmallow experiment, Steve Jobs, Steven Levy, Steven Pinker, stocks for the long run, subscription business, sunk-cost fallacy, systems thinking, tail risk, Teledyne, the market place, The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver, The Wisdom of Crowds, time value of money, transaction costs, tulip mania, Upton Sinclair, Walter Mischel, wealth creators, Yogi Berra, zero-sum game

lens can help you avoid making hurried decisions in life based on emotions. Whether you are looking to invest in a business or in a new relationship or career, never forget to ask, “And then what?” It may well turn out to be a lifesaver. CHAPTER 29 PATTERN RECOGNITION Charlie and I have seen—we’re not remotely perfect at this—but we’ve seen patterns. Pattern recognition gets very important in evaluating humans and businesses. And the pattern recognition isn’t 100 percent and none of the patterns exactly repeat themselves, but there are certain things in business and securities markets we’ve seen over and over. —Warren Buffett Untapped Pricing Power Within the growth stock model, there’s a sub-position: There are actually businesses that you will find a few times in a lifetime where any manager could raise the return enormously just by raising prices—and yet they haven’t done it.

The Market Is Efficient Most, but Not All, of the Time 24. The Dynamic Art of Portfolio Management and Individual Position Sizing 25. To Finish First, You Must First Finish SECTION V—DECISION-MAKING 26. Read More History and Fewer Forecasts 27. Updating Our Beliefs in Light of New Evidence 28. Life Is a Series of Opportunity Costs 29. Pattern Recognition 30. Acknowledging the Role of Luck, Chance, Serendipity, and Randomness 31. The Education of a Value Investor Conclusion: Understanding the True Essence of Compounding Appendix A Appendix B Acknowledgments Notes Bibliography Index FOREWORD A little more than twenty years ago, I discovered Warren Buffett, Charlie Munger, Ben Graham and the art of Intelligent Investing.

Investors are better off with a few solid long-term choices than flitting from one speculation to another, always chasing the latest hot stock in the market. (Better to have a few good, long-term friends rather than changing your friends every week for short-term advantage.) The gap between price and value ultimately will determine our returns, but picking the right business is possibly the most important step in reducing errors. Improving pattern recognition skills increases the probability of successfully identifying the right businesses to invest in. Without doubt, cigar butts as a category have the potential to outperform quality over a short holding period, but over the long term, companies with increasing intrinsic value over time are the clear winners.


Driverless: Intelligent Cars and the Road Ahead by Hod Lipson, Melba Kurman

AI winter, Air France Flight 447, AlphaGo, Amazon Mechanical Turk, autonomous vehicles, backpropagation, barriers to entry, butterfly effect, carbon footprint, Chris Urmson, cloud computing, computer vision, connected car, creative destruction, crowdsourcing, DARPA: Urban Challenge, deep learning, digital map, Donald Shoup, driverless car, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, Erik Brynjolfsson, General Motors Futurama, Geoffrey Hinton, Google Earth, Google X / Alphabet X, Hans Moravec, high net worth, hive mind, ImageNet competition, income inequality, industrial robot, intermodal, Internet of things, Jeff Hawkins, job automation, Joseph Schumpeter, lone genius, Lyft, megacity, Network effects, New Urbanism, Oculus Rift, pattern recognition, performance metric, Philippa Foot, precision agriculture, RFID, ride hailing / ride sharing, Second Machine Age, self-driving car, Silicon Valley, smart cities, speech recognition, statistical model, Steve Jobs, technoutopianism, TED Talk, Tesla Model S, Travis Kalanick, trolley problem, Uber and Lyft, uber lyft, Unsafe at Any Speed, warehouse robotics

Source: Jakob Engel, Jorg Stuckler, and Daniel Cremers, “Large-Scale Direct Slam with Stereo Cameras,” in 2015 IEEE International Conference on Intelligent Robots and Systems (IROS), pp. 1935–1942. IEEE, 2015; Andreas Geiger, Philip Lenz, and Raquel Urtasun, “Are We Ready for Autonomous Driving? The KITTI Vision Benchmark Suite,” in 2012 IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (CVPR), pp. 3354–3361, IEEE, 2012. Figure 12.1 GM’s Electric Networked-Vehicle (EN-V) Concept pod, an autonomous two-seater codeveloped with Segway for short trips in cities. Source: General Motors Figure 12.2 The most common job in most U.S. states in 2014 was truck driving. Source: National Public Radio Figure 12.3 Passengers relax with electronics in this driverless concept mockup.

A database would have to store information separately about the case where a car is in front and where a motorcycle is in front. A machine learning algorithm, on the other hand, would “learn” from the car example and be able to generalize to the motorcycle example automatically. Another way to think about machine learning is that it is “pattern recognition”—the act of teaching a program to react to or recognize patterns.5 While machine-learning techniques sound organic—the software learns to recognize patterns or to solve certain problems—what’s actually happening is that an algorithm parses vast amounts of data to look for statistical patterns.

In part as a result of Minsky’s influence, the 1970s was the golden age of symbolic AI. The more researchers tried to emulate human intelligence by programming it, however, the more they unwittingly demonstrated how little we understand how the brain really works. The neural-network renaissance Meanwhile, the development of neural networks for pattern recognition continued to lurch forward. In 1975, Harvard PhD student Paul Werbos created a new and improved Perceptron. By now, the term perceptron had become generic, meaning a layer of artificial neurons in a neural network. By this time, analog hardware contraptions like the original Perceptron had been set aside and artificial-intelligence researchers built neural networks in software.


pages: 477 words: 75,408

The Economic Singularity: Artificial Intelligence and the Death of Capitalism by Calum Chace

"World Economic Forum" Davos, 3D printing, additive manufacturing, agricultural Revolution, AI winter, Airbnb, AlphaGo, Alvin Toffler, Amazon Robotics, Andy Rubin, artificial general intelligence, augmented reality, autonomous vehicles, banking crisis, basic income, Baxter: Rethink Robotics, Berlin Wall, Bernie Sanders, bitcoin, blockchain, Boston Dynamics, bread and circuses, call centre, Chris Urmson, congestion charging, credit crunch, David Ricardo: comparative advantage, deep learning, DeepMind, Demis Hassabis, digital divide, Douglas Engelbart, Dr. Strangelove, driverless car, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, Erik Brynjolfsson, Fairchild Semiconductor, Flynn Effect, full employment, future of work, Future Shock, gender pay gap, Geoffrey Hinton, gig economy, Google Glasses, Google X / Alphabet X, Hans Moravec, Herman Kahn, hype cycle, ImageNet competition, income inequality, industrial robot, Internet of things, invention of the telephone, invisible hand, James Watt: steam engine, Jaron Lanier, Jeff Bezos, job automation, John Markoff, John Maynard Keynes: technological unemployment, John von Neumann, Kevin Kelly, Kiva Systems, knowledge worker, lifelogging, lump of labour, Lyft, machine translation, Marc Andreessen, Mark Zuckerberg, Martin Wolf, McJob, means of production, Milgram experiment, Narrative Science, natural language processing, Neil Armstrong, new economy, Nick Bostrom, Occupy movement, Oculus Rift, OpenAI, PageRank, pattern recognition, post scarcity, post-industrial society, post-work, precariat, prediction markets, QWERTY keyboard, railway mania, RAND corporation, Ray Kurzweil, RFID, Rodney Brooks, Sam Altman, Satoshi Nakamoto, Second Machine Age, self-driving car, sharing economy, Silicon Valley, Skype, SoftBank, software is eating the world, speech recognition, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, TaskRabbit, technological singularity, TED Talk, The future is already here, The Future of Employment, Thomas Malthus, transaction costs, Two Sigma, Tyler Cowen, Tyler Cowen: Great Stagnation, Uber for X, uber lyft, universal basic income, Vernor Vinge, warehouse automation, warehouse robotics, working-age population, Y Combinator, young professional

We will return to this exponential growth later in this chapter, as understanding it is fundamental to comprehending the scale of the changes that are coming our way. The book argues that AI systems are on the verge of wholesale automation of white collar jobs – jobs involving cognitive skill such as pattern recognition and the acquisition, processing and transmission of information. In fact it argues that the process is already under way, and that the US is experiencing a jobless recovery from the Great Recession of 2008 thanks to this automation process. Ford claims that middle class jobs in the US are being hollowed out, with average incomes going into decline, and inequality increasing.

In particular, Brynjolfsson and McAfee want to answer a question they are often asked: “I have children in school. How should I be helping them prepare for the future?”[xxxvii] They are optimistic, believing that for many years to come, humans will be better than machines at generating new ideas, thinking outside the box (which they call “large-frame pattern recognition”) and complex forms of communication. They believe that humans' superior capabilities in these areas will enable most of us to keep earning a living, although they think the education system needs to be re-vamped to emphasise those skills, and downplay what they see as today's over-emphasis on rote learning.

All this data can be analysed to a certain level within the phone itself, and in many cases that will suffice to provide an effective diagnosis. If symptoms persist, or if the diagnosis is unclear or unconvincing, the data can be uploaded into the cloud, i.e., to server farms run by companies like Amazon and Google. The heart of diagnosis is pattern recognition. When sophisticated algorithms compare and contrast a set of symptoms with data from millions or even billions of other patients, the quality of diagnosis can surpass what any single human doctor could offer. Ross Crawford and Jonathan Roberts are professors of orthopaedic research and robotics respectively at Queensland University of Technology.


pages: 294 words: 81,292

Our Final Invention: Artificial Intelligence and the End of the Human Era by James Barrat

AI winter, air gap, AltaVista, Amazon Web Services, artificial general intelligence, Asilomar, Automated Insights, Bayesian statistics, Bernie Madoff, Bill Joy: nanobots, Bletchley Park, brain emulation, California energy crisis, cellular automata, Chuck Templeton: OpenTable:, cloud computing, cognitive bias, commoditize, computer vision, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, cuban missile crisis, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, Danny Hillis, data acquisition, don't be evil, drone strike, dual-use technology, Extropian, finite state, Flash crash, friendly AI, friendly fire, Google Glasses, Google X / Alphabet X, Hacker News, Hans Moravec, Isaac Newton, Jaron Lanier, Jeff Hawkins, John Markoff, John von Neumann, Kevin Kelly, Law of Accelerating Returns, life extension, Loebner Prize, lone genius, machine translation, mutually assured destruction, natural language processing, Neil Armstrong, Nicholas Carr, Nick Bostrom, optical character recognition, PageRank, PalmPilot, paperclip maximiser, pattern recognition, Peter Thiel, precautionary principle, prisoner's dilemma, Ray Kurzweil, Recombinant DNA, Rodney Brooks, rolling blackouts, Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence, self-driving car, semantic web, Silicon Valley, Singularitarianism, Skype, smart grid, speech recognition, statistical model, stealth mode startup, stem cell, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, Steve Jurvetson, Steve Wozniak, strong AI, Stuxnet, subprime mortgage crisis, superintelligent machines, technological singularity, The Coming Technological Singularity, Thomas Bayes, traveling salesman, Turing machine, Turing test, Vernor Vinge, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, zero day

The output of “black box” artificial intelligence tools can’t ever be predicted. So they can never be truly and verifiably “safe.” * * * But they’ll likely play a big role in AGI systems. Many researchers today believe pattern recognition—what Rosenblatt’s Perceptron aimed for—is our brain’s chief tool for intelligence. The inventor of the Palm Pilot and Handspring Treo, Jeff Hawkins, pioneered handwriting recognition with ANNs. His company, Numenta, aims to crack AGI with pattern recognition technology. Dileep George, once Numenta’s Chief Technology Officer, now heads up Vicarious Systems, whose corporate ambition is stated in their slogan: We’re Building Software that Thinks and Learns Like a Human.

The cognitive sciences are the brain’s “principles of flight.” OpenCog’s organizing theme is that intelligence is based on high-level pattern recognition. Usually, “patterns” in AI are chunks of data (files, pictures, text, objects) that have been classified—organized by category—or will be classified by a system that’s been trained on data. Your e-mail’s “spam” filter is an expert pattern recognizer—it recognizes one or more traits of unwanted e-mail (for example, the words “male enhancement” in the subject line) and segregates it. OpenCog’s notion of pattern recognition is more refined. The pattern it finds in each thing or idea is a small program that contains a kind of description of the thing.

The intelligence explosion was born. Good was more right than he knew about ANNs. Today, artificial neural networks are an artificial intelligence heavyweight, involved in applications ranging from speech and handwriting recognition to financial modeling, credit approval, and robot control. ANNs excel at high level, fast pattern recognition, which these jobs require. Most also involve “training” the neural network on massive amounts of data (called training sets) so that the network can “learn” patterns. Later it can recognize similar patterns in new data. Analysts can ask, based on last month’s data, what the stock market will look like next week.


pages: 304 words: 84,396

Bounce: Mozart, Federer, Picasso, Beckham, and the Science of Success by Matthew Syed

barriers to entry, battle of ideas, Berlin Wall, combinatorial explosion, deliberate practice, desegregation, Fall of the Berlin Wall, fear of failure, Isaac Newton, Norman Mailer, pattern recognition, placebo effect, seminal paper, sugar pill, zero-sum game

So he tested chess masters under “blitz” conditions, where each player has only five minutes on the clock, with around six seconds per move (in standard conditions there are forty moves in a ninety-minute period, allowing around two minutes, fifteen seconds per move). Klein found that, for chess experts, the move quality hardly changed at all in blitz conditions, even though there was barely enough time to take the piece, move it, release it, and hit the timer. Klein then tested the pattern-recognition theory of decision making directly. He asked chess experts to think aloud as they studied midgame positions. He asked them to tell him everything they were thinking, every move considered, including the poor ones, and especially the very first move considered. He found that the first move considered was not only playable but also in many cases the best possible move from all the alternatives.

Several times during a game you’ll see him making what seem to be aimless circles on the other side of the rink from the traffic, and then, as if answering a signal, he’ll dart ahead to a spot where, an instant later, the puck turns up. This is a perfect example of expert decision making in practice: circumventing combinatorial explosion via advanced pattern recognition. It is precisely the same skill wielded by Kasparov, but on an ice hockey pitch rather than a chessboard. How was Gretzky able to do this? Let’s hear from the man himself: “I wasn’t naturally gifted in terms of size and speed; everything I did in hockey I worked for.” And later: “The highest compliment that you can pay me is to say that I worked hard every day….

All of which helps to explain a qualification that was made earlier in the chapter: you will remember that the ten-thousand-hour rule was said to apply to any complex task. What is meant by complexity? In effect, it describes those tasks characterized by combinatorial explosion; tasks where success is determined, first and foremost, by superiority in software (pattern recognition and sophisticated motor programs) rather than hardware (simple speed or strength). Most sports are characterized by combinatorial explosion: tennis, table tennis, soccer, hockey, and so on. Just try to imagine, for a moment, designing a robot capable of solving the real-time spatial, motor, and perceptual challenges necessary to defeat Roger Federer on a tennis court.


pages: 268 words: 81,811

Flash Crash: A Trading Savant, a Global Manhunt, and the Most Mysterious Market Crash in History by Liam Vaughan

algorithmic trading, backtesting, bank run, barriers to entry, Bernie Madoff, Black Monday: stock market crash in 1987, Black Swan, Bob Geldof, centre right, collapse of Lehman Brothers, data science, Donald Trump, Elliott wave, eurozone crisis, family office, financial engineering, Flash crash, Great Grain Robbery, high net worth, High speed trading, information asymmetry, Jeff Bezos, Kickstarter, land bank, margin call, market design, market microstructure, Market Wizards by Jack D. Schwager, Navinder Sarao, Nick Leeson, offshore financial centre, pattern recognition, Ponzi scheme, proprietary trading, Ralph Nelson Elliott, Reminiscences of a Stock Operator, Ronald Reagan, selling pickaxes during a gold rush, sovereign wealth fund, spectrum auction, Stephen Hawking, the market place, Timothy McVeigh, Tobin tax, tulip mania, yield curve, zero-sum game

The reality, of course, was that it was very difficult to consistently beat the market after costs, particularly when you were so far from the flow of information. The selection process for Nav and his fellow interviewees was in three parts. First, candidates were given the McQuaig Mental Agility Test, a multiple-choice psychometric exam testing pattern recognition and verbal reasoning. This was followed by a one-on-one session in which they were asked to quickly multiply two- and three-digit numbers in their heads. Those who made it through were invited back a few days later for a two-hour interview, where they were questioned on how they would react to various hypothetical scenarios.

This perpetual gamesmanship helps explain why nine in every ten orders placed in the futures markets were canceled before they could be filled. In the same way poker players try to deduce their opponents’ hands from their betting patterns or the twitch above their left eye, traders will use pattern recognition and statistical analysis to fill in some of the gaps in their knowledge. Fifty offers keep appearing on the sell side of the market exactly ten minutes apart? Maybe it’s an algorithm that can be exploited. Someone keeps placing bids of 139 lots? Perhaps it’s a complacent day trader who hasn’t bothered to mix up his order size.

The first element involved statistically analyzing changes in the order book and elsewhere for information that indicated whether prices would rise or fall. Inputs might include the number and type of resting orders at different levels, how fast prices are moving around, and the types of market participants active at any time. “Think of it as a giant data science project,” explains one HFT owner. For years, Nav had used his superior pattern recognition and recall skills to read the ebbs and flows of the order book until it became second nature, but even the most gifted human scalper is no match for a computer at parsing large amounts of data. When it came to speed, the leading HFT firms invested hundreds of millions of dollars in computers, cable, and telecommunications equipment to ensure they could react first in what was often a winner-takes-all game.


pages: 391 words: 71,600

Hit Refresh: The Quest to Rediscover Microsoft's Soul and Imagine a Better Future for Everyone by Satya Nadella, Greg Shaw, Jill Tracie Nichols

3D printing, AlphaGo, Amazon Web Services, anti-globalists, artificial general intelligence, augmented reality, autonomous vehicles, basic income, Bretton Woods, business process, cashless society, charter city, cloud computing, complexity theory, computer age, computer vision, corporate social responsibility, crowdsourcing, data science, DeepMind, Deng Xiaoping, Donald Trump, Douglas Engelbart, driverless car, Edward Snowden, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, equal pay for equal work, everywhere but in the productivity statistics, fault tolerance, fulfillment center, Gini coefficient, global supply chain, Google Glasses, Grace Hopper, growth hacking, hype cycle, industrial robot, Internet of things, Jeff Bezos, job automation, John Markoff, John von Neumann, knowledge worker, late capitalism, Mars Rover, Minecraft, Mother of all demos, Neal Stephenson, NP-complete, Oculus Rift, pattern recognition, place-making, Richard Feynman, Robert Gordon, Robert Solow, Ronald Reagan, Salesforce, Second Machine Age, self-driving car, side project, Silicon Valley, Skype, Snapchat, Snow Crash, special economic zone, speech recognition, Stephen Hawking, Steve Ballmer, Steve Jobs, subscription business, TED Talk, telepresence, telerobotics, The Rise and Fall of American Growth, The Soul of a New Machine, Tim Cook: Apple, trade liberalization, two-sided market, universal basic income, Wall-E, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, young professional, zero-sum game

Although Amazon did not report its AWS revenues in those days, they were the clear leader, building a huge business without any real challenge from Microsoft. In his annual letter to shareholders in April 2011, just as I was beginning my new role, Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos gleefully offered a short course on the computer science and economics underlying their burgeoning cloud enterprise. He wrote about Bayesian estimators, machine learning, pattern recognition, and probabilistic decision making. “The advances in data management developed by Amazon engineers have been the starting point for the architectures underneath the cloud storage and data management services offered by Amazon Web Services (AWS),” he wrote. Amazon was leading a revolution and we had not even mustered our troops.

But far from Baymax or Brenner, AI today is some ways away from becoming what’s known as artificial general intelligence (AGI), the point at which a computer matches or even surpasses human intellectual capabilities. Like human intelligence, artificial intelligence can be categorized by layer. The bottom layer is simple pattern recognition. The middle layer is perception, sensing more and more complex scenes. It’s estimated that 99 percent of human perception is through speech and vision. Finally, the highest level of intelligence is cognition—deep understanding of human language. These are the building blocks of AI, and for many years Microsoft has invested in advancing each of these tiers—statistical machine learning tools to make sense of data and recognize patterns; computers that can see, hear, and move, and even begin to learn and understand human language.

And so our vision is to build tools that have true artificial intelligence infused across agents, applications, services, and infrastructure: We’re harnessing artificial intelligence to fundamentally change how people interact with agents like Cortana, which will become more and more common in our lives. Applications like Office 365 and Dynamics 365 will have AI baked-in so that they can help us focus on things that matter the most and get more out of every moment. We’ll make the underlying intelligence capabilities of our own services—the pattern recognition, perception, and cognitive capabilities—available to every application developer in the world. And, lastly, we’re building the world’s most powerful AI supercomputer and making that infrastructure available to anyone. A range of industries are using these AI tools. McDonald’s is creating an AI system that can help its workers take your order in the drive-through line, making ordering food simpler, more efficient, and more accurate.


pages: 247 words: 69,593

The Creative Curve: How to Develop the Right Idea, at the Right Time by Allen Gannett

Alfred Russel Wallace, collective bargaining, content marketing, data science, David Brooks, deliberate practice, Desert Island Discs, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, gentrification, glass ceiling, iterative process, lone genius, longitudinal study, Lyft, Mark Zuckerberg, McMansion, pattern recognition, profit motive, randomized controlled trial, recommendation engine, Richard Florida, ride hailing / ride sharing, Salesforce, Saturday Night Live, sentiment analysis, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, Skype, Snapchat, South of Market, San Francisco, Steve Jobs, TED Talk, too big to fail, uber lyft, work culture

Professor Robert Baron, who studies the intersection of entrepreneurship and psychology, wanted to understand how entrepreneurs ferret out opportunities. The answer, he found, is pattern recognition. One of our brain’s fundamental tasks is identifying patterns. This task is critical in helping both to protect us and to discover rewarding opportunities. As we discussed, if something poses a threat to us, we want to avoid it. If something promises a potential reward, we want to explore it. Pattern recognition relies on two mental models, both of which Professor Baron believes are used by entrepreneurs to come up with new ideas. The first is a prototype—but not the kind of prototype that might immediately come up in most people’s minds.

over $5 billion: “United Therapeutics Corporation,” Google Finance (2017) https://www.fool.com/​quote/nasdaq/​united-therapeutics/uthr. Professor Robert Baron: Robert A. Baron, “Opportunity Recognition as Pattern Recognition: How Entrepreneurs ‘Connect the Dots’ to Identify New Business Opportunities,” Academy of Management Perspectives, February 2006, http://www.iedmsu.ru/​download/​fa4_1.pdf. The answer, he found, is pattern recognition: Ibid. Earlier I mentioned serial entrepreneur Kevin Ryan: Quotes from Ryan drawn from my interviews with him. Ted Sarandos has continued to consume: These details relating to Sarandos’s professional life drawn mostly from my interviews with him.

Sally has worked with numerous people in her career, good and bad, and these colleagues and friends have become, for her, exemplars. Sally would automatically compare Tom to the best, or most promising, employees she’s worked with in the past, and upon deciding that Tom in some ways is similar to a former star colleague, she quickly offers him a job. One critical facet of pattern recognition is that it allows entrepreneurs to develop an uncanny instinct for opportunity. Research shows that when entrepreneurs have significant prior knowledge, they no longer need to engage in slow, deliberate searches for new ideas. On the contrary, their prior experience gives them a rich library of exemplars they can access automatically.


pages: 407 words: 90,238

Stealing Fire: How Silicon Valley, the Navy SEALs, and Maverick Scientists Are Revolutionizing the Way We Live and Work by Steven Kotler, Jamie Wheal

"World Economic Forum" Davos, 3D printing, Abraham Maslow, Alexander Shulgin, Alvin Toffler, augmented reality, Berlin Wall, Bernie Sanders, bitcoin, blockchain, Burning Man, Colonization of Mars, crowdsourcing, David Brooks, delayed gratification, disruptive innovation, driverless car, Electric Kool-Aid Acid Test, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, Future Shock, Hacker News, high batting average, hive mind, How many piano tuners are there in Chicago?, hype cycle, Hyperloop, impulse control, independent contractor, informal economy, Jaron Lanier, John Markoff, John Perry Barlow, Kevin Kelly, Larry Ellison, lateral thinking, Mason jar, Maui Hawaii, McMansion, means of production, Menlo Park, meta-analysis, microdosing, military-industrial complex, mirror neurons, music of the spheres, off-the-grid, pattern recognition, Peter Thiel, PIHKAL and TIHKAL, prosperity theology / prosperity gospel / gospel of success, Ray Kurzweil, ride hailing / ride sharing, risk tolerance, science of happiness, selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor (SSRI), Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley billionaire, Silicon Valley startup, Skype, Steve Jobs, synthetic biology, TED Talk, time dilation, Tony Hsieh, urban planning, Virgin Galactic

It can process more data in much shorter time frames. In ecstasis, the conscious mind takes a break, and the subconscious takes over. As this occurs, a number of performance-enhancing neurochemicals flood the system, including norepinephrine and dopamine. Both of these chemicals amplify focus, muscle reaction times, and pattern recognition. With the subconscious in charge and those neurochemicals in play, SEALs can read micro-expressions across dark rooms at high speeds. So, when a team enters hostile terrain, they can break complex threats into manageable chunks. They quickly segment the battle space into familiar situations they know how to handle, like guards that need disarming or civilians that need corralling, and unfamiliar situations—a murky shape in a far corner—that may or may not be a threat.

Often, an ecstatic experience25 begins when the brain releases norepinephrine and dopamine into our system. These neurochemicals raise heart rates,26 tighten focus, and help us sit up and pay attention. We notice more of what’s going on around us, so information normally tuned out or ignored becomes more readily available. And besides simply increasing focus, these chemicals amp up the brain’s pattern recognition abilities,27 helping us find new links between all this incoming information. As these changes are taking place, our brainwaves slow from agitated beta to calmer alpha,28 shifting us into daydreaming mode: relaxed, alert, and able to flit from idea to idea without as much internal resistance.

None of these practical, technical achievements are the kind of result that most people associate with the navel-gazing world of psychedelics. But similar outcomes are happening in Fadiman’s current survey of microdosing among professionals. With more than four hundred responses from people in dozens of fields, the majority, as Fadiman recently explained, report “enhanced pattern recognition [and] can see more of the pieces at once of a problem they are trying to solve.” With these developments, psychedelics have begun moving from recreational diversion to performance-enhancing supplement. “A shift began about four or five years ago,” author and venture capitalist Tim Ferriss45 told us.


The Data Revolution: Big Data, Open Data, Data Infrastructures and Their Consequences by Rob Kitchin

Bayesian statistics, business intelligence, business process, cellular automata, Celtic Tiger, cloud computing, collateralized debt obligation, conceptual framework, congestion charging, corporate governance, correlation does not imply causation, crowdsourcing, data science, discrete time, disruptive innovation, George Gilder, Google Earth, hype cycle, Infrastructure as a Service, Internet Archive, Internet of things, invisible hand, knowledge economy, Large Hadron Collider, late capitalism, lifelogging, linked data, longitudinal study, machine readable, Masdar, means of production, Nate Silver, natural language processing, openstreetmap, pattern recognition, platform as a service, recommendation engine, RFID, semantic web, sentiment analysis, SimCity, slashdot, smart cities, Smart Cities: Big Data, Civic Hackers, and the Quest for a New Utopia, smart grid, smart meter, software as a service, statistical model, supply-chain management, technological solutionism, the scientific method, The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver, transaction costs

Each broad class of analytic is now discussed in turn, though it should be noted that they are often used in combination. For example, data mining and pattern recognition might provide the basis for prediction or optimisation, or statistics might be used in data mining to detect patterns or in calculating a prediction, or visualisation might be used in data mining or to communicate outputs from simulations, and so on. Data mining and pattern recognition Data mining is the process of extracting data and patterns from large datasets (Manyika et al. 2011). It is premised on the notion that all massive datasets hold meaningful information that is non-random, valid, novel, useful and ultimately understandable (Han et al. 2011).

Explanation: why did it happen? What is its impact? Prediction: what is likely to happen next? What if we did this or that? Prescription: what is the optimal answer or outcome? How is that achieved? The answers to these questions are derived from four broad classes of analytics: data mining and pattern recognition; data visualisation and visual analytics; statistical analysis; and prediction, simulation, and optimisation. Each of these is discussed in brief, but first the pre-analytics phase and machine learning are introduced as they are central to all four. Pre-analytics All data analytics require the data to be analysed to be pre-prepared; that is readied and checked.

Likewise, Google undertakes extensive research and development, it works in partnership with scientists and it buys scientific knowledge, either funding research within universities or by buying the IP of other companies, to refine and extend the utility of how it organises, presents and extracts value from data. Thus, if statistical algorithms find patterns in data it is because pattern recognition science, along with domain-specific knowledge, has been employed. Third: data can speak for themselves free of human bias or framing. Related to the notion that the production of knowledge from big data occurs unmoored from science is the idea that big data analytics enable data to speak for themselves unencumbered by contextualisation or the vagaries of human elucidation.


pages: 23 words: 5,264

Designing Great Data Products by Jeremy Howard, Mike Loukides, Margit Zwemer

AltaVista, data science, Filter Bubble, PageRank, pattern recognition, recommendation engine, self-driving car, sentiment analysis, Silicon Valley, text mining

Engineers are often quietly on the leading edge of algorithmic applications because they have long been thinking about their own modeling challenges in an objective-based way. Industrial engineers were among the first to begin using neural networks, applying them to problems like the optimal design of assembly lines and quality control. Brian Ripley’s seminal book on pattern recognition gives credit for many ideas and techniques to largely forgotten engineering papers from the 1970s. When designing a product or manufacturing process, a drivetrain-like process followed by model integration, simulation and optimization is a familiar part of the toolkit of systems engineers.

Next, we consider what data the car needs to collect; it needs sensors that gather data about the road as well as cameras that can detect road signs, red or green lights, and unexpected obstacles (including pedestrians). We need to define the models we will need, such as physics models to predict the effects of steering, braking and acceleration, and pattern recognition algorithms to interpret data from the road signs. As one engineer on the Google self-driving car project put it in a recent Wired article, “We’re analyzing and predicting the world 20 times a second.” What gets lost in the quote is what happens as a result of that prediction. The vehicle needs to use a simulator to examine the results of the possible actions it could take.


The Pattern Seekers: How Autism Drives Human Invention by Simon Baron-Cohen

23andMe, agricultural Revolution, airport security, Albert Einstein, Apollo 11, Asperger Syndrome, assortative mating, autism spectrum disorder, bioinformatics, coronavirus, corporate social responsibility, correlation does not imply causation, COVID-19, David Attenborough, discovery of penicillin, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, Fellow of the Royal Society, Greta Thunberg, intentional community, invention of agriculture, Isaac Newton, James Watt: steam engine, Jim Simons, lateral thinking, longitudinal study, Menlo Park, meta-analysis, neurotypical, out of africa, pattern recognition, phenotype, Rubik’s Cube, Silicon Valley, six sigma, Skype, social intelligence, Stephen Hawking, Steven Levy, Steven Pinker, systems thinking, theory of mind, twin studies, zero-sum game

It’s not that our ancestors before 70,000 to 100,000 years ago were incapable of recognizing all patterns; they could certainly recognize simple patterns such as “A is associated with B.” Even a rat or monkey can do this, using “statistical learning”: keeping track of how likely it is that A will be associated with B.34 And a rat or monkey can also use other pattern recognition processes, such as associative learning, which is particularly powerful when B is a reward or a punishment.35 Simple associative learning of this kind can explain how our hominid ancestors produced simple tools—like using a rock as a hammer to crack open a shell to get the nut inside, or using a stone ax to cut and scrape—and how they learned what was good to eat.

Neuroscientist Mike Lombardo and I examined brain-scanning (functional magnetic resonance imaging, or fMRI) data from studies in which a person is asked to do tasks related to systemizing. We looked at tasks involving attention to detail, error checking, reasoning, rule learning, numerical reasoning, and pattern recognition. All these aspects of systemizing use the sensory-perceptual areas of the brain. This makes sense because, when you systemize, you analyze the detail coming in through your senses, telling you what the world is actually like. In addition, the fMRI studies show that the Systemizing Mechanism depends strongly on lateral frontoparietal connections within the brain and a brain region called the intraparietal sulcus (IPS).43 The IPS is also active when humans engage in tool-making and is atypical in children with dyscalculia (those who struggle to systemize numbers).

A third possibility is that assortative mating among hyper-systemizers might be the result of two people being attracted to each other because their minds are similar.16 But how could we test this? We invited mothers and fathers of autistic children to take a systemizing test. We used the Embedded Figures Test, a pattern recognition test that involves finding a target piece hidden within a design. We had previously given this test to autistic adults, who are faster and more accurate at it than are typical adults, probably because, being hyper-systemizers, they break down information into its component parts as rapidly as possible, to then look for if-and-then patterns.


pages: 340 words: 97,723

The Big Nine: How the Tech Titans and Their Thinking Machines Could Warp Humanity by Amy Webb

"Friedman doctrine" OR "shareholder theory", Ada Lovelace, AI winter, air gap, Airbnb, airport security, Alan Turing: On Computable Numbers, with an Application to the Entscheidungsproblem, algorithmic bias, AlphaGo, Andy Rubin, artificial general intelligence, Asilomar, autonomous vehicles, backpropagation, Bayesian statistics, behavioural economics, Bernie Sanders, Big Tech, bioinformatics, Black Lives Matter, blockchain, Bretton Woods, business intelligence, Cambridge Analytica, Cass Sunstein, Charles Babbage, Claude Shannon: information theory, cloud computing, cognitive bias, complexity theory, computer vision, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, CRISPR, cross-border payments, crowdsourcing, cryptocurrency, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, data science, deep learning, DeepMind, Demis Hassabis, Deng Xiaoping, disinformation, distributed ledger, don't be evil, Donald Trump, Elon Musk, fail fast, fake news, Filter Bubble, Flynn Effect, Geoffrey Hinton, gig economy, Google Glasses, Grace Hopper, Gödel, Escher, Bach, Herman Kahn, high-speed rail, Inbox Zero, Internet of things, Jacques de Vaucanson, Jeff Bezos, Joan Didion, job automation, John von Neumann, knowledge worker, Lyft, machine translation, Mark Zuckerberg, Menlo Park, move fast and break things, Mustafa Suleyman, natural language processing, New Urbanism, Nick Bostrom, one-China policy, optical character recognition, packet switching, paperclip maximiser, pattern recognition, personalized medicine, RAND corporation, Ray Kurzweil, Recombinant DNA, ride hailing / ride sharing, Rodney Brooks, Rubik’s Cube, Salesforce, Sand Hill Road, Second Machine Age, self-driving car, seminal paper, SETI@home, side project, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, skunkworks, Skype, smart cities, South China Sea, sovereign wealth fund, speech recognition, Stephen Hawking, strong AI, superintelligent machines, surveillance capitalism, technological singularity, The Coming Technological Singularity, the long tail, theory of mind, Tim Cook: Apple, trade route, Turing machine, Turing test, uber lyft, Von Neumann architecture, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, zero day

Baidu, Tencent, and Alibaba may be publicly traded giants, but typical of all large Chinese companies, they must bend to the will of Beijing. China’s massive population of 1.4 billion citizens puts it in control of the largest, and possibly most important, natural resource in the era of AI: human data. Voluminous amounts of data are required to refine pattern recognition algorithms—which is why Chinese face recognition systems like Megvii and SenseTime are so attractive to investors. All the data that China’s citizens are generating as they make phone calls, buy things online, and post photos to social networks are helping Baidu, Alibaba, and Tencent to create best-in-class AI systems.

Yet we’ve both learned what an apple is and the general characteristics of how an apple tastes, what its texture is, and how it smells. During our lifetimes, we’ve learned to recognize what an apple is through reinforcement learning—someone taught us what an apple looked like, its purpose, and what differentiates it from other fruit. Then, over time and without conscious awareness, our autonomous biological pattern recognition systems got really good at determining something was an apple, even if we only had a few of the necessary data points. If you see a black-and-white, two-dimensional outline of an apple, you know what it is—even though you’re missing the taste, smell, crunch, and all the other data that signals to your brain this is an apple.

At MIT, computer scientist Joseph Weizenbaum wrote an early AI system called ELIZA, a chat program named after the ingenue in George Bernard Shaw’s play Pygmalion.23 This development was important for neural networks and AI because it was an early attempt at natural language processing, and the program accessed various prewritten scripts in order to have conversations with real people. The most famous script was called DOCTOR,24 and it mimicked an empathetic psychologist using pattern recognition to respond with strikingly humanistic responses. The Dartmouth workshop had now generated international attention, as did its researchers, who’d unexpectedly found themselves in the limelight. They were nerdy rock stars, giving everyday people a glimpse into a fantastical new vision of the future.


The Myth of Artificial Intelligence: Why Computers Can't Think the Way We Do by Erik J. Larson

AI winter, Alan Turing: On Computable Numbers, with an Application to the Entscheidungsproblem, Albert Einstein, Alignment Problem, AlphaGo, Amazon Mechanical Turk, artificial general intelligence, autonomous vehicles, Big Tech, Black Swan, Bletchley Park, Boeing 737 MAX, business intelligence, Charles Babbage, Claude Shannon: information theory, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, conceptual framework, correlation does not imply causation, data science, deep learning, DeepMind, driverless car, Elon Musk, Ernest Rutherford, Filter Bubble, Geoffrey Hinton, Georg Cantor, Higgs boson, hive mind, ImageNet competition, information retrieval, invention of the printing press, invention of the wheel, Isaac Newton, Jaron Lanier, Jeff Hawkins, John von Neumann, Kevin Kelly, Large Hadron Collider, Law of Accelerating Returns, Lewis Mumford, Loebner Prize, machine readable, machine translation, Nate Silver, natural language processing, Nick Bostrom, Norbert Wiener, PageRank, PalmPilot, paperclip maximiser, pattern recognition, Peter Thiel, public intellectual, Ray Kurzweil, retrograde motion, self-driving car, semantic web, Silicon Valley, social intelligence, speech recognition, statistical model, Stephen Hawking, superintelligent machines, tacit knowledge, technological singularity, TED Talk, The Coming Technological Singularity, the long tail, the scientific method, The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver, The Wisdom of Crowds, theory of mind, Turing machine, Turing test, Vernor Vinge, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, Yochai Benkler

3 Marcus goes on to point out that such theories are entirely too generic to advance the ball in neuroscience and related efforts in AI and the cognitive sciences: “Almost anything any creature does could at some level be seen as hierarchical-­pattern recognition; that’s why the idea has been around since the late nineteen-­fi fties. But simply asserting that the mind is a hierarchical-­pattern recognizer by itself tells us too l­ ittle: it d­ oesn’t say why h­ uman beings are the sort of creatures that use language (rodents presumably have a capacity for hierarchical-­pattern recognition, too, but d­ on’t talk), and it d­ oesn’t explain why many h­ umans strug­gle constantly with issues of self-­ control, nor why we are the sort of creatures who leave tips in restaurants in towns to which we ­w ill never return.” 4 Such generic theories are, ironically, also inspired by Big Data AI in a roundabout but very real way.

T H E WOR L D W I DE W EB The emergence of the World Wide Web spurred resurgence in AI for a ­simple reason: data. Suddenly, the availability of massive datasets, and in par­tic­u ­lar of text corpora (web pages) from the combined efforts of millions of new web users, breathed life into old, “shallow” statistical and pattern-­recognition approaches. Suddenly, what used to be shallow became adequate and worked. Supervised learning algorithms such as artificial neural networks (neural nets, for short), decision trees, and Bayesian classifiers had existed in university labs for de­cades. But without large datasets, they h­ adn’t yet shown much promise on in­ter­est­ing prob­lems like face recognition, or text classification, or spam or fraud detection.

The solution is then made available or passed back to lower layers u­ ntil we have a coherent prediction based on the original input. 264 T he F ­ uture of the M yth K U R Z W E I L’ S H I E R A R C H I C A L -­PA T T E R N R ECOGN IT ION T H EORY The hierarchical nature of the neocortex has also been noted by Ray Kurzweil, who writes in his 2012 How to Create a Mind that “the neocortex is responsible for dealing with our ability to deal with patterns and to do so in a hierarchical fashion. Animals without a neocortex (basically non-­mammals) are largely incapable of understanding hierarchies.”2 Kurzweil credits his own hierarchical theory, which he calls the pattern recognition theory of mind, as working off accepted neuroscience findings on the structure and function of the ­human neocortex, and also off progenitors like Hawkins’s own hierarchical account. The hierarchical structure of the neocortex is indeed well-­founded neuroscience. The columnar organ­ization of the neocortex was first discovered by American neuroscientist Vernon Mountcastle in 1957.


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Smart Machines: IBM's Watson and the Era of Cognitive Computing (Columbia Business School Publishing) by John E. Kelly Iii

AI winter, book value, call centre, carbon footprint, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, crowdsourcing, demand response, discovery of DNA, disruptive innovation, Erik Brynjolfsson, Fairchild Semiconductor, future of work, Geoffrey West, Santa Fe Institute, global supply chain, Great Leap Forward, Internet of things, John von Neumann, Large Hadron Collider, Mars Rover, natural language processing, optical character recognition, pattern recognition, planetary scale, RAND corporation, RFID, Richard Feynman, smart grid, smart meter, speech recognition, TED Talk, Turing test, Von Neumann architecture, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!

Rather than processing data sequentially, as in classic von Neumann computing, the chips mimic the brain’s event-driven, distributed, and parallel processing. Using those chips, team members were able to write applications, including teaching the system to play Pong, one of the earliest computer games, which demonstrated capabilities such as navigation, machine vision, and pattern recognition.10 In mid-2013, IBM produced a second generation of chips, with the design name TrueNorth. They possess approximately the same number of neurons as a bumblebee. If you put one hundred of the chips together in a computing system, you’re got something that occupies less than two liters of volume and consumes less energy than a lightbulb.

The flower might be designed to give visual cues to the participants in meetings, opening if the conversation is dynamic and useful and closing if it is boring and repetitive.12 The cognitive chips and Watson are complementary technologies. For the sake of simplicity, you can think of them as the right brain and left brain of the era of cognitive systems. Watson, the left brain, focuses on language and analytical thinking. The cognitive chips address senses and pattern recognition. Over the coming years, IBM scientists hope to meld the Watson and TrueNorth capabilities together to create a holistic computing intelligence. SCENARIO: MEDICAL IMAGING ASSISTANT Over the past century, tremendous progress has been made in technologies designed to help spot evidence of disease inside the human body.

Milind grew up in what he calls the “concrete jungle” of Pune, India. He loved the fact that even though it was a large city, he could get almost anywhere he wanted to go on foot. Later, he studied for a Ph.D. in electrical engineering at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign. The focus of his dissertation was on pattern recognition in multimedia content, which, it turns out, has some similarities to mapping the movements of people in cities. After working at IBM Research for several years, he got interested in using data and advanced analytics tools to solve transportation problems. His boss suggested that he find a city that would be willing to let him work with real data.


pages: 289 words: 87,292

The Strange Order of Things: The Biological Roots of Culture by Antonio Damasio

Albert Einstein, algorithmic bias, biofilm, business process, CRISPR, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, double helix, Gordon Gekko, invention of the wheel, invention of writing, invisible hand, job automation, mental accounting, meta-analysis, microbiome, Nick Bostrom, Norbert Wiener, pattern recognition, Peter Singer: altruism, planetary scale, post-truth, profit motive, Ray Kurzweil, Richard Feynman, self-driving car, Silicon Valley, Steven Pinker, Stuart Kauffman, Thomas Malthus

Nervous systems allow for the precise localization of sensory stimulation and for the coordination of complex and diverse physiological processes that integrate all major life-regulatory systems in the homeostatic effort. Giorgio Santoni, Claudio Cardinali, Maria Beatrice Morelli, Matteo Santoni, Massimo Nabissi, and Consuelo Amantini, “Danger- and Pathogen-Associated Molecular Patterns Recognition by Pattern-Recognition Receptors and Ion Channels of the Transient Receptor Potential Family Triggers the Inflammasome Activation in Immune Cells and Sensory Neurons,” Journal of Neuroinflammation 12, no. 1 (2015): 21; McMahon, La Russa, and Bennett, “Crosstalk Between the Nociceptive and Immune Systems in Host Defense and Disease”; Ardem Patapoutian, Simon Tate, and Clifford J.

Woolf, “Transient Receptor Potential Channels: Targeting Pain at the Source,” Nature Reviews Drug Discovery 8, no. 1 (2009): 55–68; Takaaki Sokabe and Makoto Tominaga, “A Temperature-Sensitive TRP Ion Channel, Painless, Functions as a Noxious Heat Sensor in Fruit Flies,” Communicative and Integrative Biology 2, no. 2 (2009): 170–73; Farina et al., “Pain-Related Modulation of the Human Motor Cortex.” 4. Santoni et al., “Danger- and Pathogen-Associated Molecular Patterns Recognition by Pattern-Recognition Receptors and Ion Channels of the Transient Receptor Potential Family Triggers the Inflammasome Activation in Immune Cells and Sensory Neurons”; Sokabe and Tominaga, “Temperature-Sensitive TRP Ion Channel, Painless, Functions as a Noxious Heat Sensor in Fruit Flies.” 5. Colin Klein and Andrew B.

Gaining access to strategies and devices that can speed up movement or improve one’s intellectual performance is hardly problematic except for competitions. The application of artificial intelligence to medical diagnostics is very promising. Diagnosis of illnesses and interpretation of diagnostic procedures are the bread and butter of medicine and depend on pattern recognition. Machine learning programs are a natural tool in this area and have achieved reliable and trustworthy results.2 By comparison with some of the currently contemplated genetic interventions, the developments in this general area are largely benign and potentially valuable. The most likely and immediate scenario is the achievement of prosthetic enhancement devices that could serve to not only compensate for missing functions but also enhance or augment human perception.


pages: 414 words: 109,622

Genius Makers: The Mavericks Who Brought A. I. To Google, Facebook, and the World by Cade Metz

AI winter, air gap, Airbnb, Alan Turing: On Computable Numbers, with an Application to the Entscheidungsproblem, AlphaGo, Amazon Robotics, artificial general intelligence, Asilomar, autonomous vehicles, backpropagation, Big Tech, British Empire, Cambridge Analytica, carbon-based life, cloud computing, company town, computer age, computer vision, deep learning, deepfake, DeepMind, Demis Hassabis, digital map, Donald Trump, driverless car, drone strike, Elon Musk, fake news, Fellow of the Royal Society, Frank Gehry, game design, Geoffrey Hinton, Google Earth, Google X / Alphabet X, Googley, Internet Archive, Isaac Newton, Jeff Hawkins, Jeffrey Epstein, job automation, John Markoff, life extension, machine translation, Mark Zuckerberg, means of production, Menlo Park, move 37, move fast and break things, Mustafa Suleyman, new economy, Nick Bostrom, nuclear winter, OpenAI, PageRank, PalmPilot, pattern recognition, Paul Graham, paypal mafia, Peter Thiel, profit motive, Richard Feynman, ride hailing / ride sharing, Ronald Reagan, Rubik’s Cube, Sam Altman, Sand Hill Road, self-driving car, side project, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley billionaire, Silicon Valley startup, Skype, speech recognition, statistical model, stem cell, Stephen Hawking, Steve Ballmer, Steven Levy, Steven Pinker, tech worker, telemarketer, The Future of Employment, Turing test, warehouse automation, warehouse robotics, Y Combinator

This gave decades of onlookers the impression that scientists were on the verge of re-creating the powers of the brain when, in reality, they were not. In 1966, a few dozen researchers traveled to Puerto Rico, gathering at the Hilton hotel in San Juan. They met to discuss the latest advances in what was then called “pattern recognition”—technology that could identify patterns in images and other data. Whereas Rosenblatt viewed the Perceptron as a model of the brain, others saw it as a means of pattern recognition. In later years, some commentators imagined Rosenblatt and Minsky locking horns at academic conferences like the one in San Juan, openly debating the future of the Perceptron, but their rivalry was implicit.

Eighty-nine pages in, as an aside, the book mentioned the Perceptron, calling it a device “capable of formulating simple hypotheses from regular exposure to raw data,” and LeCun was hooked, instantly enamored with the idea of a machine that could learn. Learning, he believed, was inextricable from intelligence. “Any animal with a brain can learn,” he often said. At a time when few researchers paid much attention to neural networks and those that did saw it not as artificial intelligence but as just another form of pattern recognition, LeCun homed in on the idea during his years as an undergraduate at the École Supérieure d’Ingénieurs en Électrotechnique et Électronique. Most of the papers he studied were written in English by Japanese researchers, because Japan was one of the few places where this research still went on.

As Hinton said: “He hasn’t got enough Trump in him.” Sitting at his desk inside Chauffeur, Krizhevsky was at the heart of this AI boom, but he didn’t see his role as all that important, and he didn’t see any of it as artificial intelligence. It was deep learning, and deep learning was just mathematics, pattern recognition, or, as he called it, “nonlinear regression.” These techniques had been around for decades. It was merely that people like him had come along at the right time, when there was enough data and enough processing power to make it all work. The technologies he built were in no way intelligent. They worked only in very particular situations.


pages: 303 words: 67,891

Advances in Artificial General Intelligence: Concepts, Architectures and Algorithms: Proceedings of the Agi Workshop 2006 by Ben Goertzel, Pei Wang

AI winter, artificial general intelligence, backpropagation, bioinformatics, brain emulation, classic study, combinatorial explosion, complexity theory, computer vision, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, conceptual framework, correlation coefficient, epigenetics, friendly AI, functional programming, G4S, higher-order functions, information retrieval, Isaac Newton, Jeff Hawkins, John Conway, Loebner Prize, Menlo Park, natural language processing, Nick Bostrom, Occam's razor, p-value, pattern recognition, performance metric, precautionary principle, Ray Kurzweil, Rodney Brooks, semantic web, statistical model, strong AI, theory of mind, traveling salesman, Turing machine, Turing test, Von Neumann architecture, Y2K

Like De Garis et al, Looks is concerned with ways of making evolutionary learning much more efficient with a view toward enabling it to play a leading role in AGI – but the approach is completely different. Rather than innovating on the hardware side, Looks suggests a collection of fundamental algorithmic innovations, which ultimately constitute a proposal to replace evolutionary learning with a probabilistic-pattern-recognition based learning algorithm (MOSES = Meta-Optimizing Semantic Evolutionary Search) that grows a population of candidate problem solutions via repeatedly recognizing probabilistic patterns in good solutions and using these patterns to generate new ones. The key ideas underlying MOSES are motivated by cognitive science ideas, most centrally the notion of “adaptive representation building” – having the learning algorithm figure out the right problem representation as it goes along, as part of the learning process, rather than assuming a well-tuned representation right from the start.

The chapter by Matthew Ikle’ et al, reviews aspects of Probabilistic Logic Networks (PLN) -- an AI problem-solving approach that, like MOSES, has been created with a view toward integration into the Novamente AI framework, as well as toward stand-alone performance. PLN is a probabilistic logic framework that combines probability theory, term logic and predicate logic with various heuristics in order to provide comprehensive forward and backward chaining inference in contexts ranging from mathematical theorem-proving to perceptual pattern-recognition, and speculative inductive and abductive inference. The specific topic of this chapter is the management of “weight of evidence” within PLN. Like NARS mentioned above and Peter Walley’s imprecise probability theory [23], PLN quantifies truth values using a minimum of two numbers (rather than, for instance, a single number representing a probability or fuzzy membership value).

So by having a generic model routed once only in the chip, we can send it different data for different neural net module evolutions. Sending in data to the already routed chip takes only a few seconds. As a more concrete illustration of this “generic evolution” idea, we provide the following example. Assume we want to evolve several hundred 2D pattern recognition neural net modules. The pattern to be detected is “shone” onto an 8 by 8 pixel grid of photo-cell detectors, each of whose signal strength outputs is strong if strong light falls on the photo-cell, and is weak if the light falling on it is weak. These 64 light intensity output signals are fed into a fully connected 16 neuron neural network.


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Survival of the Richest: Escape Fantasies of the Tech Billionaires by Douglas Rushkoff

"World Economic Forum" Davos, 4chan, A Declaration of the Independence of Cyberspace, agricultural Revolution, Airbnb, Alan Greenspan, Amazon Mechanical Turk, Amazon Web Services, Andrew Keen, AOL-Time Warner, artificial general intelligence, augmented reality, autonomous vehicles, basic income, behavioural economics, Big Tech, biodiversity loss, Biosphere 2, bitcoin, blockchain, Boston Dynamics, Burning Man, buy low sell high, Californian Ideology, carbon credits, carbon footprint, circular economy, clean water, cognitive dissonance, Colonization of Mars, coronavirus, COVID-19, creative destruction, Credit Default Swap, CRISPR, data science, David Graeber, DeepMind, degrowth, Demis Hassabis, deplatforming, digital capitalism, digital map, disinformation, Donald Trump, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, energy transition, Ethereum, ethereum blockchain, European colonialism, Evgeny Morozov, Extinction Rebellion, Fairphone, fake news, Filter Bubble, game design, gamification, gig economy, Gini coefficient, global pandemic, Google bus, green new deal, Greta Thunberg, Haight Ashbury, hockey-stick growth, Howard Rheingold, if you build it, they will come, impact investing, income inequality, independent contractor, Jane Jacobs, Jeff Bezos, Jeffrey Epstein, job automation, John Nash: game theory, John Perry Barlow, Joseph Schumpeter, Just-in-time delivery, liberal capitalism, Mark Zuckerberg, Marshall McLuhan, mass immigration, megaproject, meme stock, mental accounting, Michael Milken, microplastics / micro fibres, military-industrial complex, Minecraft, mirror neurons, move fast and break things, Naomi Klein, New Urbanism, Norbert Wiener, Oculus Rift, One Laptop per Child (OLPC), operational security, Patri Friedman, pattern recognition, Peter Thiel, planetary scale, Plato's cave, Ponzi scheme, profit motive, QAnon, RAND corporation, Ray Kurzweil, rent-seeking, Richard Thaler, ride hailing / ride sharing, Robinhood: mobile stock trading app, Sam Altman, Shoshana Zuboff, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley billionaire, SimCity, Singularitarianism, Skinner box, Snapchat, sovereign wealth fund, Stephen Hawking, Steve Bannon, Steve Jobs, Steven Levy, Steven Pinker, Stewart Brand, surveillance capitalism, tech billionaire, tech bro, technological solutionism, technoutopianism, Ted Nelson, TED Talk, the medium is the message, theory of mind, TikTok, Torches of Freedom, Tragedy of the Commons, universal basic income, urban renewal, warehouse robotics, We are as Gods, WeWork, Whole Earth Catalog, work culture , working poor

Contents Introduction:  Meet The Mindset 1        The Insulation Equation BILLIONAIRE BUNKER STRATEGIES 2        Mergers and Acquisitions ALWAYS HAVE AN EXIT STRATEGY 3        A Womb with a View YOU ARE SAFE IN YOUR TECHNO-BUBBLE 4        The Dumbwaiter Effect OUT OF SIGHT, OUT OF MIND 5        Selfish Genes SCIENTISM OVER MORALITY 6        Pedal to the Metal DEHUMANIZE, DOMINATE, AND EXTRACT 7        Exponential WHEN YOU CAN GO NO FURTHER, GO META 8        Persuasive Tech IF YOU COULD JUST PUSH A BUTTON 9        Visions from Burning Man WE ARE AS GODS 10      The Great Reset TO SAVE THE WORLD, SAVE CAPITALISM 11      The Mindset in the Mirror RESISTANCE IS FUTILE 12      Cybernetic Karma HOISTED BY THEIR OWN PETARD 13      Pattern Recognition EVERYTHING COMES BACK Acknowledgments Notes Survival of the Richest INTRODUCTION Meet The Mindset I got invited to a super-deluxe resort to deliver a speech to what I assumed would be a hundred or so investment bankers. It was by far the largest fee I had ever been offered for a talk—about a third of my annual salary as a professor at a public college—all to deliver some insight on “the future of technology.”

Maybe the fear of AI—this awareness of something they believe to be greater than themselves—will be enough to make holders of The Mindset less disdainful of the rest of humanity, and help them begin to see themselves as on the same team as everyone else. After all, they’re not escaping from us; they’re escaping from their own creations. Their fate will ultimately depend on whether their artificial intelligences adopt the mindset of their creators. 13 Pattern Recognition EVERYTHING COMES BACK A s I type these words, Jeff Bezos is making his first trip into space on his privately funded rocket ship, Blue Origin. He has reached Zero G a week after fellow billionaire Richard Branson got there in a slightly less explosively priapic fashion, his craft first hoisted up to the sky by some airplanes before setting off for higher altitudes.

There’s no place to externalize harm, but that becomes a strong incentive to engage in practices that benefit the community instead of poisoning or impoverishing it. This, in turn, inspires innovation and efficiencies rarely achieved when companies are financialized by distant shareholders. McLuhan predicted that in order to orient ourselves properly in the digital age, we would need to develop pattern recognition—the ability to soften our focus from the particular details of any situation in order to perceive the greater patterns. Digital feedback loops are helping us see that our media, technology, culture, economy, and natural world all have at least as much of a cyclical character as a linear one.


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The Alignment Problem: Machine Learning and Human Values by Brian Christian

Albert Einstein, algorithmic bias, Alignment Problem, AlphaGo, Amazon Mechanical Turk, artificial general intelligence, augmented reality, autonomous vehicles, backpropagation, butterfly effect, Cambridge Analytica, Cass Sunstein, Claude Shannon: information theory, computer vision, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, data science, deep learning, DeepMind, Donald Knuth, Douglas Hofstadter, effective altruism, Elaine Herzberg, Elon Musk, Frances Oldham Kelsey, game design, gamification, Geoffrey Hinton, Goodhart's law, Google Chrome, Google Glasses, Google X / Alphabet X, Gödel, Escher, Bach, Hans Moravec, hedonic treadmill, ImageNet competition, industrial robot, Internet Archive, John von Neumann, Joi Ito, Kenneth Arrow, language acquisition, longitudinal study, machine translation, mandatory minimum, mass incarceration, multi-armed bandit, natural language processing, Nick Bostrom, Norbert Wiener, Northpointe / Correctional Offender Management Profiling for Alternative Sanctions, OpenAI, Panopticon Jeremy Bentham, pattern recognition, Peter Singer: altruism, Peter Thiel, precautionary principle, premature optimization, RAND corporation, recommendation engine, Richard Feynman, Rodney Brooks, Saturday Night Live, selection bias, self-driving car, seminal paper, side project, Silicon Valley, Skinner box, sparse data, speech recognition, Stanislav Petrov, statistical model, Steve Jobs, strong AI, the map is not the territory, theory of mind, Tim Cook: Apple, W. E. B. Du Bois, Wayback Machine, zero-sum game

In Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 1471–79, 2016. Bellman, Richard. Dynamic Programming. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1957. Bendale, Abhijit, and Terrance Boult. “Towards Open World Recognition.” In Proceedings of the IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition, 1893–1902. CVPR, 2015. Bengio, Yoshua. “Neural Net Language Models.” Scholarpedia 3, no. 1 (2008): 3881. http://www.scholarpedia.org/article/Neural_net_language_models. Bengio, Yoshua, Réjean Ducharme, Pascal Vincent, and Christian Jauvin. “A Neural Probabilistic Language Model.” Journal of Machine Learning Research 3 (2003): 1137–55.

Springer Science & Business Media, 1985. Demski, Abram, and Scott Garrabrant. “Embedded Agency.” CoRR abs/1902.09469 (2019). Deng, Jia, Wei Dong, Richard Socher, Li-Jia Li, Kai Li, and Li Fei-Fei. “ImageNet: A Large-Scale Hierarchical Image Database.” In 2009 IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition, 248–55. IEEE, 2009. Denker, John S., and Yann LeCun. “Transforming Neural-Net Output Levels to Probability Distributions.” In Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 3, 853–59, 1991. Denker, John, Daniel Schwartz, Ben Wittner, Sara Solla, Richard Howard, Lawrence Jackel, and John Hopfield.

In Proceedings of the 17th International Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems, 122–30. International Foundation for Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems, 2018. Fong, Ruth, and Andrea Vedaldi. “Net2Vec: Quantifying and Explaining How Concepts Are Encoded by Filters in Deep Neural Networks.” In Proceedings of the IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition, 8730–38. 2018. “Four Out of Ten Violate Parole, Says Legislator.” Chicago Tribune, May 15, 1937. Frederick, Shane, and George Loewenstein. “Hedonic Adaptation.” In Well-Being: The Foundations of Hedonic Psychology, edited by Daniel Kahneman, Edward Diener, and Norbert Schwarz, 302–29. New York: Russell Sage Foundation, 1999.


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New Laws of Robotics: Defending Human Expertise in the Age of AI by Frank Pasquale

affirmative action, Affordable Care Act / Obamacare, Airbnb, algorithmic bias, Amazon Mechanical Turk, Anthropocene, augmented reality, Automated Insights, autonomous vehicles, basic income, battle of ideas, Bernie Sanders, Big Tech, Bill Joy: nanobots, bitcoin, blockchain, Brexit referendum, call centre, Cambridge Analytica, carbon tax, citizen journalism, Clayton Christensen, collective bargaining, commoditize, computer vision, conceptual framework, contact tracing, coronavirus, corporate social responsibility, correlation does not imply causation, COVID-19, critical race theory, cryptocurrency, data is the new oil, data science, decarbonisation, deep learning, deepfake, deskilling, digital divide, digital twin, disinformation, disruptive innovation, don't be evil, Donald Trump, Douglas Engelbart, driverless car, effective altruism, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, Erik Brynjolfsson, Evgeny Morozov, fake news, Filter Bubble, finite state, Flash crash, future of work, gamification, general purpose technology, Google Chrome, Google Glasses, Great Leap Forward, green new deal, guns versus butter model, Hans Moravec, high net worth, hiring and firing, holacracy, Ian Bogost, independent contractor, informal economy, information asymmetry, information retrieval, interchangeable parts, invisible hand, James Bridle, Jaron Lanier, job automation, John Markoff, Joi Ito, Khan Academy, knowledge economy, late capitalism, lockdown, machine readable, Marc Andreessen, Mark Zuckerberg, means of production, medical malpractice, megaproject, meta-analysis, military-industrial complex, Modern Monetary Theory, Money creation, move fast and break things, mutually assured destruction, natural language processing, new economy, Nicholas Carr, Nick Bostrom, Norbert Wiener, nuclear winter, obamacare, One Laptop per Child (OLPC), open immigration, OpenAI, opioid epidemic / opioid crisis, paperclip maximiser, paradox of thrift, pattern recognition, payday loans, personalized medicine, Peter Singer: altruism, Philip Mirowski, pink-collar, plutocrats, post-truth, pre–internet, profit motive, public intellectual, QR code, quantitative easing, race to the bottom, RAND corporation, Ray Kurzweil, recommendation engine, regulatory arbitrage, Robert Shiller, Rodney Brooks, Ronald Reagan, self-driving car, sentiment analysis, Shoshana Zuboff, Silicon Valley, Singularitarianism, smart cities, smart contracts, software is eating the world, South China Sea, Steve Bannon, Strategic Defense Initiative, surveillance capitalism, Susan Wojcicki, tacit knowledge, TaskRabbit, technological solutionism, technoutopianism, TED Talk, telepresence, telerobotics, The Future of Employment, The Turner Diaries, Therac-25, Thorstein Veblen, too big to fail, Turing test, universal basic income, unorthodox policies, wage slave, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, working poor, workplace surveillance , Works Progress Administration, zero day

Each box in the grid can be identified as either skin or not skin, smooth or not smooth, along hundreds or even thousands of binaries, many of which would never be noticeable by the human eye. And even more sensing is available. Medical images may also encode data at the pixel or voxel (3-D pixel) level that map to what our hands, nose, or ear might sense—and far more. Pattern recognition via machine vision found early commercial success with banks, which needed a way to recognize numbers on checks (given the wide variety of human handwriting). With enough examples of written numbers and computational power, this recognition can become nearly perfect. Thus, machine vision is “superhuman” in many respects, in terms of both “ingesting” data and comparing those data to millions of other images.

Although AI may create more bounty for all, potentially boosting welfare via effects on all of these areas, it can just as readily accelerate unwanted surveillance, social division, and zero-sum competition. These effects can have just as much or more effect on lifespan and well-being as advances in surgical robots or AI-optimized diets. For most healthy people, doctoring looks like a simple task of pattern recognition (diagnosis) resulting in procedure or prescription. The idealized TV doctor judiciously weighs the evidence, forcefully recommends a course of action, and moves on to the next case. Were things so simple, robots could eventually stand in for doctors. But in the real world of medical practice, this image is long outdated.

The digital / non-digital divide is, however, very useful in another way: it is much easier to imagine a future machine-vision system effortlessly parsing the difference between paint and pixels than convincingly distinguishing between a still from the beginning of a pornographic film and a photograph documenting the lives of sex workers in a tasteful and artistic way. The former is a mere pattern-recognition task, and we can imagine hundreds of thousands of images uncontroversially classified as one or the other, perhaps by workers on Amazon’s Mechanical Turk platform (and perhaps even via unsupervised machine learning).55 The latter is a matter of moral and aesthetic judgment—and that judgment may change over time, or vary by place.


Programming Computer Vision with Python by Jan Erik Solem

augmented reality, computer vision, database schema, en.wikipedia.org, optical character recognition, pattern recognition, text mining, Thomas Bayes, web application

High-accuracy stereo depth maps using structured light. In IEEE Computer Society Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition, 2003. [31] Toby Segaran. Programming Collective Intelligence. O’Reilly Media, 2007. [32] Jianbo Shi and Jitendra Malik. Normalized cuts and image segmentation. IEEE Trans. Pattern Anal. Mach. Intell., 22:888–905, August 2000. [33] Jianbo Shi and Carlo Tomasi. Good features to track. In 1994 IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (CVPR’94), pages 593–600, 1994. [34] Noah Snavely, Steven M. Seitz, and Richard Szeliski. Photo tourism: Exploring photo collections in 3d.

An optical Sudoku solver. In Swedish Symposium on Image Analysis, SSBA. http://www.maths.lth.se/matematiklth/personal/byrod/papers/sudokuocr.pdf, 2007. [5] Antonin Chambolle. Total variation minimization and a class of binary mrf models. In Energy Minimization Methods in Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition, Lecture Notes in Computer Science, pages 136–152. Springer Berlin / Heidelberg, 2005. [6] T. Chan and L. Vese. Active contours without edges. IEEE Trans. Image Processing, 10(2):266–277, 2001. [7] Chih-Chung Chang and Chih-Jen Lin. LIBSVM: a library for support vector machines, 2001.

Beginning Game Development with Python and Pygame. Apress, 2007. [22] F. Meyer. Color image segmentation. In Proceedings of the 4th Conference on Image Processing and its Applications, pages 302–306, 1992. [23] D. Nistér and H. Stewénius. Scalable recognition with a vocabulary tree. In IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (CVPR), volume 2, pages 2161–2168, 2006. [24] Travis E. Oliphant. Guide to NumPy. http://www.tramy.us/numpybook.pdf, 2006. [25] M. Pollefeys, L. Van Gool, M. Vergauwen, F. Verbiest, K. Cornelis, J. Tops, and R. Koch. Visual modeling with a hand-held camera. International Journal of Computer Vision, 59(3):207–232, 2004


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You Are Not a Gadget by Jaron Lanier

1960s counterculture, Abraham Maslow, accounting loophole / creative accounting, additive manufacturing, Albert Einstein, Bear Stearns, call centre, cloud computing, commoditize, crowdsourcing, death of newspapers, different worldview, digital Maoism, Douglas Hofstadter, Extropian, follow your passion, General Magic , hive mind, Internet Archive, Jaron Lanier, jimmy wales, John Conway, John Perry Barlow, John von Neumann, Kevin Kelly, Long Term Capital Management, Neal Stephenson, Network effects, new economy, packet switching, PageRank, pattern recognition, Ponzi scheme, Project Xanadu, Ray Kurzweil, Richard Stallman, Savings and loan crisis, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, slashdot, social graph, stem cell, Steve Jobs, Stewart Brand, Stuart Kauffman, synthetic biology, technological determinism, Ted Nelson, telemarketer, telepresence, the long tail, The Wisdom of Crowds, trickle-down economics, Turing test, Vernor Vinge, Whole Earth Catalog

A computer was watching my face through a digital camera and generating varied opprobrious percussive sounds according to which funny face it recognized in each moment.† (Keeping a rhythm with your face is a strange new trick—we should expect a generation of kids to adopt the practice en masse any year now.) This is the sort of deceptively silly event that should be taken seriously as an indicator of technological change. In the coming years, pattern-recognition tasks like facial tracking will become commonplace. On one level, this means we will have to rethink public policy related to privacy, since hypothetically a network of security cameras could automatically determine where everyone is and what faces they are making, but there are many other extraordinary possibilities.

While there are still a great many qualities in our experience that cannot be represented in software using any known technique, engineers have finally gained the ability to create software that can represent a smile, and write code that captures at least part of what all smiles have in common. This is an unheralded transformation in our abilities that took place around the turn of our new century. I wasn’t sure I would live to see it, though it continues to surprise me that engineers and scientists I run across from time to time don’t realize it has happened. Pattern-recognition technology and neuroscience are growing up together. The software I used at NAMM was a perfect example of this intertwining. Neuroscience can inspire practical technology rather quickly. The original project was undertaken in the 1990s under the auspices of Christoph von der Malsburg, a University of Southern California neuroscientist, and his students, especially Hartmut Neven.

When your speed matched that average, the ride would feel less bumpy. You couldn’t see the bumps with your eyes except right at sunset, when the horizontal red light rays highlighted every irregularity in the ground. At midday you had to drive carefully to avoid the hidden information in the road. Digital algorithms must approach pattern recognition in a similarly indirect way, and they often have to make use of a common procedure that’s a little like running virtual tires over virtual bumps. It’s called the Fourier transform. A Fourier transform detects how much action there is at particular “speeds” (frequencies) in a block of digital information.


Bulletproof Problem Solving by Charles Conn, Robert McLean

active transport: walking or cycling, Airbnb, Amazon Mechanical Turk, asset allocation, availability heuristic, Bayesian statistics, behavioural economics, Big Tech, Black Swan, blockchain, book value, business logic, business process, call centre, carbon footprint, cloud computing, correlation does not imply causation, Credit Default Swap, crowdsourcing, David Brooks, deep learning, Donald Trump, driverless car, drop ship, Elon Musk, endowment effect, fail fast, fake news, future of work, Garrett Hardin, Hyperloop, Innovator's Dilemma, inventory management, iterative process, loss aversion, megaproject, meta-analysis, Nate Silver, nudge unit, Occam's razor, pattern recognition, pets.com, prediction markets, principal–agent problem, RAND corporation, randomized controlled trial, risk tolerance, Silicon Valley, SimCity, smart contracts, stem cell, sunk-cost fallacy, the rule of 72, the scientific method, The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver, time value of money, Tragedy of the Commons, transfer pricing, Vilfredo Pareto, walkable city, WikiLeaks

Problem solving will increasingly utilize advances in machine learning to predict patterns in consumer behavior, disease, credit risk, and other complex phenomena, termed machine muscle. To meet the challenges of the twenty‐first century, mental muscle and machine muscle have to work together. Machine learning frees human problem solvers from computational drudgery and amplifies the pattern recognition required for faster organizational response to external challenges. For this partnership to work, twenty‐first century organizations need staff who are quick on their feet, who learn new skills quickly, and who attack emerging problems with confidence. The World Economic Forum in its Future of Jobs Report3  placed complex problem solving at #1 in its top 10 skills for jobs in 2020.

When we encounter genuinely novel problems, we sometimes persist in using frames that are unhelpful or misleading in the new and different context. For centuries, astronomers thought the sun revolved around the earth, and scratched their heads when important navigation problems weren't easy to solve! The next section addresses team processes that can help speed problem solving while avoiding the potholes of false pattern recognition. Team Processes in Problem Disaggregation and Prioritization These problem solving steps benefit substantially from teamwork, and solo practitioners should consider enlisting family or friends to assist them here. Because it is often difficult to see the structure of the problem, team brainstorming is hugely valuable, especially when trying different lenses or cleaving frames.

Just like learning to say a foreign phrase, the first time is labored and painfully self‐conscious. With time it becomes, literally, second nature and disappears into our automatic mental systems. This is great for speaking a new language or riding a bike or tying your shoes … but not so great for systematic problem solving. Our kind of problem solving can and does benefit from pattern recognition, of course. When you correctly see that a particular business problem is best cleaved by a return on capital tree or a supply curve, it makes problem solving faster and more accurate. Philip Tetlock reports that grandmasters at chess have 50,000–100,000 patterns stored in this deep memory system.2 But when we incorrectly see a familiar framing for a new kind of problem, we risk disastrously wrong solutions or endless work getting back on track.


pages: 660 words: 141,595

Data Science for Business: What You Need to Know About Data Mining and Data-Analytic Thinking by Foster Provost, Tom Fawcett

Albert Einstein, Amazon Mechanical Turk, Apollo 13, big data - Walmart - Pop Tarts, bioinformatics, business process, call centre, chief data officer, Claude Shannon: information theory, computer vision, conceptual framework, correlation does not imply causation, crowdsourcing, data acquisition, data science, David Brooks, en.wikipedia.org, Erik Brynjolfsson, Gini coefficient, Helicobacter pylori, independent contractor, information retrieval, intangible asset, iterative process, Johann Wolfgang von Goethe, Louis Pasteur, Menlo Park, Nate Silver, Netflix Prize, new economy, p-value, pattern recognition, placebo effect, price discrimination, recommendation engine, Ronald Coase, selection bias, Silicon Valley, Skype, SoftBank, speech recognition, Steve Jobs, supply-chain management, systems thinking, Teledyne, text mining, the long tail, The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver, Thomas Bayes, transaction costs, WikiLeaks

So a reader with some background in regression analysis may encounter new and even seemingly contradictory lessons.[12] Machine Learning and Data Mining The collection of methods for extracting (predictive) models from data, now known as machine learning methods, were developed in several fields contemporaneously, most notably Machine Learning, Applied Statistics, and Pattern Recognition. Machine Learning as a field of study arose as a subfield of Artificial Intelligence, which was concerned with methods for improving the knowledge or performance of an intelligent agent over time, in response to the agent’s experience in the world. Such improvement often involves analyzing data from the environment and making predictions about unknown quantities, and over the years this data analysis aspect of machine learning has come to play a very large role in the field.

Such improvement often involves analyzing data from the environment and making predictions about unknown quantities, and over the years this data analysis aspect of machine learning has come to play a very large role in the field. As machine learning methods were deployed broadly, the scientific disciplines of Machine Learning, Applied Statistics, and Pattern Recognition developed close ties, and the separation between the fields has blurred. The field of Data Mining (or KDD: Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining) started as an offshoot of Machine Learning, and they remain closely linked. Both fields are concerned with the analysis of data to find useful or informative patterns.

Unless stated otherwise, we will assume that the values of all the attributes (but not the target) are present in the data. Many Names for the Same Things The principles and techniques of data science historically have been studied in several different fields, including machine learning, pattern recognition, statistics, databases, and others. As a result there often are several different names for the same things. We typically will refer to a dataset, whose form usually is the same as a table of a database or a worksheet of a spreadsheet. A dataset contains a set of examples or instances. An instance also is referred to as a row of a database table or sometimes a case in statistics.


pages: 144 words: 43,356

Surviving AI: The Promise and Peril of Artificial Intelligence by Calum Chace

3D printing, Ada Lovelace, AI winter, Airbnb, Alvin Toffler, artificial general intelligence, augmented reality, barriers to entry, basic income, bitcoin, Bletchley Park, blockchain, brain emulation, Buckminster Fuller, Charles Babbage, cloud computing, computer age, computer vision, correlation does not imply causation, credit crunch, cryptocurrency, cuban missile crisis, deep learning, DeepMind, dematerialisation, Demis Hassabis, discovery of the americas, disintermediation, don't be evil, driverless car, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, epigenetics, Erik Brynjolfsson, everywhere but in the productivity statistics, Flash crash, friendly AI, Geoffrey Hinton, Google Glasses, hedonic treadmill, hype cycle, industrial robot, Internet of things, invention of agriculture, job automation, John Maynard Keynes: Economic Possibilities for our Grandchildren, John Maynard Keynes: technological unemployment, John von Neumann, Kevin Kelly, life extension, low skilled workers, machine translation, Mahatma Gandhi, means of production, mutually assured destruction, Neil Armstrong, Nicholas Carr, Nick Bostrom, paperclip maximiser, pattern recognition, peer-to-peer, peer-to-peer model, Peter Thiel, radical life extension, Ray Kurzweil, Robert Solow, Rodney Brooks, Second Machine Age, self-driving car, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley ideology, Skype, South Sea Bubble, speech recognition, Stanislav Petrov, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, strong AI, technological singularity, TED Talk, The future is already here, The Future of Employment, theory of mind, Turing machine, Turing test, universal basic income, Vernor Vinge, wage slave, Wall-E, zero-sum game

It soon became apparent that there were diminishing returns to investment in these systems, and when the second AI winter thawed in the early 1990s it was thanks to the rise of more statistical approaches, which are often collectively termed machine learning. Machine Learning Machine learning is the process of creating and refining algorithms which can produce conclusions based on data without being explicitly programmed to do so. It overlaps closely with a number of other domains, including pattern recognition: machine learning algorithms are becoming increasingly impressive at recognising images, for instance. Another is computational statistics, which is the development of algorithms to implement statistical methods on computers. A third is the field of data mining, and its offshoot Big Data. Data mining is the process of discovering previously unknown properties in large data sets, whereas machine learning systems usually make predictions based on information which is already known to the experimenter, using training data.

Early hopes for the quick development of thinking machines were dashed, however, and neural nets fell into disuse until the late 1980s, when they experienced a renaissance along with what came to be known as deep learning thanks to pioneers Yann LeCun (now at Facebook), Geoff Hinton (now at Google) and Yoshua Bengio, a professor at the University of Montreal. Yann LeCun describes deep learning as follows. “A pattern recognition system is like a black box with a camera at one end, a green light and a red light on top, and a whole bunch of knobs on the front. The learning algorithm tries to adjust the knobs so that when, say, a dog is in front of the camera, the red light turns on, and when a car is put in front of the camera, the green light turns on.

We will look at this again later in this chapter. Similarly, some people are dismissive of the progress made by artificial intelligence since the discipline began 60 years ago, complaining that we don’t yet have a machine which knows it is alive. But it is daft to dismiss as failures today’s best pattern recognition systems, self-driving cars, and machines which can beat any human at many games of skill. Informed scepticism about near-term AGI We should take more seriously the arguments of very experienced AI researchers who claim that although the AGI undertaking is possible, it won’t be achieved for a very long time.


pages: 413 words: 119,587

Machines of Loving Grace: The Quest for Common Ground Between Humans and Robots by John Markoff

A Declaration of the Independence of Cyberspace, AI winter, airport security, Andy Rubin, Apollo 11, Apple II, artificial general intelligence, Asilomar, augmented reality, autonomous vehicles, backpropagation, basic income, Baxter: Rethink Robotics, Bill Atkinson, Bill Duvall, bioinformatics, Boston Dynamics, Brewster Kahle, Burning Man, call centre, cellular automata, Charles Babbage, Chris Urmson, Claude Shannon: information theory, Clayton Christensen, clean water, cloud computing, cognitive load, collective bargaining, computer age, Computer Lib, computer vision, crowdsourcing, Danny Hillis, DARPA: Urban Challenge, data acquisition, Dean Kamen, deep learning, DeepMind, deskilling, Do you want to sell sugared water for the rest of your life?, don't be evil, Douglas Engelbart, Douglas Engelbart, Douglas Hofstadter, Dr. Strangelove, driverless car, dual-use technology, Dynabook, Edward Snowden, Elon Musk, Erik Brynjolfsson, Evgeny Morozov, factory automation, Fairchild Semiconductor, Fillmore Auditorium, San Francisco, From Mathematics to the Technologies of Life and Death, future of work, Galaxy Zoo, General Magic , Geoffrey Hinton, Google Glasses, Google X / Alphabet X, Grace Hopper, Gunnar Myrdal, Gödel, Escher, Bach, Hacker Ethic, Hans Moravec, haute couture, Herbert Marcuse, hive mind, hype cycle, hypertext link, indoor plumbing, industrial robot, information retrieval, Internet Archive, Internet of things, invention of the wheel, Ivan Sutherland, Jacques de Vaucanson, Jaron Lanier, Jeff Bezos, Jeff Hawkins, job automation, John Conway, John Markoff, John Maynard Keynes: Economic Possibilities for our Grandchildren, John Maynard Keynes: technological unemployment, John Perry Barlow, John von Neumann, Kaizen: continuous improvement, Kevin Kelly, Kiva Systems, knowledge worker, Kodak vs Instagram, labor-force participation, loose coupling, Marc Andreessen, Mark Zuckerberg, Marshall McLuhan, medical residency, Menlo Park, military-industrial complex, Mitch Kapor, Mother of all demos, natural language processing, Neil Armstrong, new economy, Norbert Wiener, PageRank, PalmPilot, pattern recognition, Philippa Foot, pre–internet, RAND corporation, Ray Kurzweil, reality distortion field, Recombinant DNA, Richard Stallman, Robert Gordon, Robert Solow, Rodney Brooks, Sand Hill Road, Second Machine Age, self-driving car, semantic web, Seymour Hersh, shareholder value, side project, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, Singularitarianism, skunkworks, Skype, social software, speech recognition, stealth mode startup, Stephen Hawking, Steve Ballmer, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, Steven Levy, Stewart Brand, Strategic Defense Initiative, strong AI, superintelligent machines, tech worker, technological singularity, Ted Nelson, TED Talk, telemarketer, telepresence, telepresence robot, Tenerife airport disaster, The Coming Technological Singularity, the medium is the message, Thorstein Veblen, Tony Fadell, trolley problem, Turing test, Vannevar Bush, Vernor Vinge, warehouse automation, warehouse robotics, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, We are as Gods, Whole Earth Catalog, William Shockley: the traitorous eight, zero-sum game

Jeff Hawkins, a successful Silicon Valley engineer who had founded Palm Computing with Donna Dubinsky, coauthored On Intelligence in 2004, which argued that the path to human-level intelligence lay in emulating and scaling up neocortex-like circuits capable of pattern recognition. In 2005, Hawkins formed Numenta, one of a growing list of AI companies pursuing pattern recognition technologies. Hawkins’s theory has parallels with the claims that Kurzweil makes in How to Create a Mind, his 2012 effort to lay out a recipe for intelligence. Similar paths have been pursued by Dileep George, a Stanford-educated artificial intelligence researcher who originally worked with Hawkins at Numenta and then left to form his own company, Vicarious, with the goal of developing “the next generation of AI algorithms,” and Henry Markram, the Swiss researcher who has enticed the European Union into supporting his effort to build a detailed replica of the human brain with one billion euros in funding.

During the past half decade that acceleration has led to rapid improvement in technologies that are necessary components for artificial intelligence: computer vision, speech recognition, and robotic touch and manipulation. Machines now also taste and smell, but recently more significant innovations have come from modeling human neurons in electronic circuits, which has begun to yield advances in pattern recognition—mimicking human cognition. The quickening pace of AI innovation has led some, such as Rice University computer scientist Moshe Vardi, to proclaim the imminent end of a very significant fraction of all tasks performed by humans, perhaps as soon as 2045.2 Even more radical voices argue that computers are evolving at such a rapid pace that they will outstrip the intellectual capabilities of humans in one, or at the most two more generations.

When the acquisition was first reported it was rumored that because of the power and implications of the technology Google would set up an “ethics board” to evaluate any unspecified “advances.”51 It has remained unclear whether such oversight will be substantial or whether it was just a publicity stunt to hype the acquisition and justify its price. It is undeniable that AI and machine-learning algorithms have already had world-transforming application in areas as diverse as science, manufacturing, and entertainment. Examples range from machine vision and pattern recognition essential in improving quality in semiconductor design and so-called rational drug discovery algorithms, which systematize the creation of new pharmaceuticals, to government surveillance and social media companies whose business model is invading privacy for profit. The optimists hope that potential abuses will be minimized if the applications remain human-focused rather than algorithm-centric.


pages: 320 words: 87,853

The Black Box Society: The Secret Algorithms That Control Money and Information by Frank Pasquale

Adam Curtis, Affordable Care Act / Obamacare, Alan Greenspan, algorithmic trading, Amazon Mechanical Turk, American Legislative Exchange Council, asset-backed security, Atul Gawande, bank run, barriers to entry, basic income, Bear Stearns, Berlin Wall, Bernie Madoff, Black Swan, bonus culture, Brian Krebs, business cycle, business logic, call centre, Capital in the Twenty-First Century by Thomas Piketty, Chelsea Manning, Chuck Templeton: OpenTable:, cloud computing, collateralized debt obligation, computerized markets, corporate governance, Credit Default Swap, credit default swaps / collateralized debt obligations, crowdsourcing, cryptocurrency, data science, Debian, digital rights, don't be evil, drone strike, Edward Snowden, en.wikipedia.org, Evgeny Morozov, Fall of the Berlin Wall, Filter Bubble, financial engineering, financial innovation, financial thriller, fixed income, Flash crash, folksonomy, full employment, Gabriella Coleman, Goldman Sachs: Vampire Squid, Google Earth, Hernando de Soto, High speed trading, hiring and firing, housing crisis, Ian Bogost, informal economy, information asymmetry, information retrieval, information security, interest rate swap, Internet of things, invisible hand, Jaron Lanier, Jeff Bezos, job automation, John Bogle, Julian Assange, Kevin Kelly, Kevin Roose, knowledge worker, Kodak vs Instagram, kremlinology, late fees, London Interbank Offered Rate, London Whale, machine readable, Marc Andreessen, Mark Zuckerberg, Michael Milken, mobile money, moral hazard, new economy, Nicholas Carr, offshore financial centre, PageRank, pattern recognition, Philip Mirowski, precariat, profit maximization, profit motive, public intellectual, quantitative easing, race to the bottom, reality distortion field, recommendation engine, regulatory arbitrage, risk-adjusted returns, Satyajit Das, Savings and loan crisis, search engine result page, shareholder value, Silicon Valley, Snapchat, social intelligence, Spread Networks laid a new fibre optics cable between New York and Chicago, statistical arbitrage, statistical model, Steven Levy, technological solutionism, the scientific method, too big to fail, transaction costs, two-sided market, universal basic income, Upton Sinclair, value at risk, vertical integration, WikiLeaks, Yochai Benkler, zero-sum game

51 Although internet giants say their algorithms are scientific and neutral tools, it is very difficult to verify those claims.52 And while they have become critical economic infrastructure, trade secrecy law permits managers to hide their methodolo- INTRODUCTION—THE NEED TO KNOW 15 gies, and business practices, deflecting scrutiny.53 Chapter 3 examines some personal implications of opaque search technology, along with larger issues that it raises in business and law. Like the reputation and search sectors, the finance industry has characterized more and more decisions as computable, programmable procedures. Big data enables complex pattern recognition techniques to analyze massive data sets. Algorithmic methods of reducing judgment to a series of steps were supposed to rationalize finance, replacing self-serving or biased intermediaries with sound decision frameworks. And they did reduce some inefficiencies. But they also ended up firmly building in some dubious old patterns of credit castes and corporate unaccountability.54 The black boxes of finance replaced familiar old problems with a triple whammy of technical complexity, real secrecy, and trade secret laws.

When we click on an ad promising a discount, there’s probably a program behind the scenes calculating how much more it can charge us on the basis of our location,3 or whether we’re using a Mac or PC, or even court records.4 It’s not only the National Security Agency (NSA) that covets total information awareness; that’s the goal of marketers, too. They want that endless array of data points to develop exhaustive profiles. Of us. Pattern recognition is the name of the game— connecting the dots of past behavior to predict the future. Are you a fierce comparison shopper, or the relaxed kind who’s OK spending a few extra dollars for a plane ticket or a movie if it saves some trouble? Firms want to know, and they can find out quite easily.

In most cases, they stay well hidden. But reporters are beginning to open up the black box of consumer profiling, as Charles Duhigg did in his 2012 report on Target, the second-largest U.S. discount retailer and a company that prides itself on knowing when its customers are pregnant.57 For a retailer of that size, the pattern recognition was easy. First, Target’s statisticians compiled a database of “the known pregnant”—people who had signed up for baby registries. Then they compared the purchases of consumers in that data set to the purchases made by Target shoppers as a whole. (Every Target shopper has a “Guest ID” number, tied to credit card, e-mail address, and other such identifiers.)


pages: 385 words: 99,985

Pattern Recognition by William Gibson

carbon-based life, content marketing, Frank Gehry, gentrification, intentional community, lateral thinking, machine translation, Mars Rover, Maui Hawaii, offshore financial centre, old-boy network, pattern recognition, rent stabilization

WILLIAM GIBSON PATTERN RECOGNITION 1. THE WEBSITE OF DREADFUL NIGHT Five hours' New York jet lag and Cayce Pollard wakes in Camden Town to the dire and ever-circling wolves of disrupted circadian rhythm. It is that flat and spectral non-hour, awash in limbic tides, brainstem stirring fitfully, flashing inappropriate reptilian demands for sex, food, sedation, all of the above, and none really an option now. Not even food, as Damien's new kitchen is as devoid of edible content as its designers' display windows in Camden High Street. Very handsome, the upper cabinets faced in canary-yellow laminate, the lower with lacquered, unstained apple-ply.

She wants each new fragment to impact as cleanly as possible. Parkaboy says you should go to new footage as though you've seen no previous footage at all, thereby momentarily escaping the film or films that you've been assembling, consciously or unconsciously, since first exposure. Homo sapiens is about pattern recognition, he says. Both a gift and a trap. She slowly depresses the plunger. Pours coffee into a mug. She's draped her jacket cape-style round the smooth shoulders of one robotic nymph. Balanced on its stainless pubis, the white torso reclines against the gray wall. Neutral regard. Eyeless serenity.

For us, of course, things can change so abruptly, so violently, so profoundly, that futures like our grandparents' have insufficient 'now' to stand on. We have no future because our present is too volatile." He smiles, a version of Tom Cruise with too many teeth, and longer, but still very white. "We have only risk management. The spinning of the given moment's scenarios. Pattern recognition." Cayce blinks. "Do we have a past, then?" Stonestreet asks. "History is a best-guess narrative about what happened and when," Bigend says, his eyes narrowing. "Who did what to whom. With what. Who won. Who lost. Who mutated. Who became extinct." "The future is there," Cayce hears herself say, "looking back at us.


Artificial Whiteness by Yarden Katz

affirmative action, AI winter, algorithmic bias, AlphaGo, Amazon Mechanical Turk, autonomous vehicles, benefit corporation, Black Lives Matter, blue-collar work, Californian Ideology, Cambridge Analytica, cellular automata, Charles Babbage, cloud computing, colonial rule, computer vision, conceptual framework, Danny Hillis, data science, David Graeber, deep learning, DeepMind, desegregation, Donald Trump, Dr. Strangelove, driverless car, Edward Snowden, Elon Musk, Erik Brynjolfsson, European colonialism, fake news, Ferguson, Missouri, general purpose technology, gentrification, Hans Moravec, housing crisis, income inequality, information retrieval, invisible hand, Jeff Bezos, Kevin Kelly, knowledge worker, machine readable, Mark Zuckerberg, mass incarceration, Menlo Park, military-industrial complex, Nate Silver, natural language processing, Nick Bostrom, Norbert Wiener, pattern recognition, phenotype, Philip Mirowski, RAND corporation, recommendation engine, rent control, Rodney Brooks, Ronald Reagan, Salesforce, Seymour Hersh, Shoshana Zuboff, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley billionaire, Silicon Valley ideology, Skype, speech recognition, statistical model, Stephen Hawking, Stewart Brand, Strategic Defense Initiative, surveillance capitalism, talking drums, telemarketer, The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver, W. E. B. Du Bois, Whole Earth Catalog, WikiLeaks

Anh Nguyen, Jason Yosinski, and Jeff Clune, “Deep Neural Networks Are Easily Fooled: High Confidence Predictions for Unrecognizable Images,” in Proceedings of the IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition, 2015, 427–36.   34.   Oriol Vinyals et al., “Show and Tell: A Neural Image Caption Generator,” in Proceedings of the IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition, 2015, 3156–64.   35.   The incident occurred during a protest in the village of Nabi Saleh in the West Bank in the summer of 2015. See “A Perfect Picture of the Occupation,” editorial, Haaretz, August 31, 2015.   36.   

In the 1990s probabilistic modeling and inference were becoming AI’s dominant new computational engine and starting to displace logic-based approaches to reasoning within the field. These probabilistic frameworks, which crystalized in the 1980s, did not always develop under the umbrella of “AI” but also under headings such as “statistical pattern recognition,” “data mining,” or “information retrieval.”97 Regardless, these frameworks were being absorbed into AI’s familiar narratives. An article in AI Magazine titled “Is AI Going Mainstream at Last? A Look Inside Microsoft Research” (1993) exemplifies this turn. The piece omits AI’s history of shifting in and out of the mainstream, claiming that “AI” merely had its “15 minutes of fame in the mid-80s,” but that new developments in probabilistic modeling could put it back on the map.

Press release, November 20, 2017, https://engineering.nyu.edu/news/new-artificial-intelligence-research-institute-launches. Nguyen, Anh, Jason Yosinski, and Jeff Clune. “Deep Neural Networks Are Easily Fooled: High Confidence Predictions for Unrecognizable Images.” In Proceedings of the IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition, 2015, 427–36. Nicas, Jack. “Atlanta Asks Google Whether It Targeted Black Homeless People.” New York Times, October 4, 2019. Nilsson, Nils J. “Artificial Intelligence: Employment, and Income.” In Impacts of Artificial Intelligence, ed. Robert Trappl, 103–23. Amsterdam: North Holland, 1986. ________.


pages: 254 words: 72,929

The Age of the Infovore: Succeeding in the Information Economy by Tyler Cowen

Albert Einstein, Asperger Syndrome, autism spectrum disorder, behavioural economics, business cycle, Cass Sunstein, cognitive bias, David Brooks, en.wikipedia.org, endowment effect, Flynn Effect, folksonomy, framing effect, Google Earth, Gregor Mendel, impulse control, informal economy, Isaac Newton, loss aversion, Marshall McLuhan, Naomi Klein, neurotypical, new economy, Nicholas Carr, pattern recognition, phenotype, placebo effect, Richard Thaler, selection bias, Silicon Valley, social intelligence, the medium is the message, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, theory of mind, Tyler Cowen

With additional listening to a piece, repeated motifs often become apparent, but they’re hard to find and they don’t satisfy most people in the way that the progressive elucidation of a Haydn motif does, much less a Buddy Holly song. So understanding or appreciating the structure of atonal music requires some special skills of pattern recognition. The atonal music fans may be better at some kinds of cognitive processing, and better at constructing some kinds of hierarchies from their sensory input, relative to typical listeners. When viewed through this lens of neurology, many of the critical dialogues about contemporary music seem beside the point, as they don’t get at the real source of the difference of opinion.

It’s not usually put in such terms, but I think of art connoisseurship as a fundamental part of the profile of autistics. Go back to the list of the cognitive strengths of autism in chapter 2. Autistics have, on average, superior visual perception, a better-developed sense of pitch, superior abilities for pattern recognition, and superior abilities for spotting details in visual pictures, compared to non-autistics. Yet, as discussed in chapter 6, autistics may be less skilled at enjoying some kinds of fictional narrative. Dr. Hans Asperger saw the aesthetic side of autistics clearly. He wrote: Another distinctive trait one finds in some autistic children is a rare maturity of taste in art.

An understanding of a free society and its benefits does not come naturally to most human beings and that understanding had to be discovered and communicated by people with some highly atypical minds. On average autistics are better with print-based modes of reasoning than with oral discourse. Many autistics have a strong memory for factual details, strong pattern recognition skills, and an ability to interpret principles of equality very literally and in a cosmopolitan manner. These are exactly the sorts of skills that go into legalistic and constitutional reasoning. Furthermore those skills are especially relevant in appreciating social systems based on written laws, rather than systems based on unspoken or implicit personal favors.


pages: 246 words: 116

Tyler Cowen-Discover Your Inner Economist Use Incentives to Fall in Love, Survive Your Next Meeting, and Motivate Your Dentist-Plume (2008) by Unknown

"World Economic Forum" Davos, airport security, Andrei Shleifer, big-box store, British Empire, business cycle, cognitive dissonance, cross-subsidies, fundamental attribution error, gentrification, George Santayana, haute cuisine, low interest rates, market clearing, microcredit, money market fund, pattern recognition, Ralph Nader, retail therapy, Stephen Hawking, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, trade route, Tragedy of the Commons, transaction costs, Tyler Cowen

our views of ourselves, are rife with fallacies that can be seen through the lens of good economics. Your Inner Economist sees patterns that you might not be seeing at first glance. This book is about uncovering these hidden patterns in the world, and in our choices. Pattern recognition is one key to making better decisions. If it isn't helping us see more patterns, it isn't good economics. The psychologist A. deGroot performed some fascinating experiments with pattern recognition in the context of chess. He arranged chess pieces on a board as they would occur in the normal course of a I Want a Banana; I Buy One I 9 game. He allowed both chess masters and chess novices to observe the arrangement.

Yet others build ever more complicated mathematical models of human behavior, sometimes under the heading of "game theory." Economists in think tanks agitate for one public policy over another. At a simpler level, many textbooks teach basic terminology and how to manipulate graphs and symbols. This book will do none of those things. Instead I will focus on using economics to hone our skills of pattern recognition-in other words, how to discover our Inner Economists. In most real-world settings, we don't have the time or inclination to "crunch the numbers," even in the unlikely event that all the data stood before us (do you know your dentist's income-tax return, as needed to calculate his optimal bonus for good work?).

See also relationships Mason &- Dixon (Pynchon), 65 McGrew, Bob, 38 meetings, 42-45 Me Factor and art, 53-55 and attention, 74 and books, 66 and music, 67, 71-72 and truthfulness, 106 242 men, 79-85, Ill, 179 meritocracies, 18, 123 Metropolitan Museum of Art, 51-52 1\letropolitan Opera, New York City, 191 Mexico and Mexicans kidnappers and kidnapping in, 168 labor market, 149-50, 151 Mexican cuisine, 148, 151, 154, 159 prostitution, 169 and volunteerism, 186 micro-credit, 214-17 micro-expressions, 105 Miller, Henry, 65 modesty, I 14 Mona Lisa, 57, 60 Mondrian, Piet, 54, 57 money, 11-29 applying parables, 22-29 Car Salesman Parable, 16,22,26,45 cash gifts, 212-13 and cooperation, 19-21 and cultural consumption, 48 Dirty Dishes Parable, 13-16, 26 and effort required, 22-24, 26 and helplessness, 29 as incentive, 11-13, 16,22-29 and intrinsic motivation, 24-25, 26 limitations of, 3 micro-credit, 214-17 Parking Tickets Parable, 16-22, 33,45 and scarcity, 47-48 and shopping, 124-25 and social approval, 25-26 See also incentives monkeys, 163-64 monkfish, 140-41 motivation and altruism, 187, 202 for book purchases, 64-65 complexity of, 14 and incentives, 2, 32, 33 intrinsic motivation, 24-25, 26, 32, 33-34,46 and markets, 3 Index for recipes, 160-62 role in economic theory, 5 of writers, 64 movies, 73-74 museums, 55, 56, 59 music, 58-59,66-72, 76 Muslims, 116 narratives, 75-76, 89,136-37,183 national health insurance, 134-36 Netherlands, 147 New Orleans, Louisiana, 89 New York, 152, 153, 159 New Zealand, 149 9/11 terrorist attacks, 198 Nirvana, 68, 71 Norway, 20-21, 150, 186 Nostromo (Conrad), 62 Oaxaca, Mexico, 154 Oberholzer-Gee, Felix, 178-79 online computer games, 173, 177 O'Sullivan, Maureen, 106 Oswald, Andrew, 179-80 Paglia, Camille, 65 PAL (Personal Assistance Link), 43 parenting, 88,122-23,130-31,179 Parker, Randall, 43 Parking Tickets Parable, 16-22,33,45 pattern recognition, 8- 10 penalties. See incentives perceptions, 18-19, 34, 208 performance in capitalist economies, 123 and education, 24-25, 86, 122-23, 125 motivation to perform, 12, 13-16, 33, 38-39 Perkins, H. Wesley, 34 personal ads, 96-99 Ph.D. title, 108, 109-10 Philippines, 167-68 pickup lines, 83-85 politics, 115, 134 Index pornography, 182 possessions, 76-77 Postcard Test, 7 poverty and altruism, 197-98,200,201, 206 and begging, 187-92, 198,201-2 and food quality, 148-50 Pralec, Drazen, 106 Presley, Elvis, 67-68 pride, 116-17, 131-32, 167 prison life, 167 probabilities, 127-28 Prof Scam (Sykes), 6 prostitution, 169 punctuality, 34-37, 38 punishments.


pages: 291 words: 77,596

Total Recall: How the E-Memory Revolution Will Change Everything by Gordon Bell, Jim Gemmell

airport security, Albert Einstein, book scanning, cloud computing, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, conceptual framework, Douglas Engelbart, full text search, information retrieval, invention of writing, inventory management, Isaac Newton, Ivan Sutherland, John Markoff, language acquisition, lifelogging, Menlo Park, optical character recognition, pattern recognition, performance metric, RAND corporation, RFID, semantic web, Silicon Valley, Skype, social web, statistical model, Stephen Hawking, Steve Ballmer, Steve Bannon, Ted Nelson, telepresence, Turing test, Vannevar Bush, web application

“Optical Disks Used for Long-Term Storage by 2010.” Tech-On! (March 6). Rydning, John, and Jeff Janukowicz. 2009. “Worldwide Hard Disk Drive Component 2008-2012 Forecast Update.” IDC (February 1). There is a large research community advancing work on data mining, pattern recognition, and machine learning. Here are just a few starting points: Bishop, Christopher M. 2006. Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning. New York: Springer. Kargupta, H., et al. (eds.). 2009. Next Generation of Data Mining. London: Chapman and Hall. ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining. International Conference on Data Mining (ICDM).

An individual would never want to watch his whole life, and knows what he may want to look for in his e-memories. But for the historian it truly is a challenge, because a historian doesn’t know what to search for or what can safely be ignored, having not lived the life in question. Thus, historians will become more and more adept at using data mining and pattern recognition, and will come to demand the latest in tools for comparing videos, performing handwriting recognition, converting speech to text, classifying background noise, and much more. They will rely on computing power to help summarize, classify, and identify anomalies, so that they can safely pass over their subject’s typical commute to work but not miss the one where she made an unusual stop.

See also files-and-folders organization automatic summarization categorization schemes and clutter and data analysis and DSpace and electronic memory and implementation of Total Recall and indexing and lifelong learning and lifetime periods and scanned documents Ornish, Dean Orwell, George OS X, Otlet, Paul Outlook ownership of data . See also law and legal issues Ozzie, Ray P pacemakers Palm paperless environment and digitizing data and implementation of Total Recall and organization and origin of MyLifeBits and scanners parenting passwords patents pattern recognition PDF files and books and born-digital documents and data portability and file names and health data and optical character recognition and scanning documents pedometers peer-to-peer encryption pen scanners Pensieve Pepys project performance analysis persistence of memories personal computers (PCs) and desktop search and e-textbooks and enjoying e-memories and implementation of Total Recall and information availability and memex and miniaturization and unified communications personal data.


pages: 451 words: 103,606

Machine Learning for Hackers by Drew Conway, John Myles White

call centre, centre right, correlation does not imply causation, data science, Debian, Erdős number, Nate Silver, natural language processing, Netflix Prize, off-by-one error, p-value, pattern recognition, Paul Erdős, recommendation engine, social graph, SpamAssassin, statistical model, text mining, the scientific method, traveling salesman

In machine learning, the learning occurs by extracting as much information from the data as possible (or reasonable) through algorithms that parse the basic structure of the data and distinguish the signal from the noise. After they have found the signal, or pattern, the algorithms simply decide that everything else that’s left over is noise. For that reason, machine learning techniques are also referred to as pattern recognition algorithms. We can “train” our machines to learn about how data is generated in a given context, which allows us to use these algorithms to automate many useful tasks. This is where the term training set comes from, referring to the set of data used to build a machine learning process. The notion of observing data, learning from it, and then automating some process of recognition is at the heart of machine learning and forms the primary arc of this book.

You have a lot of powerful tools, so go apply them to questions you’re interested in! Works Cited Books [Adl10] JosephAdler. R in a Nutshell. O’Reilly Media, 2010. [Abb92] EdwinAAbbot Flatland: A Romance of Many Dimensions. Dover Publications, 1992. [Bis06] ChristopherMBishop Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning. Springer; 1st ed. 2006. Corr.; 2nd printing ed. 2007. [GH06] AndrewGelmanJenniferHill. Data Analysis Using Regression and Multilevel/Hierarchical Models. Cambridge University Press, 2006. [HTF09] TrevorHastieRobertTibshiraniJeromeFriedman. The Elements of Statistical Learning.

gamma distribution, Exploratory Data Visualization, Exploratory Data Visualization Gaussian distribution, Exploratory Data Visualization (see bell curve) geom_density function, Exploratory Data Visualization (see also density plot) geom_histogram function, Aggregating and organizing the data, Exploratory Data Visualization (see also histogram) geom_line function, Analyzing the data geom_point function, Visualizing the Relationships Between Columns (see also scatterplot) geom_smooth function, Visualizing the Relationships Between Columns, Linear Regression in a Nutshell, Predicting Web Traffic, Defining Correlation, Nonlinear Relationships Between Columns: Beyond Straight Lines, Introducing Polynomial Regression geom_text function, Exploring senator MDS clustering by Congress Gephi software, Analyzing Twitter Networks, Visualizing the Clustered Twitter Network with Gephi, Visualizing the Clustered Twitter Network with Gephi get.edgelist function, Building Your Own “Who to Follow” Engine getURL function, Working with the Google SocialGraph API ggplot object, Aggregating and organizing the data ggplot2 package, Loading and Installing R Packages, Loading libraries and the data, Aggregating and organizing the data, Analyzing the data, Analyzing the data, Further Reading on R, Analyzing US Senator Roll Call Data (101st–111th Congresses), Exploring senator MDS clustering by Congress (see also specific functions) MDS results using, Analyzing US Senator Roll Call Data (101st–111th Congresses) plotting themes of, Analyzing the data resources for, Further Reading on R two plots using, Exploring senator MDS clustering by Congress ggsave function, Aggregating and organizing the data, Analyzing the data glm function, SVMs: The Support Vector Machine, SVMs: The Support Vector Machine glmnet function, Preventing Overfitting with Regularization, Preventing Overfitting with Regularization, Text Regression, Logistic Regression to the Rescue, Comparing Algorithms glmnet package, Loading and Installing R Packages, Preventing Overfitting with Regularization global optimum, Introduction to Optimization Goffman, Erving (social scientist), Social Network Analysis regarding nature of human interaction, Social Network Analysis Google, Priority Features of Email, Priority Features of Email, Hacking Twitter Social Graph Data priority inbox by, Priority Features of Email, Priority Features of Email SocialGraph API, Hacking Twitter Social Graph Data (see SGA) gradient, Introduction to Optimization graph.coreness function, Local Community Structure GraphML files, Local Community Structure grepl function, Functions for Extracting the Feature Set, Functions for Extracting the Feature Set, Functions for Extracting the Feature Set, Working with the Google SocialGraph API grid search, Introduction to Optimization, Introduction to Optimization gsub function, Organizing location data, Functions for Extracting the Feature Set H hacker, Machine Learning for Hackers hclust function, Local Community Structure head function, Loading libraries and the data heavy-tailed distribution, Exploratory Data Visualization, Exploratory Data Visualization Heider, Fritz (psychologist), Building Your Own “Who to Follow” Engine social balance theory by, Building Your Own “Who to Follow” Engine help, for R language, Loading libraries and the data help.search function, Loading libraries and the data hierarchical clustering of node distances, Local Community Structure, Visualizing the Clustered Twitter Network with Gephi histogram, Aggregating and organizing the data, Aggregating and organizing the data, Exploratory Data Visualization, Exploratory Data Visualization I IDEs, for R, IDEs and Text Editors ifelse function, Converting date strings and dealing with malformed data igraph library, Analyzing Twitter Networks igraph package, Loading and Installing R Packages, Working with the Google SocialGraph API, Local Community Structure install.packages function, Loading and Installing R Packages inv.logit function, Logistic Regression to the Rescue is.character function, Inferring the Types of Columns in Your Data is.factor function, Inferring the Types of Columns in Your Data is.na function, Dealing with data outside our scope, Aggregating and organizing the data is.numeric function, Inferring the Types of Columns in Your Data J jittering, This or That: Binary Classification K k-core analysis, Local Community Structure, Local Community Structure k-nearest neighbors algorithm, The k-Nearest Neighbors Algorithm (see kNN algorithm) KDE (kernel density estimate), Exploratory Data Visualization (see density plot) kernel trick, SVMs: The Support Vector Machine (see SVM (support vector machine)) kNN (k-nearest neighbors) algorithm, The k-Nearest Neighbors Algorithm, R Package Installation Data, R Package Installation Data, R Package Installation Data, Comparing Algorithms comparing to other algorithms, Comparing Algorithms R package installation case study using, R Package Installation Data, R Package Installation Data knn function, The k-Nearest Neighbors Algorithm Königsberg Bridge problem, Social Network Analysis L L1 norm, Preventing Overfitting with Regularization L2 norm, Preventing Overfitting with Regularization label features, of email, Priority Features of Email labels, compared to factors, Inferring the Types of Columns in Your Data Lambda, for regularization, Preventing Overfitting with Regularization, Preventing Overfitting with Regularization, Text Regression, Ridge Regression lapply function, Organizing location data, Aggregating and organizing the data, Functions for Extracting the Feature Set, Analyzing US Senator Roll Call Data (101st–111th Congresses), Exploring senator MDS clustering by Congress length function, Converting date strings and dealing with malformed data library function, Loading and Installing R Packages line plot, Analyzing the data line, in scatterplot, Linear Regression in a Nutshell linear kernel SVM, SVMs: The Support Vector Machine, Comparing Algorithms linear regression, R for Machine Learning, Introducing Regression, Linear Regression in a Nutshell, The Baseline Model, The Baseline Model, Regression Using Dummy Variables, Regression Using Dummy Variables, Linear Regression in a Nutshell, Linear Regression in a Nutshell, Linear Regression in a Nutshell, Linear Regression in a Nutshell, Predicting Web Traffic, Predicting Web Traffic, Predicting Web Traffic, Defining Correlation, Defining Correlation, Defining Correlation, Nonlinear Relationships Between Columns: Beyond Straight Lines, Nonlinear Relationships Between Columns: Beyond Straight Lines, Introduction to Optimization, Introduction to Optimization adapting for nonlinear relationships, Nonlinear Relationships Between Columns: Beyond Straight Lines, Nonlinear Relationships Between Columns: Beyond Straight Lines assumptions in, Linear Regression in a Nutshell, Linear Regression in a Nutshell baseline model for, The Baseline Model, The Baseline Model correlation as indicator of, Defining Correlation, Defining Correlation dummy variables for, Regression Using Dummy Variables, Regression Using Dummy Variables lm function for, R for Machine Learning, Linear Regression in a Nutshell, Linear Regression in a Nutshell, Predicting Web Traffic, Defining Correlation, Introduction to Optimization optimizing, Introduction to Optimization web traffic predictions case study using, Predicting Web Traffic, Predicting Web Traffic linearity assumption, Linear Regression in a Nutshell, Linear Regression in a Nutshell Linux, installing R language on, Linux list structure, Organizing location data list.files function, Analyzing US Senator Roll Call Data (101st–111th Congresses) lm function, R for Machine Learning, Linear Regression in a Nutshell, Linear Regression in a Nutshell, Predicting Web Traffic, Defining Correlation, Introduction to Optimization load function, Comparing Algorithms loading data, Loading libraries and the data (see data, loading) log base-10 transformation, A log-weighting scheme log function, A log-weighting scheme log-transformations, A log-weighting scheme log-weighting scheme, A log-weighting scheme, A log-weighting scheme log1p function, A log-weighting scheme logarithms, A log-weighting scheme logistic regression, Logistic Regression to the Rescue, Logistic Regression to the Rescue, The k-Nearest Neighbors Algorithm, SVMs: The Support Vector Machine, SVMs: The Support Vector Machine, SVMs: The Support Vector Machine, SVMs: The Support Vector Machine, Comparing Algorithms comparing to other algorithms, Comparing Algorithms glm function for, SVMs: The Support Vector Machine, SVMs: The Support Vector Machine when not to use, The k-Nearest Neighbors Algorithm, SVMs: The Support Vector Machine, SVMs: The Support Vector Machine lubridate package, Unsupervised Learning M Mac OS X, installing R language on, Mac OS X machine learning, Machine Learning for Hackers, How This Book Is Organized, How This Book Is Organized, Using R, Using R, Works Cited, Works Cited compared to statistics, Using R as pattern recognition algorithms, Using R resources for, How This Book Is Organized, Works Cited, Works Cited malformed data, Converting date strings and dealing with malformed data, Converting date strings and dealing with malformed data match function, Dealing with data outside our scope matrices, What Is Data?


pages: 308 words: 84,713

The Glass Cage: Automation and Us by Nicholas Carr

Airbnb, Airbus A320, Andy Kessler, Atul Gawande, autonomous vehicles, Bernard Ziegler, business process, call centre, Captain Sullenberger Hudson, Charles Lindbergh, Checklist Manifesto, cloud computing, cognitive load, computerized trading, David Brooks, deep learning, deliberate practice, deskilling, digital map, Douglas Engelbart, driverless car, drone strike, Elon Musk, Erik Brynjolfsson, Evgeny Morozov, Flash crash, Frank Gehry, Frank Levy and Richard Murnane: The New Division of Labor, Frederick Winslow Taylor, future of work, gamification, global supply chain, Google Glasses, Google Hangouts, High speed trading, human-factors engineering, indoor plumbing, industrial robot, Internet of things, Ivan Sutherland, Jacquard loom, James Watt: steam engine, job automation, John Maynard Keynes: Economic Possibilities for our Grandchildren, John Maynard Keynes: technological unemployment, Kevin Kelly, knowledge worker, low interest rates, Lyft, machine readable, Marc Andreessen, Mark Zuckerberg, means of production, natural language processing, new economy, Nicholas Carr, Norbert Wiener, Oculus Rift, pattern recognition, Peter Thiel, place-making, plutocrats, profit motive, Ralph Waldo Emerson, RAND corporation, randomized controlled trial, Ray Kurzweil, recommendation engine, robot derives from the Czech word robota Czech, meaning slave, scientific management, Second Machine Age, self-driving car, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley ideology, software is eating the world, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, systems thinking, tacit knowledge, TaskRabbit, technological determinism, technological solutionism, technoutopianism, TED Talk, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, turn-by-turn navigation, Tyler Cowen, US Airways Flight 1549, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, William Langewiesche

In an influential 2004 book, The New Division of Labor: How Computers Are Creating the Next Job Market, economists Frank Levy and Richard Murnane argued, convincingly, that there were practical limits to the ability of software programmers to replicate human talents, particularly those involving sensory perception, pattern recognition, and conceptual knowledge. They pointed specifically to the example of driving a car on the open road, a talent that requires the instantaneous interpretation of a welter of visual signals and an ability to adapt seamlessly to shifting and often unanticipated situations. We hardly know how we pull off such a feat ourselves, so the idea that programmers could reduce all of driving’s intricacies, intangibilities, and contingencies to a set of instructions, to lines of software code, seemed ludicrous.

There’s growing evidence that recent expansions in the scope of automation also put cognitive skills at risk. When more advanced computers begin to take over planning and analysis functions, such as setting and adjusting a flight plan, the pilot becomes less engaged not only physically but mentally. Because the precision and speed of pattern recognition appear to depend on regular practice, the pilot’s mind may become less agile in interpreting and reacting to fast-changing situations. He may suffer what Ebbatson calls “skill fade” in his mental as well as his motor abilities. Pilots are not blind to automation’s toll. They’ve always been wary about ceding responsibility to machinery.

Until recently, it was difficult, if not impossible, for computers to replicate such deep, specialized, and often tacit knowledge. But inexorable advances in processing speed, precipitous declines in data-storage and networking costs, and breakthroughs in artificial-intelligence methods such as natural language processing and pattern recognition have changed the equation. Computers have become much more adept at reviewing and interpreting vast amounts of text and other information. By spotting correlations in the data—traits or phenomena that tend to be found together or to occur simultaneously or sequentially—computers are often able to make accurate predictions, calculating, say, the probability that a patient displaying a set of symptoms has or will develop a particular disease or the odds that a patient with a certain disease will respond well to a particular drug or other treatment regimen.


pages: 259 words: 84,261

Scary Smart: The Future of Artificial Intelligence and How You Can Save Our World by Mo Gawdat

3D printing, accounting loophole / creative accounting, AI winter, AlphaGo, anthropic principle, artificial general intelligence, autonomous vehicles, basic income, Big Tech, Black Lives Matter, Black Monday: stock market crash in 1987, butterfly effect, call centre, carbon footprint, cloud computing, computer vision, coronavirus, COVID-19, CRISPR, cryptocurrency, deep learning, deepfake, DeepMind, Demis Hassabis, digital divide, digital map, Donald Trump, Elon Musk, fake news, fulfillment center, game design, George Floyd, global pandemic, Google Glasses, Google X / Alphabet X, Law of Accelerating Returns, lockdown, microplastics / micro fibres, Nick Bostrom, off-the-grid, OpenAI, optical character recognition, out of africa, pattern recognition, Ponzi scheme, Ray Kurzweil, recommendation engine, self-driving car, Silicon Valley, smart contracts, Stanislav Petrov, Stephen Hawking, subprime mortgage crisis, superintelligent machines, TED Talk, TikTok, Turing machine, Turing test, universal basic income, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, Y2K

Human traders will leave the market or start using AI tools themselves, and what will we be left with? Machines trading against other machines. An intelligent stock-trading machine is given only one target – to maximize profit. As we have seen with the other intelligent machines that we’ve invented so far, through pattern recognition machines are likely to devise ingenious solutions that we have never encountered before. For example, they may discover that driving the price of a certain category of stock all the way down to zero may free up some capital that maximizes the profit to be found in trading other stocks. They may decide to communicate, as shareholders, to the AI running Google Search by suggesting changes in the way business is done, or threaten to trade the price down.

It’s the pattern of the colour that has changed and with it the sounds that your parent makes also change. Your little brain reasons that the sound that you make is not associated with the white, but rather with the colours scribbled on it, and so it starts to focus more on the patterns and ignore the white. Each brain, from that moment onwards, develops its very own pattern-recognition engine, but a reasonable example, at least for the way my Mo brain thinks, would be something like this: Numbers seem to always be contained within a rectangle that can be split into two squares, a top one and a lower one. Each of these squares can contain endless random scribbles in them but those scribbles can be recognized reasonably accurately if each square is then subdivided into four smaller quadrants.

If your parents fought with each other, you are likely to grow up feeling tense even if they told you to remain calm. If they told you to work hard when they didn’t, you probably won’t be pulling all-nighters very often. Children don’t learn from what you say. They learn from what you do. This is the same old pattern recognition that creates intelligence in humans and machines alike – monkey see, monkey do. This is why, in the parenting model I suggested above, the pursuit of happiness and compassion is not directed at the children but ideally demonstrated by the parent, as an example to copy. This is also why programming machines with algorithms and tasks that are good for humanity is not enough.


pages: 396 words: 117,149

The Master Algorithm: How the Quest for the Ultimate Learning Machine Will Remake Our World by Pedro Domingos

Albert Einstein, Amazon Mechanical Turk, Arthur Eddington, backpropagation, basic income, Bayesian statistics, Benoit Mandelbrot, bioinformatics, Black Swan, Brownian motion, cellular automata, Charles Babbage, Claude Shannon: information theory, combinatorial explosion, computer vision, constrained optimization, correlation does not imply causation, creative destruction, crowdsourcing, Danny Hillis, data is not the new oil, data is the new oil, data science, deep learning, DeepMind, double helix, Douglas Hofstadter, driverless car, Erik Brynjolfsson, experimental subject, Filter Bubble, future of work, Geoffrey Hinton, global village, Google Glasses, Gödel, Escher, Bach, Hans Moravec, incognito mode, information retrieval, Jeff Hawkins, job automation, John Markoff, John Snow's cholera map, John von Neumann, Joseph Schumpeter, Kevin Kelly, large language model, lone genius, machine translation, mandelbrot fractal, Mark Zuckerberg, Moneyball by Michael Lewis explains big data, Narrative Science, Nate Silver, natural language processing, Netflix Prize, Network effects, Nick Bostrom, NP-complete, off grid, P = NP, PageRank, pattern recognition, phenotype, planetary scale, power law, pre–internet, random walk, Ray Kurzweil, recommendation engine, Richard Feynman, scientific worldview, Second Machine Age, self-driving car, Silicon Valley, social intelligence, speech recognition, Stanford marshmallow experiment, statistical model, Stephen Hawking, Steven Levy, Steven Pinker, superintelligent machines, the long tail, the scientific method, The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver, theory of mind, Thomas Bayes, transaction costs, Turing machine, Turing test, Vernor Vinge, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, white flight, yottabyte, zero-sum game

Often, the procedures are quite simple, and it’s the knowledge at their core that’s complex. If you can tell which e-mails are spam, you know which ones to delete. If you can tell how good a board position in chess is, you know which move to make (the one that leads to the best position). Machine learning takes many different forms and goes by many different names: pattern recognition, statistical modeling, data mining, knowledge discovery, predictive analytics, data science, adaptive systems, self-organizing systems, and more. Each of these is used by different communities and has different associations. Some have a long half-life, some less so. In this book I use the term machine learning to refer broadly to all of them.

Inspired by this, he defined a type of neural network that evolves over time in the same way that a spin glass does and postulated that the network’s minimum energy states are its memories. Each such state has a “basin of attraction” of initial states that converge to it, and in this way the network can do pattern recognition: for example, if one of the memories is the pattern of black-and-white pixels formed by the digit nine and the network sees a distorted nine, it will converge to the “ideal” one and thereby recognize it. Suddenly, a vast body of physical theory was applicable to machine learning, and a flood of statistical physicists poured into the field, helping it break out of the local minimum it had been stuck in.

The economist Milton Friedman even argued in a highly influential essay that the best theories are the most oversimplified, provided their predictions are accurate, because they explain the most with the least. That seems to me like a bridge too far, but it illustrates that, counter to Einstein’s dictum, science often progresses by making things as simple as possible, and then some. No one is sure who invented the Naïve Bayes algorithm. It was mentioned without attribution in a 1973 pattern recognition textbook, but it only took off in the 1990s, when researchers noticed that, surprisingly, it was often more accurate than much more sophisticated learners. I was a graduate student at the time, and when I belatedly decided to include Naïve Bayes in my experiments, I was shocked to find it did better than all the other algorithms I was comparing, save one—luckily, the algorithm I was developing for my thesis, or I might not be here now.


pages: 389 words: 119,487

21 Lessons for the 21st Century by Yuval Noah Harari

"World Economic Forum" Davos, 1960s counterculture, accounting loophole / creative accounting, affirmative action, Affordable Care Act / Obamacare, agricultural Revolution, algorithmic trading, augmented reality, autonomous vehicles, Ayatollah Khomeini, basic income, behavioural economics, Bernie Sanders, bitcoin, blockchain, Boris Johnson, Brexit referendum, call centre, Cambridge Analytica, Capital in the Twenty-First Century by Thomas Piketty, carbon tax, carbon-based life, Charlie Hebdo massacre, cognitive dissonance, computer age, computer vision, cryptocurrency, cuban missile crisis, decarbonisation, DeepMind, deglobalization, disinformation, Donald Trump, Dr. Strangelove, failed state, fake news, Filter Bubble, Francis Fukuyama: the end of history, Freestyle chess, gig economy, glass ceiling, Google Glasses, illegal immigration, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Internet of things, invisible hand, job automation, knowledge economy, liberation theology, Louis Pasteur, low skilled workers, Mahatma Gandhi, Mark Zuckerberg, mass immigration, means of production, Menlo Park, meta-analysis, Mohammed Bouazizi, mutually assured destruction, Naomi Klein, obamacare, pattern recognition, post-truth, post-work, purchasing power parity, race to the bottom, RAND corporation, restrictive zoning, Ronald Reagan, Rosa Parks, Scramble for Africa, self-driving car, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, TED Talk, transatlantic slave trade, trolley problem, Tyler Cowen, Tyler Cowen: Great Stagnation, universal basic income, uranium enrichment, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, zero-sum game

., ‘Communication Mediated through Natural Language Generation in Big Data Environments: The Case of Nomao’, Journal of Computer and Communication 5 (2017), 125–48; facial recognition: Florian Schroff, Dmitry Kalenichenko and James Philbin, ‘FaceNet: A Unified Embedding for Face Recognition and Clustering’, IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (CVPR) (2015), 815–23; and driving: Cristiano Premebida, ‘A Lidar and Vision-based Approach for Pedestrian and Vehicle Detection and Tracking’, 2007 IEEE Intelligent Transportation Systems Conference (2007). 3 Daniel Kahneman, Thinking, Fast and Slow (New York: Farrar, Straus & Giroux, 2011); Dan Ariely, Predictably Irrational (New York: Harper, 2009); Brian D. Ripley, Pattern Recognition and Neural Networks (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2007); Christopher M. Bishop, Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning (New York: Springer, 2007). 4 Seyed Azimi et al., ‘Vehicular Networks for Collision Avoidance at Intersections’, SAE International Journal of Passenger Cars – Mechanical Systems 4 (2011), 406–16; Swarun Kumar et al., ‘CarSpeak: A Content-Centric Network for Autonomous Driving’, SIGCOM Computer Communication Review 42 (2012), 259–70; Mihail L.

In the last few decades research in areas such as neuroscience and behavioural economics allowed scientists to hack humans, and in particular to gain a much better understanding of how humans make decisions. It turned out that our choices of everything from food to mates result not from some mysterious free will, but rather from billions of neurons calculating probabilities within a split second. Vaunted ‘human intuition’ is in reality ‘pattern recognition’.3 Good drivers, bankers and lawyers don’t have magical intuitions about traffic, investment or negotiation – rather, by recognising recurring patterns, they spot and try to avoid careless pedestrians, inept borrowers and dishonest crooks. It also turned out that the biochemical algorithms of the human brain are far from perfect.

N. 310, 315–16 Good Samaritan parable 57 Google 31, 36, 39, 40, 41, 48, 53–4, 68, 77, 78, 90, 91, 178, 282; Glass 92; Maps 54, 55; Translate 262 gorilla 94–5, 98 Gove, Michael 46 Great Barrier Reef, Australian 116 Great Depression 251 Great Ukrainian Famine (1932–3) 33, 238 Greece 13, 154–5, 181; ancient 52, 95–6, 177, 181, 182, 291 greenhouse gases 117, 119 groupthink 218–20, 230 Guardian 306 Guevara, Che 9–10, 11, 133 Gulf War, First (1990–91) 172, 174 Haber, Fritz 194, 195 Haiti 150 Hamas 173 HaMevaser 97 Hammurabi 188 Hamodia 97 happiness xiv, 41–2, 201, 202, 211, 245, 251, 252, 273, 309 Harry Potter 234 Hastings, Battle of (1066) 178–9 Hayek, Friedrich 130, 131 healthcare 11, 16, 40, 112; AI and 22–3, 24–5, 28, 48–9, 50, 106–7; basic level of 41; religion and 128, 129 Hebrew Old Testament 184–96 Hillel the Elder, Rabbi 190 Hinduism 105, 108, 127, 129, 131, 133, 134, 181, 186, 191, 200, 203, 208, 235, 269– 70, 278, 283–4, 285, 291 Hirohito, Emperor of Japan 235 Hiroshima, atomic bombing of (1945) 112, 115, 178 Hitler, Adolf 9, 11, 66–7, 96, 108, 178, 211, 231, 237, 295 Holocaust 184, 236, 248, 272, 293 Holocene 116 hominids 110, 122 Homo Sapiens: communities, size of 90, 110, 111; disappearance of 122; emergence of 185; emotions and decision-making 58; as post-truth species 233, 238–9, 242; religion and 185, 188, 198; as storytelling animal 269, 275; superhumans and 41, 75, 246; working together in groups 218 homosexuality 50, 61, 135, 200, 205–6, 300 Hsinbyushin, King of Burma 305 Hugh of Lincoln 235–6 human rights xii, 4, 11, 15, 44, 93, 95, 96, 101, 211–12, 306 human sacrifice 289 humility 180, 181–96; ethics before the Bible and 186–90; Jews/Judaism and 182–96; monotheism and 190–3; religion and 181–96; science and 193–5 Hungary 169 hunter-gatherers 73, 100, 108, 111, 147, 187, 218, 224, 226, 230 Hussein, Saddam 180 Huxley, Aldous: Brave New World 251–5 IBM 23, 29, 30–1 identity, mass: religion and 133–7 ignorance 217–22; individuality and 218, 219–20; knowledge illusion, the 218–19; power and 220–2; rationality and 217–18 illness 48–9, 69, 129, 134 immigration xi, 4, 16, 93–4, 108, 115, 138, 139–55 imperialism 9, 10, 11, 14, 15, 63, 79, 106, 136, 145, 178, 191–2, 212 Inca 289 incest, secular ethics and 205, 206 India 4, 10, 15, 39, 74, 76, 100, 106, 109, 113, 115, 127, 131, 181, 182, 183, 184, 191, 192, 193, 260, 266, 285–6, 310, 315 Indian Pala Empire 139 individuality: AI and 22, 23, 27; myth of 218–20 Indonesia 10, 14, 26, 102–3, 105 Industrial Revolution 16, 19, 33, 34, 74, 186, 266 inequality see equality information technology/infotech xii, 1, 6, 7, 16, 17, 21, 33, 48, 66, 80–1, 83, 120–1, 176 inorganic life, creation of xii, 78, 122, 246 Inoue, Nissho 305 Inside Out (movie) 249–51, 267 Instagram 301 Institution of Mechanical Engineers 118 intelligence, consciousness and ix, 68–70, 122, 245–6 see also artificial intelligence (AI) International Olympic Committee (IOC) 104 Internet 6, 15, 40, 65, 71, 73, 88, 122, 232, 246, 263 intuition 20–1, 47 Iran 90, 94, 106, 107–8, 120, 130–1, 134, 135, 137, 138, 139, 173, 181, 200, 289 Iran-Iraq War (1980) 173 Iraq 5, 13, 94, 106, 159, 165, 172, 173, 174, 175, 177, 178, 210, 219, 288, 295, 296 Islam xi, 13, 15, 17–18, 87, 93–4, 96, 97–8, 101, 106, 107, 126, 127, 133, 137, 161, 168, 169, 177, 181, 183, 184, 186, 191, 196, 199, 248, 289, 295, 296 Islamic fundamentalism 87, 93–4, 97–8, 101, 106, 107, 161, 177, 188, 191, 199, 248, 295, 296 Islamic State 93, 94, 97–8, 101, 106, 107, 177, 188, 191, 199, 248, 295, 296 Isonzo, tenth Battle of the (1917) 160 Israel 15, 42–3, 64–5, 88, 97, 101, 103, 106, 107, 108, 111, 122, 130, 131, 134, 135, 137, 138, 141–2, 160, 163, 173–4, 182, 183–4, 186, 189, 190, 191, 221, 224, 233, 242, 272, 274–5, 277, 290, 294 Israel Defence Forces (IDF) 173 Italy 38, 103, 172, 173, 179, 251, 292, 294, 295 Ivory Coast 103, 188 Japan 13, 54, 107, 119, 120, 135–7, 139, 148, 161, 162, 171, 173, 179–80, 182, 184, 186, 232, 235, 251, 285, 305–6 Jerusalem 15, 57, 165, 183, 239, 274, 279, 298 Jesus 108, 128, 131, 133, 187, 190, 212–13, 237, 283, 284, 289, 291–2, 306 Jewish Enlightenment 194 Jewish Great Revolt (66–70 ad) 239 Jews/Judaism 8, 15, 42–3, 57, 58, 96–7, 131, 132, 134, 137, 138, 142, 182–7, 188, 189–96, 208, 233, 235–6, 239, 272, 273–4, 279, 284, 289–90 jobs: AI and xiii, 8, 18, 19–43, 59–60, 63, 109, 259–68; education and 259–68; immigration and 139, 141, 149, 152 Johnson, Boris 46 Johnson, Lyndon B. 113, 114 Joinville, Jean de 296 Juche 137 Judah 189 judiciary 4, 44 justice xiii, 188–9, 222, 223–30, 270, 277, 288; complex nature of modern world and 223– 8; effort to know and 224; morality of intentions and 225–6; roots of sense of 223 kamikaze 136 Kanad, Acharya 181 Kant, Immanuel 58–9, 60 Karbala, Iraq 288, 289 Kasparov, Garry 29, 31 KGB 48, 299 Khan, Genghis 175, 179 Khomeini, Ayatollah 130, 131, 288 Kidogo (chimpanzee) 187–8 Kim Il-sung 137 Kim Jong-Il 180 Kim Jong-Un 64 Kinsey scale 50 Kiribati, Republic of 119, 120 Kita, Ikki 305 knowledge illusion, the 218–19 Korea 104, 135, 137, 171, 180, 275, 285 Labour Party 45 Laozi 190, 267 Leave campaign 46 Lebanon 173 Leviticus 189 LGBT 135, 200 liberalism/liberal democracy xii, xiv, xv, 3–4, 33, 46, 55, 141, 154–5, 210, 217, 237, 301; AI and 6–9, 17–8, 43, 44–72, 217, 220, 230; alternatives to 5, 11–15, 17; birth of 33; choice and 45–6, 297–300; crisis/loss of faith in x, xi, xiv–xv, 1, 3–18, 44, 45, 46, 55, 141; crises faced by, periodic 9–18; education and 261;elections/referendums and 45–6, 210–11; equality and 74, 76, 80; immigration and 4, 138, 141, 142–3, 144; individual, faith in 44–9, 55, 217, 220, 230, 297–302; liberty and 44–72; meaning of life stories and 297–302; nationalism and 11, 14–15, 112; reinvention of 16–17; secular ethics and 210 Liberation Theology 133 liberty xii, xiii, 3, 4, 10–11, 17, 44–72, 83, 108, 204, 211, 299; AI future development and 68–72; authority shift from humans to AI 43, 44–72, 78, 268; decision-making and 47–61; digital dictatorships and 61–8; free will/feelings, liberal belief in 44–6 Libya 5, 172, 173 life expectancy 41, 107, 109, 260, 264, 265 Life of Brian (film) 186, 220 Lincoln Cathedral 236 Lincoln, Abraham 12 Lion King, The (movie) 270–1, 273, 275–6, 297, 299 Lockerbie bombing, Pan Am flight 103 (1988) 160 Lody (chimpanzee) 187–8 logic bombs 77, 178 Louis IX, King of France 296 Louis XIV, King of France 66, 96 Louis XVI, King of France 207 Lucas, George 298 Luhansk People’s Republic 232 machine learning 8, 19, 25, 30, 31, 33, 64, 65, 67, 245, 267, 268 Mahabharata 181 Mahasatipatthana Sutta 303 Mahavira 190 Maimonides 193 Maji Maji Rebellion (1905–7) 239 Mali 229 Manchester Arena bombing (May, 2017) 160 Manchukuo 232 Manchuria 180 Mansoura, Battle of (1250) 296 Markizova, Gelya 237 martyrs 287–9, 295–6 Marx, Karl 94, 130, 131, 133, 209, 210, 213, 246, 248, 262; The Communist Manifesto 262, 273 Marxism 15, 137, 209–10, 213 Marxism-Leninism 12, 137 Mashhad, Iran 289 Mass, Christian ceremony of 283 Matrix, The (movie) 245, 246–8, 249, 255 Maxim gun 178 May, Theresa 114 Maya 186, 193 McIlvenna, Ted 200 meaning xiii–xiv, 269–308; Buddhism and 302–6; stories and 269–83, 291–8, 301–2, 306–8; individual/liberalism and 297–302; rituals and 283–91; romance and 280–1; successful stories 276–7 meat, clean 118–19 media: government control of 12–13; post-truth and 238; terrorism and 166, 167 Meir, Golda 233 Merkel, Angela 95, 96, 97 Mesha Stele 191 Mesopotamia 189 Methodism 200 #MeToo movement xi, 164 Mexican border wall 8 Mexican-American war (1846–48) 172 Mexico 8, 106, 151, 172, 260, 261, 266 Mickiewicz, Adam 307 Middle East 13, 15, 78, 106, 139, 142, 143, 161, 173, 175, 177, 188, 193, 199, 296 Mill, John Stuart 58, 60 Milwaukee County Zoo 187 mind, meditation and 310–18 Mishra, Pankaj 94 Mitsui 305 Moab 191 Modi, Narendra 114, 179 morality see justice Moses, prophet 186–7, 188–9, 274 movies, AI and 51–2, 69, 245–51, 255, 267, 268 Mubarak, Hosni 63 Muhammad, Prophet 15, 94, 181, 182, 187, 288 Mumbai x, 17 Murph (chimpanzee) 188 music, AI and 25–8 Muslims 13, 55, 62, 63, 93–4, 96, 98, 100, 104, 107, 130–3, 134, 143, 145, 148, 150, 152, 153, 165, 172, 181, 184, 185, 190, 191, 193, 200, 203–4, 208, 230, 233, 235, 271–2, 284, 288, 292, 295, 296, 306 Mussolini, Benito 295 My Lai massacre (1968) 62, 63 Myanmar 306 Nakhangova, Mamlakat 237–8 nanotechnology 76 national liberation movements 10 nationalism xi, 14, 83, 109, 110–26, 132, 160, 176–7, 179, 181, 230, 241, 309; AI and 120–6; benefits of 111–12; ecological crisis and xi, 115–20, 121, 122–3, 124; Europe and 124–5; fascism and 292–5; ideology, lack of unifying 176–7; liberalism, as alternative to 11–15, 17, 112; nostalgia and 14–15; nuclear weapons and 112–15, 121–2, 123, 124; origins of 110–12; post-truth and 231–3; religion and 137–8, 305, 307; rituals/sacrifice and 286–8, 292–5; story and meaning of 272, 273–5, 276, 277–8, 280, 286–7, 292–5, 306–8; suffering and 306–8; technology and 120–2, 123–4 National Rifle Association (NRA) 291–2 Native American Indians 79, 147, 185, 186, 191 NATO 175, 177, 231 natural selection 58, 93, 94, 122 Nazi Germany 10, 66, 96, 134, 136, 212, 213, 226, 237, 251, 279, 295 Nepal 103 Netanyahu, Benjamin 173, 179, 221 Netflix 52, 55 Netherlands 10, 14, 38, 186 neuroscience 20 New York Times 243 New Zealand 76, 105 Ngwale, Kinjikitile 239 Nigeria 90, 101, 103, 127, 159, 165 Nile: Basin 113; River 111; Valley 172, 296 9/11 159, 160, 161, 162–3, 166, 168, 195 Nobel Prize 193, 194, 195 North Korea 4, 64, 106, 107–8, 137, 138, 169, 171, 178 Northern Ireland: Troubles 132 nuclear weapons/war 14, 34, 107–8, 112–15, 116, 119, 121, 122, 123, 124, 137, 138, 154, 165, 167–70, 178, 179, 181 Nuda, Yuzu 54 nurses 24, 107 Obama, Barack 4, 12, 15–16, 98, 151, 168 oligarchy 12–13, 15, 76, 176 Olympics: (1016) (Medieval) 103–5; (1980) 103; (1984) 103; (2016) 101–2; (2020) 105; Christian emperors suppress 192 opportunity costs 168 Orthodox Christianity 13, 15, 137, 138, 183, 237, 282, 308 Orwell, George 63, 64; Nineteen Eighty-Four 52, 252 Oscar (chimpanzee) 188 Ottoman Empire 153 Pakistan 102, 153, 159, 200, 286 Palestinians 64–5, 101, 103, 160, 233, 274, 275, 282 Paris terror attacks (November, 2015) 160, 295–6 Parks, Rosa 207, 299 Passover 284 Pasteur, Louis 299 pattern recognition 20 Pearl Harbor attack (1941) 135, 161, 162 Pegu, King of 305 Pentagon 162 People’s Liberation Army (PLA) 178 Peter the Great 175 Phelps, Michael 102 Philippines 127, 161 phosphorus 116 Picasso, Pablo 299 Pixar 249–50 Plato 181, 182 Pokémon Go 92 Poland 15, 103, 137, 142, 169, 177, 186, 231, 279–80, 307–8 polar regions, ice melt in 117 post-truth xiii, 230, 231–45; action in face of 242–4; branding/advertising and 238; history of 231–3; Homo Sapiens as post-truth species 233–6; knowledge and belief, line between 240–2; nation states and 236–8; scientific literature and 243–4; truth and power, relationship between 241–2; uniting people and 239–40 Pravda 237, 243 Princeton Theological Seminary 57 Protestants 108, 132, 213 Putin, Vladimir 12, 13, 15, 80, 114, 175, 176, 177, 231, 232, 233, 238 Qatar 142 Qin Dynasty 171 Quran 127, 130, 131, 132, 181, 198, 233, 235, 272, 298 racism 60, 137, 141, 142, 146, 147, 150–2, 154, 182, 185, 190, 226 Radhakrishnan, Sarvepalli 286 rationality 45, 47, 180, 217–18, 219, 220, 282 Reagan, Ronald 44 refugees x, 117, 123, 140, 141, 142, 144, 147, 148, 155, 205 regulation: AI and 6, 22, 34–5, 61, 77–81, 123; environmental 118, 130, 133, 219, 225 religion xi–xii, xiii, 14, 17, 46, 57, 83, 106, 108, 126, 127–38, 160, 248, 255, 260; authority and 46–7; community and 89, 91; distortions of ancient traditions and 96–8; economics and 33, 106; future of humanity and 127–8; God/gods and see God and gods; humility and 181–96; identity and 128, 133–7; immigration and 141–3, 144, 153; meaning of life stories and see meaning; meditation and 315–16; monotheism, birth of 190–3; nationalism and 15, 17, 137–8, 309; policy problems (economics) and 128, 130–3; post-truth and 233–7, 239, 241; science and 127–30, 193–5; secularism and see secularism; technical problems (agriculture) and 127–30; unemployment and 42–3 see also under individual religion name renewable energy 118, 120, 127, 128–30 robots 249, 250; inequality and 76–7; jobs/work and 19, 22, 24, 29–30, 34, 36, 37, 39, 42; as soldiers 61–8, 76–7, 168; war between humans and 70, 246 Rokia 229 Roman Empire 177, 184, 191, 192, 235, 239, 282 Romania 103, 169 Russia 5, 9, 12–13, 15, 64, 76, 100, 101, 105, 113, 114, 119–20, 122, 134, 135, 137, 137, 138, 139, 168–9, 171, 174–7, 179, 182, 231–2, 236, 237, 238, 242, 248, 251, 260, 277, 294, 307, 308 see also Soviet Union Sabbath, Jewish 188, 189, 290 sacrifice 60–1, 91, 112, 120, 136, 141, 182, 190, 274, 275, 279, 283–91, 302–3, 305, 307, 308 Sanders, Bernie 292 Sapiens: A Brief History of Humankind (Harari) 183 Saudi Arabia 102, 120, 131, 134, 135, 137, 139, 148 science fiction 51, 61, 68–9, 70, 244, 245–55; Brave New World 251–5; free will, Inside Out and concept of 249–51; intelligence with consciousness, confusion of 68–9, 246; mind’s inability to free itself from manipulation 245–55; ‘self’, definition of and 255; technology used to manipulate/control human beings, outlines dangers of 246–9; The Matrix 245, 246–8, 249, 255; The Truman Show 246–7, 248, 255, 268 scientific literature 243–4 Scientific Revolution 193, 195 Scotland: independence referendum (2014) 124–5 Second World War (1939–45) 3, 10, 11, 100, 123, 124, 179–80, 184, 293 secularism 42, 127, 130, 143, 183, 194, 195, 199, 200, 201, 202, 203–14, 229–30, 290; compassion and 205–6; courage and 207–8; definition of 203; equality and 206–7; freedom and 207; secular ideal/ethics of 204–9; Stalin and 209–10, 212 Serbia 175, 275, 276, 282 sexuality: AI and 50; law and 61; liberalism and 299; religion and 200, 300; secularism and 205–6 Shakespeare, William 25, 55–6, 252; Hamlet 297 Shechtman, Dan 194 Shiite Muslims 131, 134, 137, 138, 288–9 Shinto 135–7, 186 Shulhan Arukh (code of Jewish law) 195 Shwedagon Pagoda, Burma 305 Siam 304–5 Sikhs 186, 284 Silicon Valley 39, 76, 85, 178, 217, 299 skin colour 151, 152 slavery 96, 148, 151, 177, 226 Sloman, Steven 218 smart bomb 136 social media 50 solar energy 119, 120 soldiers, AI and 61–8, 76–7, 168 Somme, Battle of the (1 July, 1916) 160 Song Empire, Chinese 104, 259 South Africa 13, 76 South East Asia 100 South Korea 13, 120 Soviet Union 5, 8, 9, 10, 15, 48, 65, 103, 114, 169, 172, 174–5, 176, 209–10, 237–8, 248, 279, 280, 299 see also Russia Spain 48, 124, 125, 236, 260, 289 Spanish Inquisition 48, 96, 199, 212, 213, 289, 299 speciation (divergence of mankind into biological castes or different species) 76 Spinoza 193 Srebrenica massacre (1995) 62–3 St Paul the Apostle 190 Stalin, Joseph 66, 67, 96, 175, 176, 209–10, 211, 212, 237, 238, 243 Stockfish 8 31 Stone Age 73, 86, 182, 187, 217, 218, 233 stress 32, 57, 264 strongmen 5, 165 Suez Canal 172 suffering: AI and xii, 49; Buddhism and 303–4; fake news and 242; meditation and 309, 313; nation states and 307–8; reality and 242, 286–7, 306–8; sacrifice and 287, 289; secular ethics and 201, 205–9 Sumerian city states 188 Sunni Muslims 104, 131, 134 superhumans 41, 75, 211–12, 246 surveillance systems 63–5 Sweden 101, 105, 112, 141 Syria 13, 29, 93, 94, 106, 114, 139, 141, 147, 148, 159, 171, 173, 175, 176, 223, 228, 261, 295, 296 Taiwan 100, 102, 104, 135 Taliban 30, 101, 153 Talmud 42, 43, 97, 132, 183, 186, 189, 193, 235 Tasmanians, aboriginal 227 tax 6, 37, 40, 90–1, 105, 118, 130, 205, 286, 291 Tea Party 219, 291 technology 87; animal welfare and 118–19; ecological collapse and 118–19, 122–3; education and 266–8; equality and 72–81; human bodies and 88–9; liberal democracy and 6–9, 16, 17–18; liberty and 44–72; nationalism and 120–4; science fiction and 245–55; threat from future xii–xiii, xiv, 1–81, 123, 176, 178–9, 245–55, 259–68; war and 99–100, 123, 176, 178–9; work and 19–43 see also artificial intelligence (AI) and under individual are of technology Tel el-Kebir, Battle of (1882) 172 television, AI and 51–2 Temple of Yahweh, Jerusalem 15 Ten Commandments 186, 187, 199, 291 Tencent (technology company) 40, 41, 77 terrorism: AI and 65, 69; etymology 159; fear of xi, xiii, 93, 155, 159–70, 217, 237, 249; media and 166, 167, 170; nuclear weapons 167–70; numbers killed by 23, 159; state reaction to 163–7; strategy of 159–63; suicide/martyrdom 295–6 Tesla 59, 60–1 Thatcher, Margaret 44–5 Theodosian Decrees (391) 192 Theodosius, Roman Emperor 192 Third World War see war 3-D printers 39 Tibet 232 Tiranga (tricolor) (Indian national flag) 285–6 Tojo, General 180 Torah 190, 194 trolley problems 57, 60 Truman Show, The (movie) 246–7, 248, 255, 268 Trump, Donald xi, 5, 8, 9, 11, 14–15, 40, 114, 150–1, 232, 233, 312 truth 12, 54, 215–55; Google and 54; ignorance and 217–22; justice and 223–30; meditation and see meditation; nationalism and 277–8, 293; post-truth and xiii, 231–45; reality and 306–8; science fiction and 245–55; secular commitment to 204–14; suffering and 308 Tsuyoshi, Inukai 305 Tunisia xi Turkey 5, 15, 127, 141, 169, 181, 260 Twitter 91, 235, 238 Ukraine 33, 101, 114, 169, 174, 176, 177, 219, 231–2, 238, 242 ultra-Orthodox Jews 42–3, 97, 195 Umayyad caliphs 94 unemployment 8, 18, 19, 21, 30, 32–3, 34, 37, 43 see also jobs United Nations 15, 101; Declaration of Human Rights 211 United States 4, 5, 8, 11, 14–15, 24, 29, 33, 39, 40, 62, 63, 64, 65, 67, 76, 79, 94, 96, 99–100, 103–4, 106, 107, 108, 113, 114, 115, 118, 119, 120, 121, 127, 130, 131, 133, 135, 136, 142, 145, 147, 150–1, 152, 159, 161, 162, 165, 168, 169, 172, 173, 175, 177, 178, 182, 185, 191, 194, 200, 219, 227, 230, 231, 236, 242, 275 Universal Basic Income (UBI) 37–43 universe, age of 274 university, deciding what to study at 54–5 University of Oxford 310 US Air Force (USAF) 29, 30 useless class 18, 30, 32, 121 US National Highway Traffic Safety Administration 24 US presidential election: (1964) 113, 114; (2016) 8, 85 Vedas 127, 131, 132, 198, 235, 240, 298 Victoria, Queen 15, 178 Vietnam 14, 100, 104, 176, 285 Vietnam War (1955–75) 62, 63, 100, 172, 173 violence: ethics and 200–2; nationalism and 112; number of deaths attributed to 16, 114; terrorism and see terrorism; war and see war Vipassana meditation 310, 312, 315–16 Vishwamitra 181 Wahhabism 137 Waksman, Selman 194 Walt Disney Pictures 249–51, 267, 270 war xi, xiii, 138, 170, 171–80; AI and 61–8, 123–4; economy and 177–9; possibility of 123–4, 138, 170, 171–80; religion and 138; spreads ideas, technology and people 99–100; stupidity/folly and 179–80; successful wars, decline in number of 171–80; technological disruption increases likelihood of 123–4 Warmland (fictional nation) 148–50, 152–4 War on Terror 168 Watson (IBM computer system) 20–1 weapons 123, 136, 212, 224–5; autonomous weapons systems 63; nuclear 14, 34, 107–8, 112–15, 116, 119, 121, 122, 123, 124, 137, 138, 154, 165, 167–70, 178, 179, 181; terrorism and see terrorism; weapons of mass destruction xiv, 167–70 welfare state xii, 10–11, 76 West Bank 64–5, 224 White Memorial Retreat Center, California 200 Wilhelm II, Kaiser 95, 96 William the Conqueror 178–9 Willow (movie) 298 Wirathu, Ashin 306 work/employment, AI and 18, 19–43 see also jobs World Health Organization (WHO) 22–3 Wright brothers 181, 299 Xi Jinping 12 Yahweh 15, 191, 291 Yemen 173, 195 YouTube 50, 102 Yugoslavia 169 Zakkai, Rabbi Yochanan ben 195 Zen meditation 305–6 Zionism 111, 184, 233, 272, 273–4, 276, 279 Zuckerberg, Mark 80, 81, 85–6, 87, 88, 89–90, 93 @vintagebooks penguin.co.uk/vintage This ebook is copyright material and must not be copied, reproduced, transferred, distributed, leased, licensed or publicly performed or used in any way except as specifically permitted in writing by the publishers, as allowed under the terms and conditions under which it was purchased or as strictly permitted by applicable copyright law.


pages: 499 words: 144,278

Coders: The Making of a New Tribe and the Remaking of the World by Clive Thompson

"Margaret Hamilton" Apollo, "Susan Fowler" uber, 2013 Report for America's Infrastructure - American Society of Civil Engineers - 19 March 2013, 4chan, 8-hour work day, Aaron Swartz, Ada Lovelace, AI winter, air gap, Airbnb, algorithmic bias, AlphaGo, Amazon Web Services, Andy Rubin, Asperger Syndrome, augmented reality, Ayatollah Khomeini, backpropagation, barriers to entry, basic income, behavioural economics, Bernie Sanders, Big Tech, bitcoin, Bletchley Park, blockchain, blue-collar work, Brewster Kahle, Brian Krebs, Broken windows theory, call centre, Cambridge Analytica, cellular automata, Charles Babbage, Chelsea Manning, Citizen Lab, clean water, cloud computing, cognitive dissonance, computer vision, Conway's Game of Life, crisis actor, crowdsourcing, cryptocurrency, Danny Hillis, data science, David Heinemeier Hansson, deep learning, DeepMind, Demis Hassabis, disinformation, don't be evil, don't repeat yourself, Donald Trump, driverless car, dumpster diving, Edward Snowden, Elon Musk, Erik Brynjolfsson, Ernest Rutherford, Ethereum, ethereum blockchain, fake news, false flag, Firefox, Frederick Winslow Taylor, Free Software Foundation, Gabriella Coleman, game design, Geoffrey Hinton, glass ceiling, Golden Gate Park, Google Hangouts, Google X / Alphabet X, Grace Hopper, growth hacking, Guido van Rossum, Hacker Ethic, hockey-stick growth, HyperCard, Ian Bogost, illegal immigration, ImageNet competition, information security, Internet Archive, Internet of things, Jane Jacobs, John Markoff, Jony Ive, Julian Assange, Ken Thompson, Kickstarter, Larry Wall, lone genius, Lyft, Marc Andreessen, Mark Shuttleworth, Mark Zuckerberg, Max Levchin, Menlo Park, meritocracy, microdosing, microservices, Minecraft, move 37, move fast and break things, Nate Silver, Network effects, neurotypical, Nicholas Carr, Nick Bostrom, no silver bullet, Northpointe / Correctional Offender Management Profiling for Alternative Sanctions, Oculus Rift, off-the-grid, OpenAI, operational security, opioid epidemic / opioid crisis, PageRank, PalmPilot, paperclip maximiser, pattern recognition, Paul Graham, paypal mafia, Peter Thiel, pink-collar, planetary scale, profit motive, ransomware, recommendation engine, Richard Stallman, ride hailing / ride sharing, Rubik’s Cube, Ruby on Rails, Sam Altman, Satoshi Nakamoto, Saturday Night Live, scientific management, self-driving car, side project, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley ideology, Silicon Valley startup, single-payer health, Skype, smart contracts, Snapchat, social software, software is eating the world, sorting algorithm, South of Market, San Francisco, speech recognition, Steve Wozniak, Steven Levy, systems thinking, TaskRabbit, tech worker, techlash, TED Talk, the High Line, Travis Kalanick, Uber and Lyft, Uber for X, uber lyft, universal basic income, urban planning, Wall-E, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, WeWork, WikiLeaks, women in the workforce, Y Combinator, Zimmermann PGP, éminence grise

One was that programmers were avid problem solvers, “crazy about finding the answers to problems and solving all sorts of puzzles, including all forms of mathematical and mechanical activities.” This probably wasn’t terribly surprising to managers of the time. In fact, since there weren’t yet many universities formally teaching coding, they used logic and pattern-recognition tests to figure out whether any newbies ought to be a coder. As Nathan Ensmenger notes in The Computer Boys Take Over, they were already selecting for puzzle lovers, and were beginning to shift toward hiring men over women. One ad for IBM around that time—entitled “Are YOU the man to command electronic giants?”

Inexperienced programmers dive in and start devising their code on the screen; they mistake the length of the program, the act of writing lines, with productivity. But the more experienced programmer ponders the problem they’re trying to solve, the task the code is supposed to do. When they write, it’s guided by years of pattern recognition: They’ve seen this sort of array-sorting problem, and know the most elegant way to address it. And they know the converse is true, too. When a particular function—a subroutine in a program—becomes long and labyrinthine, odds are high it could be made more efficient. Often the act of fixing it, refactoring it, involves bits of fractal meta-efficiency: You find places where your code repeats itself, and you remove the duplication.

Some executives argued that women’s traditional expertise at fastidious pastimes like knitting and weaving imparted precisely this mind-set. (The 1968 book Your Career in Computers argued that people who liked “cooking from a cookbook” would make good programmers.) Mostly, firms gave potential coders a simple pattern-recognition test, which many women readily passed. Most hires were then trained on the job, which made the field particularly receptive to neophytes of any gender. (“Know Nothing about Computers? Then We’ll Teach You (and pay you while doing so),” as one ad enthused.) Eager to recruit women, IBM even crafted a brochure entitled My Fair Ladies.


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Age of Context: Mobile, Sensors, Data and the Future of Privacy by Robert Scoble, Shel Israel

Albert Einstein, Apple II, augmented reality, call centre, Chelsea Manning, cloud computing, connected car, driverless car, Edward Snowden, Edward Thorp, Elon Musk, factory automation, Filter Bubble, G4S, gamification, Google Earth, Google Glasses, Internet of things, job automation, John Markoff, Kickstarter, lifelogging, Marc Andreessen, Marc Benioff, Mars Rover, Menlo Park, Metcalfe’s law, New Urbanism, PageRank, pattern recognition, RFID, ride hailing / ride sharing, Robert Metcalfe, Salesforce, Saturday Night Live, self-driving car, sensor fusion, Silicon Valley, Skype, smart grid, social graph, speech recognition, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, Steven Levy, Tesla Model S, Tim Cook: Apple, TSMC, ubercab, urban planning, Zipcar

., is making progress on “biologically inspired intelligent agents” that will deliver results by searching for ideas, instead of merely keywords. In short, their technology builds tools that emulate the way the human brain works. Essentially, humans recognize patterns—sometimes highly complex ones. We can detect the fundamental features and meaning of text, time and visual data, key components of context. Pattern recognition, which started just a few years ago, is now reaching the state where database search tools are starting to think like people think. They don’t yet do it as effectively as we humans do it, but they do it faster and far more efficiently. There is a dark side to these growing capabilities.

IBM has taken that and is applying it to its Smarter Planet initiative, addressing the complex global issues of health, banking and cities. The Smarter Cities initiative is now a global business for IBM, with projects all over the world. When they examine urban centers, they watch for emerging patterns from which they can glean insights for municipal clients. Pattern recognition enables them to identify problems sooner, and resolve them faster than their competition. IBM has already accumulated some impressive accomplishments in the few short years the practice has been in existence. Although the company is globally focused, we asked them specifically about U.S.

Police say that IBM’s predictive analytics have helped them identify criminal hot spots, which allows them to anticipate where—and when—serious crimes are likely to occur. Based on the data, they reallocated patrol cars and other resources, reducing major and violent crime by as much as 30 percent. Pattern recognition also helps police understand trends that previously went unnoticed. For example, they now know that car thefts increase on rainy nights. San Francisco. IBM’s use of data and embedded sensors has reduced pollution emanating from the city’s thousand miles of sewer lines. Public utilities report that IBM’s preventive intelligence has helped reduce improve their preventive to corrective maintenance repair costs ratio by 11 percent.


pages: 321 words: 92,828

Late Bloomers: The Power of Patience in a World Obsessed With Early Achievement by Rich Karlgaard

Airbnb, Albert Einstein, Amazon Web Services, Apple's 1984 Super Bowl advert, behavioural economics, Bernie Madoff, Bob Noyce, book value, Brownian motion, Captain Sullenberger Hudson, cloud computing, cognitive dissonance, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, David Sedaris, deliberate practice, Electric Kool-Aid Acid Test, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, experimental economics, Fairchild Semiconductor, fear of failure, financial independence, follow your passion, Ford Model T, Frederick Winslow Taylor, Goodhart's law, hiring and firing, if you see hoof prints, think horses—not zebras, Internet of things, Isaac Newton, Jeff Bezos, job satisfaction, knowledge economy, labor-force participation, Larry Ellison, longitudinal study, low skilled workers, Mark Zuckerberg, meta-analysis, Moneyball by Michael Lewis explains big data, move fast and break things, pattern recognition, Peter Thiel, power law, reality distortion field, Sand Hill Road, science of happiness, scientific management, shareholder value, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, Snapchat, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, sunk-cost fallacy, tech worker, TED Talk, theory of mind, Tim Cook: Apple, Toyota Production System, unpaid internship, upwardly mobile, women in the workforce, working poor

That is why you saw Diane Greene, in her early sixties, leading one of Google’s most important businesses, Google Cloud. And why billionaire Tom Siebel, in his mid-sixties, is leading his latest software company, C3, in the hotly competitive space of artificial intelligence and the Internet of Things. In a sense, our brains are constantly forming neural networks and pattern-recognition capabilities that we didn’t have in our youth when we had blazing synaptic horsepower. As we get older, we develop new skills and refine others, including social awareness, emotional regulation, empathy, humor, listening, risk-reward calibration, and adaptive intelligence. All these skills enhance our potential to bloom and rebloom.

We take a job, move up to greater responsibility and pay levels, then are abruptly forced to retire or are laid off around sixty. Law and accounting firms have a term for this: up-and-out. A kinder clock for human development would set aside up-and-out and picture a person’s career as an arc. While we decline in some ways (synaptic speed, short-term memory), we gain in others (real-life pattern recognition, emotional IQ, wisdom). Our creative and innovative capacities remain strong in different ways as we age. I believe enlightened employers have a grand opportunity to be more creative about career paths. I’ve spent time with thousands of executives in my career in journalism, and they all tell me the same thing: Talent recruitment and retention is a priority.

Contrary to popular ideas about aging and creativity, many older adults discern patterns faster, determining what’s important and what’s trivial, then jumping to the logical solution. Elkhonon Goldberg, the NYU neuroscientist, has said that “cognitive templates” develop in older brains based on pattern recognition and form the basis for wise behavior and better decisions. As he observed in The Wisdom Paradox, Goldberg began to realize that as he aged, he was increasingly adept at a kind of “mental magic.” “Something rather intriguing is happening in my mind that did not happen in the past,” he wrote.


pages: 396 words: 96,049

Upgrade by Blake Crouch

bioinformatics, butterfly effect, cognitive dissonance, correlation does not imply causation, COVID-19, CRISPR, dark matter, deepfake, double helix, Douglas Hofstadter, driverless car, drone strike, glass ceiling, Google Earth, Gödel, Escher, Bach, Hyperloop, independent contractor, job automation, low earth orbit, messenger bag, mirror neurons, off grid, pattern recognition, phenotype, ride hailing / ride sharing, supervolcano, time dilation

I shook my head, certain I had never heard of that gene before. “It’s linked to learning stimulus-response associations faster. How about NLGN3?” I said, “Enhanced learning and spatial-learning abilities.” “GluK4.” “Low bipolar risk and higher cognitive function.” Edwin looked up at me. “Your cognition, memory, concentration, pattern recognition—it’s all been targeted for enhancement. Have you experienced gains across these areas?” “Yes.” “Since when?” “Over the last three weeks.” “Do you get how astounding this is?” For a moment, I couldn’t speak. I had suspected that something had been done to me, but to hear it confirmed knocked the wind out of me.

If it takes ninety days for the jellyfish to cover the entire ocean, how long would it take for the jellyfish to cover half of the ocean?” “You’re wasting my time and yours,” I said. “And yours.” “Please provide an answer. We have to work up to the hard ones.” “Eighty-nine days.” We tackled spatial reasoning, visual/perceptual and classification skills. Logical reasoning. And finally pattern recognition. “Logan, what is the next term in the following sequence: 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34?” I pored over the sequence on his laptop screen. “Fifty-five.” “How did you get that?” “Well, that’s the Fibonacci sequence. Each number is the sum of the two that precede it.” “You just happen to know the Fibonacci sequence off the top of your head?”

These DNA payloads were already beginning to exercise their edits to myriad genes, involving multiple cascades of pathways—each a light touch to the genome, almost a butterfly effect that would have, over time, changed Tiffany’s genome and led to augmentation of her intelligence, longevity, and resilience, finally lifting her to some version of my level of being. After seeing Kara and Andrew, I was beginning to suspect that, while the upgrade altered expressions of intelligence, memory, and physical prowess across the board, it could exponentially ramp up preexisting proclivities—strength, agility, and coordination for people like Andrew and Kara. Pattern recognition and people reading for the more intellectually inclined like me. Tiffany had been on the same journey toward becoming an enhanced form of Homo sapiens that I had taken when Andrew shot her at the top of those stairs. Using the software, I began to isolate the genetic codes of multiple viral packages, which had delivered the upgrade to her.


pages: 472 words: 117,093

Machine, Platform, Crowd: Harnessing Our Digital Future by Andrew McAfee, Erik Brynjolfsson

"World Economic Forum" Davos, 3D printing, additive manufacturing, AI winter, Airbnb, airline deregulation, airport security, Albert Einstein, algorithmic bias, AlphaGo, Amazon Mechanical Turk, Amazon Web Services, Andy Rubin, AOL-Time Warner, artificial general intelligence, asset light, augmented reality, autism spectrum disorder, autonomous vehicles, backpropagation, backtesting, barriers to entry, behavioural economics, bitcoin, blockchain, blood diamond, British Empire, business cycle, business process, carbon footprint, Cass Sunstein, centralized clearinghouse, Chris Urmson, cloud computing, cognitive bias, commoditize, complexity theory, computer age, creative destruction, CRISPR, crony capitalism, crowdsourcing, cryptocurrency, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, data science, Dean Kamen, deep learning, DeepMind, Demis Hassabis, discovery of DNA, disintermediation, disruptive innovation, distributed ledger, double helix, driverless car, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, Erik Brynjolfsson, Ethereum, ethereum blockchain, everywhere but in the productivity statistics, Evgeny Morozov, fake news, family office, fiat currency, financial innovation, general purpose technology, Geoffrey Hinton, George Akerlof, global supply chain, Great Leap Forward, Gregor Mendel, Hernando de Soto, hive mind, independent contractor, information asymmetry, Internet of things, inventory management, iterative process, Jean Tirole, Jeff Bezos, Jim Simons, jimmy wales, John Markoff, joint-stock company, Joseph Schumpeter, Kickstarter, Kiva Systems, law of one price, longitudinal study, low interest rates, Lyft, Machine translation of "The spirit is willing, but the flesh is weak." to Russian and back, Marc Andreessen, Marc Benioff, Mark Zuckerberg, meta-analysis, Mitch Kapor, moral hazard, multi-sided market, Mustafa Suleyman, Myron Scholes, natural language processing, Network effects, new economy, Norbert Wiener, Oculus Rift, PageRank, pattern recognition, peer-to-peer lending, performance metric, plutocrats, precision agriculture, prediction markets, pre–internet, price stability, principal–agent problem, Project Xanadu, radical decentralization, Ray Kurzweil, Renaissance Technologies, Richard Stallman, ride hailing / ride sharing, risk tolerance, Robert Solow, Ronald Coase, Salesforce, Satoshi Nakamoto, Second Machine Age, self-driving car, sharing economy, Silicon Valley, Skype, slashdot, smart contracts, Snapchat, speech recognition, statistical model, Steve Ballmer, Steve Jobs, Steven Pinker, supply-chain management, synthetic biology, tacit knowledge, TaskRabbit, Ted Nelson, TED Talk, the Cathedral and the Bazaar, The Market for Lemons, The Nature of the Firm, the strength of weak ties, Thomas Davenport, Thomas L Friedman, too big to fail, transaction costs, transportation-network company, traveling salesman, Travis Kalanick, Two Sigma, two-sided market, Tyler Cowen, Uber and Lyft, Uber for X, uber lyft, ubercab, Vitalik Buterin, warehouse robotics, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, winner-take-all economy, yield management, zero day

Because adults’ brains are different, they usually learn the rules explicitly when acquiring a new language. Early on, the AI community split into two similarly differentiated camps. One pursued so-called rule-based, or “symbolic,” artificial intelligence,¶ while the other built statistical pattern recognition systems. The former tried to bring about artificial intelligence the way an adult tries to learn a second language; the latter tried to make it happen in much the same way that children learn their first language. At first, it looked as though the symbolic approach would dominate. At the 1956 Dartmouth conference, for example, Allen Newell, J.

Unfortunately, no one knows what they are. — attributed to Somerset Maugham (1874–1965) “WHICH ABILITIES WILL CONTINUE TO BE UNIQUELY HUMAN as technology races ahead?” That’s the most common question we hear about minds and machines. As the digital toolkit challenges human superiority in routine information processing, pattern recognition, language, intuition, judgment, prediction, physical dexterity, and so many other things, are there any areas where we should not expect to be outstripped? Do Androids Dream Up Creative Leaps? The most common answer we hear to the question posed in the preceding paragraph is “creativity.”

., 166–67 Angry Birds, 159–61 anonymity, digital currency and, 279–80 Antikythera mechanism, 66 APIs (application programming interfaces), 79 apophenia, 44n apparel, 186–88 Apple; See also iPhone acquiring innovation by acquiring companies, 265 and industrywide smartphone profits, 204 leveraging of platforms by, 331 Postmates and, 173, 185 profitability (2015), 204 revenue from paid apps, 164 “Rip, Mix, Burn” slogan, 144n as stack, 295 application programming interfaces (APIs), 79 AppNexus, 139 apps; See also platforms for banking, 89–90 demand curve and, 157–61 iPhone, 151–53 App Store, 158 Apter, Zach, 183 Aral, Sinan, 33 Archilochus, 60–61 architecture, computer-designed, 118 Aristophanes, 200 Arnaout, Ramy, 253 Arthur, Brian, 47–48 artificial general intelligence (AGI), 71 artificial hands, 272–75 artificial intelligence; See also machine learning current state of, 74–76 defined, 67 early attempts, 67–74 implications for future, 329–30 rule-based, 69–72 statistical pattern recognition and, 72–74 Art of Thinking Clearly, The (Dobelli), 43 arts, digital creativity in, 117–18 Ashenfelter, Orley, 38–39 ASICs (application-specific integrated circuits), 287 assets and incentives, 316 leveraging with O2O platforms, 196–97 replacement by platforms, 6–10 asymmetries of information, 206–10 asymptoting, 96 Atkeson, Andrew, 21 ATMs, 89 AT&T, 96, 130 August (smart door lock), 163 Austin, Texas, 223 Australia, 100 Authorize.Net, 171 Autodesk, 114–16, 119, 120 automated investing, 266–70 automation, effect on employment/wages, 332–33 automobiles, See cars Autor, David, 72, 101 background checks, 208, 209 back-office work, 82–83 BackRub, 233 Baidu, 192 Bakos, Yannis, 147n Bakunin, Mikhail, 278 Ballmer, Steve, 151–52 bandwagon effect, 217 banking, virtualization and, 89–90, 92 Bank of England, 280n bank tellers, 92 Barksdale, Jim, 145–46 barriers to entry, 96, 220 Bass, Carl, 106–7, 119–20 B2B (business-to-business) services, 188–90 Beastmode 2.0 Royale Chukkah, 290 Behance, 261 behavioral economics, 35, 43 Bell, Kristen, 261, 262 Benioff, Mark, 84–85 Benjamin, Robert, 311 Benson, Buster, 43–44 Berlin, Isiah, 60n Berners-Lee, Tim, 33, 34n, 138, 233 Bernstein, Michael, 260 Bertsimas, Dimitris, 39 Bezos, Jeff, 132, 142 bias of Airbnb hosts, 209–10 in algorithmic systems, 51–53 digital design’s freedom from, 116 management’s need to acknowledge, 323–24 and second-machine-age companies, 325 big data and Cambrian Explosion of robotics, 95 and credit scores, 46 and machine learning, 75–76 biology, computational, 116–17 Bird, Andrew, 121 Bitcoin, 279–88 China’s dominance of mining, 306–7 failure mode of, 317 fluctuation of value, 288 ledger for, 280–87 as model for larger economy, 296–97 recent troubles with, 305–7 and solutionism, 297 “Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System” (Nakamoto), 279 BlaBlaCar, 190–91, 197, 208 BlackBerry, 168, 203 Blitstein, Ryan, 117 blockchain as challenge to stacks, 298 and contracts, 291–95 development and deployment, 283–87 failure of, 317 and solutionism, 297 value as ledger beyond Bitcoin, 288–91 Blockchain Revolution (Tapscott and Tapscott), 298 Bloomberg Markets, 267 BMO Capital Markets, 204n Bobadilla-Suarez, Sebastian, 58n–59n Bock, Laszlo, 56–58 bonds, 131, 134 bonuses, credit card, 216 Bordeaux wines, 38–39 Boudreau, Kevin, 252–54 Bowie, David, 131, 134, 148 Bowie bonds, 131, 134 brand building, 210–11 Brat, Ilan, 12 Bredeche, Jean, 267 Brin, Sergey, 233 Broward County, Florida, 40 Brown, Joshua, 81–82 Brusson, Nicolas, 190 Burr, Donald, 177 Bush, Vannevar, 33 business conference venues, 189 Business Insider, 179 business processes, robotics and, 88–89 business process reengineering, 32–35 business travelers, lodging needs of, 222–23 Busque, Leah, 265 Buterin, Vitalik, 304–5 Byrne, Patrick, 290 Cairncross, Francis, 137 California, 208; See also specific cities Calo, Ryan, 52 Cambrian Explosion, 94–98 Cameron, Oliver, 324 Camp, Garrett, 200 capacity, perishing inventory and, 181 Card, David, 40 Care.com, 261 cars automated race car design, 114–16 autonomous, 17, 81–82 decline in ownership of, 197 cash, Bitcoin as equivalent to, 279 Casio QV-10 digital camera, 131 Caves, Richard, 23 Caviar, 186 CDs (compact discs), 145 cell phones, 129–30, 134–35; See also iPhone; smartphones Census Bureau, US, 42 central bankers, 305 centrally planned economies, 235–37 Chabris, Chris, 3 Chambers, Ephraim, 246 Champy, James, 32, 34–35, 37, 59 Chandler, Alfred, 309n Chase, 162 Chase Paymentech, 171 check-deposit app, 162 children, language learning by, 67–69 China Alibaba in, 7–8 concentration of Bitcoin wealth in, 306–7 and failure mode of Bitcoin, 317 mobile O2O platforms, 191–92 online payment service problems, 172 robotics in restaurants, 93 Shanghai Tower design, 118 Xiaomi, 203 Chipotle, 185 Choudary, Sangeet, 148 Christensen, Clay, 22, 264 Churchill, Winston, 301 Civil Aeronautics Board, US, 181n Civis Analytics, 50–51 Clash of Clans, 218 classified advertising revenue, 130, 132, 139 ClassPass, 205, 210 and economics of perishing inventory, 180–81 future of, 319–20 and problems with Unlimited offerings, 178–80, 184 and revenue management, 181–84 user experience, 211 ClassPass Unlimited, 178–79 Clear Channel, 135 clinical prediction, 41 Clinton, Hillary, 51 clothing, 186–88 cloud computing AI research, 75 APIs and, 79 Cambrian Explosion of robotics, 96–97 platform business, 195–96 coaches, 122–23, 334 Coase, Ronald, 309–13 cognitive biases, 43–46; See also bias Cohen, Steven, 270 Coles, John, 273–74 Collison, John, 171 Collison, Patrick, 171–74 Colton, Simon, 117 Columbia Record Club, 131 commoditization, 220–21 common sense, 54–55, 71, 81 companies continued dominance of, 311–12 continued relevance of, 301–27 DAO as alternative to, 301–5 decreasing life spans of, 330 economics of, 309–12 future of, 319–26 leading past the standard partnership, 323–26 management’s importance in, 320–23 markets vs., 310–11 as response to inherent incompleteness of contracts, 314–17 solutionism’s alternatives to, 297–99 TCE and, 312–15 and technologies of disruption, 307–9 Compass Fund, 267 complements (complementary goods) defined, 156 effect on supply/demand curves, 157–60 free, perfect, instant, 160–63 as key to successful platforms, 169 and open platforms, 164 platforms and, 151–68 and revenue management, 183–84 Stripe and, 173 complexity theory, 237 Composite Fund (D.


pages: 223 words: 60,909

Technically Wrong: Sexist Apps, Biased Algorithms, and Other Threats of Toxic Tech by Sara Wachter-Boettcher

"Susan Fowler" uber, Abraham Maslow, Airbnb, airport security, algorithmic bias, AltaVista, big data - Walmart - Pop Tarts, Big Tech, Black Lives Matter, data science, deep learning, Donald Trump, fake news, false flag, Ferguson, Missouri, Firefox, Grace Hopper, Greyball, Hacker News, hockey-stick growth, independent contractor, job automation, Kickstarter, lifelogging, lolcat, Marc Benioff, Mark Zuckerberg, Max Levchin, Menlo Park, meritocracy, microaggression, move fast and break things, natural language processing, Northpointe / Correctional Offender Management Profiling for Alternative Sanctions, off-the-grid, pattern recognition, Peter Thiel, real-name policy, recommendation engine, ride hailing / ride sharing, Salesforce, self-driving car, Sheryl Sandberg, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, Snapchat, Steve Jobs, Tactical Technology Collective, TED Talk, Tim Cook: Apple, Travis Kalanick, upwardly mobile, Wayback Machine, women in the workforce, work culture , zero-sum game

The wider the range of handwriting used in the training data, the more accurate the system’s pattern recognition will be when you let it loose on new data. And once it’s accurately identifying new forms of the lowercase “p,” those patterns can be added into the network too. This is how a neural network gets smarter over time.12 Like our brains, though, computers struggle to understand complex objects, such as photographs, all at once; there are simply too many details and variations to make sense of. Instead they have to learn patterns, like we learned as children. This kind of pattern recognition happens in layers: small details, like the little point at the top of a cat’s ear, get connected to larger concepts, like the ear itself, which then gets connected to the larger concept of a cat’s head, and so on—until the system builds up enough layers, sometimes twenty or more, to make sense of the full image.13 The connections between each of those layers are what turn the collection of data into a neural network.

“A prestigious degree, a proven track record and personal connections to power-brokers are at least as important as a great idea,” she wrote. “Scrappy unknowns with a suitcase and a dream are the exceptions, not the rule.” 3 As Sharon Vosmek, CEO of the venture accelerator Astia, put it, “They call it pattern recognition, but in other industries they call it profiling or stereotyping.” 4 Meanwhile, women hardly get funded at all: only 10 percent of the 187 Silicon Valley startups that received Series A funding in 2016 were woman-led, up a meager 2 percent from the year before.5 Yet much of the tech industry still clings to meritocracy like a tattered baby blanket.


pages: 571 words: 105,054

Advances in Financial Machine Learning by Marcos Lopez de Prado

algorithmic trading, Amazon Web Services, asset allocation, backtesting, behavioural economics, bioinformatics, Brownian motion, business process, Claude Shannon: information theory, cloud computing, complexity theory, correlation coefficient, correlation does not imply causation, data science, diversification, diversified portfolio, en.wikipedia.org, financial engineering, fixed income, Flash crash, G4S, Higgs boson, implied volatility, information asymmetry, latency arbitrage, margin call, market fragmentation, market microstructure, martingale, NP-complete, P = NP, p-value, paper trading, pattern recognition, performance metric, profit maximization, quantitative trading / quantitative finance, RAND corporation, random walk, risk free rate, risk-adjusted returns, risk/return, selection bias, Sharpe ratio, short selling, Silicon Valley, smart cities, smart meter, statistical arbitrage, statistical model, stochastic process, survivorship bias, transaction costs, traveling salesman

Econometrics may be good enough to succeed in financial academia (for now), but succeeding in business requires ML. What do you say to people who dismiss ML algorithms as black boxes? If you are reading this book, chances are ML algorithms are white boxes to you. They are transparent, well-defined, crystal-clear, pattern-recognition functions. Most people do not have your knowledge, and to them ML is like a magician's box: “Where did that rabbit come from? How are you tricking us, witch?” People mistrust what they do not understand. Their prejudices are rooted in ignorance, for which the Socratic remedy is simple: education.

Neural Computing & Applications, Vol. 10, No. 2, pp. 184–192. Cao, L., F. Tay and F. Hock (2003): “Support vector machine with adaptive parameters in financial time series forecasting.” IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks, Vol. 14, No. 6, pp. 1506–1518. Cervelló-Royo, R., F. Guijarro, and K. Michniuk (2015): “Stock market trading rule based on pattern recognition and technical analysis: Forecasting the DJIA index with intraday data.” Expert Systems with Applications, Vol. 42, No. 14, pp. 5963–5975. Chang, P., C. Fan and J. Lin (2011): “Trend discovery in financial time series data using a case-based fuzzy decision tree.” Expert Systems with Applications, Vol. 38, No. 5, pp. 6070–6080.

Bibliography Bharat Rao, R., G. Fung, and R. Rosales (2008): “On the dangers of cross-validation: An experimental evaluation.” White paper, IKM CKS Siemens Medical Solutions USA. Available at http://people.csail.mit.edu/romer/papers/CrossVal_SDM08.pdf. Bishop, C. (1995): Neural Networks for Pattern Recognition, 1st ed. Oxford University Press. Breiman, L. and P. Spector (1992): “Submodel selection and evaluation in regression: The X-random case.” White paper, Department of Statistics, University of California, Berkeley. Available at http://digitalassets.lib.berkeley.edu/sdtr/ucb/text/197.pdf. Hastie, T., R.


pages: 245 words: 64,288

Robots Will Steal Your Job, But That's OK: How to Survive the Economic Collapse and Be Happy by Pistono, Federico

3D printing, Albert Einstein, autonomous vehicles, bioinformatics, Buckminster Fuller, cloud computing, computer vision, correlation does not imply causation, en.wikipedia.org, epigenetics, Erik Brynjolfsson, Firefox, future of work, gamification, George Santayana, global village, Google Chrome, happiness index / gross national happiness, hedonic treadmill, illegal immigration, income inequality, information retrieval, Internet of things, invention of the printing press, Jeff Hawkins, jimmy wales, job automation, John Markoff, Kevin Kelly, Khan Academy, Kickstarter, Kiva Systems, knowledge worker, labor-force participation, Lao Tzu, Law of Accelerating Returns, life extension, Loebner Prize, longitudinal study, means of production, Narrative Science, natural language processing, new economy, Occupy movement, patent troll, pattern recognition, peak oil, post scarcity, QR code, quantum entanglement, race to the bottom, Ray Kurzweil, recommendation engine, RFID, Rodney Brooks, selection bias, self-driving car, seminal paper, slashdot, smart cities, software as a service, software is eating the world, speech recognition, Steven Pinker, strong AI, synthetic biology, technological singularity, TED Talk, Turing test, Vernor Vinge, warehouse automation, warehouse robotics, women in the workforce

It is a closed system, with a number of variables well known and pretty much already defined, and the process is very repetitive. What this means is a database of information (thirteen years of studies and training) connected to a visual recognition system (the radiologist’s brain) is a process that already exists today and finds many applications. Visual pattern recognition software is already highly sophisticated, one such example is Google Images. You can upload an image to the search engine, Google uses computer vision techniques to match your image to other images in the Google Images index and additional image collections. From those matches, they try to generate an accurate “best guess” text description of your image, as well as find other images that have the same content as your uploaded image

* * * * * * Figure 6.2: I upload my image, named “guess-what-this.is.jpg” * * * * * * Figure 6.3: The software correctly recognises it as the Robot ASIMO by Honda, and offers similar images in return. Notice that the proposed images show ASIMO in different positions and angles, not the same image in different sizes. This algorithm recognises millions of different patterns, as it is a general-purpose application. A task-specific pattern recognition software is less complex to develop, although it must be much more accurate (the stakes are higher). * * * Similarly, many governments have access to software that can help identify terrorists in airports based on visual analysis of security photographs33. CCTV cameras in London and many other cities have advanced systems that track people’s faces and can help the police identify potential criminals34.

If you are thinking decades, you are in for a surprise. 7.6 AI Assistants You might remember the May of 1997, when the legendary chess player Garry Kasparov was defeated by IBM Deep Blue in what has been called “the most spectacular chess event in history”79. At the time the plan of IBM was to rely on the computational superiority of their machine using brute force,80 crunching billions of combinations; against the intuition, memory recall and pattern recognition of the Russian chess grandmaster. Nobody believed it represented an act of intelligence of any sort, since it worked in a very mechanistic way. Boy, we have gone so far since then. The classical “Turing test approach” has been largely abandoned as a realistic research goal, and is now just an intellectual curiosity (the annual Loebner prize for realistic chattiest81), but helped spawn the two dominant themes of modern cognition and artificial intelligence: calculating probabilities and producing complex behaviour from the interaction of many small, simple processes.


pages: 229 words: 68,426

Everyware: The Dawning Age of Ubiquitous Computing by Adam Greenfield

"Hurricane Katrina" Superdome, augmented reality, business process, Charles Babbage, defense in depth, demand response, demographic transition, facts on the ground, game design, Howard Rheingold, Internet of things, James Dyson, knowledge worker, late capitalism, machine readable, Marshall McLuhan, new economy, Norbert Wiener, packet switching, pattern recognition, profit motive, QR code, recommendation engine, RFID, seminal paper, Steve Jobs, technoutopianism, the built environment, the scientific method, value engineering

It may well be that a full mug on my desk implies that I am also in the room, but this is not always going to be the case, and any system that correlates the two facts had better do so pretty loosely. Products and services based on such pattern-recognition already exist in the world—I think of Amazon's "collaborative filtering"–driven recommendation engine—but for the most part, their designers are only now beginning to recognize that they have significantly underestimated the difficulty of deriving meaning from those patterns. The better part of my Amazon recommendations turn out to be utterly worthless—and of all commercial pattern-recognition systems, that's among those with the largest pools of data to draw on. Lest we forget: "simple" is hard.

(We'll see in the next thesis that such a degree of explicitness poses significant challenges socially as well as semantically.) Take exercise, or play, or sexuality, all of which will surely become sites of intense mediation in a fully developed everyware milieu. Something as simple as hiking in the wilderness becomes almost unrecognizable when overlaid with GPS location, sophisticated visual pattern-recognition algorithms, and the content of networked geological, botanical, and zoological databases—you won't get lost, surely, or mistake poisonous mushrooms for the edible varieties, but it could hardly be said that you're "getting away from it all." Even meditation is transformed into something new and different: since we know empirically that the brains of Tibetan monks in deep contemplation show regular alpha-wave patterns, it's easy to imagine environmental interventions, from light to sound to airflow to scent, designed to evoke the state of mindfulness, coupled to a body-monitor setting that helps you recognize when you've entered it.


Designing the Mind: The Principles of Psychitecture by Designing the Mind, Ryan A Bush

Abraham Maslow, adjacent possible, Albert Einstein, algorithmic bias, augmented reality, butterfly effect, carbon footprint, cognitive bias, cognitive load, correlation does not imply causation, data science, delayed gratification, deliberate practice, drug harm reduction, effective altruism, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, endowment effect, fundamental attribution error, hedonic treadmill, hindsight bias, impulse control, Kevin Kelly, Lao Tzu, lifelogging, longitudinal study, loss aversion, meta-analysis, Own Your Own Home, pattern recognition, price anchoring, randomized controlled trial, Silicon Valley, Stanford marshmallow experiment, Steven Pinker, systems thinking, Walter Mischel

Homo sapiens is a storytelling animal, that thinks in stories rather than in numbers or graphs, and believes that the universe itself works like a story, replete with heroes and villains, conflicts and resolutions, climaxes and happy endings. - Yuval Noah Harari, 21 Lessons for the 21st Century Our minds were built to find patterns. Pattern recognition is highly advantageous from a biological perspective, as we would not be able to identify predators, find food, or recognize our family members without it.8 But our brains have limited bandwidth, so they have to cut corners. We make hasty judgments, oversimplify the factors at play, and quickly construct narratives and explanations for the complex outcomes in our world.

Of course every story, including the one this book is telling, is false - in the sense that it necessarily oversimplifies reality, but we have a tendency to cling to our stories as if they were perfect representations of reality. In pathological extremes, this delusional over-recognition of patterns manifests in disorders like schizophrenia.9 Some light examples of pattern recognition gone haywire are found in optical illusions and pareidolia, the tendency to see patterns like faces in abstract images or hear voices in noise. We hear our house creak and believe we’ve encountered a ghost, attributing agency where there is none. Some more concerning examples are some of the heuristics and generalizations we regularly employ.

But the evidence suggests it is surprisingly easy to be delusional about our own self-interest. Though there is less research on them, ancient and modern thinkers have uncovered many errors we all share which limit our acquisition of wisdom. The algorithms which most often lead people astray in life are not simply distortions of memory, prediction, or pattern recognition in the external world, but distortions of introspection. And now that we have laid the groundwork for the mechanisms that bias our beliefs about the outer universe, we will build on it to reveal the biases of the inner universe. We saw in the previous chapter that the illusion of control causes us to believe we have more control over our circumstances than we actually do, and to attribute unrelated outcomes to our own actions.1 But we are also wired to falsely believe we know which outcomes would make us happy.


pages: 97 words: 31,550

Money: Vintage Minis by Yuval Noah Harari

23andMe, agricultural Revolution, algorithmic trading, AlphaGo, Anne Wojcicki, autonomous vehicles, British Empire, call centre, credit crunch, DeepMind, European colonialism, Flash crash, Ford Model T, greed is good, job automation, joint-stock company, joint-stock limited liability company, lifelogging, low interest rates, Nick Bostrom, pattern recognition, peak-end rule, Ponzi scheme, self-driving car, Suez canal 1869, telemarketer, The future is already here, The Future of Employment, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, trade route, transatlantic slave trade, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, zero-sum game

Only conscious beings could perform tasks that required a lot of intelligence, such as playing chess, driving cars, diagnosing diseases or identifying terrorists. However, we are now developing new types of non-conscious intelligence that can perform such tasks far better than humans. For all these tasks are based on pattern recognition, and non-conscious algorithms may soon excel human consciousness in recognising patterns. Science-fiction movies generally assume that in order to match and surpass human intelligence, computers will have to develop consciousness. But real science tells a different story. There might be several alternative ways leading to super-intelligence, only some of which pass through the straits of consciousness.

Bartenders – 77 per cent. Archivists – 76 per cent. Carpenters – 72 per cent. Lifeguards – 67 per cent. And so forth. There are of course some safe jobs. The likelihood that computer algorithms will displace archaeologists by 2033 is only 0.7 per cent, because their job requires highly sophisticated types of pattern recognition, and doesn’t produce huge profits. Hence it is improbable that corporations or government will make the necessary investment to automate archaeology within the next twenty years. Of course, by 2033 many new professions are likely to appear, for example, virtual-world designers. But such professions will probably require much more creativity and flexibility than current run-of-the-mill jobs, and it is unclear whether forty-year-old cashiers or insurance agents will be able to reinvent themselves as virtual-world designers (try to imagine a virtual world created by an insurance agent!).


pages: 211 words: 77

The Little Schemer by Daniel P. Friedman, Matthias Felleisen, Duane Bibby

Gödel, Escher, Bach, pattern recognition, Y Combinator

In fact, The Little Schemer is based on lecture notes from a two-week "quickie" introduction to Scheme for students with no previous programming experience and an admitted dislike for anything mathematical. Many of these students were preparing for careers in public affairs. It is our belief that writing programs recursively in Scheme is essentially simple pattern recognition. Since our only concern is recursive programming, our treatment is limited to the whys and wherefores of just a few Scheme features: car, cdr, cons, eq?, null?, zero?, add!, sub!, number?, and, or, quote, lambda, define, and condo Indeed, our language is an idealized Scheme. The Little Schemer and The Seasoned Schemer will not introduce you to the practical world of programming, but a mastery of the concepts in these books provides a start toward understanding the nature of computation.

We do not give any formal definitions in this book. We believe that you can form your own definitions and will thus remember them and understand them better than if we had written each one for you. But be sure you know and understand the Laws and Commandments thoroughly before passing them by. The key to learning Scheme is "pattern recognition." The Commandments point out the patterns that you will have already seen. Early in the book, some concepts are narrowed for simplicity; later, they are expanded and qualified. You should also know that, while everything in the book is Scheme, Scheme itself is more general and incorporates more than we could intelligibly cover in an introductory text.


pages: 385 words: 111,113

Augmented: Life in the Smart Lane by Brett King

23andMe, 3D printing, additive manufacturing, Affordable Care Act / Obamacare, agricultural Revolution, Airbnb, Albert Einstein, Amazon Web Services, Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic, Apollo 11, Apollo Guidance Computer, Apple II, artificial general intelligence, asset allocation, augmented reality, autonomous vehicles, barriers to entry, bitcoin, Bletchley Park, blockchain, Boston Dynamics, business intelligence, business process, call centre, chief data officer, Chris Urmson, Clayton Christensen, clean water, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, congestion charging, CRISPR, crowdsourcing, cryptocurrency, data science, deep learning, DeepMind, deskilling, different worldview, disruptive innovation, distributed generation, distributed ledger, double helix, drone strike, electricity market, Elon Musk, Erik Brynjolfsson, Fellow of the Royal Society, fiat currency, financial exclusion, Flash crash, Flynn Effect, Ford Model T, future of work, gamification, Geoffrey Hinton, gig economy, gigafactory, Google Glasses, Google X / Alphabet X, Hans Lippershey, high-speed rail, Hyperloop, income inequality, industrial robot, information asymmetry, Internet of things, invention of movable type, invention of the printing press, invention of the telephone, invention of the wheel, James Dyson, Jeff Bezos, job automation, job-hopping, John Markoff, John von Neumann, Kevin Kelly, Kickstarter, Kim Stanley Robinson, Kiva Systems, Kodak vs Instagram, Leonard Kleinrock, lifelogging, low earth orbit, low skilled workers, Lyft, M-Pesa, Mark Zuckerberg, Marshall McLuhan, megacity, Metcalfe’s law, Minecraft, mobile money, money market fund, more computing power than Apollo, Neal Stephenson, Neil Armstrong, Network effects, new economy, Nick Bostrom, obamacare, Occupy movement, Oculus Rift, off grid, off-the-grid, packet switching, pattern recognition, peer-to-peer, Ray Kurzweil, retail therapy, RFID, ride hailing / ride sharing, Robert Metcalfe, Salesforce, Satoshi Nakamoto, Second Machine Age, selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor (SSRI), self-driving car, sharing economy, Shoshana Zuboff, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, Skype, smart cities, smart grid, smart transportation, Snapchat, Snow Crash, social graph, software as a service, speech recognition, statistical model, stem cell, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, strong AI, synthetic biology, systems thinking, TaskRabbit, technological singularity, TED Talk, telemarketer, telepresence, telepresence robot, Tesla Model S, The future is already here, The Future of Employment, Tim Cook: Apple, trade route, Travis Kalanick, TSMC, Turing complete, Turing test, Twitter Arab Spring, uber lyft, undersea cable, urban sprawl, V2 rocket, warehouse automation, warehouse robotics, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, white picket fence, WikiLeaks, yottabyte

In the 1990s, this extended to business processes and operations being automated at an enterprise level with enterprise-wide software solutions like SAP. However, the Internet went further and disrupted distribution mechanics such as we saw in the book and music industries. The Augmented Age will bring about a huge rethink of processes involving dynamic decision-making, pattern recognition and advisory services as machine intelligence optimises those processes and feedback loops. Whereas the Internet was most commonly about disruption of distribution, availability of information and rethinking the value chain, the next age will be about disruption of information, intelligence and advice (the application of information and intelligence) itself.

Whether it is advice on how to optimise your day’s activities from your bathroom mirror, an interactive chef that helps you cook your next meal or a travel advisory algorithm that optimises which flights you should book to increase your chance of an upgrade, there will increasingly be advice embedded into the world around us where it matters the most. There will be very few instances where a human who can give you advice at a future time with inferior data will compete with technologically embedded, contextual advice in real time. Machines Will Be Better at Learning about You Machine learning has been limited in the past by pattern recognition, natural speech and other deficiencies, but machines are beginning to catch up quickly. The advantage that machines connected to the Internet of Things and sensors will have is that they will be able to learn about your behaviour much more efficiently than service organisations today. How do service organisations today learn about your preferences?

While the humble camera and speaker are how we most commonly experience visual and audio innovations today, what lies beneath them has far more revolutionary potential. Next-generation retail experiences will evolve into something akin to neural and bio-synchronicity. The use of biometrics (fingerprint, facial, iris and voice identification), pattern recognition (emotional, stimulus response, location-based), behavioural psychology, sensory integration and augmented reality will change the retail experience into something that is a hybrid of technology and experiential design. We’ve talked about smart health care, smart banking, etc., in the other chapters of the book, so it’s natural that retailers and hospitality will seek to merge retail, travel and tech as much as possible.


pages: 356 words: 105,533

Dark Pools: The Rise of the Machine Traders and the Rigging of the U.S. Stock Market by Scott Patterson

Alan Greenspan, algorithmic trading, automated trading system, banking crisis, bash_history, Bear Stearns, Bernie Madoff, Black Monday: stock market crash in 1987, butterfly effect, buttonwood tree, buy and hold, Chuck Templeton: OpenTable:, cloud computing, collapse of Lehman Brothers, computerized trading, creative destruction, Donald Trump, financial engineering, fixed income, Flash crash, Ford Model T, Francisco Pizarro, Gordon Gekko, Hibernia Atlantic: Project Express, High speed trading, information security, Jim Simons, Joseph Schumpeter, junk bonds, latency arbitrage, Long Term Capital Management, machine readable, Mark Zuckerberg, market design, market microstructure, Michael Milken, military-industrial complex, pattern recognition, payment for order flow, pets.com, Ponzi scheme, popular electronics, prediction markets, quantitative hedge fund, Ray Kurzweil, Renaissance Technologies, seminal paper, Sergey Aleynikov, Small Order Execution System, South China Sea, Spread Networks laid a new fibre optics cable between New York and Chicago, stealth mode startup, stochastic process, three-martini lunch, Tragedy of the Commons, transaction costs, uptick rule, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, zero-sum game

More and more trades were sliced and diced into small, round-numbered pieces—two hundred, three hundred shares—that algos could more easily juggle. The algos deployed complex methods to hunt out the large whale orders the big firms traded, such as “pinging” dark pools with orders that they canceled seconds later. Some used AI pattern-recognition methods to detect their prey. Relatively small at first, the dark pools would grow larger and larger as electronic trading expanded dramatically in the coming years. The electronic traders and the Plumbers who built the pools they swam in didn’t see anything wrong with the market they’d help create.

Many of the hubs lay in the oceans, leading to the fanciful notion that particularly ambitious high-frequency trading outfits would plant themselves in the middle of the Atlantic or the Mediterranean or the South China Sea and get the jump on competitors using floating micro-islands populated by small communities of elite pattern-recognition programmers overseeing the hyperfast flow of data through their superservers. Better yet: unmanned pods of densely packed microprocessors overseen by next-generation AI Bots processing billions of orders streaming out of other unmanned AI pods positioned optimally around the world, the silent beams of high-frequency orders shifting trillions across the earth’s oceans at light speeds, all automated, beyond the scope of humans to remotely grasp the nature of the transactions.

Information about companies, currencies, bonds, and every other tradable instrument was digitized, fast as light. So-called machine-readable news was a hot new commodity. Breaking news about corporate events such as earnings reports was coded so that superfast algorithms could pick through it and react. Media outlets such as Reuters and Dow Jones published machine-readable news that pattern-recognition computers scanned and reacted to in the blink of an eye. High-tech trading firms gobbled up the information and gunned orders into the market at a rate faster than the beating wings of a hummingbird. With masses of data streaming through thousands of miles of fiber-optic cables laced around the world, and more people plugged into the Web through social networks, entirely novel techniques for leveraging data for trading were cropping up.


pages: 717 words: 150,288

Cities Under Siege: The New Military Urbanism by Stephen Graham

"hyperreality Baudrillard"~20 OR "Baudrillard hyperreality", addicted to oil, airport security, Alan Greenspan, Anthropocene, anti-communist, autonomous vehicles, Berlin Wall, call centre, carbon footprint, clean tech, clean water, congestion charging, creative destruction, credit crunch, DARPA: Urban Challenge, defense in depth, deindustrialization, digital map, disinformation, Dr. Strangelove, driverless car, edge city, energy security, European colonialism, export processing zone, failed state, Food sovereignty, gentrification, Gini coefficient, global supply chain, Global Witness, Google Earth, illegal immigration, income inequality, knowledge economy, late capitalism, Lewis Mumford, loose coupling, machine readable, market fundamentalism, mass incarceration, McMansion, megacity, military-industrial complex, moral panic, mutually assured destruction, Naomi Klein, New Urbanism, offshore financial centre, one-state solution, pattern recognition, peak oil, planetary scale, post-Fordism, private military company, Project for a New American Century, RAND corporation, RFID, Richard Florida, Scramble for Africa, Seymour Hersh, Silicon Valley, SimCity, smart transportation, surplus humans, The Bell Curve by Richard Herrnstein and Charles Murray, urban decay, urban planning, urban renewal, urban sprawl, Washington Consensus, white flight, white picket fence

In 2005 it emerged that the US Capitol Police in Washington, DC, had become the first police department in the country to adopt a ‘shoot-to-kill’ policy for dealing with suspected suicide bombers. Associated with this was the doctrine of ‘behavior pattern recognition’, intended as a means to ‘identify and isolate the type of behavior that might precede an attack’.120 Both shoot-to-kill policies and behavior pattern recognition techniques have a long history in Israel, and since 2001, Israeli experts have trained law enforcement and security personnel from across the world on their implementation. The International Association of Chiefs of Police (IACP), a global organization that supports training of and co-operation among police, has been instrumental in this rapid international diffusion of Israeli doctrine regarding shoot-to-kill and behavior pattern recognition.

The International Association of Chiefs of Police (IACP), a global organization that supports training of and co-operation among police, has been instrumental in this rapid international diffusion of Israeli doctrine regarding shoot-to-kill and behavior pattern recognition. The day after the devastating suicide bombing attacks on London’s tubes and buses, the IACP released its guidelines for dealing with potential suicide bombers, instructing ‘police officers to look for certain behavioral and physical characteristics, similar to those identified in behavior pattern recognition guidelines’. They also promoted ‘the use of lethal force, encouraging officers to aim for the suspect’s head and shoot-to-kill’. The IACP has held a number of training events in Israel to enable US and UK law enforcement officers to learn these policies.121 The implications of such imitation emerged during the investigations that followed the killing of a young Brazilian man, Jean Charles de Menezes, in London’s Stockwell tube station by anti-terrorist British police on 22 July 2005.

As part of the broader shift towards robotic vehicles that fuels major competitions such as Urban Challenge (discussed in Chapter 10), the US Army envisages that one third of all US military ground vehicles will be entirely robotic by 2015. In a 2004 article, defence journalist Maryanne Lawlor47 discusses the development of ‘autonomous mechanized combatant’ air and ground vehicles, as well as what she calls ‘tactical autonomous combatants’ under development for the US Air Force. These are being designed, she notes, to use pattern-recognition software for ‘time-critical targeting’. This involves rapidly linking sensors to automated weapons so that targets that are automatically sensed and ‘recognized’ by databases can be quickly, continually, and automatically destroyed. In US military parlance, such doctrine is widely termed ‘compressing the kill chain’ or ‘sensor to shooter warfare’.48 According to Lawlor, the ‘swarming of unmanned systems’ project team at US Joint Forces Command’s Joint Concept Development & Experimentation Directorate, based in Norfolk, Virginia, has made so much progress that ‘autonomous, networked and integrated robots may be the norm rather than the exception by 2025’.49 By that date, she predicts, ‘technologies could be developed … that would allow machines to sense a report of gunfire in an urban environment to within one meter, triangulating the position of the shooter and return fire within a fraction of a second’, and she argues that such robo-war systems will ‘help save lives by taking humans out of harm’s way’.50 Apparently, only US military personnel fall within the category ‘human’.


pages: 252 words: 74,167

Thinking Machines: The Inside Story of Artificial Intelligence and Our Race to Build the Future by Luke Dormehl

"World Economic Forum" Davos, Ada Lovelace, agricultural Revolution, AI winter, Albert Einstein, Alexey Pajitnov wrote Tetris, algorithmic management, algorithmic trading, AlphaGo, Amazon Mechanical Turk, Apple II, artificial general intelligence, Automated Insights, autonomous vehicles, backpropagation, Bletchley Park, book scanning, borderless world, call centre, cellular automata, Charles Babbage, Claude Shannon: information theory, cloud computing, computer vision, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, correlation does not imply causation, crowdsourcing, deep learning, DeepMind, driverless car, drone strike, Elon Musk, Flash crash, Ford Model T, friendly AI, game design, Geoffrey Hinton, global village, Google X / Alphabet X, Hans Moravec, hive mind, industrial robot, information retrieval, Internet of things, iterative process, Jaron Lanier, John Markoff, John Maynard Keynes: Economic Possibilities for our Grandchildren, John Maynard Keynes: technological unemployment, John von Neumann, Kickstarter, Kodak vs Instagram, Law of Accelerating Returns, life extension, Loebner Prize, machine translation, Marc Andreessen, Mark Zuckerberg, Menlo Park, Mustafa Suleyman, natural language processing, Nick Bostrom, Norbert Wiener, out of africa, PageRank, paperclip maximiser, pattern recognition, radical life extension, Ray Kurzweil, recommendation engine, remote working, RFID, scientific management, self-driving car, Silicon Valley, Skype, smart cities, Smart Cities: Big Data, Civic Hackers, and the Quest for a New Utopia, social intelligence, speech recognition, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, Steven Pinker, strong AI, superintelligent machines, tech billionaire, technological singularity, The Coming Technological Singularity, The Future of Employment, Tim Cook: Apple, Tony Fadell, too big to fail, traumatic brain injury, Turing machine, Turing test, Vernor Vinge, warehouse robotics, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!

For evidence, look no further than the UK’s ‘Mechanisation of Thought Processes’ conference, organised at the National Physical Laboratory in Teddington, Middlesex in 1958. Just two years after the Dartmouth conference, AI was already split into fields including ‘artificial thinking, character and pattern recognition, learning, mechanical language translation, biology, automatic programming, industrial planning and clerical mechanisation’. The period that followed is often considered to be the glory days of classic AI. The field was fresh, apparent progress was being made, and thinking machines seemed to lurk just over the horizon.

Overenthusiasm meant that impressive, if incremental, advances were often written up as though truly smart machines were already here. For example, one heavily hyped project was a 1960s robot called SHAKEY, described as the world’s first general-purpose robot capable of reasoning about its own actions. In doing so, it set benchmarks in fields like pattern recognition, information representation, problem solving and natural language processing. That alone should have been enough to make SHAKEY exciting, but journalists couldn’t resist a bit of embellishment. As such, when SHAKEY appeared in Life magazine in 1970, he was hailed not as a promising combination of several important research topics, but as the world’s ‘first electronic person’.

To make it the ‘Worldwide Headquarters’ they thought it should be, they kitted it out with a few tables, three chairs, a turquoise shag rug, a folding ping-pong table and a few other items. The garage door had to be left open for ventilation. It must have seemed innocuous at the time, but over the next two decades, Larry Page and Sergey Brin’s company would make some of the biggest advances in AI history. These spanned fields including machine translation, pattern recognition, computer vision, autonomous robots and far more, which AI researchers had struggled with for half a century. Virtually none of it was achieved using Good Old-Fashioned AI. The company’s name, of course, was Google. CHAPTER 2 Another Way to Build AI IT IS 2014 and, in the Google-owned London offices of an AI company called DeepMind, a computer whiles away the hours by playing an old Atari 2600 video game called Breakout.


pages: 280 words: 73,420

Crapshoot Investing: How Tech-Savvy Traders and Clueless Regulators Turned the Stock Market Into a Casino by Jim McTague

Alan Greenspan, algorithmic trading, automated trading system, Bear Stearns, Bernie Madoff, Bernie Sanders, Black Monday: stock market crash in 1987, Bretton Woods, buttonwood tree, buy and hold, computerized trading, corporate raider, creative destruction, credit crunch, Credit Default Swap, financial innovation, fixed income, Flash crash, High speed trading, housing crisis, index arbitrage, junk bonds, locking in a profit, Long Term Capital Management, machine readable, margin call, market bubble, market fragmentation, market fundamentalism, Myron Scholes, naked short selling, Nixon triggered the end of the Bretton Woods system, pattern recognition, Ponzi scheme, proprietary trading, quantitative trading / quantitative finance, Renaissance Technologies, Ronald Reagan, Sergey Aleynikov, short selling, Small Order Execution System, statistical arbitrage, technology bubble, transaction costs, uptick rule, Vanguard fund, Y2K

Someone in the market was using the equivalent of steroids to trade in and out of the market faster than everybody else. As the men began to track down the hombre, they learned just how radically Regulation NMS had changed the market, and it surprised them. The change had engendered an explosion in the number of high-frequency traders plying the markets with super-charged computers and advanced pattern-recognition and statistical software designed to beat the market. These guys always had been around, but now there seemed to be a lot more of them, and their robotic trading machines were much faster than anything ever deployed in the markets. They programmed these overclocked computers to make money buying and selling stocks without direct human oversight.

There was a new breed of trader prowling the stock market: the hedge fund. They liked to front-run institutional orders, which is why the institutions primarily had been trading in the old upstairs market, out of sight. Now the institutions would be defenseless prey for the hedge funds, which had an algorithmic advantage. The hedge funds had begun using pattern-recognition software, which could spot heavy buying and selling of specific securities and predict with an accuracy ranging from 60% to 80% how far the specific stock would move up or down on the next several trades. Thus, the hedge funds had the ability to front-run the market. They’d buy stock on an exchange where the targeted stock was priced low and go to Instinet or another ATS and sell the stock at the higher price predicted by the algorithm, knowing that big mutual funds were buying the stock in those venues.

Quants also were experts in statistical probability and would analyze historical data for patterns thought to repeat under certain circumstances, believing that future uncertainty could be reduced by collecting such information. For example, certain buzz words in the minutes of a Federal Reserve Board meeting might affect the stock market in a specific way. High-frequency traders eagerly embraced this kind of pattern-recognition software. The Quants, who predated the HFT industry by 20 years, often founded hedge funds as opposed to trading exclusively on their own dime. This practice invited regulatory scrutiny and the associated expenses whenever a member of the Quant fraternity had an exceptional meltdown. The SEC tried to regulate hedge funds in the wake of the Long Term Capital Management (LTCM) hedge fund debacle in 1998, but the courts threw out its rules.


pages: 280 words: 74,559

Fully Automated Luxury Communism by Aaron Bastani

"Peter Beck" AND "Rocket Lab", Alan Greenspan, Anthropocene, autonomous vehicles, banking crisis, basic income, Berlin Wall, Bernie Sanders, Boston Dynamics, Bretton Woods, Brexit referendum, capital controls, capitalist realism, cashless society, central bank independence, collapse of Lehman Brothers, computer age, computer vision, CRISPR, David Ricardo: comparative advantage, decarbonisation, deep learning, dematerialisation, DIY culture, Donald Trump, double helix, driverless car, electricity market, Elon Musk, energy transition, Erik Brynjolfsson, fake news, financial independence, Francis Fukuyama: the end of history, future of work, Future Shock, G4S, general purpose technology, Geoffrey Hinton, Gregor Mendel, housing crisis, income inequality, industrial robot, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Internet of things, Isaac Newton, James Watt: steam engine, Jeff Bezos, Jeremy Corbyn, Jevons paradox, job automation, John Markoff, John Maynard Keynes: technological unemployment, Joseph Schumpeter, Kevin Kelly, Kuiper Belt, land reform, Leo Hollis, liberal capitalism, low earth orbit, low interest rates, low skilled workers, M-Pesa, market fundamentalism, means of production, mobile money, more computing power than Apollo, new economy, off grid, pattern recognition, Peter H. Diamandis: Planetary Resources, post scarcity, post-work, price mechanism, price stability, private spaceflight, Productivity paradox, profit motive, race to the bottom, rewilding, RFID, rising living standards, Robert Solow, scientific management, Second Machine Age, self-driving car, sensor fusion, shareholder value, Silicon Valley, Simon Kuznets, Slavoj Žižek, SoftBank, stem cell, Stewart Brand, synthetic biology, technological determinism, technoutopianism, the built environment, the scientific method, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, Thomas Malthus, transatlantic slave trade, Travis Kalanick, universal basic income, V2 rocket, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, We are as Gods, Whole Earth Catalog, working-age population

While that was an iconic moment in the unfolding story of humans and machines, it paled in comparison to Watson, also built by IBM, when it later defeated Ken Jennings and Brad Rutter – two of the greatest Jeopardy! players in the history of the TV quiz show. Chess is a uniquely challenging game, but Jeopardy!, which demands real-time pattern recognition and creative thinking, more closely resembles the features associated with distinctively human intelligence. Not long after, Ken Jennings neatly summed up what that defeat might mean for white-collar work – which values pattern recognition and creative thinking – over the coming decades. Just as factory jobs were eliminated in the twentieth century by new assembly-line robots, Brad and I were the first knowledge-industry workers put out of work by the new generation of ‘thinking’ machines.

The first part allows algorithms to model and reproduce outcomes and work their way through highly repetitive tasks, while the second allows for immediate and smart responses to unexpected situations. In medicine, you can see how that would be applied to pretty much anything – from eye examinations to treating prostate cancer or taking blood. In areas more dependent on pattern recognition, such as radiology, machines have even more of an advantage. Radiologists use medical images like X-rays, CT and PET scans, MRIs and ultrasounds to diagnose and treat patients. While the field has greatly improved patient care over the last few decades, it has contributed to escalating costs and is relatively labour intensive.


pages: 238 words: 77,730

Final Jeopardy: Man vs. Machine and the Quest to Know Everything by Stephen Baker

23andMe, AI winter, Albert Einstein, artificial general intelligence, behavioural economics, business process, call centre, clean water, commoditize, computer age, Demis Hassabis, Frank Gehry, information retrieval, Iridium satellite, Isaac Newton, job automation, machine translation, pattern recognition, Ray Kurzweil, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, statistical model, The Soul of a New Machine, theory of mind, thinkpad, Turing test, Vernor Vinge, vertical integration, Wall-E, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!

Modern males now display muscles as mating attire, much the way peacocks fan their otherwise useless feathers. It would be all too easy to dismiss human foes of the IBM machine as cognitive versions of circus strongmen: trivia wunderkinds. But from the very beginning, Ferrucci saw that the game required far more than the simple regurgitation of facts. It involved strategy, decision making, pattern recognition, and a knack for nuance in the language of the clues. As the computer grew from a whimsical idea into a Jeopardy behemoth, it underwent an entire education, triumphing in some areas, floundering in others. Its struggles, whether in untangling language or grappling with abstract ideas, highlighted the areas in which humans maintain an edge.

The machines weren’t up to it. And they had serious trouble with even the most basic forms of perception, such as seeing. For example, researchers struggled to teach machines to perceive the edges of things in the physical world. As it turned out, it required experience and knowledge and advanced powers of pattern recognition just to look through a window and understand that the oak tree in the yard was a separate entity. It was not connected to the shed on the other side of it or a pattern on the glass or the wallpaper surrounding the window. The biggest obstacle, though, was language. In the early days, it looked beguilingly easy.

In this tiny negotiation, far beyond the range and capabilities of machines, two people can bridge the gap between the formal definition of a word and what they really want to say. It’s hard to nail down the exact end of AI winter. A certain thaw set in when IBM’s computer Deep Blue bested Garry Kasparov in their epic 1997 showdown. Until that match, human intelligence, with its blend of historical knowledge, pattern recognition, and the ability to understand and anticipate the behavior of the person across the board, ruled the game. Human grandmasters pondered a rich set of knowledge, jewels that had been handed down through the decades—from Bobby Fischer’s use of the Sozin Variation in his 1972 match with Boris Spassky to the history of the Queen’s Gambit Denied.


The Autistic Brain: Thinking Across the Spectrum by Temple Grandin, Richard Panek

Apollo 11, Asperger Syndrome, autism spectrum disorder, correlation does not imply causation, dark matter, David Brooks, deliberate practice, double helix, ghettoisation, Gregor Mendel, if you see hoof prints, think horses—not zebras, impulse control, Khan Academy, Mark Zuckerberg, meta-analysis, mouse model, neurotypical, pattern recognition, phenotype, Richard Feynman, selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor (SSRI), Silicon Valley, Steve Jobs, The future is already here, theory of mind, traumatic brain injury, twin studies

The interpretation of this tendency as a deficit in social pattern recognition was adopted by R. Peter Hobson in an influential series of studies he spearheaded in the 1980s at the Institute of Psychiatry in London. Did children with autism prefer to sort photographs according to facial expressions exhibited (happy or sad) or the type of hat worn (floppy or woolen)? The hats won. Did children with autism have trouble putting the pieces of a face together into an interpretation of facial emotions? Yes.9 These are important findings. But there can be a flip side to a deficit in social pattern recognition: a strength in pure pattern recognition—being really good at seeing the trees.


pages: 147 words: 37,622

Personal Kanban: Mapping Work, Navigating Life by Jim Benson, Tonianne Demaria Barry

Abraham Maslow, Albert Einstein, Asperger Syndrome, Bluma Zeigarnik, corporate governance, Howard Rheingold, intangible asset, job satisfaction, Kaizen: continuous improvement, Kanban, Ken Thompson, pattern recognition, performance metric, The Wisdom of Crowds, urban planning, Yogi Berra

Touching, feeling, physically interacting with our tasks transforms work-as-a-concept into work-as-a-concrete-experience. The physical experience of taking abstract ideas and turning them into tangible objects (sticky notes) impacts our learning by improving our understanding while promoting memory retention and skill synthesis. Kinesthetic Feedback 2: Pattern Recognition Each time we move a sticky note, we receive kinesthetic feedback: the tactile action is both a data point and a reward. A regular succession of these movements creates a cadence, a rhythm of work. Cadence creates an expectation. We begin to notice patterns (types of tasks most often delayed, tasks that require additional help), make distinctions (what work we enjoy, who we enjoy working with), and can adjust our prioritizations to suit.

The following trouble shooting techniques delve deep into the heart of a problem, challenging conventional wisdom, getting rid of wasteful assumptions, and exposing root causes. Pattern Matching as a Foundation for Problem Solving The human brain finds it incredibly difficult, if not impossible, to fake randomness. ~ Alex Bellosh Pattern recognition. It’s been hard-wired into our brains since we were warding off sabre-toothed tigers. Drawing connections between related objects and behaviors, humans have an innate ability to seek, draw relationships between, and store patterns. Inferring and adapting to basic differences in nature—such as distinguishing between animals that were potentially harmful or plants that were toxic or the amount of sunlight relative to each season—was key to prehistoric man’s survival and our evolution as a species.


pages: 178 words: 43,631

Spoiled Brats: Short Stories by Simon Rich

dumpster diving, immigration reform, Kickstarter, Occupy movement, pattern recognition

My mother stared at me angrily for a moment—then galloped off screaming into the night. “I met with the scientists,” I told my parents the next day. “They said I was the smartest chimp they’d ever seen.” “La-di-da,” my father said. My mother was standing behind him, in her usual grooming position. Neither looked up at me. “They tested me on memory, pattern recognition, and object permanence,” I told them. “There were dozens of chimps, but I scored the highest.” “Good for you,” my father grumbled, his voice thick with sarcasm. Nobody said anything for a while. Eventually, my mother broke the silence. “It was a big day at the shit pile,” she said. “Your father found three grubs.”

So one time, I’m in my tree, and Jane—” “He means Jane Goodall—” A whirring noise sounded in the clearing below. I looked down and sighed. Fitzbaum was already searching for my replacement. His truck was loaded with various testing apparatuses. I recognized a large plastic box from the day we’d met. It was a simple pattern-recognition test. You climbed inside and watched as three colored orbs lit up. If you hit the corresponding levers in the correct order, you won a banana. I could still remember how Fitzbaum had beamed when I solved it on my very first try. I heard some rustling in the trees around us. Dozens of chimps were balanced on high branches, watching Fitzbaum skeptically.


pages: 159 words: 42,401

Snowden's Box: Trust in the Age of Surveillance by Jessica Bruder, Dale Maharidge

air gap, anti-communist, Bay Area Rapid Transit, Berlin Wall, Black Lives Matter, blockchain, Broken windows theory, Burning Man, Cambridge Analytica, cashless society, Chelsea Manning, citizen journalism, computer vision, crowdsourcing, deep learning, digital rights, disinformation, Donald Trump, Edward Snowden, Elon Musk, end-to-end encryption, Evgeny Morozov, Ferguson, Missouri, Filter Bubble, Firefox, information security, Internet of things, Jeff Bezos, Jessica Bruder, John Perry Barlow, Julian Assange, Laura Poitras, license plate recognition, Mark Zuckerberg, mass incarceration, medical malpractice, messenger bag, Neil Armstrong, Nomadland, Occupy movement, off grid, off-the-grid, pattern recognition, Peter Thiel, Robert Bork, Seymour Hersh, Shoshana Zuboff, Silicon Valley, Skype, social graph, Steven Levy, surveillance capitalism, tech bro, Tim Cook: Apple, web of trust, WikiLeaks

By this point, however, we’d come to feel that the focus of our book was the human relationships that shepherded Snowden’s box — rather than the material inside. So we let it go. So much had happened since the box arrived. Dale and I were driven by a desire for deeper understanding, a sense of what it all meant. As Snowden himself once put it: “Humans are by nature pattern-recognition machines. We search for meaning, whether in the circumstances of our lives or on the surface of toast.” Like Laura, we emerged from the dark tunnel of those tense years. We made peace knowing that there are questions we’ll never be able to answer. We’re only human, after all. We do what we can with the information we have.

p. 130 Jabber singled out in Assange indictment: Glenn Greenwald and Micah Lee, “The US Government’s Indictment of Julian Assange Poses Grave Threats to Press Freedom,” Intercept, April 11, 2019. p. 130 Micah Lee comments on Assange indictment: twitter. com/micahflee/status/1116340396643082240?lang=en. p. 130 Snowden comments on Assange indictment: twitter. com/snowden/status/1131657973745496066?lang=en. p. 131 Snowden on humans as “pattern-recognition machines”: Poitras, Astro Noise, 121. pp. 132–3 Orwell on being human: George Orwell, “In Front of Your Nose,” Tribune (London), March 22, 1946. Appendix p. 136 Signal’s 400 percent jump in downloads: Jeff John Roberts, “This Messaging App Saw a Surge after Trump’s Election,” Fortune, December 2, 2016.


pages: 294 words: 86,601

Mind Wide Open: Your Brain and the Neuroscience of Everyday Life by Steven Johnson

Columbine, double helix, epigenetics, experimental subject, Great Leap Forward, Gödel, Escher, Bach, James Watt: steam engine, l'esprit de l'escalier, lateral thinking, mirror neurons, pattern recognition, phenotype, social intelligence, Steven Pinker, theory of mind, zero-sum game

What matters are the incoming stimuli and the pattern of activity that they spark: your brain taking in a certain configuration of sensory data from the outside world (or from your imagination or your memory banks) and triggering a neurochemical reaction in your head. Pattern recognition instead of code breaking-this may be the simplest way to describe the difference between the twenty-first-century Freud and the original. The two approaches can be readily blurred together. After all, you need pattern recognition tools to break a code. But breaking a code involves a further step-translating the encoded message back into its original form. In reality, those patterns in my own head don’t conceal a secret meaning that analysis can unearth after intense scrutiny; they don’t have symbolic depth.

Broca’s area of frontal lobes of prefrontal lobes of Wernicke’s area of nervous system neuroanatomy neurochemicals neuroendocrinology neurofeedback technology brain wave measurement and graphic display and high-speed processing of history of interactive process of mind expansion and mode switching and popular acceptance of recreational uses of sports and therapeutic uses of training in neurology neuromap fallacy neuroprofiles neurons atrophy of communication of mirror synapses and neuropsychoanalysis neuroscience see also brain science neurotrainers neurotransmitters New Age New England Journal of Medicine New York University (NYU) nicotine Nietzsche, Friedrich nonsense norepinephrine Norretranders, Tor Notes from the Underground (Dostoyevsky) nucleus accumbens numbers, memory of nurturing instinct occipital lobe Ochsner, Kevin Oedipal complex opium poppy optical illusions optic nerve orbicularis oculi organs Othmer, Sigfried Othmer, Susan Othmer Institute overeaters Oxford Dictionary of Quotations oxycontin oxygen oxytocin bonding and stress and Pac-Man pain memories of relief of panic Panksepp, Jaak paralysis parapsychology parietal lobe Parkinson’s disease pattern recognition Pavlov, Ivan Peak Achievement Trainer peptides periaqueductal gray (PAG) personal appearance personality competing brain systems and split true two sides of unified bisocial theory of PET scans PGA tournaments pharmacology phenylethylamine philosophy phobias phonological loop photography phrenology physics physiology Pink Floyd planning play PlayStation pleasure brain circuitry for chemical fixes for drive for shivers and chills of see also drugs, recreational pleasure principle post-traumatic stress disorder prairie voles pregnancy primal scream therapy protein synthesis Proust, Marcel Provine, Robert Prozac psyche competing forces of psychiatry psychic economy psychoanalysis psychology evolutionary pop psychopharmacology psychotherapy public speaking Quake qualia quantum behavior racism radioactive material Raiders of the Lost Ark Rain Man Rand, Ayn rats Ravel, Maurice reading skills “Reading the Mind in the Eyes” test Reagan, Ronald reasoning skills reconsolidation process reductionism reflexes rejection sensitivity relaxation deep repetition compulsion repression of memories reproduction reptiles reptilian brain, see brain stem response: autonomia conditioned knee-jerk startle see also fight-or-flight response Ritalin rivalry Robbins, Jim Rodenbough, John Rosenblum, Hal rumination Sacks, Oliver sadness Sagan, Carl Salpêtrière Hospital SATs schadenfreude schizophrenics Schopenhauer, Arthur science Science Seagal, Steven Seiden, Leslie self-awareness brain science and unified widening and changing of self-doubt self-exploration self-help self-improvement self-knowledge September 11 attacks serotonin sex climactic evolution and hormones and instincts of love and in men vs. women monogamous reproduction and Shakespeare, William Sime, Wes simulation theory sincerity skin sleep deprivation smallpox smiles fake genuine love and muscular underpinnings of Smith, Patti snakes social Darwinism social skills impairment of see also mind reading Solms, Mark sound electric shock combined with fear memories of sound waves spacial skills spandrels speech intonation and listening to public spinal column spinning sports: accidents in neurofeedback and startle response Stern, Daniel stomach, nervous storms stress brain activity and hormones and job-related male vs. female responses to memory and oxytocin and physical damage of relief of triggers of stroke left-hemisphere long-term deficits of Stroop Interference Test sugar superego superstition supervisory attention control support groups surprise sweating Symons, Donald sympathy faking of Symphony in the Brain, A (Robbins) synapses neurons and strengthening of talking cure see also psychoanalysis taste Taylor, Shelley telepathy temporal lobe “Tending Instinct, The” (Taylor) testosterone thalamus auditory cortex link to visual theory of other minds therapies see also specific therapies thermodynamics thought: assessment of other people’s controlling of feeling separated from shutting off 3-D space tickling transendental meditation (TM) transference triune brain “Uncanny, The” (Freud) unconscious consciousness vs.


pages: 291 words: 80,068

Framers: Human Advantage in an Age of Technology and Turmoil by Kenneth Cukier, Viktor Mayer-Schönberger, Francis de Véricourt

Albert Einstein, Andrew Wiles, Apollo 11, autonomous vehicles, Ben Bernanke: helicopter money, Berlin Wall, bitcoin, Black Lives Matter, blockchain, Blue Ocean Strategy, circular economy, Claude Shannon: information theory, cognitive dissonance, cognitive load, contact tracing, coronavirus, correlation does not imply causation, COVID-19, credit crunch, CRISPR, crowdsourcing, cuban missile crisis, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, deep learning, DeepMind, defund the police, Demis Hassabis, discovery of DNA, Donald Trump, double helix, Douglas Hofstadter, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, fake news, fiat currency, framing effect, Francis Fukuyama: the end of history, Frank Gehry, game design, George Floyd, George Gilder, global pandemic, global village, Gödel, Escher, Bach, Higgs boson, Ignaz Semmelweis: hand washing, informal economy, Isaac Newton, Jaron Lanier, Jeff Bezos, job-hopping, knowledge economy, Large Hadron Collider, lockdown, Louis Pasteur, Mark Zuckerberg, Mercator projection, meta-analysis, microaggression, Mustafa Suleyman, Neil Armstrong, nudge unit, OpenAI, packet switching, pattern recognition, Peter Thiel, public intellectual, quantitative easing, Ray Kurzweil, Richard Florida, Schrödinger's Cat, scientific management, self-driving car, Silicon Valley, Steve Jobs, Steven Pinker, TED Talk, The Structural Transformation of the Public Sphere, Thomas Kuhn: the structure of scientific revolutions, TikTok, Tim Cook: Apple, too big to fail, transaction costs, Tyler Cowen

The Cognitive and the Cultural How did this crucial evolutionary advantage come about? After all, our brains are not the biggest, nor are our neurons fundamentally different from the neurons of other mammals. The answer is in our cognition, the processes of our thought. Human brains are good at recognizing patterns, especially visual ones. At its core, pattern recognition is about generalizing from the specific. The aphorism that it is vital to distinguish the forest from the trees resonates, because it is precisely what our brain does with the onslaught of visual stimuli it receives. It constructs a reality in our mind that’s beyond what our eyes can see. In the distant history of humanity, some of our ancestors must have become able to repurpose this capability to abstract from the narrow but useful domain of our senses to something bigger and more conceptual.

You may need to scroll forward from that location to find the corresponding reference on your e-reader. Abaaoud, Abdelhamid, 213–214 abstraction and generalization causality and, 53–54 as defining characteristics of human cognition, 211 mental models made from ability of, 54–55, 59 as necessary for ambition and transcendence, 55 pattern recognition and, 56 relationship between, 64 accountability, 64, 65–66 Adair, John, 46 Adichie, Chimamanda Ngozi, 84 agency causality and, 65 counterfactuals and, 91 explainability as foundation of, 64 framing as empowering, 27 framing as ideal for efficiently preparing for, 208–209 mental models and, 9 mutability and, 107 number of constraints and, 118, 141 privileging human inaction and, 110 responsibility and, 65–66 social structures and, 66 agility of mind, 215–218 airplanes, development of, 36–38 All Quiet on the Western Front (Remarque), 83–84 AlphaZero system, 17–18 alternative realities constraints and shaping, 100–103 contradictions in, 110–111 counterfactuals and, 12–13, 79, 82–86, 94 envisioning, and shaping future, 94–95 existence of more than one, 159 framing and envisioning, 9, 79, 90, 94 minimal-change principle and, 108 monocultures and, 186 Amazon business model, 133–134 ambition and abstraction and generalization, 55 Americanah (Adichie), 84 Ansari, Anousheh, 194 antibiotics, ineffectiveness of, 1–2 Apple framing by teams at, 164–165 inspiration for computer system, 159 leadership of, ability to frame differently, 149, 150–151 Nokia versus, 6–7 Ardern, Jacinda, 32 Arendt, Hannah, 173–174, 180–181, 197, 198 Aristotle, 84–85 Armstrong, Neil, 34 artificial intelligence (AI) cannot conjure constraints, 118 e-sports, 69–70 failure to see causality, 45 generated music, 118–119 human element in, 93, 211 hyper-rationalists’ reliance on, to solve problems, 15–16 inability of, to frame, 44, 45–46 lack of imagination, 119 as reinforcing significance of framing, 211 self-driving cars, 92–93 arts AI-generated music, 118–119 business model for music industry, 120 constraints and, 100–103, 111–113 as constructed counterfactual realities, 82–85 imagination and, 82–85 mental models and, 11 Austrian wine industry, 108–109 Bach, Johann Sebastian, 118–119 Barzilay, Regina, 2–3, 4–5, 19, 211 Bay of Pigs invasion, 89, 234 Bernanke, Ben “Helicopter Ben,” 49–51, 101 Bezos, Jeff, 134 Black-Scholes theory, 39–40 Blue Ocean Strategy, 35 Branscomb, Lewis, 161 Brin, Sergey, 194 Bronner, Gérald, 213, 214 Brunelleschi, Filippo, 11 Burt, Ronald, 157 Bush, George W., 49 business and management Amazon, 133–134 benefits of mental diversity within, 161–166, 241–242 case study method of education, 86, 87–88, 155 difficulties changing corporate culture, 170–171 mental models and, 35 monocultures and death of, 182–183 music industry model, 120 reform of traditional pedagogical method in schools, 149–150 Silicon Valley versus East Coast technology titans, 183, 185–186 “thinking outside the box,” 46 Byrne, Ruth, 90, 110 Camden, New Jersey, police force, 134–136 Cappelli, Louis, Jr., 135 carbon dioxide and climate, 74–76, 168 “carbon sinks,” 76 Carcraft, 93 Carter, Jimmy, 116 Cassandras, 167–168 Cassirer, Ernst, 25 Catmull, Ed, 167–168 “causal determinism,” 88–89 causality ability to abstract from direct observation and, 53–54 agency and, 65 AI’s failure to see, 45 children and, 80–82 coincidence and, 66–67 correlation and, 68 counterfactuals and, 77, 79, 90 enables comprehension and explainability of reality, 52, 60 as foundation of human cognition, 12 in framing, 88–90 input of humans needed for technology to outperform humans, 70 needed for application of mental models, 62 predictability with, 52 reactions resulting from, 53 as result of being part of society, 58 scientific methodology prevents wrong inferences made from, 12 skepticism about, 68 statisticians and, 68 ultra-emotionalists and, 68–69 causal reasoning, 55 Cerf, Bennett, 101–102 Charging Bull statue, 198–199 Charpentier, Emmanuelle, 137 Chollet, François, 211 Churchill, Winston, 41 “Circumstances Affecting the Heat of the Sun’s Rays” (Foote), 73–74 clean-slate strategy, 158–160, 241 climate and carbon dioxide, 74–76, 168 Coconet, 118–119 cognitive complexity, 161 “cognitive effort,” 110 “cognitive foraging,” 156–158, 160 cognitive niche, 57, 58, 59, 230 “Cognitive Wheels” (Dennett), 44–45 coincidence and causality, 66–67 Collins, Jim, 2–3 Collison, Patrick, 185 Computers as Theatre (Laurel), 85 consistency principle, 110–114 constraints agency and number of, 118, 141 application method, 120–121 application of too many, 45 as boundaries on alternative realities, 100–103 changing, 201–202 consistency of, 104, 110–114 current reality as impacted by, 117–118 enable identification of viable options, 117 goal of, 114 hard, described, 104 imagination and, 47, 220 importance to counterfactuals of, 13, 115 increase agency, 118 as liberating, 100–103 minimal, 104 minimal-change principle and, 108–110 mutability of, 104–107, 110 space exploration and, 105 technology cannot conjure, 118 control, 64, 65–66 Cook, Tim, 151 Cooper, Sarah, 201–202 correlation and causality, 68 counterfactuals agency and, 91 alternative realities and, 12–13, 79, 82–86, 94 causality and, 77, 79, 90 causal link between carbon dioxide and climate and, 74–75 children and, 80–82 cognitive homogeneity as death of, 207 as counterbalance to “causal determinism,” 88–89 as crucial to progress by enabling what-if questions, 12–13 described, 12 in education, 86–88 finding relevant, 45 focused and goal-oriented nature of, 76 as form of evolution, 93–94 functionality of, 94 imagination and, 76, 79, 90 implicit knowledge and, 90–91 literature and art, 82–85 minimal-change principle and, 109–110 mutable constraints and, 106 omitting versus adding mutable action and, 110 thinking in, as natural for humans, 77 Coupland, Douglas, 112 Covid-19, framing of, 31–33 Craik, Kenneth, 226 creativity.

., 41 Kleiner, Eugene, 42 Kodak, 182 Kuhn, Thomas, 10 Langdell, Christopher Columbus, 86–87 Langley, Samuel, 37 language, grammatical, 57, 58 Lanier, Jaron, 112 “latticework of models,” 129 Laurel, Brenda, 85 learning and explainability, 63–64 learning as disruptive, 152–154 “Lego Ideas,” 165–166 Leopold the Pious, 169 Lilienthal, Otto, 36 Lister, Joseph, 61–62 Lo, Andrew, 130 “local optimum,” 166–167, 243 Lombrozo, Tania, 63–64 Lysenko, Trofim, and Lysenkoism, 7 MacGyver (television program), 91 Mandžukić, Mario, 77–78 maps, 27–28 Mauborgne, Renée, 35 McCarthy, John, 44 McDowell, Alex, 114 Meitner, Lise, 133 mental diversity advantages of, when identifying solutions, 166–167, 176 broadening range of frames, 155–156, 160–161, 241 business monocultures and, 183 clean-slate strategy for increasing, 158–160, 241 “cognitive foraging” for increasing, 156–158, 160 conceptual leaps necessary for, 152–153 friction resulting from, 194–195 ideological silos and, 207 importance of, when reframing, 162–163 as mind-set, not method, 151–154 within organizations, 161–166, 241–242 Podolny and, 150–151 rise and fall of social structures and, 183–185 social structure’s belief in validity of dominant mental model and, 179 variation not volume as important, 154 mental models art and, 11 banning certain, 186–187 broadness of, and ability to work in different circumstances, 144–146 building real models to support, 115–117 business and management and, 35 causal, from ability to abstract from direct observation and, 54–55, 59 choosing new, 40–44 coexistence of competing, 198–199 coexistence of new and old, 134 cognitive dexterity necessary to entertain many different, 168 convincing causal explanations needed for application of, 62 dangers of exclusion of alternative, 179–182 defined, 226 efficiency of choosing, 153, 208–209 emotionalists and, 69 employed affect options, 5 end of history and liberal, market democracy as only, 181–182 everyday use of, 9, 25 explainability as essential to success of, 62 for financial crisis of 2008, 50–51 flawed causal, 66–67 as foundation of human cognition, 5, 25, 26, 208 hard constraints and, 104 harnessing, 139–140, 219 historical, for financial markets, 50 importance of diversity of, when reframing, 162–163 invention of new, 7–8 keep world manageable and thus actionable, 9 learning enabled by, 64 maps as physical representations of, 27–28 as means of finding solutions, 4–5, 8, 38–39 need for diversity of, 151–152, 186 nine-dot test and, 46 as operationalizing values, 39 other terms for, 25 pluralism as flourishing of many clashing, 177–178 pluralism of, versus uniformity of, 14–15 poor, 6–7, 60–61, 178–179, 186 reapplication of same successful, 127, 179, 207 reduce cognitive load by focusing mind, 11–12 as shaping worldview, 39–40 single, as truth, 179 social structure’s belief in validity of dominant, 179 space exploration and, 33–35 technology’s need for human input of causal, to outperform humans, 70 as templates for human cognition, 11 tendency toward homophily and, 89, 162, 234 tension between, 160–161 use and validation of, 40 Messner, Reinhold, 123–126, 127 metaphors, importance of, 57 MeToo movement, 24 migration and mobility, 191–194 Milano, Alyssa, 23–24 minimal-change principle, 108–110 Minority Report (film), 111–114 misframing, 6–7, 10, 30–31 Mokyr, Joel, 183–184 monocultures, 179–183 monolithic thinking, 20, 180 Monument Valley, 85–86 moon landing, 33–34 Morris, Jan (formerly James), 160 Mosia, Nthabiseng, 203–204 mountain climbing, 123–126, 127 Mount Everest, 123–126, 127 Munger, Charlie, 129 Murdoch, Rupert, 194 Musk, Elon, 105–106, 194 mutability, 104–107, 110 mutilated checkerboard problem, 152–153 Nadella, Satya, 194 Neptune, prediction of existence of, 35 Netanyahu, Jonathan “Yoni,” 100 Newton, 7–8, 78, 131 New York Times, 34, 170–171 Nie Yunchen, 202–203 nine-dot test, 46, 47 Nix, Kevin, 189 Nokia versus Apple, 6–7 Norgay, Tenzing, 123 Norway, 163 Occam’s razor, 108 Ono, Koichi, 65 OpenAI, 70 options AI’s failure to conjure restraints creates too many, 118 constraints enable identification of viable, 117 counterfactuals and, 90 framing as ideal for efficiently identifying valuable, 208 mental models employed affect, 5 reframing provides new, 126 “Our World in Data” project, 19 Page, Scott, 166–167, 243 paradigm shifts, 10–11 “paradox of tolerance,” 178, 244 Parker, Robert, 109 Pasteur, Louis, 61 pattern recognition, 56 Pauling, Linus, 132 Pearl, Judea, 68 Perec, Georges, 103, 236 Perfume (Süskind), 83 Piaget, Jean, 80 Pichai, Sundar, 194 Pinker, Steven, 56, 57 Plato, 77 play, 80–82 pluralism banning certain mental models, 186–187 benefits of, 176 Chinese versus European societies, 183–185 coexistence of competing mental models, 198–199 cultural diversity and, 193 debate in “public sphere,” 195–197 in economic and political spheres, 176–177 education and childhood socialization to foster, 190–191 embracing variation to foster, 188–190 expansion and restriction of, 173–176 flourishing of multiplicity of clashing mental models, 177–178 as fostering and celebrating differences, 14–15 friction resulting from, 194–195 goal of, 186 importance of, 151–152, 179–181, 186 as means to end, 177 migration and mobility to foster, 191–194 as necessary for societal survival, 177–178 reapplication of same mental models and, 179 social pressure to censor and, 186 versus uniformity of mental models, 14–15 as unnatural state for humans, 187–188 Podolny, Joel, 149–151, 164–165 Poetics (Aristotle), 84–85 Popper, Karl, 178, 244 Porat, Ruth, 194 possibilities.


pages: 288 words: 86,995

Rule of the Robots: How Artificial Intelligence Will Transform Everything by Martin Ford

AI winter, Airbnb, algorithmic bias, algorithmic trading, Alignment Problem, AlphaGo, Amazon Mechanical Turk, Amazon Web Services, artificial general intelligence, Automated Insights, autonomous vehicles, backpropagation, basic income, Big Tech, big-box store, call centre, carbon footprint, Chris Urmson, Claude Shannon: information theory, clean water, cloud computing, commoditize, computer age, computer vision, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, coronavirus, correlation does not imply causation, COVID-19, crowdsourcing, data is the new oil, data science, deep learning, deepfake, DeepMind, Demis Hassabis, deskilling, disruptive innovation, Donald Trump, Elon Musk, factory automation, fake news, fulfillment center, full employment, future of work, general purpose technology, Geoffrey Hinton, George Floyd, gig economy, Gini coefficient, global pandemic, Googley, GPT-3, high-speed rail, hype cycle, ImageNet competition, income inequality, independent contractor, industrial robot, informal economy, information retrieval, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Internet of things, Jeff Bezos, job automation, John Markoff, Kiva Systems, knowledge worker, labor-force participation, Law of Accelerating Returns, license plate recognition, low interest rates, low-wage service sector, Lyft, machine readable, machine translation, Mark Zuckerberg, Mitch Kapor, natural language processing, Nick Bostrom, Northpointe / Correctional Offender Management Profiling for Alternative Sanctions, Ocado, OpenAI, opioid epidemic / opioid crisis, passive income, pattern recognition, Peter Thiel, Phillips curve, post scarcity, public intellectual, Ray Kurzweil, recommendation engine, remote working, RFID, ride hailing / ride sharing, Robert Gordon, Rodney Brooks, Rubik’s Cube, Sam Altman, self-driving car, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, social distancing, SoftBank, South of Market, San Francisco, special economic zone, speech recognition, stealth mode startup, Stephen Hawking, superintelligent machines, TED Talk, The Future of Employment, The Rise and Fall of American Growth, the scientific method, Turing machine, Turing test, Tyler Cowen, Tyler Cowen: Great Stagnation, Uber and Lyft, uber lyft, universal basic income, very high income, warehouse automation, warehouse robotics, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, WikiLeaks, women in the workforce, Y Combinator

In the late 1950s, Frank Rosenblatt, a psychologist at Cornell University, conceived the “perceptron,” an electronic device that operated on principles similar to those of biological neurons in the brain. Rosenblatt showed that simple networks made up of perceptrons could be trained to perform basic pattern recognition tasks, such as deciphering images of numerical digits. Rosenblatt’s initial work on neural networks generated enthusiasm, but as significant progress failed to materialize, the technique was eventually pushed aside by other approaches. Only a small group of researchers, including especially the three winners of the 2018 Turing Award, continued to focus on neural networks.

In the 1940s, Warren McCulloch and Walter Pitts introduced the idea of an artificial neural network as a kind of computational approximation for the way the biological neurons in the brain operated.6 Frank Rosenblatt, who was trained as a psychologist and lectured in the psychology department at Cornell, later incorporated these ideas into his perceptron. The perceptron was capable of rudimentary pattern recognition tasks like recognizing printed characters via a camera that was attached to the device. The inventor and author Ray Kurzweil, who is now an engineering director at Google, met Rosenblatt in his lab at Cornell in 1962. Kurzweil told me that he brought samples to try out on the perceptron and that the machine worked perfectly as long as the characters were printed clearly in the proper font.

In January 2018, for example, software created by a collaboration between Microsoft and the Chinese tech giant Alibaba was able to slightly outperform the human average on a reading comprehension test created by researchers at Stanford University.48 The Stanford test presents questions based on Wikipedia articles, in which the correct answer consists of a span of text drawn directly from the article “read” by the AI system. In other words, what we’re seeing is a demonstration not of true comprehension, but rather of information extraction and pattern recognition—something that, as we’ve seen, deep learning systems are extraordinarily good at. When the questions require any degree of common sense reasoning or reliance on implicit knowledge of the world, performance on such tests falls off dramatically. One of the best ways to understand the struggle that AI systems have with common sense is to look at specially formatted sentences known as Winograd schemas.


pages: 410 words: 119,823

Radical Technologies: The Design of Everyday Life by Adam Greenfield

3D printing, Airbnb, algorithmic bias, algorithmic management, AlphaGo, augmented reality, autonomous vehicles, bank run, barriers to entry, basic income, bitcoin, Black Lives Matter, blockchain, Boston Dynamics, business intelligence, business process, Californian Ideology, call centre, cellular automata, centralized clearinghouse, centre right, Chuck Templeton: OpenTable:, circular economy, cloud computing, Cody Wilson, collective bargaining, combinatorial explosion, Computer Numeric Control, computer vision, Conway's Game of Life, CRISPR, cryptocurrency, David Graeber, deep learning, DeepMind, dematerialisation, digital map, disruptive innovation, distributed ledger, driverless car, drone strike, Elon Musk, Ethereum, ethereum blockchain, facts on the ground, fiat currency, fulfillment center, gentrification, global supply chain, global village, Goodhart's law, Google Glasses, Herman Kahn, Ian Bogost, IBM and the Holocaust, industrial robot, informal economy, information retrieval, Internet of things, Jacob Silverman, James Watt: steam engine, Jane Jacobs, Jeff Bezos, Jeff Hawkins, job automation, jobs below the API, John Conway, John Markoff, John Maynard Keynes: Economic Possibilities for our Grandchildren, John Maynard Keynes: technological unemployment, John Perry Barlow, John von Neumann, joint-stock company, Kevin Kelly, Kickstarter, Kiva Systems, late capitalism, Leo Hollis, license plate recognition, lifelogging, M-Pesa, Mark Zuckerberg, means of production, megacity, megastructure, minimum viable product, money: store of value / unit of account / medium of exchange, natural language processing, Network effects, New Urbanism, Nick Bostrom, Occupy movement, Oculus Rift, off-the-grid, PalmPilot, Pareto efficiency, pattern recognition, Pearl River Delta, performance metric, Peter Eisenman, Peter Thiel, planetary scale, Ponzi scheme, post scarcity, post-work, printed gun, proprietary trading, RAND corporation, recommendation engine, RFID, rolodex, Rutger Bregman, Satoshi Nakamoto, self-driving car, sentiment analysis, shareholder value, sharing economy, Shenzhen special economic zone , Sidewalk Labs, Silicon Valley, smart cities, smart contracts, social intelligence, sorting algorithm, special economic zone, speech recognition, stakhanovite, statistical model, stem cell, technoutopianism, Tesla Model S, the built environment, The Death and Life of Great American Cities, The Future of Employment, Tony Fadell, transaction costs, Uber for X, undersea cable, universal basic income, urban planning, urban sprawl, vertical integration, Vitalik Buterin, warehouse robotics, When a measure becomes a target, Whole Earth Review, WikiLeaks, women in the workforce

They’re looking for something that might help them master the combinatorial explosion of possibility on a planet where nine billion people are continually knitting their own world-lines; for just a little reassurance, in a world populated by so many conscious actors that it often feels like it’s spinning out of anyone’s control. These are impulses I think most of us can relate to, and intuitively react to with some sympathy. And it’s this class of desires that I think we should keep in mind as we explore the mechanics of machine learning, automated pattern recognition and decision-making. For all the arrogance, the reductionism and the more than occasional wrongheadedness that crop up in this development effort, I believe it is founded in a set of responses to the world that most all of us have experienced at one time or another. If nothing else, to consider automation with any seriousness is to be presented with a long, poignant and richly elaborated index of our deepest longings and fears.

What we will be left with is a picture of ourselves, a diagram of all the ways in which we’ve chosen to allocate power, and an unforgiving map of the consequences. Whether we will ever summon the courage to confront those consequences with integrity is something that no algorithm can decide. What happens when pattern-recognition systems disclose uncomfortable truths to us, or at least uncomfortable facts? We hardly lack familiarity with the conscious introduction of uncomfortable facts into public debate. Self-delighted pop contrarians like Malcolm Gladwell and the Freakonomics team of Steven D. Levitt and Stephen J.

It can travel over any network, reside in and activate any processing system set up to parse it. We may joke, uneasily, about the lack of foresight implicit in teaching a global mesh of adaptive machines the highly lethal skills of a master swordsman. But it also points toward a time when just about any human skill can be mined for its implicit rules and redefined as an exercise in pattern recognition and reproduction, even those seemingly most dependent on soulful improvisation. One final thought. We’re already past having to reckon with what happens when machines replicate the signature moves of human mastery, whether the strokes of Rembrandt’s brush or those of Machii’s sword. What we now confront is the possibility of machines transcending our definitions of mastery, pushing outward into an enormously expanded envelope of performance.


pages: 480 words: 119,407

Invisible Women by Caroline Criado Perez

"Hurricane Katrina" Superdome, Affordable Care Act / Obamacare, algorithmic bias, augmented reality, Bernie Sanders, Cambridge Analytica, collective bargaining, crowdsourcing, data science, Diane Coyle, Donald Trump, falling living standards, first-past-the-post, gender pay gap, gig economy, glass ceiling, Grace Hopper, Hacker Ethic, independent contractor, Indoor air pollution, informal economy, lifelogging, low skilled workers, mental accounting, meta-analysis, Nate Silver, new economy, obamacare, Oculus Rift, offshore financial centre, pattern recognition, phenotype, post-industrial society, randomized controlled trial, remote working, Sheryl Sandberg, Silicon Valley, Simon Kuznets, speech recognition, stem cell, Stephen Hawking, Steven Levy, tech bro, the built environment, urban planning, women in the workforce, work culture , zero-sum game

‘We did talk to some VC investors who didn’t believe [Elvie] was an interesting proposition,’ she tells me. The other problem women face when it comes to getting investment is ‘pattern recognition’.13 A corollary of ‘culture fit’, pattern recognition sounds data-driven, but it’s basically just a fancy term for looks-similar-to-something-that-has-worked-in-the-past – where ‘something’ could be white-male-founder-who-dropped-out-of-Harvard-and-wears-hoodies. Genuinely: I dated a guy who was working on a start-up and he referenced this uniform when he was talking about getting funding. Hoody-based pattern recognition is real. And this emphasis on recognising a typically male pattern may be exacerbated by the common belief that tech is a field where inborn ‘genius’ (which, as we’ve seen, is stereotypically associated with men14) is more important than working hard (hence fetishising Harvard dropouts).

Australia gender pay gap gendered poverty Gillard ministries (2010–13) homelessness leisure time maternity. leave medical research military murders paternity. leave political representation precarious work school textbooks sexual assault/harassment taxation time-use surveys unpaid work Australia Institute Austria autism auto-plastics factories Autoblog autoimmune diseases automotive plastics workplaces Ayrton, Hertha Azerbaijan babies’ cries baby bottles Baker, Colin Baku, Azerbaijan Ball, James Bangladesh Bank of England banknotes Barbican, London Barcelona, Catalonia beauticians de Beauvoir, Simone Beer, Anna Beijing, China Belgium Berkman Center for Internet and Society Besant, Annie BI Norwegian Business School bicarbonate of soda Big Data bile acid composition biomarkers biomass fuels biomechanics Birka warrior Birmingham, West Midlands bisphenol A (BPA) ‘bitch’ bladder ‘Blank Space’ (Swift) blind recruitment blood pressure Bloom, Rachel Bloomberg News Bock, Laszlo body fat body sway Bodyform Boesel, Whitney Erin Boler, Tania Bolivia Boosey, Leslie Boserup, Ester Bosnia Boston Consulting Group Botswana Bouattia, Malia Boulanger, Béatrice Bourdieu, Pierre Bovasso, Dawn Boxing Day tsunami (2004) boyd, danah brain ischaemia Brazil breasts cancer feeding and lifting techniques pumps reduction surgery and seat belts and tactile situation awareness system (TSAS) and uniforms Bretherton, Joanne Brexit Bricks, New Orleans brilliance bias Brin, Sergey British Electoral Survey British Journal of Pharmacology British Medical Journal British Medical Research Council British National Corpus (BNC) Broadly Brophy, Jim and Margaret Buick Bulgaria Burgon, Richard Bush, Stephen Buvinic, Mayra BuzzFeed Cabinet caesarean sections Cairns, Alex California, United States Callanan, Martin Callou, Ada Calma, Justine calorie burning Cambridge Analytica Cameron, David Campbell Soup Canada banknotes chemical exposure childcare crime homelessness medical research professor evaluations sexual assault/harassment toilets unpaid work Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives (CCPA) Canadian Institutes of Health cancer canon formation Cape Town, South A.ica carcinogens cardiac resynchronisation therapy devices (CRT-Ds) cardiovascular system care work and agriculture elderly people and employment gross domestic product (GDP) occupational health and paternity leave time-use surveys and transport and zoning Carnegie Mellon University carpenters cars access to crashes driving tests motion sickness navigation systems Castillejo, Clare catcalling Cavalli, Francesco cave paintings CCTV Ceccato, Vania cell studies Center for American Progress Center for Economic and Social Rights (CESR) Center for Talent Innovation Central Asia Centre of Better Births, Liverpool Women’s Hospital chemicals Chiaro Chicago, Illinois chief executive officers (CEO) child benefit child marriage childbirth childcare and agriculture cost of and employment and gross domestic product (GDP) and paternity leave time-use surveys and zoning children’s television China cholera Chopin, Frédéric Chou, Tracy chromosomes chronic illness/pain Chronic Pain Policy Coalition chulhas Cikara, Mina circadian rhythms Citadel classical music clean stoves cleaning climate change Clinton, Hillary clitoridectomies Clue coal mining coastguards Collett Beverly colon cancer Columbia University competence vs warmth composers Composers’ Guild of Great Britain computer science confirmation bias confounding factors Congo, Democratic Republic of the Connecticut, United States Conservative Party construction work contraception contractions cooking cookstoves Corbusier, Le Cornell University coronary stents Corpus of Contemporary American English (COCA) corrective rape cosmetology Cosmopolitan Cotton, Dany Coyle, Diane crash test dummies Crazy Ex-Girlfriend Crewe, Emma Crick, Francis Crime Prevention and Community Safety crime crime scene investigators Croatia crochet Crockety, Molly CurrMIT CVs (curriculum vitaes) Czech Republic daddy quotas Daly, Caroline Louisa Data2x Davis-Blake, Alison Davis, Wendy Davison, Peter defibrillators deforestation Delhi, India dementia Democratic Party Democratic Republic of the Congo Democratic United Party dengue fever Denmark dental devices Department for Work and Pensions depression diabetes diarrhoea diet diethylstilbestrol (DES) disabled people disasters Ditum, Sarah diversity-valuing behavior DNA (deoxyribonucleic acid) Do Babies Matter (Goulden, Mason, and Wolfinger) Doctor Who domestic violence Donison, Christopher Doss, Cheryl ‘draw a scientist’ driving dry sex Dyas-Elliott, Roger dysmenorrhea E3 Eagle, Angela early childhood education (ECE) Ebola economics Economist, The Edexcel education Edwards, Katherine Einstein, Albert elderly people Eliot, George Elks lodges Elvie emoji employment gender pay gap occupational health parental leave precarious work sexual assault/harassment and unpaid work ‘End of Theory, The’ (Anderson) endocrine disrupting chemicals (EDCs) Endocrine Society endometriosis endovascular occlusion devices England national football English language ENIAC (Electronic Numerical Integrator and Computer) Enlightenment entrepreneurs epilepsy Equal Times Equality Act (2010) erectile dysfunction Estonian language Ethiopia EuroNCAP European Parliament European Union academia bisphenol A (BPA) chronic illnesses crash test dummies employment gap endocrine disrupting chemicals (EDCs) gender-inflected languages life expectancy medical research parental leave precarious work sexual harassment taxation transport planning Evernote EverydaySexism evolution exercise extension services Facebook facial wrinkle correction fall-detection devices Fallout Family and Medical Leave Act (1993) farming Fawcett Society Fawlty Towers female Viagra feminism Feminist Frequency films Financial crash (2008) Finland Finnbogadóttir, Vigdís Finnish language firefighters first past the post (FPTP) First World War (1914–18) Fiske, Susan Fitbit fitness devices flexible working Folbre, Nancy Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) Food and Drug Administration (FDA) football forced marriage Ford Fordham, Maureen fragile states France Franklin, Rosalind Frauen-Werk-Stadt free weights Freeman, Hadley French language Freud, Sigmund From Poverty to Power (Green) funeral rites FX gaming GapJumpers Gates Foundation Gates, Melinda gathering Geffen, David gender gender data gap academia agriculture algorithms American Civil War (1861–5) brilliance bias common sense crime Data2x female body historical image datasets innovation male universality medical research motion sickness occupational health political representation pregnancy self-report bias sexual assault/harassment smartphones speech-recognition technology stoves taxation transport planning unpaid work warmth vs competence Gender Equality Act (1976) Gender Global Practice gender pay gap gender-fair forms gender-inflected languages gendered poverty genderless languages Gendersite General Accounting Office generic masculine genius geometry Georgetown University German language German Society of Epidemiology Germany academia gender pay gap gender-inflected language Landesamt für Flüchtlingsangelegenheiten (LAF) medical research precarious work refugee camps school textbooks unpaid work Gezi Park protests (2013) Ghana gig economy Gild Gillard, Julia GitHub Glencore Global Alliance for Clean Cookstoves Global Gender Gap Index Global Media Monitoring Project Golden Globes Google artificial intelligence (AI) childcare Images maternity leave News Nexus petabytes pregnancy parking promotions search engine speech-recognition software Translate Gosling, Ryan Gothenburg, Sweden Gove, Michael Government Accounting Office (GAO) Great Depression (1929–39) Greece Green, Duncan Greenberg, Jon groping gross domestic product (GDP) Grown, Caren Guardian Gujarat earthquake (2001) Gulf War (1990–91) gyms H1N1 virus Hackers (Levy) hand size/strength handbags handprints haptic jackets Harman, Harriet Harris, Kamala Harvard University hate crimes/incidents Hawking, Stephen Haynes, Natalie Hayward, Sarah Hazards Health and Safety at Work Act (1974) Health and Safety Executive (HSE) health-monitoring systems healthcare/medicine Hearst heart attacks disease medication rhythm abnormalities surgery Heat St Heinrich Böll Foundation Helldén, Daniel Henderson, David Henry Higgins effect Henry VIII, King of England Hensel, Fanny hepatitis Hern, Alex high-efficiency cookstoves (HECs) Higher Education Statistics Agency Himmelweit, Sue hip belts history Hodgkin’s disease Holdcrofity, Anita Hollaback ‘Hollywood heart attack’ Homeless Period, The homelessness hopper fare Hopper, Grace hormones House of Commons Household Income Labour Dynamics of Australia Survey housekeeping work Howard, Todd human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) Human Rights Act (1998) Human Rights Watch human–computer interaction Hungary hunter-gatherer societies Huntingdon, Agnes Hurricane Andrew (1992) Hurricane Katrina (2005) Hurricane Maria (2017) hyperbolic geometry hysterectomies hysteria I Am Not Your Negro Iceland identity Idomeni camp, Greece Illinois, United States images immune system Imperial College London Inc Income of Nations, The (Studenski) indecent exposure Independent India Boxing Day tsunami (2004) gendered poverty gross domestic product (GDP) Gujarat earthquake (2001) political representation sexual assault/harassment stoves taxation toilets unpaid work Indian Ocean tsunami (2004) Industrial Revolution (c. 1760–1840) influenza Inmujeres innovation Institute for Fiscal Studies Institute for Women’s Policy Research Institute of Medicine Institute of Women’s Policy Research (IWPR) institutionalised rape Insurance Institute for Highway Safety Inter-agency Working Group on Reproductive Health in Crises Inter-Parliamentary Union’s (IPU) Internal Revenue Service (IRS) International Agency Research on Cancer International Conference on Intelligent Data Engineering and Automated Learning International Council of Nurses International Encyclopaedia of Women Composers International Labour Organization (ILO) International Monetary Fund (IMF) International Peace Institute International Trade Union Confederation (ITUC) interrupting intestinal enzymes iPhone Ireland IRIN irritable bowel syndrome Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham (ISIS) isometric exercises Israel Italy Jackson, Henry Japan Jenkins, Simon Jepson, Peter job interviews job vacancies Jones, Anna Jones, Brigid Juárez, Victoria ‘just in time’ scheduling so.ware Kail, Eva Karlskoga, Sweden Karnataka Household Asset Survey Katebe, Uganda Keecoo K1 Kelly, Paul Kenya Khayelitsha, South Africa kidneys kinesiology Knausgaard, Karl Ove Knope, Leslie Koofi, Fawzia Korea Kronos Kuznets, Simon Labour Party Lammy, David Lancet Lancet Planetary Health Landesamt für Flüchtlingsangelegenheiten (LAF) language Latin America Latvia Lau, Tessa Lauer, Matt Lawrence, David Lean In (Sandberg) Lebanon Legro, Richard Leicester, Leicestershire leisure time lesbians Lesotho lethal violence Levy, Steven Lewis, Brandon Leyster, Judith Liberal Democrats Liberia libertarianism life expectancy Life of Pi Lilla, Mark Lim, Angelica Limpsfield Grange, Surrey Lin Qing Linder, Astrid literacy literature Littman, Ellen liver failure Liverpool, Merseyside lobotomies Local Government Act (1972) London, England Fire Brigade general election (2017) precarious work sexual assault/harassment transportation London School of Economics (LSE) London Review of Books Long Friday long-hours culture longevity Los Angeles Times Los Angeles, California Loughborough University Louisiana, United States Loukaitou-Sideris, Anastasia lubricant lung capacity lung diseases Macedonia Mackinnon, Catherine Maconchy, Elizabeth Made by Many Madrid, Spain malaria Malawi male universality Malmö, Sweden Malta mammary carcinogens ‘Man the Hunter’ Manchester University Martínez-Román, Adi Martino, Tami Marvel Comics maternal mortality maternity leave mathematics Mazarra, Glen McCabe, Jesse McCain, John McGill University McKinsey McLean, Charlene Medela medicine/healthcare Medline Memorial University Mendelssohn, Felix Mendes, Eva Mendoza-Denton, Rodolfo menopause menstruation mental health meritocracy Messing, Karen meta gender data gap MeToo movement Metroid mewar angithi (MA) Mexico Miami, Florida mice Microsoft migraines military Milito, Beth Miller, Maria Minassian, Alek Minha Casa, Minha Vida miscarriages Mismeasure of Woman, The (Tavris) misogyny Mitchell, Margaret Mogil, Jeffrey Mongolia Montreal University Morgan, Thomas Hunt morphine motion parallax motion sickness Motorola multiple myeloma Mumbai, India murders Murray, Andrew muscle music My Fair Lady myometrial blood ‘Myth’ (Rukeyser) nail salons Naipaul, Vidiadhar Surajprasad naive realism National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) National Autistic Society National Democratic Institute National Health Service (NHS) National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) National Institute for Health and Case Excellence (NICE) National Institute of Health Revitalization Act (1993) National Institutes of Health (NIH) National Union of Students (NUS) natural gender languages Nature Navarro, Jannette Naya Health Inc Nea Kavala camp, Greece Neitzert, Eva Neolithic era Netflix Netherlands neutrophils New Jersey, United States New Orleans, Louisiana New Statesman New York, United States New York Committee for Occupational Safety & Health (NYCOSH) New York Philharmonic Orchestra New York Times New Yorker New Zealand Newham, London Nigeria Nightingale, Florence Nobel Prize nomunication Norris, Colleen Norway Nottingham, Nottinghamshire nurses Nüsslein-Volhard, Christiane O’Neil, Cathy O’Neill, Rory Obama, Barack Occupational Health and Safety Administration occupational health Oedipus oestradiol oestrogen office temperature Olympic Games Omron On the Generation of Animals (Aristotle) orchestras Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Organisation for the Study of Sex Differences Orissa, India osteopenia osteoporosis ovarian cancer Oxfam Oxford English Dictionaries Oxford University oxytocin pacemakers pain sensitivity pairing Pakistan Pandey, Avanindra paracetamol parental leave Paris, France Parkinson’s disease parks passive tracking apps paternity leave patronage networks pattern recognition Payne-Gaposchkin, Cecilia peace talks pelvic floor pelvic inflammatory disease pelvic stress fractures pensions performance evaluations periods Persian language personal protective equipment (PPE) Peru petabytes Pew Research Center phantom-limb syndrome phenylpropanolamine Philadelphia, Pennsylvania Philippines phobias phthalates Physiological Society pianos Plato plough hypothesis poetry Poland police polio political representation Politifact Pollitzer, Elizabeth Portland, Oregon Portugal post-natal depression post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) poverty Powell, Colin PR2 Prada prams precarious work pregnancy Pregnant Workers Directive (1992) premenstrual syndrome (PMS) primary percutaneous coronary interventions (PPCI) Prinz-Brandenburg, Claudia progesterone projection bias prolapse promotions proportional representation (PR) Prospect Union Prospect Public Monuments and Sculptures Association public sector equality duty (PSED) public transport Puerto Rico purchasing authority ‘quantified self’ community Quebec, Canada QuiVr radiation Rajasthan, India rape RateMyProfessors.com recruitment Red Tape Challenge ‘Redistribution of Sex, The’ Reference Man Reformation refugees Renaissance repetitive strain injury (RSI) Representation of the People Act (1832) Republican Party Resebo, Christian Reykjavik, Iceland Rhode Island, United States Rio de Janeiro, Brazil risk-prediction models road building Road Safety on Five Continents Conference Roberts, David Robertson, Adi robots Rochdale, Manchester Rochon Ford, Anne Rudd, Kevin Rukeyser, Muriel Russian Federation Rwanda Sacks-Jones, Katharine Saenuri Party Safecity SafetyLit Foundation Sánchez de Madariaga, Inés Sandberg, Sheryl Sanders, Bernard Santos, Cristine Schalk, Tom Schenker, Jonathan Schiebinger, Londa School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS) school textbooks Schumann, Clara science, technology, engineering and maths (STEM) Scientific American scientists Scotland Scythians ‘sea of dudes’ problem Seacole, Mary seat belts Second World War (1939.45) self-report bias September 11 attacks (2001) Serbia Sessions, Jefferson severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) sex Sex Discrimination Act (1975) sex robots sex-disaggregated data agriculture chemical exposure conflict employment fall-detection devices fitness devices gendered poverty medical research precarious work smartphones taxation transport urban design virtual reality voice recognition working hours sexual violence/harassment shape-from-shading Sherriff, Paula Shield, The shifting agriculture Sierra Leone sildenafil citrate Silicon Valley Silver, Nate Singh, Jyoti single parents single-member districts (SMD) Siri Skåne County, Sweden skeletons skin Slate Slocum, Sally Slovenia smartphones snow clearing social capital social data Social Democratic Party (SDP) social power socialisation Solna, Sweden Solnit, Rebecca Somalia Sony Ericsson Sounds and Sweet Airs (Beer) South Africa South Korea Soviet Union (1922–91) Spain Spanish language Speak with a Geek speech-recognition technology Sphinx sports Sprout Pharmaceuticals Sri Lanka St Mark’s, Venice St Vincent & the Grenadines stab vests Stack Overflow Stanford University staple crops Star Wars Starbucks Starkey, David statins statues stem cells Stevens, Nettie Stockholm, Sweden Stoffregen, Tom stoves Streisand, Barbra streptococcal toxic shock syndrome stress strokes Strozzi, Barbara Studenski, Paul Sulpicia Supreme Court Sweden Birka warrior car crashes councils crime depression gender pay gap heart attacks murders paternity leave political representation refugee camps snow clearing sports taxation unpaid work youth urban regeneration Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute Swift, Taylor swine flu Swinson, Joanne Kate ‘Jo’ Switzerland Syria Systran tactile situation awareness system (TSAS) Taimina, Daina Taiwan Tate, Angela Tatman, Rachael Tavris, Carol taxation teaching evaluations Teaching Excellence Framework (TEF) tear gas tech industry television temperature Temperature Temporary Assistance to Needy Families tennis tenure-track system text corpora thalidomide ThinkProgress Thor three-stone fires time poverty time-use surveys TIMIT corpus Tin, Ida toilets Toksvig, Sandi tools Toronto, Ontario Tottenham, London Toyota Trades Union Congress (TUC) tradition transit captives transportation treadmills trip-chaining troponin Trump, Donald tuberculosis (TB) Tudor period (1485–1603) Tufekci, Zeynep Turkey Twitter Uberpool Uganda Ukraine ulcerative colitis Ulrich, Laurel Thatcher Umeå, Sweden Understanding Girls with ADHD (Littman) unemployment unencumbered people Unicode Consortium Unison United Association of Civil Guards United Kingdom academia austerity autism banknotes breast pumps Brexit (2016–) Fire Brigade caesarean sections children’s centres chronic illness/pain coastguards councils employment gap endometriosis Equality Act (2010) flexible working gender pay gap gendered poverty general elections generic masculine gross domestic product (GDP) heart attacks homelessness Human Rights Act (1998) leisure time maternity leave medical research military murders music nail salons occupational health paternity leave pedestrians pensions personal protective equipment (PPE) police political representation precarious work public sector equality duty (PSED) Representation of the People Act (1832) scientists Sex Discrimination Act (1975) sexual assault/harassment single parents statues stress taxation toilets transportation trip-chaining universities unpaid work Yarl’s Wood Detention Centre United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF) Commission on the Status of Women Data2x Economic Commission for Africa Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) homicide survey Human Development Report and peace talks Population Fund Security Council Resolution 1325 (2000) and stoves and Switzerland and toilets and unpaid childcare Women’s Year World Conference on Women United States academia Affordable Care Act (2010) Agency for International Development (USAID) Alzheimer’s disease banknotes bisphenol A (BPA) breast pumps brilliance bias Bureau of Labor Statistics car crashes chief executive officers (CEO) childbirth, death in Civil War (1861–5) construction work councils crime early childhood education (ECE) employment gap endocrine disrupting chemicals (EDCs) endometriosis farming flexible working gender pay gap gendered poverty generic masculine Great Depression (1929–39) gross domestic product (GDP) healthcare heart attacks Hurricane Andrew (1992) Hurricane Katrina (2005) Hurricane Maria (2017) immigration detention facilities job interviews ‘just in time’ scheduling so.ware leisure time maternity leave medical research meritocracy military mortality rates murders nail salons National Institute of Health Revitalization Act (1993) occupational health personal protective equipment (PPE) political representation precarious work presidential election (2016) school textbooks September 11 attacks (2001) sexual assault/harassment single parents soccer team Supreme Court taxation tech industry toilets transportation Trump administration (2017–) universities unpaid work universal credit (UC) universality universities University and College Union University of California, Berkeley University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) University of Chicago University of Liverpool University of London University of Manchester University of Michigan University of Minnesota University of North Carolina University of Stirling University of Sussex University of Washington University of York unpaid work 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Williams, Venus Williamson, £eresa Willow Garage Wimbledon Windsor, Ontario Winter, Jessica Wired Wolf of Wall Street, The Wolfers, Justin Wolfinger, Nicholas ‘Woman the Gatherer’ (Slocum) Women and Equalities Committee Women Will Rebuild Women’s Budget Group (WBG) Women’s Design Service Women’s Engineering Society Women’s Refugee Commission Women’s Year Woolf, Virginia workplace safety World Bank World Cancer Research Fund World Cup World Economic Forum (WEF) World Health Organization (WHO) World Meteorological Organisation worm infections Woskow, Debbie Wray, Susan Wyden, Robert XY cells Y chromosome Yale University Yarl’s Wood Detention Centre, Bedford Yatskar, Mark Yemen Yentl syndrome Yezidis Youth Vote, The youthquake Zambia zero-hour contracts Zika zipper quotas zombie stats zoning Zou, James Photo by Rachel Louise Brown CAROLINE CRIADO PEREZ is a writer, broadcaster, and feminist activist and was named Liberty Human Rights Campaigner of the Year and OBE by the Queen.


ucd-csi-2011-02 by Unknown

bioinformatics, en.wikipedia.org, pattern recognition, The Wisdom of Crowds

In Proceedings of the 18th international conference on World wide web, pages 731–740. ACM, 2009. [5] J. Giles. Internet encyclopaedias go head to head. Nature, 438(7070):900–901, 2005. [6] R. Giugno and D. Shasha. GraphGrep: A fast and universal method for querying graphs. In International Conference on Pattern Recognition, volume 16, pages 112–115, 2002. [7] N.T. Korfiatis, M. Poulos, and G. Bokos. Evaluating authoritative sources using social networks: an insight from Wikipedia. Online Information Review, 30(3):252–262, 2006. [8] Andrew Lih. Wikipedia as participatory journalism: reliable sources? metrics for evaluating collaborative media as a news resource.


pages: 566 words: 153,259

The Panic Virus: The True Story Behind the Vaccine-Autism Controversy by Seth Mnookin

Albert Einstein, autism spectrum disorder, British Empire, Cass Sunstein, cognitive dissonance, correlation does not imply causation, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, disinformation, Edward Jenner, en.wikipedia.org, illegal immigration, index card, Isaac Newton, John Gilmore, loss aversion, meta-analysis, mouse model, neurotypical, pattern recognition, placebo effect, precautionary principle, Richard Thaler, Saturday Night Live, selection bias, Stephen Hawking, Steven Pinker, the scientific method, Thomas Kuhn: the structure of scientific revolutions

When, in 2002, an exhaustive federal study found that breast cancer rates in Long Island were in fact barely distinguishable from those in the rest of the country, the news received a fraction of the attention the initial scare had caused. Even if that hadn’t been the case—even if there had been a higher-than-average rate of breast cancer in the area—the most likely explanation would have been that Long Island found itself in a random eddy of disease rather than the victim of a hidden carcinogen.34 If large-scale pattern recognition is hard to practice in your neighborhood, it’s nearly impossible to conduct over the Internet. Even when you know that an online community selects for a certain type of person—say, politically minded liberals or ardent conspiracy theorists—sustained encounters with a small group of like-minded people almost inevitably lead to the conclusion that everyone thinks the way you do.

This discovery has led to an explosion of interest in the cognitive biases we use to convince ourselves that the truth lies with what we feel rather than with what the evidence supports. The origins of many of these traits can be traced back to the primitive conditions in which they were selected for millennia ago. Take pattern recognition, which evolutionary biologists like to explain through fables about our ancestors: Imagine a primitive hunter-gatherer. Now imagine he sees a flicker of movement on the horizon, or hears a rustle at his feet. Maybe it was nothing—or maybe it was a lion out hunting for dinner or a snake slithering through the grass.

When our yearning to feel in control and our ability to recognize randomness are in conflict, the urge to feel in control almost always wins—as was likely the case when Lorraine Pace became convinced that there were an unusually high number of breast cancer cases in her Long Island community. (The technical name for this tendency is the clustering illusion.) Pattern recognition and the clustering illusion are just two of literally dozens of cognitive biases that have been identified over the past several decades. Some of the others have been alluded to earlier in this book: When SafeMinds members set out to write an academic paper about a hypothesis they already believed to be true, they set themselves up for expectation bias, where a researcher’s initial conjecture leads to the manipulation of data or the misinterpretation of results, and selection bias, where the meaning of data is distorted by the way in which it was collected.


pages: 297 words: 91,141

Market Sense and Nonsense by Jack D. Schwager

3Com Palm IPO, asset allocation, Bear Stearns, Bernie Madoff, Black Monday: stock market crash in 1987, Brownian motion, buy and hold, collateralized debt obligation, commodity trading advisor, computerized trading, conceptual framework, correlation coefficient, Credit Default Swap, credit default swaps / collateralized debt obligations, diversification, diversified portfolio, fixed income, global macro, high net worth, implied volatility, index arbitrage, index fund, Jim Simons, junk bonds, London Interbank Offered Rate, Long Term Capital Management, low interest rates, managed futures, margin call, market bubble, market fundamentalism, Market Wizards by Jack D. Schwager, merger arbitrage, negative equity, pattern recognition, performance metric, pets.com, Ponzi scheme, proprietary trading, quantitative trading / quantitative finance, random walk, risk free rate, risk tolerance, risk-adjusted returns, risk/return, Robert Shiller, selection bias, Sharpe ratio, short selling, statistical arbitrage, statistical model, subprime mortgage crisis, survivorship bias, tail risk, transaction costs, two-sided market, value at risk, yield curve

Also, many CTAs use strategies that have nothing to do with trend following. A partial sampling of alternative approaches includes: Countertrend approach (or mean reversion). Pattern recognition. Fundamental systematic approach (systems that are based on fundamental inputs rather than price movements). Fundamental discretionary approach. Spread trading (long positions in one futures contract versus short positions in another contract in the same market or a related market). Multisystem (e.g., combination of trend-following, countertrend, and pattern recognition systems). Managed futures are often categorized as a separate asset class rather than as a hedge fund category.

Today’s statistical arbitrage models are far more complex, simultaneously trading hundreds or thousands of securities based on their relative price movements and correlations, subject to the constraint of maintaining multidimensional market neutrality (e.g., market, sector, etc.). Although mean reversion is typically at the core of this strategy, statistical arbitrage models may also incorporate other types of uncorrelated or even inversely correlated strategies, such as momentum and pattern recognition. Statistical arbitrage involves highly frequent trading activity, with trades lasting between seconds and days. Fixed income arbitrage. This strategy seeks to profit from perceived mispricings between different interest rate instruments. Positions are balanced to maintain neutrality to changes in the broad interest rate level, but may express directional biases in terms of the yield curve—anticipated changes in the yield relationship between short-term, medium-term, and long-term interest rates.


pages: 330 words: 91,805

Peers Inc: How People and Platforms Are Inventing the Collaborative Economy and Reinventing Capitalism by Robin Chase

Airbnb, Amazon Web Services, Andy Kessler, Anthropocene, Apollo 13, banking crisis, barriers to entry, basic income, Benevolent Dictator For Life (BDFL), bike sharing, bitcoin, blockchain, Burning Man, business climate, call centre, car-free, carbon tax, circular economy, cloud computing, collaborative consumption, collaborative economy, collective bargaining, commoditize, congestion charging, creative destruction, crowdsourcing, cryptocurrency, data science, deal flow, decarbonisation, different worldview, do-ocracy, don't be evil, Donald Shoup, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, Ethereum, ethereum blockchain, Eyjafjallajökull, Ferguson, Missouri, Firefox, Free Software Foundation, frictionless, Gini coefficient, GPS: selective availability, high-speed rail, hive mind, income inequality, independent contractor, index fund, informal economy, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Internet of things, Jane Jacobs, Jeff Bezos, jimmy wales, job satisfaction, Kickstarter, Kinder Surprise, language acquisition, Larry Ellison, Lean Startup, low interest rates, Lyft, machine readable, means of production, megacity, Minecraft, minimum viable product, Network effects, new economy, Oculus Rift, off-the-grid, openstreetmap, optical character recognition, pattern recognition, peer-to-peer, peer-to-peer lending, peer-to-peer model, Post-Keynesian economics, Richard Stallman, ride hailing / ride sharing, Ronald Coase, Ronald Reagan, Salesforce, Satoshi Nakamoto, Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence, self-driving car, shareholder value, sharing economy, Silicon Valley, six sigma, Skype, smart cities, smart grid, Snapchat, sovereign wealth fund, Steve Crocker, Steve Jobs, Steven Levy, TaskRabbit, The Death and Life of Great American Cities, The Future of Employment, the long tail, The Nature of the Firm, Tragedy of the Commons, transaction costs, Turing test, turn-by-turn navigation, Uber and Lyft, uber lyft, vertical integration, Zipcar

He argues that humans are great at fast pattern recognition, recognizing subtle local cues and context, and adjusting immediately to take these into account. Conversely, computers are pretty terrible at these things. While we have to trick ourselves into “thinking slow,” taking the time to make the mathematical and rational calculations, this type of analysis is easy for computers. The optimal Peers Inc platforms allow computers to do what they do best—complex and not-so-complex math—and deliver the results to people, allowing us to engage in what we do best: creativity, pattern recognition, and contextualizing. In an interview on The Colbert Report, Vint Cerf, the Internet pioneer, remarked “[There are] about 3 billion people online right now.

But we know that we can find abundance in excess capacity; that platforms can organize, simplify, and provide peers with resources; that in the process, they radically accelerate learning and propagate new discoveries; and that by engaging with peers as co-creators, we bring passion, ingenuity, and local and customized applications together into resilient and redundant systems. Everything gets better because the parts together form a new whole. The Peers Inc organization can produce previously impossible growth, unprecedented acceleration of learning and innovation, and the powerful joining of human experience, adaptability, and pattern recognition with supercomputing. The three miracles potentially provide us a way forward through climate change, resource scarcity, and explosive population growth. They also produce some rewarding business opportunities along the way. We can, in fact, make megacities livable and address the needs of the more than seven billion people now on the planet (a figure expected to grow to eleven billion by 2050) through more efficient use of our resources.


pages: 309 words: 91,581

The Great Divergence: America's Growing Inequality Crisis and What We Can Do About It by Timothy Noah

air traffic controllers' union, Alan Greenspan, assortative mating, autonomous vehicles, Bear Stearns, blue-collar work, Bonfire of the Vanities, Branko Milanovic, business cycle, call centre, carbon tax, collective bargaining, compensation consultant, computer age, corporate governance, Credit Default Swap, David Ricardo: comparative advantage, Deng Xiaoping, easy for humans, difficult for computers, Erik Brynjolfsson, Everybody Ought to Be Rich, feminist movement, Ford Model T, Frank Levy and Richard Murnane: The New Division of Labor, Gini coefficient, government statistician, Gunnar Myrdal, income inequality, independent contractor, industrial robot, invisible hand, It's morning again in America, job automation, Joseph Schumpeter, longitudinal study, low skilled workers, lump of labour, manufacturing employment, moral hazard, oil shock, pattern recognition, Paul Samuelson, performance metric, positional goods, post-industrial society, postindustrial economy, proprietary trading, purchasing power parity, refrigerator car, rent control, Richard Feynman, Ronald Reagan, shareholder value, Silicon Valley, Simon Kuznets, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, subprime mortgage crisis, The Spirit Level, too big to fail, trickle-down economics, Tyler Cowen, Tyler Cowen: Great Stagnation, union organizing, upwardly mobile, very high income, Vilfredo Pareto, War on Poverty, We are the 99%, women in the workforce, Works Progress Administration, Yom Kippur War

Something else that can’t easily be achieved through rule-based logic is pattern recognition, which depends on an understanding of context as well as an ability to recognize analogies that lie outside the immediate context. Perhaps the technician has never seen a seat in this particular minivan model that wouldn’t move forward or back, but he has seen power windows that won’t go up or down. If so, he might follow a hunch that whatever electronic component interfered with the power windows is here interfering with the power seats. Computers’ difficulty with pattern recognition explains why, when you order concert tickets online, you are required to look at a random assembly of letters bent weirdly out of shape and type them into your keyboard.

In a September 2011 five-part series for Slate, the technology writer Farhad Manjoo describes incursions that robots have made into a number of high-paid professions, including medicine and the law. “If you do a single thing—and especially if there’s a lot of money in that single thing,” Manjoo writes, “you should put a Welcome, Robots! doormat outside your office.” Nor is pattern recognition the exclusive province of people in high-income jobs. A truck driver making a left turn on a busy city street, Levy and Murhane note, has to process visual and aural information about what’s happening on the street; tactile information about the truck’s probable speed once he hits the accelerator; and split-second calculations about probable trajectories for people and other vehicles.


pages: 327 words: 91,351

Traders at Work: How the World's Most Successful Traders Make Their Living in the Markets by Tim Bourquin, Nicholas Mango

algorithmic trading, automated trading system, backtesting, buy and hold, commodity trading advisor, Credit Default Swap, Elliott wave, financial engineering, fixed income, global macro, Long Term Capital Management, managed futures, Market Wizards by Jack D. Schwager, paper trading, pattern recognition, prediction markets, risk tolerance, Small Order Execution System, statistical arbitrage, The Wisdom of Crowds, transaction costs, zero-sum game

Schabacker in the early 1930s and then picked up in the Edwards and Magee book, Technical Analysis of Stock Trends, which was initially published in the 1940s. That book has been referred to as the Bible of classical charting, and it is that for me. I have a worn and torn copy, and I refer to it daily. I’m a classical charter in every sense. Bourquin: Can you describe what “classical charting” means? Is pattern recognition the essence of it? Brandt: Yes. I’m a pattern trader, and that’s become controversial these days, because some of the new quant traders are saying that classical charting doesn’t work anymore. Now, I’m not sure exactly why they are saying that, because classical charting still works. It just works in slightly different ways and for slightly different reasons.

For example, a pullback that reverses right back up and makes a double-top action before pulling back and again making a break to the upside signifies a wave extension. That tells me that the buyers rushed in, and the sellers were overcome. Now sellers are nowhere to be found, and that’s my chance to go long. The very reason I chose a background in statistics was because I’d been very, very good at pattern recognition all my life. That is the one skill that I brought into trading that I feel has really helped me to get over the top. Bourquin: Since settling on Fibonacci as your primary method, are you continuously adapting how you do it, or does your strategy remain constant? Baiynd: I’m always adapting.

I was also trading heating oil versus ICE gasoil futures. All of these different relationships I was looking at were providing me with multiple trading opportunities. Some of the opportunities were based purely on statistical measure, some were based on technical measures, and some were based on pattern recognition measures. Regardless, each step along the way has equipped me in a different way, and all of those tools are what I’m now using to define my trading in the present and going forward. Bourquin: If somebody wanted to get started in agricultural pairs trading, like you’re doing, where is a good place for them to start?


pages: 339 words: 94,769

Possible Minds: Twenty-Five Ways of Looking at AI by John Brockman

AI winter, airport security, Alan Turing: On Computable Numbers, with an Application to the Entscheidungsproblem, Alignment Problem, AlphaGo, artificial general intelligence, Asilomar, autonomous vehicles, basic income, Benoit Mandelbrot, Bill Joy: nanobots, Bletchley Park, Buckminster Fuller, cellular automata, Claude Shannon: information theory, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, CRISPR, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, Danny Hillis, data science, David Graeber, deep learning, DeepMind, Demis Hassabis, easy for humans, difficult for computers, Elon Musk, Eratosthenes, Ernest Rutherford, fake news, finite state, friendly AI, future of work, Geoffrey Hinton, Geoffrey West, Santa Fe Institute, gig economy, Hans Moravec, heat death of the universe, hype cycle, income inequality, industrial robot, information retrieval, invention of writing, it is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it, James Watt: steam engine, Jeff Hawkins, Johannes Kepler, John Maynard Keynes: Economic Possibilities for our Grandchildren, John Maynard Keynes: technological unemployment, John von Neumann, Kevin Kelly, Kickstarter, Laplace demon, Large Hadron Collider, Loebner Prize, machine translation, market fundamentalism, Marshall McLuhan, Menlo Park, military-industrial complex, mirror neurons, Nick Bostrom, Norbert Wiener, OpenAI, optical character recognition, paperclip maximiser, pattern recognition, personalized medicine, Picturephone, profit maximization, profit motive, public intellectual, quantum cryptography, RAND corporation, random walk, Ray Kurzweil, Recombinant DNA, Richard Feynman, Rodney Brooks, self-driving car, sexual politics, Silicon Valley, Skype, social graph, speech recognition, statistical model, Stephen Hawking, Steven Pinker, Stewart Brand, strong AI, superintelligent machines, supervolcano, synthetic biology, systems thinking, technological determinism, technological singularity, technoutopianism, TED Talk, telemarketer, telerobotics, The future is already here, the long tail, the scientific method, theory of mind, trolley problem, Turing machine, Turing test, universal basic income, Upton Sinclair, Von Neumann architecture, Whole Earth Catalog, Y2K, you are the product, zero-sum game

They are giving us, in effect, quick access to a vast collective awareness and a vast collective memory. At the same time, autonomous artificial intelligences have become world champions in a wide variety of “cerebral” games, such as chess and Go, and have taken over many sophisticated pattern-recognition tasks, such as reconstructing what happened during complex reactions at the Large Hadron Collider from a blizzard of emerging particle tracks to find new particles; or gathering clues from fuzzy X-ray, fMRI, and other types of images to diagnose medical problems. Where is this drive toward self-enhancement and innovation taking us?

Those two advantages are synergistic, since it is interactive development that sculpts the massively wired but sprawling structure of the infant brain, enabled by exponential growth of neurons and synapses, to get tuned in to the extraordinary instrument it becomes. Computer scientists are beginning to discover the power of the brain’s architecture: Neural nets, whose basic design, as their name suggests, was directly inspired by the brain’s, have scored some spectacular successes in game playing and pattern recognition, as noted. But present-day engineering has nothing comparable—in the (currently) esoteric domain of self-reproducing machines—to the power and versatility of neurons and their synapses. This could become a new, great frontier of research. Here, too, biology might point the way, as we come to understand biological development well enough to imitate its essence.

In computer technology, most algorithms work invisibly, in the background; they remain inaccessible in the systems we use daily. But lately there has been an interesting comeback of visuality in machine learning. The ways that the deep-learning algorithms of AI are processing data have been made visible through applications like Google’s DeepDream, in which the process of computerized pattern recognition is visualized in real time. The application shows how the algorithm tries to match animal forms with any given input. There are many other AI visualization programs that, in their way, also “make the invisible visible.” The difficulty in the general public perception of such images is, in Steyerl’s view, that these visual patterns are viewed uncritically as realistic and objective representations of the machine process.


pages: 237 words: 50,758

Obliquity: Why Our Goals Are Best Achieved Indirectly by John Kay

Andrew Wiles, Asian financial crisis, Bear Stearns, behavioural economics, Berlin Wall, Boeing 747, bonus culture, British Empire, business process, Cass Sunstein, computer age, corporate raider, credit crunch, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, discounted cash flows, discovery of penicillin, diversification, Donald Trump, Fall of the Berlin Wall, financial innovation, Goodhart's law, Gordon Gekko, greed is good, invention of the telephone, invisible hand, Jane Jacobs, junk bonds, lateral thinking, Long Term Capital Management, long term incentive plan, Louis Pasteur, market fundamentalism, Myron Scholes, Nash equilibrium, pattern recognition, Paul Samuelson, purchasing power parity, RAND corporation, regulatory arbitrage, shareholder value, Simon Singh, Steve Jobs, Suez canal 1869, tacit knowledge, Thales of Miletus, The Death and Life of Great American Cities, The Predators' Ball, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, ultimatum game, urban planning, value at risk

The general public, by contrast, didn’t know or care whether the practitioners they observed were following the rules or not. The qualities the general public tended to value were confidence and decisiveness—and, most of all, results—and these were the qualities they generally saw in the most successful paramedics. When Klein interviewed these practitioners, he concluded that pattern recognition rather than calculation was the key to their success. They used successive limited comparison, they made an assessment and if evidence seemed inconsistent with that assessment, they adopted an alternative. In the same way, novice chess players are taught simple rules—which exchanges of material should be accepted and which rejected.

moral values and as “muddling through” necessity of objectives achieved by order and pluralism in political pragmatism in randomness in as term ubiquity of wealth and “O Captain, My Captain” (Whitman) oil industry “On First Looking into Chapman’s Homer” (Keats) On the Origin of Species (Darwin) optics optimism pain response Paley, William Panama Canal paramedics parameters paraplegics parents Paris Pascale, Richard Pasteur, Louis pattern recognition Pearl Harbor attack (1941) pensions “perfection of form” Perot, Ross personal computers perspective Pfizer pharmaceuticals industry philanthropy photographs physics Picasso, Pablo Picture of Dorian Gray, The (Wilde) Planck, Max Plan Voisin pluralism Plutarch poetry Polanyi, Michael Pol Pot population growth Porras, Jerry I.


pages: 314 words: 101,034

Every Patient Tells a Story by Lisa Sanders

classic study, data acquisition, discovery of penicillin, high batting average, index card, medical residency, meta-analysis, natural language processing, pattern recognition, Pepto Bismol, randomized controlled trial, Ronald Reagan

When the “MI express” pulls out of the station, far too often everything that doesn’t fit—like David’s complaint about his loss of strength—is left behind. Pat Croskerry is an emergency room physician and a doctor who has written extensively about diagnostic thinking. The brain, says Croskerry, uses two basic strategies in working to figure things out. One is what Croskerry calls an intuitive approach. This “nonanalytic” approach works by pattern recognition. He describes it as a “process of matching [a] new situation to one of many exemplars in your memory which are retrievable rapidly and effortlessly. As a consequence, it may require no more mental effort for a clinician to recognize that the current patient is having a heart attack than it is for a child to recognize that a four-legged beast is a dog.”

Croskerry believes that the best diagnostic thought incorporates both modes, with the intuitive mode allowing experienced physicians to recognize the pattern of an illness—the illness script—and the analytic mode addressing the essential question in diagnosis—what else could this be?—and providing the tools and structures that lead to other possible answers. For Christine Twining, the doctor who finally diagnosed David Powell with pernicious anemia, there was no Blink-like moment of pattern recognition and epiphany when she first heard him describe his symptoms. One thing seemed clear: he wasn’t having a heart attack. She felt the patient’s fear and frustration. “He was afraid I was going to send him home with reassurances that it wasn’t his heart and without figuring out what it was. But I couldn’t send him home; I didn’t have a clue what he had.”

This is why human chess players held out for so long against computer opponents whose raw computational and memory abilities were many orders of magnitude better than those of a human brain. Humans devise shortcut strategies for making decisions and drawing conclusions that are simply impossible for computers. Humans are also extraordinarily good at pattern recognition—in chess, skilled players are able to size up the entire board at a glance and develop a feel, an intuition, for potential threats or opportunities. It took decades and millions of dollars to create a computer that was as good as a human at the game of chess. It is a complex game requiring higher order thinking but is two-dimensional and based on clear, fixed rules using pieces that never vary.


pages: 317 words: 100,414

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction by Philip Tetlock, Dan Gardner

Affordable Care Act / Obamacare, Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic, availability heuristic, behavioural economics, Black Swan, butterfly effect, buy and hold, cloud computing, cognitive load, cuban missile crisis, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, data science, desegregation, drone strike, Edward Lorenz: Chaos theory, forward guidance, Freestyle chess, fundamental attribution error, germ theory of disease, hindsight bias, How many piano tuners are there in Chicago?, index fund, Jane Jacobs, Jeff Bezos, Kenneth Arrow, Laplace demon, longitudinal study, Mikhail Gorbachev, Mohammed Bouazizi, Nash equilibrium, Nate Silver, Nelson Mandela, obamacare, operational security, pattern recognition, performance metric, Pierre-Simon Laplace, place-making, placebo effect, precautionary principle, prediction markets, quantitative easing, random walk, randomized controlled trial, Richard Feynman, Richard Thaler, Robert Shiller, Ronald Reagan, Saturday Night Live, scientific worldview, Silicon Valley, Skype, statistical model, stem cell, Steve Ballmer, Steve Jobs, Steven Pinker, tacit knowledge, tail risk, the scientific method, The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver, The Wisdom of Crowds, Thomas Bayes, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!

“We agree on most of the issues that matter,” they concluded in a 2009 paper.19 There is nothing mystical about an accurate intuition like the fire commander’s. It’s pattern recognition. With training or experience, people can encode patterns deep in their memories in vast number and intricate detail—such as the estimated fifty thousand to one hundred thousand chess positions that top players have in their repertoire.20 If something doesn’t fit a pattern—like a kitchen fire giving off more heat than a kitchen fire should—a competent expert senses it immediately. But as we see every time someone spots the Virgin Mary in burnt toast or in mold on a church wall, our pattern-recognition ability comes at the cost of susceptibility to false positives.

Thanks to project coleader Barbara Mellers, and the volunteers who endured a grueling battery of psychological tests before they started forecasting, we had the data to do that.2 To gauge fluid intelligence, or raw crunching power, volunteers had to figure out puzzles like the one on page 108, where the goal is to fill in the missing space at the lower right. Solving it requires identifying the rules generating patterns in the row (each row must have a distinctive symbol in the center of its figures) and each column (each column must contain all three shapes). The correct answer is the second figure in the second row.3 High-powered pattern recognition skills won’t get you far, though, if you don’t know where to look for patterns in the real world. So we measured crystallized intelligence—knowledge—using some U.S.-centric questions like “How many Justices sit on the Supreme Court?” and more global questions like “Which nations are permanent members of the UN Security Council?”


pages: 347 words: 97,721

Only Humans Need Apply: Winners and Losers in the Age of Smart Machines by Thomas H. Davenport, Julia Kirby

"World Economic Forum" Davos, AI winter, Amazon Robotics, Andy Kessler, Apollo Guidance Computer, artificial general intelligence, asset allocation, Automated Insights, autonomous vehicles, basic income, Baxter: Rethink Robotics, behavioural economics, business intelligence, business process, call centre, carbon-based life, Clayton Christensen, clockwork universe, commoditize, conceptual framework, content marketing, dark matter, data science, David Brooks, deep learning, deliberate practice, deskilling, digital map, disruptive innovation, Douglas Engelbart, driverless car, Edward Lloyd's coffeehouse, Elon Musk, Erik Brynjolfsson, estate planning, financial engineering, fixed income, flying shuttle, follow your passion, Frank Levy and Richard Murnane: The New Division of Labor, Freestyle chess, game design, general-purpose programming language, global pandemic, Google Glasses, Hans Lippershey, haute cuisine, income inequality, independent contractor, index fund, industrial robot, information retrieval, intermodal, Internet of things, inventory management, Isaac Newton, job automation, John Markoff, John Maynard Keynes: Economic Possibilities for our Grandchildren, John Maynard Keynes: technological unemployment, Joi Ito, Khan Academy, Kiva Systems, knowledge worker, labor-force participation, lifelogging, longitudinal study, loss aversion, machine translation, Mark Zuckerberg, Narrative Science, natural language processing, Nick Bostrom, Norbert Wiener, nuclear winter, off-the-grid, pattern recognition, performance metric, Peter Thiel, precariat, quantitative trading / quantitative finance, Ray Kurzweil, Richard Feynman, risk tolerance, Robert Shiller, robo advisor, robotic process automation, Rodney Brooks, Second Machine Age, self-driving car, Silicon Valley, six sigma, Skype, social intelligence, speech recognition, spinning jenny, statistical model, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, strong AI, superintelligent machines, supply-chain management, tacit knowledge, tech worker, TED Talk, the long tail, transaction costs, Tyler Cowen, Tyler Cowen: Great Stagnation, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, Works Progress Administration, Zipcar

More recently, economists Frank Levy and Richard Murnane put a finer point on things, saying (in their persuasive book, The New Division of Labor: How Computers Are Creating the Next Job Market) that the great strengths of humans are expert thinking and complex communication. The brain’s gift for pattern recognition is the key to what they call “expert thinking,” which is what allows humans, but not computers, to imagine new ways of solving problems (ways, in other words, that have not already been discovered and spelled out step by step). By complex communication, they mean communication that involves a broader interpretation of a situation than could be gained by the explicitly transmitted information.

He notes, “The doctor must be particularly alert for the famous ‘last minute’ of an appointment when the patient, on his way out the door, looks over his shoulder and says ‘By the way, my wife says I should tell you about this pain I have in my stomach.’”6 Levy’s MIT colleagues Erik Brynjolfsson and Andy McAfee agree with pattern recognition and complex communication as uniquely human traits, and they add a third: ideation. “Scientists come up with new hypotheses,” they write. “Chefs add a new dish to the menu. Engineers on a factory floor figure out why a machine is no longer working properly. Steve Jobs and his colleagues at Apple figure out what kind of tablet computer we actually want.

For example, a robot could start combining all the information about how much torque is applied in a screw. Robots are, after all, a big bucket of sensors. A truly intelligent robot could begin to see what works in terms of how much torque in a screw leads to field failures. It could combine its own sensor data with warranty data, pattern recognition, and so forth.” There is plenty of evidence that robots are becoming more autonomous at the DARPA (Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency) Robotics Challenge, staged annually since 2012. The robot contestants are expected to complete eight tasks, from driving a utility vehicle to connecting a fire hose and turning a valve.


pages: 377 words: 97,144

Singularity Rising: Surviving and Thriving in a Smarter, Richer, and More Dangerous World by James D. Miller

23andMe, affirmative action, Albert Einstein, artificial general intelligence, Asperger Syndrome, barriers to entry, brain emulation, cloud computing, cognitive bias, correlation does not imply causation, crowdsourcing, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, David Brooks, David Ricardo: comparative advantage, Deng Xiaoping, en.wikipedia.org, feminist movement, Flynn Effect, friendly AI, hive mind, impulse control, indoor plumbing, invention of agriculture, Isaac Newton, John Gilmore, John von Neumann, knowledge worker, Larry Ellison, Long Term Capital Management, low interest rates, low skilled workers, Netflix Prize, neurotypical, Nick Bostrom, Norman Macrae, pattern recognition, Peter Thiel, phenotype, placebo effect, prisoner's dilemma, profit maximization, Ray Kurzweil, recommendation engine, reversible computing, Richard Feynman, Rodney Brooks, Silicon Valley, Singularitarianism, Skype, statistical model, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, sugar pill, supervolcano, tech billionaire, technological singularity, The Coming Technological Singularity, the scientific method, Thomas Malthus, transaction costs, Turing test, twin studies, Vernor Vinge, Von Neumann architecture

The stronger the correlation between bathroom and dining room quality, the better the dining room you will get if you succeed in getting a home with fantastic bathrooms. SELECTING AGAINST CERTAIN TYPES OF INTELLIGENCE Embryo selection against autism would likely reduce the number of geniuses. High-functioning autistics often excel at pattern recognition, a skill vital to success in science and mathematics. Albert Einstein, Isaac Newton, Charles Darwin, and Socrates have all been linked to Asperger syndrome, a disorder (or at least a difference) on the autism spectrum.206 Parents with strong math backgrounds are far more likely to have autistic children, perhaps an indication that having lots of “math genes” makes one susceptible to autism.207 Magnetic resonance imaging has shown that on average, autistic two-year-olds have larger brains than their non-autistic peers do.208 A Korean study found the percentage of autistics who had a superior IQ was greater than that found in the general population.209 Some autistics have an ability called “hyperlexia,” characterized by having average or above-average IQs and word-reading ability well above what would be expected given their ages.

As US military tests have demonstrated, modafinil reduces the cognitive decline that otherwise accompanies sleep deprivation.245 Astronauts on the International Space Station use modafinil “to optimize performance while fatigued.”246 Studies on small groups of non-sleep-deprived, healthy test subjects found that modafinil was useful for monotonous tasks that taxed working memory247 and improved performance on tests of “digit span, visual PRM [pattern recognition memory], spatial planning . . . and SSRT [stop signal reaction time].”248 Beta blockers, a set of drugs primarily used to treat heart conditions, can also enhance performance—mental or musical—in healthy people. Those drugs work by reducing the physical symptoms of anxiety and are used by professional musicians, white-collar workers, and public speakers to protect their performance under stress.249 A study published in 2011 showed the equivalent of a six-point IQ gain from four weeks’ use of the supplement Ceretrophin (the trademark for a combination of huperzine, vinpocetine, acetyl-l-carnitine, Rhodiola rosea, and alpha-lipoic acid).250 Increasing an average person’s IQ _by six points would move him from being smarter than 50 percent of the population to being smarter than 65.5 percent of it.

See also friendly artificial intelligence (AI), 44, 187 intelligence explosion, 22–28 ultra-AI (Devil), 30, 35, 46, 202, 208 University of Kentucky, 103–4 US Civil War, 187 US Department of Defense (DOD), 8 US militaries and Prisoners’ Dilemma, 48–53 US weapons policy, xiii V vaccines, 166 vacuum tubes, 4 van Gogh, Vincent, 92 Van Sickle, Stephen, 215 Vaseline, 111 Vassar, Michael, 44 venture capitalists, 123, 185–86 video games, 106, 113, 129, 155, 167, 183, 209, 212 Vinge, Vernor, ix, xviii, 36 virtual reality, 42, 139, 150, 171, 181, 210 virtual-reality technology, 183 Virtual World Golf, 167 visual pattern recognition, 105 volcanoes, super, 197 von Neumann, John, xii–xiii, xv, 96, 199–200 von Neumann—level AI, 6 W wages of cab drivers, 156 Walmart, 204 Washington Post, 172 weapons of mass destruction, 201 website http://www.lesswrong.com, 37 Weiner, Zach, 151 welfare, 146–47 welfare recipients, 125 What Intelligence Tests Miss (Stanovich), 65–66 white-collar jobs, 194 “Why Women Live Longer” (Scientific American), 179 widget factory, 57 Wikipedia article, 69, 104, 133 Witten, Ed, 96 Wolfram, Stephen, 35 women, fertile, 78 women past optimal egg age, 88 worker productivity, 132, 140 working memory, 105, 113–16, 212 World of Warcraft (video game), 106, 167 wormhole, 165 Wright, John C., 41 Wrong, Less, 37 Y Yale Daily News, 86 year 1066, 187 year 1997, 108 year 2000, 35, 87 year 2001, 210 year 2002, 36 year 2004, 181 year 2005, 103, 194 year 2006, 103 year 2007, x, 108 year 2008, 35, 109, 126 year 2010, x year 2011, 67, 70, 106, 116 year 2012, 11 year 2015, 115 year 2020, 5, 72, 216 year 2021, 108 year 2022, 96 year 2023, 119 year 2025, 8, 36–37, 193 year 2027, 37 year 2029, xvi, xvii, 177 year 2030, xviii, 5, 9, 37, 99 year 2035, 178 year 2045, 9, 37, 175–76, 178, 200, 216 year 2049, xvii, 21 year 2050, 11 year 2080, 37 Yesalis, Charles E., 100 Yew, Lee Kuan, 92 YouTube video, 17–20 Yudkowsky, Eliezer biological humans and emulations, 147 cryonics as “an ambulance ride to the future,” 213 Cryonics Institute, 214 extrapolation theory, 42 friendliness, preferred approach to, 41 game involving super-smart AI, 32–33 Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality, 37–38 helping people “reprogram” themselves to become more rational, 37 humanity is at a very unstable point in history, 45 quotes of, 21, 34, 55, 83 seed AI will undergo intelligence explosion, 36 Singularity as simple but wrong, 41 Singularity from an intelligence explosion, 203 Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence, 35–36, 208 theory of friendly AI, incomplete, 36–37 Yudkowsky/Hanson debate, 203–5 Z Zeus (god), 41–42


pages: 178 words: 52,637

Quality Investing: Owning the Best Companies for the Long Term by Torkell T. Eide, Lawrence A. Cunningham, Patrick Hargreaves

air freight, Albert Einstein, asset light, backtesting, barriers to entry, buy and hold, carbon tax, cashless society, cloud computing, commoditize, Credit Default Swap, discounted cash flows, discovery of penicillin, endowment effect, global pandemic, haute couture, hindsight bias, legacy carrier, low cost airline, mass affluent, Network effects, oil shale / tar sands, pattern recognition, price elasticity of demand, proprietary trading, shareholder value, smart grid, sovereign wealth fund, supply-chain management, vertical integration

John Ruskin Preface This book began as a small internal project at AKO Capital, an equity fund based in London that has enjoyed a compound annual growth rate more than double that of the market (9.4% per annum versus the MSCI Europe’s 3.9%)1 and delivered excess returns of approximately 8% per annum on its long book2 since inception a decade ago. The project’s initial scope was to institutionalize lessons learned from refining the fund’s quality-focused investment philosophy over that time. What we have come to understand is that successful investing involves a degree of pattern recognition: while industries and companies are diverse and economic environments endlessly changing, strongly performing investments tend to have commonalities. Making sense of these commonalities can help build a strong investment portfolio. After amassing a substantial body of material to share with new members of the AKO team – and to remind veterans of what they had once learned but might by now have forgotten – it became obvious that the results should be shared with the fund’s investors as well.

Through such global agglomerations of venerable data compilers, Experian’s databases are the product of a lengthy and intense process of collecting, matching, contrasting, verifying, and analyzing abundant information. Contemporary global systems add incremental bits of information daily, each being trivial but when added to the storehouse able to enhance credit histories and facilitate pattern recognition. So besides costing a fortune to build, data accumulate daily that amplify returns. Individual data contributors expect to benefit from the aggregation of credit information from fellow creditors, creating a powerful network effect. The result is an industry prone to consolidation. In the US, the market is dominated by three credit agencies with approximately even market shares; outside the US, most markets are duopolies, with one dominant and one subservient rival.


pages: 180 words: 55,805

The Price of Tomorrow: Why Deflation Is the Key to an Abundant Future by Jeff Booth

3D printing, Abraham Maslow, activist fund / activist shareholder / activist investor, additive manufacturing, AI winter, Airbnb, Albert Einstein, AlphaGo, Amazon Web Services, artificial general intelligence, augmented reality, autonomous vehicles, basic income, bitcoin, blockchain, Bretton Woods, business intelligence, butterfly effect, Charles Babbage, Claude Shannon: information theory, clean water, cloud computing, cognitive bias, collapse of Lehman Brothers, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, corporate raider, creative destruction, crony capitalism, crowdsourcing, cryptocurrency, currency manipulation / currency intervention, dark matter, deep learning, DeepMind, deliberate practice, digital twin, distributed ledger, Donald Trump, Elon Musk, fiat currency, Filter Bubble, financial engineering, full employment, future of work, game design, gamification, general purpose technology, Geoffrey Hinton, Gordon Gekko, Great Leap Forward, Hyman Minsky, hype cycle, income inequality, inflation targeting, information asymmetry, invention of movable type, Isaac Newton, Jeff Bezos, John Maynard Keynes: Economic Possibilities for our Grandchildren, John von Neumann, Joseph Schumpeter, late fees, low interest rates, Lyft, Maslow's hierarchy, Milgram experiment, Minsky moment, Modern Monetary Theory, moral hazard, Nelson Mandela, Network effects, Nick Bostrom, oil shock, OpenAI, pattern recognition, Ponzi scheme, quantitative easing, race to the bottom, ride hailing / ride sharing, self-driving car, software as a service, technoutopianism, TED Talk, the long tail, the scientific method, Thomas Bayes, Turing test, Uber and Lyft, uber lyft, universal basic income, winner-take-all economy, X Prize, zero-sum game

They do not have a bias problem (unless programmed in by a human). They recall data exactly as received. With enough data or rules of a game, computers can see all combinations and their impact on each other, instead of a seeing only the small sampling that a human can. But what seems like superhuman intelligence is just pattern recognition and error correction at scale, without the shortcuts humans need to compensate for efficiency. With enough data and compute power, a computer can play billions of simulations concurrently and learn from every one of them, all without forgetting mistakes made in previous games. And once it has learned, it never gets tired and it never forgets.

Whether it is the stories that we tell ourselves, so strongly reinforced in our minds that we miss the very thing biting at our nose. It is all of them—together. In each and every one of us. Why would our government institutions be exempt from the flaws of thinking common to all people? The same wiring of our biological computers (our brains) creates exceptionality in our species but also mistakes. That pattern recognition locks us into a path that makes us blind to signposts that don’t match our view of the world. Information growth and the rate of change will only accelerate from here, and in a world that is changing so fast, it is not reasonable to expect those in government to be any less vulnerable than we are—even if they set the rules.


pages: 331 words: 104,366

Deep Thinking: Where Machine Intelligence Ends and Human Creativity Begins by Garry Kasparov

3D printing, Ada Lovelace, AI winter, Albert Einstein, AlphaGo, AltaVista, Apple Newton, barriers to entry, Berlin Wall, Bletchley Park, business process, call centre, Charles Babbage, Charles Lindbergh, clean water, computer age, cotton gin, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, David Brooks, DeepMind, Donald Trump, Douglas Hofstadter, driverless car, Drosophila, Elon Musk, Erik Brynjolfsson, factory automation, Freestyle chess, gamification, Gödel, Escher, Bach, Hans Moravec, job automation, Ken Thompson, Leonard Kleinrock, low earth orbit, machine translation, Max Levchin, Mikhail Gorbachev, move 37, Nate Silver, Nick Bostrom, Norbert Wiener, packet switching, pattern recognition, Ray Kurzweil, Richard Feynman, rising living standards, rolodex, Second Machine Age, self-driving car, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, Skype, speech recognition, stem cell, Stephen Hawking, Steven Pinker, technological singularity, The Coming Technological Singularity, The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver, Turing test, Vernor Vinge, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, zero-sum game

Move generation seems to involve more visuospatial brain activity than the sort of calculation that goes into solving math problems. That is, we literally visualize the moves and positions, although not in a pictorial way, as many early researchers assumed. The stronger the player, the more they demonstrate superior pattern recognition and doing the sort of “packaging” of information for recall that experts call “chunking.” Then comes understanding and assessing what we see in our mind’s eye, the evaluation aspect. Different players of equal strength often have very different opinions of a given position and recommend entirely different moves and strategies.

Spurious lists of “highest IQs in history” might find me between Albert Einstein and Stephen Hawking, both of whom have probably taken as many proper IQ tests as I have: zero. In 1987, the German news magazine Der Spiegel sent a small group of experts to a hotel in Baku to administer a battery of tests to measure my brainpower in different ways, some specially designed to test my memory and pattern recognition abilities. I have no idea how closely these approximated a formal IQ test, nor do I much care. The chess tests proved I was very good at chess, the memory tests that I had a very good memory, neither of which was much of a revelation. My weakness, they told me, was “figural thinking,” apparently proven after I blanked out for a while when tasked with filling in some dots with pencil lines.

Binet’s insights into the differences between innate talent and acquired knowledge and experience defined the field. “One becomes a good player,” he wrote. “But one is born an excellent player.” Binet would go on to create the IQ test with Theodore Simon. In 1946, Binet’s work was advanced by the Dutch psychologist Adriaan de Groot, whose extensive testing of chess players revealed the importance of pattern recognition and peeled away at the mysteries of human intuition in decision making. John McCarthy, the American computer scientist who coined the term “artificial intelligence” in 1956, called chess the “Drosophila of AI,” referring to how the humble fruit fly was the ideal subject for countless seminal scientific experiments in biology, especially genetics.


pages: 430 words: 107,765

The Quantum Magician by Derek Künsken

commoditize, drop ship, epigenetics, industrial robot, iterative process, microbiome, orbital mechanics / astrodynamics, p-value, pattern recognition, quantum entanglement, Schrödinger's Cat, Turing test

Hesitantly, he said, “I need to understand what your ships can do with wormholes: how fast they can induce one, how far they can go, how fast they can transit, and how fast systems come online after emergence.” Belisarius didn’t meet their eyes. In savant, meeting people’s eyes was like looking into a box of puzzle pieces, making the pattern recognition tendencies in his brain hyperactive, facial expressions swirling into cycles of false positives. The colonel’s fingers twitched, and a thrumming resonated through the ship. Gravity lurched on under their feet. Belisarius’s brain, thirsty for logic and abstractions, began chopping up the name Mutapa.

He’d stood on the diving board, staring at his reflection. He hadn’t stepped off the diving board for a decade. Few Homo quantus could enter the fugue at all, and even then only with great difficulty. For them, entering the fugue was like climbing a steep hill. Engineered instincts assisted them. Geneticists had strengthened the instinct for pattern-recognition and curiosity, bringing it closer in each generation to the strength of the instinct for self-preservation. They’d overshot their goal in Belisarius. His need to learn and understand was as strong as his sense of self-preservation. He couldn’t rely on his instincts; they might kill him. There was no predicting what his brain would do when his consciousness was extinguished.

As much as the Puppets, you have been built with passions and desires, none of which are satisfied by money or confidence schemes.” “We’re all more than our instincts.” “But are you? Part of the early design of the Homo quantus project was to attach particular mental states, discovery and pattern recognition, to the pleasure centers of the brain. That is hardwired. Why are you not in your Garret?” “I’ve found out how to move past my instincts, as all rational beings must.” “Hollow words, Arjona. We certainly all have to fulfill our programming, no matter who the programmer. Pressures less than six hundred atmospheres are lethal to Stills.


pages: 390 words: 109,519

Custodians of the Internet: Platforms, Content Moderation, and the Hidden Decisions That Shape Social Media by Tarleton Gillespie

4chan, A Declaration of the Independence of Cyberspace, affirmative action, Airbnb, algorithmic bias, algorithmic management, AltaVista, Amazon Mechanical Turk, borderless world, Burning Man, complexity theory, conceptual framework, crowdsourcing, deep learning, do what you love, Donald Trump, drone strike, easy for humans, difficult for computers, Edward Snowden, eternal september, fake news, Filter Bubble, Gabriella Coleman, game design, gig economy, Google Glasses, Google Hangouts, hiring and firing, Ian Bogost, independent contractor, Internet Archive, Jean Tirole, John Gruber, Kickstarter, Mark Zuckerberg, mass immigration, Menlo Park, Minecraft, moral panic, multi-sided market, Netflix Prize, Network effects, pattern recognition, peer-to-peer, power law, real-name policy, recommendation engine, Rubik’s Cube, Salesforce, sharing economy, Silicon Valley, Skype, slashdot, Snapchat, social graph, social web, Steve Jobs, Stewart Brand, TED Talk, Telecommunications Act of 1996, two-sided market, WikiLeaks, Yochai Benkler

The philosophical challenge is perhaps even more worrisome. Machine-learning techniques are inherently conservative. The faith in sophisticated pattern recognition that underlies them is built on assumptions about people: that people who demonstrate similar actions or say similar things are similar, that people who have acted in a certain way in the past are likely to continue, that association suggests guilt. In contexts where people are being assessed for unethical or criminal actions, this faith in pattern recognition revives old ideas about recidivism, guilt by association, and genetics. For every project like Jigsaw there is a project like Faception: an Israeli tech startup already contracted by the NSA, that claims to be able to identify terrorists and pedophiles through face recognition tools—not from a database of known felons, but before they have committed crimes.110 While this Minority Report–esque promise is almost certainly overstated and flawed, what is just as troubling is the presumptions it rests on—eugenics—and its promise of predetermination.

“Networked Publics: The Double Articulation of Code and Politics on Facebook.” Canadian Journal of Communication 34 (3). http://www.cjc-online.ca/index.php/journal/article/viewArticle/2114. LEE, JIANN-SHU, YUNG-MING KUO, PAU-CHOO CHUNG, AND E.-LIANG CHEN. 2007. “Naked Image Detection Based on Adaptive and Extensible Skin Color Model.” Pattern Recognition 40 (8): 2261–70. LENERT, EDWARD. 1998. “A Communication Theory Perspective on Telecommunications Policy.” Journal of Communication 48 (4): 3–23. LENHART, AMANDA, MICHELLE YBARRA, KATHRYN ZICKHUR, AND MYESHIA PRICE-FEENEY. 2016. “Online Harassment, Digital Abuse, and Cyberstalking in America.”


pages: 405 words: 105,395

Empire of the Sum: The Rise and Reign of the Pocket Calculator by Keith Houston

Ada Lovelace, Alan Turing: On Computable Numbers, with an Application to the Entscheidungsproblem, Andy Kessler, Apollo 11, Apollo 13, Apple II, Bletchley Park, Boris Johnson, Charles Babbage, classic study, clockwork universe, computer age, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, double entry bookkeeping, Edmond Halley, Fairchild Semiconductor, Fellow of the Royal Society, Grace Hopper, human-factors engineering, invention of movable type, invention of the telephone, Isaac Newton, Johann Wolfgang von Goethe, Johannes Kepler, John Markoff, John von Neumann, Jony Ive, Kickstarter, machine readable, Masayoshi Son, Menlo Park, meta-analysis, military-industrial complex, Mitch Kapor, Neil Armstrong, off-by-one error, On the Revolutions of the Heavenly Spheres, orbital mechanics / astrodynamics, pattern recognition, popular electronics, QWERTY keyboard, Ralph Waldo Emerson, Robert X Cringely, side project, Silicon Valley, skunkworks, SoftBank, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, The Home Computer Revolution, the payments system, Turing machine, Turing test, V2 rocket, William Shockley: the traitorous eight, Works Progress Administration, Yom Kippur War

Williams, The Calculating Machines: Their History and Development (Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1992), 53–54. 28 Johnston, “Making the Arithmometer Count”; “Currency Exchange Rates,” XE.com, 2021, https://xe.com/; “Inflation Calculator” (Bank of England, 2021), https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/inflation/inflation-calculator. 29 Martin Campbell-Kelly, “Large-Scale Data Processing in the Prudential, 1850–1930,” Accounting, Business & Financial History 2, no. 2 (1992): 123, https://doi.org/10.1080/09585209200000036. 30 Erwin Tomash, “An Interview with Curt Herzstark (OH 140),” Charles Babbage Institute, 1987, 4–7. 31 Tomash, “Interview with Curt Herztark,” 10–11; “Adding Machines—Ten Keys & Fewer,” National Museum of American History (Washington, DC: Smithsonian Institution), accessed May 17, 2021, https://americanhistory.si.edu/collections/search/object/nmah_1215046. 32 Tomash, “Interview with Curt Herzstark,” 23. 33 Cliff Stoll, “The Curious History of the First Pocket Calculator,” Scientific American 290, no. 1 (2004): 92–99; “Weight-for-Age” (World Health Organisation), accessed May 17, 2021, https://www.who.int/tools/child-growth-standards/standards/weight-for-age. 34 Tomash, “Interview with Curt Herzstark,” 23–26, 40. 35 Michael Gehler, “Schuschnigg, Kurt,” Deutsche Biographie 23 (Bayerische Staatsbibliothek, 2007), https://www.deutsche-biographie.de/pnd118762702.html; Katharina Ziegler, “Anschluss,” AEIOU Österreich-Lexikon (Graz: Austria-Forum, March 15, 2021), https://austria-forum.org/af/AEIOU/Anschluss. 36 Tomash, “Interview with Curt Herzstark,” 22, 26. 37 Tomash, “Interview with Curt Herzstark,” 27. 38 Tomash, “Interview with Curt Herzstark,” 29; “Buchenwald Concentration Camp, 1937–1945,” Buchenwald Memorial (Buchenwald and Mittelbau-Dora Memorials Foundation), accessed May 18, 2021, https://www.buchenwald.de/en/72/. 39 Tomash, “Interview with Curt Herzstark,” 31–32. 40 Tomash, “Interview with Curt Herzstark,” 36–37; “1945—After the Liberation,” Buchenwald Memorial (Buchenwald and Mittelbau-Dora Memorials Foundation), accessed May 18, 2021, https://www.buchenwald.de/en/464/. 41 William Gibson, “Math Grenades,” in Pattern Recognition (London: Penguin, 2004); Donald E. Morse, “Advertising and Calculators in William Gibson’s ‘Pattern Recognition,’ ” Science Fiction Studies 31, no. 2 (2004): 330–332. 42 “Curta Type I Calculating Machine (DW0973),” Collection of Historical Scientific Instruments (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University, 1964), http://waywiser.fas.harvard.edu/objects/3778/; Tomash, “Interview with Curt Herzstark,” 63. 43 “Leaflet, Your CURTA Calculator,” National Museum of American History (Washington, DC: Smithsonian Institution), accessed May 18, 2021, https://www.si.edu/es/object/nmah_904705. 44 Tomash, “Interview with Curt Herzstark,” 24. 45 “Leaflet, Your CURTA Calculator.” 46 “Miniature Machine Performs Engineering Calculations,” Product Engineering, no. 23 (October 1952): 160–161, http://www.vcalc.net/cu-pe.htm. 47 Tomash, “Interview with Curt Herzstark,” 36. 48 Tomash, “Interview with Curt Herzstark,” 38–41. 49 Tomash, “Interview with Curt Herzstark,” 41–43. 50 Tomash, “Interview with Curt Herzstark,” 43–44. 51 Stoll, “First Pocket Calculator.” 52 Tomash, “Interview with Curt Herzstark,” 46–51, 55, 64; Stoll, “First Pocket Calculator.” 53 Tomash, “Interview with Curt Herzstark,” 51. 54 Stoll, “The First Pocket Calculator.” 55 Bruce Flamm, “The Amazing Curta,” Vintage Calculators Web Museum, 1997, http://www.vintagecalculators.com/html/the_amazing_curta.html. 56 Tomash, “Interview with Curt Herzstark,” 52. 57 Tomash, “Interview with Curt Herzstark,” 52–54. 58 Stoll, “First Pocket Calculator”; Flamm, “The Amazing Curta.” 59 “Curta Portable Calculator (Advertisement),” Popular Mechanics, May 1952; “CPI Inflation Calculator” (U.S.

The blueprints of Herzstark’s miniaturized arithmometer, drawn in the evenings and on Sundays, were almost complete when, in April 1945, Buchenwald was liberated. Herzstark was free, finally, to see his idea to fruition.40 Most observers peg Herzstark’s magnum opus as resembling either a pepper mill or a coffee grinder. William Gibson, in his 2003 novel Pattern Recognition, has a more apt description: he calls it a “math grenade.” After all, the Curta, which serves admirably as a plot device in that book, was nothing if not a shock to the established order of clunky desktop calculators.41 Named to suggest that the device was “Curt’s daughter,” the Curta was an aluminum cylinder around two and a half inches in diameter and twice as tall, with numbered sliders arrayed around its circumference and a crank handle on top.42 Herzstark’s drawings showed that it worked in the same way as a conventional arithmometer: use the sliders to set an input value, then turn the handle once to add that value to a set of accumulator dials visible on top of the machine.


pages: 209 words: 63,649

The Purpose Economy: How Your Desire for Impact, Personal Growth and Community Is Changing the World by Aaron Hurst

Abraham Maslow, Airbnb, Alvin Toffler, Atul Gawande, barriers to entry, benefit corporation, big-box store, bike sharing, Bill Atkinson, business process, call centre, carbon footprint, citizen journalism, commoditize, corporate social responsibility, crowdsourcing, disintermediation, do well by doing good, Elon Musk, Firefox, General Magic , glass ceiling, greed is good, housing crisis, independent contractor, informal economy, Jane Jacobs, jimmy wales, Khan Academy, Kickstarter, Lean Startup, longitudinal study, Max Levchin, means of production, Mitch Kapor, new economy, pattern recognition, Peter Singer: altruism, Peter Thiel, QR code, Ray Oldenburg, remote working, Ronald Reagan, selection bias, sharing economy, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, Steve Jobs, TaskRabbit, TED Talk, Tony Hsieh, too big to fail, underbanked, women in the workforce, work culture , young professional, Zipcar

Furthermore, as I will argue in this book, it is likely that in 20 years, the pursuit of purpose will eclipse the third American economy, the Information Economy. Purpose, Purpose—Everywhere I’m not an economist, a sociologist, or a psychologist. I am an entrepreneur. Entrepreneurs constantly look for opportunities, hoping to find emerging trends or spot inspiration for new products or services. This kind of pattern recognition first helped me see the enormous potential for pro bono and has now helped me discern the underlying thread in what appears to be myriad emerging trends of the last decade. It’s helped me comprehend how they are all driven by the pursuit of purpose—together, they create the Purpose Economy.

It is a virtuous cycle. It is important to appreciate what Jennifer has done by fully integrating these parts of her work at the same time. The new narrative presents a concept that we shouldn’t wait to revisit at age 60, but rather integrate into our careers from the start and throughout our lives. Pattern Recognition Amy Wrzesniewski teaches a course for MBA students at Yale’s School of Management, with the aim of helping them more thoughtfully navigate their careers. It is a powerful course that requires an enormous amount of self-reflection on the part of her students. She often ends up holding office hours with many of them, becoming their de facto career coach.


pages: 261 words: 10,785

The Lights in the Tunnel by Martin Ford

Alan Greenspan, Albert Einstein, Bear Stearns, Bill Joy: nanobots, Black-Scholes formula, business cycle, call centre, carbon tax, cloud computing, collateralized debt obligation, commoditize, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, creative destruction, credit crunch, double helix, en.wikipedia.org, factory automation, full employment, income inequality, index card, industrial robot, inventory management, invisible hand, Isaac Newton, job automation, John Markoff, John Maynard Keynes: Economic Possibilities for our Grandchildren, John Maynard Keynes: technological unemployment, knowledge worker, low skilled workers, mass immigration, Mitch Kapor, moral hazard, pattern recognition, prediction markets, Productivity paradox, Ray Kurzweil, Robert Solow, Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence, Silicon Valley, Stephen Hawking, strong AI, technological singularity, the long tail, Thomas L Friedman, Turing test, Vernor Vinge, War on Poverty, warehouse automation, warehouse robotics

In spite of the radiologist’s training requirement of at least thirteen additional years beyond high school, it is conceptually quite easy to envision this job being automated. The primary focus of the job is to analyze and evaluate visual images. Furthermore, the parameters of each image are highly defined since they are often coming directly from a computerized scanning device. Visual pattern recognition software is a rapidly developing field that has already produced significant results. The government currently has access to software that can help identify terrorists in airports based on visual analysis of security photographs.22 Real world tasks such as this are probably technically more difficult than analyzing a medical scan because the environment and objects in the image are far more varied.

Although the practical applications of artificial intelligence have so far emphasized brute force solutions, it is by no means true that this is the only approach being taken in the field. A very important area of study revolves around the idea of neural nets, which are a special type of computer that is built upon a model of the human brain. Neural nets are currently being used in areas such as visual pattern recognition. In the future, we can probably expect some important advances in this area, especially as the engineers who design neural nets work more closely with scientists who are uncovering the secrets of how our brains work. One thing that probably jumps out at you as we speak of lawyers and radiologists is that these people make a lot of money.


pages: 247 words: 60,543

The Currency Cold War: Cash and Cryptography, Hash Rates and Hegemony by David G. W. Birch

"World Economic Forum" Davos, Alan Greenspan, algorithmic management, AlphaGo, bank run, Big Tech, bitcoin, blockchain, Bretton Woods, BRICs, British Empire, business cycle, capital controls, cashless society, central bank independence, COVID-19, cross-border payments, cryptocurrency, Diane Coyle, disintermediation, distributed ledger, Donald Trump, driverless car, Elon Musk, Ethereum, ethereum blockchain, facts on the ground, fault tolerance, fiat currency, financial exclusion, financial innovation, financial intermediation, floating exchange rates, forward guidance, Fractional reserve banking, global reserve currency, global supply chain, global village, Hyman Minsky, information security, initial coin offering, Internet of things, Jaron Lanier, Kenneth Rogoff, knowledge economy, M-Pesa, Mark Zuckerberg, market clearing, market design, Marshall McLuhan, mobile money, Money creation, money: store of value / unit of account / medium of exchange, moral hazard, Network effects, new economy, Northern Rock, one-China policy, Overton Window, PalmPilot, pattern recognition, Pingit, QR code, quantum cryptography, race to the bottom, railway mania, ransomware, Real Time Gross Settlement, reserve currency, Satoshi Nakamoto, seigniorage, Silicon Valley, smart contracts, social distancing, sovereign wealth fund, special drawing rights, subscription business, the payments system, too big to fail, transaction costs, Vitalik Buterin, Washington Consensus

Remember, in an anonymous world, no one knows if you are a fraudster or if you are from the FBI. Hence, you could argue that anonymity might actually help law enforcement to carry out old-fashioned police work (and since no one knows if you are a bot either, I assume the police will implement large-scale big data analysis, pattern recognition, machine learning and all sort of other things to help them). It is not at all clear to me how the aforementioned child pornographers and terrorists will get any further beyond the reach of the law because their cash is anonymous when their mobile phone location is recorded every 50 milliseconds and their face is scanned at every street corner, but I am open to persuasion.

We need to re-engineer regulators and compliance to stop implementing KYC, AML, CTF and PEP measures by building electronic analogues of passports, suspicious transaction reports and so on. In this world of machine learning and AI, we need to invert the paradigm: instead of using CDD to keep the bad guys out of the system, we should bring the bad guys into the system; use AI, pattern recognition and analytics to find out what the bad guys are doing; and catch them! Surely, from a law enforcement point of view, it is better to know what the bad guys are up to. Following their money should mean it is easier to detect and infiltrate criminal networks and to generate information that the law enforcement community can use to do something about the flow of criminal funds.


pages: 512 words: 162,977

New Market Wizards: Conversations With America's Top Traders by Jack D. Schwager

backtesting, beat the dealer, Benoit Mandelbrot, Berlin Wall, Black-Scholes formula, book value, butterfly effect, buy and hold, commodity trading advisor, computerized trading, currency risk, Edward Thorp, Elliott wave, fixed income, full employment, implied volatility, interest rate swap, Louis Bachelier, margin call, market clearing, market fundamentalism, Market Wizards by Jack D. Schwager, money market fund, paper trading, pattern recognition, placebo effect, prediction markets, proprietary trading, Ralph Nelson Elliott, random walk, Reminiscences of a Stock Operator, risk tolerance, risk/return, Saturday Night Live, Sharpe ratio, the map is not the territory, transaction costs, uptick rule, War on Poverty

I believe my most important skill is an ability to perceive patterns in the market. 1 think this aptitude for pattern recognition is probably related to my heavy involvement with music. Between the ages of five and twentyone, I practiced piano for several hours every single day. In college, I had a dual major of economics and musical composition. Musical scores are just symbols and patterns. Sitting there for hours every day, analyzing scores, probably helped that part of my brain related to pattern recognition. Also, practicing an instrument for several hours every day helps develop discipline and concentration—two skills that are very useful as a trader.

You remember William Eckhardt / 115 the times when the oracle really hit the nail on the head, and you tend to forget the cases in which the prediction was ambiguous or wrong. Your comments basically seem to imply that chart reading is just laden with pitfalls and unfounded assumptions. Yes, it is. There may be people out there who can do it, but I certainly can’t. Every pattern recognition chart trader I know makes the trades he really likes larger than the trades he doesn’t like as much. In general, that’s not a good idea. You shouldn’t be investing yourself in the individual trades at all. And it’s certainly wrong to invest yourself more in some trades than others. Also, if you think you’re creating the profitable situation by having an eye for charts, it’s very difficult not to feel excessively responsible if the trade doesn’t work.

A technical indicator that attempts to define when prices have risen (declined) too far, too fast, and hence are vulnerable to a reaction in the opposite direction. The concept of overbought/oversold is also often used in association with contrary opinion to describe when a large majority of traders are bullish or bearish. P and L. Shorthand for profit/loss. Pattern recognition. A price-forecasting method that uses historical chart patterns to draw analogies to current situations. Glossary / 491 Pit. The area where a futures contract is traded on the exchange floor. Also sometimes called the Ring. Position limit. See Limit position. Price/earnings (P/E) ratio. The price of a stock divided by the company’s annual earnings.


pages: 463 words: 118,936

Darwin Among the Machines by George Dyson

Ada Lovelace, Alan Turing: On Computable Numbers, with an Application to the Entscheidungsproblem, Albert Einstein, anti-communist, backpropagation, Bletchley Park, British Empire, carbon-based life, cellular automata, Charles Babbage, Claude Shannon: information theory, combinatorial explosion, computer age, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, Danny Hillis, Donald Davies, fault tolerance, Fellow of the Royal Society, finite state, IFF: identification friend or foe, independent contractor, invention of the telescope, invisible hand, Isaac Newton, Jacquard loom, James Watt: steam engine, John Nash: game theory, John von Neumann, launch on warning, low earth orbit, machine readable, Menlo Park, Nash equilibrium, Norbert Wiener, On the Economy of Machinery and Manufactures, packet switching, pattern recognition, phenotype, RAND corporation, Richard Feynman, spectrum auction, strong AI, synthetic biology, the scientific method, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, Turing machine, Von Neumann architecture, zero-sum game

It may be, however, that in this process logic will have to undergo a pseudomorphosis to neurology to a much greater extent than the reverse.”12 Computers, by the 1980s, had evolved perfect memories, but the memory of the computer industry was short. “If your friends in AI persist in ignoring their past, they will be condemned to repeat it, at a high cost that will be borne by the taxpayers,” warned Ulam, who turned out to be right.13 For a neural network to perform useful computation, pattern recognition, associative memory, or other functions a system of value must be established, assigning the raw material of meaning on an equitable basis to the individual units of information—whether conveyed by marbles, pulses of electricity, hydraulic fluid, charged ions, or whatever else is communicated among the components of the net.

An influential step in this direction was an elder and much less ambitious cousin of Leviathan named Pandemonium, developed by Oliver Selfridge at the Lincoln Laboratory using an IBM 704. Instead of attempting to comprehend something as diffuse and complex as the SAGE air-defense system, Pandemonium was aimed at comprehending Morse code sent by human operators—a simple but nontrivial problem in pattern recognition that had confounded all machines to date. Selfridge’s program was designed to learn from its mistakes as it went along. Pandemonium—“the uproar of all demons”—sought to embody the Darwinian process whereby information is selectively evolved into perceptions, concepts, and ideas. The prototype operated on four distinct levels, a first approximation to the manifold levels by which a cognitive system makes sense of the data it receives.

Robert (1904–1967), 78–79, 82, 91, 94–95 optical fiber communications, 7, 8–9, 203–204, 207 Opticks (Newton), 227 Order, 62, 170, 222 and disorder, in hydrodynamics, 85 origins of, 29, 112, 170, 177, 188–89 order codes, 90, 93, 105–106, 121, 123 Organisms. see also artificial life; evolution; life; microorganisms; origins of life; parasitism; symbiogenesis; symbiosis collective, 2–3, 13, 27, 150, 170, 175, 191–92 complexity of, 11–13, 112, 117, 126, 150, 181, 190–92 and machines, comparison with, 100–101, 181, 191 multicellular, 13, 115, 123, 160 organizations as, 179, 183 processors as, 215–16 reliable, from unreliable parts, 44, 108, 150 scale of, 7–8, 174–75, 186, 208 Origin of Species (Darwin), 18, 19, 23, 24, 116, 190 origins of life, 9, 12–13, 28–32, 111–13, 177, 202. see also symbiogenesis Origins of Life (Dyson), 29–30, 32 Ortvay, Rudolf, 89 OS/360 (IBM 360 operating system), 121–22 Oslo, University of, 119–20 Ouroboros (Garrett), 226–27 Overlords (of Childhood’s End), 224 overmind, dangers of, 224 Oxford University, 2, 63, 132, 160 oxygen, 121, 202 P packet switching Babbage on, 42, 81 origins and development of, 143, 147–52, 205–207 proliferation of, 12, 122 Paley, William (1743–1805), 188–89 Pandemonium (Selfridge), 72, 184–85, 189 pangenesis, 20 panspermia, 28 Parallel Distributed Processing (Rumelhart and McClelland), 159 parallel processing in biology, 82, 110, 115, 155, 159, 219 and computers, 12, 86–87, 108, 115, 126–27, 155, 197, 205 parasitism, 12, 29, 97, 114–16, 120, 185, 201, 223, 227 and evolution of software, 121–23 and origins of eukaryotic cells, 12, 29, 112, 115 Pascal, Blaise (1623–1666), 36 Passages from the Life of a Philosopher (Babbage), 42 pattern recognition, 10, 62, 158, 184 Patterson, George W., 59 Payne, Diana, 64 Pehrson, Björn, 133, 137, 139 Peirce, Charles Sanders (1839–1914), 58–59 penny post, and Babbage, 42 Pepys, Samuel (1633–1703), 5, 134 perception, 6, 51, 156, 158, 184, 218, 222 Petty, Charles, 161 Petty, William (1623–1687), 160–62, 171 phenotype, and distinction from genotype, 30–31, 117–19 Philco 2000 (transistorized computer), 183 philosophical algebra (Hooke), 135 Philosophical Club (Oxford), 132, 160 photosynthesis, 170 physics, 50, 73, 85, 125, 130, 174, 197, 216 Piaget, Jean, 94 Pickard, G.


System Error by Rob Reich

"Friedman doctrine" OR "shareholder theory", "World Economic Forum" Davos, 2021 United States Capitol attack, A Declaration of the Independence of Cyberspace, Aaron Swartz, AI winter, Airbnb, airport security, Alan Greenspan, Albert Einstein, algorithmic bias, AlphaGo, AltaVista, artificial general intelligence, Automated Insights, autonomous vehicles, basic income, Ben Horowitz, Berlin Wall, Bernie Madoff, Big Tech, bitcoin, Blitzscaling, Cambridge Analytica, Cass Sunstein, clean water, cloud computing, computer vision, contact tracing, contact tracing app, coronavirus, corporate governance, COVID-19, creative destruction, CRISPR, crowdsourcing, data is the new oil, data science, decentralized internet, deep learning, deepfake, DeepMind, deplatforming, digital rights, disinformation, disruptive innovation, Donald Knuth, Donald Trump, driverless car, dual-use technology, Edward Snowden, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, end-to-end encryption, Fairchild Semiconductor, fake news, Fall of the Berlin Wall, Filter Bubble, financial engineering, financial innovation, fulfillment center, future of work, gentrification, Geoffrey Hinton, George Floyd, gig economy, Goodhart's law, GPT-3, Hacker News, hockey-stick growth, income inequality, independent contractor, informal economy, information security, Jaron Lanier, Jeff Bezos, Jim Simons, jimmy wales, job automation, John Maynard Keynes: Economic Possibilities for our Grandchildren, John Maynard Keynes: technological unemployment, John Perry Barlow, Lean Startup, linear programming, Lyft, Marc Andreessen, Mark Zuckerberg, meta-analysis, minimum wage unemployment, Monkeys Reject Unequal Pay, move fast and break things, Myron Scholes, Network effects, Nick Bostrom, Northpointe / Correctional Offender Management Profiling for Alternative Sanctions, NP-complete, Oculus Rift, OpenAI, Panopticon Jeremy Bentham, Parler "social media", pattern recognition, personalized medicine, Peter Thiel, Philippa Foot, premature optimization, profit motive, quantitative hedge fund, race to the bottom, randomized controlled trial, recommendation engine, Renaissance Technologies, Richard Thaler, ride hailing / ride sharing, Ronald Reagan, Sam Altman, Sand Hill Road, scientific management, self-driving car, shareholder value, Sheryl Sandberg, Shoshana Zuboff, side project, Silicon Valley, Snapchat, social distancing, Social Responsibility of Business Is to Increase Its Profits, software is eating the world, spectrum auction, speech recognition, stem cell, Steve Jobs, Steven Levy, strong AI, superintelligent machines, surveillance capitalism, Susan Wojcicki, tech billionaire, tech worker, techlash, technoutopianism, Telecommunications Act of 1996, telemarketer, The Future of Employment, TikTok, Tim Cook: Apple, traveling salesman, Triangle Shirtwaist Factory, trolley problem, Turing test, two-sided market, Uber and Lyft, uber lyft, ultimatum game, union organizing, universal basic income, washing machines reduced drudgery, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, When a measure becomes a target, winner-take-all economy, Y Combinator, you are the product

But in cases such as spam filtering and credit card fraud, the volume of transactions is far greater than humans can process. The use of these technologies didn’t displace any workers because the tasks were not something that humans could keep up with in the first place. And they were hidden in the bowels of data systems, not a place where workers are found. As AI grows in its pattern recognition capabilities, it is able to power more complicated tasks, oftentimes in more visible ways. Autonomous vehicles are just a start. Some of these applications are more for novelty, such as Makr Shakr’s robotic bartenders, with whimsical names such as “Toni” and “Bruno,” that have been making cocktails in bars from London to Dubai over the past few years with more than 2.6 million drinks served!

Called “quantitative hedge funds,” these systems use algorithmic techniques, frequently powered by machine learning models, to make split-second transactions on everything from Apple stock to zinc futures. One of the pioneers in this area, Renaissance Technologies, was founded by Jim Simons, a mathematics PhD who had spent time working at the National Security Agency on code breaking—a somewhat different but equally quantitative form of pattern recognition. Renaissance’s Medallion fund has generated more than $100 billion in profits since the company’s founding in 1982. Indeed, the world of finance has shifted in the wake of technological developments, as financial services firms increasingly focus on customer relationship management and access to private funds utilizing quantitative technologies.

Will AGI put humanity: Edward Feigenbaum et al., Advanced Software Applications in Japan (Park Ridge, NJ: Noyes Data Corporation, 1995). problems in reasoning have the potential: Yaniv Taigman et al., “DeepFace: Closing the Gap to Human-Level Performance in Face Verification,” 2014 IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (CVPR 2014) (New York: IEEE, 2014), 1701–8, https://doi.org/10.1109/CVPR.2014.220. “nine-layer deep neural network”: Ibid. Anyone using Zoom videoconferencing: “Language Interpretation in Meetings and Webinars,” Zoom Help Center, https://support.zoom.us/hc/en-us/articles/360034919791-Language-interpretation-in-meetings-and-webinars.


pages: 271 words: 62,538

The Best Interface Is No Interface: The Simple Path to Brilliant Technology (Voices That Matter) by Golden Krishna

Airbnb, Bear Stearns, computer vision, crossover SUV, data science, en.wikipedia.org, fear of failure, impulse control, Inbox Zero, Internet Archive, Internet of things, Jeff Bezos, Jony Ive, Kickstarter, lock screen, Mark Zuckerberg, microdosing, new economy, Oculus Rift, off-the-grid, Paradox of Choice, pattern recognition, QR code, RFID, self-driving car, Silicon Valley, skeuomorphism, Skype, Snapchat, Steve Jobs, tech worker, technoutopianism, TED Talk, Tim Cook: Apple, Y Combinator, Y2K

“With such walls and blends of different stones it comes about as it does with the sound of bells, in whose clanging you may discover every name and word that you can imagine.”10 Leonardo may have been one of the first to record11 a visual and auditory form of the psychological state apophenia—an error in perception—called pareidolia. It’s a form of pattern recognition encoded in us for survival gone haywire, where a false stimulus (like a sound, vibration, or image) is perceived as authentic.12 Leonardo visually experienced it through stains on the wall. Edgar Allan Poe’s character experienced it through sound after a murder.13 It’s how a Rorschach inkblot test works.

David Robson, “Neuroscience: Why Do We See Faces in Everyday Objects?,” BBC, July 30, 2014. http://www.bbc.com/future/story/20140730-why-do-we-see-faces-in-objects 12 “Apophenia is an error of perception: The tendency to interpret random patterns as meaningful . . . Pareidolia is visual apophenia . . . For our hominid ancestors, pattern recognition was essential for recognizing both food and predators.” John W. Hoopes, “11-11-11, Apophenia, and the Meaning of Life,” Psychology Today, November 11, 2011. http://www.psychologytoday.com/blog/reality-check/201111/11-11-11-apophenia-and-the-meaning-life 13 “The murder is carefully calculated, and the murderer hides the body by cutting it into pieces and hiding it under the floorboards.


pages: 250 words: 64,011

Everydata: The Misinformation Hidden in the Little Data You Consume Every Day by John H. Johnson

Affordable Care Act / Obamacare, autism spectrum disorder, Black Swan, business intelligence, Carmen Reinhart, cognitive bias, correlation does not imply causation, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, data science, Donald Trump, en.wikipedia.org, Kenneth Rogoff, labor-force participation, lake wobegon effect, Long Term Capital Management, Mercator projection, Mercator projection distort size, especially Greenland and Africa, meta-analysis, Nate Silver, obamacare, p-value, PageRank, pattern recognition, publication bias, QR code, randomized controlled trial, risk-adjusted returns, Ronald Reagan, selection bias, statistical model, The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver, Thomas Bayes, Tim Cook: Apple, wikimedia commons, Yogi Berra

If you see the headline “Eating brownies tied to weight gain” and you simply ask, “How is eating brownies tied to weight gain?” the answer should reveal the true relationship between these two variables. HERE COMES THE SUN Perhaps another reason that so many people conflate correlation with causation is because of the way we’re hardwired to interpret data. “The human brain is a pattern-recognition machine,” explained Ron Friedman in an interview. Friedman is a social psychologist who specializes in human motivation, and the author of The Best Place to Work: The Art and Science of Creating an Extraordinary Workplace. “In the past, before the invention of books or the search engine, uncovering links between cause and effect was essential to our survival,” noted Friedman.

See also samples/sampling Oliver, John, 95 Olympic judges, 39–40 omitted variables, 48–50, 54–58, 126, 145, 147, 149 “only,” misrepresentation based on, 95–96 Oster, Emily, 6, 54, 78, 79 outliers, 38–42, 119 being a good consumer of, 42–43 in forecasting, 126 overconfidence, 139–140 P Pantene Pro-V Smooth shampoo ads, 7 pattern recognition, 60–61, 110–111 p-hacking, 79 Pinsker, Joe, 144–145 polls, 37–38, 68–69, 73 populations. See also samples/sampling averages and differences in, 34–35 definition of, 13 samples representativeness of, 14 prediction errors, 128–129 prediction intervals, 128–129 predictions, 127–128. See also forecasting pregnancy, alcohol and caffeine consumption during, 54–55, 79 Prescott, J.


pages: 239 words: 70,206

Data-Ism: The Revolution Transforming Decision Making, Consumer Behavior, and Almost Everything Else by Steve Lohr

"World Economic Forum" Davos, 23andMe, Abraham Maslow, Affordable Care Act / Obamacare, Albert Einstein, Alvin Toffler, Bear Stearns, behavioural economics, big data - Walmart - Pop Tarts, bioinformatics, business cycle, business intelligence, call centre, Carl Icahn, classic study, cloud computing, computer age, conceptual framework, Credit Default Swap, crowdsourcing, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, Danny Hillis, data is the new oil, data science, David Brooks, driverless car, East Village, Edward Snowden, Emanuel Derman, Erik Brynjolfsson, everywhere but in the productivity statistics, financial engineering, Frederick Winslow Taylor, Future Shock, Google Glasses, Ida Tarbell, impulse control, income inequality, indoor plumbing, industrial robot, informal economy, Internet of things, invention of writing, Johannes Kepler, John Markoff, John von Neumann, lifelogging, machine translation, Mark Zuckerberg, market bubble, meta-analysis, money market fund, natural language processing, obamacare, pattern recognition, payday loans, personalized medicine, planned obsolescence, precision agriculture, pre–internet, Productivity paradox, RAND corporation, rising living standards, Robert Gordon, Robert Solow, Salesforce, scientific management, Second Machine Age, self-driving car, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, SimCity, six sigma, skunkworks, speech recognition, statistical model, Steve Jobs, Steven Levy, The Design of Experiments, the scientific method, Thomas Kuhn: the structure of scientific revolutions, Tony Fadell, unbanked and underbanked, underbanked, Von Neumann architecture, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, yottabyte

He flies out most Sunday afternoons to work on projects with clients, returning Thursday night or Friday. After a day spent with Haydock, at his home and over a walleye dinner at a downtown restaurant, listening to him describe his craft, I couldn’t help but think of the contrast with Cayce Pollard, the protagonist in William Gibson’s 2003 novel Pattern Recognition. She is a young marketing savant, a cool hunter. Her typical attire is a shrunken cotton T-shirt, worn with black jeans, boots, and a bomber jacket. She possesses, Gibson writes, “an unusual intuitive sensitivity for branding.” Haydock may not be hip or intuitive like Cayce Pollard. But he brings something else—data science.

Randall, 40 Mount Sinai Hospital, 8, 13–14, 15 data science and genomic research at, 163–65, 171, 173–81 medical data and human experience, 68–70 Mundie, Craig, 203 Nakashima, George, 65 Naked Society, The (Packard), 184 Narayanan, Arvind, 204 Nest learning thermostat, 143–45 Google and, 152–53 human behavior and, 147–52 Never-Ending Language Learning system (NELL), of Carnegie Mellon University, 110–11 New York State, Medicaid fraud prevention in, 48 Norvig, Peter, 116 Norway, 48 “notice and choice,” in data collection of personal information, 186, 187–88 Noyes, Eliot, 49 “numerical imagination,” of Hammerbacher, 13–14 Oak Ridge National Laboratory, 176 Obama administration, big data and, 203–4 O’Donnell, Tim, 180–81 OfficeMax, 188–89 Olmo, Harold, 126 Olson, Mike, 101 online advertising, 84–85 as “socio-technical construct,” 193–95 open-source code, IBM and, 9 operations research, 154 optimization, at IBM, 46 Packard, Vance, 184 Palmisano, Samuel, 49–51, 53 “Parable of Google Flu: Traps in Big Data Analysis, The” (Science), 108 Pattern Recognition (Gibson), 154 Paul, Sharoda, 135 payday lending market, 104–7 Pennebaker, James, 199 Pentland, Alex, 15, 203–4, 206 Perlich, Claudia, 120 personality traits, values, and needs, 198–99 personally identifying information, privacy concerns and, 187–92 Pieroni, Stephanie, 36 Pitts, Martha, 57 Pitts, Shereline, 57 Pop-Tarts, beer, and hurricane data, 104 precision agriculture, E. & J.


Work in the Future The Automation Revolution-Palgrave MacMillan (2019) by Robert Skidelsky Nan Craig

3D printing, Airbnb, algorithmic trading, AlphaGo, Alvin Toffler, Amazon Web Services, anti-work, antiwork, artificial general intelligence, asset light, autonomous vehicles, basic income, behavioural economics, business cycle, cloud computing, collective bargaining, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, correlation does not imply causation, creative destruction, data is the new oil, data science, David Graeber, David Ricardo: comparative advantage, deep learning, DeepMind, deindustrialization, Demis Hassabis, deskilling, disintermediation, do what you love, Donald Trump, driverless car, Erik Brynjolfsson, fake news, feminist movement, Ford Model T, Frederick Winslow Taylor, future of work, Future Shock, general purpose technology, gig economy, global supply chain, income inequality, independent contractor, informal economy, Internet of things, Jarndyce and Jarndyce, Jarndyce and Jarndyce, job automation, job polarisation, John Maynard Keynes: Economic Possibilities for our Grandchildren, John Maynard Keynes: technological unemployment, John von Neumann, Joseph Schumpeter, knowledge economy, Loebner Prize, low skilled workers, Lyft, Mark Zuckerberg, means of production, moral panic, Network effects, new economy, Nick Bostrom, off grid, pattern recognition, post-work, Ronald Coase, scientific management, Second Machine Age, self-driving car, sharing economy, SoftBank, Steve Jobs, strong AI, tacit knowledge, technological determinism, technoutopianism, TED Talk, The Chicago School, The Future of Employment, the market place, The Nature of the Firm, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, Thorstein Veblen, Turing test, Uber for X, uber lyft, universal basic income, wealth creators, working poor

Yet a system was recently developed at Stanford that can tell whether or not a freckle is cancerous as accurately as leading dermatologists. How does it work? It is not trying to copy the doctor’s reasoning processes. It ‘knows’ or ‘understands’ nothing at all about medicine. Instead it has a database of about 129,450 past cases and is running a sort of pattern recognition algorithm through them, hunting for similarities between those images and the photo of any troublesome lesion under scrutiny. It does not matter that this task is ‘non-routine’, that a human being might not be able to explain exactly how she makes a diagnosis— this system is performing the task in a very different way, an unhuman one, based on the analysis of more possible cases than a doctor could hope to review in her lifetime.

Wants, 3, 30, 88 Neoclassical economics, 4, 55, 60, 62, 73 Netherlands, the/Holland, 6, 68, 151, 163, 177, 181–183 Network effects, 138 Networks, 45, 48, 138, 196 Neumann, John von, 99 New Zealand, 179 Nübler, Irmgard, 6, 194, 196 Index O Obama, Barack, 164, 165, 171 Obligation, 38, 53, 73–79 Occupations, 16, 40, 41, 46, 47, 58, 70, 83, 84, 86, 87, 90, 92, 106, 178, 184, 190–192, 194 OECD, 66–68, 178 O’Neil, Cathy, 6 Ontology of work, 65 Organisations dynamics of, 164 Osborne, Michael, 90 Oswald, A, 60 209 Pre-modern/pre-industrial work, 3, 11, 47, 48 Productivity, 7, 10, 79, 86, 87, 176, 178–180, 183–185, 190–192, 199 Professional work, 1, 39 Profits (different profit models), 14–18, 30, 48, 75, 79, 93, 134, 135, 138, 152, 191 Protestant work ethic, 28 Public services, 94, 167 Puritan (view of work), 28, 75, 166 R P Painting Fool, The, 115, 116, 120 Parenting, 75, 76 Patocka, Jan, 9, 21 Pattern recognition, 129 Peasant labour, 41 Perez, Carlota, 192 Philosophy of work, 30 Physical labour, 3 Piasna, Agnieszka, 181, 183 Piece-work, 30 Platform economy/platform capitalism, 6, 140 Polanyi, Karl, 192, 193 Polanyi, Michael, 127 Policy (argument against), 7, 21, 67, 68, 95, 157–173, 180, 181, 183–185, 189–200 Population, 2, 12, 15–17, 19, 28, 30, 89, 90, 117, 147, 158, 172, 198 Postmates, 136 Post-work society, 59 Poverty, 15, 47, 59, 67, 177 Redistribution, 79, 169, 199 Redundancy, 10, 12, 15–17, 19, 78, 179 Religion/religious ritual, 12, 28, 194 Remittances, 40 Responsibility, 44, 47, 76–79, 106, 107, 115, 118, 136 Retail sector, 87, 137 Retirement, 19, 67, 78 Ricardo, David, 2, 13–17 Robinson, James, 194 Robotisation, 21, 94, 95, 192 Robots carers, 106 Romantic (view of work), 34, 35 Ruskin, John, 34 S Safety nets, 67, 68 Sahlins, Marshall, 26, 158 Salazar-Xirinachs, Jose M., 198 Schumpeter, Joseph, 190, 194 Scientific management, 30 Scott, James C., 28 210 Index Searle, John, 100–103 Self-employment, 69–70, 75 Self-realisation, 57, 165 Sennett, Richard, 3 Services/service sector low frequency vs. high frequency, 134 work, 40, 68, 161, 163 Singularity, 116 Skidelsky, Edward, 60, 176 Skidelsky, Robert, 60, 176 Skills acquisition, 33, 70 skilled vs. unskilled labour/jobs, 67 Slavery, 11, 29, 30, 45 Smartphones, 140 Smiles, Samuel, 28 Smith, Adam, 12, 13, 27, 35, 54, 55, 65 Smith, Rob, 177 Social drawing rights, 70 Social interaction, 53, 88, 91 Social media, 77, 138, 168 Societal knowledge base, 196–197 Sociology (of work), 166 Spencer, David, 4, 54, 59, 61 Spinning mills (cotton industry?)


pages: 241 words: 70,307

Leadership by Algorithm: Who Leads and Who Follows in the AI Era? by David de Cremer

"Friedman doctrine" OR "shareholder theory", algorithmic bias, algorithmic management, AlphaGo, bitcoin, blockchain, business climate, business process, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, corporate governance, data is not the new oil, data science, deep learning, DeepMind, Donald Trump, Elon Musk, fake news, future of work, job automation, Kevin Kelly, Mark Zuckerberg, meta-analysis, Norbert Wiener, pattern recognition, Peter Thiel, race to the bottom, robotic process automation, Salesforce, scientific management, shareholder value, Silicon Valley, Social Responsibility of Business Is to Increase Its Profits, Stephen Hawking, The Future of Employment, Turing test, work culture , workplace surveillance , zero-sum game

Humans have this unique ability to entertain themselves in the world we call imagination. This ability, which distinguishes us from algorithms, is very important when it comes to creativity. As Einstein once said, “creativity is intelligence having fun”, and all of us understand immediately what he meant by this quote. Algorithms cannot be creative because they work with pattern recognition and curve fitting, which does not allow for the exploration of a reality that does not exist. It thus seems unlikely that algorithms have the same ability as humans to solve creative problems. Creativity is a process that requires imagination. As creativity involves coming up with new ideas and solutions, imagination is required to, first of all, develop different ways of looking at reality.

But, would we ever consider those algorithms as likely candidates to lead our organizations? Well, consider the following. Algorithms are consistent learners, enabling them to enlarge their cognitive abilities with every new insight. The abilities that algorithms gain in this way are largely in the areas of speed of data processing, pattern recognition, and creating more transparency in the data available. These are all areas that can make organizations smarter and help them make more accurate forecasts and predictions. Hence, it could make sense to have algorithms develop into leaders. But, as we have seen, the reality is that algorithms as leaders is not an easy sell and unlikely to happen.


pages: 50 words: 13,399

The Elements of Data Analytic Style by Jeff Leek

correlation does not imply causation, data science, Netflix Prize, p-value, pattern recognition, Ronald Coase, statistical model, TED Talk

Figure 5.7 A Bland-Alman Plot with confidence intervals 5.12 Common mistakes 5.12.1 Optimizing style too quickly The goal is to quickly understand a data set, during exploratory data analysis speed is more important than style, so tools that make beautiful graphics but take time should be avoided. 5.12.2 False pattern recognition One of the most common mistakes in exploratory data analysis is to identify and interpret a pattern without trying to break it down. Any strong pattern in a data set should be checked for confounders and alternative explanations. 5.12.3 Failing to explore data and jumping to statistical tests A common failure, particularly when using automated software, is to immediately apply statistical testing procedures and to look for statistical significance without exploring the data first. 5.12.4 Failing to look at patterns of missing values and the impact they might have on conclusions.


pages: 778 words: 239,744

Gnomon by Nick Harkaway

"Margaret Hamilton" Apollo, Albert Einstein, back-to-the-land, banking crisis, behavioural economics, Burning Man, choice architecture, clean water, cognitive dissonance, false flag, fault tolerance, fear of failure, Future Shock, gravity well, Great Leap Forward, high net worth, impulse control, Isaac Newton, Khartoum Gordon, lifelogging, neurotypical, off-the-grid, pattern recognition, place-making, post-industrial society, Potemkin village, precautionary principle, Richard Feynman, Scramble for Africa, self-driving car, side project, Silicon Valley, skeuomorphism, skunkworks, the market place, trade route, Tragedy of the Commons, urban planning, urban sprawl

You forget that all these environments exist only in Diana Hunter’s consciousness. She chose the word, and it was subsequently selected at random – a single coincidence. With each iteration of it inside the psychodrama, however, it accrues greater weight for you. It is the disadvantage of human pattern recognition, exacerbated by the fact that you designate it an unusual word. However, there are half a million words in the English language and an extensive vocabulary includes perhaps thirty-five thousand of them, meaning that there are more unusual words in English than commonplace ones by a factor of fourteen.

It is a peculiar skill of interface, teasing the machine to unlock a cloud of possible conjunctions, focusing on a given object for just long enough to trigger a deeper evaluation, then skating away along a connection so that it, too, unfolds to reveal its extension in the conceptual space behind the wall. For a moment she holds her breath, watching a single triangle form at the bottom and rove left and up – shark! – then snorts at herself as the lines spiral and twist into a new configuration. Pattern recognition is a liar. No watery god-monster is going to consume her case today. Gods and monsters. Her gaze drifts to the Roman syncretist bubbles in that portion of the wall given over to Hunter’s narratives. Athenais dreamed a room of lies which came true, and a man died. Was sacrificed. Death setting everything in motion.

I will say, you had us all just a little bit worried there. We really don’t hold with people departing this life while in our care. We take it amiss. The nurses, in particular, would have been rather vexed with you. Anyway, hello. I’ve taken over your treatment today.’ Treatment, bollocks. ‘Yes, well. Be that as it may.’ S’a trick. ‘Yes, your pattern recognition is running rather too high. Almost conspiratorially so. How do you feel about the moon landings?’ Funny man not funny. ‘You find humour inappropriate? Perhaps you’re right. Let me just adjust this – there. Now. Do you still think we know one another?’ Oh … No. Silly. ‘Not at all. A biological error.


pages: 584 words: 187,436

More Money Than God: Hedge Funds and the Making of a New Elite by Sebastian Mallaby

Alan Greenspan, Andrei Shleifer, Asian financial crisis, asset-backed security, automated trading system, bank run, barriers to entry, Bear Stearns, Benoit Mandelbrot, Berlin Wall, Bernie Madoff, Big bang: deregulation of the City of London, Bonfire of the Vanities, book value, Bretton Woods, business cycle, buy and hold, capital controls, Carmen Reinhart, collapse of Lehman Brothers, collateralized debt obligation, computerized trading, corporate raider, Credit Default Swap, credit default swaps / collateralized debt obligations, crony capitalism, currency manipulation / currency intervention, currency peg, deal flow, do well by doing good, Elliott wave, Eugene Fama: efficient market hypothesis, failed state, Fall of the Berlin Wall, financial deregulation, financial engineering, financial innovation, financial intermediation, fixed income, full employment, German hyperinflation, High speed trading, index fund, Jim Simons, John Bogle, John Meriwether, junk bonds, Kenneth Rogoff, Kickstarter, Long Term Capital Management, low interest rates, machine translation, margin call, market bubble, market clearing, market fundamentalism, Market Wizards by Jack D. Schwager, Mary Meeker, merger arbitrage, Michael Milken, money market fund, moral hazard, Myron Scholes, natural language processing, Network effects, new economy, Nikolai Kondratiev, operational security, pattern recognition, Paul Samuelson, pre–internet, proprietary trading, public intellectual, quantitative hedge fund, quantitative trading / quantitative finance, random walk, Renaissance Technologies, Richard Thaler, risk-adjusted returns, risk/return, Robert Mercer, rolodex, Savings and loan crisis, Sharpe ratio, short selling, short squeeze, Silicon Valley, South Sea Bubble, sovereign wealth fund, statistical arbitrage, statistical model, survivorship bias, tail risk, technology bubble, The Great Moderation, The Myth of the Rational Market, the new new thing, too big to fail, transaction costs, two and twenty, uptick rule

If a currency was heading downward, export stocks would be a buy. If interest rates were rising, it was time to short real-estate developers. To his sense of companies and economies Druckenmiller added a third skill: technical analysis. His first boss in Pittsburgh had been a student of charts, and although most stock pickers disdained this pattern recognition as voodoo, Druckenmiller soon found it could be useful. It was one thing to do the fundamental analysis that told you that a stock or bond was overvalued; it was another to know when the market would correct, and the charts hinted at the answers. Technical analysis taught Druckenmiller to be alert to market waves, to combine the trading agility of Paul Tudor Jones with the stock-picking strengths of Julian Robertson.

But once the firm realized that the correlations made intuitive sense—they reflected the technology euphoria that had pushed into all these industries—they seemed more likely to be tradable.27 Moreover, signals based on intuition have a further advantage: If you understand why they work, you probably understand why they might cease to work, so you are less likely to keep trading them beyond their point of usefulness. In short, Wepsic is saying that pure pattern recognition is a small part of what Shaw does, even if the firm does some of it. Again, this presents a contrast with Renaissance. Whereas D. E. Shaw grew out of statistical arbitrage in equities, with strong roots in fundamental intuitions about stocks, Renaissance grew out of technical trading in commodities, a tradition that treats price data as paramount.28 Whereas D.

In 2005 he launched a new venture, the Renaissance Institutional Equities Fund, which was designed to absorb an eye-popping $100 billion in institutional savings. The only way this huge amount could be manageable was to branch out from short-term trading into more liquid longer-term strategies—and since pure pattern recognition works best for short-term trades, it followed that Simons was offering a fund that would rely on different sorts of signal—ones that might already have been mined by D. E. Shaw and other rivals. By the summer of 2007, the new Simons venture had raked in more than $25 billion, making it one of the largest hedge funds in the world.


pages: 257 words: 80,100

Time Travel: A History by James Gleick

Ada Lovelace, Albert Einstein, Albert Michelson, Arthur Eddington, augmented reality, butterfly effect, Charles Babbage, crowdsourcing, Doomsday Book, Eddington experiment, index card, Isaac Newton, John von Neumann, luminiferous ether, Marshall McLuhan, Norbert Wiener, pattern recognition, Plato's cave, pneumatic tube, Richard Feynman, Schrödinger's Cat, self-driving car, Stephen Fry, Stephen Hawking, telepresence, The future is already here, time dilation, Wayback Machine, wikimedia commons

For ancient astronomers to forecast the movements of heavenly bodies was vindication and triumph; to predict an eclipse was to rob it of its terror; medical science has labored for centuries to eradicate diseases and extend the lifetimes that fatalists call fixed; in the first powerful application of Newton’s laws to earthly mechanics, students of gunnery computed the parabolic trajectories of cannonballs, the better to send them to their targets; twentieth-century physicists not only managed to change the course of warfare but then dreamt of using their new computing machines to forecast and even control the earth’s weather. Because, why not? We are pattern-recognition machines, and the project of science is to formalize our intuitions, do the math, in hopes not just of understanding—a passive, academic pleasure—but of bending nature, to the limited extent possible, to our will. Remember Laplace’s perfect intelligence, vast enough to comprehend all the forces and the positions and to submit them to analysis.

Gibson, who always felt time travel to be an implausible magic, avoided it through ten novels written across thirty years.*6 Indeed, as his imagined futures kept crowding in on the conveyor belt of the present, he renounced the future altogether. “Fully imagined futures were the luxury of another day, one in which ‘now’ was of some greater duration,” says Hubertus Bigend in the 2003 Pattern Recognition. “We have no future because our present is too volatile.” The future stands upon the present, and the present is quicksand. Back to the future once more, though, in Gibson’s eleventh novel, The Peripheral. A near future interacts with a far future. Cyberspace gave him a way in. New rules of time travel: matter cannot escape its time but information can.


pages: 254 words: 76,064

Whiplash: How to Survive Our Faster Future by Joi Ito, Jeff Howe

3D printing, air gap, Albert Michelson, AlphaGo, Amazon Web Services, artificial general intelligence, basic income, Bernie Sanders, Big Tech, bitcoin, Black Lives Matter, Black Swan, Bletchley Park, blockchain, Burning Man, business logic, buy low sell high, Claude Shannon: information theory, cloud computing, commons-based peer production, Computer Numeric Control, conceptual framework, CRISPR, crowdsourcing, cryptocurrency, data acquisition, deep learning, DeepMind, Demis Hassabis, digital rights, disruptive innovation, Donald Trump, double helix, Edward Snowden, Elon Musk, Ferguson, Missouri, fiat currency, financial innovation, Flash crash, Ford Model T, frictionless, game design, Gerolamo Cardano, informal economy, information security, interchangeable parts, Internet Archive, Internet of things, Isaac Newton, Jeff Bezos, John Harrison: Longitude, Joi Ito, Khan Academy, Kickstarter, Mark Zuckerberg, microbiome, move 37, Nate Silver, Network effects, neurotypical, Oculus Rift, off-the-grid, One Laptop per Child (OLPC), PalmPilot, pattern recognition, peer-to-peer, pirate software, power law, pre–internet, prisoner's dilemma, Productivity paradox, quantum cryptography, race to the bottom, RAND corporation, random walk, Ray Kurzweil, Ronald Coase, Ross Ulbricht, Satoshi Nakamoto, self-driving car, SETI@home, side project, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, Simon Singh, Singularitarianism, Skype, slashdot, smart contracts, Steve Ballmer, Steve Jobs, Steven Levy, Stewart Brand, Stuxnet, supply-chain management, synthetic biology, technological singularity, technoutopianism, TED Talk, The Nature of the Firm, the scientific method, The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver, the strength of weak ties, There's no reason for any individual to have a computer in his home - Ken Olsen, Thomas Kuhn: the structure of scientific revolutions, Two Sigma, universal basic income, unpaid internship, uranium enrichment, urban planning, warehouse automation, warehouse robotics, Wayback Machine, WikiLeaks, Yochai Benkler

“Chess,” the German master Richard Teichmann once said, “is 99 percent tactics,” and success requires seeing the long-term consequences of any given move. But no earthly intelligence could compute the possible outcomes from the 361 moves that greet a competitor when facing an empty Go board. Go prodigies tend to possess uncanny pattern-recognition skills and rely on their intuition. In fMRI studies the right hemisphere of the brain—the side that governs visual awareness and holistic awareness—lights up more strongly in Go players than the left.4 In fact, with its nearly infinite possibilities, a Go board has more in common with the painter’s blank canvas than it does with the game of chess.

Held in one of the university’s largest lecture halls, the DeepMind event drew a standing-room-only crowd—students were all but hanging off the walls to hear Hassabis describe how their approach to machine learning had allowed their team to prove the experts who had predicted it would take ten years for a computer to beat a virtuoso like Sedol wrong. The key was a clever combination of deep learning—a kind of pattern recognition, similar to how a human brain (or Google) can recognize a cat or a fire truck after seeing many images—and “learning” so that it could guess statistically what something was likely to be, or in the case of Go, what a human player, considering all of the games of the past, was likely to play in a particular situation.


pages: 230 words: 76,655

Choose Yourself! by James Altucher

Airbnb, Albert Einstein, Bernie Madoff, bitcoin, cashless society, cognitive bias, dark matter, digital rights, do what you love, Elon Musk, estate planning, John Bogle, junk bonds, Mark Zuckerberg, mirror neurons, money market fund, Network effects, new economy, PageRank, passive income, pattern recognition, payday loans, Peter Thiel, Ponzi scheme, Rodney Brooks, rolodex, Salesforce, Saturday Night Live, sharing economy, short selling, side project, Silicon Valley, Skype, software as a service, Steve Jobs, superconnector, Uber for X, Vanguard fund, Virgin Galactic, Y2K, Zipcar

Future experiences will almost never be exactly like the old experiences. But they give you the ability to say, “Hmm, this is like the time four years ago when X, Y, and Z happened.” And then you are engaging in… * * * Using Pattern Recognition Being able to recognize when current circumstances are like an experience you’ve had in the past or an experience someone else you’ve studied had in the past is critical to mastery. Pattern recognition is a combination of all of the above: study + history + experience + talent + a new thing… love. * * * Loving It Andre Agassi has famously said he doesn’t love tennis. I believe this and I don’t believe it.


pages: 345 words: 75,660

Prediction Machines: The Simple Economics of Artificial Intelligence by Ajay Agrawal, Joshua Gans, Avi Goldfarb

Abraham Wald, Ada Lovelace, AI winter, Air France Flight 447, Airbus A320, algorithmic bias, AlphaGo, Amazon Picking Challenge, artificial general intelligence, autonomous vehicles, backpropagation, basic income, Bayesian statistics, Black Swan, blockchain, call centre, Capital in the Twenty-First Century by Thomas Piketty, Captain Sullenberger Hudson, carbon tax, Charles Babbage, classic study, collateralized debt obligation, computer age, creative destruction, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, data acquisition, data is the new oil, data science, deep learning, DeepMind, deskilling, disruptive innovation, driverless car, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, Erik Brynjolfsson, everywhere but in the productivity statistics, financial engineering, fulfillment center, general purpose technology, Geoffrey Hinton, Google Glasses, high net worth, ImageNet competition, income inequality, information retrieval, inventory management, invisible hand, Jeff Hawkins, job automation, John Markoff, Joseph Schumpeter, Kevin Kelly, Lyft, Minecraft, Mitch Kapor, Moneyball by Michael Lewis explains big data, Nate Silver, new economy, Nick Bostrom, On the Economy of Machinery and Manufactures, OpenAI, paperclip maximiser, pattern recognition, performance metric, profit maximization, QWERTY keyboard, race to the bottom, randomized controlled trial, Ray Kurzweil, ride hailing / ride sharing, Robert Solow, Salesforce, Second Machine Age, self-driving car, shareholder value, Silicon Valley, statistical model, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, Steve Jurvetson, Steven Levy, strong AI, The Future of Employment, the long tail, The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver, Tim Cook: Apple, trolley problem, Turing test, Uber and Lyft, uber lyft, US Airways Flight 1549, Vernor Vinge, vertical integration, warehouse automation, warehouse robotics, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, William Langewiesche, Y Combinator, zero-sum game

Machine-learning techniques are increasingly good at predicting missing information, including identification and recognition of items in images. Given a new set of images, the techniques can efficiently compare millions of past examples with and without disease and predict whether the new image suggests the presence of a disease. This kind of pattern recognition to predict disease is what radiologists do.4 IBM, with its Watson system, and many startups have already commercialized AI tools in radiology. Watson can identify a pulmonary embolism and a wide range of other heart issues. One startup, Enlitic, uses deep learning to detect lung nodules (a fairly routine exercise) but also fractures (more complex).

See also jobs “Lady Lovelace’s Objection,” 13 Lambrecht, Anja, 196 language translation, 25–27, 107–108 laws of robotics, 115 learning -by-using, 182–183 in the cloud vs. on the ground, 188–189, 202 experience and, 191 in-house and on-the-job, 185 language translation, 26–27 pathways to, 182–184 privacy and data for, 189–190 reinforcement, 13, 145, 183–184 by simulation, 187–188 strategy for, 179–194 supervised, 183 trade-offs in performance and, 181–182 when to deploy and, 184–187 Lederman, Mara, 168–169 Lee, Kai-Fu, 219 Lee Se-dol, 8 legal documents, redacting, 53–54, 68 legal issues, 115–117 Lewis, Michael, 56 Li, Danielle, 58 liability, 117, 195–198 lighting, cost of, 11 London cabbies, 76–78 Lovelace, Ada, 12, 13 Lyft, 88–89 Lytvyn, Max, 96 machine learning, 18 adversarial, 187–188 churn prediction and, 32–36 complexity and, 103–110 from data, 45–47 feedback for, 46–47 flexibility in, 36 judgment and, 83 one-shot, 60 regression compared with, 32–35 statistics and prediction and, 37–40 techniques, 8–9 transformation of prediction by, 37–40 Mailmobile, 103 management AI’s impact on, 3 by exception, 67–68 Mastercard, 25 mathematics, made cheap by computers, 12, 14 Mazda, 124 MBA programs, student recruitment for, 127–129, 133–139 McAfee, Andrew, 91 Mejdal, Sig, 161 Microsoft, 9–10, 176, 180, 202–204, 215, 217 Tay chatbot, 204–205 mining, automation in, 112–114 Misra, Sanjog, 93–94 mobile-first strategy, 179–180 Mobileye, 15 modeling, 99, 100–102 Moneyball (Lewis), 56, 161–162 monitoring of predictions, 66–67 multivariate regression, 33–34 music, digital, 12, 61 Musk, Elon, 209, 210, 221 Mutual Benefit Life, 124–125 Napster, 61 NASA, 14 National Science and Technology Council (NSTC), 222–223 navigation apps, 77–78, 88–90, 106 Netscape, 9–10 neural networks, 13 New Economy, 10 New York City Fire Department, 197 New York Times, 8, 218 Nordhaus, William, 11 Norvig, Peter, 180 Nosko, Chris, 199 Novak, Sharon, 169–170 Numenta, 223 Nymi, 201 Oakland Athletics, 56, 161–162 Obama, Barack, 217–218 objectives, identifying, 139 object recognition, 7, 28–29 Olympics, Rio, 114–115 omitted variables, 62 one-shot learning, 60 On Intelligence (Hawkins), 39 Open AI, 210 optimization, search engine, 64 oracles, 23 organizational structure, 161–162 Osborne, Michael, 149 Otto, 157–158 outcomes in decision making, 74–76, 134–138 job redesign and, 142 outsourcing, 169–170, 171 Page, Larry, 179 Paravisini, Daniel, 66–67 pattern recognition, 145–147 Pavlov, Ivan, 183 payoff calculations, 78–81 in drug discovery, 136 judgment in, 87–88 Pell, Barney, 2 performance, trade-offs between learning and, 181–182, 187 performance reviews, 172–173 photography digital, 14 sports, automation of, 114–115 Pichai, Sundar, 179–180 Piketty, Thomas, 213 Pilbara, Australia, mining in, 112–114 policy, 3, 210 power calculations, 48 prediction, 23–30 about the present, 23–24 behavior affected by, 23 bias in, 34–35 complements to, 15 consequences of cheap, 29 credit card fraud prevention and, 24–25 in decision making, 74–76, 134–138 definition of, 13, 24 by exception, 67–68 human strengths in, 60 human weaknesses in, 54–58 improvements in, 25–29 as intelligence, 2–3, 29, 31–41 in language translation, 25–27 machine weaknesses in, 58–65 made cheap, 13–15 selling, 176–177 techniques, 13 unanticipated correlations and, 36–37 of what a human would do, 95–102 predictive text, 130 preferences, 88–90, 96–97, 98 selling consumer, 176–177 presidential elections, 59 prices effects of reduced AI, 9–11 human judgment in, 100 sales causality and, 63–64 for ZipRecruiter, 93–94 privacy issues, 19, 49, 98 China and, 219–220 country differences in, 219–221 data collection, 189–190 probabilistic programming, 38, 40 processes.


pages: 296 words: 78,631

Hello World: Being Human in the Age of Algorithms by Hannah Fry

23andMe, 3D printing, Air France Flight 447, Airbnb, airport security, algorithmic bias, algorithmic management, augmented reality, autonomous vehicles, backpropagation, Brixton riot, Cambridge Analytica, chief data officer, computer vision, crowdsourcing, DARPA: Urban Challenge, data science, deep learning, DeepMind, Douglas Hofstadter, driverless car, Elon Musk, fake news, Firefox, Geoffrey Hinton, Google Chrome, Gödel, Escher, Bach, Ignaz Semmelweis: hand washing, John Markoff, Mark Zuckerberg, meta-analysis, Northpointe / Correctional Offender Management Profiling for Alternative Sanctions, pattern recognition, Peter Thiel, RAND corporation, ransomware, recommendation engine, ride hailing / ride sharing, selection bias, self-driving car, Shai Danziger, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, Snapchat, sparse data, speech recognition, Stanislav Petrov, statistical model, Stephen Hawking, Steven Levy, systematic bias, TED Talk, Tesla Model S, The Wisdom of Crowds, Thomas Bayes, trolley problem, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, web of trust, William Langewiesche, you are the product

Is it worth prescribing a course of antibiotics to make this boil go away? All are questions of pattern recognition, classification and prediction. Skills that algorithms happen to be very, very good at. Of course, there are many aspects of being a doctor that an algorithm will probably never be able to replicate. Empathy, for one thing. Or the ability to support patients through social, psychological, even financial difficulties. But there are some areas of medicine where algorithms can offer a helping hand. Especially in the roles where medical pattern recognition is found in its purest form and classification and prediction are prized almost to the exclusion of all else.


pages: 268 words: 75,850

The Formula: How Algorithms Solve All Our Problems-And Create More by Luke Dormehl

3D printing, algorithmic bias, algorithmic trading, Alvin Toffler, Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic, augmented reality, big data - Walmart - Pop Tarts, call centre, Cass Sunstein, classic study, Clayton Christensen, commoditize, computer age, death of newspapers, deferred acceptance, disruptive innovation, Edward Lorenz: Chaos theory, Erik Brynjolfsson, Evgeny Morozov, Filter Bubble, Flash crash, Florence Nightingale: pie chart, Ford Model T, Frank Levy and Richard Murnane: The New Division of Labor, fulfillment center, Google Earth, Google Glasses, High speed trading, Internet Archive, Isaac Newton, Jaron Lanier, Jeff Bezos, job automation, John Markoff, Kevin Kelly, Kodak vs Instagram, Lewis Mumford, lifelogging, machine readable, machine translation, Marshall McLuhan, means of production, Nate Silver, natural language processing, Netflix Prize, Panopticon Jeremy Bentham, Paradox of Choice, pattern recognition, price discrimination, recommendation engine, Richard Thaler, Rosa Parks, scientific management, self-driving car, sentiment analysis, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, Slavoj Žižek, social graph, speech recognition, stable marriage problem, Steve Jobs, Steven Levy, Steven Pinker, Stewart Brand, technological determinism, technological solutionism, TED Talk, the long tail, the scientific method, The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver, upwardly mobile, Wall-E, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, Y Combinator

As Rushkoff writes, these series don’t work their magic through a linear plot, but instead create contrasts through association, by nesting screens within screens, and by giving viewers the tools to make connections between various forms of media . . . The beginning, the middle, and the end have almost no meaning. The gist is experienced in each moment as new connections are made and false stories are exposed or reframed. In short, these sorts of shows teach pattern recognition, and they do it in real time.41 Even today’s most popular films no longer exist as unitary entities, but as nodes in larger franchises—with sequels regularly announced even before the first film is shown. It’s no accident that in this setting many of the most popular blockbusters are based on comic-book properties: a medium in which, unlike a novel, plot points are ongoing with little expectation of an ultimate resolution.

Cook County is now one of the best places in the United States at diagnosing chest pain.”4 Recent medical algorithms have been shown to yield equally impressive results in other areas, such as an algorithm able to diagnose for Parkinson’s disease by listening to a person’s voice over the telephone, and another pattern-recognition algorithm able to, quite literally, “sniff” for diseases like cancer. Algorithmizing the World Can everything be subject to algorithmization? There are two ways to answer this question. The first is to approach it purely on a technical level. At present, no, everything cannot be “solved” by an algorithm.


pages: 222 words: 76,854

Art of Learning by Josh Waitzkin

classic study, fear of failure, G4S, Mahatma Gandhi, pattern recognition, South China Sea

As I internalized Tai Chi’s technical foundation, I began to see my chess understanding manifesting itself in the Push Hands game. I was intimate with competition, so offbeat strategic dynamics were in my blood. I would notice structural flaws in someone’s posture, just as I might pick apart a chess position, or I’d play with combinations in a manner people were not familiar with. Pattern recognition was a strength of mine as well, and I quickly picked up on people’s tells. As the months turned into years, my training became more and more vigorous and I learned how to dissolve away from attacks while staying rooted to the ground. It is a sublime feeling when your root kicks in, as if you are not standing on the ground but anchored many feet deep into the earth.

I knew from chess that a superior artist could often get into the head of the opponent, mesmerize him with will or strategic mastery, using what I playfully like to call Jedi Mind Tricks. As far as I understood, the keys to these moments were penetrating insight into what makes the other tick and technical virtuosity that makes the discovery and exploitation invisible to the opponent. On the other hand, Chinese martial arts tend to focus more on energy than pattern recognition. My goal was to find a hybrid—energetic awareness, technical fluidity, and keen psychological perception. Chess meets Tai Chi Chuan. In time, I have come to understand those words, At the opponent’s slightest move, I move first, as pertaining to intention—reading and ultimately controlling intention.


pages: 232 words: 72,483

Immortality, Inc. by Chip Walter

23andMe, Airbnb, Albert Einstein, Arthur D. Levinson, bioinformatics, Buckminster Fuller, cloud computing, CRISPR, data science, disintermediation, double helix, Elon Musk, Isaac Newton, Jeff Bezos, Larry Ellison, Law of Accelerating Returns, life extension, Menlo Park, microbiome, mouse model, pattern recognition, Peter Thiel, phenotype, radical life extension, Ray Kurzweil, Recombinant DNA, Rodney Brooks, self-driving car, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, Snapchat, South China Sea, SpaceShipOne, speech recognition, statistical model, stem cell, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, TED Talk, Thomas Bayes, zero day

He had little interest in academics except as a starting point. He wanted to do things, not just think about them. Make an impact. In time he created nine companies, each one based on his various inventions, like the Kurzweil piano. The seminal concept behind each of these inventions was “pattern recognition,” a concept at the heart of his view of artificial intelligence. Everything to Kurzweil was a pattern, from human consciousness to the sound of a plucked violin string to the letter “B” (what defines the “B”-ness of a “B”?). His inventioneering made him very acceptable sums of money, and also led to an assortment of prestigious prizes: the Lemelson-MIT Prize, Carnegie Mellon’s Dickson Prize, and the Grace Murray Hopper Award.

When Koller developed her cancer gene-mapping techniques at UCSF after receiving her MacArthur grant, the program blasted through data on thousands of genes, and then tested the likelihood that changes created by one gene could be teased out by locating changes in the others. She also developed code that examined the rates at which specific genes within a cell created its corresponding protein, and how that creation depended on signals from proteins encoded by still more genes. All of this sounded a lot like Kurzweil’s pattern-recognition nodes. Both needed to understand context and then react on their own in real time. Kurzweil’s AI nodes were meant to solve a broad range of problems that could eventually lead to immortality. Koller’s algorithms were more specific, delving way, way down into the noisy, and entirely invisible world of organic chemistry by letting the algorithms come up with their own solutions.


pages: 567 words: 122,311

Lean Analytics: Use Data to Build a Better Startup Faster by Alistair Croll, Benjamin Yoskovitz

Airbnb, Amazon Mechanical Turk, Amazon Web Services, Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic, barriers to entry, Bay Area Rapid Transit, Ben Horowitz, bounce rate, business intelligence, call centre, cloud computing, cognitive bias, commoditize, constrained optimization, data science, digital rights, en.wikipedia.org, Firefox, Frederick Winslow Taylor, frictionless, frictionless market, game design, gamification, Google X / Alphabet X, growth hacking, hockey-stick growth, Infrastructure as a Service, Internet of things, inventory management, Kickstarter, lateral thinking, Lean Startup, lifelogging, longitudinal study, Marshall McLuhan, minimum viable product, Network effects, PalmPilot, pattern recognition, Paul Graham, performance metric, place-making, platform as a service, power law, price elasticity of demand, reality distortion field, recommendation engine, ride hailing / ride sharing, rolodex, Salesforce, sentiment analysis, skunkworks, Skype, social graph, social software, software as a service, Steve Jobs, subscription business, telemarketer, the long tail, transaction costs, two-sided market, Uber for X, web application, Y Combinator

While the data you’re collecting at this stage is qualitative, it has to be material enough so that you can honestly say, “Yes, this problem is painful enough that I should go ahead and build a solution.” One customer doesn’t make a market. You can’t speak with a few people, get generic positive feedback, and decide it’s worth jumping in. Signs You’ve Found a Problem Worth Tackling The key to qualitative data is patterns and pattern recognition. Here are a few positive patterns to look out for when interviewing people: They want to pay you right away. They’re actively trying to (or have tried to) solve the problem in question. They talk a lot and ask a lot of questions demonstrating a passion for the problem. They lean forward and are animated (positive body language).

exercise for, The Squeeze Toy optimizing, Model + Stage Drives the Metric You Track picking, Solare Focuses on a Few Key Metrics, Measuring the MVP reasons for using, Moz Tracks Fewer KPIs to Increase Focus, Get Executive Buy-in SEOmoz case study, The Discipline of One Metric That Matters Solare Ristorante case study, Four Reasons to Use the One Metric That Matters squeeze toy aspect of, Drawing Lines in the Sand Open Leadership (Li), Engagement Funnel Changes open rate metric, Mailing List Effectiveness optimization about, Data-Driven Versus Data-Informed constrained, Data-Driven Versus Data-Informed diminishing returns for, What to Do When You Don’t Have a Baseline OMTM and, Model + Stage Drives the Metric You Track revenue, Pricing Metrics Orbitz travel agency, Data-Driven Versus Data-Informed, Pricing Metrics organizational culture, instilling, How to Instill a Culture of Data in Your Company ORID approach, How Rally Builds New Features with a Lean Approach Osterwalder, Alex, The Lean Canvas outliers, pitfalls to avoid, Data-Driven Versus Data-Informed OutSight service, How Coradiant Found a Market Ozzie, Ray, Skunk Works for Intrapreneurs O’Donnell, Christopher, Freemium Versus Paid P P&G (Proctor & Gamble), Stars, Dogs, Cows, and Question Marks PaaS (Platform as a Service) model, Model Two: Software as a Service (SaaS) Pacheco, Carlos, Sharing with Others Pacific Crest study, Paid Enrollment paid engine (engines of growth), Virality Engine paid enrollment fremium models versus, Freemium Versus Paid in SaaS model, Paid Enrollment Palihapitiya, Chamath, Attacking the Leading Indicator, Causality Hacks the Future Parmar, Jay, A/B and Multivariate Testing Parse.ly case study, Customer Lifetime Value > Customer Acquisition Cost Patil, DJ, Incumbents patterns and pattern recognition identifying in people’s feedback, Running Lean and How to Conduct a Good Interview ProductPlanner site, Timehop Experiments with Content Sharing to Achieve Virality qualitative data and, Finding a Problem to Fix (or, How to Validate a Problem) paywall model, Wrinkles: Hidden Affiliates, Background Noise, Ad Blockers, and Paywalls Pelletier-Normand, Alexandre, Model Three: Free Mobile App, Mobile Download Size, Bottom Line penny machine example, Metrics for the Revenue Stage percent active mobile users/players metric, Sincerely Learns the Challenges of Mobile Customer Acquisition percent of flagged listings metric, Conversion Rates and Segmentation percentage of active users/players metric, Model Three: Free Mobile App percentage of mobile users who pay metric, Percent Active Mobile Users/Players percentage of users who pay metric, Model Three: Free Mobile App, Average Revenue Per User Perez, Sarah, Mobile Customer Lifetime Value Photoshop application, The Minimum Viable Vision Picatic site, A/B and Multivariate Testing Pinterest site affiliate relationships and, Wrinkles: Hidden Affiliates, Background Noise, Ad Blockers, and Paywalls e-commerce model and, What Mode of E-commerce Are You?

identifying pain points, Cloud9 IDE Interviews Existing Customers leading the witness in, How to Avoid Leading the Witness looking for patterns in, Finding a Problem to Fix (or, How to Validate a Problem) scoring considerations, How to Avoid Leading the Witness understanding customer’s daily life, A “Day in the Life” of Your Customer Problem-Solution Canvas about, The Minimum Viable Vision Current Status box, The Problem-Solution Canvas Lessons Learned box, The Problem-Solution Canvas Top Problems box, The Problem-Solution Canvas Varsity News Network case study, VNN Uses the Problem-Solution Canvas to Solve Business Problems Proctor & Gamble (P&G), Stars, Dogs, Cows, and Question Marks product plans, How Rally Builds New Features with a Lean Approach product returns metric, Leading Versus Lagging Metrics product type (business model), About Those People ProductPlanner site, Timehop Experiments with Content Sharing to Achieve Virality proof-of-concept trials, Revenue: Direct Sales and Support Pruijn, Ivar, Cloud9 IDE Interviews Existing Customers purchases per year metric, A Practical Example Q qidiq tool case study, Iterating the MVP QRR (quarterly recurring revenue), The Penny Machine qualified leads metric, Leading Versus Lagging Metrics qualitative metrics about, What Makes a Good Metric?, Finding a Problem to Fix (or, How to Validate a Problem) bias in, Running Lean and How to Conduct a Good Interview in Empathy stage, Stage One: Empathy MVP process and, Measuring the MVP patterns and pattern recognition in, Finding a Problem to Fix (or, How to Validate a Problem) quantitative versus, What Makes a Good Metric? trends and, Running Lean and How to Conduct a Good Interview quantitative metrics about, What Makes a Good Metric? getting answers at scale, Finding People to Talk To limitations of, Data-Driven Versus Data-Informed measuring effects of features, Seven Questions to Ask Yourself Before Building a Feature qualitative versus, What Makes a Good Metric?


pages: 685 words: 203,949

The Organized Mind: Thinking Straight in the Age of Information Overload by Daniel J. Levitin

Abraham Maslow, airport security, Albert Einstein, Amazon Mechanical Turk, Anton Chekhov, autism spectrum disorder, Bayesian statistics, behavioural economics, big-box store, business process, call centre, Claude Shannon: information theory, cloud computing, cognitive bias, cognitive load, complexity theory, computer vision, conceptual framework, correlation does not imply causation, crowdsourcing, cuban missile crisis, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, data science, deep learning, delayed gratification, Donald Trump, en.wikipedia.org, epigenetics, Eratosthenes, Exxon Valdez, framing effect, friendly fire, fundamental attribution error, Golden Gate Park, Google Glasses, GPS: selective availability, haute cuisine, How many piano tuners are there in Chicago?, human-factors engineering, if you see hoof prints, think horses—not zebras, impulse control, index card, indoor plumbing, information retrieval, information security, invention of writing, iterative process, jimmy wales, job satisfaction, Kickstarter, language acquisition, Lewis Mumford, life extension, longitudinal study, meta-analysis, more computing power than Apollo, Network effects, new economy, Nicholas Carr, optical character recognition, Pareto efficiency, pattern recognition, phenotype, placebo effect, pre–internet, profit motive, randomized controlled trial, Rubik’s Cube, Salesforce, shared worldview, Sheryl Sandberg, Skype, Snapchat, social intelligence, statistical model, Steve Jobs, supply-chain management, the scientific method, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, The Wisdom of Crowds, theory of mind, Thomas Bayes, traumatic brain injury, Turing test, Twitter Arab Spring, ultimatum game, Wayback Machine, zero-sum game

I recently did clinical rounds with two emergency room doctors who had fifty years of clinical experience between them. There was zero verbal gymnastics or formal logic of the kind that Kahneman and Tversky tout. They just recognize a problem. They have gained skill through extreme reinforcement learning, they become exceptional pattern recognition systems. This application of pattern recognition is easy to understand in a radiologist looking at X-rays. But it is also true of any great clinician. They can generate extremely accurate Bayesian probabilities based on years of experience, combined with good use of tests, a physical exam, and a patient history.” A good doctor will have been exposed to thousands of cases that form a rich statistical history (Bayesians call this a prior distribution) on which they can construct a belief around a new patient.

Automatic object recognition applied to Where’s Waldo? Aerospace and Electronics Conference (NAECON), 2012 IEEE National, 117–120. and, Garg, R., Seitz, S. M., Ramanan, D., & Snavely, N. (2011, June). Where’s Waldo: Matching people in images of crowds. Proceedings of the 24th IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition, 1793–1800. Wikipedia is an example of crowdsourcing Ayers, P., Matthews, C., & Yates, B. (2008). How Wikipedia works: And how you can be a part of it. San Francisco, CA: No Starch Press, p. 514. More than 4.5 million people Kickstarter, Inc. (2014). Seven things to know about Kickstarter.

See brain physiology news media, 338–40 Newton, Isaac, 162 New Yorker, 120, 336 New York Times, 6, 339, 365 Nietzsche, Friedrich, 375 Nixon, Richard, 201 NMDA receptor, 167 nonlinear thinking and perception, 38, 215, 217–18, 262, 380 Norman, Don, 35 number needed to treat metric, 236, 240, 247, 264, 264 Obama, Barack, 219, 303 object permanence, 24 Office of Presidential Correspondence, 303 Olds, James, 101 Old Testament, 151 O’Neal, Shaquille, 352–53 One Hundred Names for Love (Ackerman), 364–65 online dating, 130–34, 422n130, 423n132 optical character recognition (OCR), 93, 119, 119 optimal information, 308–10 orders of magnitude, 354–55, 358–59, 361, 363, 400n7 organizational structure, 271–76, 315–18, 470n315, 471n317 Otellini, Paul, 380–81 Overbye, Dennis, 6, 19 Oxford English Dictionary, 114 Oxford Filing Supply Company, 93–94 Page, Jimmy, 174 pair-bonding, 128, 142 paperwork, 293–306 Pareto optimality, 269 parking tickets, 237, 451n237 Parkinson’s disease, 167–68 passwords, xx, 103–5 Patel, Shreena, 258 paternalism, medical, 245, 257 pattern recognition, 28, 249 Patton, George S., 73–74 peak performance, 167, 189, 191–92, 203, 206 Peer Instruction (Mazur), 367 perfectionism, 174, 199–200 periodic table of elements, 372–73, 373, 480n372 Perry, Bruce, 56 Peterson, Jennifer, 368 pharmaceuticals, 256–57, 343, 345–46 Picasso, Pablo, 283 Pierce, John R., 73 Pirsig, Robert, 69–73, 89, 295–97, 300 placebo effect, 253, 255 place memory, 82–83, 106, 293–94 planning, 43, 161, 174–75, 319–26 Plato, 14, 58, 65–66 plausibility, 350, 352, 478n352 Plimpton, George, 200 Plutarch, 340 Poldrack, Russ, 97 Polya, George, 357 Ponzo illusion, 21, 22 positron emission tomography (PET), 40 prediction, 344–45 prefrontal cortex, 161 Area 47, 287 and attention, 16–17, 43, 45–46 and changing behaviors, 176 and children’s television, 368 and creative time, 202, 210 and decision-making, 277, 282 and flow state, 203, 207 and information overload, 8 and literary fiction, 367 and manager/worker distinction, 176 and multitasking, 96, 98, 307 and procrastination, 197, 198, 200–201 and sleep, 187 and task switching, 171–72 and time organization, 161, 165–66, 174, 180 See also brain physiology preselection effect, 331, 343 Presidential Committee on Information Literacy, 365 primacy effect, 55, 408n56 primates, 17–18, 125–26, 135 Prince, 174 Princeton Theological Seminary, 145–46 prior distributions, 249 prioritization, 5–7, 33–35, 379–80 probability.


Four Battlegrounds by Paul Scharre

2021 United States Capitol attack, 3D printing, active measures, activist lawyer, AI winter, AlphaGo, amateurs talk tactics, professionals talk logistics, artificial general intelligence, ASML, augmented reality, Automated Insights, autonomous vehicles, barriers to entry, Berlin Wall, Big Tech, bitcoin, Black Lives Matter, Boeing 737 MAX, Boris Johnson, Brexit referendum, business continuity plan, business process, carbon footprint, chief data officer, Citizen Lab, clean water, cloud computing, commoditize, computer vision, coronavirus, COVID-19, crisis actor, crowdsourcing, DALL-E, data is not the new oil, data is the new oil, data science, deep learning, deepfake, DeepMind, Demis Hassabis, Deng Xiaoping, digital map, digital rights, disinformation, Donald Trump, drone strike, dual-use technology, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, endowment effect, fake news, Francis Fukuyama: the end of history, future of journalism, future of work, game design, general purpose technology, Geoffrey Hinton, geopolitical risk, George Floyd, global supply chain, GPT-3, Great Leap Forward, hive mind, hustle culture, ImageNet competition, immigration reform, income per capita, interchangeable parts, Internet Archive, Internet of things, iterative process, Jeff Bezos, job automation, Kevin Kelly, Kevin Roose, large language model, lockdown, Mark Zuckerberg, military-industrial complex, move fast and break things, Nate Silver, natural language processing, new economy, Nick Bostrom, one-China policy, Open Library, OpenAI, PalmPilot, Parler "social media", pattern recognition, phenotype, post-truth, purchasing power parity, QAnon, QR code, race to the bottom, RAND corporation, recommendation engine, reshoring, ride hailing / ride sharing, robotic process automation, Rodney Brooks, Rubik’s Cube, self-driving car, Shoshana Zuboff, side project, Silicon Valley, slashdot, smart cities, smart meter, Snapchat, social software, sorting algorithm, South China Sea, sparse data, speech recognition, Steve Bannon, Steven Levy, Stuxnet, supply-chain attack, surveillance capitalism, systems thinking, tech worker, techlash, telemarketer, The Brussels Effect, The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver, TikTok, trade route, TSMC

Traditional defense contractors like Lockheed Martin or Northrop Grumman could make a stealth airplane, but the leaders in computer vision were tech companies like Google and Microsoft. DoD was largely flying in the dark with these relationships. That’s where Brendan came in. In July 2017, McCord traveled with Maven leads Lieutenant General Jack Shanahan, Colonel Drew Cukor, and Air Force Colonel Jason Brown to Honolulu to the Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition conference to meet with some of the top minds on computer vision. They also pitched Google, who would go on later that year to join Maven as one of its biggest partners. Brendan was a former submarine officer who’d gone on to work at a venture capital firm and then a tech start-up, leading their AI team.

., https://cmo.defense.gov/Resources/Deputys-Management-Action-Group/. 56“No one in the Pentagon thought it was a good idea”: Roper, interview. 56“computer vision algorithms for object detection”: Robert Work, “Establishment of an Algorithmic Warfare Cross-Functional Team (Project Maven),” memorandum, April 26, 2017, https://dodcio.defense.gov/Portals/0/Documents/Project%20Maven%20DSD%20Memo%2020170425.pdf. 56“integrate algorithmic-based technology”: Work, “Establishment of an Algorithmic Warfare Cross-Functional Team (Project Maven).” 57Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition conference: McCord, interview. 57“Secretary Carter talk[ed] about the need for DoD to get serious”: McCord, interview. 57“largest dataset for object detection”: McCord, interview. 57an AI-based image classifier that could detect thirty-eight different classes of objects: Cheryl Pellerin, “Project Maven to Deploy Computer Algorithms to War Zone by Year’s End,” news release, US Department of Defense, July 21, 2017, https://www.defense.gov/Explore/News/Article/Article/1254719/project-maven-to-deploy-computer-algorithms-to-war-zone-by-years-end/; Marcus Weisgerber, “The Pentagon’s New Artificial Intelligence Is Already Hunting Terrorists,” Defense One, December 21, 2017, https://www.defenseone.com/technology/2017/12/pentagons-new-artificial-intelligence-already-hunting-terrorists/144742/. 58“We have a large group of people”: Pellerin, “Project Maven to Deploy Computer Algorithms.” 58Bob Work declassified the drone video footage: Work, interview. 58over a million labeled images: Michel, Eyes in the Sky; Gregory C.

Goodfellow, Jonathon Shlens, and Christian Szegedy, “Explaining and Harnessing Adversarial Examples” (paper presented at ICLR 2015, San Diego, CA, May 7–9, 2015), https://arxiv.org/pdf/1412.6572.pdf. 239Some look, to a human, like abstract patterns: Anh Nguyen, Jason Yosinski, and Jeff Clune, “Deep Neural Networks are Easily Fooled: High Confidence Predictions for Unrecognizable Images” (presented at Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition, Boston, MA, 2015), https://arxiv.org/pdf/1412.1897.pdf. 239Adversarial Examples: Nguyen, Yosinski, and Clune, “Deep Neural Networks are Easily Fooled.” 239subtle ways that a human can’t see: Szegedy et al., Intriguing Properties of Neural Networks; Goodfellow, Shlens, and Szegedy, “Explaining and Harnessing Adversarial Examples.” 240“black box” attacks: Papernot et al., SoK; Nicolas Papernot, Patrick McDaniel, and Ian Goodfellow, Transferability in Machine Learning: From Phenomena to Black-Box Attacks Using Adversarial Samples (arXiv.org, May 24, 2016), https://arxiv.org/pdf/1605.07277.pdf. 241Adversarial examples are transferable: Goodfellow, Shlens, and Szegedy, “Explaining and Harnessing Adversarial Examples”; Papernot et al., SoK; Papernot, McDaniel, and Goodfellow, Transferability in Machine Learning; Vahid Behzadan and Arslan Munir, Vulnerability of Deep Reinforcement Learning to Policy Induction Attacks (arXiv.org, January 16, 2017), https://arxiv.org/pdf/1701.04143.pdf; Sandy Huang et al., Adversarial Attacks on Neural Network Policies (arXiv.org, February 8, 2017), https://arxiv.org/pdf/1702.02284.pdf. 241attacks against image classifiers using printed pictures: Alexey Kurakin, Ian J.


pages: 302 words: 86,614

The Alpha Masters: Unlocking the Genius of the World's Top Hedge Funds by Maneet Ahuja, Myron Scholes, Mohamed El-Erian

"World Economic Forum" Davos, activist fund / activist shareholder / activist investor, Alan Greenspan, Asian financial crisis, asset allocation, asset-backed security, backtesting, Bear Stearns, Bernie Madoff, book value, Bretton Woods, business process, call centre, Carl Icahn, collapse of Lehman Brothers, collateralized debt obligation, computerized trading, corporate governance, credit crunch, Credit Default Swap, credit default swaps / collateralized debt obligations, diversification, Donald Trump, en.wikipedia.org, family office, financial engineering, fixed income, global macro, high net worth, high-speed rail, impact investing, interest rate derivative, Isaac Newton, Jim Simons, junk bonds, Long Term Capital Management, managed futures, Marc Andreessen, Mark Zuckerberg, merger arbitrage, Michael Milken, Myron Scholes, NetJets, oil shock, pattern recognition, Pershing Square Capital Management, Ponzi scheme, proprietary trading, quantitative easing, quantitative trading / quantitative finance, Renaissance Technologies, risk-adjusted returns, risk/return, rolodex, Savings and loan crisis, short selling, Silicon Valley, South Sea Bubble, statistical model, Steve Jobs, stock buybacks, systematic bias, systematic trading, tail risk, two and twenty, zero-sum game

For Loeb, having an MBA isn’t as critical as having the training. New hires need about two or three years of experience in a field other than the public investment world, like mergers and acquisitions. “I don’t like the word ‘instinct,’” says Loeb, “because it just sounds like a gut thing. I think what we call instinct is really a type of pattern recognition, which comes from experience looking at the companies and industries and situations that work.” Loeb looks for another quality as well: success at something other than work and school. “We’ve had a lot of excellent musicians and athletes here,” he says. “I don’t want to dismiss the importance of academic credentials, but we want bright people who are really diligent and hardworking, but also have real tenacity and grit who enjoy what they do and have an incredible passion for investing.”

So, there’s disproportionate risk and disproportionate reward. Chanos says: “We have a different approach, one in which the partners generate ideas—an investment theme, let’s say—and the analysts help to validate, build upon, or disprove those ideas. Our approach encourages intellectual curiosity, collaboration, and an openness.” Chanos thinks pattern recognition is important and something that simply takes experience, which is one reason why he tasks the firm’s partners with originating the ideas. The partners have extensive experience in seeing patterns in odd-looking financial or press statements, for example. Through their mosaic of experience and wisdom, they are in the strongest position to decide what strategies to explore and not get distracted by the markets’ daily vagaries.


pages: 519 words: 142,646

Track Changes by Matthew G. Kirschenbaum

active measures, Alvin Toffler, Apollo 11, Apple II, Apple's 1984 Super Bowl advert, Bill Gates: Altair 8800, Buckminster Fuller, Charles Babbage, commoditize, computer age, Computer Lib, corporate governance, David Brooks, dematerialisation, Donald Knuth, Douglas Hofstadter, Dynabook, East Village, en.wikipedia.org, feminist movement, forensic accounting, future of work, Future Shock, Google Earth, Gödel, Escher, Bach, Haight Ashbury, HyperCard, Jason Scott: textfiles.com, Joan Didion, John Markoff, John von Neumann, Kickstarter, low earth orbit, machine readable, machine translation, mail merge, Marshall McLuhan, Mother of all demos, Neal Stephenson, New Journalism, Norman Mailer, off-the-grid, pattern recognition, pink-collar, planned obsolescence, popular electronics, Project Xanadu, RAND corporation, rolodex, Ronald Reagan, scientific management, self-driving car, Shoshana Zuboff, Silicon Valley, social web, Stephen Fry, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, Steven Levy, Stewart Brand, systems thinking, tacit knowledge, technoutopianism, Ted Nelson, TED Talk, text mining, thinkpad, Turing complete, Vannevar Bush, Whole Earth Catalog, Y2K, Year of Magical Thinking

This is a common enough problem for digital preservationists; at Emory they solved it by using the VideoWRITER to access the diskettes one last time, printing out hard copies of the scores of documents they contained, including drafts of the poems in many of her most important books.34 “I am negotiating to buy Stephen King’s Wang,” deadpans a character named Ngemi, a collector and connoisseur of antiquarian computers in William Gibson’s novel Pattern Recognition (2003). “The provenance is immaculate.”35 Alas, the line is a throwaway: a few years ago I spoke with King’s longtime personal assistant, Marsha DeFilippo, and inquired about the Wang’s fate—apparently it was sent to California (she thinks) for repair and never came back.36 Somewhere along the way this venerable talisman met with misadventure, or maybe, simply, finally, just gave up the ghost.

Details in these last three paragraphs are based on my email correspondence with Milward-Oliver, Ellenor Handley, and the anonymous collector, March–September, 2013. 34. As described in the online finding aid for Clifton’s papers at MARBL. The hard copies were in turn scanned in order to create searchable PDF files for researchers to access. See findingaids.library.emory.edu/documents/clifton1054/series11/. 35. William Gibson, Pattern Recognition (New York: Putnam, 2002), 216. 36. Marsha DeFilippo, interview with the author, March 20, 2012. 37. Lev Grossman, “Jonathan Franzen: Great American Novelist,” Time, August 12, 2010, http://content.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,2010185,00.html. 38. Jacques Derrida, “The Word Processor,” in Paper Machine, trans.

., 109–110, 288n78 Franzen, Jonathan, 31, 214 Frayn, Michael, 38, 115 FRESS, 121 Friden Flexowriter, 120 Fried, Michael, 185 Friedman, Ted, 296n4 Fuller, Matthew, 205, 236 Funkhouser, Christopher T., 270n57, 307n45 Galey, Alan, 257n42, 302n85 García Márquez, Gabriel, 208, 216 Gass, William, 46, 163 Gerrold, David, 93, 95, 113, 114, 244 Gibson, William, 114–116, 130, 190, 191, 192, 290; Difference Engine, 115, 190; Mona Lisa Overdrive, 115; Neuromancer, 114, 115, 311n45; Pattern Recognition, 214 Gillis, Peter, 195, 311n45 Gingrich, Newt, 96, 283n17 Gitelman, Lisa, 16, 159, 301n77 Glad, Burton, 263n62 Gleick, James, 23, 262n62 Glitches (“bugs”), 62, 69, 72, 100, 105, 207 Goldsmith, Kenneth, 16, 204–205, 315n83 Google: Books, xiv; Docs, 4, 239, 242; Earth, 27 Gorey, Edward, 167 Gottlieb, Nanette, 252n9 Graham, Jorie, 20 Grahame-Smith, Seth, 191–192, 194 Grahn, Judy, 54–55 Graphical user interface, 10, 55, 127, 128, 142 Greenspan, Ezra, xii, xiii Grose, Jessica, 308n8 Grusin, Richard, 19 Guillory, John, 16 Gulliver’s Travels, 40 Gunn, Eileen, 110–111 Guzzardi, Peter, 221, 321n72 Gypsy (application), 127, 129, 130, 141, 235 Gysin, Brion, 179 Haas, Christina, 10, 25, 29 Haigh, Thomas, xi, 34, 144, 155, 175, 293n23 HAL 9000, 69, 70, 93, 94, 115 Halderman, Joe, 102 Hall, Donald, 253n17 Hammond, Ray, 15, 16, 37, 161, 236 Handley, Ellenor, 167, 171, 180–183, 212–213, 234, 245, 317n32 Hanks, Tom, 18, 240 Harper, Richard H.


pages: 548 words: 147,919

How Everything Became War and the Military Became Everything: Tales From the Pentagon by Rosa Brooks

airport security, Albert Einstein, Berlin Wall, big-box store, clean water, cognitive dissonance, continuation of politics by other means, different worldview, disruptive innovation, driverless car, drone strike, Edward Snowden, facts on the ground, failed state, illegal immigration, information security, Internet Archive, John Markoff, Mark Zuckerberg, moral panic, no-fly zone, Oklahoma City bombing, operational security, pattern recognition, Peace of Westphalia, personalized medicine, RAND corporation, Silicon Valley, South China Sea, technological determinism, Timothy McVeigh, Turing test, unemployed young men, Valery Gerasimov, Wall-E, War on Poverty, WikiLeaks, Yochai Benkler

This has led to an increase in so-called signature strikes: drone strikes against unidentified people presumed to be targetable enemies because of their communications patterns and travel patterns.69 The post-9/11 USA PATRIOT Act effectively eliminated the pre-9/11 firewall between foreign intelligence gathering and domestic law enforcement.70 Today, law enforcement officials can access a wide range of sensitive information (including Internet records, telephone metadata, library records, and credit and banking information of U.S. citizens) as long as they can show “reasonable grounds to believe that the tangible things sought are relevant to an authorized investigation . . . to obtain foreign intelligence information not concerning a United States person or to protect against international terrorism or clandestine intelligence activities.”71 This has benefits, but it’s also easy to imagine information gained in this manner—say, evidence of extramarital affairs or psychiatric treatment—being repurposed by law enforcement officials to put pressure on potential witnesses or informants in nonterrorism-related cases.72 Similarly, the sophisticated pattern recognition technologies originally developed for military and intelligence purposes can also easily be used by domestic law enforcement officials. Imagine, for instance, the police use of drone-based imaging technologies such as the military’s Gorgon Stare, a platform that permits the visualization and videotaping of whole neighborhoods.

Police will soon have the ability to use such technologies to track the movements and communications of thousands of people, searching for those whose travel patterns suggest links to gang activity.73 The trouble is, these powerful new technologies can also introduce powerful new errors, leading to faulty guilt-by-association assumptions. Say pattern recognition technologies determine that the same unidentified man is repeatedly driving to, from, and between the houses of known gang members, or telephone metadata indicate frequent calls between the man and the known gang members. The data might be assumed to indicate that the unidentified man is part of a criminal network—but in reality, he might simply be the pizza delivery guy.

Lee, “Here’s How Phone Metadata Can Reveal Your Affairs, Abortions, and Other Secrets,” Washington Post, August 27, 2013, www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-switch/wp/2013/08/27/heres-how-phone-metadata-can-reveal-your-affairs-abortions-and-other-secrets. 73. Imagine, for instance, the use of pattern recognition technologies to identify, investigate, and potentially entrap users of prohibited drugs. See generally Marc Jonathan Blitz, “Video Surveillance and the Constitution of Public Space: Fitting the Fourth Amendment to a World That Tracks Image and Identity,” 82 Texas Law Review 1349, 1351–52 (2004). 74.


pages: 499 words: 148,160

Market Wizards: Interviews With Top Traders by Jack D. Schwager

"RICO laws" OR "Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations", Alan Greenspan, Albert Einstein, asset allocation, backtesting, beat the dealer, Bretton Woods, business cycle, buy and hold, commodity trading advisor, computerized trading, conceptual framework, delta neutral, Edward Thorp, Elliott wave, fixed income, implied volatility, index card, junk bonds, locking in a profit, margin call, market bubble, market fundamentalism, Market Wizards by Jack D. Schwager, Michael Milken, money market fund, Nixon triggered the end of the Bretton Woods system, pattern recognition, Paul Samuelson, Ralph Nelson Elliott, random walk, Reminiscences of a Stock Operator, short selling, Teledyne, transaction costs, uptick rule, yield curve, zero-sum game

The more a market is the product of nonspeculative activity, the greater the significance of technical breakouts. Has the greatly increased use of computerized trend-following systems increased the frequency of false technical signals? I think so. The fact that there are billions of dollars out there trading on technical systems that use moving averages or other simple pattern recognition approaches helps produce many more false signals. I have developed similar systems myself, so that I can tell when the other systems are going to kick in. If it is clear that prices are moving because these billions are kicking into the market, it is a lot less interesting than if a breakout occurs because the Russians are buying.

Eventually, as I became more confident of trading with the trend, and more able to ignore the news, I became more comfortable with the approach. Also, as I continued to incorporate more “expert trader rules,” my system became more compatible with my trading style. What is your trading style? My style is basically trend following, with some special pattern recognition and money management algorithms. Without divulging trade secrets, how have you been able to so spectacularly outperform standard trend-following systems? The key to long-term survival and prosperity has a lot to do with the money management techniques incorporated into the technical system.

The concept of overbought/oversold is also often used in association with contrary opinion to describe when a large majority of traders are bullish or bearish. Outright position. A net long or short position (as opposed to spreads and arbitrage trades, in which positions are counterbalanced by opposite positions in related instruments). Pattern recognition. A price-forecasting method that uses historical chart patterns to draw analogies to current situations. Pit. The area where a futures contract is traded on the exchange floor. Also sometimes called the ring. Portfolio insurance. See Appendix 1. Position limit. See limit position. Price/earnings (P/E) ratio.


pages: 103 words: 24,033

The Immigrant Exodus: Why America Is Losing the Global Race to Capture Entrepreneurial Talent by Vivek Wadhwa

card file, corporate governance, crowdsourcing, Elon Musk, immigration reform, Marc Andreessen, open economy, open immigration, pattern recognition, Ray Kurzweil, Sand Hill Road, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, software as a service, synthetic biology, the new new thing, Y2K

Maptia, built by a team of geographers, economists, and coders who are British, Chinese, and Swiss seeks to revolutionize online mapping technology to allow brands and individuals to capture untapped value inherent in geotagged visual content. Andean Designs, with the team hailing from India, seeks to create designer ceramics based on Andean culture. Biometry Cloud, with a team from Chile, is selling cloud-based pattern-recognition web services, APIs, and libraries for mobile devices. The company Dr. Busca, with a team from Brazil, allows patients to book doctor appointments online from mobile devices. Start-Up Chile has attracted a number of entrepreneurs from the United States, as well. H2020 uses mobile phones to collect and map water data to help communities and industries understand the dynamics of their water resources.


pages: 346 words: 92,984

The Lucky Years: How to Thrive in the Brave New World of Health by David B. Agus

"World Economic Forum" Davos, active transport: walking or cycling, Affordable Care Act / Obamacare, Albert Einstein, Apollo 11, autism spectrum disorder, butterfly effect, clean water, cognitive dissonance, CRISPR, crowdsourcing, Danny Hillis, Drosophila, Edward Jenner, Edward Lorenz: Chaos theory, en.wikipedia.org, epigenetics, fake news, Kickstarter, Larry Ellison, longitudinal study, Marc Benioff, medical residency, meta-analysis, microbiome, microcredit, mouse model, Murray Gell-Mann, Neil Armstrong, New Journalism, nocebo, parabiotic, pattern recognition, personalized medicine, phenotype, placebo effect, publish or perish, randomized controlled trial, risk tolerance, Salesforce, statistical model, stem cell, Steve Jobs, Thomas Malthus, wikimedia commons

Which is how art experts can often assess the authenticity of a work of art in an instant, getting an actual physical feeling as they look at a sculpture or painting. Something in their gut tells them this is the real thing or a rip-off. The reason I’m sharing all this detail about spurious art and the experts who argue over what they see is that the subject of objectivity and artistry—and pattern recognition—is relevant in health. We all establish patterns of behavior, or habits, that play into our health and the path that our health takes. And we all have hunch power: the ability to know instinctively what we should be doing to lead healthy, strong lives. These two characteristics—habits and intuition—are ultimately what make us human and will allow us to capitalize on the Lucky Years.

., 28, 116 New York Academy of Medicine, 2 New York Cancer Hospital, 28 see also Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center New York University, 204 New Zealand, 45, 46 Nexium (esomeprazole), 86 night blindness, 235 NIH Human Microbiome Project, 120 Nike, 199 Nobel Peace Prize, 232 Nobel Prize, 33, 34, 102 “nocebo” effect, 165 noncommunicable diseases, premature deaths from, 130, 131, 132 Northeastern University, 68 Northwestern University, 41 Norton, Larry, 60–61, 62 Nottingham, University of, 87 Nurses’ Health Study, 142–43, 216–17 nursing college, 235 nutritional studies, 161–69 honesty and, 162 lack of reliable data from, 162–63, 164 Nyhan, Brendan, 157, 158, 160 Obama, Barack, 11, 114, 115, 117 obesity and overweight, 22, 47, 121, 122, 123, 147, 188, 194, 215 breast cancer and, 133 chronic disease and, 141 honesty about, 132–34 obsessive-compulsive disorder (OCD), 122 Obstetrics & Gynecology, 132–33 Olser Library of Medicine (McGill University), 73 omega-3 fatty acids, 182–83 omeprazole (Prilosec), 86 “On Lines and Planes of Closest Fit to Systems of Points in Space” (Pearson), 95 Only the Paranoid Survive (Grove), 7 open-access model, 179 opioids, 145 optimism, health and, 65–69 Oregon, University of, 199 Oregon Health & Science University, 109 Ornish, Dean, 166–68 Osler, William, 15, 37, 71–73, 72, 73, 75, 126, 145, 153, 223 Othello (Shakespeare), 202 Ottawa, University of, 183 overweight, see obesity and overweight Oxford University, 216 oxidative stress, 175 oxytocin, 211 p53 gene, 57–58 pain relievers, risks of, 145–46 Paleo diet, 142, 163 parabiosis, 1–4, 3, 21 parasites, spread of, 103 Parkinson’s disease, 59, 108, 163 pattern recognition, 227 PD-L1, 29–30 Pearson, Karl, 95 Pediatric MATCH, 117 Pediatrics, 133 pelvic bone cancer, 176 Pennington Biomedical Research Center, 192 Pennsylvania, University of, 73, 75 Perelman School of Medicine at, 208 perceptual intuition, 228–29 personalized medicine, see precision medicine Peto, Richard, 57 Peto’s paradox, 57 PET (positron-emission tomography) scan, 230 pharmaceutical industry, 166 drug prices and, 56–57, 115–17 public distrust of, 18, 19, 69, 157 pharmacogenomics, precision medicine and, 115 phenylalanine, 12 phenylketonuria (PKU), 12 Philosophical magazine, 95 physical activity, 140 physicians: house calls by, 80 public distrust of, 17–19, 157 pit latrines, 234 Pittsburgh, University of, 196, 214 placebos, 53 plaques, 183 plasma transfusions, 4–5 plate discipline, 204 Plato, 185 PLOS Medicine, 178 pneumonia, 161 polio virus, in immunotherapy, 30, 31 Pope, Frank, 2 population growth, technology and, 27 portable electronic devices, health care and, 79, 90–91 Post hoc, ergo propter hoc fallacy, 156 precision medicine, 8, 20, 36, 102–25 art vs. science in, 112, 118 cancer treatment and, 115 context and, 114–15, 117 cost of, 56–57 historical roots of, 113 pharmacogenomics and, 115 technology and, 37–70 Precision Medicine Initiative, 114, 117 “Predictability: Does the Flap of a Butterfly’s Wings in Brazil Set Off a Tornado in Texas?”


pages: 353 words: 91,520

Most Likely to Succeed: Preparing Our Kids for the Innovation Era by Tony Wagner, Ted Dintersmith

affirmative action, Airbnb, Albert Einstein, Bernie Sanders, Clayton Christensen, creative destruction, David Brooks, driverless car, en.wikipedia.org, Frederick Winslow Taylor, future of work, immigration reform, income inequality, index card, Jeff Bezos, jimmy wales, Joi Ito, Khan Academy, Kickstarter, knowledge economy, knowledge worker, language acquisition, low skilled workers, Lyft, Mark Zuckerberg, means of production, new economy, One Laptop per Child (OLPC), pattern recognition, Paul Graham, Peter Thiel, Ponzi scheme, pre–internet, school choice, Silicon Valley, Skype, Steven Pinker, TaskRabbit, TED Talk, the scientific method, two and twenty, uber lyft, unpaid internship, Y Combinator

They were needed for numerous professions—surveyors, furniture-makers, architects, merchant marine officers, military personnel, scientists, and engineers—that were vital to our nation’s economy and security. And in some situations, lives depended on the ability to perform low-level operations quickly, error free, under immense time pressure. * * * 20th-Century Model: Math Skills Needed to Succeed * * * Memorization of low-level procedures Pattern recognition Ability to perform calculations by hand Speed Accuracy Ability to perform well under time pressure * * * Our present-day math curriculum was established during the heyday of the slide rule. Invented by Reverend William Oughtred four hundred years ago, this device enables a slide rule whiz to perform multiplication, division, exponentials, logs, and trig functions on hairy numbers.

Give feedback on their ability to present and defend their work. We just can’t rank their work on a bell curve against that of millions of peers. * * * 21st-Century Model Math Skills Needed to Succeed * * * Deeply understanding the problem Structuring the problem and representing it symbolically Creative problem-solving Pattern recognition to understand which math “tools” are relevant Adept use of available computational resources Critical evaluation of first-pass results Estimation, statistics, and decision-making Taking chances, risking failure, and iterating to refine and perfect Synthesizing results Presenting/communicating complex quantitative information Collaboration Asking questions about complex quantitative information * * * Our math priorities affect the futures of millions.


pages: 357 words: 95,986

Inventing the Future: Postcapitalism and a World Without Work by Nick Srnicek, Alex Williams

3D printing, additive manufacturing, air freight, algorithmic trading, anti-work, antiwork, back-to-the-land, banking crisis, basic income, battle of ideas, blockchain, Boris Johnson, Bretton Woods, business cycle, call centre, capital controls, capitalist realism, carbon footprint, carbon tax, Cass Sunstein, centre right, collective bargaining, crowdsourcing, cryptocurrency, David Graeber, decarbonisation, deep learning, deindustrialization, deskilling, Doha Development Round, Elon Musk, Erik Brynjolfsson, Evgeny Morozov, Ferguson, Missouri, financial independence, food miles, Francis Fukuyama: the end of history, full employment, future of work, gender pay gap, general purpose technology, housing crisis, housing justice, income inequality, industrial robot, informal economy, intermodal, Internet Archive, job automation, John Maynard Keynes: Economic Possibilities for our Grandchildren, John Maynard Keynes: technological unemployment, Kickstarter, Kiva Systems, late capitalism, liberation theology, Live Aid, low skilled workers, manufacturing employment, market design, Martin Wolf, mass immigration, mass incarceration, means of production, megaproject, minimum wage unemployment, Modern Monetary Theory, Mont Pelerin Society, Murray Bookchin, neoliberal agenda, New Urbanism, Occupy movement, oil shale / tar sands, oil shock, Overton Window, patent troll, pattern recognition, Paul Samuelson, Philip Mirowski, post scarcity, post-Fordism, post-work, postnationalism / post nation state, precariat, precautionary principle, price stability, profit motive, public intellectual, quantitative easing, reshoring, Richard Florida, rising living standards, road to serfdom, Robert Gordon, Ronald Reagan, Second Machine Age, secular stagnation, self-driving car, Slavoj Žižek, social web, stakhanovite, Steve Jobs, surplus humans, synthetic biology, tacit knowledge, technological determinism, the built environment, The Chicago School, The Future of Employment, the long tail, Tyler Cowen, Tyler Cowen: Great Stagnation, universal basic income, wages for housework, warehouse automation, We are all Keynesians now, We are the 99%, women in the workforce, working poor, working-age population

These are tasks that computers are perfectly suited to accomplish once a programmer has created the appropriate software, leading to a drastic reduction in the numbers of routine manual and cognitive jobs over the past four decades.22 The result has been a polarisation of the labour market, since many middle-wage, mid-skilled jobs are routine, and therefore subject to automation.23 Across both North America and Western Europe, the labour market is now characterised by a predominance of workers in low-skilled, low-wage manual and service jobs (for example, fast-food, retail, transport, hospitality and warehouse workers), along with a smaller number of workers in high-skilled, high-wage, non-routine cognitive jobs.24 The most recent wave of automation is poised to change this distribution of the labour market drastically, as it comes to encompass every aspect of the economy: data collection (radio-frequency identification, big data); new kinds of production (the flexible production of robots,25 additive manufacturing,26 automated fast food); services (AI customer assistance, care for the elderly); decision-making (computational models, software agents); financial allocation (algorithmic trading); and especially distribution (the logistics revolution, self-driving cars,27 drone container ships and automated warehouses).28 In every single function of the economy – from production to distribution to management to retail – we see large-scale tendencies towards automation.29 This latest wave of automation is predicated upon algorithmic enhancements (particularly in machine learning and deep learning), rapid developments in robotics and exponential growth in computing power (the source of big data) that are coalescing into a ‘second machine age’ that is transforming the range of tasks that machines can fulfil.30 It is creating an era that is historically unique in a number of ways. New pattern-recognition technologies are rendering both routine and non-routine tasks subject to automation: complex communication technologies are making computers better than humans at certain skilled-knowledge tasks, and advances in robotics are rapidly making technology better at a wide variety of manual-labour tasks.31 For instance, self-driving cars involve the automation of non-routine manual tasks, and non-routine cognitive tasks such as writing news stories or researching legal precedents are now being accomplished by robots.32 The scope of these developments means that everyone from stock analysts to construction workers to chefs to journalists is vulnerable to being replaced by machines.33 Workers who move symbols on a screen are as at risk as those moving goods around a warehouse.

Likewise, while an automated transport system may not be subject to driver strikes, it may be open to strikes by programmers and IT technicians, as well as being more susceptible to blockades, because of the technical limitations of self-driving cars. These vehicles function by reducing environmental variation, making them ‘more akin to a train running on invisible tracks’.80 The intentional manipulation of the environment is therefore likely to be particularly disruptive. Equally, the use of pattern recognition algorithms in various tasks (e.g., diagnostics, emotion- and face-detection, surveillance) is highly susceptible to disruption.81 A technical understanding of machines like these is essential to understanding how to interrupt them, and any future left must be as technically fluent as it is politically fluent.


pages: 366 words: 87,916

Fluent Forever: How to Learn Any Language Fast and Never Forget It by Gabriel Wyner

card file, crowdsourcing, en.wikipedia.org, index card, Kevin Kelly, Kickstarter, language acquisition, machine translation, meta-analysis, Nelson Mandela, pattern recognition, Ralph Waldo Emerson, Ronald Reagan, Skype, spaced repetition, Steve Jobs, Steven Pinker, Yogi Berra

These tests are as basic as they get—they play a recording (“lock”) and then ask you what word you heard (“rock” or “lock”?)—but what they lack in panache they make up for in results. I used them to learn the (obnoxiously difficult) sounds of Hungarian in twenty minutes a day for ten days. They’re also a lot of fun; you can feel your ears changing with each repetition. The Benefits of Ear Training: Pattern Recognition and Pattern Breaking When you use minimal pair testing at the beginning of your language journey, you’ll learn much faster in the long run. You’ll have an easier time remembering new words, because they no longer sound foreign. You’ll also understand native speakers better, because your ears are in sync with their speech.

.), 1.1, 1.2, 1.3, 6.1, 6.2, 7.1 minimal pairs, 3.1, 3.2, 3.3, bm3.1, bm7.1 mission critical language mistakes, 5.1, 5.2, 6.1, 6.2, 6.3 mnemonic filter mnemonic imagery cards game, 4.1, 5.1, bm7.1 for gender, 4.1, 4.2, bm4.1, bm4.2 of patterns mnemonics See also visual memory Molaison, Henry monolingual dictionary, 1.1, 6.1, 6.2, 6.3, bm6.1, bm7.1, bm7.2 Moonwalking with Einstein (Foer) more is less, 3.1, bm7.1 mouth training, 3.1, 3.2 movies, 6.1, 6.2, 6.3, bm7.1 multiple definitions multiplication multisearches music MyLanguageExchange.com, 6.1, 6.2 Netflix, 6.1, bm7.1 networks neural patterns neurons, 2.1, 2.2, 2.3, 2.4, 3.1, bm2.1, bm7.1, bm7.2 Nolan, Christopher nondeclarative memory nouns, 4.1, 5.1, 5.2, 5.3, 5.4, bm3.1 numbers online dictionary Ortega, Lourdes output, 5.1, bm7.1 overlearning PAO system. See person-action-object (PAO) system Paris (France) Parker, Charlie pattern breaking pattern matching pattern memorization pattern recognition patterns, 3.1, 3.2, 3.3, 4.1, 5.1, 5.2, 5.3 person-action-object (PAO) system, 5.1, bm7.1 personal connection, 2.1, 2.2, 4.1, 4.2, 4.3, bm2.1, bm5.1 phoneme, 3.1, bm7.1, bm7.2 phonetic alphabet, 3.1, 3.2, 3.3, bm2.1 phonetic transcription phrase, bm5.1, bm5.2, bm5.3, bm5.4, bm6.1 phrase book, 1.1, 1.2, 4.1, 4.2, bm7.1 pictures.


pages: 322 words: 88,197

Wonderland: How Play Made the Modern World by Steven Johnson

"hyperreality Baudrillard"~20 OR "Baudrillard hyperreality", Ada Lovelace, adjacent possible, Alfred Russel Wallace, Antoine Gombaud: Chevalier de Méré, Berlin Wall, bitcoin, Book of Ingenious Devices, Buckminster Fuller, Charles Babbage, Claude Shannon: information theory, Clayton Christensen, colonial exploitation, computer age, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, conceptual framework, cotton gin, crowdsourcing, cuban missile crisis, Drosophila, Edward Thorp, Fellow of the Royal Society, flying shuttle, game design, global village, Great Leap Forward, Hedy Lamarr / George Antheil, HyperCard, invention of air conditioning, invention of the printing press, invention of the telegraph, Islamic Golden Age, Jacquard loom, Jacques de Vaucanson, James Watt: steam engine, Jane Jacobs, John von Neumann, joint-stock company, Joseph-Marie Jacquard, land value tax, Landlord’s Game, Lewis Mumford, lone genius, mass immigration, megacity, Minecraft, moral panic, Murano, Venice glass, music of the spheres, Necker cube, New Urbanism, Oculus Rift, On the Economy of Machinery and Manufactures, pattern recognition, peer-to-peer, pets.com, placebo effect, pneumatic tube, probability theory / Blaise Pascal / Pierre de Fermat, profit motive, QWERTY keyboard, Ray Oldenburg, SimCity, spice trade, spinning jenny, statistical model, Steve Jobs, Steven Pinker, Stewart Brand, supply-chain management, talking drums, the built environment, The Great Good Place, the scientific method, The Structural Transformation of the Public Sphere, trade route, Turing machine, Turing test, Upton Sinclair, urban planning, vertical integration, Victor Gruen, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, white flight, white picket fence, Whole Earth Catalog, working poor, Wunderkammern

Those interpretative paths would lead to some extraordinary breakthroughs: from the early work on cybernetics and game theory from people like Claude Shannon and John von Neumann, to machines like IBM’s Deep Blue that could defeat grandmasters with ease. In cognitive science, the litany of insights that derived from the study of chess could almost fill an entire textbook, insights that have helped us understand the human capacity for problem solving, pattern recognition, visual memory, and the crucial skill that scientists call, somewhat awkwardly, chunking, which involves grouping a collection of ideas or facts into a single “chunk” so that they can be processed and remembered as a unit. (A chess player’s ability to recognize and often name a familiar sequence of moves is a classic example of mental chunking.)

Some cognitive scientists compared the impact of chess on their field to Drosophila, the fruit fly that played such a central role in early genetics research. But the prominence of chess in the first fifty years of both cognitive and computer science also produced a distorted vision of intelligence itself. It helped cement the brain-as-computer metaphor: a machine driven by logic and pattern recognition, governed by elemental rules that could be decoded with enough scrutiny. In a way, it was a kind of false tautology: brains used their intelligence to play chess; thus, if computers could be taught to play chess, they would be intelligent. But human intelligence turns out to be a much more complex beast than chess playing suggests.


pages: 224 words: 12,941

From Gutenberg to Google: electronic representations of literary texts by Peter L. Shillingsburg

bread and circuses, British Empire, computer age, disinformation, double helix, HyperCard, hypertext link, interchangeable parts, invention of the telephone, language acquisition, means of production, optical character recognition, pattern recognition, Saturday Night Live, Socratic dialogue

Publishers and their assistants – editors, compositors, printers, and so on – copy, regularize, beautify, and multiply what the author has done, creating many new objects consisting of molecules of paper and ink. They can do so because they are familiar with the rules and conventions of composition and transmission of texts.12 Readers then receive these material objects and, seeing recognizable 11 12 Web-crawlers and pattern recognition machines that seem to ‘‘read’’ texts and categorize content according to the ‘‘meaning of the text’’ or to index or otherwise parse texts on behalf of readers might be thought of as an exception – reading for meaning without human agency. But the ‘‘machine’’ has to be taught by a human agent how to react to the text and can only react in programmed ways to patterns already foreseen.

Jr. 61–2 history 135 accounts 135–6 evidence 135–6; limitations of 136 generative 54 selection principle 136 textual 84 Hockey, Susan 10, 142 Holdeman, David 22 Housman, A.E. 153, 162, 179 Howells, William Dean 179 HyperNietzsche project 91, 108, 142 ignorance 127, 136, 192 information 2 bogus 194 overload 165 quality of 2 infrastructure 112 inspiration 58 Institute for Advanced Technology in the Humanities (IATH) 90–1 intention 53, 55, 65 agent of 55 authorial 13, 18, 25, 45, 53, 55–6, 80, 175–6, 181–2, 187 editorial 17 publisher’s 17 of text 57 intentional fallacy 56, 60 (see also unintentional fallacy) intertextuality 55 intervention, editorial 19 Jackendoff, Ray 43, 46 Jansohn, Christa 151 Johnson, Samuel 189, 192 Jonson, Ben Cambridge Ben Jonson Works 142 Joyce, James 89 The Joyce Estate 89 Kamuf, Peggy 51 Karlsson, Lina 4 Katz, Joseph 84 Keane, Robert 131 Keats, John 68, 74, 126–7 Kegley, Russell 124 Kermode, Frank 42 Kiernan, Kevin 10, 108 knowledge 104–6, 136 historical 130 knowledge sites 2, 5, 69, 88, 92, 95, 97, 100, 137, 148 permission fees 103 quality of 103 Kock, Paul de 30 Landow, George 10, 149 language biological capacity 42 reliability in 41 social development 42 Lavangino, John 10 Law, Graham 129 Lawrence, T.E. 33 Lee, Marshall 80 Lévi-Strauss, Claude 60 lexical codes 16, 17 literary theories 85 Lochard, Eric-Olivier 91, 108 Lougy, Robert E. 158 Lowry, Malcolm 187–8 Luke, Hugh J. 73 MacFarland, Helen 15 MacLean, Rauri 147 Mailloux, Steven 8 Malm, Linda 4, 12 Malory, Sir Thomas 179 Manilius 30 manuscript 12–13, 84 as copytext 168 marginalia 34 markup (tei, sgml, html, jitm, xml, etc.) 89, 94, 98, 106–8, 111, 114–15, 117, 124, 142–3 jitm 118–120 overlapping hierarchies 98, 143 Martens, Gunter 174–5 Matthiessen, F.O. 178 McCarty, Willard 10, 86 McCleod, Randall 110 McGann, Jerome 8, 10–11, 26–8, 38, 72, 76, 142–3, 152–3, 172–3, 185–6, 189 A Critique of Modern Textual Criticism 111 Index ‘‘The Gutenberg Variations’’ 73 Radiant Textuality 74, 143 McKenzie, D.F. 8, 26, 72 McKerrow, Ronald B. 9, 153 McLaverty, James 8 meaning 13, 41, 52–3, 55 adventitious 73, 75 author 8, 12, 52, 61–2, 70, 74, 81 construction of 61 determinate 51, 62, 69 historical 73 intended 68, 73 limits to 61 reader 74, 146 speaker 17 text 55, 65, 140 voluntary 52 media, electronic 4 Melville, Herman Moby-Dick 156 Northwest Newberry edition of Moby Dick 156 White Jacket 178, 186 Meriwether, James B. 40, 180 methodologies 191 Metzdorf Collection, the 129 Middleton, Thomas 164 Milton, John 8 misunderstandings 42, 58, 60, 62, 68 Model Editions Partnership 142 Modern Language Association Center for Editions of American Authors 140, 163 Committee on Scholarly Editions 140–1, 168 Guidelines for Electronic Scholarly Editions 94, 111 Moore, Marianne 40 Murray, John 72 Myers, Gary 64 Nations, Boyd 124 New Testament Project 142 Nichol, John W. 178 Nietzsche, Friedrich see HyperNietzsche Project noise 12, 20 Nowell-Smith, Simon 132 Oliphant, Dave 153 orientations 6 paper 27 Parker, David 142 Parker, Herschel 84, 152–3, 172–3 Parrish Collection, the 129, 146 Pater, Walter 25 Patten, Robert 131 pattern recognition 57 Peacock, Thomas Love 30 Peirce, C.S. 60 Pettit, Alexander 123 Pickwoad, Nicholas 123 Piers Plowman archive 4, 142 Pizer, Donald 84 Plachta, Bodo 26, 170, 173 Plato 58–9 Postal, Paul M. 75 Pound, Ezra 142 presentational elements 16 preservation 2, 23 print culture 88 print literature 34, 75 electronic representation of 3, 76, 85 limitations of 3, 85 re-presentation 20 reproduction of 15–16 print technology 85 constraints of 4, 7 moveable type 36 stereotyping 136 printers 178–9, 186–7 programmers 94 Project Gutenberg 21, 87 proofreading 19, 22 publisher 135, 186–7 German 176 publishing 130 economics of 130 punctuation 35, 181–2, 187 rhetorical 37 syntactical 37 Purdy, R.


pages: 406 words: 88,820

Television disrupted: the transition from network to networked TV by Shelly Palmer

AOL-Time Warner, barriers to entry, call centre, commoditize, disintermediation, en.wikipedia.org, folksonomy, Golden age of television, hypertext link, interchangeable parts, invention of movable type, Irwin Jacobs: Qualcomm, James Watt: steam engine, Leonard Kleinrock, linear programming, Marc Andreessen, market design, Metcalfe’s law, pattern recognition, peer-to-peer, power law, recommendation engine, Saturday Night Live, shareholder value, Skype, spectrum auction, Steve Jobs, subscription business, Telecommunications Act of 1996, the long tail, There's no reason for any individual to have a computer in his home - Ken Olsen, Vickrey auction, Vilfredo Pareto, yield management

These are just some minor issues when dealing with the subtleties of language-based metatagging. Now, let’s imagine the difficulties that automated rich media metatagging might encounter. Video cannot be searched by a simple program for keywords or phrases. To automate the process you will need pattern recognition algorithms for the video portion of the file and speech to text or sound pattern recognition algorithms for the audio portion. As you can imagine, the computer and Copyright © 2006, Shelly Palmer. All rights reserved. 3-Television.Chap Three v3.qxd 3/20/06 7:21 AM Page 46 46 C H A P T E R 3 Internet programming power needed to accomplish these goals pushes the practical limits of current technology.


pages: 319 words: 90,965

The End of College: Creating the Future of Learning and the University of Everywhere by Kevin Carey

Albert Einstein, barriers to entry, Bayesian statistics, behavioural economics, Berlin Wall, Blue Ocean Strategy, business cycle, business intelligence, carbon-based life, classic study, Claude Shannon: information theory, complexity theory, data science, David Heinemeier Hansson, declining real wages, deliberate practice, discrete time, disruptive innovation, double helix, Douglas Engelbart, Douglas Engelbart, Downton Abbey, Drosophila, Fairchild Semiconductor, Firefox, Frank Gehry, Google X / Alphabet X, Gregor Mendel, informal economy, invention of the printing press, inventory management, John Markoff, Khan Academy, Kickstarter, low skilled workers, Lyft, Marc Andreessen, Mark Zuckerberg, meta-analysis, natural language processing, Network effects, open borders, pattern recognition, Peter Thiel, pez dispenser, Recombinant DNA, ride hailing / ride sharing, Ronald Reagan, Ruby on Rails, Sand Hill Road, self-driving car, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, social web, South of Market, San Francisco, speech recognition, Steve Jobs, technoutopianism, transcontinental railway, uber lyft, Vannevar Bush

So your brain required only a brief glance at that combination of letters to understand that it meant “encyclopedia” and all the word implies. The process was largely automatic, just as you don’t consciously think “that broad, flat surface located approximately three feet below me is the floor, which will support my weight” when you climb out of bed in the morning. The brain’s capacity for pattern recognition is adaptable, flexible, and strong. If the word in that sentence had been spelled “encylopedia,” you would not have been utterly baffled, even though it is missing the second letter c. You might not have even noticed the mistake at all. If, on the other hand, I had written “iderebagon,” you probably would have been confused, unless you happen to be fluent in the verb forms of High Valyrian, a language spoken by certain characters on the HBO television series Game of Thrones.

As information technology destroyed jobs that involved simple and repetitive tasks, like painting car parts or shelving paper files, and globalization moved other low-skill jobs overseas, the American jobs that remained fell into several large categories. Some required creativity, judgment, and pattern recognition. Others involved interacting with other people by providing services of different kinds. It’s hard to tell if someone you don’t know personally will be good at either of those kinds of jobs. Living anonymously in large communities is a peculiar modern condition. As transportation and communications became cheaper and people increasingly moved from one urban and suburban area to the next, companies hiring employees were faced with the difficult task of selecting from among large numbers of complete strangers.


pages: 304 words: 88,773

The Ghost Map: A Street, an Epidemic and the Hidden Power of Urban Networks. by Steven Johnson

call centre, clean water, correlation does not imply causation, creative destruction, Dean Kamen, digital map, double helix, edge city, Ford Model T, germ theory of disease, global pandemic, Google Earth, independent contractor, Jane Jacobs, John Nash: game theory, John Snow's cholera map, lone genius, Louis Pasteur, mass immigration, megacity, mutually assured destruction, New Urbanism, nuclear winter, pattern recognition, peak oil, side project, Steven Pinker, Stewart Brand, The Death and Life of Great American Cities, the long tail, the scientific method, trade route, unbiased observer, working poor

Putrefying foods release several organic compounds into the air; they have names like putrescine and cadaverine. Bacteria recycling energy stored in fecal matter releases hydrogen sulfide into the air. Disgust at the scent of any of these compounds is as close to a universal human trait as we know. You can think of it as a form of evolutionary pattern recognition: over millions of years of evolution, natural selection hit upon the insight that the presence of hydrogen sulfide molecules in the air was a reasonably good predictor that microbial life-forms that could be dangerous if swallowed were nearby. And so the brain evolved a system for setting off an alarm whenever those molecules were detected.

But planning for its emergence makes sense, because if such a strain does appear and starts spreading around the globe, there won’t be the equivalent of a pump handle to remove. This is why we’re vaccinating poultry workers in Thailand, why the news of some errant bird migration in Turkey can cause shudders in Los Angeles. This is why the pattern recognition and local knowledge and disease mapping that helped make Broad Street understandable have never been more essential. This is why a continued commitment to public-health institutions remains one of the most vital roles of states and international bodies. If H5N1 does manage to swap just the right piece of DNA from a type A flu virus, we could well see a runaway epidemic that would burn through some of the world’s largest cities at a staggering rate, thanks both to the extreme densities of our cities and the global connectivity of jet travel.


pages: 307 words: 88,180

AI Superpowers: China, Silicon Valley, and the New World Order by Kai-Fu Lee

"World Economic Forum" Davos, AI winter, Airbnb, Albert Einstein, algorithmic bias, algorithmic trading, Alignment Problem, AlphaGo, artificial general intelligence, autonomous vehicles, barriers to entry, basic income, bike sharing, business cycle, Cambridge Analytica, cloud computing, commoditize, computer vision, corporate social responsibility, cotton gin, creative destruction, crony capitalism, data science, deep learning, DeepMind, Demis Hassabis, Deng Xiaoping, deskilling, Didi Chuxing, Donald Trump, driverless car, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, Erik Brynjolfsson, fake news, full employment, future of work, general purpose technology, Geoffrey Hinton, gig economy, Google Chrome, Hans Moravec, happiness index / gross national happiness, high-speed rail, if you build it, they will come, ImageNet competition, impact investing, income inequality, informal economy, Internet of things, invention of the telegraph, Jeff Bezos, job automation, John Markoff, Kickstarter, knowledge worker, Lean Startup, low skilled workers, Lyft, machine translation, mandatory minimum, Mark Zuckerberg, Menlo Park, minimum viable product, natural language processing, Neil Armstrong, new economy, Nick Bostrom, OpenAI, pattern recognition, pirate software, profit maximization, QR code, Ray Kurzweil, recommendation engine, ride hailing / ride sharing, risk tolerance, Robert Mercer, Rodney Brooks, Rubik’s Cube, Sam Altman, Second Machine Age, self-driving car, sentiment analysis, sharing economy, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley ideology, Silicon Valley startup, Skype, SoftBank, Solyndra, special economic zone, speech recognition, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, strong AI, TED Talk, The Future of Employment, Travis Kalanick, Uber and Lyft, uber lyft, universal basic income, urban planning, vertical integration, Vision Fund, warehouse robotics, Y Combinator

That often takes Ph.D.-level expertise in these fields. But these advances are incremental improvements and optimizations that leverage the dramatic leap forward of deep learning. THE AGE OF IMPLEMENTATION What they really represent is the application of deep learning’s incredible powers of pattern recognition and prediction to different spheres, such as diagnosing a disease, issuing an insurance policy, driving a car, or translating a Chinese sentence into readable English. They do not signify rapid progress toward “general AI” or any other similar breakthrough on the level of deep learning. This is the age of implementation, and the companies that cash in on this time period will need talented entrepreneurs, engineers, and product managers.

A constant stream of headlines about the latest task tackled by AI gives us the mistaken sense that we are living through an age of discovery, a time when the Enrico Fermis of the world determine the balance of power. In reality, we are witnessing the application of one fundamental breakthrough—deep learning and related techniques—to many different problems. That’s a process that requires well-trained AI scientists, the tinkerers of this age. Today, those tinkerers are putting AI’s superhuman powers of pattern recognition to use making loans, driving cars, translating text, playing Go, and powering your Amazon Alexa. Deep-learning pioneers like Geoffrey Hinton, Yann LeCun, and Yoshua Bengio—the Enrico Fermis of AI—continue to push the boundaries of artificial intelligence. And they may yet produce another game-changing breakthrough, one that scrambles the global technological pecking order.


pages: 855 words: 178,507

The Information: A History, a Theory, a Flood by James Gleick

Ada Lovelace, Alan Turing: On Computable Numbers, with an Application to the Entscheidungsproblem, Albert Einstein, AltaVista, bank run, bioinformatics, Bletchley Park, Brownian motion, butterfly effect, Charles Babbage, citation needed, classic study, Claude Shannon: information theory, clockwork universe, computer age, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, conceptual framework, crowdsourcing, death of newspapers, discovery of DNA, Donald Knuth, double helix, Douglas Hofstadter, en.wikipedia.org, Eratosthenes, Fellow of the Royal Society, Gregor Mendel, Gödel, Escher, Bach, Henri Poincaré, Honoré de Balzac, index card, informal economy, information retrieval, invention of the printing press, invention of writing, Isaac Newton, Jacquard loom, Jaron Lanier, jimmy wales, Johannes Kepler, John von Neumann, Joseph-Marie Jacquard, Lewis Mumford, lifelogging, Louis Daguerre, machine translation, Marshall McLuhan, Menlo Park, microbiome, Milgram experiment, Network effects, New Journalism, Norbert Wiener, Norman Macrae, On the Economy of Machinery and Manufactures, PageRank, pattern recognition, phenotype, Pierre-Simon Laplace, pre–internet, quantum cryptography, Ralph Waldo Emerson, RAND corporation, reversible computing, Richard Feynman, Rubik’s Cube, Simon Singh, Socratic dialogue, Stephen Hawking, Steven Pinker, stochastic process, talking drums, the High Line, The Wisdom of Crowds, transcontinental railway, Turing machine, Turing test, women in the workforce, yottabyte

Ross Ashby, announced that he was working on the idea that “a brain consisting of randomly connected impressional synapses would assume the required degree of orderliness as a result of experience”♦—in other words, that the mind is a self-organizing dynamical system. Others wanted to talk about pattern recognition, about noise in the nervous system, about robot chess and the possibility of mechanical self-awareness. McCulloch put it this way: “Think of the brain as a telegraphic relay, which, tripped by a signal, emits another signal.” Relays had come a long way since Morse’s time. “Of the molecular events of brains these signals are the atoms.

.”♦ Broadbent founded an applied psychology division at Cambridge University, and a flood of research followed, there and elsewhere, in the general realm of how people handle information: effects of noise on performance; selective attention and filtering of perception; short-term and long-term memory; pattern recognition; problem solving. And where did logic belong? To psychology or to computer science? Surely not just to philosophy. An influential counterpart of Broadbent’s in the United States was George Miller, who helped found the Center for Cognitive Studies at Harvard in 1960. He was already famous for a paper published in 1956 under the slightly whimsical title “The Magical Number Seven, Plus or Minus Two: Some Limits on Our Capacity for Processing Information.”♦ Seven seemed to be the number of items that most people could hold in working memory at any one time: seven digits (the typical American telephone number of the time), seven words, or seven objects displayed by an experimental psychologist.

Crick, Francis, 10.1, 10.2, 10.3, 10.4, 10.5 Crow, James F. n cryptography assessment of system security Babbage’s work in, 5.1, 5.2 early strategies, 5.1, 5.2 Enigma system of, 7.1, 7.2 information theory and mathematics of, 5.1, 5.2, 5.3, 7.1, 7.2 mental skill for pattern recognition in, 7.1, 7.2 perfect cipher system popular interest in, 5.1, 5.2 quantum, 13.1, 13.2, 13.3, 13.4 RSA encryption Shannon’s work on, prl.1, prl.2, 7.1, 7.2, 7.3, 7.4, 7.5, 7.6 Turing’s work on, 7.1, 7.2, 7.3, 7.4 voice encryption, 7.1, 7.2 writing and, 5.1, 5.2 see also code crystals, 9.1, 9.2, 10.1 culture communication technology and, 15.1, 15.2, 15.3 communicative capacity of drums, 1.1, 1.2 function of meme perceptions changed by telegraphy, 5.1, 5.2 replication and transmission of thought processes biased by, 2.1, 2.2 see also oral culture Cummings, E.


pages: 574 words: 164,509

Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies by Nick Bostrom

agricultural Revolution, AI winter, Albert Einstein, algorithmic trading, anthropic principle, Anthropocene, anti-communist, artificial general intelligence, autism spectrum disorder, autonomous vehicles, backpropagation, barriers to entry, Bayesian statistics, bioinformatics, brain emulation, cloud computing, combinatorial explosion, computer vision, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, cosmological constant, dark matter, DARPA: Urban Challenge, data acquisition, delayed gratification, Demis Hassabis, demographic transition, different worldview, Donald Knuth, Douglas Hofstadter, driverless car, Drosophila, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, endogenous growth, epigenetics, fear of failure, Flash crash, Flynn Effect, friendly AI, general purpose technology, Geoffrey Hinton, Gödel, Escher, Bach, hallucination problem, Hans Moravec, income inequality, industrial robot, informal economy, information retrieval, interchangeable parts, iterative process, job automation, John Markoff, John von Neumann, knowledge worker, Large Hadron Collider, longitudinal study, machine translation, megaproject, Menlo Park, meta-analysis, mutually assured destruction, Nash equilibrium, Netflix Prize, new economy, Nick Bostrom, Norbert Wiener, NP-complete, nuclear winter, operational security, optical character recognition, paperclip maximiser, pattern recognition, performance metric, phenotype, prediction markets, price stability, principal–agent problem, race to the bottom, random walk, Ray Kurzweil, recommendation engine, reversible computing, search costs, social graph, speech recognition, Stanislav Petrov, statistical model, stem cell, Stephen Hawking, Strategic Defense Initiative, strong AI, superintelligent machines, supervolcano, synthetic biology, technological singularity, technoutopianism, The Coming Technological Singularity, The Nature of the Firm, Thomas Kuhn: the structure of scientific revolutions, time dilation, Tragedy of the Commons, transaction costs, trolley problem, Turing machine, Vernor Vinge, WarGames: Global Thermonuclear War, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, World Values Survey, zero-sum game

For example, neural networks exhibited the property of “graceful degradation”: a small amount of damage to a neural network typically resulted in a small degradation of its performance, rather than a total crash. Even more importantly, neural networks could learn from experience, finding natural ways of generalizing from examples and finding hidden statistical patterns in their input.23 This made the nets good at pattern recognition and classification problems. For example, by training a neural network on a data set of sonar signals, it could be taught to distinguish the acoustic profiles of submarines, mines, and sea life with better accuracy than human experts—and this could be done without anybody first having to figure out in advance exactly how the categories were to be defined or how different features were to be weighted.

Suppose that the brain’s plasticity were such that it could learn to detect patterns in some new input stream arbitrary projected onto some part of the cortex by means of a brain–computer interface: why not project the same information onto the retina instead, as a visual pattern, or onto the cochlea as sounds? The low-tech alternative avoids a thousand complications, and in either case the brain could deploy its pattern-recognition mechanisms and plasticity to learn to make sense of the information. Networks and organizations Another conceivable path to superintelligence is through the gradual enhancement of networks and organizations that link individual human minds with one another and with various artifacts and bots.

Machine minds designed ab initio could do away with cumbersome legacy systems that helped our ancestors deal with aspects of the natural environment that are unimportant in cyberspace. Digital minds might also be designed to take advantage of fast serial processing unavailable to biological brains, and to make it easy to install new modules with highly optimized functionality (e.g. symbolic processing, pattern recognition, simulators, data mining, and planning). Artificial intelligence might also have significant non-technical advantages, such as being more easily patentable or less entangled in the moral complexities of using human uploads. 24. If p1 and p2 are the probabilities of failure at each step, the total probability of failure is p1 + (1 – p1)p2 since one can fail terminally only once. 25.


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The Technology Trap: Capital, Labor, and Power in the Age of Automation by Carl Benedikt Frey

3D printing, AlphaGo, Alvin Toffler, autonomous vehicles, basic income, Bernie Sanders, Branko Milanovic, British Empire, business cycle, business process, call centre, Cambridge Analytica, Capital in the Twenty-First Century by Thomas Piketty, Charles Babbage, Clayton Christensen, collective bargaining, computer age, computer vision, Corn Laws, Cornelius Vanderbilt, creative destruction, data science, David Graeber, David Ricardo: comparative advantage, deep learning, DeepMind, deindustrialization, demographic transition, desegregation, deskilling, Donald Trump, driverless car, easy for humans, difficult for computers, Edward Glaeser, Elon Musk, Erik Brynjolfsson, everywhere but in the productivity statistics, factory automation, Fairchild Semiconductor, falling living standards, first square of the chessboard / second half of the chessboard, Ford Model T, Ford paid five dollars a day, Frank Levy and Richard Murnane: The New Division of Labor, full employment, future of work, game design, general purpose technology, Gini coefficient, Great Leap Forward, Hans Moravec, high-speed rail, Hyperloop, income inequality, income per capita, independent contractor, industrial cluster, industrial robot, intangible asset, interchangeable parts, Internet of things, invention of agriculture, invention of movable type, invention of the steam engine, invention of the wheel, Isaac Newton, James Hargreaves, James Watt: steam engine, Jeremy Corbyn, job automation, job satisfaction, job-hopping, John Maynard Keynes: Economic Possibilities for our Grandchildren, John Maynard Keynes: technological unemployment, Joseph Schumpeter, Kickstarter, Kiva Systems, knowledge economy, knowledge worker, labor-force participation, labour mobility, Lewis Mumford, Loebner Prize, low skilled workers, machine translation, Malcom McLean invented shipping containers, manufacturing employment, mass immigration, means of production, Menlo Park, minimum wage unemployment, natural language processing, new economy, New Urbanism, Nick Bostrom, Norbert Wiener, nowcasting, oil shock, On the Economy of Machinery and Manufactures, OpenAI, opioid epidemic / opioid crisis, Pareto efficiency, pattern recognition, pink-collar, Productivity paradox, profit maximization, Renaissance Technologies, rent-seeking, rising living standards, Robert Gordon, Robert Solow, robot derives from the Czech word robota Czech, meaning slave, safety bicycle, Second Machine Age, secular stagnation, self-driving car, seminal paper, Silicon Valley, Simon Kuznets, social intelligence, sparse data, speech recognition, spinning jenny, Stephen Hawking, tacit knowledge, The Future of Employment, The Rise and Fall of American Growth, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, Thomas Malthus, total factor productivity, trade route, Triangle Shirtwaist Factory, Turing test, union organizing, universal basic income, warehouse automation, washing machines reduced drudgery, wealth creators, women in the workforce, working poor, zero-sum game

The illimitable complexity of the game means that not even the best players are capable of breaking it down into meaningful rules. Instead professionals play by recognizing patterns that emerge “when clutches of stones surround empty spaces.”3 As discussed above, humans still held the comparative advantage in pattern recognition when Frank Levy and Richard Murnane published their brilliant book The New Division of Labor in 2004.4 At the time, computers were nowhere near capable of challenging the human brain in identifying patterns. But now they are. Much more important than the fact that AlphaGo won is how it did so.

Based on these features, our algorithm was able to learn about the characteristics of automatable occupations, allowing it to predict the exposure to automation of another 632 occupations. Thus, our final sample covered 702 occupations, in which 97 percent of the American workforce is employed. Using AI for our analysis did not just have the benefit of saving time and labor. Our analysis also underlined the fact that algorithms are now infinitely superior to humans in pattern recognition. We were quite convinced that the work of waiters and waitresses would not lend itself to automation, but our algorithm told us that we were wrong. Analyzing the similarities between the jobs of waiters and other jobs in a more comprehensive manner than we possibly could have done, it predicted that waiters are susceptible to automation.

See mass production American Telephone and Telegraph Company (AT&T), 315 annus mirabilis of 1769, 97, 148 anti-Amazon law, 290 Antikythera mechanism, 39 Appius Claudius, 37 Archimedes, 30, 39 Aristotle, 1, 39 Arkwright, Richard, 94, 101 artificial intelligence (AI), 5, 36, 301–41, 228, 342; Alexa (Amazon), 306; AlphaGo (Deep Mind), 301, 302; Amara’s Law, 323–25; artificial neural networks, 304; autonomous robots, 307; autonomous vehicles, 308, 310, 340; big data, 303; Chinese companies, 313; Dactyl, 313; data, as the new oil, 304; Deep Blue (IBM), 301, 302; deep learning, 304; -driven unemployment, 356; Google Translate, 304; Gripper, 313; internet traffic, worldwide, 303; JD. com, 313; Kiva Systems, 311; machine social intelligence, 317; Microsoft, 306; misconception, 311; multipurpose robots, 327; Neural Machine Translation, 304; neural networks, 303, 305, 314; pattern recognition, 319; phrase-based machine translation, 304; Siri (Apple), 306; speech recognition technology, 306; Turing test, 317; virtual agents, 306; voice assistant, 306; warehouse automation, 314 artisan craftsmen, 8; in domestic system, 118, 131; emigration of, 83; factory job, transition to, 124; fates of, 17; full-time, 34; middle-income, 11, 16, 24, 135; replacement of, 9, 16, 218 Ashton, T.


pages: 138 words: 27,404

OpenCV Computer Vision With Python by Joseph Howse

augmented reality, computer vision, Debian, optical character recognition, pattern recognition

He participated in Blender source code, an open source and 3D-software project, and worked in his first commercial movie Plumiferos—Aventuras voladoras as a Computer Graphics Software Developer. David now has more than 10 years of experience in IT, with more than seven years experience in computer vision, computer graphics, and pattern recognition working on different projects and startups, applying his knowledge of computer vision, optical character recognition, and augmented reality. He is the author of the DamilesBlog (http://blog.damiles.com), where he publishes research articles and tutorials about OpenCV, computer vision in general, and Optical Character Recognition algorithms.


Risk Management in Trading by Davis Edwards

Abraham Maslow, asset allocation, asset-backed security, backtesting, Bear Stearns, Black-Scholes formula, Brownian motion, business cycle, computerized trading, correlation coefficient, Credit Default Swap, discrete time, diversified portfolio, financial engineering, fixed income, Glass-Steagall Act, global macro, implied volatility, intangible asset, interest rate swap, iterative process, John Meriwether, junk bonds, London Whale, Long Term Capital Management, low interest rates, margin call, Myron Scholes, Nick Leeson, p-value, paper trading, pattern recognition, proprietary trading, random walk, risk free rate, risk tolerance, risk/return, selection bias, shareholder value, Sharpe ratio, short selling, statistical arbitrage, statistical model, stochastic process, systematic trading, time value of money, transaction costs, value at risk, Wiener process, zero-coupon bond

For example, a system might recommend that a large trade be broken into several pieces and traded over several hours rather than all at once. Changes in Market. Automated systems can provide warning to identify large changes in prices, volumes, the credit rating of a trading partner, or other changes in market behavior to help traders get ahead of changing markets. Pattern Recognition. Unusual trading behavior can be identified using pattern recognition. For example, a trading system might identify simultaneous purchases and sales in the same asset (wash trades) that are often an indicator of market manipulation. ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ TEST YOUR KNOWLEDGE 1. Sharpe Ratios and Information Ratios both measure what?


pages: 347 words: 99,969

Through the Language Glass: Why the World Looks Different in Other Languages by Guy Deutscher

Alfred Russel Wallace, correlation does not imply causation, Kickstarter, offshore financial centre, pattern recognition, Ralph Waldo Emerson, Sapir-Whorf hypothesis, Silicon Valley, Stephen Fry, Steven Pinker

It is quite enough for a toddler to see a few pictures of a cat in a picture book, and the next time she sees a cat, even if it’s ginger rather than tabby, even if it has longer hair, a shorter tail, only one eye, and a hind leg missing, she will still recognize it as a cat rather than a dog or bird or rose. Children’s instinctive grasp of such concepts shows that human brains are innately equipped with powerful pattern-recognition algorithms, which sort similar objects into groups. So concepts such as “cat” or “bird” must somehow correspond to this inborn aptitude to categorize the world. So far, then, we seem to have arrived at a simple answer to the question of whether language reflects culture or nature. We have drawn a neat map and divided language into two distinct territories: the domain of labels and the land of concepts.

See also verb-noun fusion case endings morphology and plurality and “Nubians” exhibit (Berlin, 1878) “Ode to the Sea” (Neruda) Odyssey (Homer) Old English “On the Color Sense in Primitive Times and Its Evolution” (Geiger) On the Historical Evolution of the Color Sense (Magnus) “orange” wavelength of Origin of Species, The (Darwin) Orwell, George Ovaherero tribe Oxford English Dictionary Paiute Papua New Guinea parametric variations theory passive vocabulary Pasternak, Boris pattern-recognition algorithms Perkins, Revere Philosophy Today photoreceptor cells Pindar “pink” wavelengths of light and Pinker, Steven Pirahã Planck, Max plurality Polish Portuguese primates Primitive Culture (Tylor) “primitive” peoples, See also specific groups and languages changing attitudes of anthropologists to color words in languages of complex grammar and Geiger’s sequence and Torres Straits study on pronouns “purple” race Ray, Verne “red” “black” and as first color named Geiger’s sequence and Homer and Magnus’s evolution of color sense and primitive people and wavelength, energy, and retina and red-green blindness Regier, Terry relativism retina Rivarol, Antoine de Rivers, W.


pages: 368 words: 96,825

Bold: How to Go Big, Create Wealth and Impact the World by Peter H. Diamandis, Steven Kotler

3D printing, additive manufacturing, adjacent possible, Airbnb, Amazon Mechanical Turk, Amazon Web Services, Apollo 11, augmented reality, autonomous vehicles, Boston Dynamics, Charles Lindbergh, cloud computing, company town, creative destruction, crowdsourcing, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, data science, deal flow, deep learning, dematerialisation, deskilling, disruptive innovation, driverless car, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, Exxon Valdez, fail fast, Fairchild Semiconductor, fear of failure, Firefox, Galaxy Zoo, Geoffrey Hinton, Google Glasses, Google Hangouts, gravity well, hype cycle, ImageNet competition, industrial robot, information security, Internet of things, Jeff Bezos, John Harrison: Longitude, John Markoff, Jono Bacon, Just-in-time delivery, Kickstarter, Kodak vs Instagram, Law of Accelerating Returns, Lean Startup, life extension, loss aversion, Louis Pasteur, low earth orbit, Mahatma Gandhi, Marc Andreessen, Mark Zuckerberg, Mars Rover, meta-analysis, microbiome, minimum viable product, move fast and break things, Narrative Science, Netflix Prize, Network effects, Oculus Rift, OpenAI, optical character recognition, packet switching, PageRank, pattern recognition, performance metric, Peter H. Diamandis: Planetary Resources, Peter Thiel, pre–internet, Ray Kurzweil, recommendation engine, Richard Feynman, ride hailing / ride sharing, risk tolerance, rolodex, Scaled Composites, self-driving car, sentiment analysis, shareholder value, Sheryl Sandberg, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, skunkworks, Skype, smart grid, SpaceShipOne, stem cell, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, Steven Levy, Stewart Brand, Stuart Kauffman, superconnector, Susan Wojcicki, synthetic biology, technoutopianism, TED Talk, telepresence, telepresence robot, Turing test, urban renewal, Virgin Galactic, Wayback Machine, web application, X Prize, Y Combinator, zero-sum game

Your denial kills the flow. But instead, if your response is of the “yes, and . . .” variety—“Yeah, sorry, I had no idea where to put him, did he leave the toilet seat up again?”—then the story goes someplace interesting. Flow’s Creative Trigger If you look under the hood of creativity, what you see is pattern recognition (the brain’s ability to link new ideas together) and risk taking (the courage to bring those new ideas into the world). Both of these experiences produce powerful neurochemical reactions and the brain rides these reactions deeper into flow. This means, for those of us who want more flow in our lives, we have to think different, it’s as simple as that.

Instead of tackling problems from familiar angles, go at them backward and sideways and with style. Go out of your way to stretch your imagination. Massively up the amount of novelty in your life; the research shows that new environments and experiences are often the jumping-off point for new ideas (more opportunity for pattern recognition). Most important, make creativity a value and a virtue. This is where we return to moonshot thinking again. As Teller explains, “You don’t spend your time being bothered that you can’t teleport from here to Japan, because there’s a part of you that thinks it’s impossible. Moonshot thinking is choosing to be bothered by that.”


pages: 349 words: 98,868

Nervous States: Democracy and the Decline of Reason by William Davies

active measures, Affordable Care Act / Obamacare, Amazon Web Services, Anthropocene, bank run, banking crisis, basic income, Black Lives Matter, Brexit referendum, business cycle, Cambridge Analytica, Capital in the Twenty-First Century by Thomas Piketty, citizen journalism, Climategate, Climatic Research Unit, Colonization of Mars, continuation of politics by other means, creative destruction, credit crunch, data science, decarbonisation, deep learning, DeepMind, deindustrialization, digital divide, discovery of penicillin, Dominic Cummings, Donald Trump, drone strike, Elon Musk, failed state, fake news, Filter Bubble, first-past-the-post, Frank Gehry, gig economy, government statistician, housing crisis, income inequality, Isaac Newton, Jeff Bezos, Jeremy Corbyn, Johannes Kepler, Joseph Schumpeter, knowledge economy, loss aversion, low skilled workers, Mahatma Gandhi, Mark Zuckerberg, mass immigration, meta-analysis, Mont Pelerin Society, mutually assured destruction, Northern Rock, obamacare, Occupy movement, opioid epidemic / opioid crisis, Paris climate accords, pattern recognition, Peace of Westphalia, Peter Thiel, Philip Mirowski, planetary scale, post-industrial society, post-truth, quantitative easing, RAND corporation, Ray Kurzweil, Richard Florida, road to serfdom, Robert Mercer, Ronald Reagan, sentiment analysis, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley billionaire, Silicon Valley startup, smart cities, Social Justice Warrior, statistical model, Steve Bannon, Steve Jobs, tacit knowledge, the scientific method, Turing machine, Uber for X, universal basic income, University of East Anglia, Valery Gerasimov, W. E. B. Du Bois, We are the 99%, WikiLeaks, women in the workforce, zero-sum game

These tasks can be pieced together in the form of code, which a machine can then execute one by one. Mark Zuckerberg’s belief in telepathy ultimately rests on the idea that “thoughts” are nothing but a series of physical motions, whose patterns can potentially be read like the smile on a face or an encrypted message to be cracked. What things mean is really just a question of pattern recognition, that is, what order they appear in. In that sense, all interpretation and understanding is akin to code breaking. Second, the programmer instructs the computer to abide by certain rules, which are then converted into commands to be executed. Activities are ruled by hierarchies, not unlike the military.

But what is becoming increasingly clear, now that the early optimism surrounding “cyberspace” and “virtual community” has dissipated, is that the Internet retains something of its military character. Whether in the service of big business such as Facebook or of government agencies, it remains most effective as a tool of surveillance, pattern recognition, and control. The way we are ensnared in digital networks, by apps and platforms, is with the promise of more efficient coordination: it’s not that the world will become better known to us, but that it will become more obedient to us. Uber, for example, relieves us of the need to know taxi numbers, addresses, or maps, replacing them all with a technology of command.


Data and the City by Rob Kitchin,Tracey P. Lauriault,Gavin McArdle

A Declaration of the Independence of Cyberspace, algorithmic management, bike sharing, bitcoin, blockchain, Bretton Woods, Chelsea Manning, citizen journalism, Claude Shannon: information theory, clean water, cloud computing, complexity theory, conceptual framework, corporate governance, correlation does not imply causation, create, read, update, delete, crowdsourcing, cryptocurrency, data science, dematerialisation, digital divide, digital map, digital rights, distributed ledger, Evgeny Morozov, fault tolerance, fiat currency, Filter Bubble, floating exchange rates, folksonomy, functional programming, global value chain, Google Earth, Hacker News, hive mind, information security, Internet of things, Kickstarter, knowledge economy, Lewis Mumford, lifelogging, linked data, loose coupling, machine readable, new economy, New Urbanism, Nicholas Carr, nowcasting, open economy, openstreetmap, OSI model, packet switching, pattern recognition, performance metric, place-making, power law, quantum entanglement, RAND corporation, RFID, Richard Florida, ride hailing / ride sharing, semantic web, sentiment analysis, sharing economy, Silicon Valley, Skype, smart cities, Smart Cities: Big Data, Civic Hackers, and the Quest for a New Utopia, smart contracts, smart grid, smart meter, social graph, software studies, statistical model, tacit knowledge, TaskRabbit, technological determinism, technological solutionism, text mining, The Chicago School, The Death and Life of Great American Cities, the long tail, the market place, the medium is the message, the scientific method, Toyota Production System, urban planning, urban sprawl, web application

With the advent of the open data movement some of these data also feed into public-facing urban dashboards that provide a mix of interactive visualizations of real-time, public administration and official statistical data (Kitchin et al. 2015; see Chapter 9). Further, the production of these new big data has been accompanied by a suite of new data analytics designed to extract insight from very large, dynamic datasets, consisting of four broad classes: data mining and pattern recognition; data visualization and visual analytics; statistical analysis; and prediction, simulation and optimization (Miller 2010; Kitchin 2014b). These analytics rely on machine learning (artificial intelligence) techniques and vastly increased computational power to process and analyse data. Moreover, they enable a new form of data-driven science to be deployed that rather than being theory-led seeks to generate hypotheses and insights ‘born from the data’ (Kelling et al. 2009).

Meanwhile, the army had also found a different use for the city lights – to locate and calibrate the recorded night-time scenes accurately, and to estimate the thickness and density of particles in the atmosphere by measuring the diffusion of their contours (Air Weather Service 1974). By 1977, Croft had compiled a first global atlas of city lights that used methods for digitization, processing both original films and digital facsimiles, using pattern recognition to align different viewpoints (Croft and Colvocoresses 1979). A year later, he published the first global composite of night-time images in the Scientific American (Croft 1978). In 1992, DPMS data were opened to the general public, and the NASA Black Marble illustrations have become one of the most popular motifs of space imagery.6 Despite its wide use, OLS/DMSP data are limited in many ways.


pages: 346 words: 97,330

Ghost Work: How to Stop Silicon Valley From Building a New Global Underclass by Mary L. Gray, Siddharth Suri

"World Economic Forum" Davos, Affordable Care Act / Obamacare, AlphaGo, Amazon Mechanical Turk, Apollo 13, augmented reality, autonomous vehicles, barriers to entry, basic income, benefit corporation, Big Tech, big-box store, bitcoin, blue-collar work, business process, business process outsourcing, call centre, Capital in the Twenty-First Century by Thomas Piketty, cloud computing, cognitive load, collaborative consumption, collective bargaining, computer vision, corporate social responsibility, cotton gin, crowdsourcing, data is the new oil, data science, deep learning, DeepMind, deindustrialization, deskilling, digital divide, do well by doing good, do what you love, don't be evil, Donald Trump, Elon Musk, employer provided health coverage, en.wikipedia.org, equal pay for equal work, Erik Brynjolfsson, fake news, financial independence, Frank Levy and Richard Murnane: The New Division of Labor, fulfillment center, future of work, gig economy, glass ceiling, global supply chain, hiring and firing, ImageNet competition, independent contractor, industrial robot, informal economy, information asymmetry, Jeff Bezos, job automation, knowledge economy, low skilled workers, low-wage service sector, machine translation, market friction, Mars Rover, natural language processing, new economy, operational security, passive income, pattern recognition, post-materialism, post-work, power law, race to the bottom, Rana Plaza, recommendation engine, ride hailing / ride sharing, Ronald Coase, scientific management, search costs, Second Machine Age, sentiment analysis, sharing economy, Shoshana Zuboff, side project, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, Skype, software as a service, speech recognition, spinning jenny, Stephen Hawking, TED Talk, The Future of Employment, The Nature of the Firm, Tragedy of the Commons, transaction costs, two-sided market, union organizing, universal basic income, Vilfredo Pareto, Wayback Machine, women in the workforce, work culture , Works Progress Administration, Y Combinator, Yochai Benkler

Forbes, December 18, 2017. https://www.forbes.com/sites/frederickdaso/2017/12/18/bill-gates-elon-musk-are-worried-about-automation-but-this-robotics-company-founder-embraces-it/. Dayton, Eldorous. Walter Reuther: The Autocrat of the Bargaining Table. New York: Devin-Adain, 1958. Deng, J., W. Dong, R. Socher, L. Li, Kai Li, and Li Fei-Fei. “ImageNet: A Large-Scale Hierarchical Image Database.” In 2009 IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition, 248–55. Piscataway, NJ: IEEE. https://doi.org/10.1109/CVPR.2009.5206848. Denyer, Simon. Rogue Elephant: Harnessing the Power of India’s Unruly Democracy. New York: Bloomsbury Press, 2014. DePillis, Lydia. “The Next Labor Fight Is Over When You Work, Not How Much You Make.” Wonkblog (blog), Washington Post, May 8, 2015. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2015/05/08/the-next-labor-fight-is-over-when-you-work-not-how-much-you-make.

Murphy, Machine Learning: A Probabilistic Perspective (Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 2012). [back] 9. Fei-Fei Li, “ImageNet: Where Have We Been? Where Are We Going?,” ACM Learning Webinar, https://learning.am.org/, accessed September 21, 2017; Deng et al., “ImageNet: A Large-Scale Hierarchical Image Database,” in 2009 IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (Piscataway, NJ: IEEE), 248–55. [back] 10. Accuracy went from 72 percent to 97 percent between 2010 and 2016. [back] 11. In fact, Alexander Wissner-Gross said, “Data sets—not algorithms—might be the limiting factor to development of human-level artificial intelligence.” See Alexander Wissner-Gross, “2016: What Do You Consider the Most Interesting Recent [Scientific] News?


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Being You: A New Science of Consciousness by Anil Seth

AlphaGo, artificial general intelligence, augmented reality, backpropagation, carbon-based life, Claude Shannon: information theory, computer age, computer vision, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, coronavirus, correlation does not imply causation, CRISPR, cryptocurrency, deep learning, deepfake, DeepMind, Drosophila, en.wikipedia.org, Filter Bubble, GPT-3, GPT-4, John Markoff, longitudinal study, Louis Pasteur, mirror neurons, Neil Armstrong, Nick Bostrom, Norbert Wiener, OpenAI, paperclip maximiser, pattern recognition, Paul Graham, Pierre-Simon Laplace, planetary scale, Plato's cave, precautionary principle, Ray Kurzweil, self-driving car, speech recognition, stem cell, systems thinking, technological singularity, TED Talk, telepresence, the scientific method, theory of mind, Thomas Bayes, TikTok, Turing test

The positions of animals and machines (real and imaginary) are illustrative. In this depiction, you’ll notice that current AI is located quite low on the intelligence scale. This is because it’s unclear whether current AI systems are intelligent in any meaningful sense. Much of today’s AI is best described as sophisticated machine-based pattern recognition, perhaps spiced up with a bit of planning. Whether intelligent or not, these systems do what they do without being conscious of anything. Projecting into the future, the stated moonshot goal of many AI researchers is to develop systems with the general intelligence capabilities of a human being – so-called ‘artificial general intelligence’, or ‘general AI’.

Neuroscience of Consciousness. Haun, A. M., & Tononi, G. (2019). ‘Why does space feel the way it does? Towards a principled account of spatial experience’. Entropy, 21(12), 1160. He, K., Zhang, X., Ren, S., et al. (2016). ‘Deep residual learning for image recognition’. In 2016 IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (CVPR). Heilbron, M., Richter, D., Ekman, M., et al. (2020). ‘Word contexts enhance the neural representation of individual letters in early visual cortex’. Nature Communications, 11(1), 321. Herculano-Houzel, S. (2009). ‘The human brain in numbers: a linearly scaled-up primate brain’. Frontiers in Human Neuroscience, 3, 31.


pages: 116 words: 31,356

Platform Capitalism by Nick Srnicek

"World Economic Forum" Davos, 3D printing, additive manufacturing, Airbnb, Amazon Mechanical Turk, Amazon Web Services, Big Tech, Californian Ideology, Capital in the Twenty-First Century by Thomas Piketty, cloud computing, collaborative economy, collective bargaining, data science, deindustrialization, deskilling, Didi Chuxing, digital capitalism, digital divide, disintermediation, driverless car, Ford Model T, future of work, gig economy, independent contractor, Infrastructure as a Service, Internet of things, Jean Tirole, Jeff Bezos, knowledge economy, knowledge worker, liquidity trap, low interest rates, low skilled workers, Lyft, Mark Zuckerberg, means of production, mittelstand, multi-sided market, natural language processing, Network effects, new economy, Oculus Rift, offshore financial centre, pattern recognition, platform as a service, quantitative easing, RFID, ride hailing / ride sharing, Robert Gordon, Salesforce, self-driving car, sharing economy, Shoshana Zuboff, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, software as a service, surveillance capitalism, TaskRabbit, the built environment, total factor productivity, two-sided market, Uber and Lyft, Uber for X, uber lyft, unconventional monetary instruments, unorthodox policies, vertical integration, warehouse robotics, Zipcar

Software, for instance, is increasingly deployed on a subscription basis; Adobe, Google, and Microsoft have all started to incorporate this practice. Likewise, the sophisticated analytical tools that Google has developed are now beginning to be rented out as part of its AWS competitor.37 Other businesses can now rent the ability to use pattern recognition algorithms and audio transcription services. In other words, Google is selling its machine-learning processes (and this is precisely where Google sees its advantage over its competitors in the cloud computing field). Microsoft, meanwhile, has built an artificial intelligence platform that gives businesses the software development tools to build their own bots (‘intelligence as a service’, in the contemporary lingo).


pages: 903 words: 235,753

The Stack: On Software and Sovereignty by Benjamin H. Bratton

1960s counterculture, 3D printing, 4chan, Ada Lovelace, Adam Curtis, additive manufacturing, airport security, Alan Turing: On Computable Numbers, with an Application to the Entscheidungsproblem, algorithmic trading, Amazon Mechanical Turk, Amazon Robotics, Amazon Web Services, Andy Rubin, Anthropocene, augmented reality, autonomous vehicles, basic income, Benevolent Dictator For Life (BDFL), Berlin Wall, bioinformatics, Biosphere 2, bitcoin, blockchain, Buckminster Fuller, Burning Man, call centre, capitalist realism, carbon credits, carbon footprint, carbon tax, carbon-based life, Cass Sunstein, Celebration, Florida, Charles Babbage, charter city, clean water, cloud computing, company town, congestion pricing, connected car, Conway's law, corporate governance, crowdsourcing, cryptocurrency, dark matter, David Graeber, deglobalization, dematerialisation, digital capitalism, digital divide, disintermediation, distributed generation, don't be evil, Douglas Engelbart, Douglas Engelbart, driverless car, Edward Snowden, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, Eratosthenes, Ethereum, ethereum blockchain, Evgeny Morozov, facts on the ground, Flash crash, Frank Gehry, Frederick Winslow Taylor, fulfillment center, functional programming, future of work, Georg Cantor, gig economy, global supply chain, Google Earth, Google Glasses, Guggenheim Bilbao, High speed trading, high-speed rail, Hyperloop, Ian Bogost, illegal immigration, industrial robot, information retrieval, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), intermodal, Internet of things, invisible hand, Jacob Appelbaum, James Bridle, Jaron Lanier, Joan Didion, John Markoff, John Perry Barlow, Joi Ito, Jony Ive, Julian Assange, Khan Academy, Kim Stanley Robinson, Kiva Systems, Laura Poitras, liberal capitalism, lifelogging, linked data, lolcat, Mark Zuckerberg, market fundamentalism, Marshall McLuhan, Masdar, McMansion, means of production, megacity, megaproject, megastructure, Menlo Park, Minecraft, MITM: man-in-the-middle, Monroe Doctrine, Neal Stephenson, Network effects, new economy, Nick Bostrom, ocean acidification, off-the-grid, offshore financial centre, oil shale / tar sands, Oklahoma City bombing, OSI model, packet switching, PageRank, pattern recognition, peak oil, peer-to-peer, performance metric, personalized medicine, Peter Eisenman, Peter Thiel, phenotype, Philip Mirowski, Pierre-Simon Laplace, place-making, planetary scale, pneumatic tube, post-Fordism, precautionary principle, RAND corporation, recommendation engine, reserve currency, rewilding, RFID, Robert Bork, Sand Hill Road, scientific management, self-driving car, semantic web, sharing economy, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley ideology, skeuomorphism, Slavoj Žižek, smart cities, smart grid, smart meter, Snow Crash, social graph, software studies, South China Sea, sovereign wealth fund, special economic zone, spectrum auction, Startup school, statistical arbitrage, Steve Jobs, Steven Levy, Stewart Brand, Stuxnet, Superbowl ad, supply-chain management, supply-chain management software, synthetic biology, TaskRabbit, technological determinism, TED Talk, the built environment, The Chicago School, the long tail, the scientific method, Torches of Freedom, transaction costs, Turing complete, Turing machine, Turing test, undersea cable, universal basic income, urban planning, Vernor Vinge, vertical integration, warehouse automation, warehouse robotics, Washington Consensus, web application, Westphalian system, WikiLeaks, working poor, Y Combinator, yottabyte

This complicates its assignment to clarify things for us, as any query of the world results in so much raw information coming back to the User in response that another question must be asked of the first answer in the form of a reductive visualization, and inside the bounding frame of that diagram, pattern recognition begins to take over for interpretation. This drawing of coherent wholes gathers multiple events and effects into a conceptual whole as if they were a single thing, and in the interfacial landscape, they in fact are one and many at the same time (just as an automobile comprises hundreds of smaller machines, not to mention legal, political, and cultural attributes and determinants, but these are understood in the singular, a car, and the plural at the same time).

Ultimately the provision of an affectively compelling and instrumentally effective image of a composite interface chain becomes a strategic expertise, as information designers carve out a niche to provide convincing images of organization, tempo, and narrative.38 For Users, they compose cognitive maps of multiple layers of exchange drawn at once, gathered into provisional total images (for which pattern recognition and intentional, motivated interpretation can start to merge.)39 Moreover, such image interfaces are not only maps of flows as they exist according to whatever logic of reduction they invoke; they are also tools that reproject and extend their conceptual gathering of relations back out onto the world.

As a research model, it draws an explosion of traditional, individuated patient models into pluralized platforms in which every User's genomic, nutritional, neuronal, microbial, and environmental data would be systematically aggregated into an information commons where new kinds of analysis and pattern recognition could mature. The thickened interrelations of intrinsic and extrinsic force further dissolve the individuation of the singular patient toward alternative, as yet unnamed patterns of biological plasticity. The tracing of pathologies across multiple biological scales, over time and over multiple populations at such comprehensive scope and granular detail, would surely also reform basic concepts of “disease,” from one recognizing swatches of individuated symptoms toward one governing nuanced economies of symbiotic infection, transfer, and immunization across multiple host sites, and smart enough to see some contamination as enabling health, not preventing it.27 In time we see projects designing artificial intelligence systems that could interpret the exabytes of real time and archived data and produce interpretive causal models, images of emergent patterns, that startle diagnosticians and patients alike.


pages: 688 words: 107,867

Python Data Analytics: With Pandas, NumPy, and Matplotlib by Fabio Nelli

Amazon Web Services, backpropagation, centre right, computer vision, data science, Debian, deep learning, DevOps, functional programming, Google Earth, Guido van Rossum, Internet of things, optical character recognition, pattern recognition, sentiment analysis, speech recognition, statistical model, web application

Generally these libraries are defined as SciKits, hence the first part of the name of this library. The second part of the library’s name is derived from machine learning, the discipline pertaining to this library. Machine Learning Machine learning is a discipline that deals with the study of methods for pattern recognition in datasets undergoing data analysis. In particular, it deals with the development of algorithms that learn from data and make predictions. Each methodology is based on building a specific model. There are very many methods that belong to the learning machine, each with its unique characteristics, which are specific to the nature of the data and the predictive model that you want to build.

Analyzing these texts has therefore become a source of enormous interest, and there are many techniques that have been introduced for this purpose, creating a real discipline in itself. Some of the more important techniques are the following:Analysis of the frequency distribution of words Pattern recognition Tagging Analysis of links and associations Sentiment analysis The Natural Language Toolkit (NLTK) If you program in Python and want to analyze data in text form, one of the most commonly used tools at the moment is the Python Natural Language Toolkit (NLTK). NLTK is nothing more than a Python library ( https://www.nltk.org/ ) in which there are many tools specialized in processing and text data analysis.


pages: 370 words: 107,983

Rage Inside the Machine: The Prejudice of Algorithms, and How to Stop the Internet Making Bigots of Us All by Robert Elliott Smith

"World Economic Forum" Davos, Ada Lovelace, adjacent possible, affirmative action, AI winter, Alfred Russel Wallace, algorithmic bias, algorithmic management, AlphaGo, Amazon Mechanical Turk, animal electricity, autonomous vehicles, behavioural economics, Black Swan, Brexit referendum, British Empire, Cambridge Analytica, cellular automata, Charles Babbage, citizen journalism, Claude Shannon: information theory, combinatorial explosion, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, corporate personhood, correlation coefficient, crowdsourcing, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, data science, deep learning, DeepMind, desegregation, discovery of DNA, disinformation, Douglas Hofstadter, Elon Musk, fake news, Fellow of the Royal Society, feminist movement, Filter Bubble, Flash crash, Geoffrey Hinton, Gerolamo Cardano, gig economy, Gödel, Escher, Bach, invention of the wheel, invisible hand, Jacquard loom, Jacques de Vaucanson, John Harrison: Longitude, John von Neumann, Kenneth Arrow, Linda problem, low skilled workers, Mark Zuckerberg, mass immigration, meta-analysis, mutually assured destruction, natural language processing, new economy, Northpointe / Correctional Offender Management Profiling for Alternative Sanctions, On the Economy of Machinery and Manufactures, p-value, pattern recognition, Paul Samuelson, performance metric, Pierre-Simon Laplace, post-truth, precariat, profit maximization, profit motive, Silicon Valley, social intelligence, statistical model, Stephen Hawking, stochastic process, Stuart Kauffman, telemarketer, The Bell Curve by Richard Herrnstein and Charles Murray, The Future of Employment, the scientific method, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, The Wisdom of Crowds, theory of mind, Thomas Bayes, Thomas Malthus, traveling salesman, Turing machine, Turing test, twin studies, Vilfredo Pareto, Von Neumann architecture, warehouse robotics, women in the workforce, Yochai Benkler

The word originates from the Latin intueri (to consider) and the late Middle English intuit (to contemplate), and has a multitude of complex meanings including: unconscious cognition, inner sensing, insight, sensibility, the ability to understand something without conscious reasoning, unconscious pattern recognition and even illumination (in the spiritual sense). Intuition as a phenomenon hasn’t been formally studied much in psychology. However, in 2016, a team of Indonesian and Australian psychologists made intuition the subject of a carefully considered experiment.18 One of the researchers, Joel Pearson from the University of New South Wales, described their initial interpretation of intuition this way: Many people use the phrase ‘intuition’ to describe a sensation or feeling they have when making decisions, but these are only descriptions, they don’t provide strong evidence that we can use unconscious information in our brain or body to guide our behaviour.19 To test the theory that people can use unconscious information in decision-making in a way that ties to ‘sensations’ or ‘feelings’, the team conducted the following experiment.

Proceedings of the International Conference on Genetic Algorithms 1989, pp. 42–50. 17Discovered in 1929 by the biologist Sewall Wright, using a probability argument based on the binomial distribution. 18John Holland, 1975, Adaptation in Natural and Artificial Systems. Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press. 19S. Forrest, B. Javornik, R.E. Smith, and A. Perelson, 1993, Using Genetic Algorithms to Explore Pattern Recognition in the Immune System. Evolutionary Computation, 1(3): 191–212. 20David Tuckett, 2011, Minding the Markets: An Emotional Finance View of Financial Instability. Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan. 21George Soros, 1988, The Alchemy of Finance: Reading the Mind of the Market. London: Weidenfeld & Nicolson. 22D.


pages: 407 words: 104,622

The Man Who Solved the Market: How Jim Simons Launched the Quant Revolution by Gregory Zuckerman

affirmative action, Affordable Care Act / Obamacare, Alan Greenspan, Albert Einstein, Andrew Wiles, automated trading system, backtesting, Bayesian statistics, Bear Stearns, beat the dealer, behavioural economics, Benoit Mandelbrot, Berlin Wall, Bernie Madoff, Black Monday: stock market crash in 1987, blockchain, book value, Brownian motion, butter production in bangladesh, buy and hold, buy low sell high, Cambridge Analytica, Carl Icahn, Claude Shannon: information theory, computer age, computerized trading, Credit Default Swap, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, data science, diversified portfolio, Donald Trump, Edward Thorp, Elon Musk, Emanuel Derman, endowment effect, financial engineering, Flash crash, George Gilder, Gordon Gekko, illegal immigration, index card, index fund, Isaac Newton, Jim Simons, John Meriwether, John Nash: game theory, John von Neumann, junk bonds, Loma Prieta earthquake, Long Term Capital Management, loss aversion, Louis Bachelier, mandelbrot fractal, margin call, Mark Zuckerberg, Michael Milken, Monty Hall problem, More Guns, Less Crime, Myron Scholes, Naomi Klein, natural language processing, Neil Armstrong, obamacare, off-the-grid, p-value, pattern recognition, Peter Thiel, Ponzi scheme, prediction markets, proprietary trading, quantitative hedge fund, quantitative trading / quantitative finance, random walk, Renaissance Technologies, Richard Thaler, Robert Mercer, Ronald Reagan, self-driving car, Sharpe ratio, Silicon Valley, sovereign wealth fund, speech recognition, statistical arbitrage, statistical model, Steve Bannon, Steve Jobs, stochastic process, the scientific method, Thomas Bayes, transaction costs, Turing machine, Two Sigma

Simons had long held this view, but his recent big gains convinced him the approach was a winner. Simons hadn’t spent much time delving into financial history, though. Had he done so, Simons might have realized that his approach wasn’t especially novel. For centuries, speculators had embraced various forms of pattern recognition, relying on methods that bore similarity to some of the things Renaissance was doing. The fact that many of these colorful characters had failed miserably, or were outright charlatans, didn’t augur well for Simons. The roots of Simons’s investing style reached as far back as Babylonian times, when early traders recorded the prices of barley, dates, and other crops on clay tablets, hoping to forecast future moves.

Some top, modern traders, including Stanley Druckenmiller, consult charts to confirm existing investment theses. Professor Lo and others argue that technical analysts were the “forerunners” of quantitative investing. However, their methods were never subjected to independent and thorough testing, and most of their rules arose from a mysterious combination of human pattern recognition and reasonable-sounding rules of thumb, raising questions about their efficacy.4 Like the technical traders before him, Simons practiced a form of pattern analysis and searched for telltale sequences and correlations in market data. He hoped to have a bit more luck than investors before him by doing his trading in a more scientific manner, however.


pages: 338 words: 104,815

Nobody's Fool: Why We Get Taken in and What We Can Do About It by Daniel Simons, Christopher Chabris

Abraham Wald, Airbnb, artificial general intelligence, Bernie Madoff, bitcoin, Bitcoin "FTX", blockchain, Boston Dynamics, butterfly effect, call centre, Carmen Reinhart, Cass Sunstein, ChatGPT, Checklist Manifesto, choice architecture, computer vision, contact tracing, coronavirus, COVID-19, cryptocurrency, DALL-E, data science, disinformation, Donald Trump, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, fake news, false flag, financial thriller, forensic accounting, framing effect, George Akerlof, global pandemic, index fund, information asymmetry, information security, Internet Archive, Jeffrey Epstein, Jim Simons, John von Neumann, Keith Raniere, Kenneth Rogoff, London Whale, lone genius, longitudinal study, loss aversion, Mark Zuckerberg, meta-analysis, moral panic, multilevel marketing, Nelson Mandela, pattern recognition, Pershing Square Capital Management, pets.com, placebo effect, Ponzi scheme, power law, publication bias, randomized controlled trial, replication crisis, risk tolerance, Robert Shiller, Ronald Reagan, Rubik’s Cube, Sam Bankman-Fried, Satoshi Nakamoto, Saturday Night Live, Sharpe ratio, short selling, side hustle, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, Skype, smart transportation, sovereign wealth fund, statistical model, stem cell, Steve Jobs, sunk-cost fallacy, survivorship bias, systematic bias, TED Talk, transcontinental railway, WikiLeaks, Y2K

Imagine trying to spot one shape that’s staying the same color when a dozen other shapes change color every time.28 The difficulty of this task makes what Elisabeth Bik does extremely impressive. Bik, a Dutch microbiologist who became an independent fraud investigator, is a grandmaster at spotting “sameness” across images that are supposed to be entirely different. She relies on exceptional pattern recognition skills to spot duplicated parts of scientific images, even when the copied bits have been tweaked to make them look different—for example, by enlarging, shrinking, rotating, or adding random visual noise to them. Bik has exposed thousands of cases of duplication in published articles and was primarily responsible for exposing at least one “paper mill”—a single source of apparently fabricated data that went into four hundred different scientific articles.

In her audit of the journal Molecular and Cellular Biology, she found that fifty-nine papers—about 6 percent—had evidence of altered or duplicated images. Because of her efforts, five papers have been retracted and another forty-one have been corrected.29 Sometimes data duplication is so obvious that finding it doesn’t require exceptional pattern recognition skills—it only requires noticing the mysterious recurrence of the same numbers in different papers. Data sleuth Nick Brown observed a suspicious level of consistency in the numbers of people responding to surveys by nutrition researcher Brian Wansink, even when the recruiting procedures for the studies differed.


Evidence-Based Technical Analysis: Applying the Scientific Method and Statistical Inference to Trading Signals by David Aronson

Albert Einstein, Andrew Wiles, asset allocation, availability heuristic, backtesting, Black Swan, book value, butter production in bangladesh, buy and hold, capital asset pricing model, cognitive dissonance, compound rate of return, computerized trading, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, distributed generation, Elliott wave, en.wikipedia.org, equity risk premium, feminist movement, Great Leap Forward, hindsight bias, index fund, invention of the telescope, invisible hand, Long Term Capital Management, managed futures, mental accounting, meta-analysis, p-value, pattern recognition, Paul Samuelson, Ponzi scheme, price anchoring, price stability, quantitative trading / quantitative finance, Ralph Nelson Elliott, random walk, retrograde motion, revision control, risk free rate, risk tolerance, risk-adjusted returns, riskless arbitrage, Robert Shiller, Sharpe ratio, short selling, source of truth, statistical model, stocks for the long run, sugar pill, systematic trading, the scientific method, transfer pricing, unbiased observer, yield curve, Yogi Berra

Two firms with which I had contact in the late 1970s that were using statistical pattern recognition and adaptive learning networks were Braxton Corporation in Boston, Massachusetts, and AMTEC Inc. in Ogden, Utah. I started Raden Research Group, Inc. in 1982. 32. A.M. Safer, “A Comparison of Two Data Mining Techniques to Predict Abnormal Stock Market Returns, Intelligent Data Analysis 7, no. 1 (2003), 3–14; G. Armano, A. Murru, and F. Roli, “Stock Market Prediction by a Mixture of Genetic-Neural Experts,” International Journal of Pattern Recognition & Artificial Intelligence 16, no. 5 (August 2002), 501–528; G. Armano, M.

The chapter also contains an excellent list of references of other research relating to this topic. 30. A.M. Safer, “A Comparison of Two Data Mining Techniques to Predict Abnormal Stock Market Returns,” Intelligent Data Analysis 7, no. 1 (2003), 3–14; G. Armano, A. Murru, and F. Roli, “Stock Market Prediction by a Mixture of Genetic-Neural Experts,” International Journal of Pattern Recognition & Artificial Intelligence 16, no. 5 (August 2002), 501–528; G. Armano, M. Marchesi, and A. Murru, “A Hybrid Genetic-Neural Architecture for Stock In- Notes 479 dexes Forecasting,” Information Sciences 170, no. 1 (February 2005), 3–33; T. Chenoweth, Z.O. Sauchi, and S. Lee, “Embedding Technical Analysis into Neural Network Based Trading Systems,” Applied Artificial Intelligence 10, no. 6 (December 1996), 523–542; S.


pages: 612 words: 187,431

The Art of UNIX Programming by Eric S. Raymond

A Pattern Language, Albert Einstein, Apple Newton, barriers to entry, bioinformatics, Boeing 747, Clayton Christensen, combinatorial explosion, commoditize, Compatible Time-Sharing System, correlation coefficient, David Brooks, Debian, Dennis Ritchie, domain-specific language, don't repeat yourself, Donald Knuth, end-to-end encryption, Everything should be made as simple as possible, facts on the ground, finite state, Free Software Foundation, general-purpose programming language, George Santayana, history of Unix, Innovator's Dilemma, job automation, Ken Thompson, Larry Wall, level 1 cache, machine readable, macro virus, Multics, MVC pattern, Neal Stephenson, no silver bullet, OSI model, pattern recognition, Paul Graham, peer-to-peer, premature optimization, pre–internet, publish or perish, revision control, RFC: Request For Comment, Richard Stallman, Robert Metcalfe, Steven Levy, the Cathedral and the Bazaar, transaction costs, Turing complete, Valgrind, wage slave, web application

More than once I've found that splitting input handling into two levels made the code much simpler and easier to understand, despite the complexity added by the split itself. -- Henry Spencer lex was written to automate the task of generating lexical analyzers (tokenizers) for compilers. It turned out to have a surprisingly wide range of uses for other kinds of pattern recognition, and has since been described as “the Swiss-army knife of Unix programming”.[130] If you are attacking any kind of pattern-recognition or state-machine problem in which all the possible input stimuli will fit in a byte, lex may enable you to generate code that will be more efficient and reliable than a hand-crafted state machine. John Jarvis at Holmdel [an AT&T laboratory] used lex to find faults in circuit boards, by scanning the board, using a chain-encoding technique to represent the edges of areas on the board, and then using Lex to define patterns that would catch common fabrication errors. -- Mike Lesk Most importantly, the lex specification minilanguage is much higher-level and more compact than equivalent handcrafted C.

But there is another effect at work as well; textualized versions of data tend to have useful redundancies (such as using whitespace for visual separation as well as explicit delimiters for parsing). These are present to make them easier to read for humans, but also have the effect of making them more resistant to being irreparably trashed by point failures. A corrupted chunk in a PNG file is seldom recoverable, but the human capacity for pattern recognition and reasoning from context might be able to repair the equivalent SNG form. Over and over again, the Rule of Robustness is clear. Simplicity plus transparency lowers costs, reduces everybody's stress, and frees people to concentrate on new problems rather than cleaning up after old mistakes


pages: 121 words: 36,908

Four Futures: Life After Capitalism by Peter Frase

Aaron Swartz, Airbnb, Anthropocene, basic income, bitcoin, business cycle, call centre, Capital in the Twenty-First Century by Thomas Piketty, carbon footprint, carbon tax, congestion pricing, cryptocurrency, deindustrialization, do what you love, Dogecoin, Donald Shoup, Edward Snowden, emotional labour, Erik Brynjolfsson, Ferguson, Missouri, fixed income, full employment, future of work, green new deal, Herbert Marcuse, high net worth, high-speed rail, income inequality, industrial robot, informal economy, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), iterative process, Jevons paradox, job automation, John Maynard Keynes: Economic Possibilities for our Grandchildren, Kim Stanley Robinson, litecoin, mass incarceration, means of production, military-industrial complex, Occupy movement, pattern recognition, peak oil, plutocrats, post-work, postindustrial economy, price mechanism, private military company, Ray Kurzweil, Robert Gordon, Second Machine Age, self-driving car, sharing economy, Silicon Valley, smart meter, TaskRabbit, technoutopianism, The future is already here, The Future of Employment, Thomas Malthus, Tyler Cowen, Tyler Cowen: Great Stagnation, universal basic income, Wall-E, warehouse robotics, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, We are the 99%, Wolfgang Streeck

But while such stories are fairly transparent allegories of the class society we already live in, it is not hard to find others who have pushed the boundary further, speculating about the long-term implications of present-day trends. The interface between the actual and the potential manifests itself most potently in the near-future fictions of those authors who place their stories just a few steps ahead of the present, like William Gibson in his early twenty-first-century series of novels (Pattern Recognition, Spook Country, Zero History) or Cory Doctorow in Homeland (and the forthcoming Walkaway). The significance of information technology, automation, surveillance, ecological destruction—themes that will echo throughout this book—recur in these novels. The political implications of different imagined worlds have also begun to come to the fore.


pages: 161 words: 39,526

Applied Artificial Intelligence: A Handbook for Business Leaders by Mariya Yao, Adelyn Zhou, Marlene Jia

Airbnb, algorithmic bias, AlphaGo, Amazon Web Services, artificial general intelligence, autonomous vehicles, backpropagation, business intelligence, business process, call centre, chief data officer, cognitive load, computer vision, conceptual framework, data science, deep learning, DeepMind, en.wikipedia.org, fake news, future of work, Geoffrey Hinton, industrial robot, information security, Internet of things, iterative process, Jeff Bezos, job automation, machine translation, Marc Andreessen, natural language processing, new economy, OpenAI, pattern recognition, performance metric, price discrimination, randomized controlled trial, recommendation engine, robotic process automation, Salesforce, self-driving car, sentiment analysis, Silicon Valley, single source of truth, skunkworks, software is eating the world, source of truth, sparse data, speech recognition, statistical model, strong AI, subscription business, technological singularity, The future is already here

Or maybe he’s deeply empathetic and understands how you’re feeling even before you do. Human intelligence spans a wide spectrum of modalities, exhibiting abilities such as logical, spatial, and emotional cognition. Whether we are math geniuses or charismatic salesmen, we must utilize cognitive abilities like working memory, sustained attention, category formation, and pattern recognition to understand and succeed in the world every day. Though computers trounce humans at large-scale computational tasks, their expertise is narrow, and machine capability lags behind human intelligence in other areas. The rest of this chapter will help you to understand the state of artificial intelligence today.


pages: 405 words: 117,219

In Our Own Image: Savior or Destroyer? The History and Future of Artificial Intelligence by George Zarkadakis

3D printing, Ada Lovelace, agricultural Revolution, Airbnb, Alan Turing: On Computable Numbers, with an Application to the Entscheidungsproblem, animal electricity, anthropic principle, Asperger Syndrome, autonomous vehicles, barriers to entry, battle of ideas, Berlin Wall, bioinformatics, Bletchley Park, British Empire, business process, carbon-based life, cellular automata, Charles Babbage, Claude Shannon: information theory, combinatorial explosion, complexity theory, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, continuous integration, Conway's Game of Life, cosmological principle, dark matter, data science, deep learning, DeepMind, dematerialisation, double helix, Douglas Hofstadter, driverless car, Edward Snowden, epigenetics, Flash crash, Google Glasses, Gödel, Escher, Bach, Hans Moravec, income inequality, index card, industrial robot, intentional community, Internet of things, invention of agriculture, invention of the steam engine, invisible hand, Isaac Newton, Jacquard loom, Jacques de Vaucanson, James Watt: steam engine, job automation, John von Neumann, Joseph-Marie Jacquard, Kickstarter, liberal capitalism, lifelogging, machine translation, millennium bug, mirror neurons, Moravec's paradox, natural language processing, Nick Bostrom, Norbert Wiener, off grid, On the Economy of Machinery and Manufactures, packet switching, pattern recognition, Paul Erdős, Plato's cave, post-industrial society, power law, precautionary principle, prediction markets, Ray Kurzweil, Recombinant DNA, Rodney Brooks, Second Machine Age, self-driving car, seminal paper, Silicon Valley, social intelligence, speech recognition, stem cell, Stephen Hawking, Steven Pinker, Strategic Defense Initiative, strong AI, Stuart Kauffman, synthetic biology, systems thinking, technological singularity, The Coming Technological Singularity, The Future of Employment, the scientific method, theory of mind, Turing complete, Turing machine, Turing test, Tyler Cowen, Tyler Cowen: Great Stagnation, Vernor Vinge, Von Neumann architecture, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, Y2K

Several repetitions later, the artificial neural network has ‘learned’ how to perform a good match between input and output – in other words it has learned how to correctly recognise the input. Artificial neural networks have since been used to perform pattern recognition in visual systems, machine learning, as well as other applications in which it has been difficult to code in a conventional way. But the approach was more or less abandoned by the late 1990s as new and more sophisticated statistical and signal-processing techniques arrived on the scene, which could perform most pattern recognition tasks satisfactorily using conventional computer architectures. However, connectionism has enjoyed a spectacular comeback in recent years.


pages: 396 words: 112,748

Chaos: Making a New Science by James Gleick

Benoit Mandelbrot, business cycle, butterfly effect, cellular automata, Claude Shannon: information theory, discrete time, Edward Lorenz: Chaos theory, experimental subject, Georg Cantor, Henri Poincaré, Herbert Marcuse, Isaac Newton, iterative process, John von Neumann, Louis Pasteur, mandelbrot fractal, military-industrial complex, Murray Gell-Mann, Norbert Wiener, pattern recognition, power law, Richard Feynman, scientific management, Stephen Hawking, stochastic process, trade route

Leon Glass of McGill University in Montreal was trained in physics and chemistry, where he indulged an interest in numbers and in irregularity, too, completing his doctoral thesis on atomic motion in liquids before turning to the problem of irregular heartbeats. Typically, he said, specialists diagnose many different arrhythmias by looking at short strips of electrocardiograms. “It’s treated by physicians as a pattern recognition problem, a matter of identifying patterns they have seen before in practice and in textbooks. They really don’t analyze in detail the dynamics of these rhythms. The dynamics are much richer than anybody would guess from reading the textbooks.” At Harvard Medical School, Ary L. Goldberger, co-director of the arrhythmia laboratory of Beth Israel Hospital in Boston, believed that the heart research represented a threshold for collaboration between physiologists and mathematicians and physicists.

In astronomy chaos experts use unexpected gravitational instabilities to explain the origin of meteorites—the seemingly inexplicable catapulting of asteroids from far beyond Mars. Scientists use the physics of dynamical systems to study the human immune system, with its billions of components and its capacity for learning, memory, and pattern recognition, and they simultaneously study evolution, hoping to find universal mechanisms of adaptation. Those who make such models quickly see structures that replicate themselves, compete, and evolve by natural selection. “Evolution is chaos with feedback,” Joseph Ford said. The universe is randomness and dissipation, yes.


pages: 352 words: 120,202

Tools for Thought: The History and Future of Mind-Expanding Technology by Howard Rheingold

Ada Lovelace, Alan Turing: On Computable Numbers, with an Application to the Entscheidungsproblem, Bletchley Park, card file, cellular automata, Charles Babbage, Claude Shannon: information theory, combinatorial explosion, Compatible Time-Sharing System, computer age, Computer Lib, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, conceptual framework, Conway's Game of Life, Douglas Engelbart, Dynabook, experimental subject, Hacker Ethic, heat death of the universe, Howard Rheingold, human-factors engineering, interchangeable parts, invention of movable type, invention of the printing press, Ivan Sutherland, Jacquard loom, John von Neumann, knowledge worker, machine readable, Marshall McLuhan, Menlo Park, Neil Armstrong, Norbert Wiener, packet switching, pattern recognition, popular electronics, post-industrial society, Project Xanadu, RAND corporation, Robert Metcalfe, Silicon Valley, speech recognition, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, Stewart Brand, Ted Nelson, telemarketer, The Home Computer Revolution, Turing machine, Turing test, Vannevar Bush, Von Neumann architecture

If, for example, you were to use a mouse to move a video pointer on the screen to touch a visual representation of a file folder or an out basket, and you could call the folder, for example, from the computer's memory and display a document from it on your screen simply by pointing to it, or send the contents of the computer-stored out basket to somebody else's in basket, then a person would be able to accomplish the kind of work done in offices, even if that person knew nothing about computer programming. Which, after all, was the potential future market that motivated Xerox management to create PARC and cut their whiz kids loose in the first place. Creating new kinds of computer input and output devices to help human pattern recognition mesh with mechanical symbol manipulation is known as "designing the human interface," an art and science that had to be created in the 1970s in the kind of human-computer partnership envisioned by Licklider and Engelbart in the 1960s, which could start to happen by the 1980s. Alan Kay's Smalltalk project played a key role in the evolution of the Alto interface, and as such was integral to the eventual company goals in the office automation market.

The understanding that is necessary for that to begin to happen involves admitting that we don't know what the purpose is, then finding out why we don't know, and figuring out together how we might come to understand. Perhaps computers can play a role in understanding that purpose. "This might sound very philosophical, but the nature of understanding is at the core of the problems AI programs are up against right now. Pattern recognition in artificial vision or hearing, the ability to understand natural language, the emulation of problem-solving, the design of an intelligent computer interface -- all of these research questions involve the nature of understanding. We don't know what the purpose of understanding is, or why you have to know a whole lot about the world in general to recognize a face or understand a sentence.


pages: 458 words: 116,832

The Costs of Connection: How Data Is Colonizing Human Life and Appropriating It for Capitalism by Nick Couldry, Ulises A. Mejias

"World Economic Forum" Davos, 23andMe, Airbnb, Amazon Mechanical Turk, Amazon Web Services, behavioural economics, Big Tech, British Empire, call centre, Cambridge Analytica, Cass Sunstein, choice architecture, cloud computing, colonial rule, computer vision, corporate governance, dark matter, data acquisition, data is the new oil, data science, deep learning, different worldview, digital capitalism, digital divide, discovery of the americas, disinformation, diversification, driverless car, Edward Snowden, emotional labour, en.wikipedia.org, European colonialism, Evgeny Morozov, extractivism, fake news, Gabriella Coleman, gamification, gig economy, global supply chain, Google Chrome, Google Earth, hiring and firing, income inequality, independent contractor, information asymmetry, Infrastructure as a Service, intangible asset, Internet of things, Jaron Lanier, job automation, Kevin Kelly, late capitalism, lifelogging, linked data, machine readable, Marc Andreessen, Mark Zuckerberg, means of production, military-industrial complex, move fast and break things, multi-sided market, Naomi Klein, Network effects, new economy, New Urbanism, PageRank, pattern recognition, payday loans, Philip Mirowski, profit maximization, Ray Kurzweil, RFID, Richard Stallman, Richard Thaler, Salesforce, scientific management, Scientific racism, Second Machine Age, sharing economy, Shoshana Zuboff, side hustle, Sidewalk Labs, Silicon Valley, Slavoj Žižek, smart cities, Snapchat, social graph, social intelligence, software studies, sovereign wealth fund, surveillance capitalism, techlash, The Future of Employment, the scientific method, Thomas Davenport, Tim Cook: Apple, trade liberalization, trade route, undersea cable, urban planning, W. E. B. Du Bois, wages for housework, work culture , workplace surveillance

This new model of knowledge requires collecting data continuously, so that N might as well be all. Why is that? One reason we have already given: whereas nineteenth-and twentieth-century smart sampling assumed data collection was expensive and difficult, Machine Learning’s challenge is basically not cost but time (how fast can a potentially infinite series of automated attempts at pattern recognition produce a usable proxy?).68 Since it is the size of the data set (N) over which processors calculate that determines the quality of the proxies generated, there is no reason to stop collecting data. On the contrary, one must always try to gather more. This technique can appear on the ground as little more than wishful thinking, as this employee of the Los Angeles Police Department put it: “All we’re doing right now is, ‘Let’s just collect more and more and more data and something good will just happen.’”69 Why in any case would a competing actor hold back from collecting more data about a human subject when it can do so?

The Volokh Conspiracy (blog), January 23, 2012. http://volokh.com/2012/01/23/whats-the-status-of-the-mosaic-theory-after-jones/. Khatchadourian, Raffi. “We Know How You Feel.” The New Yorker, January 12, 2015. Khosla, Aditya, Byoungkwon An, Joseph J. Lim, and Antonio Torralba. “Looking Beyond the Visible Scene.” In Proceedings of the IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition, Columbus, OH, 2014, 3710–17. Kirkpatrick, David. The Facebook Effect. New York: Simon and Schuster, 2010. Kitchin, Rob. The Data Revolution. London: Sage, 2014. Kitchin, Rob, and Martin Dodge. Code/Space. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 2011. Kitchin, Rob, and Gavin McArdle. “Urban Data and City Dashboards: Six Key Issues.”


The Code: Silicon Valley and the Remaking of America by Margaret O'Mara

A Declaration of the Independence of Cyberspace, accounting loophole / creative accounting, affirmative action, Airbnb, Alan Greenspan, AltaVista, Alvin Toffler, Amazon Web Services, An Inconvenient Truth, AOL-Time Warner, Apple II, Apple's 1984 Super Bowl advert, autonomous vehicles, back-to-the-land, barriers to entry, Ben Horowitz, Berlin Wall, Big Tech, Black Lives Matter, Bob Noyce, Buckminster Fuller, Burning Man, business climate, Byte Shop, California gold rush, Californian Ideology, carried interest, clean tech, clean water, cloud computing, cognitive dissonance, commoditize, company town, Compatible Time-Sharing System, computer age, Computer Lib, continuous integration, cuban missile crisis, Danny Hillis, DARPA: Urban Challenge, deindustrialization, different worldview, digital divide, Do you want to sell sugared water for the rest of your life?, don't be evil, Donald Trump, Doomsday Clock, Douglas Engelbart, driverless car, Dynabook, Edward Snowden, El Camino Real, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, Erik Brynjolfsson, Fairchild Semiconductor, Frank Gehry, Future Shock, Gary Kildall, General Magic , George Gilder, gig economy, Googley, Hacker Ethic, Hacker News, high net worth, hockey-stick growth, Hush-A-Phone, immigration reform, income inequality, industrial research laboratory, informal economy, information retrieval, invention of movable type, invisible hand, Isaac Newton, It's morning again in America, Jeff Bezos, Joan Didion, job automation, job-hopping, John Gilmore, John Markoff, John Perry Barlow, Julian Assange, Kitchen Debate, knowledge economy, knowledge worker, Larry Ellison, Laura Poitras, Lyft, Marc Andreessen, Mark Zuckerberg, market bubble, Mary Meeker, mass immigration, means of production, mega-rich, Menlo Park, Mikhail Gorbachev, military-industrial complex, millennium bug, Mitch Kapor, Mother of all demos, move fast and break things, mutually assured destruction, Neil Armstrong, new economy, Norbert Wiener, old-boy network, Palm Treo, pattern recognition, Paul Graham, Paul Terrell, paypal mafia, Peter Thiel, pets.com, pirate software, popular electronics, pre–internet, prudent man rule, Ralph Nader, RAND corporation, Richard Florida, ride hailing / ride sharing, risk tolerance, Robert Metcalfe, ROLM, Ronald Reagan, Salesforce, Sand Hill Road, Second Machine Age, self-driving car, shareholder value, Sheryl Sandberg, side hustle, side project, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley ideology, Silicon Valley startup, skunkworks, Snapchat, social graph, software is eating the world, Solyndra, speech recognition, Steve Ballmer, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, Steven Levy, Stewart Brand, Strategic Defense Initiative, supercomputer in your pocket, Susan Wojcicki, tacit knowledge, tech billionaire, tech worker, technoutopianism, Ted Nelson, TED Talk, the Cathedral and the Bazaar, the market place, the new new thing, The Soul of a New Machine, There's no reason for any individual to have a computer in his home - Ken Olsen, Thomas L Friedman, Tim Cook: Apple, Timothy McVeigh, transcontinental railway, Twitter Arab Spring, Uber and Lyft, uber lyft, Unsafe at Any Speed, upwardly mobile, Vannevar Bush, War on Poverty, Wargames Reagan, WarGames: Global Thermonuclear War, We wanted flying cars, instead we got 140 characters, Whole Earth Catalog, WikiLeaks, William Shockley: the traitorous eight, work culture , Y Combinator, Y2K

They were friends as well as colleagues and competitors; they chose their investments based on gut instinct as well as more traditional metrics. Much later, one of the region’s most successful and influential VCs, John Doerr, got in hot water after admitting that a major factor guiding his decisions was “pattern recognition.” The most successful entrepreneurs, he found, “all seem to be white, male, nerds who’ve dropped out of Harvard or Stanford and they absolutely have no social life. So when I see that pattern coming in,” he concluded, “it was very easy to decide to invest.”16 The entrepreneurs of the 1960s might not have been college dropouts in jeans and hoodies, but they, too, fit a pattern: engineering degrees from certain programs, some service in the military, conservative in their bearing and their politics, and utterly consumed and fascinated by technical challenges.

Pao lost her case in May of 2015, and while his allies publicly exulted at the win, Doerr was far more subdued. Coming right on the heels of green tech’s challenges, the lawsuit had taken an obvious emotional and professional toll. While remaining Kleiner’s chairman, he stepped back from active investing the following year. It was time for other masters of the universe to take over.23 PATTERN RECOGNITION In the early 1960s, when Draper and Johnson trolled the prune sheds in search of places to invest, the Valley was a remote, lightly settled place, where cul-de-sacs abruptly gave way to orchards and grazing land, striped with lightly traveled highways of raw concrete. Its electronics industry was niche, its brands mostly unknown, its wealth a fraction of what was to come.

As wealth grew, so did the mythos around how Silicon Valley was able to generate one innovative company after another. It was about allowing risks and not penalizing failure, they’d say. It was about putting engineering first—finding the best technical talent, with no bias about origin or pedigree. It was about that “pattern recognition” so fatefully identified by John Doerr, looking for the next Stanford or Harvard dropout with a wild but brilliant idea. Of all those assertions, Doerr’s slip-up came closest to the heart of the Valley’s secret. “West Coast investors aren’t bolder because they’re irresponsible cowboys, or because the good weather makes them optimistic,” wrote Paul Graham, founder of the Valley’s most influential tech incubator, Y Combinator, in 2007.


pages: 179 words: 42,006

Startup Weekend: How to Take a Company From Concept to Creation in 54 Hours by Marc Nager, Clint Nelsen, Franck Nouyrigat

Amazon Web Services, barriers to entry, business climate, fail fast, hockey-stick growth, invention of the steam engine, James Watt: steam engine, Mark Zuckerberg, minimum viable product, pattern recognition, Silicon Valley, TED Talk, transaction costs, web application, Y Combinator

Having witnessed his own and other startup problems for years, Blank says, “The same issues arose time and again: big company management styles versus entrepreneurs wanting to shoot from the hip; founders versus professional managers; engineering versus marketing; marketing versus sales; missed schedule issues; sales missing the plan, running out of money, [or having to] raise new money.” He says he “began to gain an appreciation of how world-class venture capitalists develop pattern recognition for these common types of problems. ‘Oh yes, company X, they're having problem 343. Here are the six likely ways that it will resolve, with these probabilities.’” Well, maybe it's not that exact. Blank talked to a few of his friends in the venture capital business who acknowledged that they had noticed these problems over the years.


pages: 133 words: 42,254

Big Data Analytics: Turning Big Data Into Big Money by Frank J. Ohlhorst

algorithmic trading, bioinformatics, business intelligence, business logic, business process, call centre, cloud computing, create, read, update, delete, data acquisition, data science, DevOps, extractivism, fault tolerance, information security, Large Hadron Collider, linked data, machine readable, natural language processing, Network effects, pattern recognition, performance metric, personalized medicine, RFID, sentiment analysis, six sigma, smart meter, statistical model, supply-chain management, warehouse automation, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, web application

Those data, combined with other public data such as census, meteorological, and even social networking data, create a unique capability that services the customer and Amazon as well. Much the same can be said for Facebook, where Big Data comes into play for critical features such as friend suggestions, targeted ads, and other member-focused offerings. Facebook is able to accumulate information by using analytics that leverage pattern recognition, data mash-ups, and several other data sources, such as a user’s preferences, history, and current activity. Those data are mined, along with the data from all of the other users, to create focused recommendations, which are reported to be quite accurate for the majority of users. BIG DATA REACHES DEEP Google leverages the Big Data model as well, and it is one of the originators of the software elements that make Big Data possible.


pages: 163 words: 42,402

Machine Learning for Email by Drew Conway, John Myles White

call centre, correlation does not imply causation, data science, Debian, natural language processing, Netflix Prize, pattern recognition, recommendation engine, SpamAssassin, text mining

In machine learning, the learning occurs by extracting as much information from the data as possible (or reasonable) through algorithms that parse the basic structure of the data and distinguish the signal from the noise. After they have found the signal, or pattern, the algorithms simply decide that everything else that’s left over is noise. For that reason, machine learning techniques are also referred to as pattern recognition algorithms. We can “train” our machines to learn about how data is generated in a given context, which allows us to use these algorithms to automate many useful tasks. This is where the term training set comes from, referring to the set of data used to build a machine learning process. The notion of observing data, learning from it, and then automating some process of recognition is at the heart of machine learning, and forms the primary arc of this book.


pages: 149 words: 41,934

Braving the Wilderness: The Quest for True Belonging and the Courage to Stand Alone by Brené Brown

Black Lives Matter, desegregation, Donald Trump, en.wikipedia.org, false flag, meta-analysis, pattern recognition, place-making, Sheryl Sandberg, TED Talk

First as a child, then as a teenager, I found my primary coping mechanism for not belonging in studying people. I was a seeker of pattern and connection. I knew if I could recognize patterns in people’s behaviors and connect those patterns to what people were feeling and doing, I could find my way. I used my pattern recognition skills to anticipate what people wanted, what they thought, or what they were doing. I learned how to say the right thing or show up in the right way. I became an expert fitter-in, a chameleon. And a very lonely stranger to myself. As time passed, I grew to know many of the people around me better than they knew themselves, but in that process, I lost me.


pages: 480 words: 123,979

Dawn of the New Everything: Encounters With Reality and Virtual Reality by Jaron Lanier

4chan, air gap, augmented reality, back-to-the-land, Big Tech, Bill Atkinson, Buckminster Fuller, Burning Man, carbon footprint, cloud computing, collaborative editing, commoditize, Computer Lib, cosmological constant, creative destruction, crowdsourcing, deep learning, Donald Trump, Douglas Engelbart, Douglas Hofstadter, El Camino Real, Elon Musk, fake news, Firefox, game design, general-purpose programming language, gig economy, Google Glasses, Grace Hopper, Gödel, Escher, Bach, Hacker Ethic, Hans Moravec, Howard Rheingold, hype cycle, impulse control, information asymmetry, intentional community, invisible hand, Ivan Sutherland, Jaron Lanier, John Gilmore, John Perry Barlow, John von Neumann, Kevin Kelly, Kickstarter, Kuiper Belt, lifelogging, mandelbrot fractal, Mark Zuckerberg, Marshall McLuhan, Menlo Park, military-industrial complex, Minecraft, Mitch Kapor, Mondo 2000, Mother of all demos, Murray Gell-Mann, Neal Stephenson, Netflix Prize, Network effects, new economy, Nick Bostrom, Norbert Wiener, Oculus Rift, pattern recognition, Paul Erdős, peak TV, Plato's cave, profit motive, Project Xanadu, quantum cryptography, Ray Kurzweil, reality distortion field, recommendation engine, Richard Feynman, Richard Stallman, Ronald Reagan, self-driving car, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, Skinner box, Skype, Snapchat, stem cell, Stephen Hawking, Steve Bannon, Steve Jobs, Steven Levy, Stewart Brand, systems thinking, technoutopianism, Ted Nelson, telemarketer, telepresence, telepresence robot, Thorstein Veblen, Turing test, Vernor Vinge, Whole Earth Catalog, Whole Earth Review, WikiLeaks, wikimedia commons

The engineering is similar to efforts to create programs that can probe and use devices without prior instructions. An example of this related work is found here: https://cacm.acm.org/magazines/2017/2/212445-model-learning/fulltext 9.   The terminology for algorithms that can interpret images and other natural data is in flux. During the period I recall in this book, the term “pattern recognition” was prominent, while in the new century, “machine learning” became more popular, since it was associated with some more effective ideas based on access to larger data sets. More recently, “deep learning” is ascendant, and it is associated with another step in making more effective algorithms.

See also cephalopods Octopus Butler Robot Oculus Oculus Rift oil exploration olfaction Olympics Ono, Yoko open-source movement operating system, first commercial optical bench optical sensors optic nerve optimizing compiler options for action, biasing Oracle Organ Mountains organomania origami oscillators oscilloscope pain management Palestine, Charlemagne Palo Alto Paracomp paralyzed bodies paranoia Parrish, Maxfield Pascal’s Wager patents Patricof, Alan pattern recognition Patterson, Penny Pauline, Mark Pausch, Randy Pavlov, Ivan PDP-11 computer Peace Prize of the German Book Trade Pentland, Sandy perception pereiopods perfection peripheral vision Perlin, Ken Perry, Commodore personal computers personal data, commerce and personal thinking Pfizer Phantom device phantom limbs phenotropic programming Philco photography photons physical reality physical therapy physics Piaget, Jean piano Piestrup, Ann McCormick pinnae Pixar Pixel Planes pixels Plants as Inventors (book) Platonic images Platonic sizzle Platonic Solids Pleiades Pluto Pocket Big Brain pointing and selecting on screen Polhemus Porras Luraschi, Javier postsymbolic communication poverty Power Glove power relationships Prime Directive printers Prisoner’s Dilemma privacy productivity software Programmers at Work (book) programming.


pages: 481 words: 125,946

What to Think About Machines That Think: Today's Leading Thinkers on the Age of Machine Intelligence by John Brockman

Adam Curtis, agricultural Revolution, AI winter, Alan Turing: On Computable Numbers, with an Application to the Entscheidungsproblem, algorithmic trading, Anthropocene, artificial general intelligence, augmented reality, autism spectrum disorder, autonomous vehicles, backpropagation, basic income, behavioural economics, bitcoin, blockchain, bread and circuses, Charles Babbage, clean water, cognitive dissonance, Colonization of Mars, complexity theory, computer age, computer vision, constrained optimization, corporate personhood, cosmological principle, cryptocurrency, cuban missile crisis, Danny Hillis, dark matter, data science, deep learning, DeepMind, Demis Hassabis, digital capitalism, digital divide, digital rights, discrete time, Douglas Engelbart, driverless car, Elon Musk, Emanuel Derman, endowment effect, epigenetics, Ernest Rutherford, experimental economics, financial engineering, Flash crash, friendly AI, functional fixedness, global pandemic, Google Glasses, Great Leap Forward, Hans Moravec, hive mind, Ian Bogost, income inequality, information trail, Internet of things, invention of writing, iterative process, James Webb Space Telescope, Jaron Lanier, job automation, Johannes Kepler, John Markoff, John von Neumann, Kevin Kelly, knowledge worker, Large Hadron Collider, lolcat, loose coupling, machine translation, microbiome, mirror neurons, Moneyball by Michael Lewis explains big data, Mustafa Suleyman, natural language processing, Network effects, Nick Bostrom, Norbert Wiener, paperclip maximiser, pattern recognition, Peter Singer: altruism, phenotype, planetary scale, Ray Kurzweil, Recombinant DNA, recommendation engine, Republic of Letters, RFID, Richard Thaler, Rory Sutherland, Satyajit Das, Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence, self-driving car, sharing economy, Silicon Valley, Skype, smart contracts, social intelligence, speech recognition, statistical model, stem cell, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, Steven Pinker, Stewart Brand, strong AI, Stuxnet, superintelligent machines, supervolcano, synthetic biology, systems thinking, tacit knowledge, TED Talk, the scientific method, The Wisdom of Crowds, theory of mind, Thorstein Veblen, too big to fail, Turing machine, Turing test, Von Neumann architecture, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, We are as Gods, Y2K

The real advance has been in the number-crunching power of digital computers. That has come from the steady Moore’s Law doubling of circuit density every two years or so, not from any fundamentally new algorithms. That exponential rise in crunch power lets ordinary-looking computers tackle tougher problems of Big Data and pattern recognition. Consider the most popular algorithms in Big Data and machine learning. One algorithm is unsupervised (requires no teacher to label data). The other is supervised (requires a teacher). They account for a great deal of applied AI. The unsupervised algorithm is called k-means clustering, arguably the most popular algorithm for working with Big Data.

It doesn’t always get to the top of the highest hill of probability; it does almost always get to the top of the nearest hill. That may be the best any learning algorithm can do in general. Carefully injected noise and other tweaks can speed the climb. But all paths still end at the top of the hill in a maximum-likelihood equilibrium. They all end in a type of machine-learning nirvana of locally optimal pattern recognition or function approximation. Those hilltop equilibria will look ever more impressive and intelligent as computers get faster. But they involve no more thinking than calculating some sums and then picking the biggest. Thus much of machine thinking is just machine hill-climbing. Marvin Minsky’s 1961 review paper “Steps Toward Artificial Intelligence” makes for a humbling read in this context, because so little has changed algorithmically since he wrote it.


pages: 394 words: 118,929

Dreaming in Code: Two Dozen Programmers, Three Years, 4,732 Bugs, and One Quest for Transcendent Software by Scott Rosenberg

A Pattern Language, AOL-Time Warner, Benevolent Dictator For Life (BDFL), Berlin Wall, Bill Atkinson, c2.com, call centre, collaborative editing, Computer Lib, conceptual framework, continuous integration, Do you want to sell sugared water for the rest of your life?, Donald Knuth, Douglas Engelbart, Douglas Engelbart, Douglas Hofstadter, Dynabook, en.wikipedia.org, Firefox, Ford Model T, Ford paid five dollars a day, Francis Fukuyama: the end of history, Free Software Foundation, functional programming, General Magic , George Santayana, Grace Hopper, Guido van Rossum, Gödel, Escher, Bach, Howard Rheingold, HyperCard, index card, intentional community, Internet Archive, inventory management, Ivan Sutherland, Jaron Lanier, John Markoff, John Perry Barlow, John von Neumann, knowledge worker, L Peter Deutsch, Larry Wall, life extension, Loma Prieta earthquake, machine readable, Menlo Park, Merlin Mann, Mitch Kapor, Neal Stephenson, new economy, Nicholas Carr, no silver bullet, Norbert Wiener, pattern recognition, Paul Graham, Potemkin village, RAND corporation, Ray Kurzweil, Richard Stallman, Ronald Reagan, Ruby on Rails, scientific management, semantic web, side project, Silicon Valley, Singularitarianism, slashdot, software studies, source of truth, South of Market, San Francisco, speech recognition, stealth mode startup, stem cell, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, Stewart Brand, Strategic Defense Initiative, Ted Nelson, the Cathedral and the Bazaar, Therac-25, thinkpad, Turing test, VA Linux, Vannevar Bush, Vernor Vinge, Wayback Machine, web application, Whole Earth Catalog, Y2K

“The world as our nervous systems know it is not based on single point measurements but on surfaces. Put another way, our environment has not necessarily agreed with our bodies in advance on temporal syntax. Our body is a surface that contacts the world on a surface. For instance, our retina sees multiple points of light at once.” Why not build software around the same principle of pattern recognition that human beings use to interface with reality? Base it on probability rather than certainty? Have it “try to be an ever better guesser rather than a perfect decoder”? These ideas have helped the field of robotics make progress in recent times after long years of frustrating failure with the more traditional approach of trying to download perfect models of the world, bit by painful bit, into our machines.

These ideas have helped the field of robotics make progress in recent times after long years of frustrating failure with the more traditional approach of trying to download perfect models of the world, bit by painful bit, into our machines. “When you de-emphasize protocols and pay attention to patterns on surfaces, you enter into a world of approximation rather than perfection,” Lanier wrote. “With protocols you tend to be drawn into all-or-nothing high-wire acts of perfect adherence in at least some aspects of your design. Pattern recognition, in contrast, assumes the constant minor presence of errors and doesn’t mind them.” Lanier calls this idea “phenotropic software” (defining it as “the interaction of surfaces”). He readily grants that his vision of programs that essentially “look at each other” is “very different and radical and strange and high-risk.”


pages: 502 words: 124,794

Nexus by Ramez Naam

artificial general intelligence, bioinformatics, Brownian motion, crowdsourcing, Golden Gate Park, Great Leap Forward, hive mind, Ken Thompson, low earth orbit, mandatory minimum, Menlo Park, pattern recognition, the scientific method, upwardly mobile, VTOL

That she got smarter. Augmented." "We have no proof…" Holtzmann said slowly. "But this is very suggestive." Kade nodded. Her work was indeed very very good. Awe-inspiring even. "The kind of augmentation you're talking about… That's not just a little memory boost or concentration aid. It's better pattern recognition. Better creativity. You're talking about enhancements beyond anything known about in the field today…" Holtzmann nodded. "Yes. She shows signs of being augmented in ways that surpass anything that we know of. That is something which concerns us." He paused, then continued. "And it's interesting that the first report of Nexus 1 came in 2033, just seven years ago… and one year after Dr Shu's return to science."

We can feed them enough to keep them at bay. And in the meantime, we'll do some remarkable things of our own. It washed over him. Images and plans from her mind. Mere glimpses. Paths towards boosted intelligence. Uploading minds from brains and into computers. Savant-like cognitive powers. Super memory. Pattern recognition that would put any data miner to shame. Knowledge banks shared mind to mind. True merger into group beings. Transformations of politics, economics, art… Intelligence and creativity that could pry apart the deepest mysteries of physics, of math, of every science known to man. She would change the world.


pages: 428 words: 121,717

Warnings by Richard A. Clarke

"Hurricane Katrina" Superdome, active measures, Albert Einstein, algorithmic trading, anti-communist, artificial general intelligence, Asilomar, Asilomar Conference on Recombinant DNA, Bear Stearns, behavioural economics, Bernie Madoff, Black Monday: stock market crash in 1987, carbon tax, cognitive bias, collateralized debt obligation, complexity theory, corporate governance, CRISPR, cuban missile crisis, data acquisition, deep learning, DeepMind, discovery of penicillin, double helix, Elon Musk, failed state, financial thriller, fixed income, Flash crash, forensic accounting, friendly AI, Hacker News, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Internet of things, James Watt: steam engine, Jeff Bezos, John Maynard Keynes: Economic Possibilities for our Grandchildren, knowledge worker, Maui Hawaii, megacity, Mikhail Gorbachev, money market fund, mouse model, Nate Silver, new economy, Nicholas Carr, Nick Bostrom, nuclear winter, OpenAI, pattern recognition, personalized medicine, phenotype, Ponzi scheme, Ray Kurzweil, Recombinant DNA, Richard Feynman, Richard Feynman: Challenger O-ring, risk tolerance, Ronald Reagan, Sam Altman, Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence, self-driving car, Silicon Valley, smart grid, statistical model, Stephen Hawking, Stuxnet, subprime mortgage crisis, tacit knowledge, technological singularity, The Future of Employment, the scientific method, The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver, Tunguska event, uranium enrichment, Vernor Vinge, WarGames: Global Thermonuclear War, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, women in the workforce, Y2K

When our ancestors had to decide whether or not to explore a cave they’d never seen before, their brains rapidly accounted for how often they’d experienced threats lurking in caves and made a rapid probability calculation as to whether or not exploring the cave was a good idea. Cognitive biases worked well when rapid pattern recognition and decision making was critical for survival, but in the modern world these processes can have unintended consequences. The availability bias tends to prejudice our interpretation and understanding of the world in favor of information that is most accessible in our memory, things that we have experienced in the recent past.

Often they are the first ones to generate or discover the data, but the evidence is usually not in question. It is their interpretation of the data that makes them step away from the previous consensus. They tend to see the problem leaping out of their data with a clarity that makes them unique. Some have an almost savant-like quality, an ability of instant pattern recognition in the clutter of data. *ORTHOGONAL THINKER: Cassandras tend to be among the first to think about a certain problem or issue and often are those who acquire the data that then causes alarm. Because of their originality, Cassandras come at the issue from a new perspective and incorporate data and concepts from other fields.


pages: 482 words: 121,173

Tools and Weapons: The Promise and the Peril of the Digital Age by Brad Smith, Carol Ann Browne

"World Economic Forum" Davos, Affordable Care Act / Obamacare, AI winter, air gap, airport security, Alan Greenspan, Albert Einstein, algorithmic bias, augmented reality, autonomous vehicles, barriers to entry, Berlin Wall, Big Tech, Bletchley Park, Blitzscaling, Boeing 737 MAX, business process, call centre, Cambridge Analytica, Celtic Tiger, Charlie Hebdo massacre, chief data officer, cloud computing, computer vision, corporate social responsibility, data science, deep learning, digital divide, disinformation, Donald Trump, Eben Moglen, Edward Snowden, en.wikipedia.org, Hacker News, immigration reform, income inequality, Internet of things, invention of movable type, invention of the telephone, Jeff Bezos, Kevin Roose, Laura Poitras, machine readable, Mark Zuckerberg, minimum viable product, national security letter, natural language processing, Network effects, new economy, Nick Bostrom, off-the-grid, operational security, opioid epidemic / opioid crisis, pattern recognition, precision agriculture, race to the bottom, ransomware, Ronald Reagan, Rubik’s Cube, Salesforce, school vouchers, self-driving car, Sheryl Sandberg, Shoshana Zuboff, Silicon Valley, Skype, speech recognition, Steve Ballmer, Steve Jobs, surveillance capitalism, tech worker, The Rise and Fall of American Growth, Tim Cook: Apple, Wargames Reagan, WikiLeaks, women in the workforce

“In complex domains, the number of rules can be enormous, and as new facts are added by hand, keeping track of exceptions to and interactions with other rules becomes impractical.”5 In many ways, we go about our human lives not by reasoning through rules, but by recognizing patterns based on experience.6 In hindsight, a system based on such detailed rules was perhaps an approach that only lawyers could love. Since the 1980s, an alternative approach to AI has proved superior. This approach uses statistical methods for pattern recognition, prediction, and reasoning, in effect building systems through algorithms that learn from data. During the last decade, leaps in computer and data science have led to the expanded use of so-called deep learning, or with neural networks. Our human brains contain neurons with synaptic connections that make possible our ability to discern patterns in the world around us.7 Computer-based neural networks contain computational units referred to as neurons, and they’re connected artificially so that AI systems can reason.8 In essence, the deep learning approach feeds huge amounts of relevant data to train a computer to recognize a pattern, using many layers of these artificial neurons.

Fifteen years ago, we employed almost one paralegal for every lawyer at Microsoft. But the ability to offer self-service-based assistance on an internal network has contributed to our needing today only one paralegal for every four lawyers. And with the growing ability of AI-based systems to master pattern recognition through machine learning, there is good reason to expect technology to continue to absorb tasks performed not only by paralegals but also by junior attorneys doing legal research. Even an advanced degree or sophisticated set of skills won’t keep workers from being robbed of their jobs. AI will impact every level of the income scale.


pages: 381 words: 120,361

Sunfall by Jim Al-Khalili

airport security, artificial general intelligence, augmented reality, Bletchley Park, Carrington event, cosmological constant, cryptocurrency, dark matter, David Attenborough, Fellow of the Royal Society, Higgs boson, imposter syndrome, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Internet of things, invisible hand, Kickstarter, lockdown, mass immigration, megacity, MITM: man-in-the-middle, off grid, pattern recognition, quantum cryptography, quantum entanglement, Silicon Valley, smart cities, sorting algorithm, South China Sea, stem cell, Stephen Hawking, Turing test

‘We believe it is, yes,’ replied Sarah without trying to hide her sense of pride in the work, even though, if she were honest, it was mostly done by a powerful AI. The computer simulations of the Sun no longer existed as thousands of lines of code written by human programmers. Like almost everything in the modern world that required the analysis and processing of huge amounts of data, pattern recognition and predicting how those patterns would evolve in time, it was really the job of deep neural networks rather than humans. She suddenly realized that Hogan and the other committee members were looking at her expectantly, waiting for her to say something more. Hogan broke the brief silence. ‘Well … we need to know what it tells us about the predictability and impact of any future events like the one that caused the recent geomagnetic storm that brought that plane down and, more importantly in my view, fried a quarter of the commsats over the Indian Ocean.

It wouldn’t help much staying offline either; the thousands of miniature cameras hidden throughout the infrastructure of the city could locate anyone within seconds. But Shireen wasn’t just anyone. She would need to keep on the move, and to stay hidden from prying cameras. A simple disguise wouldn’t be enough to hide her – pattern-recognition software running Grover algorithms would sift through a CCTV database of twenty million people going about their daily business throughout the city to find her just by the way she walked. No, she needed a squelch jammer, an illegal electronic device that could disrupt the video-feed signal from any cameras close enough to biometrically identify the person possessing it.


pages: 1,164 words: 309,327

Trading and Exchanges: Market Microstructure for Practitioners by Larry Harris

active measures, Andrei Shleifer, AOL-Time Warner, asset allocation, automated trading system, barriers to entry, Bernie Madoff, Bob Litterman, book value, business cycle, buttonwood tree, buy and hold, compound rate of return, computerized trading, corporate governance, correlation coefficient, data acquisition, diversified portfolio, equity risk premium, fault tolerance, financial engineering, financial innovation, financial intermediation, fixed income, floating exchange rates, High speed trading, index arbitrage, index fund, information asymmetry, information retrieval, information security, interest rate swap, invention of the telegraph, job automation, junk bonds, law of one price, London Interbank Offered Rate, Long Term Capital Management, margin call, market bubble, market clearing, market design, market fragmentation, market friction, market microstructure, money market fund, Myron Scholes, National best bid and offer, Nick Leeson, open economy, passive investing, pattern recognition, payment for order flow, Ponzi scheme, post-materialism, price discovery process, price discrimination, principal–agent problem, profit motive, proprietary trading, race to the bottom, random walk, Reminiscences of a Stock Operator, rent-seeking, risk free rate, risk tolerance, risk-adjusted returns, search costs, selection bias, shareholder value, short selling, short squeeze, Small Order Execution System, speech recognition, statistical arbitrage, statistical model, survivorship bias, the market place, transaction costs, two-sided market, vertical integration, winner-take-all economy, yield curve, zero-coupon bond, zero-sum game

The price impacts of the first momentum traders will correct the mistakes made by other traders. Later momentum traders will simply cause prices to overreact. ◀ * * * They may tabulate frequency distributions, run regressions, or employ esoteric pattern recognition models like neural networks. Some technical traders even consider psychological models in their attempts to predict when traders make mistakes. Whatever the method, the defining characteristic of technical trading is its emphasis on pattern recognition rather than on economic analyses of material fundamental information. Technical trading is not profitable in efficient markets. To trade profitably, technical traders must accurately predict price changes.

Technical traders use many methods to identify predictable price patterns. They most commonly analyze price and volume charts. These techniques are not very effective because our eyes often see patterns where none truly exist. Some technical traders use computers to identify patterns in data. * * * ▶ Pattern Recognition in the Food Chain Simple principles of evolutionary biology can explain why we often see patterns that do not really exist. Our primitive ancestors needed to recognize signs of danger in order to survive. Those who could not recognize these signs undoubtedly had fewer children than those who could.

See POETS Pacific Stock Exchange, 47 package dealers, 489–91 package trading market, 490 pages, 98 painting the tape, 259 PairGain Technologies, 267 pairs trading, 358–60 palladium, 566, 568 Pandick Press, 586 paper portfolios, 191, 426 parasitic traders, 194, 195, 245, 383, 388 pari-mutuel betting, 91 Paris Bourse, 389, 495, 543 participation in trade, 117 par value, 40 passive liquidity suppliers, 400 passive managers, 197, 442, 488 passive traders, 248–50, 278, 396–97, 423 patience, 532 pattern recognition, 231, 246 payments for order flow, 155, 162, 166, 514 pending orders, 71 penny jumping. See quote matching penny stocks, 255, 265 pension funds, 37, 252, 332 perfect foresight values, 223 perfectly competitive markets, 516, 517 perfectly hedged positions, 184 performance, 442–80 economic approaches to prediction, 475–76 evaluation methods, 445–50 evaluation problems, 443–45, 448, 466–71 of management and trading firms, 478 of managers, 451, 453–57, 462, 477 past, 452 portfolio, 443, 451 prediction problem, 450–52 statistical evaluation, 452–71 unforseeable factors, 443–44 perishable goods, 412, 416 permanent price effect, 435 permanent spread component.


pages: 669 words: 210,153

Tools of Titans: The Tactics, Routines, and Habits of Billionaires, Icons, and World-Class Performers by Timothy Ferriss

Abraham Maslow, Adam Curtis, Airbnb, Alexander Shulgin, Alvin Toffler, An Inconvenient Truth, artificial general intelligence, asset allocation, Atul Gawande, augmented reality, back-to-the-land, Ben Horowitz, Bernie Madoff, Bertrand Russell: In Praise of Idleness, Beryl Markham, billion-dollar mistake, Black Swan, Blue Bottle Coffee, Blue Ocean Strategy, blue-collar work, book value, Boris Johnson, Buckminster Fuller, business process, Cal Newport, call centre, caloric restriction, caloric restriction, Carl Icahn, Charles Lindbergh, Checklist Manifesto, cognitive bias, cognitive dissonance, Colonization of Mars, Columbine, commoditize, correlation does not imply causation, CRISPR, David Brooks, David Graeber, deal flow, digital rights, diversification, diversified portfolio, do what you love, Donald Trump, effective altruism, Elon Musk, fail fast, fake it until you make it, fault tolerance, fear of failure, Firefox, follow your passion, fulfillment center, future of work, Future Shock, Girl Boss, Google X / Alphabet X, growth hacking, Howard Zinn, Hugh Fearnley-Whittingstall, Jeff Bezos, job satisfaction, Johann Wolfgang von Goethe, John Markoff, Kevin Kelly, Kickstarter, Lao Tzu, lateral thinking, life extension, lifelogging, Mahatma Gandhi, Marc Andreessen, Mark Zuckerberg, Mason jar, Menlo Park, microdosing, Mikhail Gorbachev, MITM: man-in-the-middle, Neal Stephenson, Nelson Mandela, Nicholas Carr, Nick Bostrom, off-the-grid, optical character recognition, PageRank, Paradox of Choice, passive income, pattern recognition, Paul Graham, peer-to-peer, Peter H. Diamandis: Planetary Resources, Peter Singer: altruism, Peter Thiel, phenotype, PIHKAL and TIHKAL, post scarcity, post-work, power law, premature optimization, private spaceflight, QWERTY keyboard, Ralph Waldo Emerson, Ray Kurzweil, recommendation engine, rent-seeking, Richard Feynman, risk tolerance, Ronald Reagan, Salesforce, selection bias, sharing economy, side project, Silicon Valley, skunkworks, Skype, Snapchat, Snow Crash, social graph, software as a service, software is eating the world, stem cell, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, Stewart Brand, superintelligent machines, TED Talk, Tesla Model S, The future is already here, the long tail, The Wisdom of Crowds, Thomas L Friedman, traumatic brain injury, trolley problem, vertical integration, Wall-E, Washington Consensus, We are as Gods, Whole Earth Catalog, Y Combinator, zero-sum game

Jim once worked on a study involving large companies and research institutes trying to solve incredibly difficult problems like new circuit board designs. Volunteers were given psychedelics, and 44 out of the 48 problems were “solved,” meaning resulted in a patent, product, or publication. Jim attributes this to enhanced focus and pattern recognition. Low enough doses (i.e., 100 mcg of LSD or 200 mg of mescaline) can immensely increase the capacity to solve problems. “We said, ‘You may come to this study, and we’ll give you the most creative day of your life. But you have to have a problem which obsesses you that you have been working on for a couple of months and that you’ve failed [to solve].’ . . .

As an entrepreneur and investor, I am surrounded by people who try to categorize and generalize the factors that make a company successful. . . . Most people forget that innovation (and investing in innovation) is a business of exceptions. “It’s easy to understand why most investors rely on pattern recognition. It starts with a successful company that surprises everyone with a new model. Perhaps it is Uber and on-demand networks, Airbnb and the sharing economy, or Warby Parker and vertically integrated e-commerce. What follows is endless analysis and the mass adoption of a playbook that has already been played. . . .

Harris), Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy; Little Drummer’s Girl; The Russia House; The Spy Who Came in from the Cold (John le Carré), The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine (Michael Lewis), The Checklist Manifesto (Atul Gawande), all of Lee Child’s books Godin, Seth: Makers; Little Brother (Cory Doctorow), Understanding Comics (Scott McCloud), Snow Crash; The Diamond Age (Neal Stephenson), Dune (Frank Herbert), Pattern Recognition (William Gibson) AUDIOBOOKS: The Recorded Works (Pema Chödrön), Debt (David Graeber), Just Kids (Patti Smith), The Art of Possibility (Rosamund Stone Zander and Benjamin Zander), Zig Ziglar’s Secrets of Closing the Sale (Zig Ziglar), The War of Art (Steven Pressfield) Goldberg, Evan: Love You Forever (Robert Munsch), Watchmen; V for Vendetta (Alan Moore), Preacher (Garth Ennis), The Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy (Douglas Adams), The Little Prince (Antoine de Saint-Exupéry) Goodman, Marc: One Police Plaza (William Caunitz), The 4-Hour Workweek (Tim Ferriss), The Singularity Is Near (Ray Kurzweil), Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies (Nick Bostrom) Hamilton, Laird: The Bible, Natural Born Heroes (Christopher McDougall), Lord of the Rings (J.R.R.


pages: 796 words: 223,275

The WEIRDest People in the World: How the West Became Psychologically Peculiar and Particularly Prosperous by Joseph Henrich

agricultural Revolution, Bartolomé de las Casas, behavioural economics, British Empire, charter city, cognitive dissonance, Columbian Exchange, correlation does not imply causation, cotton gin, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, dark matter, delayed gratification, discovery of the americas, Edward Glaeser, en.wikipedia.org, endowment effect, epigenetics, European colonialism, experimental economics, financial innovation, Flynn Effect, fundamental attribution error, glass ceiling, income inequality, invention of agriculture, Isaac Newton, James Hargreaves, James Watt: steam engine, Johannes Kepler, John Snow's cholera map, joint-stock company, knowledge economy, land reform, longitudinal study, Menlo Park, mental accounting, meta-analysis, New Urbanism, pattern recognition, Pearl River Delta, profit maximization, randomized controlled trial, Republic of Letters, rolodex, social contagion, social web, sparse data, spinning jenny, Spread Networks laid a new fibre optics cable between New York and Chicago, Stanford marshmallow experiment, tacit knowledge, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, theory of mind, trade route, Tyler Cowen, ultimatum game, wikimedia commons, working-age population, World Values Survey, zero-sum game

Crucially, there was no obvious way to tell whether a psychological pattern found in Western undergraduates would hold cross-culturally, since existing research going back over a half century had revealed differences across populations in people’s susceptibility to visual illusions, spatial reasoning, memory, attention, patience, risk-taking, fairness, induction, executive function, and pattern recognition. Four years after our lunch in the basement, Ara, Steve, and I finally published “The weirdest people in the world?” in the journal Behavioral and Brain Sciences (2010), along with a commentary in Nature magazine. In these publications, we dubbed the populations so commonly used in psychological and behavioral experiments as “W.E.I.R.D.” because they came from societies that are Western, Educated, Industrialized, Rich, and Democratic.

Evidence from the modern world confirms that improved food availability and nutrition during gestation, infancy, and early childhood fosters the development of valued cognitive abilities and social motivations. Shocks like famines and food shortages, if they occur before about age five, inhibit the development of self-control, positive-sum thinking, and the acquisition of mental skills related to abstract problem-solving and pattern recognition. Early-life deprivations may also suppress the internalization of costly social norms, such as those related to impersonal trust and cooperation. In the modern world, this results in long-term effects that lower people’s educational attainment and income as adults.59 Historically, agricultural productivity in premodern Europe had been on the rise for centuries prior to the Industrial Revolution for both technological and psychological reasons.

Muthukrishna, Michael mutual aid mutual monitoring mutual obligations Nairobi Napoleon Bonaparte natural disasters natural philosophers natural rights natural selection; CREDs and; cultural evolution and; cultural learning and navigation neolocal residence nepotism Nestorian Christianity Nestorian Church Netherlands neurocognitive functioning neurological diversity neuroticism Newcomen, Thomas New Guinea New Ireland New Spain Newton, Isaac New World New York City New York Stock Exchange New Zealand Nggwal Bunafunei Ninety-Five Theses (Luther) Ningxia Nisbett, Richard nonconformity nonrelational institutions nonrelational morality nonrelational responses nonreproductive sexual activity Norenzayan, Ara normative standards norm-breakers norm-violators Norway novel animals nuclear family; children and; gradual creation of; kin-groups breaking down into; with neolocal residence Nuer nutrition obedience obligations occupational specialization Oceania “Of the Influence of Commerce on Manners” (Smith) Old Bailey Old High German Old Poor Law of 1601 Old World one-child policy Onorato, Massimiliano Gaetano orchestrated teamwork effect organizational norms organizational policies Oriental Church Oromo peoples Orthodox Church, see Eastern Orthodox Church other-esteem Otto I Out-In-Group Trust ownership paddy rice Paik, Christopher Paine, Thomas pair-bonding; bird species and; inbreeding avoidance and; instincts; monogamy and; polygynous Pakistan Paleolithic societies papal decisions papal privilege papermaking Papin, Denis parasite stress parenting parent-to-child transmission Parisian Royal Academy of Sciences participatory formal institutions participatory governance particularism particularistic responses Pashtun Passenger’s Dilemma pastoral societies paternity path-dependence patience; cultural evolution and; diffusion of; global distribution of; incentivizing; intensive kinship and; market integration and; measures of; shift in patriarchal patrilineages patriarchal power patrilineal clans patrilineal families patrilocal residence pattern recognition peace Peace of Augsburg peace treaties Pearl River delta peer-punishing opportunities Penn, William People’s Republic of China perjury permanent ties personal attributes personal identity personality personality psychologists personal mobility Peruvian Amazon Petition of Right petroleum PGG, see Public Goods Game Philadelphia Philippines Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society (journal) pig rearing Pinochet, Augusto plagiarism plague plant growth pocket watches poison polarization political centralization political institutions political integration political legitimacy political organization political parties political pluralism political power political units polyandrous marriage polyandry polygamous marriage polygamy polygynous marriage; children and; Hadza hunter-gatherers and; intergroup competition and; legal; low-status unmarried men and; women and polygynous pair-bonding polygynous societies polygyny; excess men created by; social dynamics of polygyny bias Polynesia Polynesian gods Pontius Paulinus population growth population-level differences pornography positive-sum thinking poverty prayer times pre-Christian Europe pre-Columbian period prefrontal cortex preindustrial world premarital labor period premodern states; clans and; formation of; kin-based institutions and; WEIRD societies and prestige-biased group transmission Principia (Newton) printing press private businesses private contracts private security property rights prostitution Protestantism; capitalism and; Cistercian Order and; Counter-Reformation and; democratic governance and; diffusion of; economic growth and; economic prosperity and; forms of; incest and; individualism and; Industrial Revolution and; literacy and; missionaries; origins of; Prussia and; Reformation; self-regulation and; sola scriptura and; spread of; suicide inducing effects of; Switzerland and; WEIRD psychology and Prussia psychological adaptations psychological by-products psychological changes psychological differences psychological diversity psychological fit psychologically-potent rituals psychological shifts psychological tethering psychological variation; China and; within Europe; global; India and; in individualism; Industrial Revolution and; patterns of psychology; food availability and; institutions and; kin-based institutions and; see also human psychology public goods Public Goods Game (PGG); average contributions in; China and; cooperation in; cousin marriage and; noncompetitive; Switzerland and public knowledge public services punishment; based on mitigating factors; collective; for crimes in China; gods and; informal; intensive kinship and; marriage and; of peers; supernatural; threat of; types of; see also Third-Party Punishment Game purgatory Puritan New England Pythagoras’s theorem Al Qaeda Qinghai Quakers racism RAG, see Random Allocation Game raiding Random Allocation Game (RAG) rationality reading refugees regulated-relational societies; kin-based institutions in; self-control; shame and relatedness relational contexts relational freedom relational mobility relational networks relational responses relationship-based norms religions, evolution of religiosity religious architecture religious beliefs; earthquakes and; economic productivity and; intergroup competition and; rituals and; sharing; shocks on religious convictions religious faith religious groups; intergroup competition and; war and remarriage Renaissance representative governance representative government Republic of Letters reputation; collective; judgments of; social norms enforced by; standards of residential mobility revenge-related actions revenge-seeking Revolutionary War rhythmic music Ricard, Samuel rice cultivation; China and; India and; intensive kinship and; psychological differences and; self-focus and Richardson, Gary Rights of Man (Paine) risk-taking rites of terror ritually-bonded young men rituals; ancestor gods and; attendance at; character of; communal; dance and; doctrinal; imagistic; initiation; intergroup competition and; internal harmony and; major; obligations of; psychologically-potent; religious beliefs and; social norms and; violation of; women and Robinson, James Rod and Frame Task Roebuck, John Roman Catholic Church, see Western Church Roman Empire; brothels and; Holy; kin-based institutions and; law of; Western Roman law romantic love Rome (ancient) Rousseau, Jean-Jacques routine practices Royal Exchange rubber boom ruggedness rule-based categories rule of law rural populations Rustagi, Devesh Salali, Deniz salvation Samburu Samoans Satan Saudi Arabia Savery, Thomas scale of cooperation scaling up Schulz, Jonathan Scientific Revolution Scotland Scottish Enlightenment second-generation immigrants secular primes secular rulers sedentism segmentary lineages; clans and; egalitarian societies and; Scotland and self-concepts self-control; diffusion of; influences on; intensive kinship and; shift in self-discipline self-enhancement self-esteem self-focus Self-focus Task Self Game self-governance self-government self-interest self-interested benchmark self-obsession self-regulation; incentivizing; Industrial Revolution and; marriage and; Middle Ages and; Protestantism and; psychological shifts and Sepik communities sexual attraction sexual jealousy sexual repulsion sexual slavery Al Shabab Shamash shame; collective; experiences of; guilt and; KII and; Matsigenka and; regulated-relational societies and shared identity shared interests Shariff, Azim Sharing Game shipbuilding Sicily Sierra Leone; civil society in; war exposure in silent trade sinners slavery slaves Slingerland, Ted small-scale religions small-scale societies small-scale tribal populations Smith, Adam social devaluation social expectations social incentives social interdependence sociality social networks; broad; building; dense; intensive kinship and; newly formed; organization of; relationships not in social norms; adhering to; apprenticeship and; clans and; complementary; cultural evolution and; culturally transmitted; distinct; enforced by reputation; impersonal interaction and; impersonal prosociality and; impersonal suite of; intensive kinship and; internal harmony and; marriage and; outcomes of; ritual and; violation of; violators of; war and social relationships social safety nets social skills social technologies social ties societal complexity societal evolution societal-level institutions sola scriptura solidarity; Durkheim on; fostering; in-group; of voluntary associations; war and sororate marriage Southeast Asia South Korea South Pacific sovereignty Spain; Islam and; southern speech processing Spencer, Archibald spinning mule spinning wheel Spirit of the Laws, The (Montesquieu) Środa state bureaucracies state-level institutions steam engine stock traders Stone Age populations stratification stress responses striatum Sudan suicide Suleiman the Magnificent Sunday effect supernatural beings: cultural evolution and; desire to serve; mentalizing abilities and; shared beliefs in supernatural beliefs; cultural evolution and; development of; pushing past; sharing supernatural surveillance super-tribes surplus boys surplus men Sursurunga surveillance Swan, Joseph Sweden Switzerland; participatory governance and; PGG and; Protestantism and symbolically-marked ethnic groups synchronous dance synchrony Synod of Hertford Synod of Neocaesarea taboos; broad-ranging; broken; food; imposition of; Ju/'hoansi, against incest; marriage and; MFP and; see also incest Tajik ethnolinguistic group Tajikistan talents Talhelm, Thomas Tambaran Tambaran gods Tambaran spirit house Tanzania tax collection team sports technologies; increasingly sophisticated; social temporal discounting temporal systems terminological systems testosterone; between-group competition and; boost; Christianity and; suppression of; trustworthiness evaluations and; WEIRD societies and Teutonic Knights theft Theory of Moral Sentiments, The (Smith) third-party norm enforcement Third-Party Punishment Game Thöni, Christian 300 rule Tierney, Brian tightness of societies Tilly, Charles time-related technologies time thrift; global variation in; High Middle Ages and; incentivizing Tocqueville, Alexis de Tongans “To the Councilmen of All Cities in Germany That They Establish and Maintain Christian Schools” (Luther) town councils town privileges trade; family-based organizations; Islam and; long-distance; silent; state bureaucracies and traditional societies traditions training regimens Traité Genéral du Commerce (Ricard) trance dance Triad Task tribalism tribal organizations tribal psychology Trinidad and Tobago trust; broad; China and; evaluations; impersonal; without impersonal trust; motivations for; variation in; see also impersonal trust Tsimane' peoples Turkey Tuzin, Donald Twelve Apostles (New Spain) Uganda Ukraine Ultimatum Game (UG) unfairness unilineal descent unilineal kinship institutions Unitarianism United Nations United States; belief in ghosts in; Bill of Rights; conformity and; Constitution; Declaration of Independence; economic growth and; evangelical churches and; Matsigenka and; South; state-funded education and; trust and Universal Declaration of Human Rights universalistic responses universalizing faiths universalizing religions universal morality; Christianity and; demanding; intensive kinship and; Western Church and; see also moral universalism universities; collective brain and; Middle Ages and; new; spread of University of Oxford University of Paris unpaid parking tickets urban centers; invention and; Middle Ages and; spread of urban charters urban clusters Urban II (Pope) urban incorporations urban interconnectedness urbanization; economic growth and; economic prosperity and; estimates for; Europe and; evolution of; High Middle Ages and; intensive kinship and; Islam and; occupational specialization and; rates; rise of; war and; WEIRD-5 personality dimensions and; widespread Urubamba River van Ypersele, Tanguy Vatican vegetarians ventral occipito-temporal region verbal memory Veronesi, Marcella Viking raiders village-level gods virtues Visigoths visual processing Voltaire voluntary associations; Black Death and; bonds among; competition and; in High Middle Ages; Japan and; proliferation of; in rural regions; solidarity of; spread of voluntary blood donations voluntary organizations; competition among; proliferation of voluntary social groups von Rueden, Chris voting vulcanized rubber wage labor walking speed war; China and; Christianity and; crimes; economic prosperity and; endemic; Europe and; experience of; exposure in Sierra Leone; human psychology and; impact of; individuals affected by; psychological impacts of; religious groups and; rural populations and; social norms and; solidarity and; urbanization and; violence related to; see also specific wars water mills Wathaurung tribe Watt, James Watts, Joseph weak family ties Weber, Max WEIRD-5; personality dimensions; traits highly genetically heritable; urbanization and WEIRD institutional frameworks WEIRD populations; intergroup competition and; isolation of WEIRD prosociality WEIRD psychology; aspects of; collective brain and; creation of; cultural; cultural evolution and; cultural evolutionary pathway of; emergence of; Europe and; genetic evolution and; High Middle Ages and; increasingly; individualism and; innovation and; key elements in; origins of; peculiarity of; Protestantism and; proto-; Western Church and WEIRD religion WEIRD science WEIRD societies; families in; immigration to; institutions acquired from; nonstudent adults in; premodern states and; testosterone and Western Church (Roman Catholic Church); competitors of; conformity and; cousin marriage and; domination by; Eastern Orthodox Church difference with; expansion of; exposure to; footprints of; High Middle Ages and; incest and; independence and; individualism and; indulgences and; influence of; intensive kinship and; kin-based institutions and; literacy and; marriage and; missionaries; modern European languages and; package of prohibitions; papal decisions; universal morality and; unusual nature of; WEIRD psychology and Western Empire Western Law Western Roman Empire what-cues Whitehurst, John who-cues Why Nations Fail (Acemoglu and Robinson) Wilkinson, John William of Ockham William the Conqueror windmills within-group competition Woessmann, Ludger women; literacy and; marriage and; menopause and; Nggwal Bunafunei; polygynous marriage and; rituals and Woodburn, James World Health Organization World Values Survey World War II writing systems Wycliffe, John yam-growing contests Yasawa Island Yiddish yourmorals.org zero-sum zero-sum competition zero-sum thinking Zimbabwe Zoroastrianism Zulu peoples Zwingli, Ulrich ALSO BY JOSEPH HENRICH The Secret of Our Success: How Culture Is Driving Human Evolution, Domesticating Our Species, and Making Us Smarter Why Humans Cooperate: A Cultural and Evolutionary Explanation (with Natalie Henrich) A NOTE ABOUT THE AUTHOR Joseph Henrich is the author of The Secret of Our Success: How Culture Is Driving Human Evolution, Domesticating Our Species, and Making Us Smarter, among other books.


pages: 199 words: 47,154

Gnuplot Cookbook by Lee Phillips

bioinformatics, computer vision, functional programming, general-purpose programming language, pattern recognition, statistical model, web application

He has been the reviewer for numerous scientific articles, research proposals, and books, and has been a judge in the German Federal Competition in Computer Science on several occasions. His main interests are functional programming and machine-learning algorithms. David Millán Escrivá was 8 years old when he wrote his first program on 8086 PC with Basic language. He has more than 10 years of experience in IT. He has worked on computer vision, computer graphics, and pattern recognition. Currently he is working on different projects about computer vision and AR. I would like to thank Izanskun and my daughter Eider. www.PacktPub.com Support files, eBooks, discount offers, and more You might want to visit www.PacktPub.com for support files and downloads related to your book.


pages: 331 words: 47,993

Artificial You: AI and the Future of Your Mind by Susan Schneider

artificial general intelligence, brain emulation, deep learning, Elon Musk, Extropian, heat death of the universe, hive mind, life extension, megastructure, Nick Bostrom, pattern recognition, precautionary principle, radical life extension, Ray Kurzweil, Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence, silicon-based life, Stephen Hawking, superintelligent machines, technological singularity, TED Talk, The Coming Technological Singularity, theory of mind, traumatic brain injury, Turing machine, Turing test, Whole Earth Review, wikimedia commons

What Summit can do in the blink of an eye would take all the people on Earth doing a calculation every moment of every day for 305 days.2 Of course, speed is not everything. If the metric is not arithmetic calculations, your brain is far more computationally powerful than Summit. It is the product of 3.8 billion years of evolution (the estimated age of life on the planet) and has devoted its power to pattern recognition, rapid learning, and other practical challenges of survival. Individual neurons may be slow, but they are organized in a massively parallel fashion that still leaves modern AI systems in the dust. But AI has almost unlimited room for improvement. It may not be long before a supercomputer can be engineered to match or even exceed the intelligence of the human brain through reverse engineering the brain and improving on its algorithms or devising new algorithms that aren’t based on the brain’s workings at all.


pages: 420 words: 143,881

The Blind Watchmaker; Why the Evidence of Evolution Reveals a Universe Without Design by Richard Dawkins

Boeing 747, epigenetics, Eratosthenes, Fellow of the Royal Society, Gregor Mendel, lateral thinking, Menlo Park, pattern recognition, phenotype, random walk, silicon-based life, Steven Pinker, the long tail

The human eye is good at choosing phenotypic effects, as is shown by the numerous breeds of dogs, cattle and pigeons, and also, if I may say so, as is shown by Figure 5. To make the computer choose phenotypic effects directly, we should have to write a very sophisticated pattern-recognition program. Pattern-recognizing programs exist. They are used to read print and even handwriting. But they are difficult, ‘state of the art’ programs, needing very large and fast computers. Even if such a pattern-recognition program were not beyond my programming capabilities, and beyond the capacity of my little 64-kilobyte computer, I wouldn’t bother with it. This is a task that is better done by the human eye, together with – and this is more to the point – the 10-giganeurone computer inside the skull.


pages: 416 words: 129,308

The One Device: The Secret History of the iPhone by Brian Merchant

Airbnb, animal electricity, Apollo Guidance Computer, Apple II, Apple's 1984 Super Bowl advert, Black Lives Matter, Charles Babbage, citizen journalism, Citizen Lab, Claude Shannon: information theory, computer vision, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, conceptual framework, cotton gin, deep learning, DeepMind, Douglas Engelbart, Dynabook, Edward Snowden, Elon Musk, Ford paid five dollars a day, Frank Gehry, gigafactory, global supply chain, Google Earth, Google Hangouts, Higgs boson, Huaqiangbei: the electronics market of Shenzhen, China, information security, Internet of things, Jacquard loom, John Gruber, John Markoff, Jony Ive, Large Hadron Collider, Lyft, M-Pesa, MITM: man-in-the-middle, more computing power than Apollo, Mother of all demos, natural language processing, new economy, New Journalism, Norbert Wiener, offshore financial centre, oil shock, pattern recognition, peak oil, pirate software, profit motive, QWERTY keyboard, reality distortion field, ride hailing / ride sharing, rolodex, Shenzhen special economic zone , Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, skeuomorphism, skunkworks, Skype, Snapchat, special economic zone, speech recognition, stealth mode startup, Stephen Hawking, Steve Ballmer, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, Steven Levy, TED Talk, Tim Cook: Apple, Tony Fadell, TSMC, Turing test, uber lyft, Upton Sinclair, Vannevar Bush, zero day

The difference between this data-driven approach and the logic-driven approach is that this computer doesn’t know anything about Van Gogh or what an artist is. It is only imitating patterns—often very well—that it has seen before. “The thing that’s good for is perception,” Gruber says. “The computer vision, computer speech, understanding, pattern recognition, and these things did not do well with knowledge representations. They did better with data- and signal-processing techniques. So that’s what’s happened. The machine learning has just gotten really good at making generalizations over training examples.” But there is, of course, a deficiency in that approach.

Our intel, our interfaces are hard to use and needlessly so.” There’s also plenty of room for AI to do good—which, as a matter of fact, is why Gruber’s here. He’d come on the TED cruise to see if there were any ways he could harness his expertise to help benefit ocean conservation. So far, he’d met with teams to discuss using pattern-recognition software and Google Earth to catch poachers and polluters. “Those are kind of the superpowers that only science fiction was talking about a few years ago,” he says. So, I ask, does the co-creator of Siri use his own AI? How? “Oh, yeah, all the time,” he says. “I use it twenty to thirty times a day.


pages: 436 words: 141,321

Reinventing Organizations: A Guide to Creating Organizations Inspired by the Next Stage of Human Consciousness by Frederic Laloux, Ken Wilber

Abraham Maslow, Albert Einstein, augmented reality, blue-collar work, Boeing 747, Buckminster Fuller, call centre, carbon footprint, conceptual framework, corporate social responsibility, crowdsourcing, different worldview, driverless car, Easter island, failed state, fulfillment center, future of work, hiring and firing, holacracy, index card, interchangeable parts, invisible hand, job satisfaction, Johann Wolfgang von Goethe, Kenneth Rogoff, meta-analysis, ocean acidification, pattern recognition, post-industrial society, quantitative trading / quantitative finance, radical decentralization, randomized controlled trial, selection bias, shareholder value, Silicon Valley, systems thinking, the market place, the scientific method, Tony Hsieh, warehouse automation, zero-sum game

We are now entering a new wave of job destruction and creation that is having an impact not just on routine work, but also on cognitive and creative tasks. A tipping point seems to have been reached at which advanced robotics and artificial intelligence (including machine-learning, language-translation, and speech- and pattern-recognition software) are beginning to render even many middle-income jobs obsolete. Travel agents have already largely been replaced by automated websites, and bank clerks by ATMs. Lawyers start to feel the heat now that smart algorithms can search case law, evaluate the issues at hand, and summarize the results.

Software has already shown it can perform legal discovery far more cheaply and more thoroughly than lawyers and paralegals in many cases. Radiologists, who can earn over $300,000 a year in the United States after 13 years of college education and internship, are in a similar boat. Automated pattern-recognition software can do much of the work of scanning tumor slides and X-ray images at a fraction of the cost. Advances in driverless car technology make a future where truck and taxi drivers are no longer needed a distinct possibility (provided we have the energy to fuel the engines). Society could be entering a new phase—one in which fewer and fewer workers are needed to produce and distribute all the goods and services consumed.


pages: 513 words: 128,075

The Peripheral by William Gibson

Anthropocene, business process, fake news, intentional community, McMansion, pattern recognition, telepresence

TITLES BY WILLIAM GIBSON Neuromancer Count Zero Burning Chrome Mona Lisa Overdrive Virtual Light Idoru All Tomorrow’s Parties Pattern Recognition Spook Country Zero History Distrust That Particular Flavor G. P. PUTNAM’S SONS Publishers Since 1838 Published by the Penguin Group Penguin Group (USA) LLC 375 Hudson Street New York, New York 10014 USA • Canada • UK • Ireland • Australia • New Zealand • India • South Africa • China penguin.com A Penguin Random House Company Copyright © 2014 by William Gibson Penguin supports copyright. Copyright fuels creativity, encourages diverse voices, promotes free speech, and creates a vibrant culture.

asked the voice, as if suspecting the name of being an unfamiliar euphemism. “Wilf Netherton.” “What would this be concerning, exactly?” “I was her publicist, until recently. A private matter.” “I’m sorry, Mr. Netherton, but we have no record of you.” “Associate Curator Annie Courrèges, of the Tate Postmodern.” “I beg your pardon?” “Be quiet, darling. Let pattern recognition have its way.” “Wilf?” asked Daedra. “Thank you,” he said. “I’ve never liked Kafka.” “Who’s that?” “Never mind.” “What do you want?” “Unfinished business,” he said, with a small and entirely unforced sigh that he took as an omen that he was on his game. “Is it about Aelita?” “Why would it be?”


pages: 398 words: 31,161

Gnuplot in Action: Understanding Data With Graphs by Philipp Janert

bioinformatics, business intelligence, Debian, general-purpose programming language, iterative process, mandelbrot fractal, pattern recognition, power law, random walk, Richard Stallman, six sigma, sparse data, survivorship bias

The idea behind Chernoff-faces, for example, is to encode each quantity as a facial feature in a stylized human face: size of the mouth or distance between eyes, and so on. The observer then tries to find the faces that are “most similar” or “least similar” to one another.) For much larger data sets, one may resort to computationally intensive methods, which go under the name of data mining or more specifically pattern recognition and machine learning.9 The latter set of methods is a highly active area of research. I must say that I experience a certain degree of discomfort with the “random search” character of some multivariate methods. The purpose of data analysis is to gain insight into the problem domain that the data came from, but any brute-force method that isn’t guided by intuition about the problem domain runs the risk of being about the numbers only, not about the actual system that the data came from originally.

Multivariate classification methods, such as the parallel coordinates technique introduced here, can be a useful starting point when faced with large and unsystematic data sets, or any time we don’t have good intuition about the actual problem 8 9 Two short and accessible introductory texts are Multivariate Statistical Methods: A Primer by Bryan F.J. Manly (Chapman & Hall, 3rd ed., 2004) and Introduction to Multivariate Analysis by Chris Chatfield and A. Collins (Chapman & Hall, 1981). Three introductory texts, in approximate order of increasing sophistication, are: Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning by Christopher M. Bishop (Springer, 2007); Pattern Classification by Richard O. Duda, Peter E. Hart, David G. Stork (Wiley-Interscience, 2nd ed., 2000); and The Elements of Statistical Learning by T. Hastie, R. Tibshirani, J. H. Friedman (Springer, 2003). 270 CHAPTER 13 Fundamental graphical methods domain.


pages: 404 words: 131,034

Cosmos by Carl Sagan

Albert Einstein, Alfred Russel Wallace, Apollo 11, Arthur Eddington, clockwork universe, dark pattern, dematerialisation, double helix, Drosophila, Edmond Halley, Eratosthenes, Ernest Rutherford, germ theory of disease, global pandemic, invention of movable type, invention of the telescope, Isaac Newton, Johannes Kepler, Lao Tzu, Louis Pasteur, luminiferous ether, Magellanic Cloud, Mars Rover, Menlo Park, music of the spheres, pattern recognition, planetary scale, Plato's cave, Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence, spice trade, Suez canal 1869, Thales and the olive presses, Thales of Miletus, time dilation, Tunguska event

.… The only remedy is the most serene and quiet Air, such as may perhaps be found on the tops of the highest mountains above the grosser Clouds.” *There was a brief flurry when the uppercase letter B, a putative Martian graffito, seemed to be visible on a small boulder in Chryse. But later analysis showed it to be a trick of light and shadow and the human talent for pattern recognition. It also seems remarkable that the Martians should have tumbled independently to the Latin alphabet. But there was just a moment when resounding in my head was the distant echo of a word from my boyhood—Barsoom. *The largest are 3 kilometers across at the base, and 1 kilometer high—much larger than the pyramids of Sumer, Egypt or Mexico on Earth.

The neurochemistry of the brain is astonishingly busy, the circuitry of a machine more wonderful than any devised by humans. But there is no evidence that its functioning is due to anything more than the 1014 neural connections that build an elegant architecture of consciousness. The world of thought is divided roughly into two hemispheres. The right hemisphere of the cerebral cortex is mainly responsible for pattern recognition, intuition, sensitivity, creative insights. The left hemisphere presides over rational, analytical and critical thinking. These are the dual strengths, the essential opposites, that characterize human thinking. Together, they provide the means both for generating ideas and for testing their validity.


pages: 420 words: 130,503

Actionable Gamification: Beyond Points, Badges and Leaderboards by Yu-Kai Chou

Apple's 1984 Super Bowl advert, barriers to entry, behavioural economics, bitcoin, Burning Man, Cass Sunstein, crowdsourcing, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, delayed gratification, Do you want to sell sugared water for the rest of your life?, don't be evil, en.wikipedia.org, endowment effect, Firefox, functional fixedness, game design, gamification, growth hacking, IKEA effect, Internet of things, Kickstarter, late fees, lifelogging, loss aversion, Maui Hawaii, Minecraft, pattern recognition, peer-to-peer, performance metric, QR code, recommendation engine, Richard Thaler, Silicon Valley, Skinner box, Skype, software as a service, Stanford prison experiment, Steve Jobs, TED Talk, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, transaction costs

When it finally opened up to everyone, many people wanted to join simply because they previously couldn’t get in. Core Drive 7: Unpredictability & Curiosity Unpredictability is the Core Drive of constantly being engaged because you don’t know what is going to happen next. When something does not fall into your regular pattern recognition cycles, your brain kicks into high gear and pays attention to the unexpected. This is obviously the primary Core Drive behind gambling addictions, but it is also present in every sweepstake or lottery program that companies run. On a lighter level, many people watch movies or read novels because of this Core Drive.

At the end of the day, it is not whether they have certain game elements (theme, group quests, badges, power-ups), but whether those certain game elements are designed in a way that bring out our Core Drives. Now, the challenge is that between two “similar” games there is never just one variable of difference. Often there are hundreds or even thousands of differences between games. As such, it requires a substantial amount of time and pattern recognition effort/analysis to identify the behavioral impact of each element to the point that it can be predicted and replicated. This requires studying scores of games and years of serious observation before patterns can be easily recognized and predictions can be made on how behavior changes when game elements shift.


pages: 458 words: 135,206

CTOs at Work by Scott Donaldson, Stanley Siegel, Gary Donaldson

Amazon Web Services, Andy Carvin, bioinformatics, business intelligence, business process, call centre, centre right, cloud computing, computer vision, connected car, crowdsourcing, data acquisition, distributed generation, do what you love, domain-specific language, functional programming, glass ceiling, Hacker News, hype cycle, Neil Armstrong, orbital mechanics / astrodynamics, pattern recognition, Pluto: dwarf planet, QR code, Richard Feynman, Ruby on Rails, Salesforce, shareholder value, Silicon Valley, Skype, smart grid, smart meter, software patent, systems thinking, thinkpad, web application, zero day, zero-sum game

Donaldson: So you moved away from the financial services world and established the company that you currently run. Can you tell us a little about that transition and what your company does? Bloore: Sure. So what our company does is make images searchable by looking at the patterns within the pixels themselves. We are entirely focused on using computer vision and pattern recognition algorithms to make large image sets searchable. It's very different from using keywords to search images. G. Donaldson: That's a big shift from developing risk management software to pixel imagery and software. Where did that shift come from? What was your interest in going in that direction?

I'll see that as an unfortunate day, but it's probably a necessary step. G. Donaldson: You have a lead engineer for your technology staff? Is that how the chain of command works? Bloore: Right now I probably play the role of the lead engineer, and then I have engineers who have specific domain knowledge. For example, the actual coding of the pattern recognition algorithms resides with a lead engineer. G. Donaldson: Well, let's shift and talk a little bit about your technologies. You've being doing a very good job of outlining what you've encountered. If you had to summarize, what are the most important technologies to your company? Bloore: Certainly, the technology behind TinEye is the most important one we have, and that's the ability to find an exact or modified copy of an image.


pages: 459 words: 138,689

Slowdown: The End of the Great Acceleration―and Why It’s Good for the Planet, the Economy, and Our Lives by Danny Dorling, Kirsten McClure

"World Economic Forum" Davos, Affordable Care Act / Obamacare, Anthropocene, Berlin Wall, Bernie Sanders, Boeing 747, Boris Johnson, British Empire, business cycle, capital controls, carbon tax, clean water, creative destruction, credit crunch, Donald Trump, drone strike, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, Extinction Rebellion, fake news, Flynn Effect, Ford Model T, full employment, future of work, gender pay gap, global supply chain, Google Glasses, Great Leap Forward, Greta Thunberg, Henri Poincaré, illegal immigration, immigration reform, income inequality, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Internet of things, Isaac Newton, It's morning again in America, James Dyson, Jeremy Corbyn, jimmy wales, John Harrison: Longitude, Kickstarter, low earth orbit, Mark Zuckerberg, market clearing, Martin Wolf, mass immigration, means of production, megacity, meta-analysis, military-industrial complex, mortgage debt, negative emissions, nuclear winter, ocean acidification, Overton Window, pattern recognition, Ponzi scheme, price stability, profit maximization, purchasing power parity, QWERTY keyboard, random walk, rent control, rising living standards, Robert Gordon, Robert Shiller, Ronald Reagan, School Strike for Climate, Scramble for Africa, sexual politics, Skype, Stephen Hawking, Steven Pinker, structural adjustment programs, Suez crisis 1956, the built environment, Tim Cook: Apple, time dilation, transatlantic slave trade, trickle-down economics, very high income, wealth creators, wikimedia commons, working poor

Others say it already has and the speed of processor advancement was fastest in the period 1975–84.17 What is rarely pointed out is what the extra processing power is being used for. There are clearly diminishing returns. Fantasists suggest (as always) that truly clever artificial intelligence is just around the corner. So far image and voice recognition represent most of what can be claimed as its successes. Both are simply advanced forms of pattern recognition. It is also worth noting that the processors charted in the classic Moore’s law diagram (easily googled) showing continued acceleration in processor speed since the 1970s were in the 1980s mostly mass-market general-purpose processors.18 Those created subsequently have often been more specialized processing chips.

This is when the population has not been rising for three or four generations, when economic inequality has been low for several generations, and the planet is no longer warming up. It will hopefully be a time when sea levels, after rising for many decades, have stabilized, and when power sources have become so secure that they are barely ever commented upon. In that future time, long after the pattern-recognition powers of AI, as also suggested earlier on, turn out to be very useful, but not to be very intelligent, we could all be well fed and few of us will be too fat. What then would your great-great-great-great-great-grandchildren worry about? With continued slowdown, you may have 100 such descendants; with population stability, you would have had (on average) 128.


Virtual Competition by Ariel Ezrachi, Maurice E. Stucke

"World Economic Forum" Davos, Airbnb, Alan Greenspan, Albert Einstein, algorithmic management, algorithmic trading, Arthur D. Levinson, barriers to entry, behavioural economics, cloud computing, collaborative economy, commoditize, confounding variable, corporate governance, crony capitalism, crowdsourcing, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, David Graeber, deep learning, demand response, Didi Chuxing, digital capitalism, disintermediation, disruptive innovation, double helix, Downton Abbey, driverless car, electricity market, Erik Brynjolfsson, Evgeny Morozov, experimental economics, Firefox, framing effect, Google Chrome, independent contractor, index arbitrage, information asymmetry, interest rate derivative, Internet of things, invisible hand, Jean Tirole, John Markoff, Joseph Schumpeter, Kenneth Arrow, light touch regulation, linked data, loss aversion, Lyft, Mark Zuckerberg, market clearing, market friction, Milgram experiment, multi-sided market, natural language processing, Network effects, new economy, nowcasting, offshore financial centre, pattern recognition, power law, prediction markets, price discrimination, price elasticity of demand, price stability, profit maximization, profit motive, race to the bottom, rent-seeking, Richard Thaler, ride hailing / ride sharing, road to serfdom, Robert Bork, Ronald Reagan, search costs, self-driving car, sharing economy, Silicon Valley, Skype, smart cities, smart meter, Snapchat, social graph, Steve Jobs, sunk-cost fallacy, supply-chain management, telemarketer, The Chicago School, The Myth of the Rational Market, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, too big to fail, transaction costs, Travis Kalanick, turn-by-turn navigation, two-sided market, Uber and Lyft, Uber for X, uber lyft, vertical integration, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, women in the workforce, yield management

We have no idea about how, and the extent to which, we are being exploited. 27 28 Setting the Scene On a consumer level, we are entering the age of datafication, which involves “taking all aspects of life and turning them into data.”1 In a data-driven economy, sophisticated players will strive to improve their capacity to monitor our online and offline activities, accumulate data, target us during key purchasing opportunities, and react to changes with ever-increasing speed. Using sophisticated algorithms, companies are engaging in data mining, data trade, pattern recognition,2 demand estimation, and price optimization.3 Our behav ior and preferences trigger individualized promotions, all meant to help us make the right choice.4 But right for whom? The Cost of Free: Data as Currency With the rise of Big Data and Big Analytics, firms will not merely passively track us.

(Florence: International Bar Association, Antitrust Section Conference, September 8, 2007), 5, https://www.ftc.gov/sites/default/fi les/documents/public _ statements /i-say-monopoly-you-say-dominance-continuing-divide-treatment-dominant -firms-it-economics/070908isaymonopolyiba _0.pdf. 4 • Looking beyond the Façade of Competition 1. Viktor Mayer-Schönberger and Kenneth Cukier, Big Data: A Revolution That Will Transform How We Live, Work, and Think (London: John Murray, 2013), 35. 2. C. M. Bishop, Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning (New York: Springer-Verlag, 2006). 3. “Pricing Algorithms: Is the Price You Pay Right?” Bloomberg (May 12, 2015), http://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/b/02d3f0f0-e653-4ca1-8bdd -0f95a5a81212. 4. For instance, see Sarah Griffiths, “Facebook Ads to Become More Intrusive: Site Will Soon Show Promotions for Products You’ve Looked at across the Web,” Daily Mail, June 13, 2014, http://www.dailymail.co.uk /sciencetech /article-2657043/Facebook-ads-intrusive-Site-soon-promotions-products -youve-searched-web.html. 5.


Mastering Private Equity by Zeisberger, Claudia,Prahl, Michael,White, Bowen, Michael Prahl, Bowen White

Alan Greenspan, asset allocation, backtesting, barriers to entry, Basel III, Bear Stearns, book value, business process, buy low sell high, capital controls, carbon credits, carried interest, clean tech, commoditize, corporate governance, corporate raider, correlation coefficient, creative destruction, currency risk, deal flow, discounted cash flows, disintermediation, disruptive innovation, distributed generation, diversification, diversified portfolio, family office, fixed income, high net worth, impact investing, information asymmetry, intangible asset, junk bonds, Lean Startup, low interest rates, market clearing, Michael Milken, passive investing, pattern recognition, performance metric, price mechanism, profit maximization, proprietary trading, risk tolerance, risk-adjusted returns, risk/return, Savings and loan crisis, shareholder value, Sharpe ratio, Silicon Valley, sovereign wealth fund, statistical arbitrage, time value of money, transaction costs, two and twenty

Operational value creation focuses on driving performance improvements in a company’s existing operations to build a more efficient, better-run business. Leveraging PE’s active ownership model and hands-on governance, PE investors are well positioned to focus company resources and support the necessary improvements. As repeat buyers-improvers-sellers of companies, the best PE firms bring industry expertise, pattern recognition and finely tuned processes to the table that assist in the identification and planning of the most appropriate value creation initiatives. This chapter describes the levers used by management to execute in line with a portfolio company’s business plan and implement operational improvements successfully.

This requires some direct deal experience among its staff and processes that are streamlined to enable speedy decision-making and execution. An LP might provide additional value to the equity consortium through, for instance, networks of direct and indirect portfolio companies, connections to local regulators, cross-border links, local market knowledge or pattern recognition from its large investment portfolio. By engaging early on in the process the LP will also be liable for broken deal costs (i.e., the cost of an unsuccessful transaction attempt) at a time when chances of success are still lower compared to a syndicated co-investment. Attractions of Co-investing The growing interest and the increasing participation of LPs in co-investments are undeniable.


AI 2041 by Kai-Fu Lee, Chen Qiufan

3D printing, Abraham Maslow, active measures, airport security, Albert Einstein, AlphaGo, Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic, artificial general intelligence, augmented reality, autonomous vehicles, basic income, bitcoin, blockchain, blue-collar work, Cambridge Analytica, carbon footprint, Charles Babbage, computer vision, contact tracing, coronavirus, corporate governance, corporate social responsibility, COVID-19, CRISPR, cryptocurrency, DALL-E, data science, deep learning, deepfake, DeepMind, delayed gratification, dematerialisation, digital map, digital rights, digital twin, Elon Musk, fake news, fault tolerance, future of work, Future Shock, game design, general purpose technology, global pandemic, Google Glasses, Google X / Alphabet X, GPT-3, happiness index / gross national happiness, hedonic treadmill, hiring and firing, Hyperloop, information security, Internet of things, iterative process, job automation, language acquisition, low earth orbit, Lyft, Maslow's hierarchy, mass immigration, mirror neurons, money: store of value / unit of account / medium of exchange, mutually assured destruction, natural language processing, Neil Armstrong, Nelson Mandela, OpenAI, optical character recognition, pattern recognition, plutocrats, post scarcity, profit motive, QR code, quantitative easing, Richard Feynman, ride hailing / ride sharing, robotic process automation, Satoshi Nakamoto, self-driving car, seminal paper, Silicon Valley, smart cities, smart contracts, smart transportation, Snapchat, social distancing, speech recognition, Stephen Hawking, synthetic biology, telemarketer, Tesla Model S, The future is already here, trolley problem, Turing test, uber lyft, universal basic income, warehouse automation, warehouse robotics, zero-sum game

“We used to have a saying: No one knows the son better than the father. Now, should we say, no one knows the son better than his AI? Parents will never again have as much insight into their child as the child’s AI. And that’s a good thing. Golden Sparrow’s math is already at the level of a ten-year-old’s. And his pattern recognition is better than Si-Woo’s.” Si-Woo grimaced. Hye-Jin interjected, “I appreciate that artists like yourselves have a more romantic view of things, but what is more important than our children’s education?” She tapped the tip of Golden Sparrow’s nose. “And, it’s not like we ever told you to become a certain type of person.

They ate dinner in a kind of guarded pas de deux, feigning nonchalance and civility back and forth. Allison finally couldn’t help taking the bait. “So, where did you get that video?” “You admit it’s a scam?” Michael said. After Jennifer and Michael had watched Matt’s video, she had used pattern recognition software to analyze all the plans and data revealed by Matt’s illicit recording: architectural drawings, sunlight angles, times, elevations, latitude and longitude, atmospheric conditions, and other such parameters to reverse calculate positions. She found no corresponding structures in the real world.


Doppelganger: A Trip Into the Mirror World by Naomi Klein

"World Economic Forum" Davos, 2021 United States Capitol attack, 3D printing, anti-communist, anti-globalists, autism spectrum disorder, benefit corporation, Bernie Sanders, Big Tech, bitcoin, Black Lives Matter, blood diamond, Boris Johnson, Boycotts of Israel, Cambridge Analytica, capitalist realism, ChatGPT, citizen journalism, Climategate, contact tracing, coronavirus, COVID-19, crisis actor, critical race theory, dark matter, deep learning, deepfake, deplatforming, disinformation, Donald Trump, Edward Snowden, Elon Musk, fake news, false flag, feminist movement, George Floyd, glass ceiling, global pandemic, global supply chain, green new deal, Greta Thunberg, hive mind, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Internet Archive, Jeffrey Epstein, Johann Wolfgang von Goethe, lab leak, Lewis Mumford, lockdown, Mark Zuckerberg, mass immigration, mass incarceration, medical residency, military-industrial complex, moral panic, Naomi Klein, Nelson Mandela, neurotypical, new economy, opioid epidemic / opioid crisis, Parler "social media", pattern recognition, Peter Thiel, phenotype, profit motive, QAnon, QR code, Ralph Waldo Emerson, randomized controlled trial, Rosa Parks, Scientific racism, Scramble for Africa, shared worldview, sharing economy, Sheryl Sandberg, Shoshana Zuboff, Silicon Valley, Slavoj Žižek, smart cities, social distancing, Steve Bannon, surveillance capitalism, tech billionaire, tech bro, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, TikTok, trade route, transatlantic slave trade, trickle-down economics, union organizing, W. E. B. Du Bois, Wayback Machine, women in the workforce

There was no need for histrionics about how unvaccinated people were experiencing “apartheid” when there was real vaccine apartheid between rich and poor countries; no need to cook up fantasies about Covid “internment camps” when the virus was being left to rip through prisons, meat-packing plants, and Amazon warehouses as if the people’s lives inside had no value at all. In a just world, we would have been talking about these real and proven scandals around the clock; most of us didn’t, in part because the clock was being run out with the fallout from made-up plots. Calm as Shock Resistance “Pattern recognition” is often how I describe the work of my life. I remember the moment, a true click, when I realized there was a connection between the increasing precarity of work, the consolidation of ownership in key industries, and the exponential increases in marketing budgets that characterized the hollow corporate structures of the first lifestyle brands.

Klein MSCHF MSNBC Muirhead, Russell Mulllins, Garth multiplayer gaming multiple personality disorder Murdoch, Iris Musk, Elon Muslims Mussolini, Benito MyPillow Nakba naming systems Naomi: author’s feelings about name; in Old Testament NASA Nation, The National Health Service (NHS) National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases nationalism, inclusive National Security Agency Native Americans; see also Indigenous people Natural Causes (Ehrenreich) Nazi Germany; Austria annexed by; autistic people in; children as viewed in; class solidarity replaced with racial solidarity in; colonialism and; disabled people in; Gemüt concept in; health culture in; Hitler in; IBM and; lands and people conquered by; Paris’s liberation from; vaccine programs in; Volk collective in Nazi Germany, Jews in; anti-Semitic conspiracy theories and; Covid mandate analogies to; “eternal Jew” caricature and; Kristallnacht and; Nuremberg Laws and; yellow stars worn by; see also Holocaust Nazis, neo- neoliberalism Nestlé Netflix neurodiversity Neurotribes (Silberman) New Deal New Democratic Party (NDP); Avi Lewis as candidate of Newman, Kevin New Republic, The Newsmax New Statesman, The New York City New Yorker, The New York Post New York Times, The Next Revolution, The Nicholas II Nike 9/11 attacks 1984 (Orwell) NoiseCat, Julian Brave No Logo (Klein) Northern Ireland Northrup, Christiane NPR Nunes, Rodrigo Obama, Barack Obama, Michelle O’Brien, Kate Occupy Wall Street (OWS) oil Old Testament; Naomi in oligarchy One Day at a Time On Property (Walcott) Operation Shylock (Roth) opioid crisis Orbán, Viktor Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development Origins of Totalitarianism, The (Arendt) Orwell, George O’Shea, Brian othering Ottawa Otto, Mike Ottoman Empire Our Bodies, Ourselves (Boston Women’s Health Book Collective) Outrages (Wolf) Oxford Union Paglia, Camille Pakistan Palestinians “Pandemic Is a Portal, The” (Roy) pandemics; Covid, see Covid pandemic Paradise Lost (Milton) Parasite Parks, Rosa Parler Patel, Raj patents Patreon Patriot Act patriotism pattern recognition PayPal PBS Peck, Raoul pedophilia Peele, Jordan Pegasus Pelosi, Nancy and Paul Pennycook, Gordon People’s Party Peters, Tom Pew Research Pfizer pharmaceutical companies; Pfizer; see also Covid vaccines; vaccines Philippines Picture of Dorian Gray, The (Wilde) Pim, Bedford Pinochet, Augusto pipikism Plandemic plutocracy Poe, Edgar Allan pogroms police murders of Black people Poor People’s Campaign populism Portnoy’s Complaint (Roth) Potter, David poverty powell, john a.


Power Systems: Conversations on Global Democratic Uprisings and the New Challenges to U.S. Empire by Noam Chomsky, David Barsamian

"World Economic Forum" Davos, affirmative action, Affordable Care Act / Obamacare, Albert Einstein, American ideology, Chelsea Manning, collective bargaining, colonial rule, corporate personhood, David Brooks, discovery of DNA, double helix, drone strike, failed state, Great Leap Forward, Herbert Marcuse, high-speed rail, Howard Zinn, hydraulic fracturing, income inequality, inflation targeting, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Julian Assange, land reform, language acquisition, Martin Wolf, Mohammed Bouazizi, Naomi Klein, Nelson Mandela, new economy, no-fly zone, obamacare, Occupy movement, oil shale / tar sands, pattern recognition, Powell Memorandum, public intellectual, quantitative easing, Ralph Nader, Ralph Waldo Emerson, single-payer health, sovereign wealth fund, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, theory of mind, Tobin tax, union organizing, Upton Sinclair, uranium enrichment, WikiLeaks

They may just produce one-word or two-word sentences, but there’s now experimental and other evidence that a lot more is in there. By three or four, a normal child will have extensive language capacity. Either this is a miracle or it’s biologically driven. There are just no other choices. There are attempts to claim that language acquisition is a matter of pattern recognition or memorization, but even a superficial look at those proposals shows that they collapse very quickly. It doesn’t mean that they’re not being pursued. In fact, those lines of inquiry are very popular. In my view, though, they’re just an utter waste of time. There are some very strange ideas out there.


pages: 193 words: 51,445

On the Future: Prospects for Humanity by Martin J. Rees

23andMe, 3D printing, air freight, Alfred Russel Wallace, AlphaGo, Anthropocene, Asilomar, autonomous vehicles, Benoit Mandelbrot, biodiversity loss, blockchain, Boston Dynamics, carbon tax, circular economy, CRISPR, cryptocurrency, cuban missile crisis, dark matter, decarbonisation, DeepMind, Demis Hassabis, demographic transition, Dennis Tito, distributed ledger, double helix, driverless car, effective altruism, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, Geoffrey Hinton, global village, Great Leap Forward, Higgs boson, Hyperloop, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Internet of things, James Webb Space Telescope, Jeff Bezos, job automation, Johannes Kepler, John Conway, Large Hadron Collider, life extension, mandelbrot fractal, mass immigration, megacity, Neil Armstrong, Nick Bostrom, nuclear winter, ocean acidification, off-the-grid, pattern recognition, precautionary principle, quantitative hedge fund, Ray Kurzweil, Recombinant DNA, Rodney Brooks, Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence, sharing economy, Silicon Valley, smart grid, speech recognition, Stanford marshmallow experiment, Stanislav Petrov, stem cell, Stephen Hawking, Steven Pinker, Stuxnet, supervolcano, technological singularity, the scientific method, Tunguska event, uranium enrichment, Walter Mischel, William MacAskill, Yogi Berra

In the public’s mind, a sharp distinction exists between artificial medical interventions that remove something harmful and deploying similar techniques to offer ‘enhancement’. Most characteristics (size, intelligence, and such) are determined by an aggregate of many genes. Only when the DNA of millions of people is available will it become possible (using pattern-recognition systems aided by AI) to identify the relevant combination of genes. In the short term, this knowledge could be used to inform embryo selection for IVF. But modification or redesign of the genome is a more remote (and of course more risky and dubious) prospect. Not until this can be done—and until DNA with the required prescription can be artificially sequenced—will ‘designer babies’ become conceivable (in both senses of that word!).


pages: 797 words: 227,399

Wired for War: The Robotics Revolution and Conflict in the 21st Century by P. W. Singer

agricultural Revolution, Albert Einstein, Alvin Toffler, Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic, Atahualpa, barriers to entry, Berlin Wall, Bill Joy: nanobots, Bletchley Park, blue-collar work, borderless world, Boston Dynamics, Charles Babbage, Charles Lindbergh, clean water, Craig Reynolds: boids flock, cuban missile crisis, digital divide, digital map, Dr. Strangelove, en.wikipedia.org, Ernest Rutherford, failed state, Fall of the Berlin Wall, Firefox, Ford Model T, Francisco Pizarro, Frank Gehry, friendly fire, Future Shock, game design, George Gilder, Google Earth, Grace Hopper, Hans Moravec, I think there is a world market for maybe five computers, if you build it, they will come, illegal immigration, industrial robot, information security, interchangeable parts, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), invention of gunpowder, invention of movable type, invention of the steam engine, Isaac Newton, Jacques de Vaucanson, job automation, Johann Wolfgang von Goethe, junk bonds, Law of Accelerating Returns, Mars Rover, Menlo Park, mirror neurons, Neal Stephenson, New Urbanism, Nick Bostrom, no-fly zone, PalmPilot, paperclip maximiser, pattern recognition, precautionary principle, private military company, RAND corporation, Ray Kurzweil, RFID, robot derives from the Czech word robota Czech, meaning slave, Rodney Brooks, Ronald Reagan, Schrödinger's Cat, Silicon Valley, social intelligence, speech recognition, Stephen Hawking, Strategic Defense Initiative, strong AI, technological singularity, The Coming Technological Singularity, The Wisdom of Crowds, Timothy McVeigh, Turing test, Vernor Vinge, Virgin Galactic, Wall-E, warehouse robotics, world market for maybe five computers, Yogi Berra

By comparison, pretty much any two-year-old human instantly “knows” that an apple is not a tomato, without any calculation. At the same time, that toddler can pick his nose, kick a ball, and realize that it is raining outside. Thus, the toddler may not be able to count to infinity, but they blow the computer out of the water when it comes to pattern recognition and multitasking, which is 95 percent of what we ask our brains to think on. “If you think it’s easy for you to do, most of the time it’s very difficult for robots to do,” says Takeo Kanade, director of Carnegie Mellon University’s Robotics Institute. So it seems unfair then to compare machines to humans in this type of intelligence.

He replied, “If this war keeps going on a few more years, then yes.” Robert Epstein sees the military’s role as more than simply funding the Singularity. It is the most likely integrator needed to bring it all together. He describes how there are all sorts of research programs and companies around the globe, working on various technologies, from pattern recognition software and robotic sensors to artificial intelligence and subatomic microchips. “When you marry all that up with the strategic planning that the military brings to the table, you will end up with a qualitative advance like no other. At that point prediction of what comes next becomes difficult. . . .

Indeed, South Korea sent two robot snipers with rifles to Iraq in 2004 with essentially no debate; they were reported in the media to have “nearly 100%” accuracy. Even more notable is the Autonomous Sentry Gun, made by Samsung. The company, more known for making high-definition TVs, has integrated a machine gun with two cameras (infrared and zooming) and pattern recognition software processors. The gun system cannot only identify, classify, and destroy moving targets from over a mile away, but, as Louis Ramirez of Gizmodo relates, “also has a speaker that beckons the fool that walks near it to surrender before being pulverized.” South Korea plans to use the robo-machine guns to stand guard along the 155-mile demilitarized zone (DMZ) that borders North Korea.


The Art of Profitability by Adrian Slywotzky

"World Economic Forum" Davos, business cycle, business process, commoditize, Indoor air pollution, Isaac Newton, pattern recognition, rolodex, Salesforce, shareholder value

Zhao handed Steve a copy of Sources of Power by Gary Klein. “You don’t have to read the whole thing. Just these pages.” He gave Steve a slip of paper with the numbers 31-33, 39-40, 42, 148-151, 154-156, 169, 260, 289-290. Steve arched his eyebrows. Zhao laughed. “No, I didn’t go through it picking pages. I just looked in the index under ‘Pattern recognition.’” Steve stuck the book in his backpack. “Next week, then?” “Two weeks.” Neither man said what they were both thinking. One more session to go. 148 THE ART OF PROFITABILITY 23 Digital Profit May 17. Steve’s work with Zhao was almost over. Steve stopped before entering the lobby of 44 Wall Street.


pages: 196 words: 54,339

Team Human by Douglas Rushkoff

1960s counterculture, Abraham Maslow, Adam Curtis, autonomous vehicles, basic income, Berlin Wall, big-box store, bitcoin, blockchain, Burning Man, carbon footprint, circular economy, clean water, clockwork universe, cloud computing, collective bargaining, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, corporate personhood, digital capitalism, disintermediation, Donald Trump, drone strike, European colonialism, fake news, Filter Bubble, full employment, future of work, game design, gamification, gig economy, Google bus, Gödel, Escher, Bach, hockey-stick growth, Internet of things, invention of the printing press, invention of writing, invisible hand, iterative process, John Perry Barlow, Kevin Kelly, Kevin Roose, knowledge economy, Larry Ellison, Lewis Mumford, life extension, lifelogging, Mark Zuckerberg, Marshall McLuhan, means of production, mirror neurons, multilevel marketing, new economy, patient HM, pattern recognition, peer-to-peer, Peter Thiel, planned obsolescence, power law, prosperity theology / prosperity gospel / gospel of success, Ray Kurzweil, recommendation engine, ride hailing / ride sharing, Ronald Reagan, Ronald Reagan: Tear down this wall, shareholder value, sharing economy, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley billionaire, social intelligence, sovereign wealth fund, Steve Jobs, Steven Pinker, Stewart Brand, tech billionaire, technoutopianism, TED Talk, theory of mind, trade route, Travis Kalanick, Turing test, universal basic income, Vannevar Bush, We are as Gods, winner-take-all economy, zero-sum game

Moderns ignored the advice, believing that their building techniques far surpassed anything their ancestors could have imagined. The villagers had recognized the pattern of natural disasters, as well as the fact that the cycle repeated too infrequently for every generation to witness it. But their efforts to communicate their wisdom failed to impress a civilization without patience for pattern recognition or a sense of connection to the cyclical nature of our world. Weather, ecology, markets, or karma: what goes around comes around. What the ancients understood experientially, we can today prove scientifically, with data and charts on everything from climate change to income disparity. But these facts seem not to matter to us unless they’re connected to our moment-to-moment experience.


pages: 479 words: 144,453

Homo Deus: A Brief History of Tomorrow by Yuval Noah Harari

23andMe, Aaron Swartz, agricultural Revolution, algorithmic trading, Anne Wojcicki, Anthropocene, anti-communist, Anton Chekhov, autonomous vehicles, behavioural economics, Berlin Wall, call centre, Chekhov's gun, Chris Urmson, cognitive dissonance, Columbian Exchange, computer age, DeepMind, Demis Hassabis, Deng Xiaoping, don't be evil, driverless car, drone strike, European colonialism, experimental subject, falling living standards, Flash crash, Frank Levy and Richard Murnane: The New Division of Labor, glass ceiling, global village, Great Leap Forward, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), invention of writing, invisible hand, Isaac Newton, job automation, John Markoff, Kevin Kelly, lifelogging, low interest rates, means of production, Mikhail Gorbachev, Minecraft, Moneyball by Michael Lewis explains big data, Monkeys Reject Unequal Pay, mutually assured destruction, new economy, Nick Bostrom, pattern recognition, peak-end rule, Peter Thiel, placebo effect, Ray Kurzweil, self-driving car, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley ideology, stem cell, Steven Pinker, telemarketer, The future is already here, The Future of Employment, too big to fail, trade route, Turing machine, Turing test, ultimatum game, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, zero-sum game

Only conscious beings could perform tasks that required a lot of intelligence, such as playing chess, driving cars, diagnosing diseases or identifying terrorists. However, we are now developing new types of non-conscious intelligence that can perform such tasks far better than humans. For all these tasks are based on pattern recognition, and non-conscious algorithms may soon excel human consciousness in recognising patterns. This raises a novel question: which of the two is really important, intelligence or consciousness? As long as they went hand in hand, debating their relative value was just a pastime for philosophers. But in the twenty-first century, this is becoming an urgent political and economic issue.

Bartenders – 77 per cent. Archivists – 76 per cent. Carpenters – 72 per cent. Lifeguards – 67 per cent. And so forth. There are of course some safe jobs. The likelihood that computer algorithms will displace archaeologists by 2033 is only 0.7 per cent, because their job requires highly sophisticated types of pattern recognition, and doesn’t produce huge profits. Hence it is improbable that corporations or government will make the necessary investment to automate archaeology within the next twenty years.19 Of course, by 2033 many new professions are likely to appear, for example, virtual-world designers. But such professions will probably require much more creativity and flexibility than your run-of-the-mill job, and it is unclear whether forty-year-old cashiers or insurance agents will be able to reinvent themselves as virtual-world designers (just try to imagine a virtual world created by an insurance agent!).


pages: 573 words: 157,767

From Bacteria to Bach and Back: The Evolution of Minds by Daniel C. Dennett

Ada Lovelace, adjacent possible, Alan Turing: On Computable Numbers, with an Application to the Entscheidungsproblem, AlphaGo, Andrew Wiles, Bayesian statistics, bioinformatics, bitcoin, Bletchley Park, Build a better mousetrap, Claude Shannon: information theory, computer age, computer vision, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, CRISPR, deep learning, disinformation, double entry bookkeeping, double helix, Douglas Hofstadter, Elon Musk, epigenetics, experimental subject, Fermat's Last Theorem, Gödel, Escher, Bach, Higgs boson, information asymmetry, information retrieval, invention of writing, Isaac Newton, iterative process, John von Neumann, language acquisition, megaproject, Menlo Park, Murray Gell-Mann, Necker cube, Norbert Wiener, pattern recognition, phenotype, Richard Feynman, Rodney Brooks, self-driving car, social intelligence, sorting algorithm, speech recognition, Stephen Hawking, Steven Pinker, strong AI, Stuart Kauffman, TED Talk, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, theory of mind, Thomas Bayes, trickle-down economics, Turing machine, Turing test, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, Y2K

It is no accident that brains are massively parallel in their architecture, given the need for speed in controlling risky lives, but the “moving parts” of today’s von Neumann machines have a basic cycle time billions of times faster than the response time of a neuron, so they have speed to burn. In recent years, artificial intelligence researchers have developed connectionist networks that loosely mimic neural networks in the brain, and they have proven to be very good at learning to discriminate things in images, and other sorts of pattern recognition that our brains excel at, and they undoubtedly demonstrate the power of parallel processing (see chapter 15), but in fact, the parallel processing done by these networks is almost all simulated on conventional serial von Neumann machines. Von Neumann machines are universal mimics that can simulate any other architecture; today’s speedy von Neumann machines, in spite of their severe bottlenecks, can pretend they are parallel-processing neural networks so swiftly that they can keep up with, or surpass, the parallel-processing brains that designed them. 3.Brains are carbon based (protein, etc.); computers are silicon.

As always, repetition is a key ingredient in creating new affordances, whether it is arrayed synchronously in space like the advertisements or identical fragments of nucleic acid; or sequenced in time, like rehearsing a tune or a word; or noticing, again and again and again, the Eiffel Tower in the distance in Paris. Multiple copies of anything tend to enable your pattern-recognition machinery to make yet another copy, in the recognizer, and thus a meme can get spread. In figure 7.4 (p. 146), words are shown as high on reproduction versus growth, high on culture versus genetic, and low on complexity. Perhaps if Dawkins had developed the theme of words as paradigmatic memes, he might have forestalled or softened some of the resistance his proposal encountered from other researchers of culture: historians, literary theorists, philosophers, linguists, anthropologists, and sociologists, for instance.


pages: 189 words: 57,632

Content: Selected Essays on Technology, Creativity, Copyright, and the Future of the Future by Cory Doctorow

AltaVista, AOL-Time Warner, book scanning, Brewster Kahle, Burning Man, cognitive load, drop ship, en.wikipedia.org, general purpose technology, informal economy, information retrieval, Internet Archive, invention of movable type, Jeff Bezos, John Gilmore, John Perry Barlow, Law of Accelerating Returns, machine readable, Metcalfe's law, mirror neurons, Mitch Kapor, moral panic, mutually assured destruction, Neal Stephenson, new economy, optical character recognition, PalmPilot, patent troll, pattern recognition, peer-to-peer, Ponzi scheme, post scarcity, QWERTY keyboard, Ray Kurzweil, RFID, Sand Hill Road, Skype, slashdot, Snow Crash, social software, speech recognition, Steve Jobs, the long tail, Thomas Bayes, Turing test, Vernor Vinge, Wayback Machine

The brain is not one big neural net, the brain is several hundred different regions, and we can understand each region, we can model the regions with mathematics, most of which have some nexus with chaos and self-organizing systems. This has already been done for a couple dozen regions out of the several hundred. "We have a good model of a dozen or so regions of the auditory and visual cortex, how we strip images down to very low-resolution movies based on pattern recognition. Interestingly, we don't actually see things, we essentially hallucinate them in detail from what we see from these low resolution cues. Past the early phases of the visual cortex, detail doesn't reach the brain. "We are getting exponentially more knowledge. We can get detailed scans of neurons working in vivo, and are beginning to understand the chaotic algorithms underlying human intelligence.


pages: 203 words: 58,817

The Fire Starter Sessions: A Soulful + Practical Guide to Creating Success on Your Own Terms by Danielle Laporte

affirmative action, Albert Einstein, David Heinemeier Hansson, delayed gratification, do what you love, emotional labour, fake it until you make it, Frank Gehry, index card, invisible hand, Lao Tzu, off-the-grid, pattern recognition, Ralph Waldo Emerson, solopreneur, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak

CORE DESIRED FEELINGS WORKSHEET feelings: sensations; emotions; inner states; consciousness; inner world goal: everything you work toward; the objective of your strategy; the whole point FEELING How do you want to feel in your life? Do a stream-of-consciousness riff: concepts, words, feelings, images. This is about optimal, positive, nourishing, and good—very good—feelings. Put them all on paper. Let a tsunami of desire flood you. Invest in yourself. Want what you want. Go. PATTERN RECOGNITION Study your list of desired feelings. Read it over a few times. Read it out loud if you’re inclined. Sleep on it. Take it for a walk. What jumps out at you, feels warm, feels yes!, feels really important and valuable? Identify the words or concepts that really turn you on. The objective of this exercise is to narrow down your list to three to five desired feelings.


pages: 262 words: 60,248

Python Tricks: The Book by Dan Bader

anti-pattern, business logic, data science, domain-specific language, don't repeat yourself, functional programming, Hacker News, higher-order functions, linked data, off-by-one error, pattern recognition, performance metric

To be honest with you, I didn’t write down these examples and explanations off the top of my head. It took me some research and editing to do it. I’ve been using Python for years but rules and special cases like that aren’t constantly on my mind. Sometimes the most important skills for a programmer are “pattern recognition” and knowing where to look things up. If you feel a little overwhelmed at this point, don’t worry. Take your time and play with some of the examples in this chapter. Let these concepts sink in enough so that you’ll recognize the general idea of name mangling and some of the other behaviors I’ve shown you.


pages: 330 words: 59,335

The Outsiders: Eight Unconventional CEOs and Their Radically Rational Blueprint for Success by William Thorndike

Albert Einstein, AOL-Time Warner, Atul Gawande, Berlin Wall, book value, Checklist Manifesto, choice architecture, Claude Shannon: information theory, collapse of Lehman Brothers, compound rate of return, corporate governance, discounted cash flows, diversified portfolio, Donald Trump, Fall of the Berlin Wall, Gordon Gekko, Henry Singleton, impact investing, intangible asset, Isaac Newton, junk bonds, Louis Pasteur, low interest rates, Mark Zuckerberg, NetJets, Norman Mailer, oil shock, pattern recognition, Ralph Waldo Emerson, Richard Feynman, shared worldview, shareholder value, six sigma, Steve Jobs, stock buybacks, Teledyne, Thomas Kuhn: the structure of scientific revolutions, value engineering, vertical integration

The outsider CEOs believed that the value of financial projections was determined by the quality of the assumptions, not by the number of pages in the presentation, and many developed succinct, single-page analytical templates that focused employees on key variables. In Daniel Kahneman’s excellent recent book, Thinking, Fast and Slow, he lays out a model for human decision making that evolved from his thirty years of Nobel Prize–winning research.1 Kahneman’s paradigm features two distinct systems. System 1 is the purely instinctive pattern recognition mode that is instantly engaged in any situation and arrives at decisions very quickly using rules of thumb. System 2 is the slower, more reflective track that employs more complex analysis. System 2 can override system 1. The problem is that it takes more time and effort to engage system 2, and for that reason, it is underutilized in many of us.


pages: 208 words: 57,602

Futureproof: 9 Rules for Humans in the Age of Automation by Kevin Roose

"World Economic Forum" Davos, adjacent possible, Airbnb, Albert Einstein, algorithmic bias, algorithmic management, Alvin Toffler, Amazon Web Services, Atul Gawande, augmented reality, automated trading system, basic income, Bayesian statistics, Big Tech, big-box store, Black Lives Matter, business process, call centre, choice architecture, coronavirus, COVID-19, data science, deep learning, deepfake, DeepMind, disinformation, Elon Musk, Erik Brynjolfsson, factory automation, fake news, fault tolerance, Frederick Winslow Taylor, Freestyle chess, future of work, Future Shock, Geoffrey Hinton, George Floyd, gig economy, Google Hangouts, GPT-3, hiring and firing, hustle culture, hype cycle, income inequality, industrial robot, Jeff Bezos, job automation, John Markoff, Kevin Roose, knowledge worker, Kodak vs Instagram, labor-force participation, lockdown, Lyft, mandatory minimum, Marc Andreessen, Mark Zuckerberg, meta-analysis, Narrative Science, new economy, Norbert Wiener, Northpointe / Correctional Offender Management Profiling for Alternative Sanctions, off-the-grid, OpenAI, pattern recognition, planetary scale, plutocrats, Productivity paradox, QAnon, recommendation engine, remote working, risk tolerance, robotic process automation, scientific management, Second Machine Age, self-driving car, Shoshana Zuboff, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, social distancing, Steve Jobs, Stuart Kauffman, surveillance capitalism, tech worker, The Future of Employment, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, TikTok, Travis Kalanick, Uber and Lyft, uber lyft, universal basic income, warehouse robotics, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, work culture

Some jobs are also more robotic than they first appear. Take fashion design, for example. Designing clothes might appear to be a purely creative job that would be impossible for computers to perform. But a lot of modern fashion design—especially at “fast-fashion” chains and e-commerce brands—consists largely of pattern recognition and data analysis, and figuring out how to create variations on an item that is already selling well. As it turns out, this is the kind of task that AI can do very well. In fact, several companies are already using AI to generate fashion designs. In 2017, an Amazon research team developed a machine learning algorithm that analyzes images of garments in a particular style and learns to generate new garments in that style.


The Master and His Emissary: The Divided Brain and the Making of the Western World by Iain McGilchrist

Albert Einstein, Asperger Syndrome, autism spectrum disorder, Benoit Mandelbrot, Berlin Wall, classic study, cognitive bias, cognitive dissonance, computer age, Donald Trump, double helix, Douglas Hofstadter, epigenetics, experimental subject, Fellow of the Royal Society, Georg Cantor, hedonic treadmill, Henri Poincaré, language acquisition, Lao Tzu, longitudinal study, Louis Pasteur, mandelbrot fractal, meta-analysis, mirror neurons, music of the spheres, Necker cube, Panopticon Jeremy Bentham, pattern recognition, randomized controlled trial, Sapir-Whorf hypothesis, Schrödinger's Cat, social intelligence, social web, source of truth, stem cell, Steven Pinker, the scientific method, theory of mind, traumatic brain injury

The process is not a gradual putting together of bits of information, but an ‘aha!’ phenomenon – it comes all at once. Fig. 2.4 Emergence of the Gestalt. The right hemisphere, with its greater integrative power, is constantly searching for patterns in things. In fact its understanding is based on complex pattern recognition.124 Split-brain subjects have a complete inability to relate the shape or structure of something they have seen to something they feel with their hand – if the object is felt with their right hand. With the left hand (right hemisphere), however, they perform perfectly.125 Gazzaniga and LeDoux thought this must be dependent on some sort of tactile or ‘manipulatory’ advantage of the ‘minor’ hemisphere, because they were able to show that in a second experiment involving visual–visual integration, involving fitting a broken figure together, the left hemisphere was not so bad (though it was still not as good as the right hemisphere).

However, the more fine-grained the expert analysis, the more difficult it may be to see an overall pattern: it cannot be other than the view from close up. This will inevitably lead some to the conclusion that no pattern exists, but I believe this to be a mistake. One has to stand back in order to see patterns at all; there is a ‘necessary distance’ for such pattern recognition to work. If I am right that there have been shifts in hemisphere balance, why have they come about? To the historian, a multitude of social and economic factors will inevitably be involved in the process whereby many events unfolded which led to such cataclysmic movements in the history of ideas, and I have no doubt that, as always, chance also played an important role.

., ‘The precuneus: a review of its functional anatomy and behavioural correlates’, Brain, 2006, 129(3), pp. 564–83 Cepeda, M. S., Carr, D. B., Lau, J. et al., ‘Music for pain relief ’, Cochrane Database Systematic Reviews, 2006, issue 2. Art. No.: CD004843 Cerella, J., ‘The pigeon’s analysis of pictures’, Pattern Recognition, 1980, 12(1), pp. 1–6 Chamfort, N., Maximes et Pensées, Caractères et Anecdotes, ed. A. van Bever, Crès et Cie., Paris, 1923 [1795] Chaminade, T. & Decety, J., ‘Leader or follower? Involvement of the inferior parietal lobule in agency’, NeuroReport, 2002, 13(15), pp. 1975–8 Changeux, J.-P., ‘Learning and selection in the nervous system’, in de Kerckhove, D. & Lumsden, C.


pages: 227 words: 62,177

Numbers Rule Your World: The Hidden Influence of Probability and Statistics on Everything You Do by Kaiser Fung

Alan Greenspan, American Society of Civil Engineers: Report Card, Andrew Wiles, behavioural economics, Bernie Madoff, Black Swan, business cycle, call centre, correlation does not imply causation, cross-subsidies, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, edge city, Emanuel Derman, facts on the ground, financial engineering, fixed income, Gary Taubes, John Snow's cholera map, low interest rates, moral hazard, p-value, pattern recognition, profit motive, Report Card for America’s Infrastructure, statistical model, the scientific method, traveling salesman

In the case of credit scoring, correlation-based statistical models have been wildly successful even though they do not yield simple explanations for why one customer is a worse credit risk than another. The parallel development of this type of model by researchers in numerous fields, such as pattern recognition, machine learning, knowledge discovery, and data mining, also confirms its practical value. In explaining how credit scoring works, statisticians emphasize the similarity between traditional and modern methods; much of the criticism leveled at credit-scoring technology applies equally to credit officers who make underwriting decisions by handcrafted rules.


pages: 352 words: 64,282

MongoDB: The Definitive Guide by Kristina Chodorow, Michael Dirolf

create, read, update, delete, Debian, FOSDEM, pattern recognition, Ruby on Rails, web application

If we know some of the characteristics of our data, for instance, that there are only 43 chemicals with a freezing point of -20°, we can rearrange the $all to do that query first: all.put("$elemMatch", fp); all.put("$elemMatch", mw); all.put("$elemMatch", bp); criteria.put("index", new BasicDBObject("$all", all)); Now the database can quickly find those 43 elements and, for the subsequent clauses, has to scan only 43 elements (instead of 1 million). Figuring out a good ordering for arbitrary searches is the real trick of course, of course. This could be done with pattern recognition and data aggregation algorithms that are beyond the scope of this book. News Aggregator: PHP We will be creating a basic news aggregation application: users submit links to interesting sites, and other users can comment and vote on the quality of the links (and other News Aggregator: PHP | 159 comments).


pages: 219 words: 63,495

50 Future Ideas You Really Need to Know by Richard Watson

23andMe, 3D printing, access to a mobile phone, Albert Einstein, Alvin Toffler, artificial general intelligence, augmented reality, autonomous vehicles, BRICs, Buckminster Fuller, call centre, carbon credits, Charles Babbage, clean water, cloud computing, collaborative consumption, computer age, computer vision, crowdsourcing, dark matter, dematerialisation, Dennis Tito, digital Maoism, digital map, digital nomad, driverless car, Elon Musk, energy security, Eyjafjallajökull, failed state, Ford Model T, future of work, Future Shock, gamification, Geoffrey West, Santa Fe Institute, germ theory of disease, global pandemic, happiness index / gross national happiness, Higgs boson, high-speed rail, hive mind, hydrogen economy, Internet of things, Jaron Lanier, life extension, Mark Shuttleworth, Marshall McLuhan, megacity, natural language processing, Neil Armstrong, Network effects, new economy, ocean acidification, oil shale / tar sands, pattern recognition, peak oil, personalized medicine, phenotype, precision agriculture, private spaceflight, profit maximization, RAND corporation, Ray Kurzweil, RFID, Richard Florida, Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence, self-driving car, semantic web, Skype, smart cities, smart meter, smart transportation, space junk, statistical model, stem cell, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, Steven Pinker, Stewart Brand, strong AI, Stuxnet, supervolcano, synthetic biology, tech billionaire, telepresence, The Wisdom of Crowds, Thomas Malthus, Turing test, urban decay, Vernor Vinge, Virgin Galactic, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, web application, women in the workforce, working-age population, young professional

This means that instead of working on one computation after another (albeit at very fast speeds) a quantum computer can work on different computations at the same time. Hey presto, a computer with processing speeds a million or more times faster than anything that’s currently available, but more importantly, a computer able to solve problems that conventional computers cannot—for example, pattern recognition or code breaking. Quantum computing also has another major advantage. With conventional, silicon-based computers, overheating and energy use is a major problem. With quantum computers it’s not. Do such computers currently exist? At the moment the answer is no, certainly in the sense of being commercially scalable, usable or practical.


pages: 190 words: 62,941

Wild Ride: Inside Uber's Quest for World Domination by Adam Lashinsky

"Susan Fowler" uber, "World Economic Forum" Davos, Airbnb, always be closing, Amazon Web Services, asset light, autonomous vehicles, Ayatollah Khomeini, Benchmark Capital, business process, Chuck Templeton: OpenTable:, cognitive dissonance, corporate governance, DARPA: Urban Challenge, Didi Chuxing, Donald Trump, driverless car, Elon Musk, Erlich Bachman, gig economy, Golden Gate Park, Google X / Alphabet X, hustle culture, independent contractor, information retrieval, Jeff Bezos, John Zimmer (Lyft cofounder), Lyft, Marc Andreessen, Mark Zuckerberg, megacity, Menlo Park, multilevel marketing, new economy, pattern recognition, price mechanism, public intellectual, reality distortion field, ride hailing / ride sharing, Salesforce, San Francisco homelessness, Sand Hill Road, self-driving car, side hustle, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley billionaire, Silicon Valley startup, Skype, Snapchat, South of Market, San Francisco, sovereign wealth fund, statistical model, Steve Jobs, super pumped, TaskRabbit, tech worker, Tony Hsieh, transportation-network company, Travis Kalanick, turn-by-turn navigation, Uber and Lyft, Uber for X, uber lyft, ubercab, young professional

From its beginning Uber was an Internet technology company that coexisted with physical objects, namely automobiles. Running it required someone who could master the new science of computers and the older arts of the industrial economy, including logistics. Uber and its CEO forced even successful investors to think differently about how the landscape was changing. “Investment is all about pattern recognition,” says Yuri Milner, the Russian physicist-turned-investor who put $200 million into Facebook when it was a young company, a bet that returned billions. “It turns out Uber was a different pattern. I felt most of the pure Internet businesses already had been invented when Uber started. The paradigm was coders working for several years in isolation, with no interaction with the physical world or government agencies or the public.


pages: 256 words: 60,620

Think Twice: Harnessing the Power of Counterintuition by Michael J. Mauboussin

affirmative action, Alan Greenspan, asset allocation, Atul Gawande, availability heuristic, Benoit Mandelbrot, Bernie Madoff, Black Swan, butter production in bangladesh, Cass Sunstein, choice architecture, Clayton Christensen, cognitive dissonance, collateralized debt obligation, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, deliberate practice, disruptive innovation, Edward Thorp, experimental economics, financial engineering, financial innovation, framing effect, fundamental attribution error, Geoffrey West, Santa Fe Institute, George Akerlof, hindsight bias, hiring and firing, information asymmetry, libertarian paternalism, Long Term Capital Management, loose coupling, loss aversion, mandelbrot fractal, Menlo Park, meta-analysis, money market fund, Murray Gell-Mann, Netflix Prize, pattern recognition, Performance of Mutual Funds in the Period, Philip Mirowski, placebo effect, Ponzi scheme, power law, prediction markets, presumed consent, Richard Thaler, Robert Shiller, statistical model, Steven Pinker, systems thinking, the long tail, The Wisdom of Crowds, ultimatum game, vertical integration

But after two in a row, they automatically expected a third, even though they knew the series was random. Two may not be a trend, but our brains sure think so.12 This mistake is tough because our minds have a deep-seated desire to make out patterns and our prediction process is very rapid (the researchers call it “automatic and obligatory”). This pattern recognition ability evolved through the millennia and was profoundly useful for most of human existence. “In a natural environment, almost all patterns are predictive,” says Huettel. “For example, when you hear a crash behind you, it’s not something artificial; it means that a branch is falling, and you need to get out of the way.


pages: 210 words: 62,278

No One Succeeds Alone by Robert Reffkin

Albert Einstein, coronavirus, COVID-19, financial independence, George Floyd, global pandemic, hiring and firing, Isaac Newton, Jeff Bezos, Marc Benioff, market design, pattern recognition, Salesforce, Steve Jobs, young professional

At times, she has given me the confidence to take a leap I wouldn’t have had the courage to take alone, and at other times, she has helped me stand down from a battle that simply wasn’t worth fighting. I also have a terrific executive coach who I meet with regularly and we always focus on the same question: How can I be a better leader? My coach has incredible pattern recognition from his years counseling CEOs and he provides insights I couldn’t spot on my own. He has accelerated my personal growth as a leader more than I could have ever imagined. For some reason, many leaders seem to believe that asking for help, feedback, and guidance will make them appear weak. I’ve found just the opposite: listening to coaches has made me a much stronger leader.


pages: 1,331 words: 163,200

Hands-On Machine Learning With Scikit-Learn and TensorFlow: Concepts, Tools, and Techniques to Build Intelligent Systems by Aurélien Géron

AlphaGo, Amazon Mechanical Turk, Anton Chekhov, backpropagation, combinatorial explosion, computer vision, constrained optimization, correlation coefficient, crowdsourcing, data science, deep learning, DeepMind, don't repeat yourself, duck typing, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, friendly AI, Geoffrey Hinton, ImageNet competition, information retrieval, iterative process, John von Neumann, Kickstarter, machine translation, natural language processing, Netflix Prize, NP-complete, OpenAI, optical character recognition, P = NP, p-value, pattern recognition, pull request, recommendation engine, self-driving car, sentiment analysis, SpamAssassin, speech recognition, stochastic process

Solutions to these exercises are available in the online Jupyter notebooks at https://github.com/ageron/handson-ml. 1 By default Scikit-Learn caches downloaded datasets in a directory called $HOME/scikit_learn_data. 2 Shuffling may be a bad idea in some contexts — for example, if you are working on time series data (such as stock market prices or weather conditions). We will explore this in the next chapters. 3 But remember that our brain is a fantastic pattern recognition system, and our visual system does a lot of complex preprocessing before any information reaches our consciousness, so the fact that it feels simple does not mean that it is. 4 Scikit-Learn offers a few other averaging options and multilabel classifier metrics; see the documentation for more details. 5 You can use the shift() function from the scipy.ndimage.interpolation module.

Wiesel (1958). 2 “Receptive Fields of Single Neurones in the Cat’s Striate Cortex,” D. Hubel and T. Wiesel (1959). 3 “Receptive Fields and Functional Architecture of Monkey Striate Cortex,” D. Hubel and T. Wiesel (1968). 4 “Neocognitron: A Self-organizing Neural Network Model for a Mechanism of Pattern Recognition Unaffected by Shift in Position,” K. Fukushima (1980). 5 “Gradient-Based Learning Applied to Document Recognition,” Y. LeCun et al. (1998). 6 A convolution is a mathematical operation that slides one function over another and measures the integral of their pointwise multiplication. It has deep connections with the Fourier transform and the Laplace transform, and is heavily used in signal processing.


pages: 561 words: 157,589

WTF?: What's the Future and Why It's Up to Us by Tim O'Reilly

"Friedman doctrine" OR "shareholder theory", 4chan, Affordable Care Act / Obamacare, Airbnb, AlphaGo, Alvin Roth, Amazon Mechanical Turk, Amazon Robotics, Amazon Web Services, AOL-Time Warner, artificial general intelligence, augmented reality, autonomous vehicles, barriers to entry, basic income, behavioural economics, benefit corporation, Bernie Madoff, Bernie Sanders, Bill Joy: nanobots, bitcoin, Blitzscaling, blockchain, book value, Bretton Woods, Brewster Kahle, British Empire, business process, call centre, Capital in the Twenty-First Century by Thomas Piketty, Captain Sullenberger Hudson, carbon tax, Carl Icahn, Chuck Templeton: OpenTable:, Clayton Christensen, clean water, cloud computing, cognitive dissonance, collateralized debt obligation, commoditize, computer vision, congestion pricing, corporate governance, corporate raider, creative destruction, CRISPR, crowdsourcing, Danny Hillis, data acquisition, data science, deep learning, DeepMind, Demis Hassabis, Dennis Ritchie, deskilling, DevOps, Didi Chuxing, digital capitalism, disinformation, do well by doing good, Donald Davies, Donald Trump, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, Erik Brynjolfsson, fake news, Filter Bubble, Firefox, Flash crash, Free Software Foundation, fulfillment center, full employment, future of work, George Akerlof, gig economy, glass ceiling, Glass-Steagall Act, Goodhart's law, Google Glasses, Gordon Gekko, gravity well, greed is good, Greyball, Guido van Rossum, High speed trading, hiring and firing, Home mortgage interest deduction, Hyperloop, income inequality, independent contractor, index fund, informal economy, information asymmetry, Internet Archive, Internet of things, invention of movable type, invisible hand, iterative process, Jaron Lanier, Jeff Bezos, jitney, job automation, job satisfaction, John Bogle, John Maynard Keynes: Economic Possibilities for our Grandchildren, John Maynard Keynes: technological unemployment, John Zimmer (Lyft cofounder), Kaizen: continuous improvement, Ken Thompson, Kevin Kelly, Khan Academy, Kickstarter, Kim Stanley Robinson, knowledge worker, Kodak vs Instagram, Lao Tzu, Larry Ellison, Larry Wall, Lean Startup, Leonard Kleinrock, Lyft, machine readable, machine translation, Marc Andreessen, Mark Zuckerberg, market fundamentalism, Marshall McLuhan, McMansion, microbiome, microservices, minimum viable product, mortgage tax deduction, move fast and break things, Network effects, new economy, Nicholas Carr, Nick Bostrom, obamacare, Oculus Rift, OpenAI, OSI model, Overton Window, packet switching, PageRank, pattern recognition, Paul Buchheit, peer-to-peer, peer-to-peer model, Ponzi scheme, post-truth, race to the bottom, Ralph Nader, randomized controlled trial, RFC: Request For Comment, Richard Feynman, Richard Stallman, ride hailing / ride sharing, Robert Gordon, Robert Metcalfe, Ronald Coase, Rutger Bregman, Salesforce, Sam Altman, school choice, Second Machine Age, secular stagnation, self-driving car, SETI@home, shareholder value, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, skunkworks, Skype, smart contracts, Snapchat, Social Responsibility of Business Is to Increase Its Profits, social web, software as a service, software patent, spectrum auction, speech recognition, Stephen Hawking, Steve Ballmer, Steve Jobs, Steven Levy, Stewart Brand, stock buybacks, strong AI, synthetic biology, TaskRabbit, telepresence, the built environment, the Cathedral and the Bazaar, The future is already here, The Future of Employment, the map is not the territory, The Nature of the Firm, The Rise and Fall of American Growth, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, Thomas Davenport, Tony Fadell, Tragedy of the Commons, transaction costs, transcontinental railway, transportation-network company, Travis Kalanick, trickle-down economics, two-pizza team, Uber and Lyft, Uber for X, uber lyft, ubercab, universal basic income, US Airways Flight 1549, VA Linux, warehouse automation, warehouse robotics, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, We are the 99%, web application, Whole Earth Catalog, winner-take-all economy, women in the workforce, Y Combinator, yellow journalism, zero-sum game, Zipcar

That model can then be turned loose on real-world data similar to that in the training data set. Yann LeCun, a pioneer in a breakthrough machine learning technique called deep learning and now the head of the Facebook AI Research lab, uses the following analogy to explain how a model is trained to recognize images: A pattern recognition system is like a black box with a camera at one end, a green light and a red light on top, and a whole bunch of knobs on the front. The learning algorithm tries to adjust the knobs so that when, say, a dog is in front of the camera, the red light turns on, and when a car is put in front of the camera, the green light turns on.

See also individual operating systems “Operations: The New Secret Sauce” (O’Reilly), 121 Oram, Andy, 25–26 Orbitz, 178 O’Reilly, Tim, ix, xvii, 20, 71–75 O’Reilly AlphaTech Ventures, 50, 285–88 O’Reilly Media acquisition procedure, 279 and Amazon, 110–13 core strategic positioning, 48–50 ebook publishing venture, 28–29, 50 evaluating new industries, xi–xii googling name, 159–60 as startup, 274–75, 284–85 tracking trends to identify vectors, 37–40 Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), 170 Oringer, Jon, 283 Overton Window, 268–69 Overture, 161 “Owner’s Manifesto” (Dougherty), 337 Pacific Railroad Surveys, 4 Page, Larry, 132, 157, 160, 289–90 Pahlka, Jennifer “Jen,” 129, 137–38, 144–46, 318, 319 Paine, Thomas, 306 parental leave, 310–11 Pariser, Eli, 199–200 Park, Todd, 144, 146–47 Pascal’s Wager, 361–62 Patacconi, Andrea, 246 Patil, D. J., 156 Patreon, 316–17 pattern recognition systems, 164–65 Paul, Sunil, 75–76, 82, 283–84 payment collection methods, 77–79, 84 pay-per-click vs. pay-per-impression ads, 161–62 Peek, Jerry, 38 Peers, Inc. (Chase), 84–85 Peer-to-Peer and Web Services Conference (2001), 27 peer-to-peer file sharing, 26–27 Pelosi, Nancy, 188 “People, Not Data” (Solomon), 143 Pereira, Fernando, 155–56 Perez, Carlota, 277 Perez, Tom, 194 Perl, 10–11, 15, 16–17, 120–21 personal agents, xiii, xiv–xvi, 82, 232, 233 Peterson, Christine, 17–18 Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, 138–40 Phoenix Project, The (Kim, Behr, and Spafford), 122 physical assets with digital footprint, 66–67 Pike, Rob, 105–6 Piketty, Thomas, 246, 272, 291 platforms, xxiv, 90–91 algorithmic curation of information, 89 Amazon’s development into, 111–13 digital platforms and the real economy, 288–89 evolution of, 91–92 networked platforms, 67, 92–95 and reputation systems, 181–90 search engines, 39, 92, 157–59, 207, 288 thick marketplace requirement, 95–105, 128, 133 Uber as, 59–61 See also Amazon; Google; government as a platform; networks platform strategies, 109–10 employees work inside the application, 119–24 platform vs. application, 110–13 promise-centered organizations, 113–19 pol.is, 200, 221–22 politics barriers to fresh thinking, 268–69 and corporate malfeasance, 249–50 Power of Pull, The (Hagel, Brown, and Davison), 341 Practice of Management (Drucker), 250 principal component analysis (PCA), 221–22 privacy bullies, 178–79 profits and open source software, 24 Programming Perl (Wall), 10 promise-centered organizations, 113–19 promise theory, 115–19 public benefit corporations, 292 Putnam, Robert, 218–19, 320 QVC, 162–63 Rachmeler, Kim, 115–16, 117 racism, 21 Rackspace, 350 Rademacher, Paul, 127–28 Rand, Ayn, 69 RankBrain (Google), 165 Rasselas (Johnson), 313 Raw Deal (Hill), 184 Rawls, John, 181 Raymond, Eric, 8–9, 15–16, 17–18 RCA, 351 reality vs. abstraction, 21–22 redlining data, 178–79 RegTech, 175 regulations, 171–72 defining the desired outcome, 173–75 financial market speed vs., 172–73 and government technology, 187–89 improving outcomes, 175–76 of labor, 190–98 reputation systems in design of online platforms, 181–90 role of sensors, 176–77 and surveillance data, 177–81 value of, 181–90 and workers’ continuous partial employment, 190–98 regulatory capture, 187–88 REI, 244 Reinventing Discovery (Nielsen), 43 Remix, 140 repairs vs. sealed hardware, 337–38 reputation systems, 181–90 Resnick, Paul, 182 Reuther, Walter, 357 rhyming patterns, 5, 8, 13 Ries, Eric, 186 right to work laws, 262–63 Rilke, Rainer Maria, 353 Rinaudo, Keller, 370, 372 Rise and Fall of American Growth (Gordon), 243 Rise of the Robots, The (Ford), 269 Robbins, Jesse, 121 Roberts, Bruce, 285–88 Robinson, David, 130 Robinson, Kim Stanley, 96 robots and robotics competitive advantage of human touch, 311, 315, 330–31 fears about, ix, 300 filling the gap of not enough workers, 310 and jobs, xx–xxi and laser eye surgery, xvii–xviii and people, at Amazon, 95 the Robot Lawyer, 332 robot tax proposal, 307 Rolf, David, 196, 262 Roman empire, xix Romer, Paul, 249 Rosencrantz & Guildenstern Are Dead (Stoppard), xii Rossman, John, 117 Roth, Alvin E., 98 Rothman, Simon, 196 Rushkoff, Douglas, 251 Rwanda, 370 Safari service for ebooks, 50, 344 Sanders, Bernie, 255 Saudi Arabia, 305–6 scenario planning, 358–67 Scheifler, Bob, 16 Schlossberg, Edwin, 3 Schmidt, Eric, 126, 129, 137 Schneier, Bruce, 177 Schrage, Michael, xiv, 58 Schulman, Andrew, 10 Schumpeterian profits, 296 Schumpeterian waste, 277–78 Schwartz, Peter, 359 Science and Sanity (Korzybski), 20 Scoble, Robert, 39 Search, The (Battelle), 161 search engine optimization, 160–61 search engines, 39, 92, 157–59, 207, 288.


pages: 648 words: 170,770

Leviathan Wakes by James S. A. Corey

different worldview, gravity well, independent contractor, Kuiper Belt, no-fly zone, orbital mechanics / astrodynamics, pattern recognition

I’ve even had the Roci digging through the data for the last couple hours, looking for patterns. She has really good software for that sort of thing. But so far, nothing.” She tapped on the screen again and the raw data began spooling past faster than Holden could follow. In a small window inside the larger screen, the Rocinante’s pattern-recognition software worked to find meaning. Holden watched it for a minute, but his eyes quickly unfocused. “Lieutenant Kelly died for this data,” he said. “He left the ship while his mates were still fighting. Marines don’t do that unless it matters.” Naomi shrugged and pointed at the screen with resignation.

Perhaps it was enough just knowing that someone on the other side of the political and military divide had seen the same evidence they had seen and drawn the same conclusions. Maybe it left room for hope. He switched his hand terminal back to the Eros feed. A strong throbbing sound danced below a cascade of noise. Voices rose and fell and rose again. Data streams spewed into one another, and the pattern-recognition servers burned every spare cycle making something from the resultant mess. Julie took his hand, the dream so convincing he could almost pretend he felt it. You belong with me, she said. As soon as it’s over, he thought. It was true he kept pushing back the end point of the case. First find Julie, then avenge her, and now destroy the project that had claimed her life.


pages: 533

Future Politics: Living Together in a World Transformed by Tech by Jamie Susskind

3D printing, additive manufacturing, affirmative action, agricultural Revolution, Airbnb, airport security, algorithmic bias, AlphaGo, Amazon Robotics, Andrew Keen, Apollo Guidance Computer, artificial general intelligence, augmented reality, automated trading system, autonomous vehicles, basic income, Bertrand Russell: In Praise of Idleness, Big Tech, bitcoin, Bletchley Park, blockchain, Boeing 747, brain emulation, Brexit referendum, British Empire, business process, Cambridge Analytica, Capital in the Twenty-First Century by Thomas Piketty, cashless society, Cass Sunstein, cellular automata, Citizen Lab, cloud computing, commons-based peer production, computer age, computer vision, continuation of politics by other means, correlation does not imply causation, CRISPR, crowdsourcing, cryptocurrency, data science, deep learning, DeepMind, digital divide, digital map, disinformation, distributed ledger, Donald Trump, driverless car, easy for humans, difficult for computers, Edward Snowden, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, end-to-end encryption, Erik Brynjolfsson, Ethereum, ethereum blockchain, Evgeny Morozov, fake news, Filter Bubble, future of work, Future Shock, Gabriella Coleman, Google bus, Google X / Alphabet X, Googley, industrial robot, informal economy, intangible asset, Internet of things, invention of the printing press, invention of writing, Isaac Newton, Jaron Lanier, John Markoff, Joseph Schumpeter, Kevin Kelly, knowledge economy, Large Hadron Collider, Lewis Mumford, lifelogging, machine translation, Metcalfe’s law, mittelstand, more computing power than Apollo, move fast and break things, natural language processing, Neil Armstrong, Network effects, new economy, Nick Bostrom, night-watchman state, Oculus Rift, Panopticon Jeremy Bentham, pattern recognition, payday loans, Philippa Foot, post-truth, power law, price discrimination, price mechanism, RAND corporation, ransomware, Ray Kurzweil, Richard Stallman, ride hailing / ride sharing, road to serfdom, Robert Mercer, Satoshi Nakamoto, Second Machine Age, selection bias, self-driving car, sexual politics, sharing economy, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, Skype, smart cities, Smart Cities: Big Data, Civic Hackers, and the Quest for a New Utopia, smart contracts, Snapchat, speech recognition, Steve Bannon, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, Steven Levy, tech bro, technological determinism, technological singularity, technological solutionism, the built environment, the Cathedral and the Bazaar, The Structural Transformation of the Public Sphere, The Wisdom of Crowds, Thomas L Friedman, Tragedy of the Commons, trolley problem, universal basic income, urban planning, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, work culture , working-age population, Yochai Benkler

‘Google’s Neural Machine Translation System: Bridging the Gap between Human and Machine Translation’, arXiv, 8 October 2016 <https://arxiv.org/abs/1609.08144> (accessed 6 December 2017); Yaniv Taigman et al.,‘DeepFace: Closing the Gap to Human-Level Performance in Face Verification’, 2014 IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (CVPR) 2014 <https://www.cs.toronto.edu/~ranzato/publications/taigman_ cvpr14.pdf> (accessed 11 December 2017); Aäron van den Oord et al., ‘WaveNet: A Generative Model for Raw Audio’, arXiv, 19 September 2016 <https://arxiv.org/abs/1609.03499> (accessed 6 December 2017). 4. Peter Campbell, ‘Ford Plans Mass-market Self-driving Car by 2021’, Financial Times, 16 August 2016 <https://www.ft.com/content/ d2cfc64e-63c0-11e6-a08a-c7ac04ef00aa#axzz4HOGiWvHT> (accessed 28 November 2017); David Millward, ‘How Ford Will Create a New Generation of Driverless Cars’, Telegraph, 27 February 2017 <http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2017/02/27/ford-seeks-­ pioneer-new-generation-driverless-cars/> (accessed 28 November 2017). 5.

Political Philosophy: A Beginners’ Guide for Students and Politicians (Second Edition). Cambridge: Polity Press, 2007. Taigman, Yaniv, Ming Yang, Marc’ Aurelio Ranzato, and Lior Wolf. ‘DeepFace: Closing the Gap to Human-Level Performance in Face Verification’. 2014 IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (CVPR), 2014 <https://www.cs.toronto.edu/~ranzato/ publications/taigman_cvpr14.pdf> (accessed 11 Dec. 2017). Takahashi, Dean. ‘Magic Leap Sheds Light on its Retina-based Augmented Reality 3D Displays’. VentureBeat, 20 Feb. 2015 <http://venturebeat.com/ 2015/02/20/magic-leap-sheds-light-on-its-retina-based-augmentedreality-3d-displays/> (accessed 30 Nov. 2017).


pages: 566 words: 163,322

The Rise and Fall of Nations: Forces of Change in the Post-Crisis World by Ruchir Sharma

"World Economic Forum" Davos, Asian financial crisis, backtesting, bank run, banking crisis, Berlin Wall, Bernie Sanders, BRICs, business climate, business cycle, business process, call centre, capital controls, Capital in the Twenty-First Century by Thomas Piketty, Carmen Reinhart, central bank independence, centre right, colonial rule, commodity super cycle, corporate governance, creative destruction, crony capitalism, currency peg, dark matter, debt deflation, deglobalization, deindustrialization, demographic dividend, demographic transition, Deng Xiaoping, Doha Development Round, Donald Trump, driverless car, Edward Glaeser, Elon Musk, eurozone crisis, failed state, Fall of the Berlin Wall, falling living standards, financial engineering, Francis Fukuyama: the end of history, Freestyle chess, Gini coefficient, global macro, Goodhart's law, guns versus butter model, hiring and firing, hype cycle, income inequality, indoor plumbing, industrial robot, inflation targeting, Internet of things, Japanese asset price bubble, Jeff Bezos, job automation, John Markoff, Joseph Schumpeter, junk bonds, Kenneth Rogoff, Kickstarter, knowledge economy, labor-force participation, Larry Ellison, lateral thinking, liberal capitalism, low interest rates, Malacca Straits, Mark Zuckerberg, market bubble, Mary Meeker, mass immigration, megacity, megaproject, Mexican peso crisis / tequila crisis, middle-income trap, military-industrial complex, mittelstand, moral hazard, New Economic Geography, North Sea oil, oil rush, oil shale / tar sands, oil shock, open immigration, pattern recognition, Paul Samuelson, Peter Thiel, pets.com, plutocrats, Ponzi scheme, price stability, Productivity paradox, purchasing power parity, quantitative easing, Ralph Waldo Emerson, random walk, rent-seeking, reserve currency, Ronald Coase, Ronald Reagan, savings glut, secular stagnation, Shenzhen was a fishing village, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, Simon Kuznets, smart cities, Snapchat, South China Sea, sovereign wealth fund, special economic zone, spectrum auction, Steve Jobs, tacit knowledge, tech billionaire, The Future of Employment, The Wisdom of Crowds, Thomas Malthus, total factor productivity, trade liberalization, trade route, tulip mania, Tyler Cowen: Great Stagnation, unorthodox policies, Washington Consensus, WikiLeaks, women in the workforce, work culture , working-age population

They are most applicable to emerging nations, in part because those nations’ economic and political institutions are less well established, making them more vulnerable to political and financial upheaval. However, as I will show along the way, many of the rules find useful applications in the developed world. Pattern Recognition: The Principles Behind the Rules A few basic principles underlie all the rules. The first is impermanence. At the height of the 2000s boom, a variety of global forces—easy money pouring out of Western banks, spiking prices of commodities, and soaring global trade—doubled the growth rate of emerging economies.

., 79 Kiss of Debt (Rule 9), 297–328 Zielinski play, 297–98, 299, 323 see also debt Kohler, Hans-Peter, 35 Koizumi, Junichiro, 335, 351 Kudrin, Alexei, 60, 67, 74 Kuznets, Simon, 101, 299 Lagarde, Christine, 58 Laos, 180 Latin America, 364–70 economic cycles in, 93, 291, 310, 342 infrastructure in, 186 and location, 177 regional alliances, 179, 182–83, 366 wealth gap in, 95–96, 97, 125–26 see also specific nations Lavagna, Roberto, 74 leadership: aging, 3, 59, 71–72, 75, 114 arrogance of, 59, 60, 61, 62, 71, 72 autocrats vs. democrats, 21, 63, 82, 85–91, 132, 333, 365 charismatic, 61, 68, 69 in circle of life, 60–62, 364–65 corruption of, 3, 12, 60, 61, 67, 91, 97, 105–6, 114, 127–29, 226, 320, 379 and elections, 364–65 fresh, 63, 64–70, 75, 76–77, 86, 94, 388 populist, 59, 77–80, 96–99, 363–64 and regional alliances, 179 stale, 21, 59, 61, 63, 70–77, 86, 92, 94, 249, 376, 392–93 technocrats, 63, 80–85, 237 tenure of, 73–75, 90 Li, Robin, 113 Libya, 4, 74, 92, 167, 168, 185 life expectancy, 10, 19, 25, 26, 28, 44 and retirement, 37, 38–40 Li Keqiang, 84, 150, 312 location, 166–200 and economic growth, 175–78, 199–200 and global trade, 171–75, 176–89, 199–200 population centers, 189–97 regional alliances, 173–75, 178–84, 199 service cities, 197–200 and shipping routes, 185–86, 402–3 long term, myth of, 399–401 López Michelsen, Alfonso, 188 Lucas, Robert, 280 Lucas paradox, 280 Lula da Silva, Luiz Inácio, 66, 69, 71, 74, 79, 284 Ma, Jack, 113, 114 Macri, Mauricio, 83, 365–66 Maduro, Nicolás, 158 Ma Huateng, 113 Maktoum, Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al, ruling family of, 166–67 Malaysia, 190, 342 banking crisis in (1990s), 316 debt in, 299, 300, 306, 315, 325 economic cycle in, 29, 327, 378–79 and global trade, 174, 178, 180 hype about, 330, 331, 345, 348 immigration to, 48, 51 investment in, 206, 231 leadership in, 60, 76, 379 manufacturing in, 205 state banks in, 151, 323–24 wealth in, 107, 118 Malta, 342, 348 Malthus, Thomas, 27, 343 Manuel, Trevor, 341 manufacturing: and economic growth, 15–16, 216, 227, 341 for export, 207–8 and GDP, 204–6, 214–15 and innovation, 15, 204 international, 213–15, 216 investment in, 203–6, 232 and productivity, 15, 204–5, 207 stabilizing effect of, 215–17 virtuous cycle of, 206–10, 215, 221, 228 Mao Zedong, 84 Marcos, Ferdinand, 7, 79, 334 Marino, Roger, 49 markets: cycles of, viii–x, 74–75 and leadership, 79–81 predictive power of, 13–14, 75 Marx, Karl, 92 Mauro, Paolo, 336 Mboweni, Tito, 245 Meirelles, Henrique, 69, 245 Menem, Carlos, 82 Mercosur trade bloc, 182–83, 366 Merkel, Angela, 45, 387, 388 Mexico, 368–70 breakdown in government functions, 201–2 corruption in, 141 currency crisis (1994) in, 5, 65, 148, 273, 281, 285, 298, 324 debt of, 291, 298, 324–25 economic cycle in, 98, 348, 400 government spending in, 140, 141, 148 and immigration, 53–54 inflation in, 242, 246, 370 infrastructure in, 232, 369 investment in, 203, 205, 220, 232, 368, 369 leadership in, 81, 94, 98, 368–69 location of, 168, 169, 177, 193, 199–200, 370 manufacturing in, 369–70 and oil, 130, 368, 369 population centers in, 193–94, 199 population growth rates in, 26, 30, 369 and regional alliances, 183, 199, 370 social unrest in, 70, 77, 98 technology in, 219–20 wealth gap in, 115, 120, 364 workforce in, 40, 43 middle class: anger of, 3, 5, 72–73, 76–77 growing, 204 jobs for, 213 and wealth inequality, 102 Middle East: Arab Spring, 4, 31, 76, 91–92, 167, 242 energy subsidies in, 156, 157 investment in, 169–70 political unrest in, 167, 168, 169, 170, 396 restrictions on women in, 42 see also specific nations middle-income trap (hype), 344–45 Mikitani, Hiroshi, 110 Modi, Narenda, 79, 94, 210, 350–51, 370, 373–75 Mohamad, Mahathir, 60, 231, 280, 330 money flows, 2, 5, 268–70, 275, 277, 279–90, 292, 295–96 Monti, Mario, 81 Morales, Evo, 76 Morocco, 168, 185, 190, 199 Moynihan, Daniel Patrick, 234–35 Mozambique, 225, 354 Mubarak, Gamal, 133 Mubarak, Hosni, 76, 92 Mugabe, Robert, 86, 88–89, 96–97, 373 Musk, Elon, 123–24 Myanmar, 187, 333, 334 Nakasone, Yasuhiro, 46 Nanda, Ramana, 220 natural resources, 223–29 Nehru, Vikram, 81, 82 Netherlands, 41–42, 50, 176, 224–25, 255, 256, 299 news media, see hype New Zealand, 244 Nguyen Tan Dung, 90–91 Nicaragua, 98 Niger, 66, 339 Nigeria: commodities economy of, 4, 174, 223, 225–27, 228, 293, 394, 398 corruption in, 226–27, 398 economic cycle in, 88, 348, 398 GDP in, 12, 87, 227 government spending in, 141–42 hype about, 348, 398 inflation in, 242 leadership in, 352–53, 365, 398 and regional alliance, 182 slipping backward, 202, 205, 232, 398 workforce in, 19, 29, 31, 185 North America Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), 183 North Korea, 74, 86, 96, 136, 174 Norway, 90, 225, 300, 346, 348 Nyerere, Julius, 96 Obasanjo, Olusegun, 398 OECD (Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development), 40, 44, 48–49 oil: and bad billionaires, 100, 111 and corruption, 226 curse of, 12, 169, 224, 227 and “Dutch disease,” 224–25 exporters of, 155, 174, 341, 394 extraction of, 124–25 investment in, 223, 224, 225, 228 offshore, 130 price of, 4, 29, 60, 62, 64, 65, 89, 111, 114, 154–55, 227–29, 257, 268, 282, 293, 333, 342, 348, 362, 393, 394, 398 shale, 228–29 Okonjo-Iweala, Ngozi, 227 Oman, 342 Omidyar, Pierre, 49 OPEC, 64, 65, 240, 333 Ortega, Daniel, 98 Osborne, Michael, 54 Osnos, Evan, 145 Ostry, Jonathan, 125–26 Ozden, Caglar, 51 Pacific Alliance, 183–84, 199 Pakistan, 142, 180, 370–73 infrastructure in, 187, 372 leadership in, 77, 94, 96, 372 service jobs in, 212 war with India, 97, 375 workforce in, 31, 42, 370–71, 373 Palaiologos, Yannis, 164 Paldam, Martin, 241 Palestine, 175 Papademos, Lucas, 80 Paraguay, 182, 183, 242 Park Chung-hee, 85 Park Geun-hye, 47, 383 pattern recognition, 7–11 Peña Nieto, Enrique, 94, 115, 368–69 People Matter (Rule 1), 23–57; see also workforce per capita income, 10, 339–40, 348 Perils of the State (Rule 4), 132–65 and bad billionaires, 127–29 devaluing the currency, 290–96, 381 energy subsidies, 156–58 and leaders, see leadership meddling in private companies, 158–62, 246, 250–51 and population growth, 33, 35–36 privatization, 161–62, 177 sensible role for state, 162–65 state banks, 134, 151–54, 243–44 state companies as political tools, 154–56, 165 Perón, Juan, 333 Persson, Stefan, 174, 179 Peru, 52, 188, 190, 291 commodities economy of, 174, 228, 368 investment in, 228 leadership in, 98 and Pacific Alliance, 183–84 workforce in, 43 pessimism, prevailing fashion of, 9, 275, 360, 399 Philippines, 180, 193, 194, 198 economic recovery in, 327, 350, 375–76, 378 economic slowdown in, 346 hype about, 333, 334, 348 investment in, 232, 375–76 leadership in, 79, 97, 376 population growth in, 31 service jobs in, 212–13, 221 social unrest in, 70, 77 wealth redistribution in, 97 workforce in, 19, 31 Piketty, Thomas, 104 Piñera, Sebastián, 34–35, 95–96, 98, 102, 126 Pinochet, Augusto, 82, 98, 99 Pires, Pedro, 353 Poland, 139, 190, 339 billionaires in, 109, 120, 391 currency of, 288–90 debt in, 391 investment in, 205, 215, 391 leadership in, 74–75, 365 location of, 168, 176, 177, 198–200 political shift in, 391 population growth rate in, 30, 39 private economy in, 159, 160, 161 workforce in, 39, 391, 392 population growth: baby bonuses, 33–36 decline in, 19–20, 24–32, 44, 56, 392, 394, 399 and economic growth, 29–32, 57 forecasts of, 25, 27, 28, 32 measurement of, 21 and replacement fertility rate, 26, 33, 37, 47 and workforce growth, 18–19, 39, 57 populism, 59, 60, 77–80, 81–82, 96–99, 100, 247, 363–64, 389 Portugal, 29, 30, 39, 288 Price of Onions (Rule 7), 234–61; see also inflation; prices prices, 234–61 asset, 257–61 of commodities, 111, 114, 174, 228, 263, 278, 341–42, 354, 365, 386; see also oil consumer, 235, 256, 257–61 and currency, 294 and deflation, 256 falling, 4, 5, 253–54 of food, 234, 235, 236, 241–42, 365 to foreign buyers, 258 “Mapping the World’s Prices,” 265 of money, 304 public anger about, 237, 241–42 stabilizing, 261 of stocks, 313 validity of data about, 13 wage-price spiral, 240 Pritchett, Lant, 336, 347 production: chain of, 27 as growth factor, 15–16 productivity: elusive x factor in, 20 and government spending, 148–49 and ICOR, 149 and immigration, 51 in manufacturing, 15, 204–5, 207 measurement of, 17, 18–21 and population trends, 39, 57 and technology, 220–21 Putin, Vladimir, 18, 42, 392–94 and billionaires, 114, 115, 350 and economic reforms, 58–59, 60, 61, 67–69, 78, 284 hype about, 342, 350, 393, 394 and populism, 59 rise to power, 61, 66, 67 and social unrest, 73–74 and stale leadership, 60, 71–72, 76, 114, 159–60, 392 and state intervention, 159–60, 350 Qaddafi, Muammar el-, 74 Rahman, Sheikh Mujibur, 96 Rajan, Raghuram, 251 Rajapaksa, Mahinda, 180, 373 Rao, Jaithirth, 209–10 Razak, Najib, 379 Reagan, Ronald, 64–65, 66, 70 Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER), 265, 267, 272 real estate: bad billionaires in, 100, 105, 107, 108, 110–11, 364, 369 and debt, 310–13 investment binges in, 222–23, 228, 229–31, 382, 387 prices of, 108, 257–61, 309, 312, 382, 389 and state banks, 154 recessions: 1930s (Great Depression), 172, 173, 254, 258 1970s, 2, 64, 65 1980s, 2, 64, 305 1990s, 2, 6, 13, 64, 66, 68, 83, 138, 148, 161 2007–2009, see global financial crisis in Asia (1997-1998), see Asia China as possible source of, 2–3 cycles of, 2, 14, 64–66, 87–88 debt as cause of, 260, 298–99, 301, 303–4, 308–10, 317–19 dot-com bust, see dot-com bubble forecasting of, 14, 337–38, 400 official documentation of, 14 U.S. origins of, 2, 132, 303–4, 305–6, 308–9, 327–28, 362 Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, 173 rent-seeking industries, 110–11, 122, 123, 124 Renzi, Matteo, 81, 94 Rhodes-Kropf, Matthew, 220 Rickards, James, 168 Robinson, James, 176 robots, 27, 36, 54–57, 214 Rockefeller, John D., 124 Rodrik, Dani, 207 Romania, 87, 162, 238, 348, 391–92 Rothschild, Baron de, 349 Rousseff, Dilma, 80, 152–53, 155, 366, 368 Roy, Nilanjana, 236 Rubin, Robert, 341 Russia, 193, 326, 344 aging population in, 72 authoritarianism in, 3, 60 author’s speech in, 58–59 banking crisis (1990s), 61 billionaires in, 103, 107, 114–15, 116, 119, 120, 364, 393 birth rate in, 26 brain drain from, 52 capital flight from, 52, 281, 282, 367 commodities economy in, 4, 205, 225, 341, 367, 376, 393, 397 currency of, 263, 265, 268, 281, 282, 289, 291, 393, 394 debt in, 59, 291, 327, 394 economic growth in, 17, 60, 63, 66, 69, 159, 340, 358 economic slowdown in, 346, 392 education in, 17 financial deepening in, 327 GDP of, 4, 175, 394 government spending in, 139, 149, 394 hype about, 4, 338, 347, 348, 350 inflation in, 241, 242, 246 international business in, 18, 394 international sanctions against, 282 investment in, 205, 208, 232, 394–95, 397 leadership in, 349, 392–94; see also Putin, Vladimir oil in, 29, 60, 62, 72, 114, 155, 159, 265, 282, 341, 342, 393, 394 oligarchs in, 107, 114–15, 160, 268 per capita income in, 61, 68 political cronyism in, 4, 159, 160 reforms in, 58, 59, 60, 61, 66, 67, 68, 78 social unrest in, 4, 73–74 state banks in, 151–52, 159, 282 stock exchange in, 161 tech companies in, 17, 159–60 workforce in, 30, 42, 155, 393 Rwanda, 181, 182, 199 Rybolovlev, Dmitry, 107 Sakurauchi, Yoshio, 329–30 Samuelson, Paul, 13 Santos, Manuel, 188, 189 Sassen, Saskia, 197 Saudi Arabia, 29, 42, 170, 190 currency of, 396 energy subsidies in, 156, 157 GDP in, 87 government spending in, 139, 396 leadership in, 87, 396 and oil prices, 227–28, 279, 333, 394 roller-coaster economy of, 227–28 savings, 16, 277–79 Scandinavia, 35, 42 Schlumpeter, Joseph, 360 Schularick, Moritz, 259 service businesses, 204, 210–13 service cities, 197–200 Sharif, Nawaz, 94, 372 Sharma, Rahul, 170–71 Shinawatra, Thaksin, 79, 97 Shinawatra, Yingluck, 78–79, 217 Sierra Leone, 225 Silk Road, 8, 187–88, 399 Singapore, 32, 33, 175, 182, 238, 346, 348 Singh, Manmohan, 62, 73, 74–75, 133, 187, 234–37, 250 Sirisena, Maithripala, 181 Sisi, Abdel Fattah el-, 76, 157 social upheavals: Arab Spring, 4, 31, 76, 91–92, 167, 242 “middle-class rage,” 72–73 as revolts against stale leadership, 21, 61, 70, 72, 73–74, 77, 92 spread of, 3, 91–92 South Africa: commodities economy in, 223, 225, 263, 376, 397 corruption in, 164 currency in, 397 debt of, 291 decline in development of, 3, 6, 205, 346, 397 economic growth in, 10, 38, 90, 340 HDI ranking, 10 immigration to, 48 investment in, 232, 397 leadership in, 76, 90, 352–53, 397 life expectancy in, 10 social unrest in, 4, 73, 74 South Asia, 370–75, 400 commodities economies in, 371 political instability in, 180, 373 regional alliances, 179, 180 restrictions on women in, 42 Southeast Asia, 375–80 economic cycle in, 310, 324, 326, 327, 349, 375–76, 400 and global trade, 176, 178, 179–80 and hype, 330, 331 South Korea, 190, 197–98 and China, 382 debt in, 216, 321 economic growth in, 10, 66–67, 87, 175, 216, 238, 308 government spending in, 140, 146 HDI ranking, 10 homogeneity in, 46–47 hype about, 333, 334, 339 inflation in, 237, 246 and international business, 179, 382–83 investment in, 205, 206, 218, 221, 225, 238, 253 leadership in, 66–67, 82, 85, 93, 349 literacy in, 17 manufacturing in, 205, 212–13, 214–15, 216, 225, 382–83 per capita income in, 215, 316 productivity in, 20 robots in, 56 technology in, 218, 221, 295, 382 wealth in, 107–8, 109, 116, 117–18, 120, 121–22, 383 workforce in, 40, 43, 44, 47, 56, 140, 383 Soviet Union: after 1991, see Russia central plan of, 81, 85 fall of, 29, 67, 107, 109, 151, 198, 208, 242 Spain, 29, 32, 192 current account in, 288 debt in, 327–28, 389–90 internal devaluation in, 287 manufacturing in, 387 Spence, Michael, 341 Spence Commission, 341–42 Sri Lanka, 180–81, 187, 212, 365, 370–71, 373 stagflation, 64, 65, 240, 395 stagnation, 6, 83, 88, 91, 105, 172, 192 state banks, 134, 151–54 state capitalism, 133–35, 155 stock markets: best time to buy in, 349 and crisis of 2008, 146–47 mania/crash, 258–61, 313–14, 318 signals from, 13, 74–75, 133, 134, 258, 313 state-run companies in, 135 “structural reform,” 62–63, 163 Studwell, Joe, 17, 143–44 Sudan, 142, 185 Suharto, 59–60, 82, 93, 293, 320–21, 330 Summers, Lawrence, 104, 336, 347 supply and demand, 256–57 supply networks, 235, 238, 239–40, 243, 253, 292, 365 supply side, 24 Surowiecki, James, 13 Sweden, 42, 50, 136, 138 billionaires in, 108, 116, 121, 123 debt in, 300 economic cycle in, 17, 90, 256 financial crisis (1990s), 317 and inflation, 245 Switzerland, 41, 50, 121, 138–39, 198, 294 Syria: and Arab Spring, 92, 167 civil war in, 4, 92, 168, 224 economic cycle in, 87, 88 leadership in, 89 refugees from, 2, 44, 48 Taiwan, 144, 151, 190 banking crises in (1995, 1997), 316, 317 and China, 382–83 debt in, 291, 307, 317–18 economic growth in, 87, 175, 238, 308, 348 government spending in, 140, 146 hype about, 333, 334, 345, 346, 348 and international business, 382–83 investment in, 205, 218 leadership in, 82, 86, 93 literacy in, 17 per capita income in, 316 and regional alliances, 179, 383 and technology, 221, 295 wealth in, 107–8, 118, 120, 122 working-age population in, 383 Tanzania, 96, 181–82 taxes: corporate, 63, 138 cutting, 67 evading, 128, 137, 142, 164 failure to collect, 141–43 and government spending, 136–37 import tariffs, 172 inheritance, 124 and public services, 140 Taylor, Alan M., 259, 304, 310 technology: automation, 214 cycle of, 8, 124, 218–21 driverless cars, 54 and immigration, 51–52 investment in, 218–21, 229, 233, 255 and jobs, 101, 211, 212 and leisure time, 199 and productivity, 20, 51, 119, 220–21 robot workers, 27, 36, 54–57, 214 and service businesses, 210, 211–13 3-D printing, 8, 214 Tetlock, Philip, 400 Thailand, 47–48, 189–90 capital flight from, 272, 292 commodities economy in, 342, 379 credit binge in, 199, 297, 298–302, 306, 315, 328, 380 currency of, 217, 267, 271–73, 273, 285–86, 292 economic contraction in, 286, 349, 379 economic growth in, 79, 217, 256, 348, 380 economic recovery of, 288, 302, 325, 327 and hype, 330, 349 infrastructure in, 207–8, 230 and international trade, 174, 178, 179–80, 216 investment in, 206, 217, 225, 230–31 leadership in, 78–79, 97, 379–80 manufacturing in, 216–17, 225, 227, 379 military coup in (2014), 379–80 population growth rates in, 30, 47 social unrest in, 78–79, 189, 190, 217 state banks in, 151, 321, 323–24 Thatcher, Margaret, 64–65, 68, 94 Thiel, Peter, 104, 119, 125 thrift, 16, 277–79 Time, 331, 334–35, 347, 349, 350, 352 tourism, 2, 37, 199, 211, 288, 384–85 trade balance, 269 Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership, 173, 179 Trans-Pacific Partnership, 173, 178, 361, 377, 378, 383, 384, 386 Trudeau, Justin, 386 Trump, Donald, 53, 364 Tsai Ing-wen, 383 Tunisia, 91–92, 224 Turkey, 190, 326 currency of, 273–74, 280, 283, 291, 292, 293, 396 debt of, 291, 306, 327, 328 economic growth in, 66, 69, 72 financial deepening in, 327 government spending in, 139, 247–48 hype about, 345, 348 immigration to, 48 inflation in, 241, 242, 246, 247–50, 326 leadership in, 60, 66, 71–72, 74, 349, 395 and location, 395–96 per capita income in, 68, 331, 348 population growth in, 31 populist nationalism in, 60, 72, 247 reforms in, 67–68, 72, 248, 249, 331 social unrest in, 4, 61, 72, 73, 74 wealth in, 114, 116, 120 Tusk, Donald, 74–75 Uganda, 87, 181, 354–55 United Arab Emirates, 167, 170 United Kingdom, see Britain United Nations (UN), 10, 47 on population growth, 19, 25, 27, 33, 44–45 United States, 194–95, 360–64 billionaires in, 107, 108, 114, 116, 118–19, 121, 123–25, 364 birth rate in, 26 checks and balances in, 364 credit markets in, 13, 298, 303–4, 305–6, 316 currency of, 266, 271, 272, 362–63 current account deficit in, 278, 362–63 debt in, 363 economic growth in, 3, 288, 337–38, 340 economic recovery in, 24, 64–65, 102, 360 economic strength of, 266, 400 financial speculation in, 102 and geopolitics, 172–73 and global trade, 184, 185, 402–3 government spending in, 138, 139 and hype, 361–62 and immigration, 45, 49–50, 52, 53, 360 industrialization in, 144, 215 inflation in, 240–41, 258 infrastructure in, 207, 208 life expectancy in, 39, 40 and location, 176–77, 200 long boom of, 255–56 manufacturing in, 204, 213, 214, 215, 361 oil and gas in, 228–29, 362 per capita income in, 32, 66, 339, 346 polarization in, 62–63, 132, 363–64 productivity in, 20, 51–52, 220–21, 257, 303 recessions originating in, 2, 132, 303–4, 305–6, 308–9, 327–28, 362 and regional alliances, 173–75, 178, 183, 188, 199, 361, 383, 384, 386 “second term curse” in, 70–71 technology in, 20, 218, 221, 294, 303, 361–62 Treasury bonds, 280 Washington Consensus, 132–33 and wealth gap, 101, 102, 364 workforce in, 19, 32, 37, 41–42, 43–44, 360 Uribe, Álvaro, 77, 183, 350 Uruguay, 300 Velasco, Juan, 98 Venezuela, 4, 158 economic cycle in, 87, 346, 365 leadership in, 64, 69, 76, 77, 98, 365 oil in, 333, 334 and regional alliances, 182, 366 Vietnam, 42, 202 billionaires in, 118 Communist Party in, 377–78 currency in, 295 fiscal deficit in, 377 and global trade, 174, 176–78, 180, 295 hype about, 345 inflation in, 378 investment in, 378 leadership in, 90–91 location of, 168, 177–78, 185, 378 manufacturing in, 213, 378 per capita income in, 178, 378 population centers in, 190, 191, 199 Viravaidya, Mechai, 47 Volcker, Paul, 241, 245, 335 wage-price spiral, 240 Walton family, 119 Wang Jianlin, 114 wealth: balance in, 103 billionaire lists, 100, 103, 104, 116, 117, 120–21 and capital flight, 52–53, 107, 279–81, 292 creation of, 99, 103, 115 crony capitalism, 105–6, 112, 130, 332 of entrepreneurs, 118–19, 122 in family empires/inherited, 104, 116–21 measures of, 101 redistribution of, 95, 96–98, 99, 101, 126 of robber barons, 124 scale of, 107–10 and state meddling, 127–29 wealth gap, 95–96, 99–102, 364 and corruption, 127–29 and easy money, 101–2, 108 and economic declines, 125–27 rise of, 129–31 welfare states, 64, 65, 93, 97, 126, 138, 140–41 Wen Jiabao, 307, 308, 311–12 Widodo, Joko, 143, 157, 163, 376–77 Wiesel, Elie, 331–32 wildebeest, survival of, viii, ix, xi women: and birth rates, 18, 25–26, 28, 33–36, 43, 44, 47, 392 economic restrictions on, 42 education of, 26, 41 working, 28, 34, 35, 36, 40–44, 47 workforce: aging, 392 and available jobs, 32, 37, 55 and baby bonuses, 33–36 and economic growth, 24, 26, 52 global, 55–56 growth rate in, 28–32 highly skilled, 48–54 hours worked by, 18 and immigration, 28, 44–54 manual labor, 213 new people in, 28, 36, 57 participation rate in, 36–37 and pension funds, 279 and population declines, 24–32, 35, 38, 43, 44, 56 and productivity data, 18–19, 39 replaced by machines, 16, 24 and retirement, 36–40 robots in, 54–57 skilled, 48–54 wages, 101, 184, 185, 204, 214, 243, 257 women in, 28, 34, 35, 36, 40–44, 47 World Bank: on convergence, 339, 341 data set of, 407 on economic growth factors, 12, 18, 342, 346 forecasting record of, 336, 338 on inflation, 242 on infrastructure, 186, 187 on middle-income trap, 345 on new business, 48 on service sector, 210–11 Spence Commission, 341–42 on wealth gap, 100 on workforce, 42, 51 world economy, 358–401 absence of optimism in, 359 combined scores of, 358–59 crisis (2008), see global financial crisis disruptions of, 358–59 potential growth rate of, 359 world maps, 356–57, 402–3 see also specific nations World Trade Organization, 177 Wu Jinglian, 314 Xiao Gang, 311 Xi Jinping, 120, 156, 187, 208 Yellen, Janet, 101 Yeltsin, Boris, 67, 242 Yemen, 92 Yudhoyono, Susilo Bambang (SBY), 93, 157 Zambia, 96, 354 Zambrano, Lorenzo, 219–20 Zeihan, Peer, 184 Zielinski, Robert, The Kiss of Debt, 297–98, 299, 323 Zimbabwe, 86, 88–89, 96–97, 373 Zoellick, Robert, 242 “zombie companies,” 318–19 Zong Qinghou, 113 Zuckerberg, Mark, 104, 119, 124 Zuma, Jacob, 352, 397 ALSO BY RUCHIR SHARMA Breakout Nations: In Pursuit of the Next Economic Miracles ABOUT THE AUTHOR Ruchir Sharma is head of emerging markets and chief global strategist at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, with more than $20 billion of assets under management.


Analysis of Financial Time Series by Ruey S. Tsay

Asian financial crisis, asset allocation, backpropagation, Bayesian statistics, Black-Scholes formula, Brownian motion, business cycle, capital asset pricing model, compound rate of return, correlation coefficient, data acquisition, discrete time, financial engineering, frictionless, frictionless market, implied volatility, index arbitrage, inverted yield curve, Long Term Capital Management, market microstructure, martingale, p-value, pattern recognition, random walk, risk free rate, risk tolerance, short selling, statistical model, stochastic process, stochastic volatility, telemarketer, transaction costs, value at risk, volatility smile, Wiener process, yield curve

Springer-Verlag: New York. Ray, B. K., and Tsay, R. S. (2000), “Long-range dependence in daily stock volatilities,” Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 18, 254–262. Taylor, S. J. (1994), “Modeling stochastic volatility,” Mathematical Finance, 4, 183–204. Tong, H. (1978), “On a threshold model,” in Pattern Recognition and Signal Processing, ed. C.H. Chen, Sijhoff & Noordhoff: Amsterdam. Tong, H. (1990), Non-Linear Time Series: A Dynamical System Approach, Oxford University Press: Oxford. Tsay, R. S. (1987), “Conditional heteroscedastic time series models,” Journal of the American Statistical Association, 82, 590–604.

Teräsvirta, T. (1994), “Specification, estimation, and evaluation of smooth transition autoregressive models,” Journal of the American Statistical Association, 89, 208–218. Tiao, G. C., and Tsay, R. S. (1994), “Some Advances in Nonlinear and Adaptive Modeling in Time Series,” Journal of Forecasting, 13, 109–131. Tong, H. (1978), “On a threshold model,” in Pattern Recognition and Signal Processing, ed. C.H. Chen, Sijhoff & Noordhoff: Amsterdam. Tong, H. (1983), Threshold Models in Nonlinear Time Series Analysis, Lecture Notes in Statistics, Springer-Verlag: New York. Tong, H. (1990), Non-Linear Time Series: A Dynamical System Approach, Oxford University Press: Oxford.


Likewar: The Weaponization of Social Media by Peter Warren Singer, Emerson T. Brooking

4chan, active measures, Airbnb, augmented reality, barriers to entry, battle of ideas, Bellingcat, Bernie Sanders, Black Lives Matter, British Empire, Cambridge Analytica, Cass Sunstein, citizen journalism, Citizen Lab, Comet Ping Pong, content marketing, crony capitalism, crowdsourcing, data science, deep learning, digital rights, disinformation, disintermediation, Donald Trump, drone strike, Edward Snowden, en.wikipedia.org, Erik Brynjolfsson, Evgeny Morozov, fake news, false flag, Filter Bubble, global reserve currency, Google Glasses, Hacker Conference 1984, Hacker News, illegal immigration, information security, Internet Archive, Internet of things, invention of movable type, it is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it, Jacob Silverman, John Gilmore, John Markoff, Kevin Roose, Kickstarter, lateral thinking, lolcat, Mark Zuckerberg, megacity, Menlo Park, meta-analysis, MITM: man-in-the-middle, Mohammed Bouazizi, Moneyball by Michael Lewis explains big data, moral panic, new economy, offshore financial centre, packet switching, Panopticon Jeremy Bentham, Parag Khanna, pattern recognition, Plato's cave, post-materialism, Potemkin village, power law, pre–internet, profit motive, RAND corporation, reserve currency, sentiment analysis, side project, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, Snapchat, social web, South China Sea, Steve Bannon, Steve Jobs, Steven Levy, Stewart Brand, systems thinking, too big to fail, trade route, Twitter Arab Spring, UNCLOS, UNCLOS, Upton Sinclair, Valery Gerasimov, We are Anonymous. We are Legion, We are as Gods, Whole Earth Catalog, WikiLeaks, Y Combinator, yellow journalism, Yochai Benkler

Each neuron has its own level of intensity, determined either by the initial input or by synaptic connections received from neurons farther up the stream. In turn, this determines the strength of the signal these neurons send down the stream through their own dependent synapses. These networks function by means of pattern recognition. They sift through massive amounts of data, spying commonalities and making inferences about what might belong where. With enough neurons, it becomes possible to split the network into multiple “layers,” each discovering a new pattern by starting with the findings of the previous layer. If a neural network is studying pictures, it might start by discovering the concept of “edges,” sorting out all the edges from the non-edges.

Such neural network–based sentiment analysis can be applied not just to individual conversations, but to the combined activity of every social media user on a platform. In 2017, Facebook began testing an algorithm intended to identify users who were depressed and at risk for suicide. It used pattern recognition to monitor user posts, tagging those suspected to include thoughts of suicide and forwarding them to its content moderation teams. A suicidal user could receive words of support and link to psychological resources without any other human having brought the post to Facebook’s attention (or even having seen it).


pages: 253 words: 65,834

Mastering the VC Game: A Venture Capital Insider Reveals How to Get From Start-Up to IPO on Your Terms by Jeffrey Bussgang

business cycle, business process, carried interest, deal flow, digital map, discounted cash flows, do well by doing good, hiring and firing, It's morning again in America, Jeff Bezos, Kickstarter, Marc Andreessen, Mark Zuckerberg, Menlo Park, moveable type in China, pattern recognition, Paul Graham, performance metric, Peter Thiel, pets.com, public intellectual, risk tolerance, rolodex, Ronald Reagan, Sand Hill Road, selection bias, shareholder value, Silicon Valley, Skype, software as a service, sovereign wealth fund, Steve Jobs, Steve Jurvetson, technology bubble, The Wisdom of Crowds

The VC can become the CEO’s strategic thought partner, teasing out the key issues, challenging the major assumptions, and generally pushing the CEO to step back from the day-to-day tactical, operational activities and focus on the true value-creating decisions that need to be made. Union Square’s Fred Wilson says he likes to think of himself as the entrepreneur’s consigliere, but a consigliere with great pattern recognition. “I want to be the person they call when they need some advice. Whether it’s ‘I’ve got a problem with sales’ or ‘We need to raise some more money. What do you think the right way is to go about doing that?’ Or, ‘I have this big deal. I’m nervous about it because I’m not sure we can actually meet the expectations.


pages: 237 words: 64,411

Humans Need Not Apply: A Guide to Wealth and Work in the Age of Artificial Intelligence by Jerry Kaplan

Affordable Care Act / Obamacare, Amazon Web Services, asset allocation, autonomous vehicles, bank run, bitcoin, Bob Noyce, Brian Krebs, business cycle, buy low sell high, Capital in the Twenty-First Century by Thomas Piketty, combinatorial explosion, computer vision, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, corporate governance, crowdsourcing, driverless car, drop ship, Easter island, en.wikipedia.org, Erik Brynjolfsson, estate planning, Fairchild Semiconductor, Flash crash, Gini coefficient, Goldman Sachs: Vampire Squid, haute couture, hiring and firing, income inequality, index card, industrial robot, information asymmetry, invention of agriculture, Jaron Lanier, Jeff Bezos, job automation, John Markoff, John Maynard Keynes: Economic Possibilities for our Grandchildren, Kiva Systems, Larry Ellison, Loebner Prize, Mark Zuckerberg, mortgage debt, natural language processing, Nick Bostrom, Own Your Own Home, pattern recognition, Satoshi Nakamoto, school choice, Schrödinger's Cat, Second Machine Age, self-driving car, sentiment analysis, short squeeze, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, Skype, software as a service, The Chicago School, The Future of Employment, Turing test, Vitalik Buterin, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, winner-take-all economy, women in the workforce, working poor, Works Progress Administration

See BP oil spill online sales, 7, 90, 136, 177–78, 181–82 advertising and, 64–76, 132 employment effects of, 139–40, 142 product reviews and, 55, 143. See also Amazon Onsale.com, 96 Oracle, 114–15 OSHA (Occupational Safety and Health) rules, 37 Own Your Own Home program, 168 Oxford University, 152 Pandora, 16 paralegals, 148 part-time work, 185 pattern recognition, 25, 55 payroll taxes, 14, 154 PBI. See public benefit index Pearson, Harry, 193 pension funds, 12, 14 Perlman, Steve, 127 personal public transit. See autonomous vehicles personhood, 90, 215n9 corporations vs. synthetic intellects, 199–200 persuasion, 70, 136 pharaoh (ancient Egypt), 115–16 philanthropy, 58, 113, 118–19 phonograph, invention of, 192 pictures: AI recognition of, 39 website links to, 65 pixels, 65, 66 pollution reduction, 168, 195 poverty, 3, 12, 15 preceptrons (programmatic neurons), 24 prepaid cell phone cards, 55 prices: advertising space bids, 69, 70, 71 Amazon practices, 97–105 automation effects on, 73, 132 comparison of, 14, 54, 100–101 public-interest systems and, 56 stock fluctuations (see stock markets) Princeton University, 113 productivity, 12, 132, 136 professions, 11, 145–46, 157 professors, 11, 151 profits, 55, 72, 103 progressives, 163–65 prostitutes, 40, 144–45 protein folding research, 58 psychopaths, 79–80 public benefit index (PBI), 14, 15, 180–81, 182 public interest, 56, 163–65, 169, 178 public service, 58, 114, 184, 185 public transit.


pages: 257 words: 13,443

Statistical Arbitrage: Algorithmic Trading Insights and Techniques by Andrew Pole

algorithmic trading, Benoit Mandelbrot, constrained optimization, Dava Sobel, deal flow, financial engineering, George Santayana, Long Term Capital Management, Louis Pasteur, low interest rates, mandelbrot fractal, market clearing, market fundamentalism, merger arbitrage, pattern recognition, price discrimination, profit maximization, proprietary trading, quantitative trading / quantitative finance, risk tolerance, Sharpe ratio, statistical arbitrage, statistical model, stochastic volatility, systematic trading, transaction costs

Modeling and trading catastrophe moves must embody a higher state of alertness. 11.3 TREND CHANGE IDENTIFICATION There is a rich statistical literature on change point identification with many interesting models and approaches providing plenty of fascination. Our purpose here is mundane by comparison, though challenging nonetheless. (If any kind of pattern recognition in financial data were not so challenging, we would hardly be writing and reading about it.) An extremely useful approach from statistical process control relies on Cuscore statistics (Box and Luceno 1987). Consider first a catastrophe superimposed on an underlying rising series. Figure 11.6 shows a base trend with slope coefficient 1.0 with a catastrophe move having slope coefficient 1.3 beginning at time 10.


pages: 276 words: 64,903

Built for Growth: How Builder Personality Shapes Your Business, Your Team, and Your Ability to Win by Chris Kuenne, John Danner

Airbnb, Amazon Web Services, asset light, Benchmark Capital, Berlin Wall, Bob Noyce, business climate, business logic, call centre, cloud computing, disruptive innovation, don't be evil, Fairchild Semiconductor, Fall of the Berlin Wall, Gordon Gekko, Jeff Bezos, Kickstarter, Larry Ellison, Lean Startup, Mark Zuckerberg, pattern recognition, risk tolerance, Sand Hill Road, self-driving car, Silicon Valley, solopreneur, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, sugar pill, super pumped, supply-chain management, systems thinking, TED Talk, work culture , zero-sum game

Jim Hornthal, a venture investor and serial builder with more than ten startups to his credit across a broad swath of products and markets, has used this ability well. He is somewhat of a composite, with a Crusader-esque sense of mission for his ventures, combined with a Driver’s curiosity and confident market-sensing willingness to bet on his pattern recognition insights about emerging technology or social trends. And more recently, he’s honed an Explorer-like fascination with cracking the code of complex systems, in this case applying the lean startup framework of rigorous, iterative hypothesis-testing with customers to “evidence-based” entrepreneurship and innovation itself.


pages: 239 words: 56,531

The Secret War Between Downloading and Uploading: Tales of the Computer as Culture Machine by Peter Lunenfeld

Albert Einstein, Andrew Keen, anti-globalists, Apple II, Berlin Wall, British Empire, Brownian motion, Buckminster Fuller, Burning Man, business cycle, business logic, butterfly effect, Charles Babbage, computer age, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, creative destruction, crowdsourcing, cuban missile crisis, Dissolution of the Soviet Union, don't be evil, Douglas Engelbart, Douglas Engelbart, Dynabook, East Village, Edward Lorenz: Chaos theory, Fairchild Semiconductor, Fall of the Berlin Wall, folksonomy, Francis Fukuyama: the end of history, Frank Gehry, Free Software Foundation, Grace Hopper, gravity well, Guggenheim Bilbao, Herman Kahn, Honoré de Balzac, Howard Rheingold, Ian Bogost, invention of movable type, Isaac Newton, Ivan Sutherland, Jacquard loom, Jane Jacobs, Jeff Bezos, John Markoff, John von Neumann, Jon Ronson, Kickstarter, Mark Zuckerberg, Marshall McLuhan, Mercator projection, Metcalfe’s law, Mother of all demos, mutually assured destruction, Neal Stephenson, Nelson Mandela, Network effects, new economy, Norbert Wiener, PageRank, pattern recognition, peer-to-peer, planetary scale, plutocrats, post-materialism, Potemkin village, RFID, Richard Feynman, Richard Stallman, Robert Metcalfe, Robert X Cringely, Schrödinger's Cat, Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence, seminal paper, SETI@home, Silicon Valley, Skype, social bookmarking, social software, spaced repetition, Steve Ballmer, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, technological determinism, Ted Nelson, the built environment, the Cathedral and the Bazaar, The Death and Life of Great American Cities, the medium is the message, Thomas L Friedman, Turing machine, Turing test, urban planning, urban renewal, Vannevar Bush, walkable city, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, William Shockley: the traitorous eight

The point of MaSAI is to take the maxim of open-source software developers—“Given enough eyeballs, all bugs are shallow”—and apply this to other realms of social life and the built environment. 121 CHAPTER 5 One project that points the way is called Stardust@home, which has assembled a huge group of people to use the network to search for interstellar dust collected by a recent space mission.33 In 2004, the Stardust interstellar dust collector passed through the coma of a comet named Wild2 and captured potentially thousands of dust grains in its aerogel collectors. In 2006, the craft returned to Earth and the search for these grains began in earnest. To find these grains—the first contemporary space dust to ever be identified—within the aerogel is no easy task, though, because they are randomly spaced and tiny. It is also difficult to run pattern-recognition software because the traces that the grains leave are similar to other deformations in the gel. Human perception is well suited to this kind of detailed discrimination, however. Twenty-five years ago, the University of California at Berkeley team would have trained a group of laboratory assistants, and set them to work for the next four or five years.


pages: 245 words: 71,886

Spike: The Virus vs The People - The Inside Story by Jeremy Farrar, Anjana Ahuja

"World Economic Forum" Davos, bioinformatics, Black Monday: stock market crash in 1987, Boris Johnson, Brexit referendum, contact tracing, coronavirus, COVID-19, crowdsourcing, dark matter, data science, DeepMind, Demis Hassabis, disinformation, Dominic Cummings, Donald Trump, double helix, dual-use technology, Future Shock, game design, global pandemic, Kickstarter, lab leak, lockdown, machine translation, nudge unit, open economy, pattern recognition, precautionary principle, side project, social distancing, the scientific method, Tim Cook: Apple, zoonotic diseases

The original SARS virus to which it bears significant genetic resemblance used to be called SARS-CoV and has now been renamed SARS-CoV-1. Eddie Holmes is a British-born virologist and professor at the University of Sydney who does exactly this sort of viral detective work. He is, in my book, the outstanding evolutionary biologist of his generation, with an extraordinary brain when it comes to pattern recognition. Eddie belongs to a research consortium which includes the Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center and School of Public Health at Fudan University, Shanghai, where he holds an honorary professorship. Since 2012, Eddie has worked closely with Professor Yong-Zhen Zhang, a professor at Fudan University, on finding and identifying new animal viruses, and Wuhan is a familiar locale in their virus-hunting network.


pages: 234 words: 67,589

Internet for the People: The Fight for Our Digital Future by Ben Tarnoff

4chan, A Declaration of the Independence of Cyberspace, accounting loophole / creative accounting, Alan Greenspan, Alan Turing: On Computable Numbers, with an Application to the Entscheidungsproblem, algorithmic management, AltaVista, Amazon Web Services, barriers to entry, Bernie Sanders, Big Tech, Black Lives Matter, blue-collar work, business logic, call centre, Charles Babbage, cloud computing, computer vision, coronavirus, COVID-19, decentralized internet, deep learning, defund the police, deindustrialization, desegregation, digital divide, disinformation, Edward Snowden, electricity market, fake news, Filter Bubble, financial intermediation, future of work, gamification, General Magic , gig economy, God and Mammon, green new deal, independent contractor, information asymmetry, Internet of things, Jeff Bezos, Jessica Bruder, John Markoff, John Perry Barlow, Kevin Roose, Kickstarter, Leo Hollis, lockdown, lone genius, low interest rates, Lyft, Mark Zuckerberg, means of production, Menlo Park, natural language processing, Network effects, Nicholas Carr, packet switching, PageRank, pattern recognition, pets.com, profit maximization, profit motive, QAnon, recommendation engine, rent-seeking, ride hailing / ride sharing, Sheryl Sandberg, Shoshana Zuboff, side project, Silicon Valley, single-payer health, smart grid, social distancing, Steven Levy, stock buybacks, supply-chain management, surveillance capitalism, techlash, Telecommunications Act of 1996, TikTok, transportation-network company, Travis Kalanick, Uber and Lyft, Uber for X, uber lyft, undersea cable, UUNET, vertical integration, Victor Gruen, web application, working poor, Yochai Benkler

Its portfolio, which soon expanded beyond EC2 and S3 to include dozens of different services, would enable smaller, newer, or less technical companies to create online malls, and to develop some of the same capacities of a firm like Google without having to build their own infrastructure or acquire top engineering talent. These dynamics accelerated with the onset of the “big data” era in the 2010s. This period saw rapid advances in machine learning, a set of techniques for pattern recognition that could be applied to a number of tasks with increasing precision, from predicting consumer preferences to understanding human speech to recognizing human faces. Because machine learning “learns” by training on data, the abundant amount of data being generated through the internet greatly sped the development of the technology.


Engineering Security by Peter Gutmann

active measures, address space layout randomization, air gap, algorithmic trading, Amazon Web Services, Asperger Syndrome, bank run, barriers to entry, bitcoin, Brian Krebs, business process, call centre, card file, cloud computing, cognitive bias, cognitive dissonance, cognitive load, combinatorial explosion, Credit Default Swap, crowdsourcing, cryptocurrency, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, Debian, domain-specific language, Donald Davies, Donald Knuth, double helix, Dr. Strangelove, Dunning–Kruger effect, en.wikipedia.org, endowment effect, false flag, fault tolerance, Firefox, fundamental attribution error, George Akerlof, glass ceiling, GnuPG, Google Chrome, Hacker News, information security, iterative process, Jacob Appelbaum, Jane Jacobs, Jeff Bezos, John Conway, John Gilmore, John Markoff, John von Neumann, Ken Thompson, Kickstarter, lake wobegon effect, Laplace demon, linear programming, litecoin, load shedding, MITM: man-in-the-middle, Multics, Network effects, nocebo, operational security, Paradox of Choice, Parkinson's law, pattern recognition, peer-to-peer, Pierre-Simon Laplace, place-making, post-materialism, QR code, quantum cryptography, race to the bottom, random walk, recommendation engine, RFID, risk tolerance, Robert Metcalfe, rolling blackouts, Ruby on Rails, Sapir-Whorf hypothesis, Satoshi Nakamoto, security theater, semantic web, seminal paper, Skype, slashdot, smart meter, social intelligence, speech recognition, SQL injection, statistical model, Steve Jobs, Steven Pinker, Stuxnet, sunk-cost fallacy, supply-chain attack, telemarketer, text mining, the built environment, The Death and Life of Great American Cities, The Market for Lemons, the payments system, Therac-25, too big to fail, Tragedy of the Commons, Turing complete, Turing machine, Turing test, Wayback Machine, web application, web of trust, x509 certificate, Y2K, zero day, Zimmermann PGP

[187] “The heuristic-systematic model in its broader context”, Serena Chen and Shelly Chaiken, Dual-Process Theories in Social Psychology, Guilford Press, 1999, p.73. [188] “Information Foraging in Information Access Environments”, Peter Pirolli and Stuart Card, Proceedings of the 13th Conference on Human Factors in Computing Systems (CHI’95), May 1995, p.51. 102 Problems [189] “Thinking is for Doing: Portraits of Social Cognition from Daguerreotype to Laserphoto”, Susan Fiske, Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, Vol.63, No.6 (December 1992), p.877. [190] “pattern recognition”, Dan Kaminsky, invited talk at Black Ops 2006 at the 20th Large Installation System Administration Conference (LISA’06), December 2006. [191] “SSH for fun and profit”, Sebastian Krahmer, 1 July 2002, http://www.shellcode.com.ar/docz/asm/ssharp.pdf. [192] “Hacking: The Art of Exploitation”, Jon Erickson, No Starch Press, 2003. [193] “THC Fuzzy Fingerprint”, 25 October 2003, http://www.thc.org/thc-ffp/. [194] “Fuzzy Fingerprints: Attacking Vulnerabilities in the Human Brain”, “Plasmoid”, 25 October 2003, http://www.thc.org/papers/ffp.html. [195] “Do Users Verify SSH Keys?”

One common example is the number of people who find it almost impossible to read about a new medicine or therapy without immediately discovering that they suffer from a large number of the symptoms of whatever it’s supposed to cure and require immediate treatment, something that was already providing material for humorists in the late 1800s [243]. A standard theme in the psychological literature is the recognition that humans are primarily pattern recognisers (click, whirr) rather than analytical problem solvers and will attempt to solve any problem by repeatedly applying context-specific pattern recognition to find a solution before they fall back to tedious analysis and optimisation. The psychological model for this process is the generic error modelling system (GEMS), in which someone faced with a problem to solve first tries repeated applications of a rule-based approach (“if ( situation ) then ( action )”) before falling back to a knowledge-based approach that requires analysing the problem space and formulating an appropriate course of action.

Investigating User Account Control Practices”, Sara Motiee, Kirstie Hawkey and Konstantin Beznosov, Proceedings of the 6th Symposium on Usable Security and Privacy (SOUPS’10), July 2010, p.1. [418] “Citizen Science: A Study of People, Expertise and Sustainable Development”, Alan Irwin, Routledge, 1995. [419] “Risk, Crisis, and Security Management”, Edward Borodzicz, John Wiley and Sons, 2005. [420] “Unverhältnismäßiges Urteil”, Ulf Kersing, c’t Magazin für Computertechnik, 2 October 2006, p.11. [421] “Black Ops 2006: Pattern Recognition”, Dan Kaminsky, presentation at Black Hat 2006. [422] “Banks Shifting Logins to Non-SSL Pages”, Rich Miller, 23 August 2005, http://news.netcraft.com/archives/2005/08/23/banks_shifting_logins_to_nonssl_pages.html. References 225 [423] Lucas Adamski, comments during the Browser Security Track, OWASP Summit 2011, 10 February 2011. [424] “TLS and SSL in the real world”, Eric Lawrence, 20 April 2005, http://blogs.msdn.com/ie/archive/2005/04/20/410240.aspx. [425] “Has there been a change in US banking regulations recently?”


pages: 1,318 words: 403,894

Reamde by Neal Stephenson

air freight, airport security, autism spectrum disorder, book value, crowdsourcing, digital map, drone strike, Google Earth, industrial robot, informal economy, Jones Act, large denomination, megacity, messenger bag, MITM: man-in-the-middle, Neal Stephenson, new economy, off-the-grid, pattern recognition, Ponzi scheme, pre–internet, ransomware, restrictive zoning, scientific management, side project, Skype, slashdot, Snow Crash, South China Sea, SQL injection, the built environment, the scientific method, young professional

Corvallis and most of the other techies hated this idea because of its sheer bogosity, which was screamingly obvious to any person of technical acumen who thought about it for more than a few seconds. If their pattern-recognition software could identify the moving travelers and vectorize their body positions well enough to translate their movements into T’Rain, then it could just as easily notice, automatically, with no human intervention, when one of those figures was walking the wrong way and sound the alarm. There was no need at all to have human players in the loop. They should just spin out the pattern-recognition part of it as a separate business. Richard understood and acknowledged all of this—and did not care.

For example, they would digitally insert fake images of guns into the video feed from an x-ray machine, frequently enough that the screeners would see false-color silhouettes of revolvers and semiautomatics and IEDs glide across their visual fields several times a day, instead of once every ten years. That, according to the research, was enough to prevent their pattern-recognition neurons from being reclaimed and repurposed by brain processes that were more fruitful, or at least more entertaining. The brain, as far as Richard could determine from haphazard skimming of whatever came up on Google, was sort of like the electrical system of Mogadishu. A whole lot was going on in Mogadishu that required copper wire for conveyance of power and information, but there was only so much copper to go around, and so what wasn’t being actively used tended to get pulled down by militias and taken crosstown to beef up some power-hungry warlord’s private, improvised power network.

They spun that up into a demo, which they showed to several regional airports that were too small and poorly funded to afford fancy, expensive, alarm-equipped one-way doors, and thus had to rely on the bored-employee-sitting-in-a-chair-by-the-door technology. They parlayed those meetings into a deal that gave them access to live 24/7 security camera footage from a couple of those airports. The footage, of course, just showed people walking through the exit. They patched that footage into pattern recognition software that identified the shapes of the individual humans and translated them into vector data in 3D space. This made it possible to import all the data into the T’Rain game engine. The same positions and movements were conferred on avatars from the T’Rain world. The stream of human passengers walking down the corridor in their blazers, their high heels, their Chicago Bears sweatpants, became a stream of K’Shetriae, Dwinn, trolls, and other fantasy characters, dressed in chain mail, plate armor, and wizards’ robes, moving down a stone-lined passageway at the exit of the mighty Citadel of Garzantum.


pages: 626 words: 181,434

I Am a Strange Loop by Douglas R. Hofstadter

Albert Einstein, Andrew Wiles, Benoit Mandelbrot, Brownian motion, Charles Babbage, double helix, Douglas Hofstadter, Georg Cantor, Gödel, Escher, Bach, Hans Moravec, Isaac Newton, James Watt: steam engine, John Conway, John von Neumann, language acquisition, mandelbrot fractal, pattern recognition, Paul Erdős, place-making, probability theory / Blaise Pascal / Pierre de Fermat, publish or perish, random walk, Ronald Reagan, self-driving car, Silicon Valley, telepresence, Turing machine

My list is a random walk through an everyday kind of mental space, drawn up in order to give a feel for the phenomena in which we place the most stock and in which we most profoundly believe (sour grapes and wild goose chases being quite real to most of us), as opposed to the forbidding and inaccessible level of quarks and gluons, or the only slightly more accessible level of genes and ribosomes and transfer RNA — levels of “reality” to which we may pay lip service but which very few of us ever think about or talk about. And yet, for all its supposed reality, my list is pervaded by vague, blurry, unbelievably elusive abstractions. Can you imagine trying to define any of its items precisely? What on earth is the quality known as “tackiness”? Can you teach it to your kids? And please give me a pattern-recognition algorithm that will infallibly detect sleazeballs! Reflected Communist Bachelors with Spin 1/2 are All Wet As a simple illustration of how profoundly wedded our thinking is to the blurry, hazy categories of the macroworld, consider the curious fact that logicians — people who by profession try to write down ironclad, razor-sharp rules of logical inference that apply with impeccable precision to linguistic expressions — seldom if ever resort to the level of particles and fields for their canonical examples of fundamental, eternal truths.

What are the exact boundaries of a Conscious physical entity? What organizational or chemical property of a physical structure is it that graces it with the right to be invaded by a dollop of Consciousness? What mechanism in nature makes the elusive elixir of Consciousness glom onto some physical entities and spurn others? What wondrous pattern-recognition algorithm does Consciousness possess so as to infallibly recognize just the proper kinds of physical objects that deserve it, so it can then bestow itself onto them? How does Consciousness know to do this? Does it somehow go around the physical world in search of candidate objects to glom onto?


pages: 272 words: 19,172

Hedge Fund Market Wizards by Jack D. Schwager

asset-backed security, backtesting, banking crisis, barriers to entry, Bear Stearns, beat the dealer, Bernie Madoff, Black-Scholes formula, book value, British Empire, business cycle, buy and hold, buy the rumour, sell the news, Claude Shannon: information theory, clean tech, cloud computing, collateralized debt obligation, commodity trading advisor, computerized trading, credit crunch, Credit Default Swap, credit default swaps / collateralized debt obligations, delta neutral, diversification, diversified portfolio, do what you love, Edward Thorp, family office, financial independence, fixed income, Flash crash, global macro, hindsight bias, implied volatility, index fund, intangible asset, James Dyson, Jones Act, legacy carrier, Long Term Capital Management, managed futures, margin call, market bubble, market fundamentalism, Market Wizards by Jack D. Schwager, merger arbitrage, Michael Milken, money market fund, oil shock, pattern recognition, pets.com, Ponzi scheme, private sector deleveraging, proprietary trading, quantitative easing, quantitative trading / quantitative finance, Reminiscences of a Stock Operator, Right to Buy, risk free rate, risk tolerance, risk-adjusted returns, risk/return, riskless arbitrage, Rubik’s Cube, Savings and loan crisis, Sharpe ratio, short selling, statistical arbitrage, Steve Jobs, systematic trading, technology bubble, transaction costs, value at risk, yield curve

Even when we got CQG screens, which had graphics, I still continued to update my printed charts manually for a long time. It was a daily routine of looking at each chart and thinking about what the patterns were telling you. I would even turn the charts upside down to see whether the pattern looked different to me. Over time, it helped me develop a sense of pattern recognition. Were you trading your own account when you were a broker? I had been trading my own account all along. How did you do? I did fine. I made money virtually every year, but I didn’t make a lot of money. One thing I did wrong was that I thought only technical factors were important and that fundamentals didn’t matter.

There is a third category of systematic approaches whose signals do not seek to profit from either continuations or reversals of trend. These types of systems are designed to identify patterns that suggest a greater probability for either higher or lower prices over the near term. Woodriff is among the small minority of CTAs who employ such pattern-recognition approaches, and he does so using his own unique methodology. He is one of the most successful practitioners of systematic trading of any kind. Woodriff grew up on a working farm near Charlottesville, Virginia. Woodriff’s perceptions of work were colored by his childhood experiences. When he was in high school, Woodriff thought it was sad that most people loved Fridays and hated Mondays.


pages: 619 words: 177,548

Power and Progress: Our Thousand-Year Struggle Over Technology and Prosperity by Daron Acemoglu, Simon Johnson

"Friedman doctrine" OR "shareholder theory", "World Economic Forum" Davos, 4chan, agricultural Revolution, AI winter, Airbnb, airline deregulation, algorithmic bias, algorithmic management, Alignment Problem, AlphaGo, An Inconvenient Truth, artificial general intelligence, augmented reality, basic income, Bellingcat, Bernie Sanders, Big Tech, Bletchley Park, blue-collar work, British Empire, carbon footprint, carbon tax, carried interest, centre right, Charles Babbage, ChatGPT, Clayton Christensen, clean water, cloud computing, collapse of Lehman Brothers, collective bargaining, computer age, Computer Lib, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, conceptual framework, contact tracing, Corn Laws, Cornelius Vanderbilt, coronavirus, corporate social responsibility, correlation does not imply causation, cotton gin, COVID-19, creative destruction, declining real wages, deep learning, DeepMind, deindustrialization, Demis Hassabis, Deng Xiaoping, deskilling, discovery of the americas, disinformation, Donald Trump, Douglas Engelbart, Douglas Engelbart, Edward Snowden, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, energy transition, Erik Brynjolfsson, European colonialism, everywhere but in the productivity statistics, factory automation, facts on the ground, fake news, Filter Bubble, financial innovation, Ford Model T, Ford paid five dollars a day, fulfillment center, full employment, future of work, gender pay gap, general purpose technology, Geoffrey Hinton, global supply chain, Gordon Gekko, GPT-3, Grace Hopper, Hacker Ethic, Ida Tarbell, illegal immigration, income inequality, indoor plumbing, industrial robot, interchangeable parts, invisible hand, Isaac Newton, Jacques de Vaucanson, James Watt: steam engine, Jaron Lanier, Jeff Bezos, job automation, Johannes Kepler, John Markoff, John Maynard Keynes: Economic Possibilities for our Grandchildren, John Maynard Keynes: technological unemployment, Joseph-Marie Jacquard, Kenneth Arrow, Kevin Roose, Kickstarter, knowledge economy, labor-force participation, land reform, land tenure, Les Trente Glorieuses, low skilled workers, low-wage service sector, M-Pesa, manufacturing employment, Marc Andreessen, Mark Zuckerberg, megacity, mobile money, Mother of all demos, move fast and break things, natural language processing, Neolithic agricultural revolution, Norbert Wiener, NSO Group, offshore financial centre, OpenAI, PageRank, Panopticon Jeremy Bentham, paperclip maximiser, pattern recognition, Paul Graham, Peter Thiel, Productivity paradox, profit maximization, profit motive, QAnon, Ralph Nader, Ray Kurzweil, recommendation engine, ride hailing / ride sharing, Robert Bork, Robert Gordon, Robert Solow, robotic process automation, Ronald Reagan, scientific management, Second Machine Age, self-driving car, seminal paper, shareholder value, Sheryl Sandberg, Shoshana Zuboff, Silicon Valley, social intelligence, Social Responsibility of Business Is to Increase Its Profits, social web, South Sea Bubble, speech recognition, spice trade, statistical model, stem cell, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, strikebreaker, subscription business, Suez canal 1869, Suez crisis 1956, supply-chain management, surveillance capitalism, tacit knowledge, tech billionaire, technoutopianism, Ted Nelson, TED Talk, The Future of Employment, The Rise and Fall of American Growth, The Structural Transformation of the Public Sphere, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, theory of mind, Thomas Malthus, too big to fail, total factor productivity, trade route, transatlantic slave trade, trickle-down economics, Turing machine, Turing test, Twitter Arab Spring, Two Sigma, Tyler Cowen, Tyler Cowen: Great Stagnation, union organizing, universal basic income, Unsafe at Any Speed, Upton Sinclair, upwardly mobile, W. E. B. Du Bois, War on Poverty, WikiLeaks, wikimedia commons, working poor, working-age population

Tracking this indelible footprint, we can see that AI investments and the hiring of AI specialists concentrate in organizations that rely on tasks that can be performed by these technologies, such as actuarial and accounting functions, procurement and purchasing analysis, and various other clerical jobs that involve pattern recognition, computation, and basic speech recognition. However, the same organizations also lower their overall hiring substantially—for example, reducing their postings for all sorts of other positions. Indeed, the evidence indicates that AI so far has been predominantly focused on automation. Moreover, claims that AI and RPAs are expanding into nonroutine, higher-skilled tasks notwithstanding, most of the burden of AI automation to date has fallen on less-educated workers, already disadvantaged by earlier forms of digital automation.

GPT-3 cannot reason about the context in which the tasks it is performing are situated and draw on causal relationships that exist between actions and effects. As a result, it sometimes misunderstands even simple instructions and has little hope of responding adequately to changing or completely new environments. Indeed, this discussion illustrates a broader problem. Statistical approaches used for pattern recognition and prediction are ill-suited to capturing the essence of many human skills. To start with, these approaches will have difficulty with the situational nature of intelligence because the exact situation is difficult to define and codify. Another perennial challenge for statistical approaches is “overfitting,” which is typically defined as using more parameters than justified for fitting some empirical relationship.


pages: 265 words: 74,941

The Great Reset: How the Post-Crash Economy Will Change the Way We Live and Work by Richard Florida

"World Economic Forum" Davos, Alan Greenspan, banking crisis, big-box store, bike sharing, blue-collar work, business cycle, car-free, carbon footprint, collapse of Lehman Brothers, company town, congestion charging, congestion pricing, creative destruction, deskilling, edge city, Edward Glaeser, falling living standards, financial engineering, financial innovation, Ford paid five dollars a day, high net worth, high-speed rail, Home mortgage interest deduction, housing crisis, if you build it, they will come, income inequality, indoor plumbing, interchangeable parts, invention of the telephone, Jane Jacobs, Joseph Schumpeter, knowledge economy, Lewis Mumford, low skilled workers, manufacturing employment, McMansion, megaproject, Menlo Park, Nate Silver, New Economic Geography, new economy, New Urbanism, oil shock, Own Your Own Home, pattern recognition, peak oil, Ponzi scheme, post-industrial society, postindustrial economy, reserve currency, Richard Florida, Robert Shiller, scientific management, secular stagnation, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, social intelligence, sovereign wealth fund, starchitect, the built environment, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, Thomas L Friedman, total factor productivity, urban decay, urban planning, urban renewal, white flight, young professional, Zipcar

In fact, the unemployment rate for the creative class crossed the 5 percent mark only once—in the current downturn. The unemployment rates faced by service workers have fallen somewhere in between.5 The old manufacturing economy honed physical skills such as lifting and manual dexterity. But two sets of skills matter more now: analytical skills, such as pattern recognition and problem solving, and social intelligence skills, such as the situational sensitivity and persuasiveness required for team building and mobilization. Jobs that demand high analytical skills, such as medicine and bioengineering, and social intelligence skills, such as psychiatry and management, are not only increasing in numbers faster than other jobs but also pay much more.


pages: 263 words: 75,610

Delete: The Virtue of Forgetting in the Digital Age by Viktor Mayer-Schönberger

digital divide, en.wikipedia.org, Erik Brynjolfsson, Firefox, full text search, George Akerlof, information asymmetry, information retrieval, information security, information trail, Internet Archive, invention of movable type, invention of the printing press, John Markoff, Joi Ito, lifelogging, moveable type in China, Network effects, packet switching, Panopticon Jeremy Bentham, pattern recognition, power law, RFID, slashdot, Steve Jobs, Steven Levy, systematic bias, The Market for Lemons, The Structural Transformation of the Public Sphere, Vannevar Bush, Yochai Benkler

That more abstract information—a black dog swiftly approaching us—is more usable than millions of individual bits of information contained in a series of snapshots of something black getting closer and closer. More importantly, it is also much more compact. As our nerve cells process the incoming information, from simple stimuli to pattern recognition, a tremendous amount of information is deliberately lost. It is the first layer of unconscious biological forgetting—and one we rarely realize. Once an external stimulus makes it through that initial layer or after we have formed a thought, it is then usually stored in what’s called short-term memory.


pages: 272 words: 76,089

Billions & Billions: Thoughts on Life and Death at the Brink of the Millennium by Carl Sagan

addicted to oil, Albert Einstein, anti-communist, classic study, clean water, cosmic abundance, dark matter, demographic transition, Exxon Valdez, F. W. de Klerk, germ theory of disease, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), invention of agriculture, invention of radio, invention of the telegraph, invention of the telephone, Isaac Newton, Mikhail Gorbachev, Nelson Mandela, pattern recognition, planetary scale, prisoner's dilemma, profit motive, Ralph Waldo Emerson, Ronald Reagan, stem cell, the scientific method, Thomas Malthus, zero-sum game

It is time to learn from those who fell here. And it is time to act. In part the American Civil War was about freedom; about extending the benefits of the American Revolution to all Americans, to make valid for everyone that tragically unfulfilled promise of "liberty and justice for all." I'm concerned about a lack of historical pattern recognition. Today the fighters for freedom do not wear three-cornered hats and play the fife and drum. They come in other costumes. They may speak other languages. They may adhere to other religions. The color of their skin may be different. But the creed of liberty means nothing if it is only our own liberty that excites us.


pages: 240 words: 73,209

The Education of a Value Investor: My Transformative Quest for Wealth, Wisdom, and Enlightenment by Guy Spier

Albert Einstein, Atul Gawande, Bear Stearns, Benoit Mandelbrot, big-box store, Black Swan, book value, Checklist Manifesto, classic study, Clayton Christensen, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, Exxon Valdez, Gordon Gekko, housing crisis, information asymmetry, Isaac Newton, Kenneth Arrow, Long Term Capital Management, Mahatma Gandhi, mandelbrot fractal, mirror neurons, Nelson Mandela, NetJets, pattern recognition, pre–internet, random walk, Reminiscences of a Stock Operator, risk free rate, Ronald Reagan, South Sea Bubble, Steve Jobs, Stuart Kauffman, TED Talk, two and twenty, winner-take-all economy, young professional, zero-sum game

The long-term survivors possess a more sophisticated grasp of risk, including the ability to see when the situation is much less risky than the stock price might suggest. With JPMorgan Chase and the other money-center banks there was a lot of uncertainty, but very little risk. Bridge wasn’t the only game that captured my imagination or refined my mental habits. I also rediscovered the joys of chess, a wonderful game of analysis and pattern recognition. I first fell in love with chess at Harvard, thanks to my classmate Mark Pincus, who later founded Zynga, a social gaming company that made him a billionaire. Back in our student days, Mark noticed an unused chess set in my dorm and asked me to play. He thrashed me. I bought a stack of chess books and we continued to play.


The Handbook of Personal Wealth Management by Reuvid, Jonathan.

asset allocation, banking crisis, BRICs, business cycle, buy and hold, carbon credits, collapse of Lehman Brothers, correlation coefficient, credit crunch, cross-subsidies, currency risk, diversification, diversified portfolio, estate planning, financial deregulation, fixed income, global macro, high net worth, income per capita, index fund, interest rate swap, laissez-faire capitalism, land tenure, low interest rates, managed futures, market bubble, merger arbitrage, negative equity, new economy, Northern Rock, pattern recognition, Ponzi scheme, prediction markets, proprietary trading, Right to Buy, risk tolerance, risk-adjusted returns, risk/return, short selling, side project, sovereign wealth fund, statistical arbitrage, systematic trading, transaction costs, yield curve

Typically short-term CTAs are equipped to benefit from sharp intra-day moves, with longer-term CTAs seeking to generate profits from more established trends. Short-term CTAs have developed sophisticated platforms where the average holding period can range from minutes to just several trading days. Typically, mathematical approaches are used focusing on momentum and pattern recognition; additionally a large percentage of their resource is spent on developing the technological infrastructure, as often the portfolio needs to be monitored and adjusted on a realtime basis. Fundamental to the strategy is a stop-loss system that limits the downside should a trade go wrong. Keeping an eye on trading costs is also key as turnover is very high.


pages: 301 words: 74,571

Idoru by William Gibson

experimental subject, Kowloon Walled City, means of production, pattern recognition, place-making, telepresence

I Laney looked at the bubbles on the surface of his beer. "It's like seeing things in clouds," Laney said. "Except the things you see are really there." She put her sake down. "Yamazaki promised me you weren't crazy." "It's not crazy It's something to do with how I process low-level, broad-spectrum input. Something to do with pattern-recognition." "And Slitscan hired you on the basis of that?" "They hired me when I demonstrated that it works, But I can't do that with the kind of data you showed me today" "Why not?" Laney raised his beer. "Because it's like trying to have a drink with a bank. It's not a person. It doesn't drink.


pages: 279 words: 75,527

Collider by Paul Halpern

Albert Einstein, Albert Michelson, anthropic principle, cosmic microwave background, cosmological constant, dark matter, Dr. Strangelove, Ernest Rutherford, Gary Taubes, gravity well, Herman Kahn, Higgs boson, horn antenna, index card, Isaac Newton, Large Hadron Collider, Magellanic Cloud, pattern recognition, Plato's cave, Richard Feynman, Ronald Reagan, statistical model, Stephen Hawking, Strategic Defense Initiative, time dilation

It would be like walking into a barn and finding the placid cows and sheep being serenaded by wild rhinoceri, hyenas, platypi, mammoths, and a host of unidentified alien creatures. Given the ridiculously diverse menagerie nature had revealed, finding any semblance of unity would require extraordinary pattern-recognition skills, a keen imagination, and a hearty sense of humor. 6 A Tale of Two Rings the Tevatron and Super Proton Synchrotron Its true that there were a few flaws in my logic. The rivers of ground water that flowed through their experiments, the walls of piling rusting away, the impossible access, and all without benefit of toilet facilities.


pages: 249 words: 77,342

The Behavioral Investor by Daniel Crosby

affirmative action, Asian financial crisis, asset allocation, availability heuristic, backtesting, bank run, behavioural economics, Black Monday: stock market crash in 1987, Black Swan, book value, buy and hold, cognitive dissonance, colonial rule, compound rate of return, correlation coefficient, correlation does not imply causation, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, disinformation, diversification, diversified portfolio, Donald Trump, Dunning–Kruger effect, endowment effect, equity risk premium, fake news, feminist movement, Flash crash, haute cuisine, hedonic treadmill, housing crisis, IKEA effect, impact investing, impulse control, index fund, Isaac Newton, Japanese asset price bubble, job automation, longitudinal study, loss aversion, market bubble, market fundamentalism, mental accounting, meta-analysis, Milgram experiment, moral panic, Murray Gell-Mann, Nate Silver, neurotypical, Nick Bostrom, passive investing, pattern recognition, Pepsi Challenge, Ponzi scheme, prediction markets, random walk, Reminiscences of a Stock Operator, Richard Feynman, Richard Thaler, risk tolerance, Robert Shiller, science of happiness, Shai Danziger, short selling, South Sea Bubble, Stanford prison experiment, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, stocks for the long run, sunk-cost fallacy, systems thinking, TED Talk, Thales of Miletus, The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver, Tragedy of the Commons, trolley problem, tulip mania, Vanguard fund, When a measure becomes a target

Some Ivy League educated market wizard in a $3,000 suit is expounding a complicated macro thesis that interweaves everything from geopolitical threats to potential Fed moves to soybean production. Listening to such a story is hypnotic and rightly impressive; the human ability for higher order thinking and pattern recognition is on full display. But all too often our market wizard is like the human subject in our game show who has overcomplicated the task. The elegance of the story has overtaken the likelihood of its occurrence. The behavioral investor thinks like a rat, caring only for probability in a world that craves sophisticated nonsense.


pages: 267 words: 71,941

How to Predict the Unpredictable by William Poundstone

accounting loophole / creative accounting, Albert Einstein, Bernie Madoff, Brownian motion, business cycle, butter production in bangladesh, buy and hold, buy low sell high, call centre, centre right, Claude Shannon: information theory, computer age, crowdsourcing, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, Edward Thorp, Firefox, fixed income, forensic accounting, high net worth, index card, index fund, Jim Simons, John von Neumann, market bubble, money market fund, pattern recognition, Paul Samuelson, Ponzi scheme, power law, prediction markets, proprietary trading, random walk, Richard Thaler, risk-adjusted returns, Robert Shiller, Rubik’s Cube, statistical model, Steven Pinker, subprime mortgage crisis, transaction costs

“I went in scripting only my first throw in my head,” 2008 USA Rock Paper Scissors League champion Sean Sears told me. “Then, depending on if it was a win, loss, or tie, I had the second throw scripted as well.” Like chess masters, good RPS players generally plan their openings and then quickly switch to improvisation. Sears uses “pattern recognition” of the opponent’s moves as well as perceptions of his emotional state and likely strategies. Trash talk is allowed in most tournaments, and honesty can be the most Machiavellian policy. Announce what sign you’re going to throw, and then throw it. This trips up the naïve player who figures you won’t go through with it.


pages: 229 words: 72,431

Shadow Work: The Unpaid, Unseen Jobs That Fill Your Day by Craig Lambert

airline deregulation, Asperger Syndrome, banking crisis, Barry Marshall: ulcers, big-box store, business cycle, carbon footprint, cashless society, Clayton Christensen, cognitive dissonance, collective bargaining, Community Supported Agriculture, corporate governance, crowdsourcing, data science, disintermediation, disruptive innovation, emotional labour, fake it until you make it, financial independence, Galaxy Zoo, ghettoisation, gig economy, global village, helicopter parent, IKEA effect, industrial robot, informal economy, Jeff Bezos, job automation, John Maynard Keynes: Economic Possibilities for our Grandchildren, Mark Zuckerberg, new economy, off-the-grid, pattern recognition, plutocrats, pneumatic tube, recommendation engine, Schrödinger's Cat, Silicon Valley, single-payer health, statistical model, the strength of weak ties, The Theory of the Leisure Class by Thorstein Veblen, Thorstein Veblen, Turing test, unpaid internship, Vanguard fund, Vilfredo Pareto, you are the product, zero-sum game, Zipcar

There have been many attempts at computer-generated poetry, for example, but the results are uniformly awful. There are many reasons for this, including the sound of poetry, but a critical factor is that computers lack a gift for metaphor. Silicon chips are poor at comparisons. Asking a computer to write a poem is like asking a home entertainment system to compose music. Furthermore, for pattern recognition, a long memory can come in handy. The legendary broadcaster Daniel Schorr, senior news analyst for National Public Radio for more than two decades until his death in 2010, consistently demonstrated how long experience (he was nearly seventy when he joined NPR in 1985) could illuminate current events.


pages: 300 words: 77,787

Investing Demystified: How to Invest Without Speculation and Sleepless Nights by Lars Kroijer

Andrei Shleifer, asset allocation, asset-backed security, Bernie Madoff, bitcoin, Black Swan, BRICs, Carmen Reinhart, clean tech, compound rate of return, credit crunch, currency risk, diversification, diversified portfolio, equity premium, equity risk premium, estate planning, fixed income, high net worth, implied volatility, index fund, intangible asset, invisible hand, John Bogle, Kenneth Rogoff, low interest rates, market bubble, money market fund, passive investing, pattern recognition, prediction markets, risk tolerance, risk/return, Robert Shiller, selection bias, sovereign wealth fund, too big to fail, transaction costs, Vanguard fund, yield curve, zero-coupon bond

Like the research analysts from the banks, Ability has an army of expert PhDs who study sales trends and spot new potential challenges (they were among the first to spot Facebook and Google). Further, Ability has economists who study the US and global financial system in detail as the world economy affects Microsoft’s performance. Ability also has mathematicians with trading pattern recognition technology to help with the analysis. Susan loves reading books about technology and every finance/investing book she can get her hands on, including all the Buffett and value investor books. Susan and her team know everything there is to know about the stocks she follows (including a few things she probably shouldn’t know, but she keeps that close to her chest), some of which are much smaller and less well researched than Microsoft.


pages: 259 words: 73,193

The End of Absence: Reclaiming What We've Lost in a World of Constant Connection by Michael Harris

4chan, Albert Einstein, algorithmic management, AltaVista, Andrew Keen, augmented reality, Burning Man, Carrington event, cognitive dissonance, crowdsourcing, dematerialisation, disinformation, en.wikipedia.org, Evgeny Morozov, Filter Bubble, Firefox, Google Glasses, informal economy, information retrieval, invention of movable type, invention of the printing press, invisible hand, James Watt: steam engine, Jaron Lanier, jimmy wales, Kevin Kelly, Lewis Mumford, lifelogging, Loebner Prize, low earth orbit, Marshall McLuhan, McMansion, moral panic, Nicholas Carr, off-the-grid, pattern recognition, Plato's cave, pre–internet, Republic of Letters, Silicon Valley, Skype, Snapchat, social web, Steve Jobs, technological solutionism, TED Talk, the medium is the message, The Wisdom of Crowds, traumatic brain injury, Turing test

We also have Q sensors—bands worn on the wrist that measure your “emotional arousal” by monitoring body heat and the skin’s electrical conductance. But the root problem remains unchanged. Whether we’re talking about “affective computers” or “computational empathy,” at a basic level we’re still discussing pattern recognition technology and the ever more sophisticated terrain of data mining. Always, the goal is to “humanize” an interface by the enormous task of filtering masses of lived experience through a finer and finer mesh of software. Many of the minds operating at the frontier of this effort come together at MIT’s Media Lab, where researchers are busy (in their own words) “inventing a better future.”


pages: 225 words: 11,355

Financial Market Meltdown: Everything You Need to Know to Understand and Survive the Global Credit Crisis by Kevin Mellyn

Alan Greenspan, asset-backed security, bank run, banking crisis, Bernie Madoff, bond market vigilante , bonus culture, Bretton Woods, business cycle, collateralized debt obligation, credit crunch, Credit Default Swap, credit default swaps / collateralized debt obligations, cuban missile crisis, deal flow, disintermediation, diversification, fiat currency, financial deregulation, financial engineering, financial innovation, financial intermediation, fixed income, foreign exchange controls, Francis Fukuyama: the end of history, George Santayana, global reserve currency, Greenspan put, Home mortgage interest deduction, inverted yield curve, Isaac Newton, joint-stock company, junk bonds, Kickstarter, liquidity trap, London Interbank Offered Rate, long peace, low interest rates, margin call, market clearing, mass immigration, Money creation, money market fund, moral hazard, mortgage tax deduction, Nixon triggered the end of the Bretton Woods system, Northern Rock, offshore financial centre, paradox of thrift, pattern recognition, pension reform, pets.com, Phillips curve, plutocrats, Ponzi scheme, profit maximization, proprietary trading, pushing on a string, reserve currency, risk tolerance, risk-adjusted returns, road to serfdom, Ronald Reagan, shareholder value, Silicon Valley, South Sea Bubble, statistical model, Suez canal 1869, systems thinking, tail risk, The Great Moderation, the long tail, the new new thing, the payments system, too big to fail, value at risk, very high income, War on Poverty, We are all Keynesians now, Y2K, yield curve

Above all, we have seen this movie before, in the abject failure of socialism and the activist governments of the twentieth century to deliver economic growth and sustained prosperity for their populations. THE NEW NORMAL This all matters for you and your money because a political environment actively hostile to capitalism and finance is emerging, what the CEO of the giant bond fund PIMCO, Mohamed El-Erian, calls the ‘‘New Normal.’’ As humans, we all depend on pattern recognition. We automatically assume that what has happened in our lifetimes is normal, and any diversion from the straight projection of the past into the future is temporary. We live in the ‘‘normal’’ we have experienced. Unless you are a very old American and remember the economic drift and hopelessness of the 1970s, unless you were out of college and working well before the Thatcher and Reagan revolutions of 1979 and Conclusion 1980s, you will take the long bull market of the last quarter century for granted.


Hands-On Machine Learning With Scikit-Learn, Keras, and TensorFlow: Concepts, Tools, and Techniques to Build Intelligent Systems by Aurelien Geron

AlphaGo, Amazon Mechanical Turk, Bayesian statistics, centre right, combinatorial explosion, constrained optimization, correlation coefficient, crowdsourcing, data science, deep learning, DeepMind, duck typing, en.wikipedia.org, Geoffrey Hinton, iterative process, Netflix Prize, NP-complete, optical character recognition, P = NP, p-value, pattern recognition, performance metric, recommendation engine, self-driving car, SpamAssassin, speech recognition, statistical model

Solutions to these exercises are available in the online Jupyter notebooks at https://github.com/ageron/handson-ml2. 1 By default Scikit-Learn caches downloaded datasets in a directory called $HOME/scikit_learn_data. 2 Shuffling may be a bad idea in some contexts—for example, if you are working on time series data (such as stock market prices or weather conditions). We will explore this in the next chapters. 3 But remember that our brain is a fantastic pattern recognition system, and our visual system does a lot of complex preprocessing before any information reaches our consciousness, so the fact that it feels simple does not mean that it is. 4 Scikit-Learn offers a few other averaging options and multilabel classifier metrics; see the documentation for more details. 5 You can use the shift() function from the scipy.ndimage.interpolation module.


pages: 253 words: 79,214

The Money Machine: How the City Works by Philip Coggan

activist fund / activist shareholder / activist investor, algorithmic trading, asset-backed security, Bear Stearns, Bernie Madoff, Big bang: deregulation of the City of London, Black Monday: stock market crash in 1987, bond market vigilante , bonus culture, Bretton Woods, call centre, capital controls, carried interest, central bank independence, collateralized debt obligation, creative destruction, credit crunch, Credit Default Swap, credit default swaps / collateralized debt obligations, currency risk, disintermediation, diversification, diversified portfolio, Edward Lloyd's coffeehouse, endowment effect, financial deregulation, financial independence, floating exchange rates, foreign exchange controls, Glass-Steagall Act, guns versus butter model, Hyman Minsky, index fund, intangible asset, interest rate swap, inverted yield curve, Isaac Newton, James Carville said: "I would like to be reincarnated as the bond market. You can intimidate everybody.", joint-stock company, junk bonds, labour market flexibility, large denomination, London Interbank Offered Rate, Long Term Capital Management, low interest rates, merger arbitrage, Michael Milken, money market fund, moral hazard, mortgage debt, negative equity, Nick Leeson, Northern Rock, pattern recognition, proprietary trading, purchasing power parity, quantitative easing, reserve currency, Right to Buy, Ronald Reagan, shareholder value, South Sea Bubble, sovereign wealth fund, technology bubble, time value of money, too big to fail, tulip mania, Washington Consensus, yield curve, zero-coupon bond

If, after the third peak, the price falls below the level of the second bottom, this indicates a major reversal in the price trend. Double bottoms/tops. A double bottom or top indicates a major reversal in the price trend. Both consist of two troughs (or peaks) separated by a price movement in the opposite direction. Apart from pattern recognition, technical analysts also study momentum and moving average models. Momentum analysis studies the rate of change of prices rather than merely price levels. If the rate of change is increasing, that indicates that a trend will continue; if the rate of change is decreasing, that indicates that the trend is likely to be reversed.


pages: 314 words: 77,409

The Serengeti Rules: The Quest to Discover How Life Works and Why It Matters by Sean B. Carroll

agricultural Revolution, British Empire, clean water, discovery of penicillin, Fellow of the Royal Society, out of africa, pattern recognition, phenotype, Skype, Thomas Malthus, three-masted sailing ship

Her father introduced her to stamp collecting, and she became quite good at analyzing fine details. At an early age, she was able to pick out subtle differences among issues, such as whether there was a period or other distinguishing marks. She maintained the hobby well into adulthood, and the pattern recognition skills she acquired would turn out to serve her well. After just two years of high school, Davison won a scholarship for a special program at the University of Chicago that enabled her to enroll at age fifteen and to complete both high school and a bachelor’s degree. Davison thrived in the challenging but supportive atmosphere, and she developed a strong interest in biology and medicine.


pages: 491 words: 77,650

Humans as a Service: The Promise and Perils of Work in the Gig Economy by Jeremias Prassl

3D printing, Affordable Care Act / Obamacare, Airbnb, algorithmic management, Amazon Mechanical Turk, Andrei Shleifer, asset light, autonomous vehicles, barriers to entry, call centre, cashless society, Clayton Christensen, collaborative consumption, collaborative economy, collective bargaining, creative destruction, crowdsourcing, death from overwork, Didi Chuxing, disruptive innovation, Donald Trump, driverless car, Erik Brynjolfsson, full employment, future of work, George Akerlof, gig economy, global supply chain, Greyball, hiring and firing, income inequality, independent contractor, information asymmetry, invisible hand, Jeff Bezos, job automation, John Maynard Keynes: Economic Possibilities for our Grandchildren, John Maynard Keynes: technological unemployment, Kevin Roose, Kickstarter, low skilled workers, Lyft, machine readable, Mahatma Gandhi, Mark Zuckerberg, market friction, means of production, moral hazard, Network effects, new economy, obamacare, pattern recognition, platform as a service, Productivity paradox, race to the bottom, regulatory arbitrage, remote working, ride hailing / ride sharing, Robert Gordon, Ronald Coase, Rosa Parks, scientific management, Second Machine Age, secular stagnation, self-driving car, shareholder value, sharing economy, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley billionaire, Silicon Valley ideology, Simon Singh, software as a service, Steve Jobs, TaskRabbit, TechCrunch disrupt, The Future of Employment, The Market for Lemons, The Nature of the Firm, The Rise and Fall of American Growth, transaction costs, transportation-network company, Travis Kalanick, two tier labour market, two-sided market, Uber and Lyft, Uber for X, uber lyft, union organizing, warehouse automation, work culture , working-age population

As long as the routine nature of the task is central to its automation, however, technology is likely to advance much more rapidly in other sectors of the economy.14 Consider legal discovery and due diligence as an example: once the preserve of well-paid junior lawyers, locked away for weeks on end to wade through crates of documents, it has quickly become dominated by language- and pattern-recognition software.15 For now, it seems more likely that automation will drive further gig- economy growth. Technology increasingly allows traditional jobs to be broken down into discrete tasks. Think of a commercial lawyer advising on a merger transaction: traditionally, she would have had to begin with due diligence before sitting down to draft a series of contracts, meeting with the other side to negotiate terms, and continuously communicating updates to the client.


pages: 235 words: 74,577

Trading in the Zone: Master the Market With Confidence, Discipline and a Winning Attitude by Mark J. Douglas

Albert Einstein, buy and hold, Elliott wave, glass ceiling, pattern recognition, zero-sum game

I am not implying here that you have to de-activate every belief that would argue against your ever-expanding positive sense of self-valuation, because you don’t. But you must be aware of the presence of such beliefs, and take specific steps in your trading regimen to compensate when they start expressing themselves. Chapter 11 Thinking Like a Trader If you asked me to distill trading down to its simplest form, I would say that it is a pattern recognition numbers game. We use market analysis to identify the patterns, define the risk, and determine when to take profits. The trade either works or it doesn’t. In any case, we go on to the next trade. It’s that simple, but it’s certainly not easy. In fact, trading is probably the hardest thing you’ll ever attempt to be successful at.


pages: 277 words: 70,506

We Are Bellingcat: Global Crime, Online Sleuths, and the Bold Future of News by Eliot Higgins

4chan, active measures, Andy Carvin, anti-communist, anti-globalists, barriers to entry, belling the cat, Bellingcat, bitcoin, blockchain, citizen journalism, Columbine, coronavirus, COVID-19, crowdsourcing, cryptocurrency, data science, deepfake, disinformation, Donald Trump, driverless car, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, failed state, fake news, false flag, gamification, George Floyd, Google Earth, hive mind, Julian Assange, Kickstarter, lateral thinking, off-the-grid, OpenAI, pattern recognition, post-truth, rolodex, Seymour Hersh, Silicon Valley, Skype, Tactical Technology Collective, the scientific method, WikiLeaks

In YouTube videos, I found driverless cars rigged with bombs and directed by remote control, along with bizarre-looking trucks converted into mobile forts with slabs of protective metal, armoured wheels and firing posts. I found a heavy machine gun mounted on a trolley; fuse-lit explosive bottles fired with an oversized slingshot; a homemade missile that looked like a hybrid of a firework and a space rocket.44 Paradoxically, my lack of Arabic could be an asset in pattern recognition. Videos showed furious young men shouting at wobbly cameras, or victims crying about lost loved ones. Such emotional declarations would affect anyone who understood them. But I could not, so ignored the foreground and scrutinised what I could judge: objects. This directed me to a key precept of digital sleuthing.


pages: 255 words: 79,514

How Many Friends Does One Person Need? Dunbar’s Number and Other Evolutionary Quirks by Robin Dunbar, Robin Ian MacDonald Dunbar

agricultural Revolution, Albert Michelson, Donner party, Fellow of the Royal Society, glass ceiling, Gregor Mendel, Isaac Newton, mass immigration, Nash equilibrium, nuclear winter, out of africa, pattern recognition, Richard Feynman, social intelligence, Steven Pinker, theory of mind, Thomas Bayes, Thomas Malthus, trolley problem, University of East Anglia, upwardly mobile

If you plot the volume of the striate cortex (the primary visual area in the brain) against the rest of the neocortex for all primates (including humans), you find that the relationship between these two components is not linear: it begins to tail off at about the brain size of great apes. Great apes and humans have less striate cortex than you might expect for their brain size. This may be because, after a certain point, adding more visual cortex doesn’t necessarily add significantly to the first layer of visual processing (which mostly deals with [Page 272] pattern recognition). Instead, as brain volume (or at least neocortex volume) continues to expand, more neurons become available for those areas anterior to the striate cortex (i.e. those areas that are involved in attaching meaning to the patterns picked out in the earlier stages of visual processing). An important part of that is, of course, the high-level executive functions associated with the frontal lobes.


pages: 255 words: 80,190

Your Life in My Hands: A Junior Doctor's Story by Rachel Clarke

clockwatching, David Attenborough, Donald Trump, gender pay gap, glass ceiling, imposter syndrome, invisible hand, Kickstarter, lateral thinking, Nelson Mandela, pattern recognition, post-truth, profit motive, sensible shoes, Snapchat, women in the workforce, zero-sum game

The ECG trace showed he had indeed suffered a catastrophic heart attack. It was only after the cardiologists had whisked him away to the Coronary Care Unit that I started to think about what I had done. It had been a risky call, based on something more intangible than a neat protocol like my ‘A, B, C’: a subtle blend of burgeoning gut instinct, pattern recognition and an understanding of the physiology of heart failure acquired in lecture rooms and libraries. Good doctoring, I’d just discovered, relied upon instinct and experience at least as much as checklists and guidelines. I felt shaky, overwhelmed by the odds I’d just naïvely managed, stricken by the what-ifs and maybes.


pages: 935 words: 197,338

The Power Law: Venture Capital and the Making of the New Future by Sebastian Mallaby

"Susan Fowler" uber, 23andMe, 90 percent rule, Adam Neumann (WeWork), adjacent possible, Airbnb, Apple II, barriers to entry, Ben Horowitz, Benchmark Capital, Big Tech, bike sharing, Black Lives Matter, Blitzscaling, Bob Noyce, book value, business process, charter city, Chuck Templeton: OpenTable:, Clayton Christensen, clean tech, cloud computing, cognitive bias, collapse of Lehman Brothers, Colonization of Mars, computer vision, coronavirus, corporate governance, COVID-19, cryptocurrency, deal flow, Didi Chuxing, digital map, discounted cash flows, disruptive innovation, Donald Trump, Douglas Engelbart, driverless car, Dutch auction, Dynabook, Elon Musk, Fairchild Semiconductor, fake news, family office, financial engineering, future of work, game design, George Gilder, Greyball, guns versus butter model, Hacker Ethic, Henry Singleton, hiring and firing, Hyperloop, income inequality, industrial cluster, intangible asset, iterative process, Jeff Bezos, John Markoff, junk bonds, Kickstarter, knowledge economy, lateral thinking, liberal capitalism, Louis Pasteur, low interest rates, Lyft, Marc Andreessen, Mark Zuckerberg, market bubble, Marshall McLuhan, Mary Meeker, Masayoshi Son, Max Levchin, Metcalfe’s law, Michael Milken, microdosing, military-industrial complex, Mitch Kapor, mortgage debt, move fast and break things, Network effects, oil shock, PalmPilot, pattern recognition, Paul Graham, paypal mafia, Peter Thiel, plant based meat, plutocrats, power law, pre–internet, price mechanism, price stability, proprietary trading, prudent man rule, quantitative easing, radical decentralization, Recombinant DNA, remote working, ride hailing / ride sharing, risk tolerance, risk/return, Robert Metcalfe, ROLM, rolodex, Ronald Coase, Salesforce, Sam Altman, Sand Hill Road, self-driving car, shareholder value, side project, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, Skype, smart grid, SoftBank, software is eating the world, sovereign wealth fund, Startup school, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, Steven Levy, super pumped, superconnector, survivorship bias, tech worker, Teledyne, the long tail, the new new thing, the strength of weak ties, TikTok, Travis Kalanick, two and twenty, Uber and Lyft, Uber for X, uber lyft, urban decay, UUNET, vertical integration, Vilfredo Pareto, Vision Fund, wealth creators, WeWork, William Shockley: the traitorous eight, Y Combinator, Zenefits

While Goetz led on the prepared mind, Botha pioneered the application of behavioral science to venture capital. This was a radical idea, and Botha’s colleagues came to regard it as transformative for Sequoia.[17] At other venture partnerships, investors often boasted about relying on instinct. They claimed to have “pattern recognition,” an investment sixth sense; “I’ve had this my entire career, and I do not know why,” one successful VC said happily.[18] But Botha pointed out that in well-known experiments stretching back to the 1970s, psychologists had shown how human reflexes distort rational decisions, and he set out to apply the resulting insights to Sequoia’s Monday partners’ meetings.

See 80/20 rule Parker, Sean Facebook, 194–98, 254, 256, 257–61, 380 Founders Fund, 208, 212 Plaxo, 196–98, 199, 207 Partovi, Ali and Hadi, 455n Pasteur, Louis, 128 patents, 398–99 path dependency, 261, 263, 272, 299, 377, 379, 460n “pattern recognition,” 309 Patterson, Arthur, 128–32. See also Accel Capital background of, 128–29 confidentiality and venture capital, 433n Efrusy and, 249–50, 449n Facebook investment, 255–56 founding of Accel, 128–29 Google investment, 174 specialist approach of, 129–31, 435n, 436n telecom investments, 129–31 UUNET investment, 138, 139, 141 PayPal, 211 eBay acquisition of, 206–8, 248, 292 Stripe and, 317, 319, 320 viral marketing, 443n X.com and Musk, 201–7, 214, 328 PCs (personal computers), 82–92, 106–7 pension funds, 40–41, 61, 81, 274 people-led investing, 48, 51 Perella, Joseph, 178 Perelman, Ronald, 287 Perkins, Tom, 60, 67–72, 74–80, 264, 378 Apple investment, 82, 83 founding of Kleiner Perkins, 67–70 Genentech investment, 74–79, 80 GO Corp. investment, 122–23 investing strategy of, 60, 69–70, 72, 75, 128, 266 Silicon Compilers and Ungermann-Bass, 108, 202–3 Tandem Computers investment, 70–72, 80 white-hot risks, 70, 75, 76, 80, 128, 266 Perkins’s law, 72, 75 Perot, Ross, 441n Pincus, Mark, 198, 213, 443n Pinduoduo, 402 Pinterest, 298, 302 Pioneer, 221 Pishevar, Shervin, 354, 355–57, 368 Plaxo, 196–98, 207 Players Technology Summit, 302 Pong, 58–59, 63, 425n Portal Software, 174, 436n, 440n Postmates, 302 Powell, Colin, 265 power law, 6–9, 10, 31, 79, 132, 147, 178, 210–11, 376–77 normal distribution, 6 power law distribution, 7 Powerset, 211 preferred stock, 231, 275–77 “prepared mind,” 122, 128, 250–51, 252, 308–9 price-earnings ratio, 47 Price Waterhouse, 235 private limited partnerships, 41, 43–46, 92, 397–98 Prodigy, 137 Project Maven, 394–95 proxy caches, 187 Prudential Financial, Inc., 24 “prudent-man rule,” 61, 91, 92, 129 Q Qiming, 223–25, 234–35, 400, 446n Qualtrics, 451n quantitative analysis, 14, 47 quantitative easing, 336, 337, 338 QuantumScape, 263 Quartermaster Corps, 28 Quist, George, 51 Qume, 101, 190, 208, 426n Sutter Hill deal, 66–67, 98, 102, 103, 115, 184, 187–88, 290 R Rachleff, Andrew, 161–62, 167, 171–72, 416n, 439–40n racial diversity, 14–15, 384–85, 412 Radar Partners, 265 Rambler, 287 Ramsey Beirne, 168 Rand, Ayn, 61 randomness thesis, 376–77 “ratchet-down” clauses, 105 Raytheon Technologies, 18, 395 Reagan, Ronald, 92 recombinant DNA, 72–78 Reddit, 218 Red Hat, 170 Research in Motion, 331 Reynolds, Ryan, 368 Rickey’s Hyatt House, 67–68 Rieschel, Gary, 222–25, 234–35, 248, 445n, 446n RingCentral, 333 risk management, 12, 40, 46–47 Roberts, Sheldon, 34, 54 Robertson, Julian, 8, 278, 281, 282, 283, 337 Robertson, Michael, 458n Robertson, Sandy, 426n Rock, Arthur, 43–57, 79–80, 209, 220, 378–79, 382, 390, 422–23n Apple, 86–91, 229, 377 background of, 31–32 at Davis & Rock, 44–51, 382 Fairchild Semiconductor, 31–39, 52–55, 225 financial model of, 40, 46–48, 51, 225, 382 at Hayden, Stone, 31–33, 35–37, 44, 46, 225 Intel, 55–57, 237, 378 “intellectual book value,” 47, 78, 390 Kapor and, 135 SDS investment, 48–50 Tandem Computers, 71 Rockefeller, Laurance, 26 Rockefeller family, 26, 32, 35, 51, 56, 71 Rockefeller University, 68 Rodgers, T.


pages: 286 words: 82,065

Curation Nation by Rosenbaum, Steven

Amazon Mechanical Turk, Andrew Keen, AOL-Time Warner, barriers to entry, citizen journalism, cognitive dissonance, commoditize, creative destruction, crowdsourcing, disintermediation, en.wikipedia.org, Ford Model T, future of journalism, independent contractor, Jason Scott: textfiles.com, Mary Meeker, means of production, off-the-grid, PageRank, pattern recognition, post-work, postindustrial economy, pre–internet, Sand Hill Road, Silicon Valley, Skype, social graph, social web, Steve Jobs, Tony Hsieh, Yogi Berra

There are ‘digital ethnographers,’ slightly fewer ‘cyber anthropologists,’ but media is most in need of digital historians like Jason Scott providing historical context. Someone who can determine the ‘and this’ from the ‘don’t forget’ in fickle Internet memes. Implied by the word curator is an intuitive sense of pattern recognition … More visual than a mere editor, the Internet curator requires a sense of the relationships between words, images, space, and shapes.” But I still haven’t answered the question I set out to resolve for you in this chapter: what is curation, exactly? THE ORIGIN OF CURATION Let’s start with where the need for a new word came from.


pages: 246 words: 81,625

On Intelligence by Jeff Hawkins, Sandra Blakeslee

airport security, Albert Einstein, backpropagation, computer age, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, conceptual framework, Jeff Hawkins, Johannes Kepler, Necker cube, PalmPilot, pattern recognition, Paul Erdős, Ray Kurzweil, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, speech recognition, superintelligent machines, the scientific method, Thomas Bayes, Turing machine, Turing test

I found their descriptions inconsistent and incomplete. Linguists talked of intelligence in terms such as "syntax" and "semantics." To them, the brain and intelligence was all about language. Vision scientists referred to 2D, 2˝D, and 3D sketches. To them, the brain and intelligence was all about visual pattern recognition. Computer scientists talked of schemas and frames, new terms they made up to represent knowledge. None of these people talked about the structure of the brain and how it would implement any of their theories. On the other hand, anatomists and neurophysiologists wrote extensively about the structure of the brain and how neurons behave, but they mostly avoided any attempt at large-scale theory.


pages: 262 words: 80,257

The Eureka Factor by John Kounios

active measures, Albert Einstein, Bluma Zeigarnik, call centre, Captain Sullenberger Hudson, classic study, deliberate practice, en.wikipedia.org, Everything should be made as simple as possible, Flynn Effect, functional fixedness, Google Hangouts, impulse control, invention of the telephone, invention of the telescope, Isaac Newton, Louis Pasteur, meta-analysis, Necker cube, pattern recognition, Silicon Valley, Skype, Steve Jobs, tacit knowledge, theory of mind, US Airways Flight 1549, Wall-E, William of Occam

Chessmasters invest an enormous amount of time studying classic games to minimize the amount of raw calculation that they have to do during a tournament. To nullify the benefits of his opponents’ preparation, Larsen often used strange openings and made unexpected moves. This forced his opponents to “throw out the book,” or, rather, “throw out the box,” and rely on mental computation instead of preparation and pattern recognition. Neutralizing the benefits of preparation frequently enabled him to triumph because his ability to calculate his way through novel positions was often superior, especially when his adversaries were rattled by his unusual moves. This strategy was extremely effective in tournaments in which he played no more than one or two games against any single individual, but it was less effective when he played a match of many games against a single player.


The Supermen: The Story of Seymour Cray and the Technical Wizards Behind the Supercomputer by Charles J. Murray

Albert Einstein, Berlin Wall, Charles Babbage, Fairchild Semiconductor, fear of failure, John von Neumann, lateral thinking, pattern recognition, Ralph Waldo Emerson, Salesforce, Silicon Valley

Roughly a thousand codebreakers worked at the navy's Ne- braska Avenue facility-a tidy, red brick, former girl's school 10- cated in a quiet section of the city. These codebreakers were about as diverse and unconventional as any task force ever mar- shalled by the V.S. military. They had backgrounds in mathemat- ics, physics, engineering, astronomy, and just about any discipline requiring intuitive pattern recognition. Some were chess experts, bridge champions, and musicians. Many had Ph.D's; a few were world-renowned scientists. When the war began, they had decrypted messages like those of U-66 without the benefit of machines. To do it, they had qui- THE CODEBREAKERS / 9 etly labored over volumes of coded messages, searching for pat- terns that departed from pure randomness.


pages: 261 words: 86,261

The Pleasure of Finding Things Out: The Best Short Works of Richard P. Feynman by Richard P. Feynman, Jeffrey Robbins

Albert Einstein, Brownian motion, impulse control, index card, John von Neumann, Murray Gell-Mann, pattern recognition, Pepto Bismol, Richard Feynman, Richard Feynman: Challenger O-ring, scientific worldview, the scientific method

See also under Feynman, Richard Nova, 1 Nuclear forces, 12, 16, 237 Oak Ridge plant, 71–73, 74–78 Objectivity, 104 Observations, 182 Olum, Paul, 57, 59 Omni magazine, 189 Oppenheimer, Robert, 9, 55, 58, 73, 74, 82 Optical microscope, 120 Padlocks, 70 Pantographs, 133 Parapsychology, 216. See also Extrasensory perception Parasitism, 181–182 Particles, 16, 191, 199, 236, 237–238, 239. See also Quarks; Ultimate particles Patterns, 174–175, 220–221, 226 pattern recognition, 48, 127 Pauli, Wolfgang, 201, 201(n), 229, 230 Peace, 147 Penology, 243 Philosophy, 23, 115, 173, 195–196 Photons, 8, 234, 236 Physical Review, xii, 59, 198 Physics, xi, 99 and chemical processes, 125 doing physics, xviii, 11, 14, 19, 20, 60, 87 high energy, 238 high pressure, 118(n) loose threads in, 199 and mathematics, 15, 105, 192–193, 194, 201, 228.


pages: 301 words: 85,263

New Dark Age: Technology and the End of the Future by James Bridle

AI winter, Airbnb, Alfred Russel Wallace, AlphaGo, Anthropocene, Automated Insights, autonomous vehicles, back-to-the-land, Benoit Mandelbrot, Bernie Sanders, bitcoin, Boeing 747, British Empire, Brownian motion, Buckminster Fuller, Cambridge Analytica, Capital in the Twenty-First Century by Thomas Piketty, carbon footprint, coastline paradox / Richardson effect, cognitive bias, cognitive dissonance, combinatorial explosion, computer vision, congestion charging, cryptocurrency, data is the new oil, disinformation, Donald Trump, Douglas Engelbart, Douglas Engelbart, Douglas Hofstadter, Dr. Strangelove, drone strike, Edward Snowden, Eyjafjallajökull, Fairchild Semiconductor, fake news, fear of failure, Flash crash, fulfillment center, Google Earth, Greyball, Haber-Bosch Process, Higgs boson, hive mind, income inequality, informal economy, Internet of things, Isaac Newton, ITER tokamak, James Bridle, John von Neumann, Julian Assange, Kickstarter, Kim Stanley Robinson, Large Hadron Collider, late capitalism, Laura Poitras, Leo Hollis, lone genius, machine translation, mandelbrot fractal, meta-analysis, Minecraft, mutually assured destruction, natural language processing, Network effects, oil shock, p-value, pattern recognition, peak oil, recommendation engine, road to serfdom, Robert Mercer, Ronald Reagan, security theater, self-driving car, Seymour Hersh, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley ideology, Skype, social graph, sorting algorithm, South China Sea, speech recognition, Spread Networks laid a new fibre optics cable between New York and Chicago, stem cell, Stuxnet, technoutopianism, the built environment, the scientific method, Uber for X, undersea cable, University of East Anglia, uranium enrichment, Vannevar Bush, warehouse robotics, WikiLeaks

When the Perceptron Mark I was presented to the public in 1958, the New York Times reported, The Navy revealed the embryo of an electronic computer today that it expects will be able to walk, talk, see, write, reproduce itself and be conscious of its existene. Later perceptrons will be able to recognise people and call out their names and instantly translate speech in one language to speech and writing in another language, it was predicted.2 Image: Cornell University Library. The Mark I Perceptron, an early pattern recognition system, at the Cornell Aeronautical Laboratory. The idea that underlay the Perceptron was connectionism: the belief that intelligence was an emergent property of the connections between neurons, and that by imitating the winding pathways of the brain, machines might be induced to think. This idea was attacked by numerous researchers over the next decade, who held that intelligence was the product of the manipulation of symbols: essentially, some knowledge of the world was required to reason meaningfully about it.


pages: 330 words: 83,319

The New Rules of War: Victory in the Age of Durable Disorder by Sean McFate

Able Archer 83, active measures, anti-communist, barriers to entry, Berlin Wall, blood diamond, Boeing 747, Brexit referendum, cognitive dissonance, commoditize, computer vision, corporate governance, corporate raider, cuban missile crisis, disinformation, Donald Trump, double helix, drone strike, escalation ladder, European colonialism, failed state, fake news, false flag, hive mind, index fund, invisible hand, John Markoff, joint-stock company, military-industrial complex, moral hazard, mutually assured destruction, Nash equilibrium, nuclear taboo, offshore financial centre, pattern recognition, Peace of Westphalia, plutocrats, private military company, profit motive, RAND corporation, ransomware, Ronald Reagan, Silicon Valley, South China Sea, Steve Bannon, Stuxnet, Suez crisis 1956, technoutopianism, vertical integration, Washington Consensus, Westphalian system, yellow journalism, Yom Kippur War, zero day, zero-sum game

Rise of the robots: Matthew Rosenberg and John Markoff, “The Pentagon’s ‘Terminator Conundrum’: Robots That Could Kill on Their Own,” New York Times, 25 October 2016, www.nytimes.com/2016/10/26/us/pentagon-artificial-intelligence-terminator.html; Kevin Warwick, “Back to the Future,” Leviathan, BBC News, 1 January 2000, http://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/english/static/special_report/1999/12/99/back_to_the_future/kevin_warwick.stm. 5. Robots are stupid: Andrej Karpathy and Li Fei-Fei, “Deep Visual-Semantic Alignments for Generating Image Descriptions,” Proceedings of the IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (2015): 3128–37, http://cs.stanford.edu/people/karpathy/cvpr2015.pdf. 6. What is “cyber”?: Cyber is a prefix used to describe anything having to do with computers, which doesn’t explain much. The term “cyber” was coined by the science fiction writer William Gibson in the 1980s but has advanced little as a concept since then.


pages: 250 words: 87,722

Flash Boys: A Wall Street Revolt by Michael Lewis

automated trading system, bash_history, Berlin Wall, Bernie Madoff, collateralized debt obligation, computerized markets, drone strike, Dutch auction, Fall of the Berlin Wall, financial intermediation, Flash crash, High speed trading, information security, latency arbitrage, National best bid and offer, pattern recognition, payment for order flow, Pershing Square Capital Management, proprietary trading, risk tolerance, Rubik’s Cube, Sergey Aleynikov, Small Order Execution System, Spread Networks laid a new fibre optics cable between New York and Chicago, the new new thing, too big to fail, trade route, transaction costs, Vanguard fund

Aisen and three friends had competed, in 2007, against one thousand other teams and had won the whole thing. “It’s kind of a mix of cryptography, ciphers, and Sudoku,” explained Aisen. The solution to each puzzle offered clues to the other puzzles; to be really good at it, a person needed not only technical skill but exceptional pattern recognition. “There’s some element of mechanical work, and some element of ‘aha!’ ” said Aisen. Brad had given Aisen both a job and a nickname, the Puzzle Master, soon shortened, by RBC’s traders, to Puz. Puz was one of the people who had helped him create Thor. Puz’s peculiar ability to solve puzzles was suddenly even more relevant.


pages: 292 words: 85,151

Exponential Organizations: Why New Organizations Are Ten Times Better, Faster, and Cheaper Than Yours (And What to Do About It) by Salim Ismail, Yuri van Geest

23andMe, 3D printing, Airbnb, Amazon Mechanical Turk, Amazon Web Services, anti-fragile, augmented reality, autonomous vehicles, Baxter: Rethink Robotics, behavioural economics, Ben Horowitz, bike sharing, bioinformatics, bitcoin, Black Swan, blockchain, Blue Ocean Strategy, book value, Burning Man, business intelligence, business process, call centre, chief data officer, Chris Wanstrath, circular economy, Clayton Christensen, clean water, cloud computing, cognitive bias, collaborative consumption, collaborative economy, commoditize, corporate social responsibility, cross-subsidies, crowdsourcing, cryptocurrency, dark matter, data science, Dean Kamen, deep learning, DeepMind, dematerialisation, discounted cash flows, disruptive innovation, distributed ledger, driverless car, Edward Snowden, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, Ethereum, ethereum blockchain, fail fast, game design, gamification, Google Glasses, Google Hangouts, Google X / Alphabet X, gravity well, hiring and firing, holacracy, Hyperloop, industrial robot, Innovator's Dilemma, intangible asset, Internet of things, Iridium satellite, Isaac Newton, Jeff Bezos, Joi Ito, Kevin Kelly, Kickstarter, knowledge worker, Kodak vs Instagram, Law of Accelerating Returns, Lean Startup, life extension, lifelogging, loose coupling, loss aversion, low earth orbit, Lyft, Marc Andreessen, Mark Zuckerberg, market design, Max Levchin, means of production, Michael Milken, minimum viable product, natural language processing, Netflix Prize, NetJets, Network effects, new economy, Oculus Rift, offshore financial centre, PageRank, pattern recognition, Paul Graham, paypal mafia, peer-to-peer, peer-to-peer model, Peter H. Diamandis: Planetary Resources, Peter Thiel, Planet Labs, prediction markets, profit motive, publish or perish, radical decentralization, Ray Kurzweil, recommendation engine, RFID, ride hailing / ride sharing, risk tolerance, Ronald Coase, Rutger Bregman, Salesforce, Second Machine Age, self-driving car, sharing economy, Silicon Valley, skunkworks, Skype, smart contracts, Snapchat, social software, software is eating the world, SpaceShipOne, speech recognition, stealth mode startup, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, Steve Jurvetson, subscription business, supply-chain management, synthetic biology, TaskRabbit, TED Talk, telepresence, telepresence robot, the long tail, Tony Hsieh, transaction costs, Travis Kalanick, Tyler Cowen, Tyler Cowen: Great Stagnation, uber lyft, urban planning, Virgin Galactic, WikiLeaks, winner-take-all economy, X Prize, Y Combinator, zero-sum game

Most of the remaining risk concerns mere scalability issues. A case in point: the rise of standardized web services allows complex software functionality to be integrated into a startup at the press of a button. Examples include Google’s Prediction API for predictive analytics and AlchemyAPI for deep learning software for pattern recognition. To illustrate the sheer extent of this reduced technology risk, consider hardware startups. A new wave of large companies in Shenzhen, China (e.g., Foxconn, Flextronics, PCH International), as well as open source hardware platforms such as Arduino, Raspberry Pi and 3D printers, allow anyone to design a hardware product and quickly prototype and build it.


pages: 317 words: 84,400

Automate This: How Algorithms Came to Rule Our World by Christopher Steiner

23andMe, Ada Lovelace, airport security, Al Roth, algorithmic trading, Apollo 13, backtesting, Bear Stearns, big-box store, Black Monday: stock market crash in 1987, Black-Scholes formula, call centre, Charles Babbage, cloud computing, collateralized debt obligation, commoditize, Credit Default Swap, credit default swaps / collateralized debt obligations, delta neutral, Donald Trump, Douglas Hofstadter, dumpster diving, financial engineering, Flash crash, G4S, Gödel, Escher, Bach, Hacker News, High speed trading, Howard Rheingold, index fund, Isaac Newton, Jim Simons, John Markoff, John Maynard Keynes: technological unemployment, knowledge economy, late fees, machine translation, Marc Andreessen, Mark Zuckerberg, market bubble, Max Levchin, medical residency, money market fund, Myron Scholes, Narrative Science, PageRank, pattern recognition, Paul Graham, Pierre-Simon Laplace, prediction markets, proprietary trading, quantitative hedge fund, Renaissance Technologies, ride hailing / ride sharing, risk tolerance, Robert Mercer, Sergey Aleynikov, side project, Silicon Valley, Skype, speech recognition, Spread Networks laid a new fibre optics cable between New York and Chicago, transaction costs, upwardly mobile, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, Y Combinator

Cope says Annie’s penchant for tasteful originality could push her past most human composers, who simply build on the work of the past, which, in turn, was built on older works. Cope offers this without emotion, but he still harbors bruises from the music elite’s reaction to Emmy. He won’t admit it, but he seems ready for a fight. The arguments will be honest on both sides. The specter that the greatest music ever created could be broken down into pattern recognition, rule making, and controlled rule breaking is just too much for some musical types to take. Artists tend to be people who define themselves by their work. They perceive their creativity as what separates them from the person in the cubicle, the salesman on the road, the MBA doting on a spreadsheet—the banal masses.


pages: 266 words: 86,324

The Drunkard's Walk: How Randomness Rules Our Lives by Leonard Mlodinow

Albert Einstein, Alfred Russel Wallace, Antoine Gombaud: Chevalier de Méré, Atul Gawande, behavioural economics, Brownian motion, butterfly effect, correlation coefficient, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, data science, Donald Trump, feminist movement, forensic accounting, Gary Kildall, Gerolamo Cardano, Henri Poincaré, index fund, Isaac Newton, law of one price, Monty Hall problem, pattern recognition, Paul Erdős, Pepto Bismol, probability theory / Blaise Pascal / Pierre de Fermat, RAND corporation, random walk, Richard Feynman, Ronald Reagan, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, The Wisdom of Crowds, Thomas Bayes, V2 rocket, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!

When a teacher initially believes that one student is smarter than another, he selectively focuses on evidence that tends to confirm the hypothesis.48 When an employer interviews a prospective candidate, the employer typically forms a quick first impression and spends the rest of the interview seeking information that supports it.49 When counselors in clinical settings are advised ahead of time that an interviewee is combative, they tend to conclude that he is even if the interviewee is no more combative than the average person.50 And when people interpret the behavior of someone who is a member of a minority, they interpret it in the context of preconceived stereotypes.51 The human brain has evolved to be very efficient at pattern recognition, but as the confirmation bias shows, we are focused on finding and confirming patterns rather than minimizing our false conclusions. Yet we needn’t be pessimists, for it is possible to overcome our prejudices. It is a start simply to realize that chance events, too, produce patterns. It is another great step if we learn to question our perceptions and our theories.


pages: 291 words: 81,703

Average Is Over: Powering America Beyond the Age of the Great Stagnation by Tyler Cowen

Amazon Mechanical Turk, behavioural economics, Black Swan, brain emulation, Brownian motion, business cycle, Cass Sunstein, Charles Babbage, choice architecture, complexity theory, computer age, computer vision, computerized trading, cosmological constant, crowdsourcing, dark matter, David Brooks, David Ricardo: comparative advantage, deliberate practice, driverless car, Drosophila, en.wikipedia.org, endowment effect, epigenetics, Erik Brynjolfsson, eurozone crisis, experimental economics, Flynn Effect, Freestyle chess, full employment, future of work, game design, Higgs boson, income inequality, industrial robot, informal economy, Isaac Newton, Johannes Kepler, John Markoff, Ken Thompson, Khan Academy, labor-force participation, Loebner Prize, low interest rates, low skilled workers, machine readable, manufacturing employment, Mark Zuckerberg, meta-analysis, microcredit, Myron Scholes, Narrative Science, Netflix Prize, Nicholas Carr, off-the-grid, P = NP, P vs NP, pattern recognition, Peter Thiel, randomized controlled trial, Ray Kurzweil, reshoring, Richard Florida, Richard Thaler, Ronald Reagan, Silicon Valley, Skype, statistical model, stem cell, Steve Jobs, Turing test, Tyler Cowen, Tyler Cowen: Great Stagnation, upwardly mobile, Yogi Berra

Machines can double-check human diagnoses, catch the mistakes of very tired doctors, and keep up with and store new developments in the medical literature. And by the way, that literature doubles in size every few years, much more rapidly than any human can follow. For all of our scientific and medical progress, misdiagnoses remain common. Of course, it can be irresponsible to rely completely on the computer’s pattern recognition skills, since the human eye will pick up image errors or flubbed data inputs in a way that the machine may not. But a man–machine team is less vulnerable to machine oversights; human supervision is often stipulated by the companies that market medical software. One medical innovation would run a patient’s reported symptoms through a Watson-like software program and see what might be wrong, drawing upon extensive databases.


pages: 266 words: 78,986

Quarantine by Greg Egan

cosmic microwave background, dark matter, disinformation, fudge factor, intermodal, pattern recognition, placebo effect, Schrödinger's Cat, time dilation, warehouse robotics

It’s absurd—but pissing away my skin colour is at least as disorienting as anything else that’s happened in the last twelve hours. Whatever’s changed inside my skull, up until now at least I looked the same. I check my appearance in a mirror, dragging my thoughts back to practicalities. Merely rendered pale, pattern-recognition software could still match me with ASR’s records, but at least I’m no longer vulnerable to every bystander who might have seen my face splashed about the news systems. In fact, when I access The NHK Times, there’s no mention of a foiled bombing attempt, by the Children or anyone else. The global news systems are the same.


pages: 309 words: 79,414

Going Dark: The Secret Social Lives of Extremists by Julia Ebner

23andMe, 4chan, Airbnb, anti-communist, anti-globalists, augmented reality, Ayatollah Khomeini, Bellingcat, Big Tech, bitcoin, blockchain, Boris Johnson, Cambridge Analytica, citizen journalism, cognitive dissonance, Comet Ping Pong, crisis actor, crowdsourcing, cryptocurrency, deepfake, disinformation, Donald Trump, Dunning–Kruger effect, Elon Musk, fake news, false flag, feminist movement, game design, gamification, glass ceiling, Google Earth, Greta Thunberg, information security, job satisfaction, Mark Zuckerberg, mass immigration, Menlo Park, Mikhail Gorbachev, Network effects, off grid, OpenAI, Overton Window, pattern recognition, pre–internet, QAnon, RAND corporation, ransomware, rising living standards, self-driving car, Silicon Valley, Skype, Snapchat, social intelligence, Social Justice Warrior, SQL injection, Steve Bannon, Steve Jobs, Transnistria, WikiLeaks, zero day

Sixty per cent of Britons believe in at least one conspiracy theory.6 Studies have found that the internet is not just conducive to the rapid spread of tales and hoaxes but also fuels conspiracy-theory logic and culture. First, it democratises knowledge, thereby empowering internet citizens to conduct their own research and open-source intelligence investigations – even if they have no knowledge of source-checking techniques. Second, the online information overload encourages cognitive filtering and pattern recognition processes that distort reality. The human mind likes to find patterns in chaos and to complete information gaps in imperfect stories and visuals – even if the outcome does not make any logical sense. Visual illusions are a good example of this.7 Humans have a tendency to make arbitrary connections between unlinked things.


pages: 291 words: 90,771

Upscale: What It Takes to Scale a Startup. By the People Who've Done It. by James Silver

Airbnb, augmented reality, Ben Horowitz, Big Tech, blockchain, business process, call centre, credit crunch, crowdsourcing, data science, DeepMind, DevOps, family office, flag carrier, fulfillment center, future of work, Google Hangouts, growth hacking, high net worth, hiring and firing, imposter syndrome, Jeff Bezos, Kickstarter, Lean Startup, Lyft, Mark Zuckerberg, minimum viable product, Network effects, pattern recognition, reality distortion field, ride hailing / ride sharing, Salesforce, Silicon Valley, Skype, Snapchat, software as a service, Uber and Lyft, uber lyft, WeWork, women in the workforce, Y Combinator

It might be the same business model, or it could be a market with similar dynamics or a similar approach to how you address a problem in consumer demand. ‘Whatever it is, find those parallels, and that’s effectively what your message is going to be to that investor. ‘You’ll be a bit subtle about it, of course, but make sure you play those things out because “pattern recognition” is what these guys are all about. They’ve seen a certain thing work before, and although they might not have seen it in your space, they can see why it works.’ She expands: ‘That’s the way a lot of venture capital funders approach [investing]. They’re looking for patterns they’ve seen before, in their own portfolio ideally, or that they might have seen in the wider market.


pages: 322 words: 84,580

The Economics of Belonging: A Radical Plan to Win Back the Left Behind and Achieve Prosperity for All by Martin Sandbu

air traffic controllers' union, Airbnb, Alan Greenspan, autonomous vehicles, balance sheet recession, bank run, banking crisis, basic income, Berlin Wall, Bernie Sanders, Big Tech, Boris Johnson, Branko Milanovic, Bretton Woods, business cycle, call centre, capital controls, carbon footprint, carbon tax, Carmen Reinhart, centre right, collective bargaining, company town, debt deflation, deindustrialization, deskilling, Diane Coyle, Donald Trump, Edward Glaeser, eurozone crisis, Fall of the Berlin Wall, financial engineering, financial intermediation, full employment, future of work, gig economy, Gini coefficient, green new deal, hiring and firing, income inequality, income per capita, industrial robot, intangible asset, job automation, John Maynard Keynes: technological unemployment, Kenneth Rogoff, knowledge economy, knowledge worker, labour market flexibility, liquidity trap, longitudinal study, low interest rates, low skilled workers, manufacturing employment, Martin Wolf, meta-analysis, mini-job, Money creation, mortgage debt, new economy, offshore financial centre, oil shock, open economy, pattern recognition, pink-collar, precariat, public intellectual, quantitative easing, race to the bottom, Richard Florida, Robert Shiller, Robert Solow, Ronald Reagan, secular stagnation, social intelligence, TaskRabbit, total factor productivity, universal basic income, very high income, winner-take-all economy, working poor

But the “gig economy” facilitated by online platforms also brings with it a global market for service jobs—or, rather, for piece-rate service tasks—in anything that can be done digitally and remotely. Coding, translation, copyediting, and other high-skilled and middle-class jobs are opening up to global competition even as computerised pattern recognition and artificial intelligence mean fewer people are required to accomplish the same amount of work. Automation and globalisation are both expanding from blue-collar to white-collar work, which is set to be disrupted as much as if not more than manufacturing was from the late 1970s on.24 Job loss through automation-driven productivity growth and, to some extent, competition from globalisation—these are the very same forces that, in the absence of an adequate policy response, denied a large group of workers what they expected from the social contract.


pages: 321

Finding Alphas: A Quantitative Approach to Building Trading Strategies by Igor Tulchinsky

algorithmic trading, asset allocation, automated trading system, backpropagation, backtesting, barriers to entry, behavioural economics, book value, business cycle, buy and hold, capital asset pricing model, constrained optimization, corporate governance, correlation coefficient, credit crunch, Credit Default Swap, currency risk, data science, deep learning, discounted cash flows, discrete time, diversification, diversified portfolio, Eugene Fama: efficient market hypothesis, financial engineering, financial intermediation, Flash crash, Geoffrey Hinton, implied volatility, index arbitrage, index fund, intangible asset, iterative process, Long Term Capital Management, loss aversion, low interest rates, machine readable, market design, market microstructure, merger arbitrage, natural language processing, passive investing, pattern recognition, performance metric, Performance of Mutual Funds in the Period, popular capitalism, prediction markets, price discovery process, profit motive, proprietary trading, quantitative trading / quantitative finance, random walk, Reminiscences of a Stock Operator, Renaissance Technologies, risk free rate, risk tolerance, risk-adjusted returns, risk/return, selection bias, sentiment analysis, shareholder value, Sharpe ratio, short selling, Silicon Valley, speech recognition, statistical arbitrage, statistical model, stochastic process, survivorship bias, systematic bias, systematic trading, text mining, transaction costs, Vanguard fund, yield curve

Journal of Computational Science 2, no. 1: 1–8. Bollen, N. and Whaley, R. (2004) “Does Net Buying Pressure Affect the Shape of Implied Volatility Functions?” Journal of Finance 59, no. 2: 711–753. Breiman, L. (2001) “Random Forests.” Machine Learning 45, no. 1: 5–32. Burges, C. (1998) “A Tutorial on Support Vector Machines for Pattern Recognition.” Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery 2, no. 2: 121–167. Butterworth, S. (1930) “On the Theory of Filter Amplifiers.” Experimental Wireless and Wireless Engineer 7: 17–20. Chan, K., Hameed, A., and Tong, W. (2000) “Profitability of Momentum Strategies in the International Equity Markets.” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 35, no. 2: 153–172.


pages: 328 words: 84,682

The Business of Platforms: Strategy in the Age of Digital Competition, Innovation, and Power by Michael A. Cusumano, Annabelle Gawer, David B. Yoffie

activist fund / activist shareholder / activist investor, Airbnb, AltaVista, Amazon Web Services, AOL-Time Warner, asset light, augmented reality, autonomous vehicles, barriers to entry, bitcoin, blockchain, business logic, Cambridge Analytica, Chuck Templeton: OpenTable:, cloud computing, collective bargaining, commoditize, CRISPR, crowdsourcing, cryptocurrency, deep learning, Didi Chuxing, distributed ledger, Donald Trump, driverless car, en.wikipedia.org, fake news, Firefox, general purpose technology, gig economy, Google Chrome, GPS: selective availability, Greyball, independent contractor, Internet of things, Jeff Bezos, Jeff Hawkins, John Zimmer (Lyft cofounder), Kevin Roose, Lean Startup, Lyft, machine translation, Mark Zuckerberg, market fundamentalism, Metcalfe’s law, move fast and break things, multi-sided market, Network effects, pattern recognition, platform as a service, Ponzi scheme, recommendation engine, Richard Feynman, ride hailing / ride sharing, Robert Metcalfe, Salesforce, self-driving car, sharing economy, Silicon Valley, Skype, Snapchat, SoftBank, software as a service, sovereign wealth fund, speech recognition, stealth mode startup, Steve Ballmer, Steve Jobs, Steven Levy, subscription business, Susan Wojcicki, TaskRabbit, too big to fail, transaction costs, transport as a service, Travis Kalanick, two-sided market, Uber and Lyft, Uber for X, uber lyft, vertical integration, Vision Fund, web application, zero-sum game

VOICE WARS: RAPID GROWTH BUT CHAOTIC PLATFORM COMPETITION Although artificial intelligence has been around for decades, one branch has made exceptional progress: machine learning (using special software algorithms to analyze and learn from data) and the subfield of deep learning (using hardware and software to build massively parallel processors called neural networks to mimic how the brain works). Applications of these technologies have led to dramatic improvements in certain forms of pattern recognition, especially for images and voice. Apple got the world excited about a voice interface when it introduced Siri in 2011. For the first time, consumers had access to a natural conversation technology that actually worked (at least some of the time). Despite its first-mover advantage, however, Apple’s strategy for Siri was classic Apple: The company designed Siri as a product that complemented the iPhone, not as an innovation or transaction platform that could generate powerful network effects.


pages: 326 words: 84,180

Dark Matters: On the Surveillance of Blackness by Simone Browne

4chan, affirmative action, Affordable Care Act / Obamacare, airport security, autonomous vehicles, bitcoin, British Empire, cloud computing, colonial rule, computer vision, crowdsourcing, dark matter, disinformation, Edward Snowden, European colonialism, ghettoisation, Google Glasses, Internet Archive, job satisfaction, lifelogging, machine readable, mass incarceration, obamacare, Panopticon Jeremy Bentham, pattern recognition, r/findbostonbombers, Scientific racism, security theater, sexual politics, transatlantic slave trade, urban renewal, US Airways Flight 1549, W. E. B. Du Bois, Wayback Machine, Works Progress Administration

We learn that Smith’s character, police detective Del Spooner, was injured in a car accident and became an involuntary subject in a cybernetics program for wounded police officers. This left him with a prosthetic left arm built by the same company that created the robot servants, U.S. Robotics. Spooner uses biometric information technology, namely hand geometry access and voice pattern recognition, in the film, but he is antirobot. As the New York Times’ film critic A. O. Scott put it: Spooner is “a raging anti-robot bigot, harboring a grudge against the helpful, polite machines that shuffle around the city running errands and doing menial work.”101 According to Scott, Spooner’s grudge causes him to commit “technological profiling,” revealing the film’s “undercurrent of racial irony.”102 Seemingly a commentary on the dystopic potential of unregulated androids or a comment on enslavement, perhaps I, Robot animates concerns around such imaginings of artificial intelligence.


pages: 361 words: 86,921

The End of Medicine: How Silicon Valley (And Naked Mice) Will Reboot Your Doctor by Andy Kessler

airport security, Andy Kessler, Bear Stearns, bioinformatics, Buckminster Fuller, call centre, Dean Kamen, digital divide, El Camino Real, employer provided health coverage, full employment, George Gilder, global rebalancing, Law of Accelerating Returns, low earth orbit, Metcalfe’s law, moral hazard, Network effects, off-the-grid, pattern recognition, personalized medicine, phenotype, Ray Kurzweil, Richard Feynman, Sand Hill Road, Silicon Valley, stem cell, Steve Jurvetson, vertical integration

In other words, they would get 78% correct and have 22% false negatives. That’s pretty startling.” “But how do you do better? I guess I still don’t understand how this works. Is there some secret sauce that runs this thing?” I wondered. “You know about neural networks?” “I’ve read enough about them.” “We use them to do pattern recognition. You can code the algorithms, which isn’t easy, but the trick is to train the system so that it minimizes false positives but doesn’t miss anything. That’s tough to do.” “But how?” I still didn’t get it. “Oh, we have something like 5,000 cases of mammograms with known cancer, you know, ones that have proven to be actual positives with biopsies.


pages: 315 words: 93,522

How Music Got Free: The End of an Industry, the Turn of the Century, and the Patient Zero of Piracy by Stephen Witt

4chan, Alan Greenspan, AOL-Time Warner, autism spectrum disorder, barriers to entry, Berlin Wall, big-box store, cloud computing, collaborative economy, company town, crowdsourcing, Eben Moglen, game design, hype cycle, Internet Archive, invention of movable type, inventory management, iterative process, Jason Scott: textfiles.com, job automation, late fees, mental accounting, moral panic, operational security, packet switching, pattern recognition, peer-to-peer, pirate software, reality distortion field, Ronald Reagan, security theater, sharing economy, side project, Silicon Valley, software patent, Stephen Fry, Steve Jobs, Tipper Gore, zero day

In late 1988, the team made its first sale, and shipped a hand-built decoder to the first ever end user of mp3 technology: a tiny radio station run by missionaries on the remote Micronesian island of Saipan. But one audio source was proving intractable: what Grill, with his imperfect command of English, called “the lonely voice.” (He meant “lone.”) Human speech could not, in isolation, be psychoacoustically masked. Nor could you use Huffman’s pattern recognition approach—the essence of speech was its dynamic nature, its plosives and sibilants and glottal stops. Brandenburg’s shrinking algorithm could handle symphonies, guitar solos, cannons, even “Oye Mi Canto,” but it still couldn’t handle a newscast. Stuck, Brandenburg isolated samples of “lonely” voices.


pages: 323 words: 92,135

Running Money by Andy Kessler

Alan Greenspan, Andy Kessler, Apple II, bioinformatics, Bob Noyce, British Empire, business intelligence, buy and hold, buy low sell high, call centre, Charles Babbage, Corn Laws, cotton gin, Douglas Engelbart, Fairchild Semiconductor, family office, flying shuttle, full employment, General Magic , George Gilder, happiness index / gross national happiness, interest rate swap, invisible hand, James Hargreaves, James Watt: steam engine, joint-stock company, joint-stock limited liability company, junk bonds, knowledge worker, Leonard Kleinrock, Long Term Capital Management, mail merge, Marc Andreessen, margin call, market bubble, Mary Meeker, Maui Hawaii, Menlo Park, Metcalfe’s law, Michael Milken, Mitch Kapor, Network effects, packet switching, pattern recognition, pets.com, railway mania, risk tolerance, Robert Metcalfe, Sand Hill Road, Silicon Valley, South China Sea, spinning jenny, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, Suez canal 1869, Toyota Production System, TSMC, UUNET, zero-sum game

He thought the company was going to be a home run. I wasn’t so sure. Fred is ten years older than I am, with lightyears more market savvy. I make judgments much too quickly. But when Fred comes up against a difficult problem, he just reaches back into his long-term cranial memory storage and does a little pattern recognition until he can say, “I’ve seen this before.” We were the yin and the yang of rash and rational, which is why the partnership worked so well. “We’ll pay $2.50,” I said with more confidence than I thought I had in me. “That’s only slightly more than what Ssangyong paid a year ago, and they know we just did a round at $4.”


Data Mining the Web: Uncovering Patterns in Web Content, Structure, and Usage by Zdravko Markov, Daniel T. Larose

Firefox, information retrieval, Internet Archive, iterative process, natural language processing, pattern recognition, random walk, recommendation engine, semantic web, sparse data, speech recognition, statistical model, William of Occam

EXERCISES 211 9. Leo Breiman, Jerome Friedman, Richard Olshen, and Charles Stone, Classification and Regression Trees, Chapman & Hall/CRC Press, Boca Raton, FL, 1984. 10. Ruby L. Kennedy, Yuchun Lee, Benjamin Van Roy, Christopher D. Reed, and Richard P. Lippman, Solving Data Mining Problems Through Pattern Recognition, Pearson Education, Upper Saddle River, NJ, 1995. 11. J. Ross Quinlan, C4.5: Programs for Machine Learning, Morgan Kaufmann, San Francisco, CA, 1992. EXERCISES 1. Compare the first two rules in Table 9.2. Note that the antecedent of the second rule is a refinement (more specific specification) of the antecedent of the first rule.


pages: 329 words: 93,655

Moonwalking With Einstein by Joshua Foer

Albert Einstein, Asperger Syndrome, Berlin Wall, conceptual framework, deliberate practice, Fall of the Berlin Wall, Ford Model T, Frank Gehry, lifelogging, mental accounting, Neil Armstrong, patient HM, pattern recognition, Rubik’s Cube, speech recognition, Stephen Hawking, the long tail, W. E. B. Du Bois, zero-sum game

It is said that a student of sexing must work through at least 250,000 chicks before attaining any degree of proficiency. Even if the sexer calls it “intuition,” it’s been shaped by years of experience. It is the vast memory bank of chick bottoms that allows him or her to recognize patterns in the vents glanced at so quickly. In most cases, the skill is not the result of conscious reasoning, but pattern recognition. It is a feat of perception and memory, not analysis. The classic example of how memories shape the perception of experts comes from what would seem to be the least intuitive of fields: chess. Practically since the origins of the modern game in the fifteenth century, chess has been regarded as the ultimate test of cognitive ability.


pages: 264 words: 90,379

Blink: The Power of Thinking Without Thinking by Malcolm Gladwell

affirmative action, airport security, Albert Einstein, Apollo 13, complexity theory, David Brooks, East Village, fake news, haute couture, Kevin Kelly, lateral thinking, medical malpractice, medical residency, Menlo Park, Nelson Mandela, new economy, pattern recognition, Pepsi Challenge, phenotype, Ronald Reagan, Silicon Valley, Stephen Hawking, theory of mind, young professional

That is why a marriage can be read and decoded so easily, because some key part of human activity—whether it is something as simple as pounding out a Morse code message or as complex as being married to someone—has an identifiable and stable pattern. Predicting divorce, like tracking Morse Code operators, is pattern recognition. “People are in one of two states in a relationship,” Gottman went on. “The first is what I call positive sentiment override, where positive emotion overrides irritability. It’s like a buffer. Their spouse will do something bad, and they’ll say, ‘Oh, he’s just in a crummy mood.’ Or they can be in negative sentiment override, so that even a relatively neutral thing that a partner says gets perceived as negative.


Industry 4.0: The Industrial Internet of Things by Alasdair Gilchrist

3D printing, additive manufacturing, air gap, AlphaGo, Amazon Web Services, augmented reality, autonomous vehicles, barriers to entry, business intelligence, business logic, business process, chief data officer, cloud computing, connected car, cyber-physical system, data science, deep learning, DeepMind, deindustrialization, DevOps, digital twin, fault tolerance, fulfillment center, global value chain, Google Glasses, hiring and firing, industrial robot, inflight wifi, Infrastructure as a Service, Internet of things, inventory management, job automation, low cost airline, low skilled workers, microservices, millennium bug, OSI model, pattern recognition, peer-to-peer, platform as a service, pre–internet, race to the bottom, RFID, Salesforce, Skype, smart cities, smart grid, smart meter, smart transportation, software as a service, stealth mode startup, supply-chain management, The future is already here, trade route, undersea cable, vertical integration, warehouse robotics, web application, WebRTC, Y2K

Furthermore, learning is behavior based and must be continuous. 57 58 Chapter 3 |TheTechnical and Business Innovators of the Industrial Internet Initially, we might think well, so what, until that is we see how each model is used: • Classic AI—This model is still used as it is very efficient in question answering, such as IBM’s Watson and Apple’s Siri. • Neural networks—Data mining in large static data sets with the focus on classification and pattern recognition. • Biological neural networks—It has many uses typically in security devices tasked with the detection of uncharacteristic behavior, as its strengths lies with prediction, anomaly detection, and classification. How these would work in action is that each would take a different approach to solving a problem, let us say for example, inappropriate file access on a financial department’s network.


pages: 315 words: 92,151

Ten Billion Tomorrows: How Science Fiction Technology Became Reality and Shapes the Future by Brian Clegg

Albert Einstein, Alvin Toffler, anthropic principle, Apollo 11, Brownian motion, call centre, Carrington event, Charles Babbage, combinatorial explosion, don't be evil, Dr. Strangelove, Ernest Rutherford, experimental subject, Future Shock, game design, gravity well, Higgs boson, hive mind, invisible hand, Isaac Newton, Johannes Kepler, John von Neumann, Kickstarter, Large Hadron Collider, machine translation, Neil Armstrong, Nick Bostrom, nuclear winter, pattern recognition, quantum entanglement, RAND corporation, Ray Kurzweil, RFID, Richard Feynman, Schrödinger's Cat, Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence, silicon-based life, speech recognition, stem cell, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, Turing test

The scale is totally different—and yet even with this very limited “brain,” neural networks can work very well on small, focused areas of apparent intelligence, gaining a form of expertise as they pass through the learning process. Neural networks often prove effective where a traditional programming set of rules fails, particularly where pattern recognition (so important in vision) is involved. It is clear now (though it wasn’t in the 1960s) that a pure rule-based approach could never deliver a computer with Hal’s abilities and that it would require some equivalent of a neural network approach, combined with many other structures and methods.


pages: 319 words: 89,477

The Power of Pull: How Small Moves, Smartly Made, Can Set Big Things in Motion by John Hagel Iii, John Seely Brown

Albert Einstein, Andrew Keen, barriers to entry, Black Swan, business process, call centre, Clayton Christensen, clean tech, cloud computing, commoditize, corporate governance, creative destruction, disruptive innovation, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, future of work, game design, George Gilder, intangible asset, Isaac Newton, job satisfaction, Joi Ito, knowledge economy, knowledge worker, loose coupling, Louis Pasteur, Malcom McLean invented shipping containers, Marc Benioff, Maui Hawaii, medical residency, Network effects, old-boy network, packet switching, pattern recognition, peer-to-peer, pre–internet, profit motive, recommendation engine, Ronald Coase, Salesforce, shareholder value, Silicon Valley, Skype, smart transportation, software as a service, supply-chain management, tacit knowledge, The Nature of the Firm, the new new thing, the strength of weak ties, too big to fail, trade liberalization, transaction costs, TSMC, Yochai Benkler

Interweaving herself among them, Ellen helps them take a piece of this, and mix it with a bit of that, to see if something new emerges. What would happen if she introduced the broadcast executive to the woman running the charity? How about connecting the Stanford professor with the lobbyist? And so on. Ellen Levy is practicing pull, using the approaches we described in Chapter 3: deep listening, beacon sending, pattern recognition, surface exposure, and, above all, a passion for new ideas and gifted people. What makes all of this work, and makes it very different from traditional forms of networking, is Ellen’s focus. In the old days, networking was all about meeting people who could help you advance in your own career.


pages: 294 words: 96,661

The Fourth Age: Smart Robots, Conscious Computers, and the Future of Humanity by Byron Reese

"World Economic Forum" Davos, agricultural Revolution, AI winter, Apollo 11, artificial general intelligence, basic income, bread and circuses, Buckminster Fuller, business cycle, business process, Charles Babbage, Claude Shannon: information theory, clean water, cognitive bias, computer age, CRISPR, crowdsourcing, dark matter, DeepMind, Edward Jenner, Elon Musk, Eratosthenes, estate planning, financial independence, first square of the chessboard, first square of the chessboard / second half of the chessboard, flying shuttle, full employment, Hans Moravec, Hans Rosling, income inequality, invention of agriculture, invention of movable type, invention of the printing press, invention of writing, Isaac Newton, Islamic Golden Age, James Hargreaves, job automation, Johannes Kepler, John Maynard Keynes: Economic Possibilities for our Grandchildren, John Maynard Keynes: technological unemployment, John von Neumann, Kevin Kelly, lateral thinking, life extension, Louis Pasteur, low interest rates, low skilled workers, manufacturing employment, Marc Andreessen, Mark Zuckerberg, Marshall McLuhan, Mary Lou Jepsen, Moravec's paradox, Nick Bostrom, On the Revolutions of the Heavenly Spheres, OpenAI, pattern recognition, profit motive, quantum entanglement, radical life extension, Ray Kurzweil, recommendation engine, Rodney Brooks, Sam Altman, self-driving car, seminal paper, Silicon Valley, Skype, spinning jenny, Stephen Hawking, Steve Wozniak, Steven Pinker, strong AI, technological singularity, TED Talk, telepresence, telepresence robot, The Future of Employment, the scientific method, Timothy McVeigh, Turing machine, Turing test, universal basic income, Von Neumann architecture, Wall-E, warehouse robotics, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, women in the workforce, working poor, Works Progress Administration, Y Combinator

But because one person can do those ten thousand things and another person can do those ten thousand things—and knows about estate planning—we say one is low skilled and one is high skilled. But this is not the case, as they both have 99 percent or more of the same skills. There is little difference from the computer’s point of view between a doctor and a dockworker. Each requires great pattern recognition, a huge amount of social context, and inductive and deductive reasoning. Further, each requires that you can interpret your own sensory inputs, speak a language fluently, turn a doorknob, and tie your own shoes. The ship’s captain explaining his cargo manifest to a dockworker isn’t all that different from a patient explaining his ailment to a doctor.


High-Frequency Trading by David Easley, Marcos López de Prado, Maureen O'Hara

algorithmic trading, asset allocation, backtesting, Bear Stearns, Brownian motion, capital asset pricing model, computer vision, continuous double auction, dark matter, discrete time, finite state, fixed income, Flash crash, High speed trading, index arbitrage, information asymmetry, interest rate swap, Large Hadron Collider, latency arbitrage, margin call, market design, market fragmentation, market fundamentalism, market microstructure, martingale, National best bid and offer, natural language processing, offshore financial centre, pattern recognition, power law, price discovery process, price discrimination, price stability, proprietary trading, quantitative trading / quantitative finance, random walk, Sharpe ratio, statistical arbitrage, statistical model, stochastic process, Tobin tax, transaction costs, two-sided market, yield curve

Because you are so much in the dark, you proceed carefully, and strategically. These comments are just as apt in 2013 as they were in 1988, except that in 2013 the concern about front-running is mainly a worry about being sniffed out by algorithmic traders. Some algorithms use sophisticated forecasting and pattern recognition techniques to predict future order flow and thus future price changes. To the extent that the slicing and dicing of large institutional orders into many smaller trades leaves a footprint in the data, algorithms may attempt to identify and trade ahead of these large institutional orders. Any such order anticipation could increase the transitory impact of a large order and thereby increase its overall cost.


pages: 344 words: 94,332

The 100-Year Life: Living and Working in an Age of Longevity by Lynda Gratton, Andrew Scott

"World Economic Forum" Davos, 3D printing, Airbnb, asset light, assortative mating, behavioural economics, carbon footprint, carbon tax, classic study, Clayton Christensen, collapse of Lehman Brothers, creative destruction, crowdsourcing, deep learning, delayed gratification, disruptive innovation, diversification, Downton Abbey, driverless car, Erik Brynjolfsson, falling living standards, financial engineering, financial independence, first square of the chessboard, first square of the chessboard / second half of the chessboard, future of work, gender pay gap, gig economy, Google Glasses, indoor plumbing, information retrieval, intangible asset, Isaac Newton, job satisfaction, longitudinal study, low skilled workers, Lyft, Nelson Mandela, Network effects, New Economic Geography, old age dependency ratio, pattern recognition, pension reform, Peter Thiel, Ray Kurzweil, Richard Florida, Richard Thaler, risk free rate, Second Machine Age, sharing economy, Sheryl Sandberg, side project, Silicon Valley, smart cities, Stanford marshmallow experiment, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, tacit knowledge, The Future of Employment, uber lyft, warehouse robotics, women in the workforce, young professional

With the innovations associated with the dramatic increase in low-cost computational power, it is now possible to develop driverless cars. When this happens it will threaten a significant number of jobs in the logistics industry. Diagnosing medical conditions is another routine task which has required knowledge and pattern recognition skills that have to date proved beyond computers. However, yet again, the implications of the second half of the chessboard is that this is no longer the case. Famously IBM’s supercomputer Watson is now performing oncology diagnosis. As computing power increases, so the hollowing out of the labour market accelerates.


pages: 375 words: 88,306

The Sharing Economy: The End of Employment and the Rise of Crowd-Based Capitalism by Arun Sundararajan

"World Economic Forum" Davos, additive manufacturing, Airbnb, AltaVista, Amazon Mechanical Turk, asset light, autonomous vehicles, barriers to entry, basic income, benefit corporation, bike sharing, bitcoin, blockchain, book value, Burning Man, call centre, Carl Icahn, collaborative consumption, collaborative economy, collective bargaining, commoditize, commons-based peer production, corporate social responsibility, cryptocurrency, data science, David Graeber, distributed ledger, driverless car, Eben Moglen, employer provided health coverage, Erik Brynjolfsson, Ethereum, ethereum blockchain, Frank Levy and Richard Murnane: The New Division of Labor, future of work, general purpose technology, George Akerlof, gig economy, housing crisis, Howard Rheingold, independent contractor, information asymmetry, Internet of things, inventory management, invisible hand, job automation, job-hopping, John Zimmer (Lyft cofounder), Kickstarter, knowledge worker, Kula ring, Lyft, Marc Andreessen, Mary Meeker, megacity, minimum wage unemployment, moral hazard, moral panic, Network effects, new economy, Oculus Rift, off-the-grid, pattern recognition, peer-to-peer, peer-to-peer lending, peer-to-peer model, peer-to-peer rental, profit motive, public intellectual, purchasing power parity, race to the bottom, recommendation engine, regulatory arbitrage, rent control, Richard Florida, ride hailing / ride sharing, Robert Gordon, Ronald Coase, Ross Ulbricht, Second Machine Age, self-driving car, sharing economy, Silicon Valley, smart contracts, Snapchat, social software, supply-chain management, TaskRabbit, TED Talk, the long tail, The Nature of the Firm, total factor productivity, transaction costs, transportation-network company, two-sided market, Uber and Lyft, Uber for X, uber lyft, universal basic income, Vitalik Buterin, WeWork, Yochai Benkler, Zipcar

The Second Machine Age builds on a book by the economists Frank Levy and Richard Murnane about the human–computer tradeoff in the labor market.15 Levy and Murnane examine, in detail, what tasks computers perform better than humans, and what tasks humans perform better than computers. They draw a broad conclusion—that computers have inherent advantages in tasks like rule-based decision making and simple pattern recognition, but digitization makes two kinds of tasks (complex communication and expert thinking) more valuable—and prescribe that humans acquire the skills that enable them to take on jobs involving such tasks. McAfee and Brynjolfsson argue however, that computers are in fact on the verge of surpassing humans at some of the tasks that Levy and Murnane contend humans would continue to dominate.


pages: 378 words: 94,468

Drugs 2.0: The Web Revolution That's Changing How the World Gets High by Mike Power

air freight, Alexander Shulgin, banking crisis, bitcoin, blockchain, Buckminster Fuller, Burning Man, cloud computing, credit crunch, crowdsourcing, death of newspapers, Donald Davies, double helix, Douglas Engelbart, drug harm reduction, Electric Kool-Aid Acid Test, fiat currency, Firefox, Fractional reserve banking, frictionless, fulfillment center, Haight Ashbury, independent contractor, John Bercow, John Gilmore, John Markoff, Kevin Kelly, Leonard Kleinrock, means of production, Menlo Park, moral panic, Mother of all demos, Network effects, nuclear paranoia, packet switching, pattern recognition, PIHKAL and TIHKAL, pre–internet, QR code, RAND corporation, Satoshi Nakamoto, selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor (SSRI), sexual politics, Skype, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, Stewart Brand, trade route, Whole Earth Catalog, Zimmermann PGP

‘Not a bad deal! Of course not all of the pennies will be 95 per cent copper, but the portion of 95 per cent copper pennies in the box have the proportional gain,’ he told me. ‘I have to sort the copper pennies from the zinc pennies and I have designed a system to automate the sorting based on pattern recognition of metal composition. So I use technology to sort and reach a scale of efficiency that makes the process profitable. In my opinion, fiat currencies are doomed simply because of the deception involved. As the populace is educated (and it looks like that education is about to be painfully forced on the masses – look at Greece) it will be a force of nature – the destruction of the fiat model.


pages: 336 words: 93,672

The Future of the Brain: Essays by the World's Leading Neuroscientists by Gary Marcus, Jeremy Freeman

23andMe, Albert Einstein, backpropagation, bioinformatics, bitcoin, brain emulation, cloud computing, complexity theory, computer age, computer vision, conceptual framework, correlation does not imply causation, crowdsourcing, dark matter, data acquisition, data science, deep learning, Drosophila, epigenetics, Geoffrey Hinton, global pandemic, Google Glasses, ITER tokamak, iterative process, language acquisition, linked data, mouse model, optical character recognition, pattern recognition, personalized medicine, phenotype, race to the bottom, Richard Feynman, Ronald Reagan, semantic web, speech recognition, stem cell, Steven Pinker, supply-chain management, synthetic biology, tacit knowledge, traumatic brain injury, Turing machine, twin studies, web application

A few of the main challenges of building a microscale mammalian connectome today include: the data collection would take years given current technology; annotation tools are insufficient to fully delineate and extract information at a neuronal scale; and, not least, the algorithms necessary to map relevant connections and build the connectivity graphs are not yet fully developed. To address these machine-vision and image-processing issues, the Open Connectome Project (openconnectome.org) is a crowd-sourcing initiative to meet this challenge. Finally, statistical graph theory is an emerging discipline that is developing sophisticated pattern recognition and inference tools to parse these brain graphs. The Future Brain Development of large-scale brain atlases is now a major undertaking in neuroscience. While it may not be possible to systematically map each of the one hundred billion neurons any time soon in any given individual brain, modern mapping techniques are providing atlases of remarkable resolution and functionality.


pages: 305 words: 93,091

The Art of Invisibility: The World's Most Famous Hacker Teaches You How to Be Safe in the Age of Big Brother and Big Data by Kevin Mitnick, Mikko Hypponen, Robert Vamosi

4chan, big-box store, bitcoin, Bletchley Park, blockchain, connected car, crowdsourcing, data science, Edward Snowden, en.wikipedia.org, end-to-end encryption, evil maid attack, Firefox, Google Chrome, Google Earth, incognito mode, information security, Internet of things, Kickstarter, Laura Poitras, license plate recognition, Mark Zuckerberg, MITM: man-in-the-middle, off-the-grid, operational security, pattern recognition, ransomware, Ross Ulbricht, Salesforce, self-driving car, Silicon Valley, Skype, Snapchat, speech recognition, Tesla Model S, web application, WikiLeaks, zero day, Zimmermann PGP

Also, some US states have used their motor vehicle departments’ photo databases to identify suspects in criminal cases. But those are fancy state-based operations. What could a lone academic do? Acquisti and his fellow researchers wanted to see how much image-derived information about a person could be cross-referenced online. To find out they used a facial recognition technology called Pittsburgh Pattern Recognition, or PittPatt, now owned by Google. The algorithms used in PittPatt have been licensed to various security companies and government institutions. Shortly after the acquisition, Google went on record about its intentions: “As we’ve said for over a year, we won’t add face recognition to Google unless we can figure out a strong privacy model for it.


pages: 340 words: 90,674

The Perfect Police State: An Undercover Odyssey Into China's Terrifying Surveillance Dystopia of the Future by Geoffrey Cain

airport security, Alan Greenspan, AlphaGo, anti-communist, Bellingcat, Berlin Wall, Black Lives Matter, Citizen Lab, cloud computing, commoditize, computer vision, coronavirus, COVID-19, deep learning, DeepMind, Deng Xiaoping, Edward Snowden, European colonialism, fake news, Geoffrey Hinton, George Floyd, ghettoisation, global supply chain, Kickstarter, land reform, lockdown, mass immigration, military-industrial complex, Nelson Mandela, Panopticon Jeremy Bentham, pattern recognition, phenotype, pirate software, post-truth, purchasing power parity, QR code, RAND corporation, Ray Kurzweil, ride hailing / ride sharing, Right to Buy, self-driving car, sharing economy, Silicon Valley, Skype, smart cities, South China Sea, speech recognition, TikTok, Tim Cook: Apple, trade liberalization, trade route, undersea cable, WikiLeaks

For years, AI engineers had believed Go was so hopelessly complex—it has 361 pieces—that it would be impossible to write a software program that could win over a human. The number of possible positions on the board exceeded the number of atoms in the known universe, requiring incredible computing power and pattern recognition.31 Google, which had been investing in AI since its founding in 1998,32 bought the start-up DeepMind in early 2014. And DeepMind, founded by three brilliant technologists including a child chess prodigy, made an AI software program called AlphaGo.33 Its programmers wanted to see if AlphaGo could learn to play this incredibly complex game on its own, without a human hand.


pages: 316 words: 94,886

Decisive: How to Make Better Choices in Life and Work by Chip Heath, Dan Heath

behavioural economics, billion-dollar mistake, call centre, Captain Sullenberger Hudson, Cass Sunstein, classic study, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, en.wikipedia.org, endowment effect, Great Leap Forward, hindsight bias, index fund, it is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it, job satisfaction, Kevin Kelly, loss aversion, Max Levchin, medical residency, mental accounting, meta-analysis, Mikhail Gorbachev, PalmPilot, Paradox of Choice, pattern recognition, Peter Thiel, pets.com, Richard Thaler, Ronald Reagan, shareholder value, Silicon Valley, unpaid internship, Upton Sinclair, US Airways Flight 1549, young professional

The most important tripwire requires nurses to call for help when they are worried about a patient. It’s a little fuzzy, a little subjective. As a result, the rapid-response team members can’t predict when they’ll hit that tripwire or how many times they’ll trip it. These tripwires aren’t tripped by clear-cut measures like budgets or dates or partitions; they’re tripped by pattern recognition. This is an important distinction, because in many organizations, pattern matching is the skill that leaders desperately want their employees to have. They want their employees to be alert for threats and opportunities in the environment. They would like employees to recognize the pattern when they see it pop up and to feel that they have permission to act when it does.


The Internet Trap: How the Digital Economy Builds Monopolies and Undermines Democracy by Matthew Hindman

A Declaration of the Independence of Cyberspace, accounting loophole / creative accounting, activist fund / activist shareholder / activist investor, AltaVista, Amazon Web Services, barriers to entry, Benjamin Mako Hill, bounce rate, business logic, Cambridge Analytica, cloud computing, computer vision, creative destruction, crowdsourcing, David Ricardo: comparative advantage, death of newspapers, deep learning, DeepMind, digital divide, discovery of DNA, disinformation, Donald Trump, fake news, fault tolerance, Filter Bubble, Firefox, future of journalism, Ida Tarbell, incognito mode, informal economy, information retrieval, invention of the telescope, Jeff Bezos, John Perry Barlow, John von Neumann, Joseph Schumpeter, lake wobegon effect, large denomination, longitudinal study, loose coupling, machine translation, Marc Andreessen, Mark Zuckerberg, Metcalfe’s law, natural language processing, Netflix Prize, Network effects, New Economic Geography, New Journalism, pattern recognition, peer-to-peer, Pepsi Challenge, performance metric, power law, price discrimination, recommendation engine, Robert Metcalfe, search costs, selection bias, Silicon Valley, Skype, sparse data, speech recognition, Stewart Brand, surveillance capitalism, technoutopianism, Ted Nelson, The Chicago School, the long tail, The Soul of a New Machine, Thomas Malthus, web application, Whole Earth Catalog, Yochai Benkler

As Netflix had hoped, one of the largest single improvements came from an unlikely source. In early December 2006, participants were surprised to see the name Simon Funk jump to third place on the leaderboard. Simon Funk was the pseudonym of Brandynn Webb, a computer scientist who had worked on artificial intelligence and pattern recognition. The Politics of Personalization • 45 While many teams were highly secretive about their methods, Funk explained his entire approach in a detailed blog post.16 Funk had applied a factor analysis technique called singular value decomposition (svd) to the Netflix data. svd modeled the millions of movie ratings as the sum of a (smaller) number of unknown variables.


pages: 362 words: 87,462

Laziness Does Not Exist by Devon Price

Affordable Care Act / Obamacare, call centre, coronavirus, COVID-19, data science, demand response, Donald Trump, emotional labour, fake news, financial independence, Firefox, gamification, gig economy, Google Chrome, helicopter parent, impulse control, Jean Tirole, job automation, job satisfaction, Lyft, meta-analysis, Minecraft, New Journalism, off-the-grid, pattern recognition, prosperity theology / prosperity gospel / gospel of success, randomized controlled trial, remote working, Saturday Night Live, selection bias, side hustle, side project, Silicon Valley, social distancing, strikebreaker, TaskRabbit, TikTok, traumatic brain injury, uber lyft, working poor

They are: Your worth is your productivity. You cannot trust your own feelings and limits. There is always more you could be doing. How do we get indoctrinated with the Laziness Lie? For the most part, parents don’t sit their kids down and feed them these principles. Instead, people absorb them through years of observation and pattern recognition. When a parent tells their child not to give a homeless person money because that homeless person is too “lazy” to deserve it, the seed of the Laziness Lie is planted in the kid’s brain. When a TV show depicts a disabled person somehow “overcoming” their disability through sheer willpower rather than by receiving the accommodations they deserve, the Laziness Lie grows a bit stronger.


pages: 332 words: 93,672

Life After Google: The Fall of Big Data and the Rise of the Blockchain Economy by George Gilder

23andMe, Airbnb, Alan Turing: On Computable Numbers, with an Application to the Entscheidungsproblem, Albert Einstein, AlphaGo, AltaVista, Amazon Web Services, AOL-Time Warner, Asilomar, augmented reality, Ben Horowitz, bitcoin, Bitcoin Ponzi scheme, Bletchley Park, blockchain, Bob Noyce, British Empire, Brownian motion, Burning Man, business process, butterfly effect, carbon footprint, cellular automata, Claude Shannon: information theory, Clayton Christensen, cloud computing, computer age, computer vision, crony capitalism, cross-subsidies, cryptocurrency, Danny Hillis, decentralized internet, deep learning, DeepMind, Demis Hassabis, disintermediation, distributed ledger, don't be evil, Donald Knuth, Donald Trump, double entry bookkeeping, driverless car, Elon Musk, Erik Brynjolfsson, Ethereum, ethereum blockchain, fake news, fault tolerance, fiat currency, Firefox, first square of the chessboard, first square of the chessboard / second half of the chessboard, floating exchange rates, Fractional reserve banking, game design, Geoffrey Hinton, George Gilder, Google Earth, Google Glasses, Google Hangouts, index fund, inflation targeting, informal economy, initial coin offering, Internet of things, Isaac Newton, iterative process, Jaron Lanier, Jeff Bezos, Jim Simons, Joan Didion, John Markoff, John von Neumann, Julian Assange, Kevin Kelly, Law of Accelerating Returns, machine translation, Marc Andreessen, Mark Zuckerberg, Mary Meeker, means of production, Menlo Park, Metcalfe’s law, Money creation, money: store of value / unit of account / medium of exchange, move fast and break things, Neal Stephenson, Network effects, new economy, Nick Bostrom, Norbert Wiener, Oculus Rift, OSI model, PageRank, pattern recognition, Paul Graham, peer-to-peer, Peter Thiel, Ponzi scheme, prediction markets, quantitative easing, random walk, ransomware, Ray Kurzweil, reality distortion field, Recombinant DNA, Renaissance Technologies, Robert Mercer, Robert Metcalfe, Ronald Coase, Ross Ulbricht, Ruby on Rails, Sand Hill Road, Satoshi Nakamoto, Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence, self-driving car, sharing economy, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley ideology, Silicon Valley startup, Singularitarianism, Skype, smart contracts, Snapchat, Snow Crash, software is eating the world, sorting algorithm, South Sea Bubble, speech recognition, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, Steven Levy, Stewart Brand, stochastic process, Susan Wojcicki, TED Talk, telepresence, Tesla Model S, The Soul of a New Machine, theory of mind, Tim Cook: Apple, transaction costs, tulip mania, Turing complete, Turing machine, Vernor Vinge, Vitalik Buterin, Von Neumann architecture, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, WikiLeaks, Y Combinator, zero-sum game

In a massively parallel spread like Dally’s J-machine, the memory is always close to the processor. Twenty-six years later, Dally and Jouppi are still at it. At the August 2017 Hot Chips in Cupertino, all the big guys were touting their own chips for what they call “deep learning,” the fashionable Silicon Valley term for the massive acceleration of multi-layered pattern recognition, correlation, and correction tied to feedback that results in a cumulative gain in performance. What they call “learning” originated in earlier ventures in AI. Guess, measure the error, adjust the answer, feed it back are the canonical steps followed in Google’s data centers, enabling such applications as Google Translate, Google Soundwriter, Google Maps, Google Assistant, Waymo cars, search, Google Now, and so on, in real time.4 As recently as 2012, Google was still struggling with the difference between dogs and cats.


pages: 335 words: 94,578

Spectrum Women: Walking to the Beat of Autism by Barb Cook, Samantha Craft

Asperger Syndrome, autism spectrum disorder, cuban missile crisis, en.wikipedia.org, epigenetics, financial independence, Kickstarter, labor-force participation, longitudinal study, Maui Hawaii, neurotypical, off-the-grid, pattern recognition, phenotype, rolodex, seminal paper, sexual politics, theory of mind, women in the workforce

They may even become angry and uncooperative (Autism Spectrum Australia, 2017). Dyscalculia Dyscalculia is defined as a failure to achieve in mathematics commensurate with chronological age, normal intelligence, and adequate instruction. It is marked by difficulties with visualization, visual-spatial perception, processing and discrimination, counting, pattern recognition, sequential memory, working memory for numbers, retrieval of learned facts and procedures, directional confusion, quantitative processing speed, kinesthetic sequences, and perception of time. Dyscalculia is known by several terms: • specific learning disability/disorder in mathematics • math learning disability • developmental dyscalculia • acalculia • Gerstmann’s syndrome • math dyslexia • math anxiety • numerical impairment • number agnosia • non-verbal learning disorder.


pages: 798 words: 240,182

The Transhumanist Reader by Max More, Natasha Vita-More

"World Economic Forum" Davos, 23andMe, Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic, artificial general intelligence, augmented reality, Bill Joy: nanobots, bioinformatics, brain emulation, Buckminster Fuller, cellular automata, clean water, cloud computing, cognitive bias, cognitive dissonance, combinatorial explosion, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, conceptual framework, Conway's Game of Life, cosmological principle, data acquisition, discovery of DNA, Douglas Engelbart, Drosophila, en.wikipedia.org, endogenous growth, experimental subject, Extropian, fault tolerance, Flynn Effect, Francis Fukuyama: the end of history, Frank Gehry, friendly AI, Future Shock, game design, germ theory of disease, Hans Moravec, hypertext link, impulse control, index fund, John von Neumann, joint-stock company, Kevin Kelly, Law of Accelerating Returns, life extension, lifelogging, Louis Pasteur, Menlo Park, meta-analysis, moral hazard, Network effects, Nick Bostrom, Norbert Wiener, pattern recognition, Pepto Bismol, phenotype, positional goods, power law, precautionary principle, prediction markets, presumed consent, Project Xanadu, public intellectual, radical life extension, Ray Kurzweil, reversible computing, RFID, Ronald Reagan, scientific worldview, silicon-based life, Singularitarianism, social intelligence, stem cell, stochastic process, superintelligent machines, supply-chain management, supply-chain management software, synthetic biology, systems thinking, technological determinism, technological singularity, Ted Nelson, telepresence, telepresence robot, telerobotics, the built environment, The Coming Technological Singularity, the scientific method, The Wisdom of Crowds, transaction costs, Turing machine, Turing test, Upton Sinclair, Vernor Vinge, Von Neumann architecture, VTOL, Whole Earth Review, women in the workforce, zero-sum game

It’s the third requirement that concerns me; the neurotransmitter concentrations, which are contained in structures that are finer yet than the interneuronal connections. These are, in my view, also critical aspects of the brain’s learning process. We see the analogue of the ­neurotransmitter concentrations in the simplified neural net models that I use routinely in my pattern recognition work, The learning of the net is reflected in the connection weights as well as the connection topology (some neural net methods allow for self-organization of the ­topology, some do not, but all provide for self-organization of the weights). Without the weights, the net has no competence. If the very-fine-resolution neurotransmitter concentrations are not identifiable, the ­downside is not equivalent to merely an amnesia patient who has lost his memory of his name, profession, family members, etc.

If we estimate that this ‘professional’ knowledge represents as little as 1 percent of the overall pattern and knowledge store of a human, we arrive at an estimate of 107 chunks. Based on my own experience in designing systems that can store similar chunks of knowledge in either rule-based expert systems or self-organizing pattern-recognition systems, a reasonable estimate is about 106 bits per chunk (pattern or item of knowledge), for a total capacity of 1013 (10 trillion) bits for a human’s functional memory. … [W]e will be able to purchase 1013 bits of memory for one thousand dollars by around 2018. Keep in mind that this memory will be millions of times faster than the electrochemical memory process used in the human brain and thus will be far more effective.


pages: 410 words: 101,260

Originals: How Non-Conformists Move the World by Adam Grant

"World Economic Forum" Davos, Abraham Maslow, Albert Einstein, Apple's 1984 Super Bowl advert, availability heuristic, barriers to entry, behavioural economics, Bluma Zeigarnik, business process, business process outsourcing, Cass Sunstein, classic study, clean water, cognitive dissonance, creative destruction, cuban missile crisis, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, Dean Kamen, double helix, Elon Musk, emotional labour, fear of failure, Firefox, George Santayana, Ignaz Semmelweis: hand washing, information security, Jeff Bezos, Jeff Hawkins, job satisfaction, job-hopping, Joseph Schumpeter, Kevin Roose, Kickstarter, Lean Startup, Louis Pasteur, Mahatma Gandhi, Mark Zuckerberg, meta-analysis, minimum viable product, Neil Armstrong, Nelson Mandela, Network effects, off-the-grid, PalmPilot, pattern recognition, Paul Graham, Peter Thiel, Ralph Waldo Emerson, random walk, risk tolerance, Rosa Parks, Saturday Night Live, Sheryl Sandberg, Silicon Valley, Skype, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, Steven Pinker, TED Talk, The Wisdom of Crowds, women in the workforce

If you’re the proud owner of several designer handbags, the less time you have to inspect them, the more accurate your judgments. Experienced handbag owners were 22 percent more accurate when they had just five seconds than when they had thirty seconds. When you’ve spent years studying handbags, intuition can beat analysis, because your unconscious mind excels at pattern recognition. If you stop and take the time to think, it’s easy to lose the forest in the trees. If you don’t know anything about handbags, however, your intuition isn’t going to help you. In dealing with unfamiliar products, you need to take a step back and assess them. Non-experts make sounder judgments when they conduct a thorough analysis.


pages: 339 words: 99,674

Pay Any Price: Greed, Power, and Endless War by James Risen

air freight, airport security, banking crisis, clean water, drone strike, Edward Snowden, greed is good, illegal immigration, income inequality, independent contractor, large denomination, Michael Milken, military-industrial complex, Occupy movement, off-the-grid, pattern recognition, pre–internet, RAND corporation, Seymour Hersh, Silicon Valley, Stanford prison experiment, Stuxnet, too big to fail, traumatic brain injury, WikiLeaks

Warren Trepp later told a court that Montgomery had given him a demonstration of his software’s ability to identify patterns and images in a video of the 1939 black-and-white classic Gunga Din. But after failing to strike it big in Hollywood, Montgomery and Trepp shifted their focus to the casino industry in Reno and Las Vegas. Montgomery later bragged that he had developed pattern recognition software specifically for casinos that could help identify cheaters. He even claimed he had technology that could identify high-value chips inside piles of chips on gaming tables, to detect when dealers tried to steal from the casinos by slipping valuable chips to friends. Montgomery also said he had developed video compression software that would allow casinos to more easily store thousands of hours of surveillance tapes, rather than erase all of their old footage.


pages: 299 words: 99,080

The Soul of a New Machine by Tracy Kidder

carbon-based life, Jarndyce and Jarndyce, Mason jar, military-industrial complex, Multics, Norbert Wiener, pattern recognition, post-industrial society, silicon-based life

"It wasn't a bad little box at all." He felt gratitude toward that first processor, because it enabled him to graduate magna cum laude. Rosen went on to Northwestern, to earn his master's degree in electrical engineering. He spent his summers building electronic gear. While still in school, he built a pattern recognition processor for Fermi Labs, worked on an earth station for Fairchild Space and Electronics, and designed a signal processor, also for Fairchild. Data General recruited Rosen by promising him interesting work, and he got it. The first truly commercial product he designed was something known as a cluster controller, a kind of computer terminal, which he called Hydra.


pages: 327 words: 102,361

Among Schoolchildren by Tracy Kidder

always be closing, desegregation, index card, pattern recognition, Ronald Reagan, upwardly mobile, urban renewal, W. E. B. Du Bois, white picket fence

She tried to cultivate a friendship between Felipe and Miguel, but the match failed. She had gotten a piece of good but disquieting news: Pedro had been tested at last. On an inspired hunch, the psychologist had given Pedro a test often administered to stroke victims who have lost their language, a sophisticated test involving pattern recognition. Pedro, the boy who could hardly read or speak, had scored in the near-genius range. Told for perhaps the first time in his life that he was smart, Pedro said, "Sometime I know things and I can't say them." Chris had stared at the doorway. "What have I done for him? He just vegetated in my room."


All About Asset Allocation, Second Edition by Richard Ferri

activist fund / activist shareholder / activist investor, Alan Greenspan, asset allocation, asset-backed security, barriers to entry, Bear Stearns, Bernie Madoff, Black Monday: stock market crash in 1987, book value, buy and hold, capital controls, commoditize, commodity trading advisor, correlation coefficient, currency risk, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, diversification, diversified portfolio, equity premium, equity risk premium, estate planning, financial independence, fixed income, full employment, high net worth, Home mortgage interest deduction, implied volatility, index fund, intangible asset, inverted yield curve, John Bogle, junk bonds, Long Term Capital Management, low interest rates, managed futures, Mason jar, money market fund, mortgage tax deduction, passive income, pattern recognition, random walk, Richard Thaler, risk free rate, risk tolerance, risk-adjusted returns, risk/return, Robert Shiller, selection bias, Sharpe ratio, stock buybacks, stocks for the long run, survivorship bias, too big to fail, transaction costs, Vanguard fund, yield curve

., European, and Pacific Rim Stocks S&P 500 European Index Pacific Rim Index 1985 32.2 75.1 30.3 1986 18.5 42.7 74.1 1987 5.2 13.4 23.7 1988 16.8 15.4 33.0 1989 31.5 26.9 8.9 1990 –3.2 –1.0 –23.1 1991 30.6 14.7 22.9 1992 7.7 –3.6 –7.1 1993 10.0 29.5 53.1 1994 1.3 2.4 3.8 1995 37.4 22.6 7.1 1996 23.1 23.9 2.8 1997 33.4 21.8 –27.2 1998 28.6 24.5 –0.5 1999 21.0 19.2 52.5 2000 –9.1 –10.1 –21.6 2001 –11.9 –18.8 –19.4 2002 –22.1 –17.2 –7.9 2003 28.7 39.0 41.6 2004 10.9 21.7 22.8 2005 4.9 10.4 20.2 2006 15.8 34.6 19.7 2007 5.5 12.3 13.8 2008 –37.0 –47.3 –39.6 2009 26.5 35.8 24.2 CHAPTER 4 70 U.S. dollars from the three global areas: the United States, Europe, and the Pacific Rim. The shaded cell represents the geographical region that had the highest-returning index for that year. The region of the world with the highest return varies over time. There is no pattern recognition or formula that can be used to predict the region that will outperform next. Allocating assets across these three regions has been a good strategy. It created a better risk-adjusted return than having only U.S. equities. Figure 4-2 shows a risk-and-return diagram for U.S. stocks and international stocks using 10 percent increments, starting with no international stocks on the left side and ending with only international stocks on the right side.


Language and Mind by Noam Chomsky

Alfred Russel Wallace, classic study, finite state, Great Leap Forward, John von Neumann, language acquisition, lateral thinking, machine translation, pattern recognition, phenotype, tacit knowledge, theory of mind

Still more clearly to the point, I think, are the developments in comparative ethology over the past thirty years, and certain current work in experimental and physiological psychology. One can cite many examples: for example, in the 22 23 24 For a discussion of such systems and their limitations, see M. Minsky and S. Papert, Perceptions and Pattern Recognition, Artificial Intelligence Memo No. 140, MAC-M-358, Project MAC, Cambridge, Mass., September 1967. See E. H. Lenneberg, Biological Foundations of Language (New York: Wiley, 1967). My contribution to this volume, “The Formal Nature of Language,” appears as the fifth paper in this book. See J. Mehler and T.


pages: 327 words: 103,336

Everything Is Obvious: *Once You Know the Answer by Duncan J. Watts

"World Economic Forum" Davos, active measures, affirmative action, Albert Einstein, Amazon Mechanical Turk, AOL-Time Warner, Bear Stearns, behavioural economics, Black Swan, business cycle, butterfly effect, carbon credits, Carmen Reinhart, Cass Sunstein, clockwork universe, cognitive dissonance, coherent worldview, collapse of Lehman Brothers, complexity theory, correlation does not imply causation, crowdsourcing, death of newspapers, discovery of DNA, East Village, easy for humans, difficult for computers, edge city, en.wikipedia.org, Erik Brynjolfsson, framing effect, Future Shock, Geoffrey West, Santa Fe Institute, George Santayana, happiness index / gross national happiness, Herman Kahn, high batting average, hindsight bias, illegal immigration, industrial cluster, interest rate swap, invention of the printing press, invention of the telescope, invisible hand, Isaac Newton, Jane Jacobs, Jeff Bezos, Joseph Schumpeter, Kenneth Rogoff, lake wobegon effect, Laplace demon, Long Term Capital Management, loss aversion, medical malpractice, meta-analysis, Milgram experiment, natural language processing, Netflix Prize, Network effects, oil shock, packet switching, pattern recognition, performance metric, phenotype, Pierre-Simon Laplace, planetary scale, prediction markets, pre–internet, RAND corporation, random walk, RFID, school choice, Silicon Valley, social contagion, social intelligence, statistical model, Steve Ballmer, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, supply-chain management, tacit knowledge, The Death and Life of Great American Cities, the scientific method, The Wisdom of Crowds, too big to fail, Toyota Production System, Tragedy of the Commons, ultimatum game, urban planning, Vincenzo Peruggia: Mona Lisa, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, X Prize

Bielby. 1994. “ ‘All Hits Are Flukes’: Institutionalized Decision Making and the Rhetoric of Network Prime-Time Program Development.” American Journal of Sociology 99 (5):1287–313. Bishop, Bill. 2008. The Big Sort: Why the Clustering of Like-Minded America Is Tearing Us Apart. New York: Houghton Mifflin. Bishop, Christopher M. 2006. Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning. New York: Springer. Black, Donald. 1979. “Common Sense in the Sociology of Law.” American Sociological Review 44 (1):18–27. Blass, Thomas. 2009. The Man Who Shocked the World: The Life and Legacy of Stanley Milgram. New York: PublicAffairs Books. Bollen, Johan, Alberto Pepe, and Huina Mao. 2009.


Possiplex by Ted Nelson

Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic, Bill Duvall, Brewster Kahle, Buckminster Fuller, Computer Lib, cuban missile crisis, Donald Knuth, Douglas Engelbart, Douglas Engelbart, Dr. Strangelove, Herman Kahn, HyperCard, Ivan Sutherland, Jaron Lanier, John Markoff, Kevin Kelly, Marc Andreessen, Marshall McLuhan, Murray Gell-Mann, nonsequential writing, pattern recognition, post-work, Project Xanadu, RAND corporation, reality distortion field, semantic web, Silicon Valley, Steve Jobs, Stewart Brand, Ted Nelson, Thomas Kuhn: the structure of scientific revolutions, Vannevar Bush, Zimmermann PGP

I don’t know if he could have done it or not. He was a swell kid. I didn’t know at the time that Doug Engelbart was doing the same thing, typing ASCII with a five-finger keyboard. How I wish we had built that, half a million notes ago. There is now little hope of getting my notes into digital form. (The tekkies imagine that pattern recognition can read my writing, and that voice recognition works. These are myths.) My design for the Walkie-Thinkie has gone through several variations since then. What’s important is to use standard components, not fiddle with specialized hardware. === 1963 (I was 25) ~ Making movies ~ THINKING ABOUT MY BREAKTHROUGH MOVIE, 1963 I was always planning my breakthrough movie, the low-budget feature that would get me backing for other movies (everybody knew the rules).* I had a script working, meant to be comedy-exploitation, called I Was a Teenage Beatnik, but that morphed into the idea for a comedy-horror to be called I Was a Teenage Beatnik Twist Monster.* * Note that "Blair Witch Project," successful in theaters, was done for a budget of essentially zero-shot with video cameras which they returned to get their money back.


pages: 364 words: 102,528

An Economist Gets Lunch: New Rules for Everyday Foodies by Tyler Cowen

agricultural Revolution, behavioural economics, big-box store, business climate, carbon footprint, carbon tax, cognitive bias, creative destruction, cross-subsidies, East Village, en.wikipedia.org, food miles, gentrification, guest worker program, haute cuisine, illegal immigration, informal economy, iterative process, mass immigration, oil shale / tar sands, out of africa, pattern recognition, Peter Singer: altruism, price discrimination, refrigerator car, tacit knowledge, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, Tyler Cowen, Tyler Cowen: Great Stagnation, Upton Sinclair, winner-take-all economy, women in the workforce

That’s another food vision you won’t find here. I like the optimism but I worry about the use of food as a mechanism for control. In fact this book is one way to take some control away from political elites or food elites. Most of all, my vision is about encouraging the individual diner and empowering him or her with some skills of pattern recognition and innovation. I believe that people can do a lot better in life by cutting through some socially engineered illusions. Most of all, figure out when a food presentation or sale is about the taste of the food or when the food presentation is about something else, like acquiring higher social status or feeling good about yourself.


Falter: Has the Human Game Begun to Play Itself Out? by Bill McKibben

"Hurricane Katrina" Superdome, 23andMe, Affordable Care Act / Obamacare, Airbnb, Alan Greenspan, American Legislative Exchange Council, An Inconvenient Truth, Anne Wojcicki, Anthropocene, Apollo 11, artificial general intelligence, Bernie Sanders, Bill Joy: nanobots, biodiversity loss, Burning Man, call centre, Cambridge Analytica, carbon footprint, carbon tax, Charles Lindbergh, clean water, Colonization of Mars, computer vision, CRISPR, David Attenborough, deep learning, DeepMind, degrowth, disinformation, Donald Trump, double helix, driverless car, Easter island, Edward Snowden, Elon Musk, ending welfare as we know it, energy transition, Extinction Rebellion, Flynn Effect, gigafactory, Google Earth, Great Leap Forward, green new deal, Greta Thunberg, Hyperloop, impulse control, income inequality, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), James Bridle, Jane Jacobs, Jaron Lanier, Jeff Bezos, job automation, Kim Stanley Robinson, life extension, light touch regulation, Mark Zuckerberg, mass immigration, megacity, Menlo Park, moral hazard, Naomi Klein, Neil Armstrong, Nelson Mandela, Nick Bostrom, obamacare, ocean acidification, off grid, oil shale / tar sands, paperclip maximiser, Paris climate accords, pattern recognition, Peter Thiel, plutocrats, profit motive, Ralph Waldo Emerson, Ray Kurzweil, Robert Mercer, Ronald Reagan, Sam Altman, San Francisco homelessness, self-driving car, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, smart meter, Snapchat, stem cell, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, Steven Pinker, strong AI, supervolcano, tech baron, tech billionaire, technoutopianism, TED Talk, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, traffic fines, Tragedy of the Commons, Travis Kalanick, Tyler Cowen, urban sprawl, Virgin Galactic, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, Y Combinator, Y2K, yield curve

Bricklayers, for instance: a sobering picture on the front page of the New York Times recently showed a bricklayer desperately racing like John Henry to match a $400,000 machine called SAM, for “semi-automated mason.”9 A pair of economists recently predicted that by 2033, there was a 99 percent chance that insurance underwriters would lose their jobs to computer programs. Sports referees faced a 98 percent risk of obsolescence, waiters a 94 percent chance, and so on. (Archaeologists were the safest, “because the job requires highly sophisticated types of pattern recognition, and doesn’t produce huge profits.”)10 Other researchers pointed out that the Rust Belt has already been so heavily automated that employment will actually drop less there than in places with big service industries. Number one: Las Vegas, which stands to lose 65 percent of its current jobs in the next two decades.11 So, if inequality worries you, just wait.


pages: 404 words: 95,163

Amazon: How the World’s Most Relentless Retailer Will Continue to Revolutionize Commerce by Natalie Berg, Miya Knights

3D printing, Adam Neumann (WeWork), Airbnb, Amazon Robotics, Amazon Web Services, asset light, augmented reality, Bernie Sanders, big-box store, business intelligence, cloud computing, Colonization of Mars, commoditize, computer vision, connected car, deep learning, DeepMind, digital divide, Donald Trump, Doomsday Clock, driverless car, electronic shelf labels (ESLs), Elon Musk, fulfillment center, gig economy, independent contractor, Internet of things, inventory management, invisible hand, Jeff Bezos, Kiva Systems, market fragmentation, new economy, Ocado, pattern recognition, Ponzi scheme, pre–internet, QR code, race to the bottom, random stow, recommendation engine, remote working, Salesforce, sensor fusion, sharing economy, Skype, SoftBank, Steve Bannon, sunk-cost fallacy, supply-chain management, TaskRabbit, TechCrunch disrupt, TED Talk, trade route, underbanked, urban planning, vertical integration, warehouse automation, warehouse robotics, WeWork, white picket fence, work culture

In the 2010 Amazon Annual Report, Bezos wrote: Look inside a current textbook on software architecture, and you’ll find few patterns that we don’t apply at Amazon. We use high-performance transactions systems, complex rendering and object caching, workflow and queuing systems, business intelligence and data analytics, machine learning and pattern recognition, neural networks and probabilistic decision making, and a wide variety of other techniques. And while many of our systems are based on the latest in computer science research, this often hasn’t been sufficient; our architects and engineers have had to advance research in directions that no academic had yet taken.


pages: 417 words: 103,458

The Intelligence Trap: Revolutionise Your Thinking and Make Wiser Decisions by David Robson

active measures, Affordable Care Act / Obamacare, Albert Einstein, Alfred Russel Wallace, Atul Gawande, autism spectrum disorder, availability heuristic, behavioural economics, classic study, cognitive bias, corporate governance, correlation coefficient, cuban missile crisis, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, dark matter, deep learning, deliberate practice, dematerialisation, Donald Trump, Dunning–Kruger effect, fake news, Flynn Effect, framing effect, fundamental attribution error, illegal immigration, Isaac Newton, job satisfaction, knowledge economy, Large Hadron Collider, lone genius, meta-analysis, Nelson Mandela, obamacare, Parler "social media", pattern recognition, post-truth, price anchoring, reality distortion field, Richard Feynman, risk tolerance, Silicon Valley, social intelligence, Steve Jobs, sunk-cost fallacy, tacit knowledge, TED Talk, the scientific method, theory of mind, traveling salesman, ultimatum game, Y2K, Yom Kippur War

As the expert brain chunks up the raw information into more meaningful components, and works at recognising broad underlying patterns, it loses sight of the smaller elements. This change has been recorded in real-time scans of expert radiologists’ brains: they tend to show greater activity in the areas of the temporal lobe associated with advanced pattern recognition and symbolic meaning, but less activity in regions of the visual cortex that are associated with combing over fine detail.27 The advantage will be the ability to filter out irrelevant information and reduce distraction, but this also means the expert is less likely to consider all the elements of a problem systematically, potentially causing them to miss important nuances that do not easily fit their mental maps.


Beautiful Visualization by Julie Steele

barriers to entry, correlation does not imply causation, data acquisition, data science, database schema, Drosophila, en.wikipedia.org, epigenetics, global pandemic, Hans Rosling, index card, information retrieval, iterative process, linked data, Mercator projection, meta-analysis, natural language processing, Netflix Prize, no-fly zone, pattern recognition, peer-to-peer, performance metric, power law, QR code, recommendation engine, semantic web, social bookmarking, social distancing, social graph, sorting algorithm, Steve Jobs, the long tail, web application, wikimedia commons, Yochai Benkler

Chapter Seven Your Choices Reveal Who You Are: Mining and Visualizing Social Patterns Valdis Krebs Data mining and data visualization go hand in hand. Finding complex patterns in data and making them visible for further interpretation utilizes the power of computers, along with the power of the human mind. Used properly, this is a great combination, enabling efficient and sophisticated data crunching and pattern recognition. In this chapter, we will explore several datasets that reveal interesting insights into the human behaviors behind them. Patterns formed by event attendance and object selection will give us clues into the thinking and behavior of the humans attending the events and choosing the objects.


pages: 309 words: 100,573

Cockpit Confidential: Everything You Need to Know About Air Travel: Questions, Answers, and Reflections by Patrick Smith

Airbus A320, airline deregulation, airport security, Atul Gawande, Boeing 747, call centre, Captain Sullenberger Hudson, collective bargaining, crew resource management, D. B. Cooper, high-speed rail, inflight wifi, Korean Air Lines Flight 007, legacy carrier, low cost airline, Maui Hawaii, Mercator projection, military-industrial complex, Neil Armstrong, New Urbanism, pattern recognition, race to the bottom, Skype, Tenerife airport disaster, US Airways Flight 1549, zero-sum game

Indeed, as security specialists will tell you, racial or ethnic profiling doesn’t work. Routine is weakness, and the more predictable our methods, the easier they are to foil. Effective profiling uses a multipoint approach that takes in a wide range of characteristics, both tangible and behavioral. TSA has been training staff in the finer points of behavioral pattern recognition. That’s good, though for the time being, screeners are a lot more adept at picking out scissors and shampoo bottles than picking out terrorists. The International Air Transport Association (IATA) has proposed a plan in which passengers would be categorized into one of three risk groups and then screened accordingly.


pages: 402 words: 98,760

Deep Sea and Foreign Going by Rose George

Admiral Zheng, air freight, Airbus A320, Albert Einstein, bank run, cable laying ship, Captain Sullenberger Hudson, Costa Concordia, Edward Lloyd's coffeehouse, Exxon Valdez, failed state, Filipino sailors, global supply chain, Global Witness, Google Earth, intermodal, Jones Act, London Whale, Malacca Straits, Panamax, pattern recognition, profit maximization, Skype, trade route, UNCLOS, UNCLOS, urban planning, WikiLeaks, William Langewiesche

Because right whale research is hands-off, researchers used to puncture right whales with identifying tags – Stormy calls this practice ‘sticking things into whales’ – until they noticed that there were swellings around the tags, that the whale’s body responded as if to a wound. Right whales had enough stresses to deal with, and the tagging was stopped. Identification in the hands-off era comes down to photographs and pattern recognition. Both natural and unnatural markings are useful: propeller scars, but also callosities, patches of rough skin that are white because they are infested with cyamids, lice-like parasites. Eliza thinks she has recognized one of the frolickers from a scar. It’s Minus 1. Pardon? Minus 1. That’s his name.


pages: 305 words: 101,743

Trick Mirror: Reflections on Self-Delusion by Jia Tolentino

4chan, Affordable Care Act / Obamacare, Airbnb, Alexander Shulgin, big-box store, Black Lives Matter, cloud computing, Comet Ping Pong, crowdsourcing, Donald Trump, financial independence, game design, Jeff Bezos, Jon Ronson, Kickstarter, knowledge worker, late capitalism, Lyft, Mark Zuckerberg, Mason jar, Norman Mailer, obamacare, pattern recognition, Peter Thiel, Ponzi scheme, prosperity theology / prosperity gospel / gospel of success, public intellectual, QR code, rent control, Saturday Night Live, selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor (SSRI), Sheryl Sandberg, Silicon Valley, Snapchat, Steve Bannon, Steve Jobs, TED Talk, TikTok, uber lyft, upwardly mobile, wage slave, white picket fence

The reframing of female difficulty as an asset rather than a liability is the result of decades and decades of feminist thought coming to bear—suddenly, floridly, and very persuasively—in the open ideological space of the internet. It’s been solidified by a sort of narrative engineering conducted both retrospectively and in real time: the rewriting of celebrity lives as feminist texts. Feminist celebrity discourse operates the way most cultural criticism does in the social media era, along lines of “ideological pattern-recognition,” as Hua Hsu put it in The New Yorker. Writers take a celebrity’s life and her public narrative, shine the black light on it, and point to the sexism as it starts to glow. Celebrities have been the primary teaching tools through which online feminism has identified and resisted the warping force of patriarchal judgment.


pages: 316 words: 101,950

With the End in Mind by Kathryn Mannix

fail fast, job satisfaction, pattern recognition, Stephen Hawking

I’m sorry if you’re made sad, but I hope that you will also feel comforted and inspired. I hope you will be less afraid, and more inclined to plan for and discuss dying. I wrote this book because I hope we can all live better, as well as die better, by keeping the end in mind. Patterns Medicine is full of pattern-recognition: the pattern of symptoms that separates tonsillitis from other sore throats, or asthma from other causes of breathlessness; the pattern of behaviour that separates the anxious ‘worried well’ from the stoical yet sick person; the pattern of skin rashes that can indicate urgency and thereby save a life.


pages: 420 words: 100,811

We Are Data: Algorithms and the Making of Our Digital Selves by John Cheney-Lippold

algorithmic bias, bioinformatics, business logic, Cass Sunstein, centre right, computer vision, critical race theory, dark matter, data science, digital capitalism, drone strike, Edward Snowden, Evgeny Morozov, Filter Bubble, Google Chrome, Google Earth, Hans Moravec, Ian Bogost, informal economy, iterative process, James Bridle, Jaron Lanier, Julian Assange, Kevin Kelly, late capitalism, Laura Poitras, lifelogging, Lyft, machine readable, machine translation, Mark Zuckerberg, Marshall McLuhan, mass incarceration, Mercator projection, meta-analysis, Nick Bostrom, Norbert Wiener, offshore financial centre, pattern recognition, price discrimination, RAND corporation, Ray Kurzweil, Richard Thaler, ride hailing / ride sharing, Rosa Parks, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, Skype, Snapchat, software studies, statistical model, Steven Levy, technological singularity, technoutopianism, the scientific method, Thomas Bayes, Toyota Production System, Turing machine, uber lyft, web application, WikiLeaks, Zimmermann PGP

And unencrypted, you might honestly search for “how to flee the country,” but the noteworthiness of that phrase will be folded into the ten-queries-per-minute cover that TrackMeNot provides for you. An individual FBI special agent invested in knowing if you’re trying to travel to Greece might be able to subpoena your Google records and see that you searched for “Athens” at 6:31 p.m., “cheap flights” at 6:34 p.m., and “online greek classes” at 6:44 p.m. But in terms of pattern recognition, in terms of making ‘you’ on the basis of your dividual queries, TrackMeNot can produce enough noise in the channel that a single, identifiable, measurable-typed essence would be statistically onerous. This is gibberish through excess, not enciphering. And this gibberish is what founds Finn Brunton and Helen Nissenbaum’s obfuscation, the contemporary strategy I propose we use to practice dividual privacy.81 The cypherpunks of the 1990s hid by converting their data into alphanumeric ridiculousness.


pages: 307 words: 102,477

The Nocturnal Brain: Nightmares, Neuroscience, and the Secret World of Sleep by Dr. Guy Leschziner

23andMe, Berlin Wall, British Empire, impulse control, meta-analysis, mirror neurons, pattern recognition, phenotype, stem cell, twin studies

Sometimes the explanation is more prosaic, in the form of the ingestion of illicit substances. All my patients have a battery of blood tests and a brain scan. Even so, it does ultimately come down to a diagnosis of exclusion, and the recognition of a pattern of symptoms. Much of medicine is about pattern recognition — realising that the patient in front of you sweating profusely with a racing heart, clutching his chest, is having a heart attack, much like the ten patients you have previously seen who looked exactly the same. With KLS, this is much harder. Recognising a pattern requires you to have seen several similar patients before — extremely hard in a condition that affects perhaps one in a million people.


pages: 335 words: 97,468

Uncharted: How to Map the Future by Margaret Heffernan

"World Economic Forum" Davos, 23andMe, Affordable Care Act / Obamacare, Airbnb, Alan Greenspan, Anne Wojcicki, anti-communist, Atul Gawande, autonomous vehicles, banking crisis, Berlin Wall, Boris Johnson, Brexit referendum, chief data officer, Chris Urmson, clean water, complexity theory, conceptual framework, cosmic microwave background, creative destruction, CRISPR, crowdsourcing, data science, David Attenborough, discovery of penicillin, driverless car, epigenetics, Fall of the Berlin Wall, fear of failure, George Santayana, gig economy, Google Glasses, Greta Thunberg, Higgs boson, index card, Internet of things, Jaron Lanier, job automation, Kickstarter, Large Hadron Collider, late capitalism, lateral thinking, Law of Accelerating Returns, liberation theology, mass immigration, mass incarceration, megaproject, Murray Gell-Mann, Nate Silver, obamacare, oil shale / tar sands, passive investing, pattern recognition, Peter Thiel, prediction markets, RAND corporation, Ray Kurzweil, Rosa Parks, Sam Altman, scientific management, Shoshana Zuboff, Silicon Valley, smart meter, Stephen Hawking, Steve Ballmer, Steve Jobs, surveillance capitalism, TED Talk, The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver, Tim Cook: Apple, twin studies, University of East Anglia

This way of life is not for the Pavlovian dog but for the independent cat: attentive and meandering.3 Experienced artists learn over time to trust that something of value will emerge; their apprenticeship entails not just the acquisition of skills but of patience. It requires what the poet Patrick Kavanagh called ‘the right kind of sensitive courage and the right kind of sensitive humility’: the nerve to explore beyond predictable pattern recognition and to interrogate what isn’t immediately obvious, important or inviting. To find anything original requires respecting the elusive. Where this occurs doesn’t matter – as much richness might be found in a gas station as a grand museum. Kavanagh also drew a telling distinction between two opposites: the provincial and the parochial artist.


pages: 346 words: 97,890

The Road to Conscious Machines by Michael Wooldridge

Ada Lovelace, AI winter, algorithmic bias, AlphaGo, Andrew Wiles, Anthropocene, artificial general intelligence, Asilomar, augmented reality, autonomous vehicles, backpropagation, basic income, Bletchley Park, Boeing 747, British Empire, call centre, Charles Babbage, combinatorial explosion, computer vision, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, DARPA: Urban Challenge, deep learning, deepfake, DeepMind, Demis Hassabis, don't be evil, Donald Trump, driverless car, Elaine Herzberg, Elon Musk, Eratosthenes, factory automation, fake news, future of work, gamification, general purpose technology, Geoffrey Hinton, gig economy, Google Glasses, intangible asset, James Watt: steam engine, job automation, John von Neumann, Loebner Prize, Minecraft, Mustafa Suleyman, Nash equilibrium, Nick Bostrom, Norbert Wiener, NP-complete, P = NP, P vs NP, paperclip maximiser, pattern recognition, Philippa Foot, RAND corporation, Ray Kurzweil, Rodney Brooks, self-driving car, Silicon Valley, Stephen Hawking, Steven Pinker, strong AI, technological singularity, telemarketer, Tesla Model S, The Coming Technological Singularity, The Future of Employment, the scientific method, theory of mind, Thomas Bayes, Thomas Kuhn: the structure of scientific revolutions, traveling salesman, trolley problem, Turing machine, Turing test, universal basic income, Von Neumann architecture, warehouse robotics

The Singularity Is Bullshit In contemporary AI, the Terminator narrative is most commonly associated with an idea called the Singularity, which was introduced by the American futurologist Ray Kurzweil in his 2005 book The Singularity is Near:2 The key idea underlying the impending Singularity is that the pace of change of our human-created technology is accelerating and its powers are expanding at an exponential pace. […] within several decades information-based technologies will encompass all human knowledge and proficiency, ultimately including the pattern-recognition powers, problem-solving skills, and emotional and moral intelligence of the human brain itself. Although Kurzweil’s vision of the Singularity is quite broad, the term has come to be identified with one specific idea: the Singularity is the hypothesized point at which computer intelligence (in the general sense) exceeds that of humans.


pages: 362 words: 97,288

Ghost Road: Beyond the Driverless Car by Anthony M. Townsend

A Pattern Language, active measures, AI winter, algorithmic trading, Alvin Toffler, Amazon Robotics, asset-backed security, augmented reality, autonomous vehicles, backpropagation, big-box store, bike sharing, Blitzscaling, Boston Dynamics, business process, Captain Sullenberger Hudson, car-free, carbon footprint, carbon tax, circular economy, company town, computer vision, conceptual framework, congestion charging, congestion pricing, connected car, creative destruction, crew resource management, crowdsourcing, DARPA: Urban Challenge, data is the new oil, Dean Kamen, deep learning, deepfake, deindustrialization, delayed gratification, deliberate practice, dematerialisation, deskilling, Didi Chuxing, drive until you qualify, driverless car, drop ship, Edward Glaeser, Elaine Herzberg, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, extreme commuting, financial engineering, financial innovation, Flash crash, food desert, Ford Model T, fulfillment center, Future Shock, General Motors Futurama, gig economy, Google bus, Greyball, haute couture, helicopter parent, independent contractor, inventory management, invisible hand, Jane Jacobs, Jeff Bezos, Jevons paradox, jitney, job automation, John Markoff, John von Neumann, Joseph Schumpeter, Kickstarter, Kiva Systems, Lewis Mumford, loss aversion, Lyft, Masayoshi Son, megacity, microapartment, minimum viable product, mortgage debt, New Urbanism, Nick Bostrom, North Sea oil, Ocado, openstreetmap, pattern recognition, Peter Calthorpe, random walk, Ray Kurzweil, Ray Oldenburg, rent-seeking, ride hailing / ride sharing, Rodney Brooks, self-driving car, sharing economy, Shoshana Zuboff, Sidewalk Labs, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, Skype, smart cities, Smart Cities: Big Data, Civic Hackers, and the Quest for a New Utopia, SoftBank, software as a service, sovereign wealth fund, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, surveillance capitalism, technological singularity, TED Talk, Tesla Model S, The Coming Technological Singularity, The Death and Life of Great American Cities, The future is already here, The Future of Employment, The Great Good Place, too big to fail, traffic fines, transit-oriented development, Travis Kalanick, Uber and Lyft, uber lyft, urban planning, urban sprawl, US Airways Flight 1549, Vernor Vinge, vertical integration, Vision Fund, warehouse automation, warehouse robotics

These algorithms, loosely based on mammalian brains, were the basis of a promising early branch of AI research. But after several highprofile failures, the mainstream research community largely abandoned the approach. In the 1980s, however, a handful of scholars continued to experiment with neural networks, tackling tough pattern-recognition problems like decoding speech and reading handwritten text. By the early 1990s, the technology had advanced to the point where neural networks were put to work in banks and postal systems, deciphering billions of scribbled checks and envelopes every day. The big breakthroughs that brought neural networks back into the limelight bore geeky names like convolution and backpropagation, a legacy of the field’s long obscurity.


pages: 398 words: 96,909

We're Not Broken: Changing the Autism Conversation by Eric Garcia

Affordable Care Act / Obamacare, Albert Einstein, Asperger Syndrome, autism spectrum disorder, barriers to entry, Bernie Sanders, Black Lives Matter, coronavirus, COVID-19, defund the police, Donald Trump, epigenetics, fake news, Ferguson, Missouri, full employment, George Floyd, Greta Thunberg, intentional community, Internet Archive, Joi Ito, Lyft, meta-analysis, neurotypical, opioid epidemic / opioid crisis, pattern recognition, phenotype, Salesforce, San Francisco homelessness, short selling, Silicon Valley, TED Talk

“[Ereneta] made it clear to me that there are differences, and they’re not necessarily good or bad, but they’re just different, and that might influence the way that my teammates might work [and] would most likely be different than the way I work, and so for me it’s self-actualization,” Ng said. She added that some of her special skills include pattern recognition, which has been seen as a trait of some neurodivergent brains. Similarly, in the past, she would frequently lose interest in things, but the inverse was that she would find interest in a wide array of subjects all the time. Generally, Williams said he found Square to be more welcoming and accepting of him than previous employers.


pages: 1,799 words: 532,462

The Codebreakers: The Comprehensive History of Secret Communication From Ancient Times to the Internet by David Kahn

anti-communist, Bletchley Park, British Empire, Charles Babbage, classic study, Claude Shannon: information theory, computer age, cotton gin, cuban missile crisis, Easter island, end-to-end encryption, Fellow of the Royal Society, heat death of the universe, Honoré de Balzac, index card, interchangeable parts, invention of the telegraph, Isaac Newton, Johannes Kepler, John von Neumann, Louis Daguerre, machine translation, Maui Hawaii, Norbert Wiener, out of africa, pattern recognition, place-making, planned obsolescence, Plato's cave, pneumatic tube, popular electronics, positional goods, Republic of Letters, Searching for Interstellar Communications, stochastic process, Suez canal 1869, the scientific method, trade route, Turing machine, union organizing, yellow journalism, zero-sum game

Friedman], Basic Cryptography, Department of the Army Technical Manual 32-220 (Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1950), §17. 753 practical requirements: Ibid., §18. 754 factors affecting cryptanalysis time: Ibid., §16. 754 “cipher brains”: Yardley, 39. He was referring to Manly. 755 pattern recognition: Cherry, ch. 7; Oliver D. Selfridge, “Pattern Recognition and Learning” in Information Theory: Papers Read at a Symposium on “Information Theory,” ed. Colin Cherry (London: Butterworths, 1956), 345-353. 755 Freud: “Three Contributions to the Theory of Sex” in The Basic Writings of Sigmund Freud, ed. A. A. Brill, Modern Library Giant 39 (New York: Random House, 1938), 594-595; see also Psychological Abstracts, XXIV (1950), No. 6119.

The flow of impulses through a computer’s circuits constitutes a study in communication, and N.S.A. mathematicians investigate it. They use the tools of the new field of information theory to look into other problems—compression of maximum information into a minimum bandwidth, expected percentages of errors, rates of transmission, pattern recognition. N.S.A. physicists study modern quantum theory of many-body systems, superconductivity, magnetic resonance, the electromagnetic properties of solids, and the scattering effect of the ionized region of the troposphere for possible application to communications. Language itself is dissected phonetically, phonemically, grammatically, logically, semantically, historically, statistically, and comparatively.

Yardley said that outstanding cryptanalysts were gifted with “cipher brains,” and rather glamorized the faculty, but in fact “cipher brains” are just the cryptologic manifestation of a general characteristic—talent in a given field. Who possesses “cipher brains” and why, however, raise complicated questions. Human knowledge not only cannot answer them now, it does not even understand how the mind performs the basic psychological operation of cryptanalysis—pattern recognition. How the brain can supply the missing letters to a fragment of plaintext which it has never before seen resembles such problems as how one can read words in a handwriting one has never seen or recognize a piece of music as Mozart’s even though one has never heard it before. These problems remain among the still unsolved ones of psychology and biochemistry, as convoluted as the cerebral cortex and molecular chains which may hold the answer.


pages: 442 words: 110,704

The Glass Universe: How the Ladies of the Harvard Observatory Took the Measure of the Stars by Dava Sobel

Albert Einstein, card file, Cepheid variable, crowdsourcing, dark matter, Dava Sobel, Eddington experiment, Edmond Halley, Edward Charles Pickering, Ernest Rutherford, Harlow Shapley and Heber Curtis, Harvard Computers: women astronomers, index card, invention of the telescope, Isaac Newton, Johannes Kepler, John Harrison: Longitude, luminiferous ether, Magellanic Cloud, pattern recognition, QWERTY keyboard, Ralph Waldo Emerson

In less than a decade at the helm, Edward Pickering had shifted the observatory’s institutional emphasis from the old astronomy, centered on star positions, to novel investigations into the stars’ physical nature. While half the computing staff continued to calculate the locations and orbital dynamics of heavenly bodies, a few of the women were learning to read the glass plates produced on-site, honing their skills in pattern recognition in addition to arithmetic. A new kind of star catalogue would soon emerge from these activities. The earliest known star counter, Hipparchus of Nicaea, catalogued a thousand stars in the second century BC, and later astronomers enumerated the content of the heavens to ever better effect.


pages: 344 words: 104,077

Superminds: The Surprising Power of People and Computers Thinking Together by Thomas W. Malone

Abraham Maslow, agricultural Revolution, Airbnb, Albert Einstein, Alvin Toffler, Amazon Mechanical Turk, Apple's 1984 Super Bowl advert, Asperger Syndrome, Baxter: Rethink Robotics, bitcoin, blockchain, Boeing 747, business process, call centre, carbon tax, clean water, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, creative destruction, crowdsourcing, data science, deep learning, Donald Trump, Douglas Engelbart, Douglas Engelbart, driverless car, drone strike, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, Erik Brynjolfsson, experimental economics, Exxon Valdez, Ford Model T, future of work, Future Shock, Galaxy Zoo, Garrett Hardin, gig economy, happiness index / gross national happiness, independent contractor, industrial robot, Internet of things, invention of the telegraph, inventory management, invisible hand, Jeff Rulifson, jimmy wales, job automation, John Markoff, Joi Ito, Joseph Schumpeter, Kenneth Arrow, knowledge worker, longitudinal study, Lyft, machine translation, Marshall McLuhan, Nick Bostrom, Occupy movement, Pareto efficiency, pattern recognition, prediction markets, price mechanism, radical decentralization, Ray Kurzweil, Rodney Brooks, Ronald Coase, search costs, Second Machine Age, self-driving car, Silicon Valley, slashdot, social intelligence, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, Steven Pinker, Stewart Brand, technological singularity, The Nature of the Firm, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, The Wisdom of Crowds, theory of mind, Tim Cook: Apple, Tragedy of the Commons, transaction costs, Travis Kalanick, Uber for X, uber lyft, Vernor Vinge, Vilfredo Pareto, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!

Of course, the system might also have noticed many thousands of other potential threats, and it would be useful to us only if it used probability estimates or some other way of prioritizing the threats so that the most important ones would be ranked first. But even this simple kind of automatic pattern recognition across many diverse sources of information could potentially be of huge value. It’s also possible to do even more. Entering Facts Automatically Everything we’ve talked about so far assumes that professionals in the intelligence community would have to enter all the information needed in the system.


pages: 319 words: 106,772

Irrational Exuberance: With a New Preface by the Author by Robert J. Shiller

Alan Greenspan, Andrei Shleifer, asset allocation, banking crisis, benefit corporation, Benoit Mandelbrot, book value, business cycle, buy and hold, computer age, correlation does not imply causation, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, demographic transition, diversification, diversified portfolio, equity premium, Everybody Ought to Be Rich, experimental subject, hindsight bias, income per capita, index fund, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Joseph Schumpeter, Long Term Capital Management, loss aversion, Mahbub ul Haq, mandelbrot fractal, market bubble, market design, market fundamentalism, Mexican peso crisis / tequila crisis, Milgram experiment, money market fund, moral hazard, new economy, open economy, pattern recognition, Phillips curve, Ponzi scheme, price anchoring, random walk, Richard Thaler, risk tolerance, Robert Shiller, Ronald Reagan, Small Order Execution System, spice trade, statistical model, stocks for the long run, Suez crisis 1956, survivorship bias, the market place, Tobin tax, transaction costs, tulip mania, uptick rule, urban decay, Y2K

U.S. investors today have not had the same experience with Japanese stocks, or with the U.S. market in decades past. Many people fix their attention on plots of rising stock prices in newspapers every day, and they seem to come away with an intuitive feeling that every decline is reversed, to be followed swiftly by new highs. The same human pattern-recognition faculty that we used when we learned to ride a bike or to drive a car, giving us an intuitive sense of what to expect next, has been applied to our expectations for the market. For investors in their twenties, thirties, or forties, this upward trend has been present during most of the years they have been observing or investing in the market.


The Future of Money by Bernard Lietaer

agricultural Revolution, Alan Greenspan, Alvin Toffler, banks create money, barriers to entry, billion-dollar mistake, Bretton Woods, business cycle, clean water, complexity theory, corporate raider, currency risk, dematerialisation, discounted cash flows, diversification, fiat currency, financial deregulation, financial innovation, floating exchange rates, full employment, geopolitical risk, George Gilder, German hyperinflation, global reserve currency, Golden Gate Park, Howard Rheingold, informal economy, invention of the telephone, invention of writing, John Perry Barlow, Lao Tzu, Lewis Mumford, low interest rates, Mahatma Gandhi, means of production, microcredit, Money creation, money: store of value / unit of account / medium of exchange, Norbert Wiener, North Sea oil, offshore financial centre, pattern recognition, post-industrial society, price stability, Recombinant DNA, reserve currency, risk free rate, Ronald Reagan, San Francisco homelessness, seigniorage, Silicon Valley, South Sea Bubble, The Future of Employment, the market place, the payments system, Thomas Davenport, trade route, transaction costs, trickle-down economics, two and twenty, working poor, world market for maybe five computers

Add to this the extraordinary fact that only two of the nine forms of intelligence were being recognised, and therefore developed and measured in the education system; i.e. me verbal linguistic and the logical/mathematical both with a Yang bias. The other seven forms of intelligence used to be simply ignored. So it was very rare that the development of a child took into account these other seven modes of learning : i.e. the musical, spatial, bodily/kinesmetic, intrapersonal, interpersonal, pattern recognition and mystical."' 'In short, human potentiall used to be dramatically underestimated, not to speak of developed and used to address our challenges, n is amazing that humanity made it as far as it did back in the 20th century. From today's perspective it really looks as if our species was asked to engage in a race blindfolded with feet and hands bound.


pages: 417 words: 109,367

The End of Doom: Environmental Renewal in the Twenty-First Century by Ronald Bailey

3D printing, additive manufacturing, agricultural Revolution, Albert Einstein, Anthropocene, Asilomar, autonomous vehicles, biodiversity loss, business cycle, carbon tax, Cass Sunstein, Climatic Research Unit, commodity super cycle, conceptual framework, corporate governance, creative destruction, credit crunch, David Attenborough, decarbonisation, dematerialisation, demographic transition, disinformation, disruptive innovation, diversified portfolio, double helix, energy security, failed state, financial independence, Ford Model T, Garrett Hardin, Gary Taubes, Great Leap Forward, hydraulic fracturing, income inequality, Induced demand, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), invisible hand, knowledge economy, meta-analysis, Naomi Klein, negative emissions, Neolithic agricultural revolution, ocean acidification, oil shale / tar sands, oil shock, pattern recognition, peak oil, Peter Calthorpe, phenotype, planetary scale, precautionary principle, price stability, profit motive, purchasing power parity, race to the bottom, RAND corporation, Recombinant DNA, rent-seeking, rewilding, Stewart Brand, synthetic biology, systematic bias, Tesla Model S, trade liberalization, Tragedy of the Commons, two and twenty, University of East Anglia, uranium enrichment, women in the workforce, yield curve

DDT and Breast Cancer In 2002, National Cancer Institute (NCI) researchers, in the most exhaustive study of its kind, could find no link between increased breast cancer rates and exposure to chemicals such as the pesticides DDT and chlordane or PCBs used as coolants in electrical transformers. This study is one more in a long line that can find no link between breast cancer and exposure to synthetic chemicals. Human brains are adapted to be pattern recognition machines. Being able to recognize a tiger’s stripes in a sun-dappled bamboo forest enhances one’s chances of escaping its jaws. But it turns out that we over-recognize patterns. Our brains can find patterns in anything, which is why tarot cards and astrology remain popular. Researchers have shown that people will consistently claim to identify patterns in tables of randomly generated numbers.


pages: 518 words: 107,836

How Not to Network a Nation: The Uneasy History of the Soviet Internet (Information Policy) by Benjamin Peters

Albert Einstein, American ideology, Andrei Shleifer, Anthropocene, Benoit Mandelbrot, bitcoin, Brownian motion, Charles Babbage, Claude Shannon: information theory, cloud computing, cognitive dissonance, commons-based peer production, computer age, conceptual framework, continuation of politics by other means, crony capitalism, crowdsourcing, cuban missile crisis, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, David Graeber, disinformation, Dissolution of the Soviet Union, Donald Davies, double helix, Drosophila, Francis Fukuyama: the end of history, From Mathematics to the Technologies of Life and Death, Gabriella Coleman, hive mind, index card, informal economy, information asymmetry, invisible hand, Jacquard loom, John von Neumann, Kevin Kelly, knowledge economy, knowledge worker, Lewis Mumford, linear programming, mandelbrot fractal, Marshall McLuhan, means of production, megaproject, Menlo Park, Mikhail Gorbachev, military-industrial complex, mutually assured destruction, Network effects, Norbert Wiener, packet switching, Pareto efficiency, pattern recognition, Paul Erdős, Peter Thiel, Philip Mirowski, power law, RAND corporation, rent-seeking, road to serfdom, Ronald Coase, scientific mainstream, scientific management, Steve Jobs, Stewart Brand, stochastic process, surveillance capitalism, systems thinking, technoutopianism, the Cathedral and the Bazaar, the strength of weak ties, The Structural Transformation of the Public Sphere, transaction costs, Turing machine, work culture , Yochai Benkler

Ross Ashby, anthropologist, psychiatrist, and Macy Conference attendee Gregory Bateson, radical antipsychiatrist R. D. Laing, psychologist Gordon Pask, and management cyberneticist Stafford Beer (who also features prominently in the Chilean cybernetic situation described below). Interdisciplinary discussions ranged widely across themes such as information theory, probability, pattern recognition, artifacts that act (such as William Ross Ashby’s homeostat and W. Grey Walter’s robotic tortoises), and philosophy. Among their guests over the years were at least two Americans who later played roles in the development of the ARPANET—J.C.R. Licklider and Warren McCulloch.35 According to Pickering, what each of these pioneering cyberneticists held in common was an interest in the brain as a machine that acts, not thinks—or communication systems that perform, not cogitate.36 Cybernetics took root on its own terms in Britain—not the postmodern theory of France but what Pickering calls the “non-modern” performances of neurological structures.


pages: 433 words: 106,048

The End of Illness by David B. Agus

confounding variable, Coronary heart disease and physical activity of work, Danny Hillis, discovery of penicillin, double helix, epigenetics, germ theory of disease, Google Earth, Gregor Mendel, impulse control, information retrieval, Larry Ellison, longitudinal study, Marc Benioff, meta-analysis, Michael Milken, microbiome, Murray Gell-Mann, pattern recognition, Pepto Bismol, personalized medicine, randomized controlled trial, risk tolerance, Salesforce, Steve Jobs, systems thinking, TED Talk, the scientific method

* * * What is cancer? If you have a mass or an abnormal blood test, you’ll likely be referred to a specialist who will stick a needle in you and extract a sample to be examined by a pathologist. Your pathologist (whom you will probably never meet) will look for a certain pattern, because diagnosis today is by pattern recognition. Does it look normal? Or does it look abnormal? To make an analogy, consider a plastic water bottle as emblematic of a cell. It’s as if your pathologist is looking at a normal plastic bottle and declaring that it’s a normal cell. And then looking at a deformed, crushed plastic bottle and declaring that it’s a cancer cell.


pages: 392 words: 104,760

Babel No More: The Search for the World's Most Extraordinary Language Learners by Michael Erard

Asperger Syndrome, autism spectrum disorder, business process, business process outsourcing, call centre, cognitive load, complexity theory, European colonialism, language acquisition, machine translation, pattern recognition, Sapir-Whorf hypothesis, Skype, Steven Pinker, theory of mind

Anecdotally, musical ability and foreign-language ability are often tied together: languages and music both are formal systems involving sequences of discrete units, and an individual must be disciplined to perform well. It’s true that speech sounds and music share areas of the brain, and that there’s also a basic similarity in visual and auditory pattern recognition. But when C.J. took the Seashore Tests of Musical Ability (developed by Carl Seashore in 1919), his scores on a memory test for melody and for sequences of rhythm and pitch were average. In his case, at least, the anecdotal connection didn’t hold. Possible explanations for talented language learning fall into two general areas.


pages: 502 words: 107,510

Natural Language Annotation for Machine Learning by James Pustejovsky, Amber Stubbs

Amazon Mechanical Turk, bioinformatics, cloud computing, computer vision, crowdsourcing, easy for humans, difficult for computers, finite state, Free Software Foundation, game design, information retrieval, iterative process, language acquisition, machine readable, machine translation, natural language processing, pattern recognition, performance metric, power law, sentiment analysis, social web, sparse data, speech recognition, statistical model, text mining

Snow, Rion, Brendan O’Connor, Daniel Jurafsky, and Andrew Y. Ng. 2008. “Cheap and Fast—But Is It Good? Evaluating Non-Expert Annotations for Natural Language Tasks.” In Proceedings of EMNLP-08. Sorokin, Alexander, and David Forsyth. 2008. “Utility data annotation with Amazon Mechanical Turk.” In Proceedings of the Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition Workshops. Index A note on the digital index A link in an index entry is displayed as the section title in which that entry appears. Because some sections have multiple index markers, it is not unusual for an entry to have several links to the same section. Clicking on any link will take you directly to the place in the text in which the marker appears.


pages: 312 words: 35,664

The Mathematics of Banking and Finance by Dennis W. Cox, Michael A. A. Cox

backpropagation, barriers to entry, Brownian motion, call centre, correlation coefficient, fixed income, G4S, inventory management, iterative process, linear programming, meta-analysis, Monty Hall problem, pattern recognition, random walk, traveling salesman, value at risk

That regulators, for capital calculation, could use such calculations is also fraught with concerns. However, later amendments to regulatory rules will almost certainly deal with such matters. 31 An Introduction to Neural Networks 31.1 INTRODUCTION In business you do occasionally encounter what are referred to as neural networks. These are typically used for pattern recognition and are based on a series of historic assumptions, assessments and/or observations. Normally a set of observations is used as the input into the network, which is then trained to assign each of these observations to one class or more. The observations consist of a number of features and an associated class assignment, which may be continuous (so a full range of solutions are possible) or discrete (so only certain solutions are possible).


pages: 353 words: 104,146

European Founders at Work by Pedro Gairifo Santos

business intelligence, clean tech, cloud computing, crowdsourcing, deal flow, do what you love, fail fast, fear of failure, full text search, Hacker News, hockey-stick growth, information retrieval, inventory management, iterative process, Jeff Bezos, Joi Ito, Lean Startup, Mark Zuckerberg, Multics, natural language processing, pattern recognition, pre–internet, recommendation engine, Richard Stallman, Salesforce, Silicon Valley, Skype, slashdot, SoftBank, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, subscription business, technology bubble, TED Talk, web application, Y Combinator

We recognized viruses by looking at the reputation of the sender, the movement pattern and within the email itself for any indications of a virus based on previous viruses we had seen. All viruses are derivative, so we were able to identify new ones based on what we had seen before and continually expand our knowledge base. We patented a lot of based pattern recognition technologies as we were the first company to do this. We realized that when an e-mail contained a virus, it always followed a specific pattern of movement. This meant we could recognize new viruses instantly, without needing a new update, by forming a point score for every e-mail and stopping the e-mail if it went above a certain threshold.


pages: 392 words: 108,745

Talk to Me: How Voice Computing Will Transform the Way We Live, Work, and Think by James Vlahos

Albert Einstein, AltaVista, Amazon Mechanical Turk, Amazon Web Services, augmented reality, Automated Insights, autonomous vehicles, backpropagation, Big Tech, Cambridge Analytica, Chuck Templeton: OpenTable:, cloud computing, Colossal Cave Adventure, computer age, deep learning, DeepMind, Donald Trump, Elon Musk, fake news, Geoffrey Hinton, information retrieval, Internet of things, Jacques de Vaucanson, Jeff Bezos, lateral thinking, Loebner Prize, machine readable, machine translation, Machine translation of "The spirit is willing, but the flesh is weak." to Russian and back, Mark Zuckerberg, Menlo Park, natural language processing, Neal Stephenson, Neil Armstrong, OpenAI, PageRank, pattern recognition, Ponzi scheme, randomized controlled trial, Ray Kurzweil, Ronald Reagan, Rubik’s Cube, self-driving car, sentiment analysis, Silicon Valley, Skype, Snapchat, speech recognition, statistical model, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, Steven Levy, TechCrunch disrupt, Turing test, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!

Machine learning’s formidable powers of classification are also helpful, to a degree, with natural-language understanding. But when it comes to getting chatbots not just to listen but say something back, machine learning still has a long way to go. True conversation requires more than mere pattern recognition. That’s why the strategies of retrieving preexisting content from online sources or manually authoring responses in advance, while limited in their own way, still hold considerable sway. Against this backdrop, every team in the contest, like the conversational AI world at large, was struggling to find the best balance between manually engineered and machine-learned approaches.


pages: 382 words: 112,061

Structures: Or Why Things Don't Fall Down by J. E. Gordon

double helix, haute couture, pattern recognition, Suez canal 1869, Tacoma Narrows Bridge

If you walk around Pompeii and Herculaneum, you will come away with a quite surprisingly powerful sense of what sort of people the inhabitants were. This has little or nothing to do with the technology of things like the plumbing, and it is something which no amount of factual history can convey. So far this sort of pattern recognition has eluded the computer; long may it continue to do so. Recently, I was drinking canned beer with a much respected colleague. I said – rather unwisely and priggishly, I suppose -’Really a thing like this beer-can seems to me to epitomize all the dreariness and commercialism that is wrong with technology nowadays.* My much respected colleague was down on me like a ton of bricks.


pages: 324 words: 106,699

Permanent Record by Edward Snowden

A Declaration of the Independence of Cyberspace, Aaron Swartz, air gap, Berlin Wall, call centre, Chelsea Manning, cloud computing, cognitive dissonance, company town, disinformation, drone strike, Edward Snowden, Fall of the Berlin Wall, Free Software Foundation, information security, it's over 9,000, job-hopping, John Perry Barlow, Julian Assange, Laura Poitras, Mark Zuckerberg, McMansion, Neal Stephenson, Occupy movement, off-the-grid, operational security, pattern recognition, peak oil, pre–internet, Rubik’s Cube, Silicon Valley, Skype, Snow Crash, sovereign wealth fund, surveillance capitalism, trade route, WikiLeaks, zero day

But as the cost of these devices continued to fall, they became ubiquitous, and their role became preemptive—with law enforcement using them to track people who had not committed, or were not even suspected of, any crime. And the greatest danger still lies ahead, with the refinement of artificial intelligence capabilities such as facial and pattern recognition. An AI-equipped surveillance camera would be no mere recording device, but could be made into something closer to an automated police officer—a true robo-cop actively seeking out “suspicious” activity, such as apparent drug deals (that is, people embracing or shaking hands) and apparent gang affiliation (such as people wearing specific colors and brands of clothing).


Smart Mobs: The Next Social Revolution by Howard Rheingold

"hyperreality Baudrillard"~20 OR "Baudrillard hyperreality", A Pattern Language, Alvin Toffler, AOL-Time Warner, augmented reality, barriers to entry, battle of ideas, Brewster Kahle, Burning Man, business climate, citizen journalism, computer vision, conceptual framework, creative destruction, Dennis Ritchie, digital divide, disinformation, Douglas Engelbart, Douglas Engelbart, experimental economics, experimental subject, Extropian, Free Software Foundation, Garrett Hardin, Hacker Ethic, Hedy Lamarr / George Antheil, Herman Kahn, history of Unix, hockey-stick growth, Howard Rheingold, invention of the telephone, inventory management, Ivan Sutherland, John Markoff, John von Neumann, Joi Ito, Joseph Schumpeter, Ken Thompson, Kevin Kelly, Lewis Mumford, Metcalfe's law, Metcalfe’s law, more computing power than Apollo, move 37, Multics, New Urbanism, Norbert Wiener, packet switching, PalmPilot, Panopticon Jeremy Bentham, pattern recognition, peer-to-peer, peer-to-peer model, pez dispenser, planetary scale, pre–internet, prisoner's dilemma, radical decentralization, RAND corporation, recommendation engine, Renaissance Technologies, RFID, Richard Stallman, Robert Metcalfe, Robert X Cringely, Ronald Coase, Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence, seminal paper, SETI@home, sharing economy, Silicon Valley, skunkworks, slashdot, social intelligence, spectrum auction, Steven Levy, Stewart Brand, the Cathedral and the Bazaar, the scientific method, Tragedy of the Commons, transaction costs, ultimatum game, urban planning, web of trust, Whole Earth Review, Yochai Benkler, zero-sum game

Kelly drew parallels between the ways both biological and artificial “vivisystems” exhibit the same four characteristics of what he called “swarm systems”: the absence of imposed centralized control the autonomous nature of subunits the high connectivity between the subunits the webby nonlinear causality of peers influencing peers63 Steven Johnson’s 2001 book, Emergence, shows how the principles that Kelly extrapolated from biological to technological networks also apply to cities and Amazon.com’s recommendation system: “In these systems, agents residing on one scale start producing behavior that lies on one scale above them: ants create colonies; urbanites create neighborhoods; simple pattern-recognition software learns how to recommend new books. The movement from low-level rules to higher level sophistication is what we call emergence.”64 In the case of cities, although the emergent intelligence resembles the ant-mind, the individual units, humans, possess extraordinary onboard intelligence—or at least the capacity for it.


pages: 379 words: 109,223

Frenemies: The Epic Disruption of the Ad Business by Ken Auletta

"World Economic Forum" Davos, Airbnb, Alvin Toffler, AOL-Time Warner, barriers to entry, Bernie Sanders, bike sharing, Boris Johnson, Build a better mousetrap, Burning Man, call centre, Cambridge Analytica, capitalist realism, carbon footprint, cloud computing, commoditize, connected car, content marketing, corporate raider, crossover SUV, data science, digital rights, disintermediation, Donald Trump, driverless car, Elon Musk, fake news, financial engineering, forensic accounting, Future Shock, Google Glasses, Internet of things, Jeff Bezos, Kevin Roose, Khan Academy, Lyft, Mark Zuckerberg, market design, Mary Meeker, Max Levchin, Menlo Park, move fast and break things, Naomi Klein, NetJets, Network effects, pattern recognition, pets.com, race to the bottom, Richard Feynman, ride hailing / ride sharing, Salesforce, Saturday Night Live, self-driving car, sharing economy, Sheryl Sandberg, Shoshana Zuboff, Silicon Valley, Snapchat, Steve Ballmer, Steve Jobs, surveillance capitalism, Susan Wojcicki, The Theory of the Leisure Class by Thorstein Veblen, three-martini lunch, Tim Cook: Apple, transaction costs, Uber and Lyft, uber lyft, Upton Sinclair, éminence grise

“I gained confidence because of my uncle, who mentored me,” he says, so much confidence that he and his brother Richard, who was doing motion graphics and title designs for movies, decided to team up in 1977 and create a special-effects company in New York, R/Greenberg Associates. They created the first integrated computer-assisted production process. Dyslexia imposes many burdens, he believes, but brings with it “pattern recognition,” or the ability to glimpse the new world technologies will introduce. With Richard as the designer and Robert as the cameraman and producer, their computer-assisted filmmaking company soon employed two hundred people. They created the opening title sequence for Superman in 1978 and the title designs for many movies and trailers, as well as special effects for many others.


The Smart Wife: Why Siri, Alexa, and Other Smart Home Devices Need a Feminist Reboot by Yolande Strengers, Jenny Kennedy

active measures, Amazon Robotics, Anthropocene, autonomous vehicles, Big Tech, Boston Dynamics, cloud computing, cognitive load, computer vision, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, crowdsourcing, cyber-physical system, data science, deepfake, Donald Trump, emotional labour, en.wikipedia.org, Evgeny Morozov, fake news, feminist movement, game design, gender pay gap, Grace Hopper, hive mind, Ian Bogost, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Internet of things, Jeff Bezos, John Markoff, Kitchen Debate, knowledge economy, Masayoshi Son, Milgram experiment, Minecraft, natural language processing, Network effects, new economy, pattern recognition, planned obsolescence, precautionary principle, robot derives from the Czech word robota Czech, meaning slave, self-driving car, Shoshana Zuboff, side hustle, side project, Silicon Valley, smart grid, smart meter, social intelligence, SoftBank, Steve Jobs, surveillance capitalism, systems thinking, technological solutionism, technoutopianism, TED Talk, Turing test, Wall-E, Wayback Machine, women in the workforce

The Look Book records what you wear and when, so that you can “keep track of your favorites and take your closet with you.”25 Amazon’s Echo Look also includes all the other usual Alexa accessories, and its features are likely to continue expanding. In 2018, Look users could crowdsource votes on their outfit; they will eventually be able to make use of a “mirror” that dresses them in virtual clothes.26 Using computer vision, pattern recognition, neural networks, and machine learning, the device is part of a system that will one day be able to design clothes by analyzing the Look’s database of images, identifying emerging trends, and then applying the learning to generate new items from scratch. Such possibilities raise a whole host of other consumption and sustainability concerns associated with fast fashion that support our arguments from chapter 4.


Autistic Community and the Neurodiversity Movement: Stories From the Frontline by Steven K. Kapp

Asperger Syndrome, autism spectrum disorder, basic income, book value, butterfly effect, cognitive dissonance, demand response, desegregation, disinformation, Donald Trump, epigenetics, feminist movement, glass ceiling, Internet Archive, Jeremy Corbyn, medical malpractice, meta-analysis, multilevel marketing, neurotypical, New Journalism, pattern recognition, phenotype, randomized controlled trial, selection bias, slashdot, theory of mind, twin studies, universal basic income, Wayback Machine

The same autistic individuals’ behavior [22] and perception [23] has demonstrated exceptional variability to the same task or stimuli over time. Even so-called talents or gifts (where present) vary in their presentation as strengths or weaknesses [24], depending on factors such as the social context [25]. Autistic-typical strengths such as pattern recognition tend to exist across the spectrum, including in minimally verbal children classified as “untestable” [10]. Autistic people also tend to gain skills across our lifespans (APA 2013), and the same activists parents might claim as unlike their child may have presented more severely as children.


pages: 918 words: 257,605

The Age of Surveillance Capitalism by Shoshana Zuboff

"World Economic Forum" Davos, algorithmic bias, Amazon Web Services, Andrew Keen, augmented reality, autonomous vehicles, barriers to entry, Bartolomé de las Casas, behavioural economics, Berlin Wall, Big Tech, bitcoin, blockchain, blue-collar work, book scanning, Broken windows theory, California gold rush, call centre, Cambridge Analytica, Capital in the Twenty-First Century by Thomas Piketty, Cass Sunstein, choice architecture, citizen journalism, Citizen Lab, classic study, cloud computing, collective bargaining, Computer Numeric Control, computer vision, connected car, context collapse, corporate governance, corporate personhood, creative destruction, cryptocurrency, data science, deep learning, digital capitalism, disinformation, dogs of the Dow, don't be evil, Donald Trump, Dr. Strangelove, driverless car, Easter island, Edward Snowden, en.wikipedia.org, Erik Brynjolfsson, Evgeny Morozov, facts on the ground, fake news, Ford Model T, Ford paid five dollars a day, future of work, game design, gamification, Google Earth, Google Glasses, Google X / Alphabet X, Herman Kahn, hive mind, Ian Bogost, impulse control, income inequality, information security, Internet of things, invention of the printing press, invisible hand, Jean Tirole, job automation, Johann Wolfgang von Goethe, John Markoff, John Maynard Keynes: Economic Possibilities for our Grandchildren, John Maynard Keynes: technological unemployment, Joseph Schumpeter, Kevin Kelly, Kevin Roose, knowledge economy, Lewis Mumford, linked data, longitudinal study, low skilled workers, Mark Zuckerberg, market bubble, means of production, multi-sided market, Naomi Klein, natural language processing, Network effects, new economy, Occupy movement, off grid, off-the-grid, PageRank, Panopticon Jeremy Bentham, pattern recognition, Paul Buchheit, performance metric, Philip Mirowski, precision agriculture, price mechanism, profit maximization, profit motive, public intellectual, recommendation engine, refrigerator car, RFID, Richard Thaler, ride hailing / ride sharing, Robert Bork, Robert Mercer, Salesforce, Second Machine Age, self-driving car, sentiment analysis, shareholder value, Sheryl Sandberg, Shoshana Zuboff, Sidewalk Labs, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley ideology, Silicon Valley startup, slashdot, smart cities, Snapchat, social contagion, social distancing, social graph, social web, software as a service, speech recognition, statistical model, Steve Bannon, Steve Jobs, Steven Levy, structural adjustment programs, surveillance capitalism, technological determinism, TED Talk, The Future of Employment, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, Tim Cook: Apple, two-sided market, union organizing, vertical integration, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, winner-take-all economy, Wolfgang Streeck, work culture , Yochai Benkler, you are the product

In 1997 she published Affective Computing, which posited a practical solution to the idea that some emotions are available to the conscious mind and can be expressed “cognitively” (“I feel scared”), whereas others may elude consciousness but nevertheless be expressed physically in beads of sweat, a widening of the eyes, or a nearly imperceptible tightening of the jaw. The key to affective computing, Picard argued, was to render both conscious and unconscious emotion as observable behavior for coding and calculation. A computer, she reasoned, would be able to render your emotions as behavioral information. Affect recognition, as she put it, is “a pattern recognition problem,” and “affect expression” is pattern synthesis. The proposition was that “computers can be given the ability to recognize emotions as well as a third-person human observer.” Picard imagined her affective insights being put to use in ways that were often good-hearted or, at the very least, benign.

We don’t need you to type at all. We know where you are. We know where you’ve been. We can more or less know what you’re thinking about.”8 Satya Nadella of Microsoft understands all physical and institutional spaces, people, and social relationships as indexable and searchable: all of it subject to machine reasoning, pattern recognition, prediction, preemption, interruption, and modification.9 Surveillance capitalism is not the old capitalism, and its leaders are not Smith’s or even Hayek’s capitalists. Under this regime, freedom and ignorance are no longer twin born, no longer two sides of the same coin called mystery. Surveillance capitalism is instead defined by an unprecedented convergence of freedom and knowledge.


pages: 913 words: 265,787

How the Mind Works by Steven Pinker

affirmative action, agricultural Revolution, Alfred Russel Wallace, Apple Newton, backpropagation, Buckminster Fuller, cognitive dissonance, Columbine, combinatorial explosion, complexity theory, computer age, computer vision, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, delayed gratification, disinformation, double helix, Dr. Strangelove, experimental subject, feminist movement, four colour theorem, Geoffrey Hinton, Gordon Gekko, Great Leap Forward, greed is good, Gregor Mendel, hedonic treadmill, Henri Poincaré, Herman Kahn, income per capita, information retrieval, invention of agriculture, invention of the wheel, Johannes Kepler, John von Neumann, lake wobegon effect, language acquisition, lateral thinking, Linda problem, Machine translation of "The spirit is willing, but the flesh is weak." to Russian and back, Mikhail Gorbachev, Murray Gell-Mann, mutually assured destruction, Necker cube, out of africa, Parents Music Resource Center, pattern recognition, phenotype, Plato's cave, plutocrats, random walk, Richard Feynman, Ronald Reagan, Rubik’s Cube, Saturday Night Live, scientific worldview, Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence, sexual politics, social intelligence, Steven Pinker, Stuart Kauffman, tacit knowledge, theory of mind, Thorstein Veblen, Tipper Gore, Turing machine, urban decay, Yogi Berra

Such a network would embody not only the knowledge that greenness predicts vegetablehood and crunchiness predicts vegetablehood, but that greenness predicts crunchiness, crunchiness predicts leafiness, greenness predicts lack of mobility, and so on: With this move, interesting things begin to happen. The network begins to resemble human thought processes in ways that sparsely connected networks do not. For this reason psychologists and artificial intelligence researchers have been using everything-connected-to-everything networks to model many examples of simple pattern recognition. They have built networks for the lines that co-occur in letters, the letters that co-occur in words, the animal parts that co-occur in animals, and the pieces of furniture that co-occur in rooms. Often the decision node at the top is thrown away and only the correlations among the properties are calculated.

The limitation is all too clear to microcomputer owners deciding whether to invest in more RAM. Of course the brain, unlike a computer, comes with vast amounts of parallel hardware for storage. Sometimes theorists infer that the brain can store all contingencies in advance and that thought can be reduced to one-step pattern recognition. But the mathematics of a combinatorial explosion bring to mind the old slogan of MTV: Too much is never enough. Simple calculations show that the number of humanly graspable sentences, sentence meanings, chess games, melodies, seeable objects, and so on can exceed the number of particles in the universe.


pages: 365 words: 117,713

The Selfish Gene by Richard Dawkins

double helix, Garrett Hardin, Gregor Mendel, information retrieval, lateral thinking, Necker cube, pattern recognition, phenotype, prisoner's dilemma, zero-sum game

For this reason, natural selection favoured animals that became equipped with sense organs, devices which translate patterns of physical events in the outside world into the pulse code of the neurones. The brain is connected to the sense organs-eyes, ears, taste-buds, etc.-by means of cables called sensory nerves. The workings of the sensory systems are particularly baffling, because they can achieve far more sophisticated feats of pattern-recognition than the best and most expensive man-made machines; if this were not so, all typists would be redundant, superseded by speech-recognizing machines, or machines for reading handwriting. Human typists will be needed for many decades yet. There may have been a time when sense organs communicated more or less directly with muscles; indeed, sea anemones are not far from this state today, since for their way of life it is efficient.


pages: 455 words: 116,578

The Power of Habit: Why We Do What We Do in Life and Business by Charles Duhigg

Atul Gawande, behavioural economics, Checklist Manifesto, corporate governance, cuban missile crisis, delayed gratification, desegregation, game design, haute couture, impulse control, index card, longitudinal study, meta-analysis, patient HM, pattern recognition, power law, randomized controlled trial, rolodex, Rosa Parks, Silicon Valley, Stanford marshmallow experiment, tacit knowledge, telemarketer, Tenerife airport disaster, the strength of weak ties, Toyota Production System, transaction costs, Walter Mischel

Scientists have examined people’s brains as they listen to music, and have tracked which neural regions are involved in comprehending aural stimuli. Listening to music activates numerous areas of the brain, including the auditory cortex, the thalamus, and the superior parietal cortex.7.19 These same areas are also associated with pattern recognition and helping the brain decide which inputs to pay attention to and which to ignore. The areas that process music, in other words, are designed to seek out patterns and look for familiarity. This makes sense. Music, after all, is complicated. The numerous tones, pitches, overlapping melodies, and competing sounds inside almost any song—or anyone speaking on a busy street, for that matter—are so overwhelming that, without our brain’s ability to focus on some sounds and ignore others, everything would seem like a cacophony of noise.7.20 Our brains crave familiarity in music because familiarity is how we manage to hear without becoming distracted by all the sound.


pages: 492 words: 118,882

The Blockchain Alternative: Rethinking Macroeconomic Policy and Economic Theory by Kariappa Bheemaiah

"World Economic Forum" Davos, accounting loophole / creative accounting, Ada Lovelace, Adam Curtis, Airbnb, Alan Greenspan, algorithmic trading, asset allocation, autonomous vehicles, balance sheet recession, bank run, banks create money, Basel III, basic income, behavioural economics, Ben Bernanke: helicopter money, bitcoin, Bletchley Park, blockchain, Bretton Woods, Brexit referendum, business cycle, business process, call centre, capital controls, Capital in the Twenty-First Century by Thomas Piketty, cashless society, cellular automata, central bank independence, Charles Babbage, Claude Shannon: information theory, cloud computing, cognitive dissonance, collateralized debt obligation, commoditize, complexity theory, constrained optimization, corporate governance, credit crunch, Credit Default Swap, credit default swaps / collateralized debt obligations, cross-border payments, crowdsourcing, cryptocurrency, data science, David Graeber, deep learning, deskilling, Diane Coyle, discrete time, disruptive innovation, distributed ledger, diversification, double entry bookkeeping, Ethereum, ethereum blockchain, fiat currency, financial engineering, financial innovation, financial intermediation, Flash crash, floating exchange rates, Fractional reserve banking, full employment, George Akerlof, Glass-Steagall Act, Higgs boson, illegal immigration, income inequality, income per capita, inflation targeting, information asymmetry, interest rate derivative, inventory management, invisible hand, John Maynard Keynes: technological unemployment, John von Neumann, joint-stock company, Joseph Schumpeter, junk bonds, Kenneth Arrow, Kenneth Rogoff, Kevin Kelly, knowledge economy, large denomination, Large Hadron Collider, Lewis Mumford, liquidity trap, London Whale, low interest rates, low skilled workers, M-Pesa, machine readable, Marc Andreessen, market bubble, market fundamentalism, Mexican peso crisis / tequila crisis, Michael Milken, MITM: man-in-the-middle, Money creation, money market fund, money: store of value / unit of account / medium of exchange, mortgage debt, natural language processing, Network effects, new economy, Nikolai Kondratiev, offshore financial centre, packet switching, Pareto efficiency, pattern recognition, peer-to-peer lending, Ponzi scheme, power law, precariat, pre–internet, price mechanism, price stability, private sector deleveraging, profit maximization, QR code, quantitative easing, quantitative trading / quantitative finance, Ray Kurzweil, Real Time Gross Settlement, rent control, rent-seeking, robo advisor, Satoshi Nakamoto, Satyajit Das, Savings and loan crisis, savings glut, seigniorage, seminal paper, Silicon Valley, Skype, smart contracts, software as a service, software is eating the world, speech recognition, statistical model, Stephen Hawking, Stuart Kauffman, supply-chain management, technology bubble, The Chicago School, The Future of Employment, The Great Moderation, the market place, The Nature of the Firm, the payments system, the scientific method, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, Thomas Kuhn: the structure of scientific revolutions, too big to fail, trade liberalization, transaction costs, Turing machine, Turing test, universal basic income, Vitalik Buterin, Von Neumann architecture, Washington Consensus

Complexity economics is thus the study of a history-dependent, living and always evolving system whose properties emerge as a result of the interaction between self-adapting individual agents , who in adapting to new information, change the system level behaviour and the overall state of the system. Breaking down the system to individual components thus destroys down the systems properties (Bruno et al., 2016). Hence the main areas of the study of complexity economics include, self-organization, pattern development and pattern recognition, agent-decision making, network propagation, interdependence of interactions, emergence, learning and memory, endogenous innovation, institutional effects, unpredictable dynamics, heterogeneity, path dependence, topology, change and evolution, holism and synergy (Manson, 2001). This interdisciplinary branch of study combines elements of physics, mathematics, computer science, ecology, engineering and, of course, economics.


pages: 412 words: 115,266

The Moral Landscape: How Science Can Determine Human Values by Sam Harris

Albert Einstein, banking crisis, Bayesian statistics, behavioural economics, cognitive bias, cognitive load, end world poverty, endowment effect, energy security, experimental subject, framing effect, higher-order functions, hindsight bias, impulse control, John Nash: game theory, language acquisition, longitudinal study, loss aversion, meta-analysis, mirror neurons, Monty Hall problem, out of africa, Paradox of Choice, pattern recognition, peak-end rule, placebo effect, Ponzi scheme, public intellectual, Richard Feynman, risk tolerance, scientific worldview, stem cell, Stephen Hawking, Steven Pinker, TED Talk, the scientific method, theory of mind, traumatic brain injury, trolley problem, ultimatum game, World Values Survey

Most analyses of fMRI data are univariate and merely look for correlations between the activity at each point in the brain and the task paradigm. This approach ignores the interrelationships that surely exist between regions. Cox and Savoy demonstrated that a multivariate approach, in which statistical pattern recognition methods are used to look for correlations across all regions, allows for a very subtle analysis of fMRI data in a way that is far more sensitive to distributed patterns of activity (Cox & Savoy, 2003). With this approach, they were able to determine which visual stimulus a subject was viewing (out of ten possible types) by examining a mere 20 seconds of his experimental run.


pages: 457 words: 112,439

Zero History by William Gibson

augmented reality, business intelligence, dark matter, edge city, hive mind, invisible hand, messenger bag, new economy, pattern recognition, Pepto Bismol, placebo effect, Ponzi scheme, RFID, too big to fail

TITLES BY WILLIAM GIBSON Neuromancer Count Zero Burning Chrome Mona Lisa Overdrive Virtual Light Idoru All Tomorrow’s Parties Pattern Recognition Spook Country WILLIAM GIBSON zero history VIKING an imprint of PENGUIN BOOKS VIKING Published by the Penguin Group Penguin Books Ltd, 80 Strand, London WC2R 0RL, England Penguin Group (USA) Inc., 375 Hudson Street, New York, New York 10014, USA Penguin Group (Canada), 90 Eglinton Avenue East, Suite 700, Toronto, Ontario, Canada M4P 2Y3 (a division of Pearson Penguin Canada Inc.) Penguin Ireland, 25 St Stephen’s Green, Dublin 2, Ireland (a division of Penguin Books Ltd) Penguin Group (Australia), 250 Camberwell Road, Camberwell, Victoria 3124, Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) Penguin Books India Pvt Ltd, 11 Community Centre, Panchsheel Park, New Delhi – 110 017, India Penguin Group (NZ), 67 Apollo Drive, Rosedale, North Shore 0632, New Zealand (a division of Pearson New Zealand Ltd) Penguin Books (South Africa) (Pty) Ltd, 24 Sturdee Avenue, Rosebank, Johannesburg 2196, South Africa Penguin Books Ltd, Registered Offices: 80 Strand, London WC2R 0RL, England www.penguin.com First published in the United States of America by G.


pages: 515 words: 117,501

Miracle Cure by William Rosen

Affordable Care Act / Obamacare, availability heuristic, biofilm, cognitive bias, cognitive dissonance, conceptual framework, Copley Medal, creative destruction, demographic transition, discovery of penicillin, do well by doing good, Edward Jenner, Ernest Rutherford, experimental subject, Fellow of the Royal Society, Frances Oldham Kelsey, Frederick Winslow Taylor, friendly fire, functional fixedness, germ theory of disease, global supply chain, Haber-Bosch Process, Ignaz Semmelweis: hand washing, Isaac Newton, James Watt: steam engine, Johannes Kepler, John Snow's cholera map, Joseph Schumpeter, Louis Pasteur, medical malpractice, meta-analysis, microbiome, New Journalism, obamacare, out of africa, pattern recognition, Pepto Bismol, public intellectual, randomized controlled trial, selection bias, stem cell, the long tail, transcontinental railway, working poor

Credit: Wellcome Library, London Gerhard Domagk, 1895–1964 Domagk’s experiments resulted in two significant findings. First: The performance of the Kupffer cells improved with exposure to the staph pathogen (though he couldn’t know the reason, which wasn’t discovered until the 1980s: pattern recognition proteins known as Toll-like receptors that identify different sorts of toxins produced by bacteria and tailor the response by white blood cells sent to destroy them). The second revelation was the big one: A staph cell that had been weakened beforehand by exposure to antiseptics was easier for the Kupffer cells to destroy.


pages: 407 words: 116,726

Infinite Powers: How Calculus Reveals the Secrets of the Universe by Steven Strogatz

Albert Einstein, Asperger Syndrome, Astronomia nova, Bernie Sanders, clockwork universe, complexity theory, cosmological principle, Dava Sobel, deep learning, DeepMind, double helix, Edmond Halley, Eratosthenes, four colour theorem, fudge factor, Henri Poincaré, invention of the telescope, Isaac Newton, Islamic Golden Age, Johannes Kepler, John Harrison: Longitude, Khan Academy, Laplace demon, lone genius, music of the spheres, pattern recognition, Paul Erdős, Pierre-Simon Laplace, precision agriculture, retrograde motion, Richard Feynman, Socratic dialogue, Steve Jobs, the rule of 72, the scientific method

A small value of x near 0 would produce a thin, upright segment of the circle, like a thin strip standing on its edge. Increasing x would fatten the segment into a blocky region. Going all the way up to an x-value of 1 would give him the familiar shape of a quarter circle. By dialing x up or down, he could go anywhere he liked in between. Through a freewheeling process of experimentation, pattern recognition, and inspired guesswork (a style of thinking he learned from Wallis’s book), Newton discovered that the area of the circular segment could be expressed by the following power series: A(x) = x − 1⁄6x3 − 1⁄40x5 − 1⁄112x7 − 5⁄1152x9 − · · · . As for where those peculiar fractions came from or why the powers of x were all odd numbers, well, that was Newton’s secret sauce.


pages: 425 words: 112,220

The Messy Middle: Finding Your Way Through the Hardest and Most Crucial Part of Any Bold Venture by Scott Belsky

23andMe, 3D printing, Airbnb, Albert Einstein, Anne Wojcicki, augmented reality, autonomous vehicles, behavioural economics, Ben Horowitz, bitcoin, blockchain, Chuck Templeton: OpenTable:, commoditize, correlation does not imply causation, cryptocurrency, data science, delayed gratification, DevOps, Donald Trump, Elon Musk, endowment effect, fake it until you make it, hiring and firing, Inbox Zero, iterative process, Jeff Bezos, knowledge worker, Lean Startup, Lyft, Mark Zuckerberg, Marshall McLuhan, minimum viable product, move fast and break things, NetJets, Network effects, new economy, old-boy network, Paradox of Choice, pattern recognition, Paul Graham, private spaceflight, reality distortion field, ride hailing / ride sharing, Salesforce, Sheryl Sandberg, Silicon Valley, skeuomorphism, slashdot, Snapchat, Steve Jobs, subscription business, sugar pill, systems thinking, TaskRabbit, TED Talk, the medium is the message, Tony Fadell, Travis Kalanick, Uber for X, uber lyft, WeWork, Y Combinator, young professional

Hence it comes about that at their first appearance innovators have generally been persecuted, and always derided as fools and madmen.” When working in a group, innovators must be willing to be the fool. The best investors don’t grasp too tightly to any given playbook. As a seed investor, I am always trying to use my pattern-recognition abilities without holding on too dearly to whatever worked before. None of my best investments were alike, obvious, or fit a popular rubric. Some, like Warby Parker, struck investors as too crowded a market and too commoditized. Others, like Pinterest, Uber, and Carta, initially appeared too niche with limited markets.


pages: 561 words: 114,843

Startup CEO: A Field Guide to Scaling Up Your Business, + Website by Matt Blumberg

activist fund / activist shareholder / activist investor, airport security, Albert Einstein, AOL-Time Warner, bank run, Ben Horowitz, Blue Ocean Strategy, book value, Broken windows theory, crowdsourcing, deskilling, fear of failure, financial engineering, high batting average, high net worth, hiring and firing, Inbox Zero, James Hargreaves, Jeff Bezos, job satisfaction, Kickstarter, knowledge economy, knowledge worker, Lean Startup, Mark Zuckerberg, minimum viable product, pattern recognition, performance metric, pets.com, rolodex, Rubik’s Cube, Salesforce, shareholder value, Silicon Valley, Skype

We have a world-class CFO with significant corporate development experience as well. Some directors are excitable and quick to react, others are more reflective; some are aggressive and others are more conservative; some have extremely colorful metaphors, while others are a bit more steeped in traditional pattern recognition. That diversity makes for great conversations. Fred Wilson has regularly written that “the success of an investment is in inverse proportion to the number of VCs on the board.” Though it hasn’t been my experience, I see Fred’s point. I’d argue that the same statement is true of founders or management as well.


pages: 397 words: 110,130

Smarter Than You Think: How Technology Is Changing Our Minds for the Better by Clive Thompson

4chan, A Declaration of the Independence of Cyberspace, Andy Carvin, augmented reality, barriers to entry, behavioural economics, Benjamin Mako Hill, butterfly effect, citizen journalism, Claude Shannon: information theory, compensation consultant, conceptual framework, context collapse, corporate governance, crowdsourcing, Deng Xiaoping, digital rights, discovery of penicillin, disruptive innovation, Douglas Engelbart, Douglas Engelbart, drone strike, Edward Glaeser, Edward Thorp, en.wikipedia.org, Evgeny Morozov, experimental subject, Filter Bubble, folksonomy, Freestyle chess, Galaxy Zoo, Google Earth, Google Glasses, Gunnar Myrdal, guns versus butter model, Henri Poincaré, hindsight bias, hive mind, Howard Rheingold, Ian Bogost, information retrieval, iterative process, James Bridle, jimmy wales, John Perry Barlow, Kevin Kelly, Khan Academy, knowledge worker, language acquisition, lifelogging, lolcat, Mark Zuckerberg, Marshall McLuhan, Menlo Park, Netflix Prize, Nicholas Carr, Panopticon Jeremy Bentham, patent troll, pattern recognition, pre–internet, public intellectual, Richard Feynman, Ronald Coase, Ronald Reagan, Rubik’s Cube, sentiment analysis, Silicon Valley, Skype, Snapchat, Socratic dialogue, spaced repetition, superconnector, telepresence, telepresence robot, The future is already here, The Nature of the Firm, the scientific method, the strength of weak ties, The Wisdom of Crowds, theory of mind, transaction costs, Twitter Arab Spring, Two Sigma, Vannevar Bush, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, WikiLeaks, X Prize, éminence grise

“It was like, I should write something—wait a minute, what’s on TV?” But in early 2011 he stumbled upon Quora and found the questions perversely stimulating. (Question: “What does the human brain find exciting about syncopated rhythm and breakbeats?” Hein’s answer began: “Predictable unpredictability. The brain is a pattern-recognition machine . . .”) Other times, he chimed in on everything from neuroscience and atheism to “What is it like to sleep in the middle of a forest?” (A: “Sleeping in the woods gratifies our biophilia.”) Within a year, he was hooked. “I will happily shuffle through the unanswered questions as a form of entertainment,” Hein says.


pages: 429 words: 114,726

The Computer Boys Take Over: Computers, Programmers, and the Politics of Technical Expertise by Nathan L. Ensmenger

barriers to entry, business process, Charles Babbage, Claude Shannon: information theory, computer age, deskilling, Donald Knuth, Firefox, Frederick Winslow Taylor, functional programming, future of work, Grace Hopper, informal economy, information retrieval, interchangeable parts, Isaac Newton, Jacquard loom, job satisfaction, John von Neumann, knowledge worker, Larry Ellison, loose coupling, machine readable, new economy, no silver bullet, Norbert Wiener, pattern recognition, performance metric, Philip Mirowski, post-industrial society, Productivity paradox, RAND corporation, Robert Gordon, scientific management, Shoshana Zuboff, sorting algorithm, Steve Jobs, Steven Levy, systems thinking, tacit knowledge, technological determinism, the market place, The Theory of the Leisure Class by Thorstein Veblen, Thomas Kuhn: the structure of scientific revolutions, Thorstein Veblen, Turing machine, Von Neumann architecture, world market for maybe five computers, Y2K

For instance, despite the growing consensus within the industry (especially in business data processing) that mathematical training was irrelevant to the performance of most commercial programming tasks, popular aptitude tests such as IBM PAT still emphasized mathematical ability.114 Some of the mathematical questions tested only logical thinking and pattern recognition, but others required formal training in mathematics—a fact that even Cosmopolitan recognized as discriminating against women. Still, the kinds of questions that could be easily tested using multiple-choice aptitude tests and mass-administered personality profiles necessarily focused on mathematical trivia, logic puzzles, and word games.


pages: 407 words: 114,478

The Four Pillars of Investing: Lessons for Building a Winning Portfolio by William J. Bernstein

Alan Greenspan, asset allocation, behavioural economics, book value, Bretton Woods, British Empire, business cycle, butter production in bangladesh, buy and hold, buy low sell high, carried interest, corporate governance, cuban missile crisis, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, Dava Sobel, diversification, diversified portfolio, Edmond Halley, equity premium, estate planning, Eugene Fama: efficient market hypothesis, financial engineering, financial independence, financial innovation, fixed income, George Santayana, German hyperinflation, Glass-Steagall Act, high net worth, hindsight bias, Hyman Minsky, index fund, invention of the telegraph, Isaac Newton, John Bogle, John Harrison: Longitude, junk bonds, Long Term Capital Management, loss aversion, low interest rates, market bubble, mental accounting, money market fund, mortgage debt, new economy, pattern recognition, Paul Samuelson, Performance of Mutual Funds in the Period, quantitative easing, railway mania, random walk, Richard Thaler, risk tolerance, risk/return, Robert Shiller, Savings and loan crisis, South Sea Bubble, stock buybacks, stocks for the long run, stocks for the long term, survivorship bias, Teledyne, The inhabitant of London could order by telephone, sipping his morning tea in bed, the various products of the whole earth, the rule of 72, transaction costs, Vanguard fund, yield curve, zero-sum game

The Faces in the Clouds If there is one skill that separates us from both computers and the rest of the animal kingdom, it is our ability to recognize highly abstract patterns. Newton’s intuition of the gravitational equation from a falling apple and Darwin’s extrapolating the theory of evolution from observing gardeners and farmers select for favorable plant characteristics are two spectacular examples of this ability. We all rely on pattern recognition in our everyday lives, from complex professional tasks down to things as mundane as the route we take to work or the way we organize our closets. But in investing, this talent is usually counterproductive. The simple reason is, for the most part, the pricing of stocks and bonds at both the individual and market level is random: there are no patterns.


pages: 309 words: 114,984

The Digital Doctor: Hope, Hype, and Harm at the Dawn of Medicine’s Computer Age by Robert Wachter

activist fund / activist shareholder / activist investor, Affordable Care Act / Obamacare, AI winter, Airbnb, Atul Gawande, Captain Sullenberger Hudson, Checklist Manifesto, Chuck Templeton: OpenTable:, Clayton Christensen, cognitive load, collapse of Lehman Brothers, computer age, creative destruction, crowdsourcing, deep learning, deskilling, disruptive innovation, driverless car, en.wikipedia.org, Erik Brynjolfsson, everywhere but in the productivity statistics, Firefox, Frank Levy and Richard Murnane: The New Division of Labor, general purpose technology, Google Glasses, human-factors engineering, hype cycle, Ignaz Semmelweis: hand washing, Internet of things, job satisfaction, Joseph Schumpeter, Kickstarter, knowledge worker, lifelogging, Marc Benioff, medical malpractice, medical residency, Menlo Park, minimum viable product, natural language processing, Network effects, Nicholas Carr, obamacare, pattern recognition, peer-to-peer, personalized medicine, pets.com, pneumatic tube, Productivity paradox, Ralph Nader, RAND corporation, Richard Hendricks, Robert Solow, Salesforce, Second Machine Age, self-driving car, seminal paper, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, six sigma, Skype, Snapchat, software as a service, Steve Jobs, Steven Levy, TED Talk, The future is already here, the payments system, The Wisdom of Crowds, Thomas Bayes, Toyota Production System, Uber for X, US Airways Flight 1549, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, Yogi Berra

To date, most claims that “this technology will replace doctors” (in areas ranging from diagnostic reasoning to robotic surgery) have proven to be hype (an issue we’ll explore in detail later when we talk about IBM’s Watson and medical diagnosis). However, in fields that are primarily about visual pattern recognition, the promise (or, if you’re a radiologist, the threat) is much more real. Studies have shown that computers can detect significant numbers of breast cancers and pulmonary emboli missed by radiologists, although nobody has yet taken the bold step of having the computers completely supplant the humans, partly because there are armadas of malpractice attorneys waiting to pounce, and partly because, at least for now, the combination of human and machine seems to perform better than either alone.


pages: 523 words: 112,185

Doing Data Science: Straight Talk From the Frontline by Cathy O'Neil, Rachel Schutt

Amazon Mechanical Turk, augmented reality, Augustin-Louis Cauchy, barriers to entry, Bayesian statistics, bike sharing, bioinformatics, computer vision, confounding variable, correlation does not imply causation, crowdsourcing, data science, distributed generation, Dunning–Kruger effect, Edward Snowden, Emanuel Derman, fault tolerance, Filter Bubble, finite state, Firefox, game design, Google Glasses, index card, information retrieval, iterative process, John Harrison: Longitude, Khan Academy, Kickstarter, machine translation, Mars Rover, Nate Silver, natural language processing, Netflix Prize, p-value, pattern recognition, performance metric, personalized medicine, pull request, recommendation engine, rent-seeking, selection bias, Silicon Valley, speech recognition, statistical model, stochastic process, tacit knowledge, text mining, the scientific method, The Wisdom of Crowds, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, X Prize

(Chapman & Hall) Data Analysis Using Regression and Multilevel/Hierarchical Models by Andrew Gelman and Jennifer Hill (Cambridge University Press) Advanced Data Analysis from an Elementary Point of View by Cosma Shalizi (under contract with Cambridge University Press) The Elements of Statistical Learning: Data Mining, Inference and Prediction by Trevor Hastie, Robert Tibshirani, and Jerome Friedman (Springer) Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning by Christopher Bishop (Springer) Bayesian Reasoning and Machine Learning by David Barber (Cambridge University Press) Programming Collective Intelligence by Toby Segaran (O’Reilly) Artificial Intelligence: A Modern Approach by Stuart Russell and Peter Norvig (Prentice Hall) Foundations of Machine Learning by Mehryar Mohri, Afshin Rostamizadeh, and Ameet Talwalkar (MIT Press) Introduction to Machine Learning (Adaptive Computation and Machine Learning) by Ethem Alpaydim (MIT Press) Experimental Design Field Experiments by Alan S.


pages: 463 words: 115,103

Head, Hand, Heart: Why Intelligence Is Over-Rewarded, Manual Workers Matter, and Caregivers Deserve More Respect by David Goodhart

active measures, Airbnb, Albert Einstein, assortative mating, basic income, Berlin Wall, Bernie Sanders, Big Tech, big-box store, Black Lives Matter, Boris Johnson, Branko Milanovic, Brexit referendum, British Empire, call centre, Cass Sunstein, central bank independence, centre right, computer age, corporate social responsibility, COVID-19, data science, David Attenborough, David Brooks, deglobalization, deindustrialization, delayed gratification, desegregation, deskilling, different worldview, Donald Trump, Elon Musk, emotional labour, Etonian, fail fast, Fall of the Berlin Wall, Flynn Effect, Frederick Winslow Taylor, future of work, gender pay gap, George Floyd, gig economy, glass ceiling, Glass-Steagall Act, Great Leap Forward, illegal immigration, income inequality, James Hargreaves, James Watt: steam engine, Jeff Bezos, job automation, job satisfaction, John Maynard Keynes: Economic Possibilities for our Grandchildren, knowledge economy, knowledge worker, labour market flexibility, lockdown, longitudinal study, low skilled workers, Mark Zuckerberg, mass immigration, meritocracy, new economy, Nicholas Carr, oil shock, pattern recognition, Peter Thiel, pink-collar, post-industrial society, post-materialism, postindustrial economy, precariat, reshoring, Richard Florida, robotic process automation, scientific management, Scientific racism, Skype, social distancing, social intelligence, spinning jenny, Steven Pinker, superintelligent machines, TED Talk, The Bell Curve by Richard Herrnstein and Charles Murray, The Rise and Fall of American Growth, Thorstein Veblen, twin studies, Tyler Cowen, Tyler Cowen: Great Stagnation, universal basic income, upwardly mobile, wages for housework, winner-take-all economy, women in the workforce, young professional

rather than raw ability, and that children with a good math education were going to perform better than equally bright children without one. The revised tests turned out to be good at predicting certain things like school achievement, but the questions are: How useful is this and what does it tell us about something as big and fuzzy as intelligence? If g, as revealed by IQ-type tests, is just a form of pattern recognition should it be afforded such a large space in educational and career selection processes? And that influence is still significant. In Britain, the eleven-plus is an IQ-type test, but since the abolition of most grammar schools and selection at age eleven, IQ tests are not used routinely in schools.


pages: 382 words: 114,537

On the Clock: What Low-Wage Work Did to Me and How It Drives America Insane by Emily Guendelsberger

Adam Curtis, Affordable Care Act / Obamacare, Airbnb, Amazon Picking Challenge, autism spectrum disorder, basic income, behavioural economics, Bernie Sanders, call centre, Capital in the Twenty-First Century by Thomas Piketty, cognitive dissonance, company town, David Attenborough, death from overwork, deskilling, do what you love, Donald Trump, Erik Brynjolfsson, Ford Model T, Ford paid five dollars a day, Frederick Winslow Taylor, fulfillment center, future of work, hive mind, housing crisis, independent contractor, Jeff Bezos, Jessica Bruder, job automation, job satisfaction, John Maynard Keynes: Economic Possibilities for our Grandchildren, Jon Ronson, karōshi / gwarosa / guolaosi, Kiva Systems, late capitalism, Lean Startup, market design, McDonald's hot coffee lawsuit, McJob, Minecraft, Nicholas Carr, Nomadland, obamacare, opioid epidemic / opioid crisis, Panopticon Jeremy Bentham, pattern recognition, precariat, Richard Thaler, San Francisco homelessness, scientific management, Second Machine Age, security theater, self-driving car, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, speech recognition, TaskRabbit, tech worker, The Future of Employment, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, Tony Hsieh, Toyota Production System, Travis Kalanick, union organizing, universal basic income, unpaid internship, Upton Sinclair, wage slave, working poor

Automation of most jobs is only a decade or two away, and human workers increasingly have to compete with computers, algorithms, and robots that never get tired, or sick, or depressed, or need a day off. Still, in industries that rely on skills that robots still aren’t great at—fine motor control, speech and pattern recognition, empathy—the cheapest option is still low-wage human workers. And so many employers demand a workforce that can think, talk, feel, and pick stuff up like humans—but with as few needs outside of work as robots. They insist their workers amputate the messy human bits of themselves—family, hunger, thirst, emotions, the need to make rent, sickness, fatigue, boredom, depression, traffic—or at least keep them completely at bay.


Visual Thinking: The Hidden Gifts of People Who Think in Pictures, Patterns, and Abstractions by Temple Grandin, Ph.D.

2013 Report for America's Infrastructure - American Society of Civil Engineers - 19 March 2013, 3D printing, a long time ago in a galaxy far, far away, air gap, Albert Einstein, American Society of Civil Engineers: Report Card, Apollo 11, Apple II, ASML, Asperger Syndrome, autism spectrum disorder, autonomous vehicles, Black Lives Matter, Boeing 737 MAX, Captain Sullenberger Hudson, clean water, cloud computing, computer vision, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, coronavirus, cotton gin, COVID-19, defense in depth, Drosophila, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, GPT-3, Gregor Mendel, Greta Thunberg, hallucination problem, helicopter parent, income inequality, industrial robot, invention of movable type, Isaac Newton, James Webb Space Telescope, John Nash: game theory, John von Neumann, Jony Ive, language acquisition, longitudinal study, Mark Zuckerberg, Mars Rover, meta-analysis, Neil Armstrong, neurotypical, pattern recognition, Peter Thiel, phenotype, ransomware, replication crisis, Report Card for America’s Infrastructure, Robert X Cringely, Saturday Night Live, self-driving car, seminal paper, Silicon Valley, Skinner box, space junk, stem cell, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, Tacoma Narrows Bridge, TaskRabbit, theory of mind, TikTok, twin studies, unpaid internship, upwardly mobile, US Airways Flight 1549, warehouse automation, warehouse robotics, web application, William Langewiesche, Y Combinator

But in a New York Times article, “The Secret History of Women in Coding,” he explains that in the early days of computing, women were more prevalent in computer design than they would be in subsequent decades. In the 1950s, gender barriers and prejudices hadn’t yet emerged. According to Thompson, “Institutions that needed programmers just used aptitude tests to evaluate applicants’ ability to think logically.” Employers often gave a pattern-recognition test, and looked for people who were logical, good at math, and meticulous. What they were really looking for, of course, had nothing to do with gender. They were looking for spatial visualizers. But even the most superb, beautiful mathematical code is not going to be successful if the user interface is a cluttered mess that is difficult to use.


pages: 412 words: 116,685

The Metaverse: And How It Will Revolutionize Everything by Matthew Ball

"hyperreality Baudrillard"~20 OR "Baudrillard hyperreality", 3D printing, Airbnb, Albert Einstein, Amazon Web Services, Apple Newton, augmented reality, Big Tech, bitcoin, blockchain, business process, call centre, cloud computing, commoditize, computer vision, COVID-19, cryptocurrency, deepfake, digital divide, digital twin, disintermediation, don't be evil, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, Ethereum, ethereum blockchain, game design, gig economy, Google Chrome, Google Earth, Google Glasses, hype cycle, intermodal, Internet Archive, Internet of things, iterative process, Jeff Bezos, John Gruber, Kevin Roose, Kickstarter, lockdown, Mark Zuckerberg, Metcalfe’s law, Minecraft, minimum viable product, Neal Stephenson, Network effects, new economy, non-fungible token, open economy, openstreetmap, pattern recognition, peer-to-peer, peer-to-peer model, Planet Labs, pre–internet, QR code, recommendation engine, rent control, rent-seeking, ride hailing / ride sharing, Robinhood: mobile stock trading app, satellite internet, self-driving car, SETI@home, Silicon Valley, skeuomorphism, Skype, smart contracts, Snapchat, Snow Crash, social graph, social web, SpaceX Starlink, Steve Ballmer, Steve Jobs, thinkpad, TikTok, Tim Cook: Apple, TSMC, undersea cable, Vannevar Bush, vertical integration, Vitalik Buterin, Wayback Machine, Y2K

In 2000, Japan even placed export limitations on its own beloved giant, Sony, fearing that the company’s new PlayStation 2 device could be used for terrorism on a global scale (for instance, to process missile guidance systems).2 The following year, in touting the importance of the consumer electronics industry, US Secretary of Commerce Don Evans stated “yesterday’s supercomputer is today’s PlayStation.”3 In 2010, the US Air Force Research Laboratory built the 33rd largest supercomputer in the world using 1,760 Sony PlayStation 3s. The project’s director estimated that the “Condor Cluster” was 5% to 10% the cost of equivalent systems and used 10% of the energy.4 The supercomputer was used for radar enhancement, pattern recognition, satellite imagery processing, and artificial intelligence research.5 The companies that typically focused on powering video game consoles and PCs are now some of the most powerful technology companies in human history. The best example is computing and system-on-a-chip giant Nvidia, which is far from a household name yet ranks alongside consumer-facing tech platforms Google, Apple, Facebook, Amazon, and Microsoft as one of the ten largest public companies in the world.


pages: 370 words: 112,809

The Equality Machine: Harnessing Digital Technology for a Brighter, More Inclusive Future by Orly Lobel

2021 United States Capitol attack, 23andMe, Ada Lovelace, affirmative action, Airbnb, airport security, Albert Einstein, algorithmic bias, Amazon Mechanical Turk, augmented reality, barriers to entry, basic income, Big Tech, bioinformatics, Black Lives Matter, Boston Dynamics, Charles Babbage, choice architecture, computer vision, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, contact tracing, coronavirus, corporate social responsibility, correlation does not imply causation, COVID-19, crowdsourcing, data science, David Attenborough, David Heinemeier Hansson, deep learning, deepfake, digital divide, digital map, Elon Musk, emotional labour, equal pay for equal work, feminist movement, Filter Bubble, game design, gender pay gap, George Floyd, gig economy, glass ceiling, global pandemic, Google Chrome, Grace Hopper, income inequality, index fund, information asymmetry, Internet of things, invisible hand, it's over 9,000, iterative process, job automation, Lao Tzu, large language model, lockdown, machine readable, machine translation, Mark Zuckerberg, market bubble, microaggression, Moneyball by Michael Lewis explains big data, natural language processing, Netflix Prize, Network effects, Northpointe / Correctional Offender Management Profiling for Alternative Sanctions, occupational segregation, old-boy network, OpenAI, openstreetmap, paperclip maximiser, pattern recognition, performance metric, personalized medicine, price discrimination, publish or perish, QR code, randomized controlled trial, remote working, risk tolerance, robot derives from the Czech word robota Czech, meaning slave, Ronald Coase, Salesforce, self-driving car, sharing economy, Sheryl Sandberg, Silicon Valley, social distancing, social intelligence, speech recognition, statistical model, stem cell, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, surveillance capitalism, tech worker, TechCrunch disrupt, The Future of Employment, TikTok, Turing test, universal basic income, Wall-E, warehouse automation, women in the workforce, work culture , you are the product

Whether or not this comes to pass and whatever it may look like, it is highly likely that the human-machine entanglement will only become deeper, that the integration of robots will only become greater. We can already say that automation is reshaping how we work and live. At the same time, we are just beginning to create truly smart machines. Our algorithms are good at pattern recognition, but they do not yet think for themselves; we are nowhere close to that point. As Stanford University professor Fei-Fei Li said in her testimony to the U.S. Congress about the state of AI, “There’s nothing artificial about AI. It’s inspired by people, and most importantly it impacts people.”16 In 1950, Alan Turing asked whether it would be possible one day to create a computer with consciousness.


Stock Market Wizards: Interviews With America's Top Stock Traders by Jack D. Schwager

Asian financial crisis, banking crisis, barriers to entry, Bear Stearns, beat the dealer, Black-Scholes formula, book value, commodity trading advisor, computer vision, East Village, Edward Thorp, financial engineering, financial independence, fixed income, implied volatility, index fund, Jeff Bezos, John Meriwether, John von Neumann, junk bonds, locking in a profit, Long Term Capital Management, managed futures, margin call, Market Wizards by Jack D. Schwager, money market fund, Myron Scholes, paper trading, passive investing, pattern recognition, proprietary trading, random walk, risk free rate, risk tolerance, risk-adjusted returns, short selling, short squeeze, Silicon Valley, statistical arbitrage, Teledyne, the scientific method, transaction costs, Y2K

. > Stay focused, especially when the markets are moving. *• Anticipate, don't react. >• Listen to the market, not outside opinions. *• Think trades through, including profit/loss exit points, before you put them on. > If you are unsure about a position, just get out. »» Force yourself to trade against the consensus. *• Trade pattern recognition. > Look past tomorrow; develop a six-month and one-year outlook. > Prices move before fundamentals. *• It is a warning flag if the market is not responding to data correctly. * Be totally flexible; be able to admit when you are wrong. *• You will be wrong often; recognize winners and losers fast. ^ Start each day from last night's close, not your original cost. > Adding to losers is easy but usually wrong. >• Force yourself to buy on extreme weakness and sell on extreme strength.


When Computers Can Think: The Artificial Intelligence Singularity by Anthony Berglas, William Black, Samantha Thalind, Max Scratchmann, Michelle Estes

3D printing, Abraham Maslow, AI winter, air gap, anthropic principle, artificial general intelligence, Asilomar, augmented reality, Automated Insights, autonomous vehicles, availability heuristic, backpropagation, blue-collar work, Boston Dynamics, brain emulation, call centre, cognitive bias, combinatorial explosion, computer vision, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, create, read, update, delete, cuban missile crisis, David Attenborough, DeepMind, disinformation, driverless car, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, epigenetics, Ernest Rutherford, factory automation, feminist movement, finite state, Flynn Effect, friendly AI, general-purpose programming language, Google Glasses, Google X / Alphabet X, Gödel, Escher, Bach, Hans Moravec, industrial robot, Isaac Newton, job automation, John von Neumann, Law of Accelerating Returns, license plate recognition, Mahatma Gandhi, mandelbrot fractal, natural language processing, Nick Bostrom, Parkinson's law, patent troll, patient HM, pattern recognition, phenotype, ransomware, Ray Kurzweil, Recombinant DNA, self-driving car, semantic web, Silicon Valley, Singularitarianism, Skype, sorting algorithm, speech recognition, statistical model, stem cell, Stephen Hawking, Stuxnet, superintelligent machines, technological singularity, Thomas Malthus, Turing machine, Turing test, uranium enrichment, Von Neumann architecture, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, wikimedia commons, zero day

Finally note that in the sample the speaker has paused for 100 milliseconds between the words, but in normal, continuous speech words are often run together making it very difficult to know where one word ends and another word begins. Sonogram of the words “Three Tea” Educational http://www.cslu.ogi.edu/tutordemos/nnet_training/tutorial.html Speech recognition systems attack this problem in a similar way to other pattern recognition problems. The data is first conditioned to make it easier to work with. Then features are extracted which can be compared with a model of what features are expected. Speech understanding systems usually start by splitting the input sound into overlapping frames about 10 milliseconds long. That is fine enough to isolate short-duration phones, but coarse enough to enable a proper frequency analysis to be performed.


pages: 691 words: 126,970

Code of the Lifemaker by James P. Hogan

oil shale / tar sands, orbital mechanics / astrodynamics, pattern recognition

TITAN MUST WORK FOR WEALTH FOR ALL TALOIDS JUST AS EARTH HAD TO WORK FOR WEALTH FOR ALL TALOIDS. Seltzman sighed. "Delete last word. Insert Earthmen." The machine complied. "Okay," he pronounced. The "transmogrifier" that Dave Crookes, Leon Keyhoe, and some of the other signals engineers and pattern-recognition specialists had assembled and were still improving did not so much translate languages as enable the two parties in a dialogue—whose native languages were not only mutually unintelligible but also completely inaudible—to tell the machine, in effect, to note what was said and remember its meaning.


pages: 390 words: 125,082

Years of the City by Frederik Pohl

Albert Einstein, Buckminster Fuller, card file, East Village, Maui Hawaii, medical malpractice, pattern recognition

So did every other prisoner, because no matter where they were or what they were doing the master locator file tagged them in and out every time they came to a checkpoint. You lifted your leg to present the ID on your ankle to the optical scanner. The scanner made sure you were you by voice prints or pattern recognition of face or form, sometimes even by smell. It queried the master file to find out if you were supposed to be going where you were going, and if all was in order you simply walked right through. The whole process took no longer than opening an ordinary door, and you didn’t screw around if you could help it because, anyway, you were under continuous closed-circuit surveillance all the time.


pages: 494 words: 116,739

Geek Heresy: Rescuing Social Change From the Cult of Technology by Kentaro Toyama

Abraham Maslow, Albert Einstein, Apollo 11, behavioural economics, Berlin Wall, Bernie Madoff, blood diamond, Capital in the Twenty-First Century by Thomas Piketty, Cass Sunstein, cognitive dissonance, commoditize, computer vision, conceptual framework, delayed gratification, digital divide, do well by doing good, Edward Glaeser, Edward Jenner, en.wikipedia.org, end world poverty, epigenetics, Erik Brynjolfsson, Evgeny Morozov, Francis Fukuyama: the end of history, fundamental attribution error, gamification, germ theory of disease, global village, Hans Rosling, happiness index / gross national happiness, income inequality, invention of the printing press, invisible hand, Isaac Newton, Khan Academy, Kibera, knowledge worker, Larry Ellison, Lewis Mumford, liberation theology, libertarian paternalism, longitudinal study, M-Pesa, Mahatma Gandhi, Mark Zuckerberg, means of production, microcredit, mobile money, Neil Armstrong, Nelson Mandela, Nicholas Carr, North Sea oil, One Laptop per Child (OLPC), Panopticon Jeremy Bentham, pattern recognition, Peter Singer: altruism, Peter Thiel, post-industrial society, Powell Memorandum, randomized controlled trial, rent-seeking, RFID, Richard Florida, Richard Thaler, school vouchers, self-driving car, Sheryl Sandberg, Silicon Valley, Simon Kuznets, Stanford marshmallow experiment, Steve Jobs, Steven Pinker, technological determinism, technological solutionism, technoutopianism, TED Talk, The Fortune at the Bottom of the Pyramid, the long tail, Twitter Arab Spring, Upton Sinclair, Walter Mischel, War on Poverty, winner-take-all economy, World Values Survey, Y2K

Information Technologies and International Development 5(1):81–95, http://itidjournal.org/itid/article/view/327/150. Venkatesh, Sudhir. (2008). Gang Leader for a Day: A Rogue Sociologist Crosses the Line. Allen Lane. Viola, Paul, and Michael Jones. (2001). Rapid object detection using a boosted cascade of simple features. In Proceedings of the Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition, http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/CVPR.2001.990517. Vornovytskyy, Marina, Alfred Gottschalck, and Adam Smith. (2011). Household debt in the U.S.: 2000 to 2011. US Census Bureau, www.census.gov/people/wealth/files/Debt%20Highlights%202011.pdf. Wahba, Mahmoud A., and Lawrence G. Bridwell. (1976). Maslow reconsidered: A review of research on the need hierarchy theory.


pages: 461 words: 125,845

This Machine Kills Secrets: Julian Assange, the Cypherpunks, and Their Fight to Empower Whistleblowers by Andy Greenberg

air gap, Apple II, Ayatollah Khomeini, Berlin Wall, Bill Gates: Altair 8800, Bletchley Park, Burning Man, Chelsea Manning, computerized markets, crowdsourcing, cryptocurrency, disinformation, domain-specific language, driverless car, drone strike, en.wikipedia.org, Evgeny Morozov, Fairchild Semiconductor, fault tolerance, hive mind, information security, Jacob Appelbaum, John Gilmore, John Perry Barlow, Julian Assange, Lewis Mumford, Mahatma Gandhi, military-industrial complex, Mitch Kapor, MITM: man-in-the-middle, Mohammed Bouazizi, Mondo 2000, Neal Stephenson, nuclear winter, offshore financial centre, operational security, PalmPilot, pattern recognition, profit motive, Ralph Nader, real-name policy, reality distortion field, Richard Stallman, Robert Hanssen: Double agent, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley ideology, Skype, social graph, SQL injection, statistical model, stem cell, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, Steven Levy, Teledyne, three-masted sailing ship, undersea cable, Vernor Vinge, We are Anonymous. We are Legion, We are the 99%, WikiLeaks, X Prize, Zimmermann PGP

And to a reader like May, it must have seemed like one brilliant gift to the world of ideas after another. It began with a prescient description of how the digital world would allow surveillance and manipulation of normal people on a terrifying scale. “New and . . . serious dangers derive from computerized pattern recognition techniques: even a small group using these and tapping into data gathered in everyday consumer transactions could secretly conduct mass surveillance, inferring individuals’ lifestyles, activities, and associations,” Chaum wrote. “The automation of payment and other consumer transactions is expanding these dangers to an unprecedented extent.”


pages: 448 words: 117,325

Click Here to Kill Everybody: Security and Survival in a Hyper-Connected World by Bruce Schneier

23andMe, 3D printing, air gap, algorithmic bias, autonomous vehicles, barriers to entry, Big Tech, bitcoin, blockchain, Brian Krebs, business process, Citizen Lab, cloud computing, cognitive bias, computer vision, connected car, corporate governance, crowdsourcing, cryptocurrency, cuban missile crisis, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, David Heinemeier Hansson, disinformation, Donald Trump, driverless car, drone strike, Edward Snowden, Elon Musk, end-to-end encryption, fault tolerance, Firefox, Flash crash, George Akerlof, incognito mode, industrial robot, information asymmetry, information security, Internet of things, invention of radio, job automation, job satisfaction, John Gilmore, John Markoff, Kevin Kelly, license plate recognition, loose coupling, market design, medical malpractice, Minecraft, MITM: man-in-the-middle, move fast and break things, national security letter, Network effects, Nick Bostrom, NSO Group, pattern recognition, precautionary principle, printed gun, profit maximization, Ralph Nader, RAND corporation, ransomware, real-name policy, Rodney Brooks, Ross Ulbricht, security theater, self-driving car, Seymour Hersh, Shoshana Zuboff, Silicon Valley, smart cities, smart transportation, Snapchat, sparse data, Stanislav Petrov, Stephen Hawking, Stuxnet, supply-chain attack, surveillance capitalism, The Market for Lemons, Timothy McVeigh, too big to fail, Uber for X, Unsafe at Any Speed, uranium enrichment, Valery Gerasimov, Wayback Machine, web application, WikiLeaks, Yochai Benkler, zero day

Dudley (17 May 2016), “Deep Patient: An unsupervised representation to predict the future of patients from the electronic health records,” Scientific Reports 6, no. 26094, https://www.nature.com/articles/srep26094. 83But although the system works: Will Knight (11 Apr 2017), “The dark secret at the heart of AI,” MIT Technology Review, https://www.technologyreview.com/s/604087/the-dark-secret-at-the-heart-of-ai. 83A 2014 book, Autonomous Technologies: William Messner, ed. (2014), Autonomous Technologies: Applications That Matter, SAE International, http://books.sae.org/jpf-auv-004. 84One research project focused on: Anh Nguyen, Jason Yosinski, and Jeff Clune (2 Apr 2015), “Deep neural networks are easily fooled: High confidence predictions for unrecognizable images,” in Proceedings of the 2015 IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (CVPR ’15), https://arxiv.org/abs/1412.1897. 84A related research project was able: Christian Szegedy et al. (19 Feb 2014), “Intriguing properties of neural networks,” in Conference Proceedings: International Conference on Learning Representations (ICLR) 2014, https://arxiv.org/abs/1312.6199. 84Yet another project tricked an algorithm: Andrew Ilyas et al. (20 Dec 2017), “Partial information attacks on real-world AI,” LabSix, http://www.labsix.org/partial-information-adversarial-examples. 85Like the Microsoft chatbot Tay: James Vincent (24 Mar 2016), “Twitter taught Microsoft’s AI chatbot to be a racist asshole in less than a day,” Verge, https://www.theverge.com/2016/3/24/11297050/tay-microsoft-chatbot-racist. 85In 2017, Dow Jones accidentally: Timothy B.


Fix Your Gut: The Definitive Guide to Digestive Disorders by John Brisson

23andMe, big-box store, biofilm, butterfly effect, clean water, Helicobacter pylori, life extension, meta-analysis, microbiome, pattern recognition, publication bias, selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor (SSRI), Silicon Valley, Zimmermann PGP

Finally, it is also able to modulate leptin, ghrelin, calcitonin gene-related peptide (CGRP), nitric oxide, neuropeptide Y, substance P (SP), somatostatin (STS) and cholecystokinin (CCK). H. pylori are able to avoid easily immune system detection by modulating inflammatory pathways, avoiding immune pattern recognition receptors by using endotoxins and flagellin, produce biofilms, reduce phagocyte potential, reduce endogenous nitric oxide production (increases blood pressure and promotes vasoconstriction), and by reducing T cell response. H. pylori also cause many different medical conditions and health issues, those include: H. pylori can shed potent endotoxins that can leak into the bloodstream and increase inflammatory markers.


pages: 756 words: 120,818

The Levelling: What’s Next After Globalization by Michael O’sullivan

"World Economic Forum" Davos, 3D printing, Airbnb, Alan Greenspan, algorithmic trading, Alvin Toffler, bank run, banking crisis, barriers to entry, Bernie Sanders, Big Tech, bitcoin, Black Swan, blockchain, bond market vigilante , Boris Johnson, Branko Milanovic, Bretton Woods, Brexit referendum, British Empire, business cycle, business process, capital controls, carbon tax, Celtic Tiger, central bank independence, classic study, cloud computing, continuation of politics by other means, corporate governance, credit crunch, CRISPR, cryptocurrency, data science, deglobalization, deindustrialization, disinformation, disruptive innovation, distributed ledger, Donald Trump, driverless car, eurozone crisis, fake news, financial engineering, financial innovation, first-past-the-post, fixed income, gentrification, Geoffrey West, Santa Fe Institute, Gini coefficient, Glass-Steagall Act, global value chain, housing crisis, impact investing, income inequality, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), It's morning again in America, James Carville said: "I would like to be reincarnated as the bond market. You can intimidate everybody.", junk bonds, knowledge economy, liberal world order, Long Term Capital Management, longitudinal study, low interest rates, market bubble, minimum wage unemployment, new economy, Northern Rock, offshore financial centre, open economy, opioid epidemic / opioid crisis, Paris climate accords, pattern recognition, Peace of Westphalia, performance metric, Phillips curve, private military company, quantitative easing, race to the bottom, reserve currency, Robert Gordon, Robert Shiller, Robert Solow, Ronald Reagan, Scramble for Africa, secular stagnation, Silicon Valley, Sinatra Doctrine, South China Sea, South Sea Bubble, special drawing rights, Steve Bannon, Suez canal 1869, supply-chain management, The inhabitant of London could order by telephone, sipping his morning tea in bed, the various products of the whole earth, The Rise and Fall of American Growth, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, Thomas Kuhn: the structure of scientific revolutions, total factor productivity, trade liberalization, tulip mania, Valery Gerasimov, Washington Consensus

Historically, political leaders and some governments have co-opted the forces of nationalism and religion, the dream of economic progress, and the fear of external threat to corral societies. In China’s case, the underlying social, technological, and economic changes may be too great to be contained by words and images alone. China is already investing heavily in technologically based social control mechanisms that employ algorithms and facial and pattern recognition to gauge which citizens are misbehaving, or are likely to misbehave. Another, perhaps less heavy-handed approach is to develop social infrastructure that encompasses many of the elements of intangible infrastructure, such as health-care spending, education, pension plans, and broader financial services.


pages: 515 words: 126,820

Blockchain Revolution: How the Technology Behind Bitcoin Is Changing Money, Business, and the World by Don Tapscott, Alex Tapscott

"World Economic Forum" Davos, Airbnb, altcoin, Alvin Toffler, asset-backed security, autonomous vehicles, barriers to entry, behavioural economics, bitcoin, Bitcoin Ponzi scheme, blockchain, Blythe Masters, Bretton Woods, business logic, business process, buy and hold, Capital in the Twenty-First Century by Thomas Piketty, carbon credits, carbon footprint, clean water, cloud computing, cognitive dissonance, commoditize, commons-based peer production, corporate governance, corporate social responsibility, creative destruction, Credit Default Swap, crowdsourcing, cryptocurrency, currency risk, decentralized internet, digital capitalism, disintermediation, disruptive innovation, distributed ledger, do well by doing good, Donald Trump, double entry bookkeeping, driverless car, Edward Snowden, Elon Musk, Erik Brynjolfsson, Ethereum, ethereum blockchain, failed state, fiat currency, financial innovation, Firefox, first square of the chessboard, first square of the chessboard / second half of the chessboard, future of work, Future Shock, Galaxy Zoo, general purpose technology, George Gilder, glass ceiling, Google bus, GPS: selective availability, Hacker News, Hernando de Soto, Higgs boson, holacracy, income inequality, independent contractor, informal economy, information asymmetry, information security, intangible asset, interest rate swap, Internet of things, Jeff Bezos, jimmy wales, Kickstarter, knowledge worker, Kodak vs Instagram, Lean Startup, litecoin, Lyft, M-Pesa, Marc Andreessen, Mark Zuckerberg, Marshall McLuhan, means of production, microcredit, mobile money, money market fund, Neal Stephenson, Network effects, new economy, Oculus Rift, off grid, pattern recognition, peer-to-peer, peer-to-peer lending, peer-to-peer model, performance metric, Peter Thiel, planetary scale, Ponzi scheme, prediction markets, price mechanism, Productivity paradox, QR code, quantitative easing, radical decentralization, ransomware, Ray Kurzweil, renewable energy credits, rent-seeking, ride hailing / ride sharing, Ronald Coase, Ronald Reagan, Salesforce, Satoshi Nakamoto, search costs, Second Machine Age, seigniorage, self-driving car, sharing economy, Silicon Valley, Skype, smart contracts, smart grid, Snow Crash, social graph, social intelligence, social software, standardized shipping container, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, Stewart Brand, supply-chain management, systems thinking, TaskRabbit, TED Talk, The Fortune at the Bottom of the Pyramid, The Nature of the Firm, The Soul of a New Machine, The Wisdom of Crowds, transaction costs, Turing complete, Turing test, Tyler Cowen, Uber and Lyft, uber lyft, unbanked and underbanked, underbanked, unorthodox policies, vertical integration, Vitalik Buterin, wealth creators, X Prize, Y2K, Yochai Benkler, Zipcar

The medical profession will soon be using similar technology for targeted drug delivery to certain types of cancer, measuring core temperature and other biomarkers.10 The devices can communicate with one another, with computers and databases directly or through the cloud, and with people (send you a text message or call your mobile). These devices, through their evolving machine intelligence and the data they collect, are putting analysis of data, pattern recognition, and trend spotting into individual hands.11 The industry term big data hardly describes the myriad data that the physical world will generate. By the most conservative estimate, the 10 billion or so devices connected via the Internet today will grow to more than 25 billion by 2020.12 Call it “infinite data” from infinite devices.


pages: 509 words: 132,327

Rise of the Machines: A Cybernetic History by Thomas Rid

1960s counterculture, A Declaration of the Independence of Cyberspace, agricultural Revolution, Albert Einstein, Alistair Cooke, Alvin Toffler, Apple II, Apple's 1984 Super Bowl advert, back-to-the-land, Berlin Wall, Bletchley Park, British Empire, Brownian motion, Buckminster Fuller, business intelligence, Charles Babbage, Charles Lindbergh, Claude Shannon: information theory, conceptual framework, connected car, domain-specific language, Douglas Engelbart, Douglas Engelbart, Dr. Strangelove, dumpster diving, Extropian, full employment, game design, global village, Hacker News, Haight Ashbury, Herman Kahn, Howard Rheingold, Ivan Sutherland, Jaron Lanier, job automation, John Gilmore, John Markoff, John Perry Barlow, John von Neumann, Kevin Kelly, Kubernetes, Marshall McLuhan, Menlo Park, military-industrial complex, Mitch Kapor, Mondo 2000, Morris worm, Mother of all demos, Neal Stephenson, new economy, New Journalism, Norbert Wiener, offshore financial centre, oil shale / tar sands, Oklahoma City bombing, operational security, pattern recognition, public intellectual, RAND corporation, Silicon Valley, Simon Singh, Snow Crash, speech recognition, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, Steven Levy, Stewart Brand, systems thinking, technoutopianism, Telecommunications Act of 1996, telepresence, The Hackers Conference, Timothy McVeigh, Vernor Vinge, We are as Gods, Whole Earth Catalog, Whole Earth Review, Y2K, Yom Kippur War, Zimmermann PGP

The soldiers of the future, “of course,” will be computers as well. “Welcome to World War III, the Cybernetic War created by machines for machines.”1 The arsenals of cybernetic war were stocked with an array of fancy weaponry: cruise missiles, smart bombs, sophisticated intercontinental missiles with multiple warheads, and tools such as robotic pattern recognition, code, game theory, cryptography, and simulation. In 1979 these terms were still somewhat vague and undefined, all sounding equally futuristic. When Post’s article on the future of war came out, its analysis was at the cutting edge of technology. The US military was still reeling from defeat in Vietnam, a decidedly low-tech war.


The Book of Why: The New Science of Cause and Effect by Judea Pearl, Dana Mackenzie

affirmative action, Albert Einstein, AlphaGo, Asilomar, Bayesian statistics, computer age, computer vision, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, confounding variable, correlation coefficient, correlation does not imply causation, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, data science, deep learning, DeepMind, driverless car, Edmond Halley, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, experimental subject, Great Leap Forward, Gregor Mendel, Isaac Newton, iterative process, John Snow's cholera map, Loebner Prize, loose coupling, Louis Pasteur, Menlo Park, Monty Hall problem, pattern recognition, Paul Erdős, personalized medicine, Pierre-Simon Laplace, placebo effect, Plato's cave, prisoner's dilemma, probability theory / Blaise Pascal / Pierre de Fermat, randomized controlled trial, Recombinant DNA, selection bias, self-driving car, seminal paper, Silicon Valley, speech recognition, statistical model, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, strong AI, The Design of Experiments, the scientific method, Thomas Bayes, Turing test

First, structural causal models are a shortcut that works, and there aren’t any competitors around with that miraculous property. Second, they were modeled on Bayesian networks, which in turn were modeled on David Rumelhart’s description of message passing in the brain. It is not too much of a stretch to think that 40,000 years ago, humans co-opted the machinery in their brain that already existed for pattern recognition and started to use it for causal reasoning. Philosophers tend to leave it to psychologists to make statements about how the mind does things, which explains why the questions above were not addressed until quite recently. However, artificial intelligence (AI) researchers could not wait. They aimed to build robots that could communicate with humans about alternate scenarios, credit and blame, responsibility and regret.


How I Became a Quant: Insights From 25 of Wall Street's Elite by Richard R. Lindsey, Barry Schachter

Albert Einstein, algorithmic trading, Andrew Wiles, Antoine Gombaud: Chevalier de Méré, asset allocation, asset-backed security, backtesting, bank run, banking crisis, Bear Stearns, Black-Scholes formula, Bob Litterman, Bonfire of the Vanities, book value, Bretton Woods, Brownian motion, business cycle, business process, butter production in bangladesh, buy and hold, buy low sell high, capital asset pricing model, centre right, collateralized debt obligation, commoditize, computerized markets, corporate governance, correlation coefficient, creative destruction, Credit Default Swap, credit default swaps / collateralized debt obligations, currency manipulation / currency intervention, currency risk, discounted cash flows, disintermediation, diversification, Donald Knuth, Edward Thorp, Emanuel Derman, en.wikipedia.org, Eugene Fama: efficient market hypothesis, financial engineering, financial innovation, fixed income, full employment, George Akerlof, global macro, Gordon Gekko, hiring and firing, implied volatility, index fund, interest rate derivative, interest rate swap, Ivan Sutherland, John Bogle, John von Neumann, junk bonds, linear programming, Loma Prieta earthquake, Long Term Capital Management, machine readable, margin call, market friction, market microstructure, martingale, merger arbitrage, Michael Milken, Myron Scholes, Nick Leeson, P = NP, pattern recognition, Paul Samuelson, pensions crisis, performance metric, prediction markets, profit maximization, proprietary trading, purchasing power parity, quantitative trading / quantitative finance, QWERTY keyboard, RAND corporation, random walk, Ray Kurzweil, Reminiscences of a Stock Operator, Richard Feynman, Richard Stallman, risk free rate, risk-adjusted returns, risk/return, seminal paper, shareholder value, Sharpe ratio, short selling, Silicon Valley, six sigma, sorting algorithm, statistical arbitrage, statistical model, stem cell, Steven Levy, stochastic process, subscription business, systematic trading, technology bubble, The Great Moderation, the scientific method, too big to fail, trade route, transaction costs, transfer pricing, value at risk, volatility smile, Wiener process, yield curve, young professional

I finally began to have a vague idea of what it was these companies were doing. That clearly helped me in subsequent interviews and, at the beginning of 1997, I had the first job offers. The first one was from a commodity trading company’s investment team. They were dead keen on all sorts of time series analysis and pattern recognition methods. They made an offer, but I had to realise that, given the extra expense of living in London, it would have meant that my standard of life would actually go down, rather than up. It really was very low for a job in finance, less than what a teacher is paid in London today. Almost at the same time, I had some meetings with Henrik Neuhaus from Nikko Securities’ European operation, Nikko Europe.


pages: 437 words: 132,041

Alex's Adventures in Numberland by Alex Bellos

Andrew Wiles, Antoine Gombaud: Chevalier de Méré, beat the dealer, Black Swan, Black-Scholes formula, Claude Shannon: information theory, computer age, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, digital rights, Edward Thorp, family office, forensic accounting, game design, Georg Cantor, Henri Poincaré, Isaac Newton, Johannes Kepler, lateral thinking, Myron Scholes, pattern recognition, Paul Erdős, Pierre-Simon Laplace, probability theory / Blaise Pascal / Pierre de Fermat, random walk, Richard Feynman, Rubik’s Cube, SETI@home, Steve Jobs, The Bell Curve by Richard Herrnstein and Charles Murray, traveling salesman, two and twenty

Completing any puzzle is immensely gratifying to the ego, but part of the extra allure of completing a Sudoku is the inner beauty and balance of the perfect Latin square that gives it its form. Sudoku’s success is testament to an age-old, cross-cultural fetish for number squares. And unlike many other puzzles, its success is also a remarkable victory for mathematics. The puzzle is maths by stealth. Although Sudoku contains no arithmetic, it does require abstract thought, pattern recognition, logical deduction and the generation of algorithms. The puzzle also encourages an aggressive attitude towards problem-solving, and fosters an appreciation of mathematical elegance. For instance, as soon as you understand the rules of Sudoku, the concept of a unique solution is remarkably clear.


pages: 588 words: 131,025

The Patient Will See You Now: The Future of Medicine Is in Your Hands by Eric Topol

23andMe, 3D printing, Affordable Care Act / Obamacare, Anne Wojcicki, Atul Gawande, augmented reality, Big Tech, bioinformatics, call centre, Clayton Christensen, clean water, cloud computing, commoditize, computer vision, conceptual framework, connected car, correlation does not imply causation, creative destruction, crowdsourcing, dark matter, data acquisition, data science, deep learning, digital divide, disintermediation, disruptive innovation, don't be evil, driverless car, Edward Snowden, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, Erik Brynjolfsson, Firefox, gamification, global village, Google Glasses, Google X / Alphabet X, Ignaz Semmelweis: hand washing, information asymmetry, interchangeable parts, Internet of things, Isaac Newton, it's over 9,000, job automation, Julian Assange, Kevin Kelly, license plate recognition, lifelogging, Lyft, Mark Zuckerberg, Marshall McLuhan, meta-analysis, microbiome, Nate Silver, natural language processing, Network effects, Nicholas Carr, obamacare, pattern recognition, personalized medicine, phenotype, placebo effect, quantum cryptography, RAND corporation, randomized controlled trial, Salesforce, Second Machine Age, self-driving car, Silicon Valley, Skype, smart cities, Smart Cities: Big Data, Civic Hackers, and the Quest for a New Utopia, Snapchat, social graph, speech recognition, stealth mode startup, Steve Jobs, synthetic biology, the scientific method, The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, traumatic brain injury, Turing test, Uber for X, uber lyft, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, WikiLeaks, X Prize

Another emerging digital solution is the advanced Siri for medical guidance—the emergence of virtual health assistants (VHAs).34,35 AskMD is one of the first Siri-like entries for this concept. A free smartphone app is downloaded, allowing the consumer to enter symptoms, either by typing them in or by voice recognition–embedded software, and tap into its pattern recognition database for feedback. When I visited the Colbert Report, Stephen Colbert had already caught on. He said, “I have a smartphone. Am I a doctor? How can my smartphone tell me about me? Is Siri a doctor?” Then he held his smartphone to his chest and asked “Siri, am I dying?” And Siri responded, “I really can’t say.”


pages: 532 words: 140,406

The Turing Option by Harry Harrison, Marvin Minsky

industrial robot, pattern recognition, Silicon Valley, telepresence, telerobotics, theory of mind, Turing test, undersea cable, VTOL

And we're sure that was no accident. Bug-Off seems to know the behavior of every insect described in this book." Brian handed Ben a large volume entitled Handbook of Insect Ethology, 2018 Edition. "But how can Bug-Off tell which insect it is dealing with? They all look the same to me." "A good question—since pattern recognition has been the bane of AI from the very first day that research began. Industrial robots were never very good at recognizing and assembling parts if they weren't presented in a certain way. There are thousands of different signals involved in seeing a human face, then recognizing who it is. If you wrote a program for picking bugs off bushes you would have to program in every bug in the world, and size and rotation position and everything else.


pages: 459 words: 128,458

The Dream of the Iron Dragon by Robert Kroese

friendly fire, gravity well, Kickstarter, low earth orbit, pattern recognition, time dilation

They would analyze the sensor data and pick the star system in the Cluster that seemed likeliest to contain a planet capable of supporting human life. Based on that choice, Andrea Luhman would alter her trajectory relative to M-341698, using the star’s gravity to bank toward their destination. That had been the plan, anyway—before Andrea Luhman’s pattern recognition algorithm siezed on the tightly focused microwave transmission repeating the first seventeen numbers of the Fibonacci sequence in an endless loop. Now things had changed, and Lieutenant Michael Carpenter, the man currently overseeing this leg of Andrea Luhman’s voyage, had to decide whether to stick to the plan or take action in response to this new data.


Machine Learning Design Patterns: Solutions to Common Challenges in Data Preparation, Model Building, and MLOps by Valliappa Lakshmanan, Sara Robinson, Michael Munn

A Pattern Language, Airbnb, algorithmic trading, automated trading system, business intelligence, business logic, business process, combinatorial explosion, computer vision, continuous integration, COVID-19, data science, deep learning, DevOps, discrete time, en.wikipedia.org, Hacker News, industrial research laboratory, iterative process, Kubernetes, machine translation, microservices, mobile money, natural language processing, Netflix Prize, optical character recognition, pattern recognition, performance metric, recommendation engine, ride hailing / ride sharing, selection bias, self-driving car, sentiment analysis, speech recognition, statistical model, the payments system, web application

The next chapter looks at design patterns related to resilience (to large numbers of requests, spiky traffic, or change management) when placing models into production. 1 It may, of course, not be the case that we can learn the network using gradient descent just because there exists such a neural network (this is why changing the model architecture by adding layers helps—it makes the loss landscape more amenable to SGD). 2 MLPerf v0.7 Training Closed ResNet. Retrieved from www.mlperf.org 23 September 2020, entry 0.7-67. MLPerf name and logo are trademarks. See www.mlperf.org for more information. 3 Jia Deng et al.,“ImageNet: A Large-Scale Hierarchical Image Database,” IEEE Computer Society Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (CVPR) (2009): 248–255. 4 For more information, see “CS231n Convolutional Neural Networks for Visual Recognition.” 5 Victor Campos et al., “Distributed training strategies for a computer vision deep learning algorithm on a distributed GPU cluster,” International Conference on Computational Science, ICCS 2017, June 12–14, 2017. 6 Ibid. 7 Jeffrey Dean et al.


pages: 502 words: 132,062

Ways of Being: Beyond Human Intelligence by James Bridle

Ada Lovelace, Airbnb, Alan Turing: On Computable Numbers, with an Application to the Entscheidungsproblem, Anthropocene, Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic, autonomous vehicles, behavioural economics, Benoit Mandelbrot, Berlin Wall, Big Tech, Black Lives Matter, blockchain, Californian Ideology, Cambridge Analytica, carbon tax, Charles Babbage, cloud computing, coastline paradox / Richardson effect, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, corporate personhood, COVID-19, cryptocurrency, DeepMind, Donald Trump, Douglas Hofstadter, Elon Musk, experimental subject, factory automation, fake news, friendly AI, gig economy, global pandemic, Gödel, Escher, Bach, impulse control, James Bridle, James Webb Space Telescope, John von Neumann, Kickstarter, Kim Stanley Robinson, language acquisition, life extension, mandelbrot fractal, Marshall McLuhan, microbiome, music of the spheres, negative emissions, Nick Bostrom, Norbert Wiener, paperclip maximiser, pattern recognition, peer-to-peer, planetary scale, RAND corporation, random walk, recommendation engine, self-driving car, SETI@home, shareholder value, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley ideology, speech recognition, statistical model, surveillance capitalism, techno-determinism, technological determinism, technoutopianism, the long tail, the scientific method, The Soul of a New Machine, theory of mind, traveling salesman, trolley problem, Turing complete, Turing machine, Turing test, UNCLOS, undersea cable, urban planning, Von Neumann architecture, wikimedia commons, zero-sum game

Adamatzky, ‘Robust Soldier Crab Ball Gate’, Complex Systems, 20(2), 15 June 2011; DOI:10.1063/1.3637777. 27. K. Nakajima, H. Hauser, T. Li and R. Pfeifer, ‘Information Processing via Physical Soft Body’, Scientific Reports, 5, 27 May 2015, no.10487; https://doi.org/10.1038/srep10487. 28. C. Fernando and S. Sojakka, ‘Pattern Recognition in a Bucket’, Lecture Notes in Computer Science, September 2003, pp. 588–97; DOI:10.1007/978-3-540-39432-7_63. 29. For more on Lukyanov and the Soviet hydraulic computers, see O. Solovieva, ‘Water Machine Computers’, Science and Life, 4, 2000; https://www.nkj.ru/archive/articles/7033/, and the archives of the Moscow Polytechnic Museum at http://web.archive.org/web/20120328115234/http://rus.polymus.ru/?


pages: 420 words: 135,569

Imaginable: How to See the Future Coming and Feel Ready for Anything―Even Things That Seem Impossible Today by Jane McGonigal

2021 United States Capitol attack, Airbnb, airport security, Alvin Toffler, augmented reality, autism spectrum disorder, autonomous vehicles, availability heuristic, basic income, biodiversity loss, bitcoin, Black Lives Matter, blockchain, circular economy, clean water, climate change refugee, cognitive bias, cognitive dissonance, Community Supported Agriculture, coronavirus, COVID-19, CRISPR, cryptocurrency, data science, decarbonisation, digital divide, disinformation, Donald Trump, drone strike, Elon Musk, fake news, fiat currency, future of work, Future Shock, game design, George Floyd, global pandemic, global supply chain, Greta Thunberg, income inequality, index card, Internet of things, Jane Jacobs, Jeff Bezos, Kickstarter, labor-force participation, lockdown, longitudinal study, Mason jar, mass immigration, meta-analysis, microbiome, Minecraft, moral hazard, open borders, pattern recognition, place-making, plant based meat, post-truth, QAnon, QR code, remote working, RFID, risk tolerance, School Strike for Climate, Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence, self-driving car, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, Snapchat, social distancing, stem cell, TED Talk, telepresence, telepresence robot, The future is already here, TikTok, traumatic brain injury, universal basic income, women in the workforce, work culture , Y Combinator

The benefit is that in repeatedly encountering things in dreams we’ve never directly experienced or even imagined before, our brains help us get “unstuck” from the specific details of what we’ve lived in the past and think more flexibly, so we are better prepared for whatever strange new things we encounter in the future. Dreams, it may turn out, are an ingenious method of counterbalancing the brain’s other most important hardwired, evolutionary adaptation: the pattern-recognition capacity that leads to normalcy bias, or the expectation that the future will largely be like the present. Normalcy bias, on most days, is helpful. It lets us expend less mental energy trying to figure things out, so we can react faster to predictable events. As long as things continue as normal, normalcy bias works great!


pages: 453 words: 132,400

Flow by Mihaly Csikszentmihalyi

Abraham Maslow, Albert Einstein, Bonfire of the Vanities, centralized clearinghouse, Charles Lindbergh, conceptual framework, correlation does not imply causation, double helix, fear of failure, Gregor Mendel, Herbert Marcuse, Ignaz Semmelweis: hand washing, invisible hand, Isaac Newton, job satisfaction, longitudinal study, Mahatma Gandhi, meta-analysis, Necker cube, pattern recognition, place-making, Ralph Waldo Emerson, the scientific method, Thomas Kuhn: the structure of scientific revolutions, Vilfredo Pareto

Paper presented at the 38th ESOMAR Conference, Wiesbaden, West Germany, Sept. 1–5. Noelle-Neumann, E., & Strumpel, B. 1984. Mach Arbeit krank? Macht Arbeit glucklich? Munich: Pieper Verlag. Nusbaum, H. C., & Schwab, E. C., eds. 1986. The role of attention and active processing in speech perception. In Pattern recognition by humans and machines, vol. 1 (pp. 113–57). New York: Academic Press. Offer, D., Ostrov, E., & Howard, K. 1981. The adolescent: A psychological self-portrait. New York: Basic Books. Orme, J. E. 1969. Time, experience, and behavior. London: Iliffe. Pagels, H. 1988. The dreams of reason—the computer and the rise of the sciences of complexity.


pages: 439 words: 131,081

The Chaos Machine: The Inside Story of How Social Media Rewired Our Minds and Our World by Max Fisher

2021 United States Capitol attack, 4chan, A Declaration of the Independence of Cyberspace, Airbnb, Bellingcat, Ben Horowitz, Bernie Sanders, Big Tech, Bill Gates: Altair 8800, bitcoin, Black Lives Matter, call centre, centre right, cloud computing, Comet Ping Pong, Computer Lib, coronavirus, COVID-19, crisis actor, crowdsourcing, dark pattern, data science, deep learning, deliberate practice, desegregation, disinformation, domesticated silver fox, Donald Trump, Douglas Engelbart, Douglas Engelbart, end-to-end encryption, fake news, Filter Bubble, Future Shock, game design, gamification, George Floyd, growth hacking, Hacker Conference 1984, Hacker News, hive mind, illegal immigration, Jeff Bezos, John Perry Barlow, Jon Ronson, Joseph Schumpeter, Julian Assange, Kevin Roose, lockdown, Lyft, Marc Andreessen, Mark Zuckerberg, Max Levchin, military-industrial complex, Oklahoma City bombing, Parler "social media", pattern recognition, Paul Graham, Peter Thiel, profit maximization, public intellectual, QAnon, recommendation engine, ride hailing / ride sharing, Rutger Bregman, Saturday Night Live, Sheryl Sandberg, side project, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley ideology, Silicon Valley startup, Snapchat, social distancing, Social Justice Warrior, social web, Startup school, Stephen Hawking, Steve Bannon, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, Steven Levy, Stewart Brand, Susan Wojcicki, tech billionaire, tech worker, Ted Nelson, TED Talk, TikTok, Uber and Lyft, uber lyft, Whole Earth Catalog, WikiLeaks, Y Combinator

The firms, in turn, overwhelmingly funded people who looked like them: in 2018, 98 percent of their investment dollars went to male-led companies. This reflected, Pao had argued, an even more specific bias among tech investors, one favoring not just white men but idealistic contrarians with libertarian politics; the “pattern recognition” espoused by Doerr, who was also Pao’s former mentor. The firms that pick the Valley’s winners and losers, her suit had underscored, enforce this archetype so zealously because they also embody it. Reddit’s leaders, young and progressive, were hardly hostile to such concerns. But the company made it a point of pride to defend the web’s supposed highest value, total free speech, at extremes others wouldn’t.


pages: 1,087 words: 325,295

Anathem by Neal Stephenson

anthropic principle, cellular automata, Danny Hillis, double helix, information security, interchangeable parts, Neal Stephenson, nuclear winter, orbital mechanics / astrodynamics, pattern recognition, phenotype, selection bias, Snow Crash, Stewart Brand, trade route

“You might ask yourself what in your brain enables you to do such things.” “What things?” “Take in some givens one evening at supper. Take in another set of givens now—or one second ago—two seconds ago—but always now! And say that all of them were—are—the same chap, Orolo.” “I don’t see what the big deal is,” I said. “It’s just pattern recognition. Syntactic devices can do it.” “Can they? Give me an example.” “Well…I guess a simple example would be…” I looked around, and happened to notice the contrail of an aerocraft high overhead. “Radar tracking aerocraft in a crowded sky.” “Tell me how it works.” “The antenna spins around. It sends out pulses.

The ability of our consciousness to see—not just as a speelycaptor sees (by taking in and recording givens) but identifying things—copper bowls, melodies, faces, beauty, ideas—and making these things available to cognition—that ability, Atamant said, is the ultimate basis of all rational thought. And if consciousness can identify copper-bowlness, why can’t it identify isosceles-triangleness, or Adrakhonic-theoremness?” “What you are describing is nothing more than pattern recognition, and then assigning names to patterns,” Lodoghir said. “So the Syntactics would say,” replied Zh’vaern. “But I would say that you have it backwards. You Procians have a theory—a model—of what consciousness is, and you make all else subordinate to it. Your theory becomes the ground of all possible assertions, and the processes of consciousness are seen as mere phenomena to be explained in the terms of that theory.


pages: 500 words: 156,079

Game Over Press Start to Continue by David Sheff, Andy Eddy

"RICO laws" OR "Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations", affirmative action, air freight, Alexey Pajitnov wrote Tetris, Apple II, Apple's 1984 Super Bowl advert, Buckminster Fuller, game design, HyperCard, inventory management, James Watt: steam engine, Jaron Lanier, Marshall McLuhan, Mikhail Gorbachev, pattern recognition, profit motive, revision control, Ronald Reagan, Silicon Valley, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, The Soul of a New Machine

Video games, on the other hand, stimulate keen responsiveness. Many professionals feel that as a result Nintendo is far healthier. In addition to the active involvement demanded by Nintendo games, some experts feel that the games also require useful kinds of thinking. Video games, they claim, help develop problem-solving abilities, pattern recognition, resource management, logistics, mapping, memory, quick thinking, and reasoned judgments. “Knowing when to fight and when to run applies to other life situations,” says a game maker. The lessons learned during video-game sessions can, he argues, be used in everyday life. Video-game violence is far less harmful than television violence, some professionals maintain, because the blood and gore in video games is less realistic.


pages: 592 words: 152,445

The Woman Who Smashed Codes: A True Story of Love, Spies, and the Unlikely Heroine Who Outwitted America's Enemies by Jason Fagone

Albert Einstein, Bletchley Park, Charles Lindbergh, Columbine, cuban missile crisis, Drosophila, Easter island, Edward Snowden, en.wikipedia.org, Fellow of the Royal Society, General Magic , index card, Internet Archive, Neil Armstrong, pattern recognition, Robert Gordon, Ronald Reagan, side project, Silicon Valley, two and twenty, X Prize

Unbeknownst to the coast guard, groups of British and Polish codebreakers working on the Enigma problem had already discovered methods for working backward from the text to the machine. The Poles had done it with an algebraic approach, the mathematics of permutations, and one of the brilliant Bletchley codebreakers, a linguist and scholar of classical literature named Dilly Knox, had relied more on pattern recognition and a kind of alphabetic grid called a “rod square.” But the coast guard didn’t know about these approaches, and so, working in isolation, the codebreakers had to grope toward their own method. They poked and prodded and turned the wheels; they wrote alphabets on sliding strips of paper and moved the strips against one another, thinking.


pages: 528 words: 146,459

Computer: A History of the Information Machine by Martin Campbell-Kelly, William Aspray, Nathan L. Ensmenger, Jeffrey R. Yost

Ada Lovelace, air freight, Alan Turing: On Computable Numbers, with an Application to the Entscheidungsproblem, Apple's 1984 Super Bowl advert, barriers to entry, Bill Gates: Altair 8800, Bletchley Park, borderless world, Buckminster Fuller, Build a better mousetrap, Byte Shop, card file, cashless society, Charles Babbage, cloud computing, combinatorial explosion, Compatible Time-Sharing System, computer age, Computer Lib, deskilling, don't be evil, Donald Davies, Douglas Engelbart, Douglas Engelbart, Dynabook, Edward Jenner, Evgeny Morozov, Fairchild Semiconductor, fault tolerance, Fellow of the Royal Society, financial independence, Frederick Winslow Taylor, game design, garden city movement, Gary Kildall, Grace Hopper, Herman Kahn, hockey-stick growth, Ian Bogost, industrial research laboratory, informal economy, interchangeable parts, invention of the wheel, Ivan Sutherland, Jacquard loom, Jeff Bezos, jimmy wales, John Markoff, John Perry Barlow, John von Neumann, Ken Thompson, Kickstarter, light touch regulation, linked data, machine readable, Marc Andreessen, Mark Zuckerberg, Marshall McLuhan, Menlo Park, Mitch Kapor, Multics, natural language processing, Network effects, New Journalism, Norbert Wiener, Occupy movement, optical character recognition, packet switching, PageRank, PalmPilot, pattern recognition, Pierre-Simon Laplace, pirate software, popular electronics, prediction markets, pre–internet, QWERTY keyboard, RAND corporation, Robert X Cringely, Salesforce, scientific management, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, Steve Jobs, Steven Levy, Stewart Brand, Ted Nelson, the market place, Turing machine, Twitter Arab Spring, Vannevar Bush, vertical integration, Von Neumann architecture, Whole Earth Catalog, William Shockley: the traitorous eight, women in the workforce, young professional

This was a radical viewpoint at the time and, to a degree, at odds with the prevailing view of the computer establishment, particularly artificial intelligence (AI) researchers. Many computer scientists were caught up by the dream that AI would soon rival the human intellect in areas such as problem solving, pattern recognition, and chess playing. Soon, they believed, a researcher would be able to assign high-level tasks to a computer. Licklider believed that such views were utopian. In particular, he asserted that computer scientists should develop systems that enabled people to use computers to enhance their everyday work.


pages: 582 words: 160,693

The Sovereign Individual: How to Survive and Thrive During the Collapse of the Welfare State by James Dale Davidson, William Rees-Mogg

affirmative action, agricultural Revolution, Alan Greenspan, Alvin Toffler, bank run, barriers to entry, Berlin Wall, borderless world, British Empire, California gold rush, classic study, clean water, colonial rule, Columbine, compound rate of return, creative destruction, Danny Hillis, debt deflation, ending welfare as we know it, epigenetics, Fall of the Berlin Wall, falling living standards, feminist movement, financial independence, Francis Fukuyama: the end of history, full employment, George Gilder, Hernando de Soto, illegal immigration, income inequality, independent contractor, informal economy, information retrieval, Isaac Newton, John Perry Barlow, Kevin Kelly, market clearing, Martin Wolf, Menlo Park, money: store of value / unit of account / medium of exchange, new economy, New Urbanism, Norman Macrae, offshore financial centre, Parkinson's law, pattern recognition, phenotype, price mechanism, profit maximization, rent-seeking, reserve currency, road to serfdom, Ronald Coase, Sam Peltzman, school vouchers, seigniorage, Silicon Valley, spice trade, statistical model, telepresence, The Nature of the Firm, the scientific method, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, Thomas L Friedman, Thomas Malthus, trade route, transaction costs, Turing machine, union organizing, very high income, Vilfredo Pareto

Rapidly increasing computational power has already brought forth a number of primitive applications of voice recognition, such as hands-free telephones and computers that perform mathematical computations following verbal instructions. Computers that convert speech to text were already being marketed in late 1996 as we write. As pattern-recognition capabilities improve, computers linked to voice synthesizers will operate through networks to perform numerous functions formerly undertaken by humans employed as telephone operators, secretaries, travel agents, administrative assistants, chess champions, claims processors, composers, bond traders, cyberwar specialists, weapons analysts, or even street-smart flirts who answer the telephones on 900 calls.


pages: 443 words: 51,804

Handbook of Modeling High-Frequency Data in Finance by Frederi G. Viens, Maria C. Mariani, Ionut Florescu

algorithmic trading, asset allocation, automated trading system, backtesting, Bear Stearns, Black-Scholes formula, book value, Brownian motion, business process, buy and hold, continuous integration, corporate governance, discrete time, distributed generation, fear index, financial engineering, fixed income, Flash crash, housing crisis, implied volatility, incomplete markets, linear programming, machine readable, mandelbrot fractal, market friction, market microstructure, martingale, Menlo Park, p-value, pattern recognition, performance metric, power law, principal–agent problem, random walk, risk free rate, risk tolerance, risk/return, short selling, statistical model, stochastic process, stochastic volatility, transaction costs, value at risk, volatility smile, Wiener process

However, these rules were not consistently better than a buy-and-hold strategy in the out-of-sample test periods. At present, many academics, banks, and hedge funds are exploring the application of machine learning methods to find patterns in financial time series. Lo et al. (2000), who used nonparametric kernel regression for technical pattern recognition of a large number of stocks for the period 1962–1996, found that 3.4 Earnings Prediction and Algorithmic Trading 65 technical indicators provide incremental information for investors comparing the unconditional empirical distribution of daily stock returns to the conditional distribution on specific technical indicators such as head and shoulders.


pages: 205 words: 18,208

The Transparent Society: Will Technology Force Us to Choose Between Privacy and Freedom? by David Brin

affirmative action, airport security, Ayatollah Khomeini, clean water, cognitive dissonance, corporate governance, data acquisition, death of newspapers, Extropian, Garrett Hardin, Howard Rheingold, illegal immigration, informal economy, information asymmetry, information security, Iridium satellite, Jaron Lanier, John Gilmore, John Markoff, John Perry Barlow, John von Neumann, Kevin Kelly, Marshall McLuhan, means of production, mutually assured destruction, Neal Stephenson, offshore financial centre, Oklahoma City bombing, open economy, packet switching, pattern recognition, pirate software, placebo effect, plutocrats, prediction markets, Ralph Nader, RAND corporation, Robert Bork, Saturday Night Live, Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence, Steve Jobs, Steven Levy, Stewart Brand, telepresence, The Turner Diaries, Timothy McVeigh, trade route, Tragedy of the Commons, UUNET, Vannevar Bush, Vernor Vinge, Whole Earth Catalog, Whole Earth Review, workplace surveillance , Yogi Berra, zero-sum game, Zimmermann PGP

For instance, in our projected city of “open access,” citizens will have ten thousand decisions to make. Here are just a few examples: • Since one might conceivably use these devices to follow someone home, should convicted felons be forbidden access to the camera networks? • Might any person order up a search program, using sophisticated pattern-recognition software to scan a throng of passersby and zero in on a specific face? If such “traps” could be laid all over town, a lot of fugitives might be brought to justice. But will individuals ever again be able to seek anonymity in a crowd? Will people respond by wearing masks in public? Or will safety ultimately come when people unleash their own search programs, to alert the watched about their watchers?


pages: 498 words: 145,708

Consumed: How Markets Corrupt Children, Infantilize Adults, and Swallow Citizens Whole by Benjamin R. Barber

"World Economic Forum" Davos, Abraham Maslow, addicted to oil, AltaVista, American ideology, An Inconvenient Truth, AOL-Time Warner, Berlin Wall, Bertrand Russell: In Praise of Idleness, Bill Gates: Altair 8800, bread and circuses, business cycle, Celebration, Florida, collective bargaining, creative destruction, David Brooks, delayed gratification, digital divide, do well by doing good, Donald Trump, double entry bookkeeping, Dr. Strangelove, G4S, game design, George Gilder, Gordon Gekko, greed is good, Herbert Marcuse, Hernando de Soto, illegal immigration, informal economy, invisible hand, John Perry Barlow, Joseph Schumpeter, laissez-faire capitalism, late capitalism, liberal capitalism, Marc Andreessen, McJob, microcredit, Naomi Klein, new economy, New Journalism, Norbert Wiener, nuclear winter, Panopticon Jeremy Bentham, Paradox of Choice, pattern recognition, presumed consent, profit motive, race to the bottom, Ralph Nader, retail therapy, road to serfdom, Robert Bork, Ronald Reagan, Saturday Night Live, Silicon Valley, SimCity, spice trade, Steve Jobs, telemarketer, The Fortune at the Bottom of the Pyramid, the market place, The Wisdom of Crowds, Thomas L Friedman, Thorstein Veblen, trade route, Tyler Cowen, vertical integration, Virgin Galactic, X Prize

.: Harvest House Publishers, 2005); Benson, ed., I Shop, Therefore I Am; Carolyn Wesson, Women Who Shop Too Much: Overcoming the Urge to Splurge (New York: St. Martin’s Press, 1990), and Olivia Mellan, Overcoming Overspending: A Winning Plan for Spenders and Their Partners (New York: Walker & Co., 1995). William Gibson’s Pattern Recognition (New York: G. P. Putnam’s Sons, 2003) and Max Barry’s Jennifer Government: A Novel (New York: Doubleday, 2003) offer two provocative fictional accounts of shopping addiction in a totalizing commercial society. 55. See www.proctor.org and www.addictionrecov.org/index2.htm. 56. Look for addiction under Yahoo!


pages: 590 words: 152,595

Army of None: Autonomous Weapons and the Future of War by Paul Scharre

"World Economic Forum" Davos, active measures, Air France Flight 447, air gap, algorithmic trading, AlphaGo, Apollo 13, artificial general intelligence, augmented reality, automated trading system, autonomous vehicles, basic income, Black Monday: stock market crash in 1987, brain emulation, Brian Krebs, cognitive bias, computer vision, cuban missile crisis, dark matter, DARPA: Urban Challenge, data science, deep learning, DeepMind, DevOps, Dr. Strangelove, drone strike, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, Erik Brynjolfsson, facts on the ground, fail fast, fault tolerance, Flash crash, Freestyle chess, friendly fire, Herman Kahn, IFF: identification friend or foe, ImageNet competition, information security, Internet of things, Jeff Hawkins, Johann Wolfgang von Goethe, John Markoff, Kevin Kelly, Korean Air Lines Flight 007, Loebner Prize, loose coupling, Mark Zuckerberg, military-industrial complex, moral hazard, move 37, mutually assured destruction, Nate Silver, Nick Bostrom, PalmPilot, paperclip maximiser, pattern recognition, Rodney Brooks, Rubik’s Cube, self-driving car, sensor fusion, South China Sea, speech recognition, Stanislav Petrov, Stephen Hawking, Steve Ballmer, Steve Wozniak, Strategic Defense Initiative, Stuxnet, superintelligent machines, Tesla Model S, The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver, theory of mind, Turing test, Tyler Cowen, universal basic income, Valery Gerasimov, Wall-E, warehouse robotics, William Langewiesche, Y2K, zero day

“Deep neural networks are easily fooled: High confidence predictions for unrecognizable images,” Evolving Artificial Intelligence Laboratory, University of Wyoming, http://www.evolvingai.org/fooling. For more, see Nguyen A, Yosinski J, Clune J (2015) “Deep neural networks are easily fooled: High confidence predictions for unrecognizable images,” Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (CVPR ‘15), IEEE, 2015. 182 specific internal structure of the network: Szegedy et al., “Intriguing properties of neural networks.” 182 “huge, weird, alien world of imagery”: Jeff Clune, interview, September 28, 2016. 182 surreptitiously embedded into normal images: Ibid. 183 “hidden exploit”: Ibid. 183 linear methods to interpret data: Ian J.


pages: 528 words: 157,969

Children of Time by Adrian Tchaikovsky

cloud computing, experimental subject, friendly fire, gravity well, hive mind, pattern recognition, prisoner's dilemma

Holsten was vaguely aware of Vitas and Karst hovering in the background, impatient to get on with talking about the offensive. There was no third round of the test. Instead they got another blast of the maddeningly near-to-Imperial C that Holsten had seen before. He analysed it swiftly, passing it through his decoders and pattern-recognition functions. It seemed simpler than before, and with more repeated patterns. The phrase came to him, like talking to a child, and he experienced another of those vertiginous moments, wondering who or what it was that was speaking, far out there. Kern, surely? But Kern made strange – stranger – by the curdling effects of time and distance.


Globalists: The End of Empire and the Birth of Neoliberalism by Quinn Slobodian

"World Economic Forum" Davos, Alan Greenspan, Asian financial crisis, Berlin Wall, bilateral investment treaty, borderless world, Bretton Woods, British Empire, business cycle, capital controls, central bank independence, classic study, collective bargaining, David Ricardo: comparative advantage, Deng Xiaoping, desegregation, Dissolution of the Soviet Union, Doha Development Round, eurozone crisis, Fall of the Berlin Wall, floating exchange rates, full employment, Garrett Hardin, Greenspan put, Gunnar Myrdal, Hernando de Soto, invisible hand, liberal capitalism, liberal world order, Mahbub ul Haq, market fundamentalism, Martin Wolf, Mercator projection, Mont Pelerin Society, Norbert Wiener, offshore financial centre, oil shock, open economy, pattern recognition, Paul Samuelson, Pearl River Delta, Philip Mirowski, power law, price mechanism, public intellectual, quantitative easing, random walk, rent control, rent-seeking, road to serfdom, Ronald Reagan, special economic zone, statistical model, Suez crisis 1956, systems thinking, tacit knowledge, The Chicago School, the market place, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, theory of mind, Thomas L Friedman, trade liberalization, urban renewal, Washington Consensus, Wolfgang Streeck, zero-sum game

In a representative statement from 1963, he claimed, “Man does not know most of the rules on which he acts; and even what we call his intelligence is largely a system of rules which operate on him but which he does not know.” 60 This deference to the precognitive or the pre-­rational is what separated him from the rational choice and rational expectations models of Chicago School economists, who professed much more faith in the 230 GLOBALISTS possibility of both formal mathematical modeling and forecasting. As he explained in his Nobel speech, Hayek saw such efforts as not only presumptuous but misleading. The best one could hope for was pattern prediction. Such prediction was already innate to the way we navigate in the world. In 1964 he wrote of “the intuitive capacity of our senses for pattern recognition”—­“we see and hear patterns as much as individual events without having to resort to intellectual operations.” 61 Appealing like Hoppmann to ethology, or the study of animal be­hav­ior, he noted that “experiments with fishes and birds . . . ​show that they respond in the same manner to a ­great variety of shapes which have only some very abstract features in common.” 62 This led him to believe that basic reactions involve, not simplicity, but an unwitting abstraction, an innate ability in animals, including the ­human animal, to recognize complexity without realizing they are ­doing so.


pages: 688 words: 147,571

Robot Rules: Regulating Artificial Intelligence by Jacob Turner

"World Economic Forum" Davos, Ada Lovelace, Affordable Care Act / Obamacare, AI winter, algorithmic bias, algorithmic trading, AlphaGo, artificial general intelligence, Asilomar, Asilomar Conference on Recombinant DNA, autonomous vehicles, backpropagation, Basel III, bitcoin, Black Monday: stock market crash in 1987, blockchain, brain emulation, Brexit referendum, Cambridge Analytica, Charles Babbage, Clapham omnibus, cognitive dissonance, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, corporate governance, corporate social responsibility, correlation does not imply causation, crowdsourcing, data science, deep learning, DeepMind, Demis Hassabis, distributed ledger, don't be evil, Donald Trump, driverless car, easy for humans, difficult for computers, effective altruism, Elon Musk, financial exclusion, financial innovation, friendly fire, future of work, hallucination problem, hive mind, Internet of things, iterative process, job automation, John Markoff, John von Neumann, Loebner Prize, machine readable, machine translation, medical malpractice, Nate Silver, natural language processing, Nick Bostrom, Northpointe / Correctional Offender Management Profiling for Alternative Sanctions, nudge unit, obamacare, off grid, OpenAI, paperclip maximiser, pattern recognition, Peace of Westphalia, Philippa Foot, race to the bottom, Ray Kurzweil, Recombinant DNA, Rodney Brooks, self-driving car, Silicon Valley, Stanislav Petrov, Stephen Hawking, Steve Wozniak, strong AI, technological singularity, Tesla Model S, The Coming Technological Singularity, The Future of Employment, The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver, trolley problem, Turing test, Vernor Vinge

To better understand and treat AI bias , we need to avoid anthropomorphisation and focus more on data science. 3.2 Why Might We Need Laws Against Bias ? The immediate source of AI bias is often the data fed into a system. Machine learning, currently the dominant form of AI, recognises patterns within data and then takes decisions based on such pattern recognition. If the input data is skewed in some way, then the likelihood is that the patterns generated will be similarly flawed. Bias arising from such data can be summed up with the phrase: “you are what you eat”.67 3.2.1 Poor Selection of Data Skewed data sets occur when there is in theory enough information available to present a sufficient picture of the relevant environment, but human operators select an unrepresentative sample.


pages: 565 words: 151,129

The Zero Marginal Cost Society: The Internet of Things, the Collaborative Commons, and the Eclipse of Capitalism by Jeremy Rifkin

3D printing, active measures, additive manufacturing, Airbnb, autonomous vehicles, back-to-the-land, benefit corporation, big-box store, bike sharing, bioinformatics, bitcoin, business logic, business process, Chris Urmson, circular economy, clean tech, clean water, cloud computing, collaborative consumption, collaborative economy, commons-based peer production, Community Supported Agriculture, Computer Numeric Control, computer vision, crowdsourcing, demographic transition, distributed generation, DIY culture, driverless car, Eben Moglen, electricity market, en.wikipedia.org, Frederick Winslow Taylor, Free Software Foundation, Garrett Hardin, general purpose technology, global supply chain, global village, Hacker Conference 1984, Hacker Ethic, industrial robot, informal economy, information security, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), intermodal, Internet of things, invisible hand, Isaac Newton, James Watt: steam engine, job automation, John Elkington, John Markoff, John Maynard Keynes: Economic Possibilities for our Grandchildren, John Maynard Keynes: technological unemployment, Julian Assange, Kickstarter, knowledge worker, longitudinal study, low interest rates, machine translation, Mahatma Gandhi, manufacturing employment, Mark Zuckerberg, market design, mass immigration, means of production, meta-analysis, Michael Milken, mirror neurons, natural language processing, new economy, New Urbanism, nuclear winter, Occupy movement, off grid, off-the-grid, oil shale / tar sands, pattern recognition, peer-to-peer, peer-to-peer lending, personalized medicine, phenotype, planetary scale, price discrimination, profit motive, QR code, RAND corporation, randomized controlled trial, Ray Kurzweil, rewilding, RFID, Richard Stallman, risk/return, Robert Solow, Rochdale Principles, Ronald Coase, scientific management, search inside the book, self-driving car, shareholder value, sharing economy, Silicon Valley, Skype, smart cities, smart grid, smart meter, social web, software as a service, spectrum auction, Steve Jobs, Stewart Brand, the built environment, the Cathedral and the Bazaar, the long tail, The Nature of the Firm, The Structural Transformation of the Public Sphere, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, The Wisdom of Crowds, Thomas Kuhn: the structure of scientific revolutions, Thomas L Friedman, too big to fail, Tragedy of the Commons, transaction costs, urban planning, vertical integration, warehouse automation, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, web application, Whole Earth Catalog, Whole Earth Review, WikiLeaks, working poor, Yochai Benkler, zero-sum game, Zipcar

Using eDiscovery software, Herr found only 60 percent accuracy when attorneys were doing the research, leading him to gripe: “Think about how much money had been spent to be slightly better than a coin toss.”35 Very few professional skills are being spared the long arm of IT and Big Data–crunching by algorithms. Knowledge workers of every stripe and variety—radiologists, accountants, middle managers, graphic designers, and even marketers—are already feeling the heat as pattern-recognition software begins to penetrate every professional field. Mike McCready is the head of a startup company called Music Xray, a firm that uses Big Data and algorithms to identify potential musical hits. The company, which has secured recording contracts for more than 5,000 artists in less than three years, uses sophisticated software to compare the structure of a song to songs previously recorded to assess its potential to break out and hit the charts.


pages: 543 words: 153,550

Model Thinker: What You Need to Know to Make Data Work for You by Scott E. Page

Airbnb, Albert Einstein, Alfred Russel Wallace, algorithmic trading, Alvin Roth, assortative mating, behavioural economics, Bernie Madoff, bitcoin, Black Swan, blockchain, business cycle, Capital in the Twenty-First Century by Thomas Piketty, Checklist Manifesto, computer age, corporate governance, correlation does not imply causation, cuban missile crisis, data science, deep learning, deliberate practice, discrete time, distributed ledger, Easter island, en.wikipedia.org, Estimating the Reproducibility of Psychological Science, Everything should be made as simple as possible, experimental economics, first-price auction, Flash crash, Ford Model T, Geoffrey West, Santa Fe Institute, germ theory of disease, Gini coefficient, Higgs boson, High speed trading, impulse control, income inequality, Isaac Newton, John von Neumann, Kenneth Rogoff, knowledge economy, knowledge worker, Long Term Capital Management, loss aversion, low skilled workers, Mark Zuckerberg, market design, meta-analysis, money market fund, multi-armed bandit, Nash equilibrium, natural language processing, Network effects, opioid epidemic / opioid crisis, p-value, Pareto efficiency, pattern recognition, Paul Erdős, Paul Samuelson, phenotype, Phillips curve, power law, pre–internet, prisoner's dilemma, race to the bottom, random walk, randomized controlled trial, Richard Feynman, Richard Thaler, Robert Solow, school choice, scientific management, sealed-bid auction, second-price auction, selection bias, six sigma, social graph, spectrum auction, statistical model, Stephen Hawking, Supply of New York City Cabdrivers, systems thinking, tacit knowledge, The Bell Curve by Richard Herrnstein and Charles Murray, The Great Moderation, the long tail, The Rise and Fall of American Growth, the rule of 72, the scientific method, The Spirit Level, the strength of weak ties, The Wisdom of Crowds, Thomas Malthus, Thorstein Veblen, Tragedy of the Commons, urban sprawl, value at risk, web application, winner-take-all economy, zero-sum game

“Experimental Study of Inequality and Unpredictability in an Artificial Cultural Market.” Science 311: 854–856. Samuelson, Paul. 1964. “Proof That Properly Anticipated Prices Fluctuate Randomly.” Industrial Management Review 6: 41–49. Schiller, Robert. 2004. Irrational Exuberance. 2nd ed. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. Schrodt, Philip. 1998. “Pattern Recognition of International Crises Using Hidden Markov Models.” In Non-Linear Models and Methods in Political Science, ed. Diana Richards. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press. Schwartz, Christine R., and Robert D. Mare. 2004. “Trends in Educational Assortative Marriage from 1940 to 2003.” Demography 42, no. 4: 621–646.


pages: 471 words: 147,210

Children of Ruin by Adrian Tchaikovsky

experimental subject, gravity well, Kickstarter, longitudinal study, machine translation, microbiome, pattern recognition, post scarcity, remote working, side project, telepresence, theory of mind

They like their ranks and columns and their counting from one side to the other, from top to bottom. Such thinking! How do they ever create anything? And yet they created this, surely. It is a city for humans. Where entryways have survived, they are scaled for a human’s huge frame, and all at ground level. And ruined, yes, and yet . . . Fabian’s pattern-recognition centres are firing, telling him what he’s seeing is wrong. He guides the drone lower, repurposing old skills because he is a behavioural scientist, not a pilot, and he got rid of any relevant Understandings long ago to free up mental space for more germane knowledge. If he had only known . . .


pages: 530 words: 147,851

Small Men on the Wrong Side of History: The Decline, Fall and Unlikely Return of Conservatism by Ed West

Affordable Care Act / Obamacare, anti-communist, assortative mating, battle of ideas, Beeching cuts, Berlin Wall, Black Lives Matter, Boris Johnson, Brexit referendum, British Empire, Broken windows theory, Bullingdon Club, centre right, clean water, cognitive dissonance, Corn Laws, David Attenborough, David Brooks, deindustrialization, delayed gratification, desegregation, different worldview, Donald Trump, Elon Musk, en.wikipedia.org, Etonian, Fall of the Berlin Wall, Ferguson, Missouri, future of work, gender pay gap, George Santayana, Herbert Marcuse, illegal immigration, Jeremy Corbyn, labor-force participation, laissez-faire capitalism, lump of labour, mass immigration, means of production, megacity, meta-analysis, moral hazard, moral panic, Neil Kinnock, Nelson Mandela, Norman Mailer, obamacare, opioid epidemic / opioid crisis, Overton Window, pattern recognition, Ralph Nader, replication crisis, rising living standards, Ronald Reagan, Scientific racism, Social Justice Warrior, Stephen Fry, Steve Bannon, Steven Pinker, TED Talk, Thomas Malthus, Tragedy of the Commons, Turing test, twin studies, urban decay, War on Poverty, Winter of Discontent, zero-sum game

Stereotype threat explains that there are fewer women than men at the top of maths and science-based professions because they are put off by the perception that men are better, an idea so comforting that one 1995 paper has been cited over five thousand times. Yet it has completely failed to replicate. In contrast, the less hopeful idea of stereotype accuracy, once assumed by the psychology profession to be largely wrong, has in recent years been shown to be resilient and accurate.40 Humans are very good at pattern recognition: we wouldn’t have made it this far if we weren’t. The same goes for ‘implicit bias’, the idea that people’s unconscious prejudices against minorities can actually have a negative effect on their outcomes. ‘Early claims about their power and immutability have proven unjustified,’ which is hardly surprising when it’s basically hexing; today, vast amounts are spent by corporations and government agencies sniffing implicit bias out, despite there being no evidence it actually exists in a meaningful way.41 If high-status progressives believe in such fairy tales, it is little surprise that some intelligent people begin to feel that public debate is a fantasy set in the Matrix.


pages: 661 words: 156,009

Your Computer Is on Fire by Thomas S. Mullaney, Benjamin Peters, Mar Hicks, Kavita Philip

"Susan Fowler" uber, 2013 Report for America's Infrastructure - American Society of Civil Engineers - 19 March 2013, A Declaration of the Independence of Cyberspace, affirmative action, Airbnb, algorithmic bias, AlphaGo, AltaVista, Amazon Mechanical Turk, Amazon Web Services, American Society of Civil Engineers: Report Card, An Inconvenient Truth, Asilomar, autonomous vehicles, Big Tech, bitcoin, Bletchley Park, blockchain, Boeing 737 MAX, book value, British Empire, business cycle, business process, Californian Ideology, call centre, Cambridge Analytica, carbon footprint, Charles Babbage, cloud computing, collective bargaining, computer age, computer vision, connected car, corporate governance, corporate social responsibility, COVID-19, creative destruction, cryptocurrency, dark matter, data science, Dennis Ritchie, deskilling, digital divide, digital map, don't be evil, Donald Davies, Donald Trump, Edward Snowden, en.wikipedia.org, European colonialism, fake news, financial innovation, Ford Model T, fulfillment center, game design, gentrification, George Floyd, glass ceiling, global pandemic, global supply chain, Grace Hopper, hiring and firing, IBM and the Holocaust, industrial robot, informal economy, Internet Archive, Internet of things, Jeff Bezos, job automation, John Perry Barlow, Julian Assange, Ken Thompson, Kevin Kelly, Kickstarter, knowledge economy, Landlord’s Game, Lewis Mumford, low-wage service sector, M-Pesa, Mark Zuckerberg, mass incarceration, Menlo Park, meta-analysis, mobile money, moral panic, move fast and break things, Multics, mutually assured destruction, natural language processing, Neal Stephenson, new economy, Norbert Wiener, off-the-grid, old-boy network, On the Economy of Machinery and Manufactures, One Laptop per Child (OLPC), packet switching, pattern recognition, Paul Graham, pink-collar, pneumatic tube, postindustrial economy, profit motive, public intellectual, QWERTY keyboard, Ray Kurzweil, Reflections on Trusting Trust, Report Card for America’s Infrastructure, Salesforce, sentiment analysis, Sheryl Sandberg, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley ideology, smart cities, Snapchat, speech recognition, SQL injection, statistical model, Steve Jobs, Stewart Brand, tacit knowledge, tech worker, techlash, technoutopianism, telepresence, the built environment, the map is not the territory, Thomas L Friedman, TikTok, Triangle Shirtwaist Factory, undersea cable, union organizing, vertical integration, warehouse robotics, WikiLeaks, wikimedia commons, women in the workforce, Y2K

To be sure, the research in this area has advanced eons beyond where it was in 2010 (when the conversation took place), but the fundamental problem of how to make a computer “know” anything (or whether this is possible at all) remains. What has improved is the ability of computers, through algorithms and AI, to make good guesses through pattern recognition and learning from a database of material. Yet when you catch a computer scientist or a member of industry in an unguarded moment, you may learn that: • All the tools and techniques described above are subject to failure due to either being overbroad, blunt, or unable to reliably identify nuanced or ambiguous material; • They are also subject to and largely a representation of the quality and reliability of the source material used to train the algorithms and AI, and the inputs that have informed the tools (that is, the work of humans on training sets).


pages: 551 words: 174,280

The Beginning of Infinity: Explanations That Transform the World by David Deutsch

agricultural Revolution, Albert Michelson, anthropic principle, Apollo 13, artificial general intelligence, Bonfire of the Vanities, Charles Babbage, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, conceptual framework, cosmological principle, dark matter, David Attenborough, discovery of DNA, Douglas Hofstadter, Easter island, Eratosthenes, Ernest Rutherford, first-past-the-post, Georg Cantor, global pandemic, Gödel, Escher, Bach, illegal immigration, invention of movable type, Isaac Newton, Islamic Golden Age, Jacquard loom, Johannes Kepler, John Conway, John von Neumann, Joseph-Marie Jacquard, Kenneth Arrow, Loebner Prize, Louis Pasteur, mirror neurons, Nick Bostrom, pattern recognition, Pierre-Simon Laplace, precautionary principle, Richard Feynman, Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence, seminal paper, Stephen Hawking, supervolcano, technological singularity, Thales of Miletus, The Coming Technological Singularity, the scientific method, Thomas Malthus, Thorstein Veblen, Turing test, Vernor Vinge, Whole Earth Review, William of Occam, zero-sum game

By the way, some abilities of humans that are commonly included in that constellation associated with general-purpose intelligence do not belong in it. One of them is self-awareness – as evidenced by such tests as recognizing oneself in a mirror. Some people are unaccountably impressed when various animals are shown to have that ability. But there is nothing mysterious about it: a simple pattern-recognition program would confer it on a computer. The same is true of tool use, the use of language for signalling (though not for conversation in the Turing-test sense), and various emotional responses (though not the associated qualia). At the present state of the field, a useful rule of thumb is: if it can already be programmed, it has nothing to do with intelligence in Turing’s sense.


pages: 592 words: 161,798

The Future of War by Lawrence Freedman

Albert Einstein, autonomous vehicles, Berlin Wall, Black Swan, Boeing 747, British Empire, colonial rule, conceptual framework, crowdsourcing, cuban missile crisis, currency manipulation / currency intervention, disinformation, Donald Trump, Dr. Strangelove, driverless car, drone strike, en.wikipedia.org, energy security, Ernest Rutherford, failed state, Fall of the Berlin Wall, Francis Fukuyama: the end of history, global village, Google Glasses, Herman Kahn, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), John Markoff, long peace, megacity, Mikhail Gorbachev, military-industrial complex, moral hazard, mutually assured destruction, New Journalism, Norbert Wiener, nuclear taboo, open economy, pattern recognition, Peace of Westphalia, RAND corporation, Ronald Reagan, South China Sea, speech recognition, Steven Pinker, Strategic Defense Initiative, Stuxnet, Suez canal 1869, Suez crisis 1956, systematic bias, the scientific method, uranium enrichment, urban sprawl, Valery Gerasimov, Wargames Reagan, WarGames: Global Thermonuclear War, WikiLeaks, zero day

‘A line of such robots spaced twenty metres apart might be deployed to move at fifteen kilometres per hour through a jungle and destroy all men encountered there’. Within ‘a few years’ men would ‘cease to be valued in battle’. They would complicate matters because they would lack comparable ‘information storage, decision-making, sensory input and pattern-recognition’. The human role was likely to be to ‘stand helplessly by as a struggle rages between robot armies and navies, and air and rocket forces’.9 In the first article to talk of ‘cyberwars’, published in 1987, robots dominated the scene. They were fearless and irresistible, pushing away any poor humans sent to confront them.


pages: 625 words: 167,097

Kiln People by David Brin

Chuck Templeton: OpenTable:, Easter island, index card, jitney, life extension, machine readable, pattern recognition, phenotype, pneumatic tube, price anchoring, prisoner's dilemma, Schrödinger's Cat, telepresence, Vernor Vinge, your tax dollars at work

It took only a few minutes to get a feel for the scout gear and adjust the camouflage settings to background light levels. Like a squid or octopus, the light-sensitive skin rippled to match whatever lay on the other side of me. A blurry rendition, to be sure. Not true invisibility, but a much better version than you can buy nowadays at the Hobby Store. Good enough to fool most edge-and-movement pattern recognition systems -- digital, organic, or clay. Yup. Even after the Big Deregulation, the guvvies still manage to spend our tax dollars developing cool things. With the sensors of my scout uniform set to maximum wariness, I set out for the site where Chen had spotted those auditors. Maybe I'd try to eavesdrop for a while and find out why they suspected that stolen military hardware was used in my assassination.


Debtor Nation: The History of America in Red Ink (Politics and Society in Modern America) by Louis Hyman

Alan Greenspan, asset-backed security, bank run, barriers to entry, Bretton Woods, business cycle, business logic, card file, central bank independence, computer age, corporate governance, credit crunch, declining real wages, deindustrialization, diversified portfolio, financial independence, financial innovation, fixed income, Gini coefficient, Glass-Steagall Act, Home mortgage interest deduction, housing crisis, income inequality, invisible hand, It's morning again in America, late fees, London Interbank Offered Rate, low interest rates, market fundamentalism, means of production, mortgage debt, mortgage tax deduction, p-value, pattern recognition, post-Fordism, profit maximization, profit motive, risk/return, Ronald Reagan, Savings and loan crisis, Silicon Valley, statistical model, Tax Reform Act of 1986, technological determinism, technology bubble, the built environment, transaction costs, union organizing, white flight, women in the workforce, working poor, zero-sum game

These borrowers, now healthy and employed, could actually be good candidates for credit, despite their poor repayment histories. Still, while some borrowers had fallen on hard times, others were simply unable to manage their finances, moving in and out of bankruptcy multiple times. These borrowers would always be a credit risk. Differentiating that heterogeneous risk would be the source of all subprime profits. Pattern recognition in these models grew more complex, aggregating data from a variety of sources. New transaction models examined what a customer purchased, and based on that data, predicted bankruptcy. Many cash advances late in the month, for instance, could indicate a borrower was running out of money before payday.


pages: 552 words: 168,518

MacroWikinomics: Rebooting Business and the World by Don Tapscott, Anthony D. Williams

"World Economic Forum" Davos, accounting loophole / creative accounting, airport security, Andrew Keen, augmented reality, Ayatollah Khomeini, barriers to entry, Ben Horowitz, bioinformatics, blood diamond, Bretton Woods, business climate, business process, buy and hold, car-free, carbon footprint, carbon tax, Charles Lindbergh, citizen journalism, Clayton Christensen, clean water, Climategate, Climatic Research Unit, cloud computing, collaborative editing, collapse of Lehman Brothers, collateralized debt obligation, colonial rule, commoditize, corporate governance, corporate social responsibility, creative destruction, crowdsourcing, death of newspapers, demographic transition, digital capitalism, digital divide, disruptive innovation, distributed generation, do well by doing good, don't be evil, en.wikipedia.org, energy security, energy transition, Evgeny Morozov, Exxon Valdez, failed state, fault tolerance, financial innovation, Galaxy Zoo, game design, global village, Google Earth, Hans Rosling, hive mind, Home mortgage interest deduction, information asymmetry, interchangeable parts, Internet of things, invention of movable type, Isaac Newton, James Watt: steam engine, Jaron Lanier, jimmy wales, Joseph Schumpeter, Julian Assange, Kevin Kelly, Kickstarter, knowledge economy, knowledge worker, machine readable, Marc Andreessen, Marshall McLuhan, mass immigration, medical bankruptcy, megacity, military-industrial complex, mortgage tax deduction, Netflix Prize, new economy, Nicholas Carr, ocean acidification, off-the-grid, oil shock, old-boy network, online collectivism, open borders, open economy, pattern recognition, peer-to-peer lending, personalized medicine, radical decentralization, Ray Kurzweil, RFID, ride hailing / ride sharing, Ronald Reagan, Rubik’s Cube, scientific mainstream, shareholder value, Silicon Valley, Skype, smart grid, smart meter, social graph, social web, software patent, Steve Jobs, synthetic biology, systems thinking, text mining, the long tail, the scientific method, The Wisdom of Crowds, transaction costs, transfer pricing, University of East Anglia, urban sprawl, value at risk, WikiLeaks, X Prize, Yochai Benkler, young professional, Zipcar

O’Donnell notes: “Institutions and parts of institutions that go on thinking they’re in the youth camp business will increasingly be seen as failing at their core mission.” James J. O’Donnell, “To Youth Camp: A Long Farewell,” EDUCAUSE Review, vol. 36, no. 6 (November/December 2001). Chapter 9 1. A project like Galaxy Zoo requires using actual people instead of a computer algorithm, Schawinski explains, because computers aren’t very good at pattern recognition. Humans, on the other hand, are exceptionally good at picking out different patterns and shapes, such as being able to distinguish between people’s faces at a quick glance, he notes. The same turns out to be true when it comes to distinguishing different types of galaxies. 2. The fact that ordinary people are getting involved in science has other benefits as well.


Turing's Cathedral by George Dyson

1919 Motor Transport Corps convoy, Abraham Wald, Alan Turing: On Computable Numbers, with an Application to the Entscheidungsproblem, Albert Einstein, anti-communist, Benoit Mandelbrot, Bletchley Park, British Empire, Brownian motion, cellular automata, Charles Babbage, cloud computing, computer age, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, Danny Hillis, dark matter, double helix, Dr. Strangelove, fault tolerance, Fellow of the Royal Society, finite state, Ford Model T, Georg Cantor, Henri Poincaré, Herman Kahn, housing crisis, IFF: identification friend or foe, indoor plumbing, Isaac Newton, Jacquard loom, John von Neumann, machine readable, mandelbrot fractal, Menlo Park, Murray Gell-Mann, Neal Stephenson, Norbert Wiener, Norman Macrae, packet switching, pattern recognition, Paul Erdős, Paul Samuelson, phenotype, planetary scale, RAND corporation, random walk, Richard Feynman, SETI@home, social graph, speech recognition, The Theory of the Leisure Class by Thorstein Veblen, Thorstein Veblen, Turing complete, Turing machine, Von Neumann architecture

“Toto,” said Dorothy in The Wizard of Oz, “I’ve a feeling we’re not in Kansas anymore.” What the Americans termed “artificial intelligence” the British termed “mechanical intelligence,” a designation that Alan Turing considered more precise. We began by observing intelligent behavior (such as language, vision, goal-seeking, and pattern-recognition) in organisms, and struggled to reproduce this behavior by encoding it into logically deterministic machines. We knew from the beginning that this logical, intelligent behavior evident in organisms was the result of fundamentally statistical, probabilistic processes, but we ignored that (or left the details to the biologists), while building “models” of intelligence—with mixed success.


pages: 561 words: 167,631

2312 by Kim Stanley Robinson

agricultural Revolution, Anthropocene, caloric restriction, caloric restriction, clean tech, double helix, full employment, higher-order functions, hive mind, if you see hoof prints, think horses—not zebras, Jevons paradox, Kim Stanley Robinson, Kuiper Belt, late capitalism, Late Heavy Bombardment, mutually assured destruction, Nelson Mandela, Neolithic agricultural revolution, off-the-grid, offshore financial centre, orbital mechanics / astrodynamics, pattern recognition, phenotype, post scarcity, precariat, quantum entanglement, retrograde motion, rewilding, Skinner box, stem cell, strong AI, synthetic biology, the built environment, the High Line, Tragedy of the Commons, Turing machine, Turing test, Winter of Discontent

She saw how much of their work involved finding databases and sifting through them, trying to formulate questions that their data might hold answers to. Their work was as invisible as the computations that kept all the spaceships and terraria on course in their woven trajectories, with all their Aldrin cycles and Homan paths and gravity lanes defined like threads on a vast circular spiraling loom. Data analysis, pattern recognition; a big part of the work was done by their qubes and AIs. The rest was accomplished by a bunch of people behaving as Genette was now, sitting there as she approached from the beach, mycrofting spiderlike in a raised chair that looked weirdly like a toddler’s high chair at a restaurant. Several of them were there working together, by the terrace railing overlooking one of the sex pools.


pages: 571 words: 162,958

Rewired: The Post-Cyberpunk Anthology by James Patrick Kelly, John Kessel

back-to-the-land, Columbine, dark matter, Extropian, Firefox, flag carrier, Future Shock, gravity well, haute couture, Internet Archive, Kim Stanley Robinson, military-industrial complex, Neal Stephenson, pattern recognition, phenotype, post-industrial society, price stability, Silicon Valley, slashdot, Stephen Hawking, technological singularity, telepresence, the scientific method, Turing test, urban renewal, Vernor Vinge, wage slave, Y2K, zero day

Every smart surface — from store windows to sunglasses, from taxi rooftop displays to billboards, from employee nametags to vending machines — was a camera that would track him in his dash across town to the Paramount Theater. Illicitly tapping into all these sources, utilizing common yet sophisticated pattern recognition, sampling and extrapolative software, Dagny would never lose sight of her quarry. Bash might as well have had cameras implanted in his eyeballs. Out on Mass Ave, Bash faced no interception from alarmed citizens. Apparently the false security warning had been broadcast only in Killian Court.


pages: 442 words: 39,064

Why Stock Markets Crash: Critical Events in Complex Financial Systems by Didier Sornette

Alan Greenspan, Asian financial crisis, asset allocation, behavioural economics, Berlin Wall, Black Monday: stock market crash in 1987, Bretton Woods, Brownian motion, business cycle, buy and hold, buy the rumour, sell the news, capital asset pricing model, capital controls, continuous double auction, currency peg, Deng Xiaoping, discrete time, diversified portfolio, Elliott wave, Erdős number, experimental economics, financial engineering, financial innovation, floating exchange rates, frictionless, frictionless market, full employment, global village, implied volatility, index fund, information asymmetry, intangible asset, invisible hand, John von Neumann, joint-stock company, law of one price, Louis Bachelier, low interest rates, mandelbrot fractal, margin call, market bubble, market clearing, market design, market fundamentalism, mental accounting, moral hazard, Network effects, new economy, oil shock, open economy, pattern recognition, Paul Erdős, Paul Samuelson, power law, quantitative trading / quantitative finance, random walk, risk/return, Ronald Reagan, Schrödinger's Cat, selection bias, short selling, Silicon Valley, South Sea Bubble, statistical model, stochastic process, stocks for the long run, Tacoma Narrows Bridge, technological singularity, The Coming Technological Singularity, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, Tobin tax, total factor productivity, transaction costs, tulip mania, VA Linux, Y2K, yield curve

Some evidence in support of stock market bubbles, Financial Analysts Journal 46, 71–73. 343. Richardson, L. F. (1961). The problem of contiguity: An appendix of statistics of deadly quarrels, General Systems Yearbook 6, 139–187. 344. Richebacher, K. (2000/2001). The Richebacher Letter, August 2000 and March 2001, the Fleet Street group, Baltimore, MD. 345. Ripley, B. D. (1996). Pattern Recognition and Neural Networks (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, U.K.). 346. Roberts, J. C. and Castore, C. H. (1972). The effects of conformity, information, and confidence upon subjects’ willingness to take risk following a group discussion, Organizational Behavior & Human Performance 8, 384–394. 347.


pages: 614 words: 168,545

Rentier Capitalism: Who Owns the Economy, and Who Pays for It? by Brett Christophers

"World Economic Forum" Davos, accounting loophole / creative accounting, Airbnb, Amazon Web Services, barriers to entry, Big bang: deregulation of the City of London, Big Tech, book value, Boris Johnson, Bretton Woods, Brexit referendum, British Empire, business process, business process outsourcing, Buy land – they’re not making it any more, call centre, Cambridge Analytica, Capital in the Twenty-First Century by Thomas Piketty, Cass Sunstein, cloud computing, collective bargaining, congestion charging, corporate governance, data is not the new oil, David Graeber, DeepMind, deindustrialization, Diane Coyle, digital capitalism, disintermediation, diversification, diversified portfolio, Donald Trump, Downton Abbey, electricity market, Etonian, European colonialism, financial deregulation, financial innovation, financial intermediation, G4S, gig economy, Gini coefficient, Goldman Sachs: Vampire Squid, greed is good, green new deal, haute couture, high net worth, housing crisis, income inequality, independent contractor, intangible asset, Internet of things, Jeff Bezos, Jeremy Corbyn, Joseph Schumpeter, Kickstarter, land bank, land reform, land value tax, light touch regulation, low interest rates, Lyft, manufacturing employment, market clearing, Martin Wolf, means of production, moral hazard, mortgage debt, Network effects, new economy, North Sea oil, offshore financial centre, oil shale / tar sands, oil shock, patent troll, pattern recognition, peak oil, Piper Alpha, post-Fordism, post-war consensus, precariat, price discrimination, price mechanism, profit maximization, proprietary trading, quantitative easing, race to the bottom, remunicipalization, rent control, rent gap, rent-seeking, ride hailing / ride sharing, Right to Buy, risk free rate, Ronald Coase, Rutger Bregman, sharing economy, short selling, Silicon Valley, software patent, subscription business, surveillance capitalism, TaskRabbit, tech bro, The Nature of the Firm, transaction costs, Uber for X, uber lyft, vertical integration, very high income, wage slave, We are all Keynesians now, wealth creators, winner-take-all economy, working-age population, yield curve, you are the product

The centrality to digital-platform business models of the extraction, analysis and utilization of data is crucial to the scale economies they enjoy. As US Senator Mark Warner, drawing on the work of the legal scholar Frank Pasquale, wrote in an influential white paper on social-media and technology firms, ‘data exhibits economies of scale, enabling more effective data analysis, computationally intensive pattern recognition and computational learning with greater collected data. As a consequence, firms with large pre-existing data sets have potentially insuperable competitive advantages over new entrants and nascent firms.’50 The UK’s Competition & Markets Authority (CMA) agrees. In its interim study of the UK online platforms and digital advertising market, published in December 2019, it noted that Facebook and Google’s control of unparalleled volumes of data gives them ‘significant competitive advantages’, and that potential challenger platforms’ inferior access to data likely represents ‘a significant barrier to entry’.51 Third, alongside network effects and economies of scale, significant economies of scope also serve to entrench market dominance, insofar as they confer disproportionate returns to scale – in this case, by enabling companies to use scale in one type of activity to secure advantages (such as lower costs or higher service quality) in another (hence, ‘scope’).


pages: 505 words: 161,581

The Founders: The Story of Paypal and the Entrepreneurs Who Shaped Silicon Valley by Jimmy Soni

activist fund / activist shareholder / activist investor, Ada Lovelace, AltaVista, Apple Newton, barriers to entry, Big Tech, bitcoin, Blitzscaling, book value, business logic, butterfly effect, call centre, Carl Icahn, Claude Shannon: information theory, cloud computing, Colonization of Mars, Computing Machinery and Intelligence, corporate governance, COVID-19, crack epidemic, cryptocurrency, currency manipulation / currency intervention, digital map, disinformation, disintermediation, drop ship, dumpster diving, Elon Musk, Fairchild Semiconductor, fear of failure, fixed income, General Magic , general-purpose programming language, Glass-Steagall Act, global macro, global pandemic, income inequality, index card, index fund, information security, intangible asset, Internet Archive, iterative process, Jeff Bezos, Jeff Hawkins, John Markoff, Kwajalein Atoll, Lyft, Marc Andreessen, Mark Zuckerberg, Mary Meeker, Max Levchin, Menlo Park, Metcalfe’s law, mobile money, money market fund, multilevel marketing, mutually assured destruction, natural language processing, Network effects, off-the-grid, optical character recognition, PalmPilot, pattern recognition, paypal mafia, Peter Thiel, pets.com, Potemkin village, public intellectual, publish or perish, Richard Feynman, road to serfdom, Robert Metcalfe, Robert X Cringely, rolodex, Sand Hill Road, Satoshi Nakamoto, seigniorage, shareholder value, side hustle, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, slashdot, SoftBank, software as a service, Startup school, Steve Ballmer, Steve Jobs, Steve Jurvetson, Steve Wozniak, technoutopianism, the payments system, transaction costs, Turing test, uber lyft, Vanguard fund, winner-take-all economy, Y Combinator, Y2K

Manually searching for wrongdoing was a nonstarter. So Levchin, Frezza, and others began studying more sophisticated patterns—suspicious zip codes, IP addresses, accounts hitting transaction limits, or other tells—that cut across varieties of PayPal’s fraud landscape. As Levchin, Frezza, and others dove into pattern recognition, they wondered if the activity on the PayPal systems could be depicted visually as opposed to numerically. So the team gave it a shot, building the equivalent of an echocardiogram for the company—a visual representation of money flows. On a computer monitor, the picture showed a series of lines representing the flow of money, with the thickness of each line corresponding to the size of a given transaction.


pages: 602 words: 177,874

Thank You for Being Late: An Optimist's Guide to Thriving in the Age of Accelerations by Thomas L. Friedman

3D printing, additive manufacturing, affirmative action, Airbnb, AltaVista, Amazon Web Services, Anthropocene, Apple Newton, autonomous vehicles, Ayatollah Khomeini, barriers to entry, Berlin Wall, Bernie Sanders, Big Tech, biodiversity loss, bitcoin, blockchain, Bob Noyce, business cycle, business process, call centre, carbon tax, centre right, Chris Wanstrath, Clayton Christensen, clean tech, clean water, cloud computing, cognitive load, corporate social responsibility, creative destruction, CRISPR, crowdsourcing, data science, David Brooks, deep learning, demand response, demographic dividend, demographic transition, Deng Xiaoping, digital divide, disinformation, Donald Trump, dual-use technology, end-to-end encryption, Erik Brynjolfsson, fail fast, failed state, Fairchild Semiconductor, Fall of the Berlin Wall, Ferguson, Missouri, first square of the chessboard / second half of the chessboard, Flash crash, fulfillment center, game design, gig economy, global pandemic, global supply chain, Great Leap Forward, illegal immigration, immigration reform, income inequality, indoor plumbing, intangible asset, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Internet of things, invention of the steam engine, inventory management, Irwin Jacobs: Qualcomm, Jeff Bezos, job automation, John Markoff, John von Neumann, Khan Academy, Kickstarter, knowledge economy, knowledge worker, land tenure, linear programming, Live Aid, low interest rates, low skilled workers, Lyft, Marc Andreessen, Mark Zuckerberg, mass immigration, Maui Hawaii, Menlo Park, Mikhail Gorbachev, mutually assured destruction, Neil Armstrong, Nelson Mandela, ocean acidification, PalmPilot, pattern recognition, planetary scale, power law, pull request, Ralph Waldo Emerson, ransomware, Ray Kurzweil, Richard Florida, ride hailing / ride sharing, Robert Gordon, Ronald Reagan, Salesforce, Second Machine Age, self-driving car, shareholder value, sharing economy, Silicon Valley, Skype, smart cities, Solyndra, South China Sea, Steve Jobs, subscription business, supercomputer in your pocket, synthetic biology, systems thinking, TaskRabbit, tech worker, TED Talk, The Rise and Fall of American Growth, Thomas L Friedman, Tony Fadell, transaction costs, Transnistria, uber lyft, undersea cable, urban decay, urban planning, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, WikiLeaks, women in the workforce, Y2K, Yogi Berra, zero-sum game

“The popular perception of artificial intelligence and cognitive computing is far from reality—this whole idea of sentient computer systems that become conscious and aware and take their own direction by what they learn,” said Arvind Krishna, senior vice president and director of IBM Research. What we can do is teach computers about narrow domains—such as oncology, geology, geography—by writing algorithms that enable them to “learn” about each of these disciplines through multiple and overlapping systems of pattern recognition. “But if a computer is built to understand oncology, that is the only thing it can do—and it can keep learning as new literature comes out in the narrow domain that it was designed for. But the idea that it would then suddenly start designing cars is zero.” By June 2016, Watson was already being used by fifteen of the world’s leading cancer institutes, had ingested more than twelve million pages of medical articles, three hundred medical journals, two hundred textbooks, and tens of millions of patient records, and that number is increasing every day.


pages: 654 words: 191,864

Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman

Albert Einstein, Atul Gawande, availability heuristic, Bayesian statistics, behavioural economics, Black Swan, book value, Cass Sunstein, Checklist Manifesto, choice architecture, classic study, cognitive bias, cognitive load, complexity theory, correlation coefficient, correlation does not imply causation, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, delayed gratification, demand response, endowment effect, experimental economics, experimental subject, Exxon Valdez, feminist movement, framing effect, hedonic treadmill, hindsight bias, index card, information asymmetry, job satisfaction, John Bogle, John von Neumann, Kenneth Arrow, libertarian paternalism, Linda problem, loss aversion, medical residency, mental accounting, meta-analysis, nudge unit, pattern recognition, Paul Samuelson, peak-end rule, precautionary principle, pre–internet, price anchoring, quantitative trading / quantitative finance, random walk, Richard Thaler, risk tolerance, Robert Metcalfe, Ronald Reagan, Shai Danziger, sunk-cost fallacy, Supply of New York City Cabdrivers, systematic bias, TED Talk, The Chicago School, The Wisdom of Crowds, Thomas Bayes, transaction costs, union organizing, Walter Mischel, Yom Kippur War

The process involves both System 1 and System 2. In the first phase, a tentative plan comes to mind by an automatic function of associative memory—System 1. The next phase is a deliberate process in which the plan is mentally simulated to check if it will work—an operation of System 2. The model of intuitive decision making as pattern recognition develops ideas presented some time ago by Herbert Simon, perhaps the only scholar who is recognized and admired as a hero and founding figure by all the competing clans and tribes in the study of decision making. I quoted Herbert Simon’s definition of intuition in the introduction, but it will make more sense when I repeat it now: “The situation has provided a cue; this cue has given the expert access to information stored in memory, and the information provides the answer.


pages: 611 words: 186,716

The Diamond Age by Neal Stephenson

British Empire, clean water, dark matter, defense in depth, digital map, edge city, Just-in-time delivery, low earth orbit, Mason jar, Neal Stephenson, pattern recognition, pneumatic tube, sensible shoes, Silicon Valley, Socratic dialogue, South China Sea, the scientific method, Turing machine, wage slave

The Cathay Hotel stood in the middle of the Bund, at the intersection with Nanjing Road, the Rodeo Drive of the Far East. As far as Miranda could see-all the way to Nanjing, maybe-it was lined with Western and Nipponese boutiques and department stores, and the airspace above the street was besprent with almond-size aerostats, each with its own cine camera and pattern-recognition ware to watch for suspicious-looking congregations of young men who might be Fist cells. Like all of the other big Western buildings on the waterfront, the Cathay was outlined in white light, which was probably a good thing because otherwise it wouldn't have looked like much. The exterior was bleak and dingy in the daytime.


pages: 651 words: 180,162

Antifragile: Things That Gain From Disorder by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

"World Economic Forum" Davos, Air France Flight 447, Alan Greenspan, Andrei Shleifer, anti-fragile, banking crisis, Benoit Mandelbrot, Berlin Wall, biodiversity loss, Black Swan, business cycle, caloric restriction, caloric restriction, Chuck Templeton: OpenTable:, commoditize, creative destruction, credit crunch, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, David Ricardo: comparative advantage, discrete time, double entry bookkeeping, Emanuel Derman, epigenetics, fail fast, financial engineering, financial independence, Flash crash, flying shuttle, Gary Taubes, George Santayana, Gini coefficient, Helicobacter pylori, Henri Poincaré, Higgs boson, high net worth, hygiene hypothesis, Ignaz Semmelweis: hand washing, informal economy, invention of the wheel, invisible hand, Isaac Newton, James Hargreaves, Jane Jacobs, Jim Simons, joint-stock company, joint-stock limited liability company, Joseph Schumpeter, Kenneth Arrow, knowledge economy, language acquisition, Lao Tzu, Long Term Capital Management, loss aversion, Louis Pasteur, mandelbrot fractal, Marc Andreessen, Mark Spitznagel, meta-analysis, microbiome, money market fund, moral hazard, mouse model, Myron Scholes, Norbert Wiener, pattern recognition, Paul Samuelson, placebo effect, Ponzi scheme, Post-Keynesian economics, power law, principal–agent problem, purchasing power parity, quantitative trading / quantitative finance, Ralph Nader, random walk, Ray Kurzweil, rent control, Republic of Letters, Ronald Reagan, Rory Sutherland, Rupert Read, selection bias, Silicon Valley, six sigma, spinning jenny, statistical model, Steve Jobs, Steven Pinker, Stewart Brand, stochastic process, stochastic volatility, synthetic biology, tacit knowledge, tail risk, Thales and the olive presses, Thales of Miletus, The Great Moderation, the new new thing, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, Thomas Bayes, Thomas Malthus, too big to fail, transaction costs, urban planning, Vilfredo Pareto, Yogi Berra, Zipf's Law

Someone who escaped the conflation problem is Jim Simons, the great mathematician who made a fortune building a huge machine to transact across markets. It replicates the buying and selling methods of these sub–blue collar people and has more statistical significance than anyone on planet Earth. He claims to never hire economists and finance people, just physicists and mathematicians, those involved in pattern recognition accessing the internal logic of things, without theorizing. Nor does he ever listen to economists or read their reports. The great economist Ariel Rubinstein gets the green lumber fallacy—it requires a great deal of intellect and honesty to see things that way. Rubinstein is one of the leaders in the field of game theory, which consists in thought experiments; he is also the greatest expert in cafés for thinking and writing across the planet.


Never Bet Against Occam: Mast Cell Activation Disease and the Modern Epidemics of Chronic Illness and Medical Complexity by Lawrence B. Afrin M. D., Kendra Neilsen Myles, Kristi Posival

Affordable Care Act / Obamacare, Albert Einstein, autism spectrum disorder, epigenetics, Helicobacter pylori, invisible hand, Isaac Newton, megacity, microbiome, mouse model, obamacare, pattern recognition, personalized medicine, phenotype, pre–internet, selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor (SSRI), stem cell

Good thing or bad thing, though, the fact is that most physicians are very set in their ways, so when they come out of medical training “knowing” that mast cell disease is rare, and when they see patients with an established diagnosis of mast cell disease only very rarely, they will continue to think the disease is rare and thus warrants far less attention than common diseases (even if the truth of the matter, as they will eventually learn, is that mast cell disease underlies many of the common (if idiopathic) diseases they routinely manage). Need a Strike Four? The very heterogeneity of mast cell disease certainly qualifies. Diagnosis is an exercise in pattern recognition. How can a physician recognize a disease that can present with virtually any complaints, a vast array of physical exam findings, and requires esoteric lab testing for confirmation of diagnosis? Thus, most of the time the mast cell disease patient strikes out in trying to find effective local medical care.


pages: 704 words: 182,312

This Is Service Design Doing: Applying Service Design Thinking in the Real World: A Practitioners' Handbook by Marc Stickdorn, Markus Edgar Hormess, Adam Lawrence, Jakob Schneider

"World Economic Forum" Davos, 3D printing, business cycle, business process, call centre, Clayton Christensen, commoditize, corporate governance, corporate social responsibility, crowdsourcing, data science, different worldview, Eyjafjallajökull, fail fast, glass ceiling, Internet of things, iterative process, Kanban, Lean Startup, M-Pesa, minimum viable product, mobile money, off-the-grid, pattern recognition, RFID, scientific management, side project, Silicon Valley, software as a service, stealth mode startup, sustainable-tourism, systems thinking, tacit knowledge, the built environment, the scientific method, urban planning, work culture

The foundations of abduction are laid when you formulate your challenge – specifically, the value you want to create for your customer, or for the world. For most people, it is best done in a “low-tech,” small-team context with sticky notes stuck to a wall. This large working space is useful, even necessary, because abduction involves pattern recognition. These are the first steps: summarize your data, spread it out and digest it, interpret it, and find out what appeals to you and how everything would make sense. This is where insights come from that allow you to take a fresh point of view that is suggested by the data. Abductive thinking is intuitive – intuition combined with data from research.


pages: 659 words: 190,874

Deep Nutrition: Why Your Genes Need Traditional Food by Catherine Shanahan M. D.

Albert Einstein, autism spectrum disorder, caloric restriction, caloric restriction, clean water, Community Supported Agriculture, disinformation, double helix, Drosophila, epigenetics, Firefox, Gary Taubes, haute cuisine, impulse control, longitudinal study, Mahatma Gandhi, Mason jar, meta-analysis, microbiome, mirror neurons, moral panic, mouse model, pattern recognition, phenotype, selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor (SSRI), Simon Singh, smart cities, stem cell, the scientific method, traumatic brain injury, twin studies, upwardly mobile, wikimedia commons

OLD-FASHIONED BREAKFAST: FRESH, LOCAL, AND UNPROCESSED This milk is rich in nutrients bioconcentrated by the goat, which is free to graze on the choicest shoots growing over vast plains of mineral-rich soil. Many small farmers in the United States still raise their animals on pasture, offering the customer a healthy alternative to milk produced by grain-fed animals. The preference for beauty (in our own and other’s faces) emerges as a result of the instinctive pattern recognition process that I will describe in detail in Chapter 4. For now, it is crucial to understand that what we consider to be beautiful also serves a survival function. As unfair as it seems, less attractive people have more health problems.58 All congenital syndromes that distort facial architecture are associated with impairments in physiologic functions like breathing, talking, hearing, walking, and so on.


pages: 694 words: 197,804

The Pot Book: A Complete Guide to Cannabis by Julie Holland

benefit corporation, Berlin Wall, Burning Man, confounding variable, drug harm reduction, intentional community, longitudinal study, Mahatma Gandhi, mandatory minimum, Maui Hawaii, meta-analysis, pattern recognition, phenotype, placebo effect, profit motive, publication bias, RAND corporation, randomized controlled trial, Ronald Reagan, Rosa Parks, Stephen Hawking, traumatic brain injury, University of East Anglia, zero-sum game

And while regular use can dampen the immediately felt impact of pot’s invitation to exchange promise for process, this doesn’t mean the drug isn’t making its very presence known. Take the work of two of Hollywood’s most famous daily pot smokers, the late Robert Altman and Oliver Stone. Altman’s movies imitate the stoned mind wandering from synchronicity to synchronicity, contenting themselves with pattern recognition and requiring their narrative-bound audiences to do the same. Stone’s, on the other hand, bring us with him into the paranoid scenarios of the stoned mind daring itself into increasingly nightmarish territory—as if the ability to play in these regions somehow purges them of their power. Given his almost obsessive return to this dark side, the paranoid vision seems only to be gaining more hold over his awareness.


pages: 786 words: 195,810

NeuroTribes: The Legacy of Autism and the Future of Neurodiversity by Steve Silberman

Albert Einstein, animal electricity, Apollo 11, Asperger Syndrome, assortative mating, autism spectrum disorder, Bletchley Park, crowdsourcing, Douglas Engelbart, en.wikipedia.org, epigenetics, experimental subject, Golden Gate Park, Haight Ashbury, hydroponic farming, hypertext link, IBM and the Holocaust, index card, Isaac Newton, John Markoff, Kickstarter, language acquisition, Larry Wall, megacity, meta-analysis, Mother of all demos, Neil Armstrong, neurotypical, New Journalism, pattern recognition, placebo effect, scientific mainstream, side project, Silicon Valley, Simon Singh, Skype, slashdot, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, Steven Levy, Stewart Brand, sugar pill, the scientific method, twin studies, Tyler Cowen, union organizing, Whole Earth Catalog, women in the workforce, Yom Kippur War

At no point did Shore compel Leo to do something he didn’t want to do. If Leo jumped up and hopped up and down for a minute because he got excited, that was okay. Shore acted like there was all the time in the world. The little tasks he gave Leo quickly became self-rewarding, because they played to a classic autistic strength: pattern recognition. Together, they turned the eighty-eight keys on the keyboard into a map that Leo could then explore by playing the notes. Shannon had never seen anyone “get” Leo so quickly. (Shore confesses that he finds neurotypical kids harder to teach, because he doesn’t understand how their minds work.)


Mining of Massive Datasets by Jure Leskovec, Anand Rajaraman, Jeffrey David Ullman

cloud computing, crowdsourcing, en.wikipedia.org, first-price auction, G4S, information retrieval, John Snow's cholera map, Netflix Prize, NP-complete, PageRank, pattern recognition, power law, random walk, recommendation engine, second-price auction, sentiment analysis, social graph, statistical model, the long tail, web application

Conf. on Computational Statistics (2010), pp. 177–187, Springer. [3]L. Bottou, “Stochastic gradient tricks, neural networks,” in Tricks of the Trade, Reloaded, pp. 430–445, edited by G. Montavon, G.B. Orr and K.-R. Mueller, Lecture Notes in Computer Science (LNCS 7700), Springer, 2012. [4]C.J.C. Burges, “A tutorial on support vector machines for pattern recognition,” Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery 2 (1998), pp. 121–167. [5]N. Cristianini and J. Shawe-Taylor, An Introduction to Support Vector Machines and Other Kernel-Based Learning Methods, Cambridge University Press, 2000. [6]C. Cortes and V.N. Vapnik, “Support-vector networks,” Machine Learning 20 (1995), pp. 273–297


pages: 829 words: 186,976

The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-But Some Don't by Nate Silver

airport security, Alan Greenspan, Alvin Toffler, An Inconvenient Truth, availability heuristic, Bayesian statistics, Bear Stearns, behavioural economics, Benoit Mandelbrot, Berlin Wall, Bernie Madoff, big-box store, Black Monday: stock market crash in 1987, Black Swan, Boeing 747, book value, Broken windows theory, business cycle, buy and hold, Carmen Reinhart, Charles Babbage, classic study, Claude Shannon: information theory, Climategate, Climatic Research Unit, cognitive dissonance, collapse of Lehman Brothers, collateralized debt obligation, complexity theory, computer age, correlation does not imply causation, Credit Default Swap, credit default swaps / collateralized debt obligations, cuban missile crisis, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, disinformation, diversification, Donald Trump, Edmond Halley, Edward Lorenz: Chaos theory, en.wikipedia.org, equity premium, Eugene Fama: efficient market hypothesis, everywhere but in the productivity statistics, fear of failure, Fellow of the Royal Society, Ford Model T, Freestyle chess, fudge factor, Future Shock, George Akerlof, global pandemic, Goodhart's law, haute cuisine, Henri Poincaré, high batting average, housing crisis, income per capita, index fund, information asymmetry, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Internet Archive, invention of the printing press, invisible hand, Isaac Newton, James Watt: steam engine, Japanese asset price bubble, John Bogle, John Nash: game theory, John von Neumann, Kenneth Rogoff, knowledge economy, Laplace demon, locking in a profit, Loma Prieta earthquake, market bubble, Mikhail Gorbachev, Moneyball by Michael Lewis explains big data, Monroe Doctrine, mortgage debt, Nate Silver, negative equity, new economy, Norbert Wiener, Oklahoma City bombing, PageRank, pattern recognition, pets.com, Phillips curve, Pierre-Simon Laplace, Plato's cave, power law, prediction markets, Productivity paradox, proprietary trading, public intellectual, random walk, Richard Thaler, Robert Shiller, Robert Solow, Rodney Brooks, Ronald Reagan, Saturday Night Live, savings glut, security theater, short selling, SimCity, Skype, statistical model, Steven Pinker, The Great Moderation, The Market for Lemons, the scientific method, The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver, The Wisdom of Crowds, Thomas Bayes, Thomas Kuhn: the structure of scientific revolutions, Timothy McVeigh, too big to fail, transaction costs, transfer pricing, University of East Anglia, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, Wayback Machine, wikimedia commons

The slow and steady march of human evolution has fallen out of step with technological progress: evolution occurs on millennial time scales, whereas processing power doubles roughly every other year. Our ancestors who lived in caves would have found it advantageous to have very strong, perhaps almost hyperactive pattern-recognition skills—to be able to identify in a split-second whether that rustling in the leaves over yonder was caused by the wind or by an encroaching grizzly bear. Nowadays, in a fast-paced world awash in numbers and statistics, those same tendencies can get us into trouble: when presented with a series of random numbers, we see patterns where there aren’t any.


pages: 677 words: 206,548

Future Crimes: Everything Is Connected, Everyone Is Vulnerable and What We Can Do About It by Marc Goodman

23andMe, 3D printing, active measures, additive manufacturing, Affordable Care Act / Obamacare, Airbnb, airport security, Albert Einstein, algorithmic trading, Alvin Toffler, Apollo 11, Apollo 13, artificial general intelligence, Asilomar, Asilomar Conference on Recombinant DNA, augmented reality, autonomous vehicles, Baxter: Rethink Robotics, Bill Joy: nanobots, bitcoin, Black Swan, blockchain, borderless world, Boston Dynamics, Brian Krebs, business process, butterfly effect, call centre, Charles Lindbergh, Chelsea Manning, Citizen Lab, cloud computing, Cody Wilson, cognitive dissonance, computer vision, connected car, corporate governance, crowdsourcing, cryptocurrency, data acquisition, data is the new oil, data science, Dean Kamen, deep learning, DeepMind, digital rights, disinformation, disintermediation, Dogecoin, don't be evil, double helix, Downton Abbey, driverless car, drone strike, Edward Snowden, Elon Musk, Erik Brynjolfsson, Evgeny Morozov, Filter Bubble, Firefox, Flash crash, Free Software Foundation, future of work, game design, gamification, global pandemic, Google Chrome, Google Earth, Google Glasses, Gordon Gekko, Hacker News, high net worth, High speed trading, hive mind, Howard Rheingold, hypertext link, illegal immigration, impulse control, industrial robot, information security, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Internet of things, Jaron Lanier, Jeff Bezos, job automation, John Harrison: Longitude, John Markoff, Joi Ito, Jony Ive, Julian Assange, Kevin Kelly, Khan Academy, Kickstarter, Kiva Systems, knowledge worker, Kuwabatake Sanjuro: assassination market, Large Hadron Collider, Larry Ellison, Laura Poitras, Law of Accelerating Returns, Lean Startup, license plate recognition, lifelogging, litecoin, low earth orbit, M-Pesa, machine translation, Mark Zuckerberg, Marshall McLuhan, Menlo Park, Metcalfe’s law, MITM: man-in-the-middle, mobile money, more computing power than Apollo, move fast and break things, Nate Silver, national security letter, natural language processing, Nick Bostrom, obamacare, Occupy movement, Oculus Rift, off grid, off-the-grid, offshore financial centre, operational security, optical character recognition, Parag Khanna, pattern recognition, peer-to-peer, personalized medicine, Peter H. Diamandis: Planetary Resources, Peter Thiel, pre–internet, printed gun, RAND corporation, ransomware, Ray Kurzweil, Recombinant DNA, refrigerator car, RFID, ride hailing / ride sharing, Rodney Brooks, Ross Ulbricht, Russell Brand, Salesforce, Satoshi Nakamoto, Second Machine Age, security theater, self-driving car, shareholder value, Sheryl Sandberg, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, SimCity, Skype, smart cities, smart grid, smart meter, Snapchat, social graph, SoftBank, software as a service, speech recognition, stealth mode startup, Stephen Hawking, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, strong AI, Stuxnet, subscription business, supply-chain management, synthetic biology, tech worker, technological singularity, TED Talk, telepresence, telepresence robot, Tesla Model S, The future is already here, The Future of Employment, the long tail, The Wisdom of Crowds, Tim Cook: Apple, trade route, uranium enrichment, Virgin Galactic, Wall-E, warehouse robotics, Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!, Wave and Pay, We are Anonymous. We are Legion, web application, Westphalian system, WikiLeaks, Y Combinator, you are the product, zero day

As narrow AI capabilities grow, we are seeing algorithms play increasingly active roles throughout more and more businesses and professions. In medicine, “computer-aided diagnostics” are helping physicians to interpret X-ray, MRI, and ultrasound results much more rapidly, using algorithms and highly complex pattern-recognition techniques to flag abnormal test results. The legendary Silicon Valley entrepreneur and investor Vinod Khosla has referred to this as the age of Dr. A.—Dr. Algorithm—hailing a revolution in health care in which we won’t need the average human doctor, instead finding much better and cheaper care for 90–99 percent of our medical needs through AI, big data, and improved medical software and diagnostics.


Statistics in a Nutshell by Sarah Boslaugh

Antoine Gombaud: Chevalier de Méré, Bayesian statistics, business climate, computer age, confounding variable, correlation coefficient, experimental subject, Florence Nightingale: pie chart, income per capita, iterative process, job satisfaction, labor-force participation, linear programming, longitudinal study, meta-analysis, p-value, pattern recognition, placebo effect, probability theory / Blaise Pascal / Pierre de Fermat, publication bias, purchasing power parity, randomized controlled trial, selection bias, six sigma, sparse data, statistical model, systematic bias, The Design of Experiments, the scientific method, Thomas Bayes, Two Sigma, Vilfredo Pareto

In this situation, it is incorrect to assert a causal relationship, even if one variable is labeled dependent on an independent variable. Training and test data Has a model been developed using one data set and then tested using the same data set? If so, is there any acknowledgement that the model might not work as well on a different data set? This problem occurs frequently in pattern recognition applications. Operationalization Is the variable selected to measure some particular phenomenon actually measuring it? If not, does the operationalization of the phenomenon seem reasonable? This is a common problem in psychology, when latent variables (such as intelligence) are measured indirectly by performance on different cognitive tasks.


Patriot Games by Tom Clancy

British Empire, disinformation, invisible hand, orbital mechanics / astrodynamics, pattern recognition, place-making, price mechanism

Regardless of the number of the people at the camp, the number of huts being used went up by one, for a period of three days. Ryan swore when he saw that the pattern didn't quite hold. Twice in two years the number didn't change. And what does that mean? "You are in a maze of twisty passages, all alike," Jack murmured to himself. It was a line from one of his computer games. Pattern- recognition was not one of his strong points. Jack left the room to get a can of Coke, but more to clear his head. He was back in five minutes. He pulled the occupancy graphs from the three "unknown" camps to compare the respective levels of activity. What he really needed to do was to make Xerox copies of the graphs, but CIA had strict rules on the use of copying machines.


pages: 650 words: 204,878

Reminiscences of a Stock Operator by Edwin Lefèvre, William J. O'Neil

activist fund / activist shareholder / activist investor, bank run, behavioural economics, Black Monday: stock market crash in 1987, book value, British Empire, business process, buttonwood tree, buy and hold, buy the rumour, sell the news, clean water, Cornelius Vanderbilt, cotton gin, Credit Default Swap, Donald Trump, fiat currency, Ford Model T, gentleman farmer, Glass-Steagall Act, Hernando de Soto, margin call, Monroe Doctrine, new economy, pattern recognition, Ponzi scheme, price stability, refrigerator car, Reminiscences of a Stock Operator, reserve currency, short selling, short squeeze, technology bubble, tontine, trade route, transcontinental railway, traveling salesman, Upton Sinclair, yellow journalism

The key is immersion, or repeated concentrated exposure. For someone who doesn’t watch the markets every day, a hunch about a stock would be random and a less-than-50/50 bet. For someone who watches stock movements tick by tick, day after day, as a profession, a hunch about a stock emerges from a deep level of pattern recognition. In this case, then, what Livermore calls following through on a “hunch” was actually a matter of acting intuitively and decisively based on his experience after observing UP quotes at the boardwalk brokerage. It was an important step in his development as a major Wall Street operator. 6.3 In the predawn mist of Wednesday, April 18, 1906, a massive rupture in the San Andreas Fault rocked San Francisco with a 8.3 magnitude earthquake that lasted 42 seconds.


The Outlaw Ocean: Journeys Across the Last Untamed Frontier by Ian Urbina

9 dash line, Airbnb, British Empire, clean water, Costa Concordia, crowdsourcing, disinformation, Exxon Valdez, failed state, Filipino sailors, forensic accounting, Garrett Hardin, gentrification, global value chain, Global Witness, illegal immigration, independent contractor, invisible hand, Jessica Bruder, John Markoff, Jones Act, Julian Assange, Malacca Straits, Maui Hawaii, Neal Stephenson, New Journalism, ocean acidification, offshore financial centre, Patri Friedman, pattern recognition, Peter Thiel, Silicon Valley, Skype, South China Sea, standardized shipping container, statistical arbitrage, Tragedy of the Commons, UNCLOS, UNCLOS, union organizing, Upton Sinclair, WikiLeaks, William Langewiesche

Many of the new rules introduced by the Thai government to combat sea slavery on boats in the South China Sea focused on bigger ships because new rules would be too financially burdensome to the midsized ones, even though the midsized ships were far more numerous and more prone to trafficking. In fact, this tendency toward solutions that just ever so barely missed their target was so common that it became tough not to wonder whether it was intentional. While some people might dismiss this speculation as conspiracy theory, I see it more as pattern recognition. I also wondered whether this slick practice was just the sort of sleight of hand that industries pay high-priced consultants to provide. Either way, the near misses and almost fixes were only allowed to continue thanks to lawmakers with short attention spans and a general public prone to the sort of dissipated outrage I’d found in New Zealand


pages: 795 words: 215,529

Genius: The Life and Science of Richard Feynman by James Gleick

Albert Einstein, American ideology, Arthur Eddington, Brownian motion, Charles Babbage, disinformation, double helix, Douglas Hofstadter, Dr. Strangelove, Eddington experiment, Ernest Rutherford, gravity well, Gödel, Escher, Bach, Higgs boson, Isaac Newton, John von Neumann, Menlo Park, military-industrial complex, Murray Gell-Mann, mutually assured destruction, Neil Armstrong, Norbert Wiener, Norman Mailer, pattern recognition, Pepto Bismol, Richard Feynman, Richard Feynman: Challenger O-ring, Ronald Reagan, Rubik’s Cube, Sand Hill Road, Schrödinger's Cat, sexual politics, sparse data, Stephen Hawking, Steven Levy, the scientific method, Thomas Kuhn: the structure of scientific revolutions, uranium enrichment

When his son, Carl, ended his flirtation with philosophy and took up computer science, Feynman, too, looked again at the field he had helped pioneer at Los Alamos. He joined two Caltech authorities on computation, John Hopfield and Carver Mead, in constructing a course on issues from brain analogues and pattern recognition to error correction and uncomputability. For several summers he worked with the founders of Thinking Machines Corporation, near MIT, creating a radical approach to parallel processing; he served as a high-class technician, applying differential equations to the circuit diagrams, and as an occasional wise man among the young entrepreneurs (“Forget all that ‘local minima’ stuff—just say there’s a bubble caught in the crystal and you have to shake it out”).


pages: 678 words: 216,204

The Wealth of Networks: How Social Production Transforms Markets and Freedom by Yochai Benkler

affirmative action, AOL-Time Warner, barriers to entry, bioinformatics, Brownian motion, business logic, call centre, Cass Sunstein, centre right, clean water, commoditize, commons-based peer production, dark matter, desegregation, digital divide, East Village, Eben Moglen, fear of failure, Firefox, Free Software Foundation, game design, George Gilder, hiring and firing, Howard Rheingold, informal economy, information asymmetry, information security, invention of radio, Isaac Newton, iterative process, Jean Tirole, jimmy wales, John Markoff, John Perry Barlow, Kenneth Arrow, Lewis Mumford, longitudinal study, machine readable, Mahbub ul Haq, market bubble, market clearing, Marshall McLuhan, Mitch Kapor, New Journalism, optical character recognition, pattern recognition, peer-to-peer, power law, precautionary principle, pre–internet, price discrimination, profit maximization, profit motive, public intellectual, radical decentralization, random walk, Recombinant DNA, recommendation engine, regulatory arbitrage, rent-seeking, RFID, Richard Stallman, Ronald Coase, scientific management, search costs, Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence, SETI@home, shareholder value, Silicon Valley, Skype, slashdot, social software, software patent, spectrum auction, subscription business, tacit knowledge, technological determinism, technoutopianism, The Fortune at the Bottom of the Pyramid, the long tail, The Nature of the Firm, the strength of weak ties, Timothy McVeigh, transaction costs, vertical integration, Vilfredo Pareto, work culture , Yochai Benkler

Together, they form a vast almanac, trivia trove, and news and commentary facility, to name but a few, produced by millions of people at their leisure--whenever they can or want to, about whatever they want. 204 The independence of Web sites is what marks their major difference from more organized peer-production processes, where contributions are marked not by their independence but by their interdependence. The Web as a whole requires no formal structure of cooperation. As an "information good" or medium, it emerges as a pattern out of coordinate coexistence of millions of entirely independent acts. All it requires is a pattern recognition utility superimposed over the outputs of these acts--a search engine or directory. Peer-production processes, to the contrary, do generally require some substantive cooperation among users. A single rating of an individual comment on Slashdot does not by itself moderate the comment up or down, neither does an individual marking of a crater.


pages: 745 words: 207,187

Accessory to War: The Unspoken Alliance Between Astrophysics and the Military by Neil Degrasse Tyson, Avis Lang

active measures, Admiral Zheng, airport security, anti-communist, Apollo 11, Arthur Eddington, Benoit Mandelbrot, Berlin Wall, British Empire, Buckminster Fuller, Carrington event, Charles Lindbergh, collapse of Lehman Brothers, Colonization of Mars, commoditize, corporate governance, cosmic microwave background, credit crunch, cuban missile crisis, dark matter, Dava Sobel, disinformation, Donald Trump, Doomsday Clock, Dr. Strangelove, dual-use technology, Eddington experiment, Edward Snowden, energy security, Eratosthenes, European colonialism, fake news, Fellow of the Royal Society, Ford Model T, global value chain, Google Earth, GPS: selective availability, Great Leap Forward, Herman Kahn, Higgs boson, invention of movable type, invention of the printing press, invention of the telescope, Isaac Newton, James Webb Space Telescope, Johannes Kepler, John Harrison: Longitude, Karl Jansky, Kuiper Belt, Large Hadron Collider, Late Heavy Bombardment, Laura Poitras, Lewis Mumford, lone genius, low earth orbit, mandelbrot fractal, Maui Hawaii, Mercator projection, Mikhail Gorbachev, military-industrial complex, mutually assured destruction, Neil Armstrong, New Journalism, Northpointe / Correctional Offender Management Profiling for Alternative Sanctions, operation paperclip, pattern recognition, Pierre-Simon Laplace, precision agriculture, prediction markets, profit motive, Project Plowshare, purchasing power parity, quantum entanglement, RAND corporation, Ronald Reagan, Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence, skunkworks, South China Sea, space junk, Stephen Hawking, Strategic Defense Initiative, subprime mortgage crisis, the long tail, time dilation, trade route, War on Poverty, wikimedia commons, zero-sum game

Radar, declared Watson-Watt, was “the secret that was kept by a thousand women” (Watson-Watt, “Radar Defense Today,” 230). Brown quotes an Australian explanation as to why women proved so valuable: “Women did make the best radar operators, because they watched the screen” (Brown, Radar History of World War II, 2, 64). Kaiser, too, acknowledges the role played by women: “Due to a sort of unconscious pattern recognition, operators, particularly the Women’s Auxiliary Air Force (the WAAFs), acquired the skill to detect signals even below noise level” (38). 47.Brown, Radar History of World War II, x, 6. 48.In 1946 Watson-Watt painted a sunny portrait of UK wartime cooperation across sectors in the effort to develop and improve radar: “a co-operation which, I believe, was unsurpassed and unequalled in any part of the war effort.


pages: 857 words: 232,302

The Evolutionary Void by Peter F. Hamilton

clean water, information retrieval, Kickstarter, megacity, Neil Armstrong, orbital mechanics / astrodynamics, pattern recognition, plutocrats, trade route, urban sprawl

He was just pouring himself a second glass of wine when his u-shadow reported that Phelim was making a priority call. Please, Lady, no more bad news tonight, Ethan thought wearily as he accepted the secure link. He was still awaiting the call from Marius’s “friend.” “We’ve found her,” Phelim declared. Ethan paused, the wine not quite out of the bottle’s neck. “Who?” “The Second Dreamer. The advanced pattern recognition routines located her for us. She’s sharing Inigo’s Eleventh Dream, would you believe.” “Great Lady! Do you have her safe?” “No, that’s where the problem begins. She’s not on Viotia anymore.” “Damn. Where is she, then?” “Chobamba.” “Where?” Even as he asked, Ethan’s u-shadow was pulling data out of the central registry.


pages: 809 words: 237,921

The Narrow Corridor: States, Societies, and the Fate of Liberty by Daron Acemoglu, James A. Robinson

Affordable Care Act / Obamacare, agricultural Revolution, AltaVista, Andrei Shleifer, bank run, Berlin Wall, British Empire, California gold rush, central bank independence, centre right, classic study, collateralized debt obligation, collective bargaining, colonial rule, Computer Numeric Control, conceptual framework, Corn Laws, Cornelius Vanderbilt, corporate governance, creative destruction, Credit Default Swap, credit default swaps / collateralized debt obligations, crony capitalism, Dava Sobel, David Ricardo: comparative advantage, Deng Xiaoping, discovery of the americas, double entry bookkeeping, Edward Snowden, en.wikipedia.org, equal pay for equal work, European colonialism, export processing zone, Ferguson, Missouri, financial deregulation, financial innovation, flying shuttle, Francis Fukuyama: the end of history, full employment, Glass-Steagall Act, Great Leap Forward, high-speed rail, income inequality, income per capita, industrial robot, information asymmetry, interest rate swap, invention of movable type, Isaac Newton, it's over 9,000, James Watt: steam engine, John Harrison: Longitude, joint-stock company, Kula ring, labor-force participation, land reform, Mahatma Gandhi, manufacturing employment, mass incarceration, Maui Hawaii, means of production, megacity, Mikhail Gorbachev, military-industrial complex, Nelson Mandela, obamacare, openstreetmap, out of africa, PageRank, pattern recognition, road to serfdom, Ronald Reagan, seminal paper, Skype, spinning jenny, Steven Pinker, the market place, transcontinental railway, War on Poverty, WikiLeaks

Once it had a large market share, Google could use more data from user searches to refine its algorithm, making it even better and more dominant. These dynamics got stronger once data from Internet searches started being used for artificial intelligence applications, for example, for translation and pattern recognition. Early success also brought more resources to invest in research and development and acquire companies that were developing technology that would be useful to Google’s further expansion. Winner-take-all effects were also at the root of the meteoric rise of Amazon, whose early growth as an online retailer and platform made it more attractive to sellers and users, and of Facebook, whose popularity as a social media platform critically depends on the users’ expectations that their friends are joining as well.


pages: 827 words: 239,762

The Golden Passport: Harvard Business School, the Limits of Capitalism, and the Moral Failure of the MBA Elite by Duff McDonald

"Friedman doctrine" OR "shareholder theory", "World Economic Forum" Davos, activist fund / activist shareholder / activist investor, Affordable Care Act / Obamacare, Albert Einstein, Apollo 13, barriers to entry, Bayesian statistics, Bear Stearns, Bernie Madoff, Bob Noyce, Bonfire of the Vanities, business cycle, business process, butterfly effect, capital asset pricing model, Capital in the Twenty-First Century by Thomas Piketty, Carl Icahn, Clayton Christensen, cloud computing, collateralized debt obligation, collective bargaining, commoditize, compensation consultant, corporate governance, corporate raider, corporate social responsibility, creative destruction, deskilling, discounted cash flows, disintermediation, disruptive innovation, Donald Trump, eat what you kill, Fairchild Semiconductor, family office, financial engineering, financial innovation, Frederick Winslow Taylor, full employment, George Gilder, glass ceiling, Glass-Steagall Act, global pandemic, Gordon Gekko, hiring and firing, Ida Tarbell, impact investing, income inequality, invisible hand, Jeff Bezos, job-hopping, John von Neumann, Joseph Schumpeter, junk bonds, Kenneth Arrow, Kickstarter, Kōnosuke Matsushita, London Whale, Long Term Capital Management, market fundamentalism, Menlo Park, Michael Milken, new economy, obamacare, oil shock, pattern recognition, performance metric, Pershing Square Capital Management, Peter Thiel, planned obsolescence, plutocrats, profit maximization, profit motive, pushing on a string, Ralph Nader, Ralph Waldo Emerson, RAND corporation, random walk, rent-seeking, Ronald Coase, Ronald Reagan, Sam Altman, Sand Hill Road, Saturday Night Live, scientific management, shareholder value, Sheryl Sandberg, Silicon Valley, Skype, Social Responsibility of Business Is to Increase Its Profits, Steve Jobs, Steve Jurvetson, survivorship bias, TED Talk, The Nature of the Firm, the scientific method, Thorstein Veblen, Tragedy of the Commons, union organizing, urban renewal, vertical integration, Vilfredo Pareto, War on Poverty, William Shockley: the traitorous eight, women in the workforce, Y Combinator

Eventually, the MBAs working inside client organizations had internalized everything about competitive advantage and industry structure, the result of which was that Monitor ended up with no means through which to sustain its own excess profits. While it did develop some new ideas, including the use of pattern recognition in the service of business model innovation, by the end the consulting firm’s loss of focus was epitomized by the launch of entities such as Monitor Talent, which booked speakers for corporate events, and Monitor Quest, which provided bodyguards for billionaires. Michael Porter became famous for arguing that companies needed to focus their energies in those areas in which they had a competitive advantage.


pages: 993 words: 318,161

Fall; Or, Dodge in Hell by Neal Stephenson

Ada Lovelace, augmented reality, autonomous vehicles, back-to-the-land, bitcoin, blockchain, cloud computing, coherent worldview, computer vision, crisis actor, crossover SUV, cryptocurrency, defense in depth, demographic transition, distributed ledger, drone strike, easy for humans, difficult for computers, fake news, false flag, game design, gamification, index fund, Jaron Lanier, life extension, messenger bag, microaggression, microbiome, Neal Stephenson, Network effects, no-fly zone, off grid, off-the-grid, offshore financial centre, pattern recognition, planetary scale, ride hailing / ride sharing, sensible shoes, short selling, Silicon Valley, Snow Crash, tech bro, telepresence, telepresence robot, telerobotics, The Hackers Conference, Turing test, Works Progress Administration

Below it was a window showing all of the lines of data coming out of all the teletypes at once; the information was zooming by so quickly that it was just a blur. “We’d have a hell of a lot of data. But would we really know what the brain was thinking? Would we know that it was seeing red, or doing arithmetic, or feeling sad? Despite some recent advances in pattern recognition on neural networks, the answer is basically no. But we can still perform traffic analysis and try to draw conclusions about what sorts of activities are going on within the Process. Just as the Allies were able to sift through mountains of gibberish to get an idea of what the Germans were doing and where, we may be able to analyze what we know about Process-related message traffic to make some guesses about what the Process is doing.


pages: 1,280 words: 384,105

The Best of Best New SF by Gardner R. Dozois

back-to-the-land, Buckminster Fuller, Burning Man, call centre, Columbine, congestion charging, dark matter, Doomsday Book, double helix, Extropian, flag carrier, Future Shock, gravity well, hydroponic farming, Kim Stanley Robinson, language acquisition, lateral thinking, Mason jar, military-industrial complex, offshore financial centre, out of africa, pattern recognition, phenotype, pneumatic tube, Silicon Valley, slashdot, Stephen Hawking, telepresence, three-masted sailing ship, Turing machine, Turing test, Winter of Discontent, Y2K, zero-sum game

Some are no doubt jealous of his success, but even most of them would probably admit, when forced to it, that Gibson is the kind of major talent that comes along maybe once or twice in a literary generation . . . and has earned his accolades. Gibson’s other books include Virtual Light, Idoru, and All Tomorrow’s Parties, and a novel written in collaboration with Bruce Sterling, The Difference Engine. His short fiction has been collected in Burning Chrome. His latest book is another best-selling novel, Pattern Recognition. Born in South Carolina, he now lives in Vancouver, Canada, with his wife and family. In the gripping story that follows, he suggests that people who know exactly what they want can be a little frightening – particularly if they need you to get it for them. . . . IT RAINS A LOT, up here; there are winter days when it doesn’t really get light at all, only a bright, indeterminate gray.


pages: 623 words: 448,848

Food Allergy: Adverse Reactions to Foods and Food Additives by Dean D. Metcalfe

active measures, Albert Einstein, autism spectrum disorder, bioinformatics, classic study, confounding variable, epigenetics, Helicobacter pylori, hygiene hypothesis, impulse control, life extension, longitudinal study, meta-analysis, mouse model, pattern recognition, phenotype, placebo effect, randomized controlled trial, Recombinant DNA, selection bias, statistical model, stem cell, twin studies, two and twenty

Therefore, innate and adoptive mechanisms have been developed to control the immune balance to food and commensals and to fend off pathogens [1,4,5]. Gastric acid, mucus, an intact epithelial layer, digestive enzymes, and the intestinal peristaltic are unspecific factors forming the “non-immunological” barrier [6]. The immunological defense mechanisms include innate (antimicrobial peptides, immune cells expressing pattern recognition molecules, etc.) and adaptive mechanisms (lymphocytes, IgA) [4]. Despite this tight mucosal barrier, macromolecules and intact bacteria can pass through or can be even actively taken up by the intestinal epithelium. Macromolecular uptake can be beneficial in delivering essential growth factors and in sampling the antigenic milieu of the gastrointestinal tract in order to enable the induction of immune tolerance to environmental antigens [6,7].


pages: 1,737 words: 491,616

Rationality: From AI to Zombies by Eliezer Yudkowsky

Albert Einstein, Alfred Russel Wallace, anthropic principle, anti-pattern, anti-work, antiwork, Arthur Eddington, artificial general intelligence, availability heuristic, backpropagation, Bayesian statistics, behavioural economics, Berlin Wall, Boeing 747, Build a better mousetrap, Cass Sunstein, cellular automata, Charles Babbage, cognitive bias, cognitive dissonance, correlation does not imply causation, cosmological constant, creative destruction, Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky, dematerialisation, different worldview, discovery of DNA, disinformation, Douglas Hofstadter, Drosophila, Eddington experiment, effective altruism, experimental subject, Extropian, friendly AI, fundamental attribution error, Great Leap Forward, Gödel, Escher, Bach, Hacker News, hindsight bias, index card, index fund, Isaac Newton, John Conway, John von Neumann, Large Hadron Collider, Long Term Capital Management, Louis Pasteur, mental accounting, meta-analysis, mirror neurons, money market fund, Monty Hall problem, Nash equilibrium, Necker cube, Nick Bostrom, NP-complete, One Laptop per Child (OLPC), P = NP, paperclip maximiser, pattern recognition, Paul Graham, peak-end rule, Peter Thiel, Pierre-Simon Laplace, placebo effect, planetary scale, prediction markets, random walk, Ray Kurzweil, reversible computing, Richard Feynman, risk tolerance, Rubik’s Cube, Saturday Night Live, Schrödinger's Cat, scientific mainstream, scientific worldview, sensible shoes, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley startup, Singularitarianism, SpaceShipOne, speech recognition, statistical model, Steve Jurvetson, Steven Pinker, strong AI, sunk-cost fallacy, technological singularity, The Bell Curve by Richard Herrnstein and Charles Murray, the map is not the territory, the scientific method, Turing complete, Turing machine, Tyler Cowen, ultimatum game, X Prize, Y Combinator, zero-sum game

Or this advice may even be offered by the same one who disbelieved, saying, “Come back when you have a PhD.” Now there are good and bad reasons to get a PhD, but this is one of the bad ones. There’s many reasons why someone actually has an adverse reaction to transhumanist theses. Most are matters of pattern recognition, rather than verbal thought: the thesis matches against “strange weird idea” or “science fiction” or “end-of-the-world cult” or “overenthusiastic youth.” So immediately, at the speed of perception, the idea is rejected. If, afterward, someone says “Why not?,” this launches a search for justification.